National Football League Lottery

NY Jets +3.4, Chicago -3.2
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Chance will finish season at seed
MondayGW-L-TPCTGD1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132Avg.ChangeThursday
Cincinnati3-0-01.00047241211663319452422111111000000000006.2-0.02Cincinnati Bengals
Arizona3-0-01.0002113910684636452533221111111000000008.0+0.05Arizona Cardinals
Philadelphia3-0-01.0002311810594736352443222211111110000008.6+0.06Philadelphia Eagles
San Diego2-1-0.66720779877544343233223322222111110009.9-0.04San Diego Chargers
Atlanta2-1-0.667316777768733332333322222221111100010.4+0.01Atlanta Falcons
Houston2-1-0.667145567788922322222333222222211110011.0-0.03Houston Texans
New England2-1-0.667174455666533435444333332222111110012.0-0.22New England Patriots
Detroit2-1-0.667164555657534443333333332222211110012.1+0.44Detroit Lions
ChicagoWNY Jets 27-192-1-0.667134555656444443333343333322211110012.3-3.22Chicago Bears
Buffalo2-1-0.667103355666633434433443333322221111012.7-0.32Buffalo Bills
Seattle2-1-0.667174544433276645544433332222111110012.7+0.04Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore2-1-0.6671534232211129866544433332222111110013.1-0.04Baltimore Ravens
Denver2-1-0.66783445453445454444433333322221111013.3-0.04Denver Broncos
Dallas2-1-0.66782333333255546555444333322221111014.2+0.01Dallas Cowboys
Carolina2-1-0.66752334345534444444433443333222111014.2+0.04Carolina Panthers
Pittsburgh2-1-0.66712322111176766555444433332222111015.2Pittsburgh Steelers
Indianapolis1-2-0.3331712243651013232333333444433333221115.5-0.04Indianapolis Colts
Washington1-2-0.333171222222245553444455444443333221116.5+0.02NY GiantsWashington Redskins
New Orleans1-2-0.33361112233324343344444444444443332117.9New Orleans Saints
San Francisco1-2-0.333-60111111123235555444554445444433219.4-0.12San Francisco 49ers
Kansas City1-2-0.333-40112121312233334444445555554443219.6-0.02Kansas City Chiefs
Minnesota1-2-0.333-60112122313242233444445555555544319.9+0.17Minnesota Vikings
Cleveland1-2-0.333-30101010023335554444555555544443220.0-0.05Cleveland Browns
NY JetsLChicago 19-271-2-0.333-100112131312141223344445555555554320.7+3.36New York Jets
NY Giants1-2-0.333-190001111111124444334554455555554321.4at WashingtonNew York Giants
Tennessee1-2-0.333-260001121401121222333445555666666522.0-0.03Tennessee Titans
Green Bay1-2-0.333-250001111201123333334455555666666422.2+0.12Green Bay Packers
Miami1-2-0.333-250001111212121223334444555666666522.4-0.07Miami Dolphins
St. Louis1-2-0.333-290000011101122223333444556667777523.4-0.01St. Louis Rams
Oakland0-3-0.000-280000000100011111222233445667910131526.3+0.06Oakland Raiders
Jacksonville0-3-0.000-750000000100010011111222334567911152027.3-0.05Jacksonville Jaguars
Tampa Bay0-3-0.000-500000000000000111111222334567911162427.9-0.04Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Lottery Big Games

Week of 9/18
Buffalo 10 San Diego 22
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego-2.5
Buffalo+2.1
Denver+0.3
Carolina 19 Pittsburgh 37
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta-0.3
New England+0.0
Carolina+2.0
Pittsburgh-2.4
Minnesota+0.1
Jacksonville-0.0
Tampa Bay+0.1
Miami 15 Kansas City 34
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City-2.1
Miami+2.5
Jacksonville+0.1
NY Jets 19 Chicago 27
Mon100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit+0.2
Chicago-2.2
NY Jets+2.2
St. Louis 31 Dallas 34
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas-2.0
St. Louis+1.9
Cleveland 21 Baltimore 23
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore-2.2
Cleveland+2.2
NY Giants 30 Houston 17
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston+1.6
NY Giants-1.9
Tennessee-0.2
New Orleans 20 Minnesota 9
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans-1.8
Minnesota+1.9
Philadelphia 37 Washington 34
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia-1.8
Washington+2.0
Jacksonville 17 Indianapolis 44
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston+0.1
Indianapolis-1.9
Jacksonville+1.7
Seattle 26 Denver 20
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona+0.2
San Diego-0.2
Seattle-1.6
Denver+1.4
Dallas-0.0
Miami+0.1
Atlanta 56 Tampa Bay 14
Thu100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta-1.9
Carolina+0.1
Tampa Bay+1.6
Arizona 23 San Francisco 14
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona-1.6
Chicago+0.1
San Francisco+1.8
Cincinnati 33 Tennessee 7
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati-1.3
Houston-0.1
New England-0.1
Tennessee+1.6
Detroit 19 Green Bay 7
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit-1.7
Green Bay+1.7
New England 16 Oakland 9
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New England-1.4
Buffalo+0.1
Oakland+1.3
Week of 9/25
Chicago vs Green BayIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit12.2*12.311.8
Chicago10.912.615.1
Carolina14.214.614.1
Minnesota19.919.219.8
Green Bay23.622.219.7
Dallas vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas12.614.616.4
Washington16.516.116.6
New Orleans19.617.715.5
Indianapolis vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston11.110.510.8
Indianapolis13.916.818.5
Tennessee23.421.419.1
Oakland26.326.026.3
Kansas City vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Lottery seed
New England13.911.610.2
Buffalo12.412.612.9
Kansas City17.619.221.7
NY Jets20.721.320.7
Green Bay22.322.722.1
Houston vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston9.410.513.2
Buffalo14.312.310.4
Indianapolis15.615.515.3
San Francisco vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona8.08.38.0
Philadelphia10.28.07.1
San Francisco17.419.921.3
Minnesota vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta12.210.78.6
Baltimore13.213.513.1
Carolina14.014.114.3
Minnesota17.719.721.9
San Diego vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego8.910.512.4
Baltimore13.112.713.1
Denver13.313.413.0
Kansas City19.619.319.7
Oakland26.2*26.126.5
Jacksonville28.127.325.3
NY Jets vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit13.912.010.4
Chicago12.1*12.012.5
Buffalo12.712.212.6
NY Jets18.720.922.6
Baltimore vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati6.4*6.36.0
Atlanta10.2*10.610.6
Baltimore11.813.415.1
Carolina15.614.312.0
Pittsburgh vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina14.214.414.1
Pittsburgh14.015.717.5
Jacksonville27.227.127.5
Tampa Bay28.727.826.2
Oakland vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle12.612.512.8
Miami24.122.020.2
Oakland25.026.727.9
Washington vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Lottery seed
Washington15.116.319.2
NY Giants22.821.719.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.