San Francisco 49ers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 31.1%
4-3-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New Orleans vs Green Bay+1.7-0.8-1.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Carolina vs Seattle+1.5+0.8-1.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.3-1.9+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+1.3+0.6-0.8
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.4-0.6+1.3
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.5+0.6-0.9
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.1*+0.1-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Francisco vs St. Louis+7.0-5.8-13.2
+0.2-0.2-0.3
+0.6-0.3-1.2
Houston vs Philadelphia+1.6-1.1-1.3
Seattle vs Oakland-0.7+0.7+2.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Arizona+0.6-1.6-0.9
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.7*-0.1+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs Washington-0.1*-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well San Francisco finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
139-0-0In8018110283,533
12.58-0-1In4940652,077
128-1-0100.0%37421208002,616,863
7-0-2In6313258
11.57-1-1100.01041310162017,141
117-2-099.55303502271011,044,880
6-1-2In11233230544
10.56-2-195.201040221225062,826
106-3-084.70431317301420026,720,393
5-2-288.03381222512133
9.55-3-155.2016462937800129,724
95-4-032.000742194024400040,827,798
4-3-232.872321392260268
8.54-4-17.80120533421520163,377
84-5-02.50010114343314200040,828,748
3-4-21.811153336113271
7.53-5-10.1000219382910100129,434
2-4-3Out1001
73-6-00.000001519322812300026,710,909
2-5-2Out4212534133157
6.52-6-1Out004183329122062,872
62-7-0Out0016173029143011,017,546
1-6-2Out2214263224266
5.51-7-1Out0316353213117,282
51-8-0Out001519363272,595,254
0-7-2Out4040205
4.50-8-1Out052349221,953
40-9-0Out0194940279,621
Total:31.1%14925101616129643210163,513,184

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well San Francisco finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
139-0-06.3%98000000000000000
12.58-0-16.28911112311000
128-1-05.180131334211000000
7-0-2No751313
11.57-1-13.851456698422100000
117-2-03.03558671111634110000
6-1-22.334521199115112
10.56-2-11.91071111101710653210000
106-3-01.55711109178563210000
5-2-21.53581092281073222
9.55-3-10.806986124241110000
95-4-00.50455472121110000
4-3-20.4644481221100
8.54-4-10.10111120000000000
84-5-00.00000000000000000
3-4-2No1000
7.53-5-1No0000000000
2-4-3No
73-6-00.000000000000000
2-5-2No
4-6.5No
Total:0.7%4.62.63.73.53.15.52.71.61.70.90.50.40.10.10.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.0+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.0-0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.1+0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1+0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Washington+0.0+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Buffalo-0.1+0.0+0.0
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1+0.0+0.0
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco vs St. Louis-1.2+1.0+2.2
Dallas vs Arizona-0.1+0.1+0.2
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.1-0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.1-0.1
Miami vs San Diego+0.1+0.0-0.1
New England vs Denver+0.1-0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.0-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
139-0-0344615210100
12.58-0-11930346605
128-1-043418241020080000
7-0-2631325
11.57-1-11915262560151200
117-2-0053271421001667010
6-1-21122011202375
10.56-2-1001012282012920150
106-3-000043282251220101320000
5-2-234341418196112
9.55-3-100152305121829133000
95-4-000071302315242712410000
4-3-27020231724291130
8.54-4-1010200541525251561000
84-5-00000100011617252415620000
3-4-211191824281331
7.53-5-1000001310212723113100
2-4-3100
73-6-000000000141122272111310000
2-5-21372729201111
6.52-6-10015142628186100
62-7-000002717272615510000
1-6-221724301792
5.51-7-1003112531207100
51-8-000016172927155100
0-7-2404020
4.50-8-1051734291230
40-9-00021026322171
Total:01132801235689777655432211100000