St. Louis Rams Playoff Chances

Beat Houston 38-13, playoff odds up 3.7 to 7.6%
3-3-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 +2.2
+0.7
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -0.5
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.3
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -0.2
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.1
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -0.1
+0.0
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Dallas vs Washington-0.1*+0.3+0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs St. Louis-3.3+0.8+7.8
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.6+1.2
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.5*+0.0-0.6
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.3*+0.1+0.5
Arizona vs Seattle-0.2-0.7+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Washington vs Chicago+0.4*-0.3-0.4
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.3*-0.0+0.4
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.1*+0.5+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
NY Giants vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well St. Louis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1310-0-0In9540559
12.59-0-1In8412425
129-1-0In5725501304,204
8-0-2In1002
11.58-1-1In31278332388
118-2-099.6%11241614160032,068
7-1-288.9176283361118
10.57-2-197.82101315219202,783
107-3-086.203104363311200139,553
6-2-285.6218339329690
9.56-3-163.1003220392881010,174
5-2-366.767333
96-4-028.9011522312612200394,361
5-3-227.010521342793333
4-2-4Out1001
8.55-4-18.1001725362461024,271
4-3-3Out292929147
85-5-01.00001518332912200742,435
4-4-20.80141930281530619
3-3-4Out1001
7.54-5-10.000182738214037,695
3-4-3Out132538258
74-6-00.000015203728810949,958
3-5-2Out0322363081798
6.53-6-1Out002123536132037,664
2-5-3Out2030401010
63-7-0Out0011133381610809,538
2-6-2Out193443122539
5.52-7-1Out0062841212024,038
1-6-3Out50502
52-8-0Out0073044172440,692
1-7-2Out072449181245
4.51-8-1Out0424462338,579
0-7-3Out33673
41-9-0Out005324716136,859
0-8-2Out521561943
3.50-9-1Out032650201,240
30-10-0Out05415419,074
Total:7.6%0010245791214161410413,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well St. Louis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeSeattleNew OrleansDetroitGreen BayDallasPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoChicagoCarolinaArizonaWashingtonAtlantaMinnesotaNY GiantsTampa Bay
1310-0-05.0%1000
12.59-0-18.0964
129-1-04.582112154111010
8-0-2NoYes
11.58-1-14.65724431191321310
118-2-02.93556551413244240000
7-1-2No226666221166
10.57-2-11.3126107617162562610
107-3-01.23811981413265241000
6-2-21.13101476141319313
9.56-3-10.70798798154120000
5-2-3No67
96-4-00.30345433122110000
5-3-20.646442203200
4-2-4No
8.55-4-10.111211101000000
4-3-3No
85-5-00.000000000000000
4-4-2No000
3-3-4No
7.54-5-1No0000000
3-4-3No
74-6-0No00
3-5-2No
3-6.5No
Total:0.1%0.50.71.00.90.81.01.00.20.50.40.20.20.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -1.8
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.1
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 +0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis+0.2*+0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Washington-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs St. Louis+1.0-0.3-2.5
Jacksonville vs San Diego-0.2-0.2+0.1
Philadelphia vs Dallas+0.1+0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.1+0.1-0.1
Washington vs Chicago+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.1+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Denver-0.1-0.1+0.1
NY Giants vs Minnesota-0.1-0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs Houston-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1310-0-02373400
12.59-0-1480124
129-1-01561213400680
8-0-2100
11.58-1-13110166214192
118-2-001132188106356000
7-1-2176111733611
10.57-2-12110671074518220
107-3-00031822135201312100
6-2-2212612138239104
9.56-3-1000311019182026910
5-2-3333333
96-4-0001010541832251131000
5-3-210541732291030
4-2-4100
8.55-4-10001078222821103100
4-3-314294314
85-5-00000012920252113621000
4-4-201211182620136210
3-3-4100
7.54-5-10000141323262093100
3-4-31313381325
74-6-000000141119232013621000
3-5-22411192221136300
6.53-6-10015152526187200
2-5-3303010101010
63-7-0000026132123181141000
2-6-2025142122181161
5.52-7-1014122429208200
1-6-3100
52-8-0000141222272110300
1-7-22311212817152
4.51-8-100161932291110
0-7-3333333
41-9-0002721332791
0-8-22512333316
3.50-9-1062440264
30-10-00110333916
Total:00000000021345565667666665443110