Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.8 to 42.5%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 -7.3
-0.9
-0.7
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 -0.9
-0.2
-0.1
Minnesota 7 New England 30 +0.6
+0.1
+0.1
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 +0.6
+0.0
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.5
+0.1
+0.0
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 -0.4
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 -0.4
-0.0
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 +0.3
Carolina 24 Detroit 7 +0.2
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs Denver+6.8*-1.8-8.8
+0.7*+0.0-0.9
+0.7*-0.1-0.9
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.4*-0.8-0.5
+0.1*+0.3-0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.2*+0.3+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Green Bay-0.2*-0.9+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.2*-1.0+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Minnesota+0.2*+0.7-0.2
NY Giants vs Houston-0.2*-0.4+0.2
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.1*+0.4+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
St. Louis vs Dallas-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Washington+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Seattle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In10001,001
14.513-0-1In1006
1413-1-0In99107,781
13.512-1-1In98265
1312-2-0In9360147,375
11-1-2In1001
12.511-2-1In89911429
1211-3-0In71222050177,745
10-2-2In1005
11.510-3-1In5430601101,503
1110-4-0100.0%31361211910459,230
9-3-2In5033176
10.59-4-199.9133320428303,623
109-5-097.64172283213200845,869
8-4-2In33112222119
9.58-5-190.306161330259105,737
98-6-065.901812162822920001,156,829
7-5-257.15551033291421
8.57-6-131.20284173124123007,052
87-7-011.600041618272414510001,191,536
6-6-28.344838252124
7.56-7-11.11002102431219206,236
76-8-00.40000141122272110300930,784
5-7-2Out1913131931616
6.55-8-1Out01517302915404,145
65-9-00.0000027203027122546,615
4-8-2Out14142929147
5.54-9-1Out014173432112,102
54-10-0Out0029284022238,489
3-9-2Out2550254
4.53-10-1Out1124146706
43-11-0Out017336074,537
3.52-11-1Out21484195
32-12-0Out01128716,069
2.51-12-1Out49624
21-13-0Out2982,084
1.50-13-1Out1002
10-14-0Out0100554
Total:42.5%676510998776654325,728,416

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Seattle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeCarolinaArizonaPhiladelphiaWashingtonChicagoMinnesotaDetroitSan FranciscoDallasAtlantaGreen BayNew OrleansSt. LouisTampa BayNY Giants
14.5-1515.9%Yes
1413-1-016.410000000
13.512-1-116.9Yes
1312-2-016.099000000000000000
11-1-2YesYes
12.511-2-115.69700110
1211-3-014.793101111101100000
10-2-240.0Yes
11.510-3-113.883212221211110010
1110-4-011.367434333323221111
9-3-2No8317
10.59-4-19.746656445525432111
109-5-06.722988766646543221
8-4-2No331122111111
9.58-5-14.561099866756553222
98-6-03.11777655545432211
7-5-29.55514101455
8.57-6-11.30334432322121110
87-7-00.50111111111110000
6-6-2No44
7.56-7-10.0000000000000
76-8-00.0000000000000000
5-7-2No
6.55-8-1No
65-9-00.00000000000
4-8-2No
1-5.5No
Total:3.3%12.83.43.03.22.82.32.32.41.72.21.81.61.10.70.70.5
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/11100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +1.6
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 -0.1
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 +0.1
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 -0.1
Carolina 24 Detroit 7 -0.1
Oakland 14 Houston 30 +0.1
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 -0.0
Minnesota 7 New England 30 -0.0
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.0
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 -0.0
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs Denver-1.6+0.3+2.1
Detroit vs Green Bay+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Miami vs Kansas City+0.1*+0.1-0.1
New England vs Oakland+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Arizona vs San Francisco+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs San Diego+0.0*-0.3-0.1
St. Louis vs Dallas-0.0*+0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.0*+0.2+0.0
New Orleans vs Minnesota-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-010000
14.513-0-1100
1413-1-093610
13.512-1-19452
1312-2-073206001
11-1-2100
12.511-2-16326911
1211-3-03337193200500
10-2-24060
11.510-3-117372546001000
1110-4-05261818112101621000
9-3-250171717
10.59-4-1013102214530236200
109-5-00421510137217151122000
8-4-2112211222211
9.58-5-100631394821197820
98-6-0001175721412161710520000
7-5-255510191429105
8.57-6-1002170411611212012410
87-7-00000040106410151716128421000
6-6-244413172517484
7.56-7-110001291725211572000
76-8-00000000012611151817149521000
5-7-2131325191319
6.55-8-10039172324157200
65-9-0000012612182118126200
4-8-22914142914
5.54-9-11382027241431
54-10-0000139192625144
3-9-225252525
4.53-10-11514303417
43-11-00017223932
3.52-11-192665
32-12-00032473
2.51-12-1892
21-13-00793
1.50-13-1100
10-14-0199
Total:24243423554554444433333332222211