National Football League Lottery

Cincinnati +3.7, Miami -3.5
100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will finish season at seed
SundayGW-L-TPCTGD1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132Avg.ChangeMonday
IndianapolisWCincinnati 27-05-2-0.7148014111811167142111111110000000000000004.7-2.04Indianapolis Colts
BaltimoreWAtlanta 29-75-2-0.714891381872151312121221110000000000000005.3-2.47Baltimore Ravens
DallasWNY Giants 31-216-1-0.857491914984300176833211100000000000006.2-1.37Dallas Cowboys
DenverWSan Francisco 42-1715-1-0.8336818149662301296353211100000000000006.4-3.01Denver Broncos
ArizonaWOakland 24-1315-1-0.833216981291812224364332111100000000007.5-3.12Arizona Cardinals
Green BayWCarolina 38-175-2-0.714527910117811105105432211110000000000007.6-2.43Green Bay Packers
Philadelphia15-1-0.83351910684500158115742211100000000000008.0+0.51Philadelphia Eagles
DetroitWNew Orleans 24-235-2-0.71435597114701119108233222111000000000008.4-0.56Detroit Lions
San DiegoLKansas City 20-235-2-0.7147057655230141497554321110000000000009.1+3.10San Diego Chargers
New England5-2-0.7143323451072741222554433221100000000009.3+1.00New England Patriots
SeattleLSt. Louis 26-2813-3-0.5001801142901134612877655433221100000014.1+1.53Seattle Seahawks
Kansas CityWSan Diego 23-2013-3-0.5002101122110410696777665443221110000014.6-2.83Kansas City Chiefs
San FranciscoLDenver 17-424-3-0.571-70113280123467878765543221110000014.7+3.34San Francisco 49ers
CarolinaLGreen Bay 17-383-3-1.500-3700011353800000111234445654432110015.2+1.59Carolina Panthers
BuffaloWMinnesota 17-164-3-0.571-700012211212236777876654332110000015.5-1.43Buffalo Bills
Houston13-3-0.500120111112038593566776554432211000015.9+0.12at PittsburghHouston Texans
CincinnatiLIndianapolis 0-2713-2-1.583-60111212035567788667644432211000016.0+3.69Cincinnati Bengals
MiamiWChicago 27-1413-3-0.500901012210312233567777665433211000016.1-3.47Miami Dolphins
ClevelandLJacksonville 6-2413-3-0.50010001111013354577777666544321100017.9+3.47Cleveland Browns
New OrleansLDetroit 23-2412-4-0.333-1000000332700000111233466676654321018.0-0.33New Orleans Saints
NY GiantsLDallas 21-313-4-0.429-150000000001236667778876654332110019.1+1.43New York Giants
Pittsburgh13-3-0.500-150001011013252455677777655433210019.3-0.37HoustonPittsburgh Steelers
ChicagoLMiami 14-273-4-0.429-140001010002142345677888776443210020.1+2.94Chicago Bears
AtlantaLBaltimore 7-292-5-0.286-2800000101500000001112346689998753122.4+2.20Atlanta Falcons
St. LouisWSeattle 28-2612-4-0.333-47000000000000011222345678910109864224.6-1.71St. Louis Rams
WashingtonWTennessee 19-172-5-0.286-32000000000000011122345679910109864224.8-1.27Washington Redskins
MinnesotaLBuffalo 16-172-5-0.286-400000000000010111233456789101010864224.9+0.75Minnesota Vikings
TennesseeLWashington 17-192-5-0.286-5100000000000000011223456791011111086325.8+0.98Tennessee Titans
Tampa Bay11-5-0.167-84000000020000000000011223467101316171528.3-0.33Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NY Jets1-6-0.143-6400000000000000000111223568101315171528.5+0.01New York Jets
JacksonvilleWCleveland 24-61-6-0.143-860000000000000000000011234691317212129.4-1.01Jacksonville Jaguars
OaklandLArizona 13-2410-6-0.000-66000000000000000000001112346914213830.2+1.09Oakland Raiders

Lottery Big Games

Week of 10/16
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Denver-0.4
San Diego+1.9
Kansas City-2.4
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore-0.2
Houston-0.2
Cincinnati-0.2
Miami-0.2
Cleveland+2.4
NY Giants-0.2
Tampa Bay+0.2
Jacksonville-0.9
Oakland+0.2
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona-0.3
Seattle+2.0
San Francisco-0.3
St. Louis-1.4
Chicago 14 Miami 27
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New England+0.2
Miami-2.1
Chicago+2.0
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay+0.2
Detroit-1.0
Carolina-0.3
New Orleans+1.2
Atlanta-0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay-1.1
Detroit+0.2
Carolina+1.2
New Orleans-0.2
Atlanta-0.2
Oakland 13 Arizona 24
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona-1.1
San Francisco+0.2
Oakland+0.7
Denver 42 San Francisco 17
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Denver-1.0
Arizona-0.2
San Diego+0.2
San Francisco+1.1
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis-1.0
Baltimore-0.2
Houston+0.2
Cincinnati+1.3
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas-1.0
Philadelphia+0.2
NY Giants+1.1
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore-0.8
Carolina-0.2
Cincinnati+0.2
Cleveland+0.1
New Orleans-0.1
Atlanta+1.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New England+0.2
Buffalo-1.2
Minnesota+1.0
Washington 19 Tennessee 17
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Washington-0.9
Tennessee+1.1
New England 27 NY Jets 25
Thu100.0*Lottery seed
New England-0.8
Buffalo+0.2
Miami+0.1
NY Jets+0.5
Pittsburgh vs HoustonIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Lottery seed
Houston17.815.514.1
Pittsburgh17.518.721.0
Week of 10/23
New Orleans vs Green BayIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay9.17.46.5
Detroit7.98.48.8
Carolina16.015.414.7
New Orleans15.617.319.6
Atlanta22.722.622.2
Atlanta vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay7.07.37.9
Detroit10.18.97.4
Carolina15.715.414.9
New Orleans18.317.717.7
Atlanta20.021.823.9
Carolina vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle15.815.012.8
Carolina12.915.316.9
New Orleans18.517.917.5
Atlanta22.822.222.1
Dallas vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas5.66.48.0
Philadelphia8.38.07.3
Washington25.524.322.8
Kansas City vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City13.715.316.8
St. Louis25.424.522.5
Tennessee vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston18.015.814.6
Tennessee24.325.626.8
Jacksonville vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Miami18.416.815.0
Jacksonville28.229.729.9
Denver vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Lottery seed
Denver4.76.88.5
San Diego10.98.67.0
New England vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New England8.49.911.2
Chicago21.119.817.9
NY Jets vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New England9.0*9.39.6
Buffalo17.515.814.2
NY Jets27.428.529.3
Cincinnati vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore7.15.34.4
Cincinnati13.615.417.2
Arizona vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas5.85.96.6
Arizona6.17.68.9
Philadelphia9.48.16.7
Pittsburgh vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis6.05.34.1
Pittsburgh17.118.220.4
Cleveland vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland17.017.820.2
Oakland30.630.429.2
Tampa Bay vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota26.324.323.5
Tampa Bay27.227.829.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.