New York Islanders Playoff Chances

Beat Buffalo 5-2, playoff odds up 4.6 to 89.4%

30 points 13 6-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2	+2.3		+0.1		+0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 4	+0.7
New Jersey 1 NY Rangers 6	-0.1
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1					+0.1
Chicago 2 Tampa Bay 3 (ot)					-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Boston vs Washington	+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.1
San Jose vs Vegas					+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Chicago vs Tampa Bay					+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

96		33	0		-	0	In		99.9	%	100	0													25,626
93	-95						In		98.2		100														335	*
92		30	1		-	2	In		95.9		100	0													1,024	*
91		30	2		-	1	In		92.3		100	0													3,200	*
90		29	2		-	2	In		88.3		99	1													8,989	*
89		29	3		-	1	In		83.2		99	1													22,914	*
88		28	3		-	2	In		75.4		98	2	0												54,652	*
87		28	4		-	1	In		66.9		97	3	0												118,021	*
86		27	4		-	2	In		56.7		95	5	0												242,027	*
85		26	4		-	3	In		45.9		92	8	0												458,277	*
84		26	5		-	2	In		35.1		89	11	0												829,232	*
83		25	5		-	3	In		25.0		84	15	1	0											1,405,690	*
82		25	6		-	2	In		16.4		79	20	1	0											2,272,610	*
81		24	6		-	3	In		9.7		71	26	2	0											3,483,115	*
80		24	7		-	2	In		5.1		63	33	4	0											5,108,816	*
79		23	7		-	3	In		2.3		53	40	7	0											7,132,705	*
78		23	8		-	2	In		0.9		43	46	11	0	0										9,571,174	*
77		22	8		-	3	In		0.3		32	50	17	0	0										12,266,277	*
76		22	9		-	2	In		0.1		22	52	24	1	0										15,140,343	*
75		21	9		-	3	100.0	%	0.0		14	50	33	3	0		0								17,907,443	*
74		21	10		-	2	100.0		0.0		8	44	41	6	0	0	0								20,446,354	*
73		20	10		-	3	100.0		0.0		4	36	48	12	0	0	0								22,414,956	*
72		20	11		-	2	100.0		0.0		1	26	51	20	1	0	0	0							23,752,052	*
71		19	11		-	3	99.9		No		0	16	49	31	4	0	0	0							24,197,488	*
70		19	12		-	2	99.7		No		0	9	41	41	9	0	0	0							23,849,362	*
69		18	12		-	3	99.0		No		0	4	30	48	16	1	1	0	0						22,641,354	*
68		18	13		-	2	97.1		No		0	1	19	49	25	3	3	0	0						20,813,235	*
67		17	13		-	3	92.7		No		0	0	10	42	33	7	7	0	0	0					18,446,343	*
66		16	13		-	4	84.7		No		0	0	4	32	35	14	14	1	0	0	0				15,835,594	*
65		16	14		-	3	72.7		No			0	1	20	30	21	23	4	0	0					13,111,500	*
64		15	14		-	4	57.8		No			0	0	11	20	26	32	10	1	0	0				10,519,581	*
63		15	15		-	3	42.0		No			0	0	5	11	26	36	19	3	0	0				8,146,697	*
62		14	15		-	4	27.8		No				0	2	5	21	33	29	9	1	0	0			6,113,184	*
61		14	16		-	3	16.6		No				0	1	2	14	26	37	18	3	0	0			4,426,353	*
60		14	17		-	2	8.9		No				0	0	0	8	17	37	28	8	1	0	0		3,106,121	*
59		13	17		-	3	4.3		No				0	0	0	4	9	31	37	16	2	0	0		2,103,721	*
58		13	18		-	2	1.8		No					0	0	2	4	22	39	27	6	0	0		1,382,316	*
57		12	18		-	3	0.7		No					0	0	1	1	12	35	36	13	1	0		873,772	*
56		12	19		-	2	0.2		No					0	0	0	0	6	26	41	22	4	0	0	534,466	*
55		11	19		-	3	0.1		No					0		0	0	2	17	39	33	9	1	0	314,202	*
54		11	20		-	2	0.0		No							0	0	1	9	32	40	16	2	0	179,644	*
53		10	20		-	3	0.0		No							0	0	0	4	22	42	26	5	0	98,544	*
52		10	21		-	2	Out		No									0	2	14	39	35	10	1	52,625	*
51		9	21		-	3	0.0		No							0		0	1	8	31	41	18	2	26,831	*
50		9	22		-	2	Out		No										0	4	22	43	27	4	13,296	*
49		8	22		-	3	Out		No										0	2	14	40	36	8	6,218	*
48		8	23		-	2	Out		No											0	8	33	44	14	2,846	*
47		7	23		-	3	Out		No												5	27	45	23	1,178	*
46		7	24		-	2	Out		No											0	1	17	50	31	494	*
45		6	24		-	3	Out		No												1	8	50	41	197	*
44		6	25		-	2	Out		No													3	46	51	74	*
43		6	26		-	1	Out		No													3	50	47	34	*
42		5	26		-	2	Out		No														33	67	15	*
41		4	26		-	3	Out		No														43	57	7	*
40		5	28		-	0	Out		No															100	1
30		0	33		-	0	Out		No														0	100	25,625

Total:							89.4	%	0.8	%	10	20	25	20	10	4	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	319,488,750

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Vegas	Colorado	Boston	Minnesota	Philadelphia	Washington	St. Louis	Los Angeles	Pittsburgh	NY Rangers	Arizona	New Jersey	San Jose	Anaheim	Buffalo

96		33	0		-	0	7.4	%	0	2	13	3	17	20	5	6	18	11	3	2	1	0	0
95		32	0		-	1	6.7			7	27	13		7	7	27	7			7
94		31	0		-	2	9.6			1	8	1	25	11	11	12	16	10	3		1
93		31	1		-	1	8.1			4	10	4	14	14	11	11	14	11	6	2	0	0	0
92		30	1		-	2	7.4		0	6	11	5	13	16	9	10	15	9	4	1	1	0	0
91		30	2		-	1	7.6		0	5	9	6	13	14	11	10	14	9	5	1	2	0	0
90		29	2		-	2	7.5		0	5	9	6	13	15	11	11	13	10	5	1	1	0	0
89		29	3		-	1	7.6		0	5	9	7	12	14	11	11	13	9	5	2	2	0	0
88		28	3		-	2	7.6		0	5	9	7	12	14	11	12	12	9	5	2	1	0	0
87		28	4		-	1	7.3		1	5	8	7	12	14	12	12	12	8	5	2	2	0	0
86		27	4		-	2	7.4		1	6	8	7	11	14	12	12	12	8	5	2	2	0	0
85		26	4		-	3	7.4		1	6	8	7	11	13	12	12	11	8	5	1	2	0	0
84		26	5		-	2	7.4		1	6	8	8	11	13	13	12	11	8	5	1	2	0	0
83		25	5		-	3	7.2		1	6	8	8	11	13	13	12	11	8	5	1	1	0	0
82		25	6		-	2	7.2		1	6	8	8	12	14	13	12	11	8	5	1	1	0	0
81		24	6		-	3	7.1		1	6	9	8	12	14	12	12	11	8	5	1	1	0	0
80		24	7		-	2	7.0		1	6	9	8	13	14	12	12	11	8	5	1	1	0	0
79		23	7		-	3	7.0		1	6	10	7	14	15	11	11	11	8	4	1	1	0	0
78		23	8		-	2	6.9		1	6	12	7	15	16	10	10	11	7	4	1	1	0	0
77		22	8		-	3	6.7		1	5	13	6	17	17	9	9	10	7	3	1	1	0	0
76		22	9		-	2	6.6		1	5	15	6	18	18	8	8	10	7	2	1	1	0	0
75		21	9		-	3	6.5		1	4	18	5	21	20	6	6	10	7	2	1	0	0	0
74		21	10		-	2	6.3		1	3	20	4	23	21	5	5	10	7	1	1	0	0	0
73		20	10		-	3	6.2		1	2	23	3	24	22	4	4	9	7	1	1	0	0	0
		19	9		-	5	6.2		1	2	23	3	25	22	3	3	9	7	1	1	0	0	0
72		20	11		-	2	6.0		1	2	25	2	26	23	2	2	9	6	1	1	0	0	0
71		19	11		-	3	5.9		1	1	26	1	27	24	2	2	9	6	0	1	0	0	0
		18	10		-	5	5.8		1	1	26	1	27	24	1	1	9	6	0	1	0	0	0
70		19	12		-	2	5.7		2	1	27	1	28	24	1	1	8	6	0	1	0	0	0
69		18	12		-	3	5.5		3	1	28	1	27	24	1	1	8	6	0	1	0	0	0
		17	11		-	5	5.5		3	1	27	1	27	24	1	1	7	6	0	1	0	0	0
68		18	13		-	2	5.3		5	2	27	1	26	22	1	0	6	5	0	1	0	0	0
67		17	13		-	3	5.0		8	2	26	2	24	20	1	0	5	4	0	0	0	0	0
66		17	14		-	2	4.5		12	3	23	2	20	16	1	0	4	3	0	0	0	0	0
65		16	14		-	3	3.8		15	3	19	2	16	12	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
64		16	15		-	2	2.9		15	3	14	2	11	9	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
63		15	15		-	3	2.1		14	2	10	2	8	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
62		15	16		-	2	1.4		10	2	6	1	5	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		14	16		-	3	0.8		6	1	4	1	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		14	17		-	2	0.4		3	0	2	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		13	17		-	3	0.2		2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		13	18		-	2	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
57		12	18		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0		0
56		12	19		-	2	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0			0
55		11	19		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0			0	0		0			0
54		11	20		-	2	0.0		0		0		0	0									0
53		10	20		-	3	No						0	0
52		11	22		-	0	No
51		9	21		-	3	No						0
30	-50						No

Total:							5.4	%	3.9	2.7	20.0	2.9	20.5	18.5	3.2	3.2	7.2	5.4	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2	-0.5

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Boston vs Washington	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

96		33	0		-	0	100	0	0
94	-95						100
93		31	1		-	1	98	2
92		30	1		-	2	96	4	0
91		30	2		-	1	92	7	0
90		29	2		-	2	88	11	1
89		29	3		-	1	83	16	1
88		28	3		-	2	75	22	2	0	0
87		28	4		-	1	67	30	3	0	0
86		27	4		-	2	57	38	5	0	0	0
85		26	4		-	3	46	46	7	1	0	0
84		26	5		-	2	35	54	10	1	0	0
83		25	5		-	3	25	59	13	3	0	0	0		0
82		25	6		-	2	16	62	15	5	1	0	0		0
81		24	6		-	3	10	62	17	9	2	0	0	0	0
80		24	7		-	2	5	58	18	15	3	1	0	0	0	0
79		23	7		-	3	2	51	17	23	5	2	0	0	0	0	0
78		23	8		-	2	1	42	15	31	7	4	0	0	0	0	0		0
77		22	8		-	3	0	32	12	39	8	8	1	0	0	0	0		0
76		22	9		-	2	0	22	8	44	8	13	2	0	1	0	0		0
75		21	9		-	3	0	14	5	46	7	20	5	1	3	0	0	0	0	0			0
74		21	10		-	2	0	8	2	42	5	25	8	3	5	1	0	0	0	0	0		0
73		20	10		-	3	0	4	1	35	3	27	12	7	8	3	1	0	0	0	0		0
72		20	11		-	2	0	1	0	25	1	24	13	13	11	8	2	0	1	0	0		0	0
71		19	11		-	3		0	0	16	0	18	11	19	12	14	4	0	4	0	0		0	0
70		19	12		-	2		0	0	9	0	10	8	23	10	21	9	1	8	1	0	0	0	0
69		18	12		-	3		0	0	4	0	5	4	21	7	24	14	4	14	2	1	0	1	0	0
68		18	13		-	2		0	0	1	0	2	2	16	3	21	17	8	20	6	3	0	3	0	0
67		17	13		-	3		0		0	0	0	1	9	1	14	15	13	22	11	7	0	7	0	0	0
66		16	13		-	4		0		0		0	0	4	0	7	10	15	18	17	13	1	14	2	0	0	0
65		16	14		-	3				0		0	0	1	0	3	5	13	11	18	19	2	22	5	0	0	0	0
64		15	14		-	4				0		0	0	0	0	1	2	8	5	15	21	5	28	12	2	0	0	0
63		15	15		-	3				0		0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	9	18	8	29	21	6	1	0	0	0
62		14	15		-	4								0		0	0	2	0	4	11	10	24	29	15	4	1	0	0	0
61		14	16		-	3								0		0	0	1	0	2	6	9	15	31	25	10	2	0	0	0
60		14	17		-	2								0		0	0	0	0	0	2	6	8	24	30	20	7	2	0	0	0
59		13	17		-	3								0			0	0	0	0	1	3	3	14	28	28	16	5	1	0	0	0
58		13	18		-	2												0	0	0	0	2	1	6	19	29	26	13	4	1	0	0
57		12	18		-	3												0		0	0	1	0	2	9	22	29	23	10	3	0	0	0
56		12	19		-	2												0		0	0	0	0	0	3	12	25	29	20	8	2	0	0	0
55		11	19		-	3												0			0	0	0	0	1	5	16	27	28	16	5	1	0	0
54		11	20		-	2																0		0	0	2	7	19	29	25	13	3	1	0	0
53		10	20		-	3																0		0	0	0	3	10	23	30	22	9	2	0	0
52		10	21		-	2																			0	0	1	4	14	27	29	17	6	1	0
51		9	21		-	3																0				0	0	1	7	19	30	27	12	3	0
50		9	22		-	2																					0	0	3	11	25	31	22	8	1	0	0
49		8	22		-	3																							1	5	16	29	29	16	3	0
48		8	23		-	2																							0	1	9	22	34	25	8	1	0
47		7	23		-	3																								1	4	15	31	30	16	3	0
46		7	24		-	2																								0	1	6	23	37	27	5	0
45		6	24		-	3																									1	2	9	38	38	12	1
44		6	25		-	2																											3	24	41	31	1
43		6	26		-	1																												15	56	26	3
42		5	26		-	2																												20	20	40	20
41		4	26		-	3																												14	43		43
40		5	28		-	0																															100
30		0	33		-	0																													0	2	98

Total:							1	9	3	17	2	10	5	8	4	8	5	3	6	4	4	1	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0