St. Louis Rams Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 16.7%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 +6.7
+0.3
+1.2
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +0.5
+0.0
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 -0.5
Minnesota 7 New England 30 +0.4
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 -0.3
-0.0
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 +0.3
+0.0
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.2
-0.0
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 +0.2
+0.0
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 -0.2
-0.1
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 -0.1
-0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 -0.1
-0.0
Carolina 24 Detroit 7 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
St. Louis vs Dallas+6.7*-0.3-6.3
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
+1.1*+0.0-1.0
Seattle vs Denver-0.6*+0.8+0.7
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.3*+1.8-0.3
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.2*+0.0+0.3
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.1*+0.3+0.2
New Orleans vs Minnesota+0.1*+1.2-0.1
+0.0*+0.3-0.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.1*-0.5+0.1
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Houston-0.1*+0.4+0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Green Bay+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well St. Louis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In1000477
1413-1-0In982627
13.512-1-1In1009
1312-2-0In919005,696
12.511-2-1In8511472
1211-3-0In6527305031,763
11.510-3-1In5431619344
1110-4-0100.0%263716218100120,877
10.59-4-1In13302232941,174
109-5-096.6315231130153000330,314
8-4-2In291429297
9.58-5-190.60515133127812,734
98-6-057.6016121226241341000675,195
7-5-266.71111113311229
8.57-6-127.10173163026123004,967
87-7-07.90031412232619930001,044,539
6-6-25.05201535515520
7.56-7-10.8102923302310206,857
76-8-00.20000028172625155101,222,293
5-7-2Out138421317824
6.55-8-1Out01414293116406,915
65-9-00.0000151629301631,081,117
4-8-2Out1224182912617
5.54-9-1Out03173535114,946
54-10-0Out0018264124712,849
3-9-2Out1178119
4.53-10-1Out011141472,640
43-11-0Out00063360337,440
2-10-2Out20805
3.52-11-1Out11980941
32-12-0Out011386109,063
1-11-2Out1001
2.51-12-1Out694194
21-13-0Out039721,827
0-12-2Out1002
1.50-13-1Out10019
10-14-0Out01002,433
Total:16.7%12234556778910101195,728,416

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well St. Louis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeCarolinaArizonaPhiladelphiaWashingtonSeattleChicagoMinnesotaDetroitSan FranciscoDallasAtlantaGreen BayNew OrleansTampa BayNY Giants
13.5-157.5%Yes
1312-2-08.29900000000000000
12.511-2-15.696111
1211-3-08.092111101110100000
11.510-3-17.085212211011111010
1110-4-05.762434423332322111
10.59-4-14.743747525442544121
109-5-03.018878756664654321
8-4-2No2914291414
9.58-5-12.05989857774655221
98-6-01.21656534443433211
7-5-2No1122111111
8.57-6-10.40323312221211110
87-7-00.20111101110100000
6-6-2No5
7.56-7-10.000000000000000
76-8-00.0000000000000000
5-7-2No
6.55-8-1No
65-9-0No000000000
4-8-2No
1-5.5No
Total:0.5%3.11.51.31.51.30.71.11.11.00.71.00.80.70.50.30.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/11100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 -2.3
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.2
Minnesota 7 New England 30 +0.1
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 -0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 -0.1
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 -0.1
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +0.0
Oakland 14 Houston 30 +0.0
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Dallas-2.1-0.0+1.9
New Orleans vs Minnesota+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Miami vs Kansas City+0.1*+0.1-0.1
New England vs Oakland+0.0*-0.2-0.1
Buffalo vs San Diego+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Tennessee-0.0*+0.3+0.0
NY Giants vs Houston-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Baltimore+0.0*+0.3-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-010000
1413-1-09352
13.512-1-18911
1312-2-069219000
12.511-2-165191014
1211-3-02838234300400
11.510-3-119352566190
1110-4-03231621133201531000
10.59-4-1113102018432354
109-5-0031138158214161323000
8-4-22914291414
9.58-5-10053129492121681
98-6-0001064811181816148310000
7-5-211111111222211
8.57-6-1012631141122221251000
87-7-00000301042612161716127310000
6-6-25201520155155
7.56-7-1100038172423157200
76-8-000000000013712161817138410000
5-7-24413825171713
6.55-8-1000027172323167200
65-9-000000149162020169310
4-8-2181224186186
5.54-9-100281927251441
54-10-0000027162527175
3-9-21111223322
4.53-10-101313303716
43-11-00015194035
2-10-2204040
3.52-11-1153559
32-12-00032275
1-11-2100
2.51-12-111287
21-13-00595
0-12-2100
1.50-13-1100
10-14-0199
Total:01111212122323333444444555555555