Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances

Beat San Francisco 23-20, playoff odds down 1.9 to 33%
4-4-1   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 24 Seattle 31 -3.8
-0.3
-0.3
Arizona 23 San Francisco 20 +3.5
+0.2
+0.3
Philadelphia 24 Atlanta 15 -0.9
-0.0
Tennessee 47 Green Bay 25 +0.7
+0.1
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 +0.7
+0.1
NY Jets 6 Los Angeles 9 -0.4
-0.1
Carolina 17 Kansas City 20 +0.2
+0.1
Washington 26 Minnesota 20 -0.1
+0.1
-0.0
Tampa Bay 36 Chicago 10 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Cincinnati-1.7+2.5+2.7
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs Arizona-12.2+0.2+13.5
-0.9-0.2+1.0
-1.0-0.1+1.1
NY Giants vs Chicago-1.1+2.6+3.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Washington vs Green Bay-0.8-0.2+1.2
Detroit vs Jacksonville-0.5+0.2+1.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs New Orleans+0.4-0.1-0.5
Los Angeles vs Miami-0.4-0.3+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Philadelphia+0.3+0.1-0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Baltimore-0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
11.57-0-0In14800601,512,804,997
116-0-1100.0%9564030107,717,893
10.56-1-099.314315129111008,748,881,498
5-0-299.31481212810116,856
105-1-196.8015143402530038,053,457
4-0-3In191262826
9.55-2-077.804128163719300021,307,962,878
4-1-277.651261638203068,826
94-2-147.901348323515200076,428,240
3-1-347.982829292348
8.54-3-014.7015193036163000028,163,943,092
3-2-213.301418293717300109,554
83-3-12.50010211273220610079,975,653
2-2-37.5356263125480
7.53-4-00.40000017253723610021,805,611,421
2-3-20.3001623372571084,562
72-4-10.00000162133271020045,960,007
1-3-3Out5173636742
6.52-5-00.00000052339276009,889,578,309
1-4-2Out042039297032,417
61-5-1Out00162340274013,753,237
0-4-3Out80205
5.51-6-0Out00193745902,434,725,383
0-5-2Out0073647904,777
50-6-1Out00116523011,674,972
4.50-7-0Out00646434258,588,634
Total:33.0%06437121413111086420094,385,976,864

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasSeattleAtlantaMinnesotaPhiladelphiaDetroitNY GiantsWashingtonNew OrleansGreen BayTampa BayLos AngelesCarolinaChicagoSan Francisco
11.57-0-013.0%94002101000000000
116-0-110.565011271611331010
10.56-1-08.5431615938323310100
5-0-28.648051493822331010
105-1-15.91518231441333552010
4-0-315.41912318238
9.55-2-04.042101911511444310000
4-1-24.15110201151033431010
94-2-12.21171473721221000
3-1-32.12881064224
8.54-3-00.70124222111000000
3-2-20.6002322211100000
83-3-10.1000100000000000
2-2-3No333
7.53-4-00.0000000000000000
2-3-20.0000000000000
72-4-10.0000000000000
1-3-3No
6.52-5-00.0000000000000
1-4-2No
4.5-6No
Total:2.1%6.50.63.46.83.92.13.71.51.31.31.10.50.10.20.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/10100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 23 San Francisco 20 -0.7
New England 24 Seattle 31 +0.5
Philadelphia 24 Atlanta 15 +0.1
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 -0.0
NY Jets 6 Los Angeles 9 +0.0
Carolina 17 Kansas City 20 -0.0
Jacksonville 21 Houston 24 +0.0
Pittsburgh 30 Dallas 35 -0.0
Tennessee 47 Green Bay 25 -0.0
Baltimore 28 Cleveland 7 +0.0
Washington 26 Minnesota 20 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Cincinnati+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Arizona+2.0+0.4-2.2
Seattle vs Philadelphia+0.2+0.3-0.2
NY Giants vs Chicago+0.1-0.1-0.2
Detroit vs Jacksonville+0.1-0.0-0.1
Carolina vs New Orleans-0.0+0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh-0.1+0.0+0.0
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay-0.0+0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Buffalo-0.0-0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Baltimore-0.0+0.0+0.1
Oakland vs Houston-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
11.57-0-01134436005100
116-0-10994741001415100
10.56-1-0014391231011181011000
5-0-21543102111189110
105-1-1000157730535111321000
4-0-319844588
9.55-2-00044861016112713710000
4-1-20548510161127147200
94-2-10010322083286151710310000
3-1-382842521981310
8.54-3-000012301092102226177200000
3-2-20011210821022261772000
83-3-100001002002715232316820000
2-2-33559825231661
7.53-4-00000000000002819272413510000
2-3-20000028182724145100
72-4-10000000015122226211030000
1-3-3719172421102
6.52-5-000000000282030261220000
1-4-2002720302612300
61-5-100000282232259200
0-4-320402020
5.51-6-00000292837204000
0-5-202929362040
50-6-10015233826700
4.50-7-000011336361310
Total:00152221153945786456643332110000