San Francisco 49ers Playoff Chances

Lost to Seattle 3-19, playoff odds down 22.7 to 11.9%
7-5-0   .583

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Francisco 3 Seattle 19 -17.6
-0.4
-0.6
Detroit 34 Chicago 17 -2.1
-0.0
Dallas 10 Philadelphia 33 +0.6
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs New England-0.5-0.2+0.6
Atlanta vs Arizona+0.5-0.4-0.4
St. Louis vs Oakland-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Oakland vs San Francisco-6.4-3.9+3.3
-0.1-0.0+0.0
-0.4-0.2+0.2
Detroit vs Tampa Bay-0.9+1.9+3.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Dallas+2.6-0.9-1.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Green Bay vs Atlanta-0.5+0.2+1.6
Arizona vs Kansas City-0.8-0.4+0.9
Philadelphia vs Seattle+0.6+0.8-0.7

What If

Chances based on how well San Francisco finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
114-0-098.2%11018501920145,810,292
10.53-0-178.80163042192574,090
103-1-037.00018284618850,465,078
2-0-244.608364312771
9.52-1-110.6011040502,352,399
1-0-3Out1001
92-2-03.3033461101,662,652,426
1-1-23.33326322,002
8.51-2-10.100690402,889,490
0-1-3Out1001
81-3-00.000376201001,300,284,146
0-2-2Out3772001,191
7.50-3-1Out62334001,057,138
70-4-0Out394614100335,748,927
Total:11.9%0013723531010004,301,837,952

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well San Francisco finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaPhiladelphiaGreen BayDetroitSeattleNew OrleansDallasAtlantaCarolinaTampa BayChicagoSt. LouisMinnesota
114-0-01.4%126115462751850000
10.53-0-10.819167751641130000
103-1-00.3031164352310000
2-0-21.05138534231
9.52-1-10.11331100000000
1-0-3No
92-2-00.00110000000000
1-1-2No01110
8.51-2-10.0000000000
0-1-3No
81-3-00.00000000000
0-2-2No
7-7.5No
Total:0.1%0.40.92.91.61.11.01.80.61.20.30.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco 3 Seattle 19 +1.5
Detroit 34 Chicago 17 +0.1
Dallas 10 Philadelphia 33 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.1+0.1-0.2
NY Jets vs Miami-0.2+0.0+0.0
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.0+0.2+0.0
Houston vs Tennessee+0.0+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs Denver+0.1+0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs Cleveland+0.0+0.1-0.0
St. Louis vs Oakland-0.0+0.0+0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/4100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland vs San Francisco+1.7+1.2-0.9
Miami vs Baltimore+0.1+0.2-0.1
Detroit vs Tampa Bay+0.1-0.0-0.2
Denver vs Buffalo-0.1+0.0+0.2
Chicago vs Dallas-0.1+0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Houston-0.1+0.0+0.0
San Diego vs New England+0.1+0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Kansas City-0.1+0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Atlanta+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh-0.0+0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Seattle-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
114-0-001196123119181200
10.53-0-100115121836619300
103-1-00000118919461510000
2-0-20271125431110
9.52-1-100011914322713300
1-0-3100
92-2-000037233123102000
1-1-2362231241130
8.51-2-10000212293519400
0-1-3100
81-3-00000162135288000
0-2-21619382790
7.50-3-10006274619200
70-4-000042249223000
Total:000001122512121211101210620000