Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances

Lost to LA Rams 0-34, playoff odds down 12.7 to 6.3%
0-2-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
LA Rams 34 Arizona 0 -6.3
-0.4
-0.8
San Francisco 30 Detroit 27 -0.4
Washington 9 Indianapolis 21 +0.4
New Orleans 21 Cleveland 18 -0.2
-0.0
Atlanta 31 Carolina 24 +0.1
Tampa Bay 27 Philadelphia 21 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Chicago vs Seattle+0.1*-0.6-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Arizona vs Chicago+3.3*+0.3-3.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.9*+0.1-0.8
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.3*-0.8+0.5
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs San Francisco+0.2*+0.5-0.3
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Cincinnati-0.2*-0.4+0.2
Minnesota vs Buffalo-0.1*-0.3+0.2
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis-0.1*-0.1+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh-0.1*+0.8+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Houston vs NY Giants+0.1*-0.6-0.1
Detroit vs New England-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Dallas+0.0+0.2-0.0
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1414-0-0In991310
1313-1-0In9262263
12.512-1-1In1005
1212-2-0In6720101202,746
11.511-2-1In551872044
1111-3-0100.0%283191292016,357
10.510-3-1In1622121426178
1010-4-097.2315176401630066,046
9.59-4-193.1151283830610652
99-5-061.80169163024113000188,127
8-4-266.73333333
8.58-5-133.626521302410201,674
88-6-08.8003151424261882000405,279
7-5-2Out1002
7.57-6-11.1103142529207103,242
77-7-00.3000002817262515510656,965
6-6-2Out1436736714
6.56-7-1Out01516292916404,411
66-8-00.0000014142731194811,712
5-7-2Out540253020
5.55-8-1Out004173334124,710
55-9-0Out0016224130758,361
4-8-2Out1020205010
4.54-9-1Out011038513,609
44-10-0Out0042868526,452
3-9-2Out38638
3.53-10-1Out115841,955
33-11-0Out00991263,733
2-10-2Out1002
2.52-11-1Out0496773
22-12-0Out029890,120
1-11-2Out1001
1.51-12-1Out199182
11-13-0Out010018,887
0-0.5Out1002,155*
Total:6.3%001122334568101217263,829,008

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeLA RamsTampa BayMinnesotaWashingtonGreen BayPhiladelphiaAtlantaCarolinaSan FranciscoChicagoSeattleNY GiantsNew OrleansDallasDetroit
1414-0-08.7%Yes
1313-1-04.298100
12.512-1-1NoYes
1212-2-06.787012111110101010
11.511-2-19.1732252225222
1111-3-05.159246454221313221
10.510-3-13.939451065627612332
1010-4-02.7187710787542525342
9.59-4-11.557614888652615362
99-5-01.11767665442423331
8-4-2No3333
8.58-5-10.9444443121212210
88-6-00.20111111110100000
7-5-2No
7.57-6-10.0000000000000
77-7-00.0000000000000000
6-6-2No
6.56-7-1No
66-8-0No000000000000
5-7-2No
0-5.5No
Total:0.1%0.70.60.60.70.50.60.40.30.30.10.40.10.30.20.30.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
LA Rams 34 Arizona 0 +1.6
Green Bay 29 Minnesota 29 *+0.1
Washington 9 Indianapolis 21 +0.1
Pittsburgh 37 Kansas City 42 -0.1
Buffalo 20 LA Chargers 31 -0.1
Atlanta 31 Carolina 24 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Chicago vs Seattle+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Chicago-1.7+0.1+1.6
Seattle vs Dallas-0.1*-0.2+0.2
Minnesota vs Buffalo-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Denver+0.0+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs New England-0.0-0.1+0.0
Carolina vs Cincinnati+0.0*+0.1-0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.0*+0.2+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-0.0*+0.4+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Miami vs Oakland+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1414-0-09811
1313-1-0731962
12.512-1-18020
1212-2-02938173101200
11.511-2-1233299720
1111-3-032513188210245200
10.510-3-121551711213486
1010-4-003114512421425133300
9.59-4-11042953830219610
99-5-000105271156241812520000
8-4-2333333
8.58-5-1216511910182112410
88-6-00000301052713171815105210000
7-5-25050
7.57-6-1100028152522168210
77-7-000000000013713181916126310000
6-6-2142136721
6.56-7-10027152324178310
66-8-000000149162121168310
5-7-2510102520255
5.55-8-10000271725271551
55-9-0000026152628185
4-8-220105020
4.54-9-100312303619
44-10-00015184037
3-9-2133850
3.53-10-1163163
33-11-00022177
2-10-25050
2.52-11-101288
22-12-000595
1-11-2100
1.51-12-1199
11-13-0199
0-0.5100
Total:0000010101121122222334445567891114