Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances

Lost to St. Louis 26-28, playoff odds down 11.9 to 32.9%
3-3-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -12.6
-1.0
-1.1
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +1.3
+0.1
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -1.3
-0.1
-0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.8
-0.1
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +0.5
+0.0
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.2
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.1
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Seattle-10.3-3.4+7.5
-0.5-0.3+0.4
-0.9-0.1+0.7
Atlanta vs Detroit+1.8*-0.2-1.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+1.7-1.1-1.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.6-1.3+0.6
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Washington-0.2*+0.4+0.7
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.2*-0.3-0.4
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.2*-0.1-0.3
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*+0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Seattle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1310-0-0In74251111,954
12.59-0-1In603640885
129-1-0100.0%3547130500968,907
11.58-1-1100.015453009106,535
118-2-099.4631380176103,791,675
7-1-2In181241121817
10.57-2-197.111248119163022,428
107-3-083.9053331527142008,561,868
6-2-290.94427731955
9.56-3-159.90204629337043,673
96-4-032.300842184023400012,323,036
5-3-239.511051223621386
8.55-4-19.422053342142053,444
85-5-02.60010115373212200011,819,800
4-4-2Out164124172103
7.54-5-10.2000220382991041,861
74-6-00.00000162133261120007,647,565
3-5-2Out42330309453
6.53-6-1Out005203428112021,686
63-7-0Out001720312712203,299,459
2-6-2Out6134431616
5.52-7-1Out0142035291116,777
52-8-0Out00182438254906,267
1-7-2Out50502
4.51-8-1Out072847171,253
41-9-0Out002185129144,205
3.50-9-1Out5504580
30-10-0Out1326613,862
Total:32.9%14112510161612864321049,787,552

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Seattle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
1310-0-09.9%99000000000000000
12.59-0-19.8961112000
129-1-08.283122332211000000
11.58-1-16.460345684331100000
118-2-05.2374879117643110000
7-1-25.929624181212
10.57-2-13.6137101111188753210000
107-3-02.75711109177653210000
6-2-23.649911133124225
9.56-3-11.7061097143341110000
96-4-00.90455472121110000
5-3-2No156621022121
8.55-4-10.3121120000000000
85-5-00.10000000000000000
4-4-2No
7.54-5-10.00000000
74-6-00.000000000000000
3-5-2No
3-6.5No
Total:1.3%5.62.63.93.73.35.82.31.91.70.90.60.40.10.10.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +2.0
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.1
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.1
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.1
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 +0.0
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 +0.0
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs Houston-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs Seattle+1.8+1.0-1.3
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.2+0.1-0.2
NY Jets vs Buffalo-0.1+0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1+0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.0*+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.0+0.1+0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Denver vs San Diego-0.0+0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1+0.0+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.0-0.0
New England vs Chicago-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1310-0-0373623210
12.59-0-1263432440
129-1-05312324112040000
11.58-1-1114182825508110
118-2-0063281622001166010
7-1-2181212296618
10.57-2-1101214341091015130
107-3-00005330113121711151000
6-2-2443825252299
9.56-3-10020230610192611200
96-4-0000813023153522820000
5-3-2110131220341682
8.55-4-102020054152624145100
85-5-00000100012102128221131000
4-4-219352318122
7.54-5-100000131122282210300
74-6-0000000001615252617720000
3-5-288322121462
6.53-6-10016162727166100
63-7-000003102229221030000
2-6-2619132519136
5.52-7-1014132829186100
52-8-000021023302292000
1-7-25050
4.51-8-10162132271120
41-9-000151631291540
3.50-9-1152841205
30-10-000417343312
Total:011429011346128776554332211000000