New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to NY Rangers 3-6, playoff odds down 0.002 to 0.00006%
34 points   14 23-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

SaturdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Win Stanley Cup
New Jersey vs NY Rangers+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*No*NoNo

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
60130-00.2%No002570400380,680
59120-10.0No0011731510681,136
58121-00.0No00560305003,235,873*
57111-10.0No001384316207,077,819*
56112-00.0No00020432960010,686,551
101-2OutNo01641348008,340,036*
55102-1OutNo062943192026,773,305
91-3OutNo04264522306,180,779*
5492-2OutNo011342368030,480,841
103-0OutNo021542347033,366,427*
5393-1OutNo0053046180068,877,117
82-3OutNo0042848200021,960,229*
5283-2OutNo011647351070,597,692
94-0OutNo0011847331058,354,470
72-4OutNo01144637109,789,637*
5184-1OutNo007395130119,642,316
73-3OutNo00637534045,969,519*
5074-2OutNo002256390109,008,547
85-0OutNo00327638081,108,539
63-4OutNo002236411017,793,278*
4975-1OutNo011567180147,801,274
64-3OutNo01136620057,951,135
53-5OutNo0012642404,786,076*
4865-2OutNo00761311117,848,480
76-0OutNo0076230183,499,306
54-4OutNo0065835120,707,738*
4766-1OutNo00351442133,140,556
55-3OutNo024847358,314,301*
4656-2OutNo013657691,022,157
67-0OutNo013756664,487,655
45-4OutNo013360715,984,300*
4557-1OutNo0024641288,145,562
46-3OutNo0022651237,403,037*
4447-2OutNo0014652150,190,151
58-0OutNo0014652137,356,714
36-4OutNo01266228,190,442*
4348-1OutNo07603242,561,328
37-3OutNo06613316,349,341*
4238-2OutNo03514619,390,076
49-0OutNo03514618,724,958*
4139-1OutNo01405914,611,242
28-3OutNo0140594,659,821*
4029-2OutNo0029714,990,821
310-0OutNo0029715,467,672*
39210-1OutNo020804,170,557*
38211-0OutNo012881,862,012*
37111-1OutNo0793534,553*
36112-0OutNo0496189,410*
35012-1OutNo29830,814
34013-0OutNo199158,900
Total:0.0%No00012616412861,880,835,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupColoradoVegasMinnesotaWashingtonPittsburghNY IslandersBoston
60130-00.0%0000000
59120-10.00000000
58121-00.0000000
110-2No0000
57111-10.00000
100-3No
56112-0No00
101-2No
90-4No
34-55No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers 6 New Jersey 3 +0.7
Dallas 5 Columbus 1 -0.1
Detroit 0 Chicago 4 -0.1
Minnesota 5 San Jose 2 -0.1
Montreal 0 Ottawa 4 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey vs NY Rangers-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.6
Anaheim vs Vegas+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
60130-000001346318100
59120-100032740236100
58121-000011030341951000
57111-1000021329321861000
56112-000003152930175100
101-2003122731206100
55102-10003142831185100
91-30002112633216100
5492-2000313303317400
103-0000415313115300
5393-100004173331132000
82-300003153233152000
5283-2000152036299100
94-0000162236278100
72-40000418353111100
5184-1000182738224000
73-3000172438245000
5074-2000212333814200
85-0000213343612200
63-400110303917300
4975-10004204127710
64-30003174030910
53-50021538331110
4865-2001729392040
76-00001831391830
54-4000526402450
4766-10002163833100
55-30001143636131
4656-200062642242
67-000062842222
45-400042242283
4557-100021440386
46-30011238417
4447-20005295115
58-00006304914
36-4004265416
4348-1002185426
37-3001165527
4238-200085041
49-00095040
4139-10044155
28-30034156
4029-20013069
310-00013069
39210-1002079
38211-0001288
37111-10793
36112-00496
35012-10298
34013-0199
Total:000000001236913171716124