New York Islanders Playoff Chances

Beat Buffalo 5-2, playoff odds up 4.6 to 89.4%
30 points   13 6-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2 +2.3
+0.1
+0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 4 +0.7
New Jersey 1 NY Rangers 6 -0.1
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1 +0.1
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston vs Washington+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.1
San Jose vs Vegas+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
96330-0In99.9%100025,626
93-95In98.2100335*
92301-2In95.910001,024*
91302-1In92.310003,200*
90292-2In88.39918,989*
89293-1In83.299122,914*
88283-2In75.4982054,652*
87284-1In66.99730118,021*
86274-2In56.79550242,027*
85264-3In45.99280458,277*
84265-2In35.189110829,232*
83255-3In25.08415101,405,690*
82256-2In16.47920102,272,610*
81246-3In9.77126203,483,115*
80247-2In5.16333405,108,816*
79237-3In2.35340707,132,705*
78238-2In0.9434611009,571,174*
77228-3In0.33250170012,266,277*
76229-2In0.12252241015,140,343*
75219-3100.0%0.014503330017,907,443*
742110-2100.00.084441600020,446,354*
732010-3100.00.0436481200022,414,956*
722011-2100.00.01265120100023,752,052*
711911-399.9No0164931400024,197,488*
701912-299.7No094141900023,849,362*
691812-399.0No04304816110022,641,354*
681813-297.1No01194925330020,813,235*
671713-392.7No001042337700018,446,343*
661613-484.7No00432351414100015,835,594*
651614-372.7No012030212340013,111,500*
641514-457.8No00112026321010010,519,581*
631515-342.0No005112636193008,146,697*
621415-427.8No02521332991006,113,184*
611416-316.6No012142637183004,426,353*
601417-28.9No000817372881003,106,121*
591317-34.3No000493137162002,103,721*
581318-21.8No00242239276001,382,316*
571218-30.7No00111235361310873,772*
561219-20.2No00006264122400534,466*
551119-30.1No0002173933910314,202*
541120-20.0No001932401620179,644*
531020-30.0No00042242265098,544*
521021-2OutNo0214393510152,625*
51921-30.0No0018314118226,831*
50922-2OutNo04224327413,296*
49822-3OutNo0214403686,218*
48823-2OutNo083344142,846*
47723-3OutNo52745231,178*
46724-2OutNo01175031494*
45624-3OutNo185041197*
44625-2OutNo3465174*
43626-1OutNo3504734*
42526-2OutNo336715*
41426-3OutNo43577*
40528-0OutNo1001
30033-0OutNo010025,625
Total:89.4%0.8%1020252010463110000319,488,750

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasColoradoBostonMinnesotaPhiladelphiaWashingtonSt. LouisLos AngelesPittsburghNY RangersArizonaNew JerseySan JoseAnaheimBuffalo
96330-07.4%02133172056181132100
95320-16.772713772777
94310-29.618125111112161031
93311-18.1410414141111141162000
92301-27.406115131691015941100
91302-17.605961314111014951200
90292-27.5059613151111131051100
89293-17.605971214111113952200
88283-27.605971214111212952100
87284-17.315871214121212852200
86274-27.416871114121212852200
85264-37.416871113121211851200
84265-27.416881113131211851200
83255-37.216881113131211851100
82256-27.216881214131211851100
81246-37.116981214121211851100
80247-27.016981314121211851100
79237-37.0161071415111111841100
78238-26.9161271516101011741100
77228-36.71513617179910731100
76229-26.61515618188810721100
75219-36.51418521206610721000
742110-26.31320423215510711000
732010-36.2122332422449711000
199-56.2122332522339711000
722011-26.0122522623229611000
711911-35.9112612724229601000
1810-55.8112612724119601000
701912-25.7212712824118601000
691812-35.5312812724118601000
1711-55.5312712724117601000
681813-25.3522712622106501000
671713-35.0822622420105400000
661714-24.51232322016104300000
651614-33.81531921612102200000
641615-22.9153142119001100000
631515-32.114210285000000000
621516-21.41026153000000000
611416-30.8614132000000000
601417-20.4302021000000000
591317-30.2201010000000000
581318-20.110000000000000
571218-30.00000000000000
561219-20.0000000000000
551119-30.00000000000
541120-20.000000
531020-3No00
521122-0No
51921-3No0
30-50No
Total:5.4%3.92.720.02.920.518.53.23.27.25.41.00.60.20.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2 -0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Washington-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
96330-010000
94-95100
93311-1982
92301-29640
91302-19270
90292-288111
89293-183161
88283-27522200
87284-16730300
86274-257385000
85264-346467100
84265-2355410100
83255-325591330000
82256-216621551000
81246-3106217920000
80247-25581815310000
79237-325117235200000
78238-2142153174000000
77228-3032123988100000
76229-2022844813201000
75219-3014546720513000000
742110-2082425258351000000
732010-30413532712783100000
722011-20102512413131182010000
711911-30016018111912144040000
701912-2009010823102191810000
691812-30040542172414414210100
681813-20010221632117820630300
671713-300001911415132211707000
661613-4000040710151817131142000
651614-300010351311181922250000
641514-40000012851521528122000
631515-30000000429188292161000
621415-4000204111024291541000
611416-300010269153125102000
601417-200000026824302072000
591317-3000001331428281651000
581318-20000216192926134100
571218-30001029222923103000
561219-200000031225292082000
551119-30000015162728165100
541120-200027192925133100
531020-300003102330229200
521021-2001414272917610
51921-3000171930271230
50922-2003112531228100
49822-3151629291630
48823-2019223425810
47723-3141531301630
46724-201623372750
45624-31293838121
44625-232441311
43626-11556263
42526-220204020
41426-3144343
40528-0100
30033-00298
Total:193172105848536441531100000000000