National Football Conference Playoff Chances 50/50

Minnesota +6.3, Chicago -8.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
12/8GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIMonday
New OrleansLSan Francisco 46-4810-3-0.76948In9.4%-1.81040502.4-0.585New Orleans Saints
San FranciscoWNew Orleans 48-4611-2-0.84616899.5%+1.110.3+1.5614030402.5+1.002San Francisco 49ers
SeattleLLA Rams 12-2810-3-0.7692096.7-2.58.0-1.423935111303.9-0.783Seattle Seahawks
Green BayWWashington 20-1510-3-0.7693990.8+2.18.4+1.563831114823.3+0.318Green Bay Packers
Dallas6-7-0.4626773.4+0.34.6+0.07300610631005.7+0.0723Dallas Cowboys
MinnesotaWDetroit 20-79-4-0.6929065.3+6.34.7+0.80101363624115.6+0.349Minnesota Vikings
LA RamsWSeattle 28-128-5-0.6154939.9+1.52.5+0.111294511306.7+0.237Los Angeles Rams
Philadelphia15-7-0.417-1026.6+0.01.7-0.02703132614943218.9+0.1821NY GiantsPhiladelphia Eagles
Chicago7-6-0.538117.9-8.30.5-0.52161661123007.8-0.3717Chicago Bears
Tampa BayWIndianapolis 38-356-7-0.462-3Out-0.1No-0.03105020952009.5+0.8015Tampa Bay Buccaneers
CarolinaLAtlanta 20-405-8-0.385-60Out-0.0No-0.0182131201062011.3-0.6022Carolina Panthers
AtlantaWCarolina 40-204-9-0.308-43OutNo1811172019149212.1+1.2120Atlanta Falcons
DetroitLMinnesota 7-203-9-1.269-48OutNo03717222219913.4-0.6730Detroit Lions
ArizonaLPittsburgh 17-233-9-1.269-102OutNo037152122221013.6-0.6325Arizona Cardinals
WashingtonLGreen Bay 15-203-10-0.231-122Out-0.4No-0.002571218223514.5-0.7127Washington Redskins
NY Giants12-10-0.167-109OutNo0235915234414.8+0.2032at PhiladelphiaNew York Giants

Updated through 12/8/19

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/5
Minnesota 20 Detroit 7
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans-0.1
San Francisco-0.5
Seattle-0.4
Green Bay-2.6
-0.2
Minnesota+15.0
+1.2
LA Rams-8.0
-0.5
Chicago-3.4
-0.2
Tampa BayOut
No
CarolinaOut
No
LA Rams 28 Seattle 12
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Francisco-0.2
+0.7
Seattle-1.7
-0.9
Green Bay-2.5
-0.1
Minnesota-7.7
-0.5
LA Rams+14.6
+0.9
Chicago-2.6
-0.2
Chicago 31 Dallas 24
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Francisco-0.1
Seattle-0.1
Green Bay-1.5
-0.1
Dallas-5.9
-0.3
Minnesota-3.2
-0.2
LA Rams-1.4
-0.1
Philadelphia+5.5
+0.3
Chicago+6.7
+0.4
Tampa Bay-0.1
Washington+0.2
Green Bay 20 Washington 15
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans-0.4
San Francisco-0.4
-0.1
Seattle-0.3
-0.1
Green Bay+6.4
+1.0
Dallas+0.3
Minnesota-0.5
-0.1
LA Rams-3.1
-0.2
Chicago-2.2
-0.1
WashingtonOut
No
New Orleans 46 San Francisco 48
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans-0.9
San Francisco+1.4
+0.8
Seattle-0.5
Green Bay+0.6
Minnesota-0.7
+0.1
LA Rams-0.4
-0.1
Chicago-0.3
Tampa Bay 38 Indianapolis 35
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
LA Rams-0.2
Chicago+0.2
Tampa Bay+0.1
Atlanta 40 Carolina 20
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
CarolinaOut
No
Philadelphia vs NY GiantsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas62.562.584.4
3.93.95.3
Philadelphia37.537.515.6
2.32.31.0
Week of 12/12
Dallas vs LA RamsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San FranciscoInIn99.0
Seattle98.398.395.0
8.18.17.9
Green Bay94.594.587.1
8.68.68.2
Dallas84.462.562.5
5.33.93.9
Minnesota75.875.854.7
5.45.44.0
LA Rams20.620.859.2
1.31.33.7
Philadelphia15.637.537.5
1.02.32.3
Chicago10.810.64.9
0.70.70.3
LA Chargers vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans9.6*9.39.1
San Francisco99.899.899.2
Seattle98.295.195.1
8.17.97.9
Green Bay8.4*8.48.5
Minnesota50.379.680.2
3.65.65.8
LA Rams50.629.229.2
3.21.81.8
Chicago10.35.55.5
0.60.30.3
Washington vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas84.462.562.5
5.33.93.9
Philadelphia15.637.537.5
1.02.32.3
Green Bay vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans8.49.210.3
San Francisco99.299.499.8
10.310.210.3
Seattle7.97.98.1
Green Bay98.697.983.0
10.29.06.6
Minnesota66.767.263.8
4.64.94.8
LA Rams38.035.641.8
2.42.22.6
Chicago0.83.114.9
0.00.20.9
Carolina vs SeattleHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans9.49.39.3
San Francisco10.910.99.7
Seattle93.498.799.9
7.17.68.9
Green Bay91.091.090.6
Minnesota65.765.764.9
4.74.84.7
LA Rams41.937.937.9
2.62.42.4
Chicago8.57.27.2
San Francisco vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans9.2*9.39.5
San FranciscoInIn99.0
10.910.89.6
Seattle7.67.58.5
Minnesota64.964.965.7
LA Rams39.8*39.840.0
Detroit vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans9.3*9.39.4
Green Bay8.5*8.48.3
LA Rams40.040.039.7
Chicago7.77.78.0
New Orleans vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans10.09.18.7
Seattle8.08.18.1
Green Bay8.08.68.8
Minnesota4.5*4.74.9
Oakland vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans9.3*9.39.4
Green Bay8.5*8.48.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeNew OrleansSan FranciscoSeattleGreen BayDallasMinnesotaLA RamsPhiladelphiaChicagoTampa BayCarolinaWashington
New Orleans49.61.85.96.419.614.7No1.9NoNo
San Francisco65.11.80.71.522.00.50.17.70.1NoNoNo
Seattle31.65.90.73.638.22.31.113.00.2NoNoNo
Green Bay43.76.41.53.61.022.19.10.33.1NoNoNo
Dallas22.038.21.04.57.10.5
Minnesota10.019.60.52.322.14.53.21.51.5No
LA RamsNo14.70.11.19.17.13.24.00.6No
PhiladelphiaNo7.713.00.31.54.00.1
Chicago1.90.10.23.10.51.50.60.1No
Tampa BayNoNoNoNo
CarolinaNoNoNoNo
WashingtonNoNoNoNoNoNo