Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 77.5%
5-1-0   .833

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +6.8
+0.5
+0.5
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +2.4
+0.2
+0.2
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +1.4
+0.1
+0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +0.7
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.5
-0.1
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.2
-0.1
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.1
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Arizona vs Philadelphia+8.9+0.9-8.9
+1.2-0.2-1.2
+0.7+0.1-0.7
Carolina vs Seattle+1.7+0.5-1.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+1.0-0.4-0.7
+0.3*-0.1-0.2
Atlanta vs Detroit+1.0*+0.1-0.6
+0.2*+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Washington-0.2*-0.0+0.6
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.3+0.3-0.5
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.1*+0.1-0.4
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Arizona finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-15In100931,707*
149-1-0In9738,047,852
8-0-2In10020
13.58-1-1In937054,420
138-2-0In802010032,384,994
7-1-2In83161165
12.57-2-1In61354000194,896
6-1-3In1001
127-3-0100.0%404811010076,023,588
6-2-2In454690530
11.56-3-1100.01651310200397,239
116-4-099.87394317300115,448,400
5-3-299.9739441720894
10.55-4-198.31176148820514,527
4-3-3In1001
105-5-090.7085159188100118,472,465
4-4-291.907534101771949
9.54-5-170.901351142025400436,579
3-4-3In1001
94-6-043.7001792153518300083,179,684
3-5-246.20171021736152667
8.53-6-116.805804333612100244,109
83-7-05.101301133532122000039,442,527
2-6-23.71211137361110271
7.52-7-10.801031836291120086,170
72-8-00.10000315313116410012,089,071
1-7-2Out514332917258
6.51-8-1Out0031530321640017,577
61-9-0Out0029263622502,159,521
0-8-2Out171733336
5.50-9-1Out021029401711,507
50-10-0Out0110374110208,516
Total:77.5%1520273489632110000490,338,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Arizona finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
14-1511.2%Yes
13.58-1-111.01000000000
138-2-010.899000000000000000
7-1-211.5991
12.57-2-110.396001100010000000
6-1-3NoYes
127-3-09.388122211120010000
6-2-211.3911122012000
11.56-3-17.766346611450110000
116-4-06.446578942671220000
5-3-24.846577942762120000
10.55-4-14.51881113124311101330000
4-3-3NoYes
105-5-03.6881212114312112330000
4-4-23.1791113115312122330000
9.54-5-12.418111210221081220000
3-4-3NoYes
94-6-01.40577621651110000
3-5-21.80479821851110000
8.53-6-10.60333300210010000
83-7-00.20111100000000000
2-6-2No101000
7.52-7-10.000000000000000
72-8-00.00000000000000
1-7-2No
5-6.5No
Total:5.0%35.04.46.06.46.32.31.75.85.50.81.41.50.10.20.20.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -1.1
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.3
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.2
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 +0.0
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +0.0
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Philadelphia-1.4+0.1+1.4
Carolina vs Seattle-0.2-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.1+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Washington+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1510-0-01000
14.59-0-1991
149-1-089930
8-0-27525
13.58-1-18013700
138-2-0493118110000
7-1-256271331
12.57-2-1263431440000
6-1-3100
127-3-093129181010010000
6-2-29352818800
11.56-3-111520312650020000
116-4-007831241900523000
5-3-2069312519105220
10.55-4-1011171942314471200
4-3-3100
105-5-00008942323613491000
4-4-20071044223713571
9.54-5-10113547037132082000
3-4-3100
94-6-0000017270231225208200000
3-5-2001737231426188100
8.53-6-1005070044142323135100
83-7-0001030012819262212510000
2-6-2121272032181151
7.52-7-10010001310212722113100
72-8-0000000015132326199310000
1-7-22122622265322
6.51-8-10001413262819720
61-9-0000271827261551000
0-8-21717173317
5.50-9-1029223324810
50-10-00015173028144100
Total:69812101812224374322111100000000000