"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

National Football Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Green Bay +23.5, Tampa Bay -24.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
12/18GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIMonday
DallasWTampa Bay 26-2012-2-0.857108In12.1%+0.49461.2+0.341Dallas Cowboys
Seattle9-4-1.67963In9.6+0.75425212.7+0.128Seattle Seahawks
NY GiantsWDetroit 17-610-4-0.7142298.7%+13.86.6+0.66848104.9+0.304New York Giants
AtlantaWSan Francisco 41-139-5-0.64311188.6+12.46.9+1.42129182181014.0+0.8211Atlanta Falcons
DetroitLNY Giants 6-179-5-0.6431677.7-12.76.2-2.02125160151574.4-1.1114Detroit Lions
Green BayWChicago 30-278-6-0.5712447.0+23.53.1+1.62122310181318406.2+1.4912Green Bay Packers
Tampa BayLDallas 20-268-6-0.571-945.1-24.32.9-2.02821113192011406.4-1.0413Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington17-5-1.5771340.3+1.72.5+0.1634212494107.1+0.047CarolinaWashington Redskins
MinnesotaLIndianapolis 6-347-7-0.50052.4-12.90.2-0.821119332010419.1-0.7918Minnesota Vikings
New OrleansWArizona 48-416-8-0.429140.2-0.70.0-0.0031118312212310.1+1.1021New Orleans Saints
Carolina15-8-0.385-260.0-0.50.0-0.00146142730144111.3+0.2126at WashingtonCarolina Panthers
ArizonaLNew Orleans 41-485-8-1.39315Out-0.3No-0.00518262517811.5-0.7527Arizona Cardinals
PhiladelphiaLBaltimore 26-275-9-0.35717Out-0.0No-0.01411184121312.7-0.6423Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles4-10-0.286-131OutNo12920402813.8+0.3925Los Angeles Rams
ChicagoLGreen Bay 27-303-11-0.214-72OutNo15276814.6-0.4230Chicago Bears
San FranciscoLAtlanta 13-411-13-0.071-170OutNo10016.0-0.0832San Francisco 49ers

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/15
Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas+0.7
Seattle+0.2
NY Giants+1.9
-0.3
Atlanta+3.6
+0.2
Detroit+1.4
+0.2
Green Bay+3.4
+0.2
Tampa Bay-18.2
-1.7
Washington+4.1
+0.2
Minnesota+2.4
+0.2
New Orleans+0.8
Carolina+0.4
NY Giants 17 Detroit 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas-0.4
Seattle+0.8
NY Giants+12.5
+1.3
Atlanta-1.4
Detroit-9.1
-1.8
Green Bay+3.7
+0.3
Tampa Bay-2.5
Washington-1.1
Minnesota-2.1
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY Giants-1.7
Atlanta-1.2
Detroit-3.1
-0.2
Green Bay+14.0
+0.9
Tampa Bay-3.8
-0.3
Washington-3.1
-0.2
Minnesota-0.7
Arizona-0.2
Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle-0.2
NY Giants-1.9
Atlanta+13.6
+1.3
Detroit-0.9
-0.2
Green Bay-1.7
Tampa Bay-1.2
-0.2
Washington-4.0
-0.3
Minnesota-2.5
-0.2
New Orleans-0.8
Carolina-0.4
PhiladelphiaOut
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY Giants+2.1
Atlanta+1.4
Detroit+0.8
Green Bay+1.3
Tampa Bay+1.7
Washington+3.7
+0.2
Minnesota-11.3
-0.7
Arizona+0.2
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
SeattleIn
+1.2
Atlanta-0.3
Detroit-0.4
Tampa Bay-0.2
Arizona-3.1
-0.2
Arizona 41 New Orleans 48
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta-0.4
Washington+0.2
New Orleans+0.9
+0.1
Carolina-0.4
ArizonaOut
No
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
PhiladelphiaOut
Washington vs CarolinaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY Giants97.596.399.8
6.56.46.6
Atlanta83.793.593.6
6.57.27.3
Detroit73.781.981.7
6.06.56.3
Green Bay42.447.951.6
2.83.13.4
Tampa Bay40.249.949.9
2.63.23.2
Washington61.328.919.3
3.81.81.2
New OrleansOut0.40.4
No0.00.0
CarolinaOutOut0.0
No*No0.0
Week of 12/22
New Orleans vs Tampa BayIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta93.093.084.2
7.37.36.5
Detroit84.479.771.0
6.66.35.7
Green Bay50.945.343.1
3.32.92.9
Tampa Bay18.844.371.4
1.22.84.7
Washington47.633.033.0
3.02.12.1
Minnesota4.94.7Out
0.30.3No
New Orleans0.4OutOut
0.0NoNo
Carolina0.0OutOut
0.0*NoNo
Chicago vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY Giants99.896.397.6
6.66.46.5
Atlanta93.593.583.7
7.27.26.6
Detroit81.881.973.6
6.46.45.9
Green Bay51.947.442.2
3.43.12.8
Tampa Bay49.750.240.5
3.23.22.6
Washington19.328.961.3
1.21.83.8
New Orleans0.40.4Out
0.00.0No
Carolina*0.00.2Out
*0.00.0No
Green Bay vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit74.980.580.5
5.96.46.5
Green Bay65.136.028.9
4.42.31.8
Tampa Bay38.848.851.4
2.53.23.3
Washington35.347.645.3
2.23.02.8
MinnesotaOut0.84.9
No0.00.3
New OrleansOutOut0.4
NoNo0.0
CarolinaOutOut0.0
No*No0.0
Dallas vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit61.092.894.4
4.17.68.2
Green Bay57.436.336.6
3.72.42.4
Tampa Bay47.044.643.2
3.12.92.7
Washington44.136.536.5
2.82.32.3
Carolina vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta78.197.199.1
5.36.78.4
Detroit76.879.878.6
6.36.46.1
Green Bay45.148.748.9
3.13.23.1
Tampa Bay55.734.734.5
3.62.22.2
Washington42.438.338.3
2.62.42.4
Carolina0.0OutOut
0.0*NoNo
Philadelphia vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
NY Giants97.3InIn
6.16.27.0
Seattle vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle11.18.88.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeDallasSeattleNY GiantsAtlantaDetroitGreen BayTampa BayWashingtonMinnesotaNew OrleansCarolinaArizonaPhiladelphia
Dallas93.81.7No1.50.70.71.7NoNoNoNoNoNo
Seattle53.71.719.14.43.32.44.210.40.70.10.0NoNo
NY Giants6.2No19.117.616.221.118.4NoNoNoNoNoNo
Atlanta21.31.54.417.612.26.911.812.10.80.00.0No
Detroit21.10.73.316.212.28.63.810.71.00.10.0NoNo
Green Bay2.30.72.421.16.98.60.74.2NoNoNo
Tampa Bay1.61.74.218.411.83.80.72.9NoNoNoNoNo
WashingtonNo10.4No12.110.74.22.9NoNoNo
MinnesotaNoNo0.7No0.81.0NoNoNoNoNo
New OrleansNo0.1No0.00.1NoNoNoNo
CarolinaNo0.0No0.00.0NoNoNoNo
ArizonaNoNoNoNoNoNo
PhiladelphiaNoNoNoNoNo