Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances

Beat Tennessee 20-13, playoff odds up 1.7 to 94.9%
5-1-0   .833

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +2.8
+0.9
+0.3
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -0.4
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -0.3
-0.2
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.2
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.2
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -0.1
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -0.1
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.3
+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.1*+0.2+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Arizona vs Seattle-4.7+0.8+2.9
-2.1*-0.4+1.3
-0.7+0.0+0.4
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.4*-0.2-0.5
+0.2*-0.5-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Washington vs Chicago+0.3*+0.0-0.3
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.2*+0.1+0.3
-0.1*+0.3+0.2
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.2*+0.2+0.3
-0.1*-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Seattle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1510-0-0In10079,354
14.59-0-1In10004,628
149-1-0In98200377,454
8-0-2In100116
13.58-1-1In9550020,183
7-0-3In1001
138-2-0In8713010800,885
7-1-2In891000445
12.57-2-1In73242137,563
6-1-3In1005
127-3-0100.0%523770400991,428
6-2-2In57345040727
11.56-3-1In31461508040,768
5-2-3In955181811
116-4-099.91237292182000791,243
5-3-299.713363021720744
10.55-4-199.03243842281027,533
4-3-3In136313138
105-5-090.706281223218100426,033
4-4-291.793014192071398
9.54-5-176.102191016291951012,351
3-4-333.31717676
94-6-034.3049418292510200156,785
3-5-230.929317243861152
2-4-4Out1001
8.53-6-115.614110263320403,592
2-5-3Out50502
83-7-01.5010031532311430038,754
2-6-23.7472630221127
7.52-7-1Out1826382171657
72-8-0Out00313323515206,072
1-7-2Out1001
6.51-8-1Out38293126372
61-9-0Out0323382961568
5.50-9-1Out1002
50-10-0Out01143378311
Total:94.9%48221228421100000003,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Seattle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew OrleansDetroitGreen BayDallasPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoChicagoCarolinaArizonaWashingtonSt. LouisAtlantaMinnesotaNY GiantsTampa Bay
14.5-1521.6%Yes
149-1-021.51000000000000
8-0-219.0Yes
13.58-1-121.61000000000
7-0-3NoYes
138-2-021.099000000000000000
7-1-222.910000
12.57-2-120.8970000000000000
6-1-320.0Yes
127-3-019.189011221111000000
6-2-220.19102121111100
11.56-3-117.27712333323211000
5-2-3No649999
116-4-014.248255776565211000
5-3-213.3492656855553110
10.55-4-111.728477999678221000
4-3-312.51338132513
105-5-08.865999911789331000
4-4-210.19579971569102310
9.54-5-16.725888710779231000
3-4-3No1717
94-6-02.90354334334111000
3-5-25.31535133251111
2-4-4No
8.53-6-11.61221122120100
2-5-3No
83-7-00.10000000000000
2-6-2No4
5-7.5No
Total:16.6%69.21.42.72.63.13.13.12.32.72.60.90.70.30.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.7
New England 30 New Orleans 27 -0.1
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.0-0.2-0.1
Dallas vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.0
San Diego vs Indianapolis-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Seattle+1.4+0.0-0.9
Tennessee vs San Francisco-0.1+0.0+0.2
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.0-0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Cincinnati+0.0-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Houston+0.0+0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs New England-0.0-0.1+0.0
Miami vs Buffalo+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1510-0-08911
14.59-0-180190
149-1-0633520000
8-0-26238
13.58-1-141535000
7-0-3100
138-2-0266111100000
7-1-227629100
12.57-2-18661862010
6-1-3100
127-3-034923146003200
6-2-24542212500210
11.56-3-10311630123003400
5-2-399459918
116-4-001110272182061220000
5-3-201310262292061120
10.55-4-131231523303197110
4-3-313631313
105-5-000681910322118363000
4-4-21882311311915572
9.54-5-10211856016131516610
3-4-3171767
94-6-0004450471181921135100
3-5-2227139871922175
2-4-4100
8.53-6-1103119720252010210
2-5-35050
83-7-00010000138172423156200
2-6-2441173711197
7.52-7-10131121282013410
72-8-0000139162423167200
1-7-2100
6.51-8-1161017351418
61-9-00161222291993
5.50-9-15050
50-10-0121629301830
Total:153311117421263111110000000000000000