San Francisco 49ers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 32.7%
6-4-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Francisco vs Washington+7.0-9.5-14.0
+0.1-0.2-0.3
+0.4-0.3-0.7
Seattle vs Arizona-3.4+0.9+3.8
-0.1-0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Dallas+3.6-1.5-1.7
+0.1-0.0-0.0
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Tennessee-1.0-0.9+4.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Green Bay+2.3-0.4-0.9
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
New England vs Detroit+0.6-0.8-1.2
San Diego vs St. Louis+0.1+0.1-0.3
Chicago vs Tampa Bay-0.1+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Francisco vs Seattle+20.2-6.1-16.7
+0.4-0.1-0.3
+0.8-0.1-0.7
Dallas vs Philadelphia-0.4-5.3+0.6
-0.0-0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Chicago-1.1+1.0+3.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs New England-1.0-0.9+1.3
Atlanta vs Arizona+0.2-0.2-0.1
Minnesota vs Carolina-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
St. Louis vs Oakland-0.1+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well San Francisco finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
126-0-0In35182451154,925,743
11.55-0-199.9%61376860774,156
115-1-099.42856619101,010,079,470
4-0-299.4385651811,650
10.54-1-187.801340441204,135,204
3-0-3In1003
104-2-069.100102345265002,640,604,423
3-1-271.800123482546,734
9.53-2-128.60003255121008,433,287
2-1-350.0252525254
93-3-015.30000114463720003,507,951,146
2-2-215.11144637209,974
8.52-3-11.30121707008,185,681
1-2-3Out6020205
82-4-00.500125925300002,483,592,288
1-3-20.500106026306,240
7.51-4-10.0014541121003,756,516
71-5-00.0000193929112000883,690,610
0-4-2Out015393310201,386
6.50-5-1Out317353112200648,931
60-6-0Out1721322711200124,411,045
Total:32.7%11101317242810310000010,831,214,496

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well San Francisco finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaGreen BayDetroitDallasPhiladelphiaNew OrleansSeattleAtlantaCarolinaChicagoMinnesotaTampa BaySt. LouisNY GiantsWashington
126-0-04.1%5301001250163000000
11.55-0-12.31922334401234000000
115-1-01.91024269371244000000
4-0-21.8113326938023300
10.54-1-11.214661117231152000000
3-0-3No6733
104-2-00.90276121713191000000
3-1-21.00486121813191000
9.53-2-10.30154692010000000
2-1-3No2525
93-3-00.20032451010000000
2-2-20.213235100000
8.52-3-10.000000000000000
1-2-3No
82-4-00.0000000000000000
1-3-2No0000000
7.51-4-10.00000
71-5-00.000000000
0-4-2No
6-6.5No
Total:0.5%1.70.93.02.44.76.77.20.44.80.70.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Francisco vs Washington-0.9+1.1+1.8
NY Giants vs Dallas-0.1+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Tennessee+0.0+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Baltimore-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Cleveland-0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Green Bay-0.1+0.1+0.0
San Diego vs St. Louis+0.0+0.0-0.1
Denver vs Miami-0.1+0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs NY Jets+0.0-0.0-0.1
New England vs Detroit-0.0+0.0+0.1
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco vs Seattle-1.7+0.6+1.4
Detroit vs Chicago+0.1-0.0-0.2
Dallas vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.2-0.0
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.1+0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs Miami-0.1+0.0+0.0
Houston vs Tennessee+0.0+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.0+0.1+0.0
Green Bay vs New England+0.0+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington+0.0+0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Cleveland+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
126-0-0827144204411
11.55-0-115947066260
115-1-00216324322181100
4-0-23263242231711
10.54-1-100112202140412000
3-0-36733
104-2-00000010041920262560000
3-1-20001419212724400
9.53-2-100000033222428144100
2-1-325252525
93-3-0000000011131228251441000
2-2-20111314272513510
8.52-3-100101720332610200
1-2-34060
82-4-00000021126332160000
1-3-200021025332271
7.51-4-1000192937194000
71-5-0000000421402681000
0-4-20322402771
6.50-5-101621342710200
60-6-00003143132164000
Total:0101000067711101197786521000000