San Francisco 49ers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.07 to 30.5%
4-3-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -7.5
-0.5
-0.5
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +2.7
+0.2
+0.2
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -1.7
-0.1
-0.1
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +1.0
+0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.8
-0.1
-0.0
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.2
-0.1
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.1
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 *+0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New Orleans vs Green Bay+1.7-0.7-1.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Seattle+1.5*+0.0-1.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.3-2.0+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+1.4*+0.4-0.8
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.4-0.6+1.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.5+0.6-0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.1*+0.2-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*+0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well San Francisco finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
139-0-0In801811341,541
12.58-0-1In48426402,442
128-1-0100.0%38421208003,211,962
7-0-2In6020205
11.57-1-1100.01041300162021,184
117-2-099.56303502271013,815,786
6-1-298.2431331615255
10.56-2-195.201041220225079,188
106-3-084.90531317301420034,014,869
5-2-286.043132227131193
9.55-3-155.40016463036800166,544
4-2-3In1001
95-4-032.400742194023400052,823,889
4-3-233.006332039245327
8.54-4-18.001205334215200213,119
84-5-02.60010115353313200053,563,319
3-4-21.7001133437123345
7.53-5-10.1000219382910100169,946
73-6-00.000001619322812300035,473,512
2-5-2Out12182735144243
6.52-6-1Out004183429122083,483
62-7-00.000016173029143014,780,556
1-6-2Out217372417454
5.51-7-1Out0315353312122,981
51-8-0Out001519363273,518,780
0-7-2Out1443437
4.50-8-1Out052350212,737
40-9-0Out00194940380,788
Total:30.5%13925101616139643210212,687,856

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well San Francisco finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
139-0-06.4%98000000000000000
12.58-0-16.0901121121010000
128-1-05.280131234211000000
7-0-2No8020
11.57-1-13.752456699422100000
117-2-03.13658671111633110000
6-1-21.835411551811442
10.56-2-12.01071111101710653210000
106-3-01.55711109179563210000
5-2-21.04710128138963321
9.55-3-10.806986123241110000
4-2-3NoYes
95-4-00.50455472121110000
4-3-2No035531021300
8.54-4-10.10121120000000000
84-5-00.00000000000000000
3-4-2No011
7.53-5-10.0000000000000
73-6-00.000000000000000
2-5-2No
6.52-6-1No
62-7-0No0
1-6-2No
4-5.5No
Total:0.7%4.52.63.73.43.05.52.61.61.70.90.50.40.10.10.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +1.1
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.3
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.2
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 +0.1
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 +0.0
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +0.0
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.0+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.1+0.0+0.1
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1+0.0+0.0
NY Jets vs Buffalo-0.1+0.0+0.0
Dallas vs Washington+0.0+0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Seattle-0.0-0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
139-0-043371621010
12.58-0-12226384640
128-1-053221211010080000
7-0-2602020
11.57-1-111017242550015120
117-2-00532715200014770100
6-1-242291616134152
10.56-2-100010132820101020250
106-3-000053282241318111320000
5-2-24328214181413131
9.55-3-10001513051019281330000
4-2-3100
95-4-000071302316222713410000
4-3-20061233172228116
8.54-4-1001020054142526166100
84-5-00000100011616252516720000
3-4-2001281127261871
7.53-5-1000001310212823123100
73-6-000000000141121272111310000
2-5-21472228211141
6.52-6-10015142628186100
62-7-0000002717272615510000
1-6-2271531171315
5.51-7-1000311263121710
51-8-000016172927155100
0-7-214292929
4.50-8-10051733281330
40-9-00021025322281
Total:01132801234689787655432211100000