Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 77.5%
5-1-0   .833

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +6.8
+0.5
+0.5
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +2.4
+0.2
+0.2
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +1.4
+0.1
+0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +0.7
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.5
-0.1
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.2
-0.1
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.1
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Arizona vs Philadelphia+8.9+0.8-8.9
+1.2-0.3-1.2
+0.7+0.1-0.7
Carolina vs Seattle+1.6*+0.5-1.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+1.0*-0.4-0.7
+0.3*-0.1-0.2
Atlanta vs Detroit+1.0*+0.1-0.6
+0.2*-0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Washington-0.2*+0.1+0.6
-0.1*+0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.3*+0.1-0.5
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.2*+0.0-0.4
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Arizona finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-15In100243,772*
149-1-0In9732,100,812
8-0-2In1002
13.58-1-1In937014,326
138-2-0In80201008,444,351
7-1-2In841650
12.57-2-1In6135400050,790
127-3-0100.0%404811010019,822,836
6-2-2In44478153
11.56-3-1100.01650310200103,619
116-4-099.8739431730030,105,979
5-3-2In83943081225
10.55-4-198.31176148820134,016
4-3-3In1001
105-5-090.708515918810030,899,995
4-4-290.3853491610238
9.54-5-170.801351142025400114,144
94-6-043.7001792153518300021,693,416
3-5-246.7171051535162167
8.53-6-116.50580433371220063,515
83-7-05.10130113353212200010,287,547
2-6-22.51116452510180
7.52-7-10.901031936291120022,449
72-8-00.1000031531311641003,151,914
1-7-2Out243535617
6.51-8-1Out0316303116304,657
61-9-0Out002926362250562,346
0-8-2Out50502
5.50-9-1Out392743181388
50-10-0Out011037411054,225
Total:77.5%1520273489632110000127,876,032

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Arizona finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
14-1511.2%Yes
13.58-1-110.71000000
138-2-010.899000000000000000
7-1-220.0Yes
12.57-2-110.496001100010000000
127-3-09.388122211120010000
6-2-213.19212231
11.56-3-17.866346611450110000
116-4-06.446578942671220000
5-3-25.84749884367102000
10.55-4-14.51881113124311101330000
4-3-3NoYes
105-5-03.6881212114312112330000
4-4-21.3810913953131124300
9.54-5-12.318111210221081220000
94-6-01.40577621651110000
3-5-22.448872184211
8.53-6-10.60333300210010000
83-7-00.20111100000000000
2-6-2No11
7.52-7-10.0000000000
72-8-00.00000000000000
1-7-2No
5-6.5No
Total:5.0%35.04.46.06.46.32.31.75.85.50.81.41.50.10.20.20.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -1.1
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.3
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.2
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 +0.0
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +0.0
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Philadelphia-1.4+0.1+1.4
Carolina vs Seattle-0.2-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.1+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Washington+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1510-0-01000
14.59-0-1991
149-1-089930
8-0-25050
13.58-1-18013700
138-2-0493118110000
7-1-26222124
12.57-2-1273431440000
127-3-093129181010010000
6-2-21034252281
11.56-3-111520302650020000
116-4-007831241900523000
5-3-207102923200541
10.55-4-101117194231447120
4-3-3100
105-5-00008943323613491000
4-4-208746133512491
9.54-5-10113447037132082000
94-6-000017270231225208200000
3-5-2117375213252071
8.53-6-1005070044142323145100
83-7-0001030012819262212510000
2-6-21133243621831
7.52-7-1001001310212722113100
72-8-000000001513232619931000
1-7-26241835666
6.51-8-101514262619820
61-9-0000271827261551000
0-8-25050
5.50-9-112917362582
50-10-0001517302814410
Total:6981210181222437432211110000000000