Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.08 to 32.8%
3-3-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Seattle-10.2-3.3+7.4
-0.5-0.2+0.4
-0.9-0.1+0.7
New Orleans vs Green Bay+1.7-1.4-1.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Detroit+1.8*+0.1-1.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.7-1.3+0.7
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Washington-0.2+0.5+0.7
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.1*+0.1-0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.2*-0.1-0.3
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs Oakland+3.8-6.1-11.2
+0.2-0.4-0.5
+0.3-0.4-0.9
San Francisco vs St. Louis-1.1+1.6+2.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Arizona+0.9-0.8-1.6
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+1.2-0.6-1.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.5*-0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs Washington-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Carolina vs New Orleans+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Seattle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1310-0-0In74251629,504
12.59-0-1In5837514,613
129-1-0100.0%35471305005,449,616
8-0-2In26635519
11.58-1-1100.01446300101036,930
118-2-099.463138017610021,366,917
7-1-2In23439205100
10.57-2-196.9113471191630126,453
107-3-083.70533315271520048,243,374
6-2-284.1073521029142334
9.56-3-159.50120462933700247,411
5-2-3In1001
96-4-032.000842184024400069,443,976
5-3-232.164220402440529
8.55-4-19.10220533421520299,682
4-3-3Out5025254
85-5-02.60010115373212200066,588,803
4-4-22.5011153631141521
7.54-5-10.2000031938299100236,571
74-6-00.000001621332611200043,091,094
3-5-2Out4213129133346
6.53-6-10.0000520342811200121,012
2-5-3Out1001
63-7-00.000017203127122018,562,074
2-6-2Out18172831142130
5.52-7-1Out00418353110138,704
52-8-0Out001824382545,103,533
1-7-2Out1325293324
4.51-8-1Out162946197,034
41-9-0Out002185029806,969
0-8-2Out1001
3.50-9-1Out23265536
30-10-0Out02316778,192
Total:32.8%141125101616128643210280,485,008

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Seattle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
1310-0-09.6%99000000000000000
12.59-0-18.39501111000000
129-1-08.183122332211000000
8-0-210.58955
11.58-1-16.859345784432110000
118-2-05.2374879117643110000
7-1-22.036556913885221
10.57-2-13.6147101111178753210000
107-3-02.75711109177653210000
6-2-23.68910119164472111
9.56-3-11.7161087143341110000
5-2-3NoYes
96-4-00.90455472121110000
5-3-2No345410212000000
8.55-4-10.20122120000000000
4-3-3No
85-5-00.10000000000000000
4-4-20.200110
7.54-5-10.000000000000
74-6-00.0000000000000000
3-5-2No
6.53-6-10.00
2-5-3No
63-7-0No0
2-6-2No
3-5.5No
Total:1.3%5.62.53.93.73.35.82.31.81.70.90.60.40.10.10.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs Seattle+1.8+1.0-1.3
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.2+0.1-0.2
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.0+0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1+0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.0+0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0+0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.1*+0.0+0.0
NY Jets vs Buffalo-0.1+0.0+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1-0.0-0.0
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1+0.0+0.0
New England vs Chicago-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs Oakland-0.8+1.6+2.2
Dallas vs Arizona-0.1+0.1+0.2
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.1-0.0-0.2
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.1-0.1
Miami vs San Diego+0.0+0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.0-0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.0-0.0
Minnesota vs Washington+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1310-0-0314322310
12.59-0-121383064010
129-1-033220271120040000
8-0-2521164755
11.58-1-1113162924609110
118-2-0063281523001256010
7-1-2233119201465
10.57-2-10101314331010815130
107-3-0000533011411189161000
6-2-2073321146218151
9.56-3-1010191305121728102000
5-2-3100
96-4-00000813023153822610000
5-3-206132416362282
8.55-4-1020200055162624145100
4-3-32575
85-5-00000100121123272010310000
4-4-20113111828221041
7.54-5-10000001311222822103000
74-6-0000000001616252617720000
3-5-21515243117610
6.53-6-1000015152728176100
2-5-3100
63-7-0000003102229221030000
2-6-2311272422103
5.52-7-100313273019610
52-8-0000021023302292000
1-7-2829331784
4.51-8-10162033271120
41-9-000151731291430
0-8-2100
3.50-9-152037326
30-10-000418343211
Total:011429012346138776554332211000000