Buffalo Sabres Playoff Chances

Lost to NY Islanders 2-5, playoff odds down 0.5 to 0.3%
15 points   6 12-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2 -0.3
No
FridayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
85350-0In51.0%946020,881
78291-5InNo1001
77303-2InNo1001
76304-1InNo4444119*
75283-4InNo19562516*
74284-3InNo96622374*
73274-4InNo450389230*
72275-3InNo23451111592*
71265-4InNo128492031,423*
70266-399.7%No01547335003,252*
69256-499.3No073842111107,390*
68257-397.3No0326461923015,734*
67247-493.2No114432877031,980*
66248-384.4No06343015141062,565*
65238-470.3No0221252225500116,492*
64228-551.9No001016253412200208,174*
63229-433.2No0472236246100360,339*
62219-518.2No01314303514200600,015*
612110-48.4No00172038267100959,039*
602010-53.2No0003103235163001,481,649*
592011-41.0No000142137278102,205,055*
581911-50.3No0001113236172003,178,435*
571912-40.1No000052239286004,413,305*
561812-50.0No0000212343713105,925,463*
551813-40.0No0006254222407,694,460*
541713-50.0No0002164132809,657,984*
531714-40.0No00019344015111,721,418*
521614-5OutNo0004264324213,786,141*
511615-4OutNo002174234515,673,475*
501515-5OutNo001103743917,242,398*
491516-4OutNo00630491518,350,859*
481416-5OutNo00322522318,906,015*
471417-4OutNo00115523218,859,080*
461317-5OutNo00110484218,189,493*
451318-4OutNo006435216,969,194*
441218-5OutNo003366115,308,652*
431219-4OutNo002297013,370,243*
421119-5OutNo01227711,267,464*
411120-4OutNo0016839,177,594*
401020-5OutNo0012887,217,722*
391021-4OutNo008925,478,185*
38921-5OutNo005954,009,636*
37922-4OutNo03972,829,646*
36822-5OutNo02981,922,934*
35823-4OutNo01991,257,266*
34824-3OutNo0199787,450*
33724-4OutNo0100474,000*
32725-3OutNo0100274,560*
31625-4OutNo0100151,800*
30626-3OutNo010080,033*
29526-4OutNo010040,032*
28527-3OutNo010019,178*
27427-4OutNo01008,688*
26428-3OutNo01003,716*
25429-2OutNo01001,484*
15-24OutNo10021,708*
Total:0.3%0.0%000000012410183035260,344,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupVegasNY IslandersColoradoBostonMinnesotaPhiladelphiaWashingtonSt. LouisLos AngelesPittsburghNY RangersArizonaNew JerseySan JoseAnaheim
85350-00.2%0143184161677353210
78291-5NoYes
77303-2NoYes
76304-1No11221111221111
75283-4No13613251366136
74284-3No1742341122121231
73274-4No11761341620673520
72275-3No12041832318443110
71265-40.112222122019243310
70266-30.2124120221202233000
69256-40.1224121121211133000
68257-30.2324120121201123000
67247-40.1623219120171023000
258-20.152421912118102300
236-60.172221821916102300
66248-30.11020215217150022000
237-50.1111931521614102200
226-70.1121731421413101200
259-10.192121521615002200
65238-40.11515311212101011000
249-20.11417312213121012000
227-60.1151331021081011000
64239-30.116113828710110000
228-50.1159362750000000
217-70.1148362650000000
2410-10.01511382870011000
63229-40.0136242430000000
2310-20.1157342540000000
218-60.0115231320000000
207-80.0104231320000000
622210-30.0931212200000000
219-50.0721212100000000
208-70.062111110000000
2311-10.09312122000000
612110-40.041110110000000
2211-20.0511101100000000
209-60.031010100000000
602111-30.0210000000000000
2010-50.010000000000000
2212-10.010000000000000
592011-40.0000000000000
2112-20.0100000000000
1910-60.0000000000000
582012-30.00000000000000
571912-40.0000000000000
561913-3No000000000
551813-40.00000000
541814-3No00000
531815-2No0
15-52No
Total:0.0%0.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Islanders 5 Buffalo 2 +0.4
Vancouver 3 Toronto 1 +0.1
Nashville 4 Florida 5 -0.0
Carolina 5 Detroit 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado vs Anaheim-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
85350-05143600
78291-5100
77303-2100
76304-144222211
75283-41956619
74284-393643124311
73274-4414921810844
72275-3203412314136411
71265-410270161023794020
70266-3015010828717715100
69256-4070652842112492110
68257-30322222191691452030
67247-410113113151517117060
66248-3000606101714161411420
65238-400020241481719323610
64228-5000011831319629153000
63229-40003171482926102000
62219-50001027720322171000
612110-4000001351128301761000
602010-500000124172927144100
592011-400000118202924123100
581911-5000002102329221030000
571912-400000141325292082000
561812-5000000151527281761000
551813-400000271929261341000
541713-500000210233023102000
531714-4000014142730186100
521614-500016193027133000
511615-400002102432228100
501515-50001416303015300
491516-4000028233425710
481416-500041532331420
471417-40001825382350
461317-50003163633101
451318-4000193039182
441218-500042242275
431219-4000214393510
421119-50018324217
411120-40004244626
401020-5002174536
391021-4001104148
38921-500063559
37922-40032869
36822-50022177
35823-4011584
34824-3001090
33724-400694
32725-30496
31625-40298
30626-30199
29526-40199
28527-30100
27427-40100
26428-30100
25429-20100
15-24100
Total:000000000000000000112346810131616128