Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.05 to 41.5%
6-4-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs Arizona+13.2-5.3-14.4
+0.8-0.4-0.9
+0.7-0.1-0.7
New England vs Detroit+2.3-4.7-4.5
+0.1-0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Green Bay+3.9-1.7-1.5
+0.3-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Tennessee-0.8+0.8+3.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Dallas+2.3+2.0-1.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
San Francisco vs Washington-0.9+1.3+1.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
San Diego vs St. Louis+0.1+0.1-0.3
Chicago vs Tampa Bay-0.1+0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Francisco vs Seattle-18.3-5.5+15.2
-0.9-0.5+0.8
-0.8-0.1+0.7
Detroit vs Chicago-1.9-2.0+6.4
-0.1-0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs New England-2.1-2.3+2.8
-0.1-0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Arizona+0.5-0.3-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Philadelphia+0.3-0.3-0.4
St. Louis vs Oakland-0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Carolina-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Seattle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
126-0-0In62203160134,552,502
11.55-0-1In14259503615,417
115-1-099.3%6111161101735,637,263
4-0-299.6499681001,159
10.54-1-192.00264441802,746,980
3-0-3In1001
104-2-073.800303338242001,597,206,780
3-1-275.5002033402223,959
9.53-2-134.00004295016004,653,970
2-1-350.050504
93-3-014.6000021342421001,747,404,030
2-2-215.52144142105,022
8.52-3-11.80226658003,714,635
1-2-3Out1001
82-4-00.2005573250001,008,055,698
1-3-20.10045831602,639
7.51-4-10.0014142142001,380,721
71-5-00.00072838225000287,193,270
0-4-2Out531362160510
6.50-5-1Out213343314300189,446
60-6-0Out00422402671031,405,369
Total:41.5%222019162125831000005,554,769,376

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Seattle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaGreen BayDetroitDallasPhiladelphiaNew OrleansAtlantaSan FranciscoCarolinaChicagoMinnesotaTampa BaySt. LouisNY GiantsWashington
126-0-011.1%810120110501000000
11.55-0-17.13822323301613000000
115-1-05.31733537352114000000
4-0-25.013323374023140
10.54-1-13.426561316251613000000
3-0-3NoYes
104-2-02.603761113191212000000
3-1-22.60576121218131200
9.53-2-11.002648103200000000
2-1-3No2525
93-3-00.40032341100000000
2-2-20.5132441100
8.52-3-10.100001000000000
1-2-3No
82-4-00.000000000000000
1-3-2No000
7.51-4-10.00000
71-5-00.00000
0-4-2No
6-6.5No
Total:1.9%4.31.43.32.94.76.110.76.60.41.10.00.00.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Seattle vs Arizona-1.5+0.9+1.6
New England vs Detroit-0.1+0.2+0.1
Minnesota vs Green Bay-0.1+0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Washington+0.1-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Dallas-0.1-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Tennessee+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Cleveland-0.1+0.1+0.1
San Diego vs St. Louis+0.0+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Baltimore-0.1+0.0+0.0
Denver vs Miami-0.0+0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs NY Jets+0.0-0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco vs Seattle+1.7+0.9-1.4
Atlanta vs Arizona-0.2+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Chicago+0.1+0.1-0.2
Green Bay vs New England+0.1+0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs Miami-0.1+0.0+0.0
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.0+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.0+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Tennessee+0.0+0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Cleveland-0.0+0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1-0.0
Indianapolis vs Washington+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
126-0-01646154301500
11.55-0-1212178804823
115-1-0062874411910010
4-0-20427534523910
10.54-1-1002242123374800
3-0-3100
104-2-0000002007261820251000
3-1-20002062719212320
9.53-2-100000043262525123000
2-1-3502525
93-3-000000002112213122920000
2-2-202113193023920
8.52-3-10020182333248100
1-2-3100
82-4-0000014163130153000
1-3-200031329331740
7.51-4-10002102936194000
71-5-000001624372471000
0-4-20522382581
6.50-5-101520342811200
60-6-00003143132164000
Total:02111100811710141086664311000000