Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 77.3%
5-1-0   .833

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Arizona vs Philadelphia+9.0+1.1-9.0
+1.2*-0.0-1.2
+0.7+0.1-0.7
Carolina vs Seattle+1.6*+0.1-1.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+1.0*-0.6-0.7
+0.3*-0.3-0.2
Atlanta vs Detroit+1.0*+0.3-0.6
+0.2*-0.3-0.1
Dallas vs Washington-0.2*-0.0+0.6
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.3*-0.4-0.5
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.1*-0.1-0.4
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Arizona-5.9+2.8+9.8
-0.9*-0.1+1.5
-0.5+0.3+0.9
San Francisco vs St. Louis-1.2+1.7+2.3
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Seattle vs Oakland-0.8+1.2+2.4
-0.0*-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.8*-0.1-0.6
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.2*-0.3+0.1
Minnesota vs Washington-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Miami vs San Diego-0.0*-0.5+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Arizona finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-15In10080,132*
149-1-0In973691,514
8-0-2In1002
13.58-1-1In93604,727
138-2-0In80201002,778,538
7-1-2In10018
12.57-2-1In61354016,788
127-3-0100.0%40481101006,524,984
6-2-2In46441041
11.56-3-1100.0165130030033,954
116-4-099.873943173009,903,028
5-3-298.67444141170
10.55-4-198.3117614882044,179
4-3-3In1001
105-5-090.608515918910010,160,403
4-4-282.7254641615281
9.54-5-170.613511420254037,405
94-6-043.20017921535183007,136,750
3-5-237.52044114316456
8.53-6-115.947043437121020,958
83-7-05.0013011335321320003,385,791
2-6-24.85538193321
7.52-7-10.8010318372911207,267
72-8-00.1000031430311641001,036,870
1-7-2Out101020501010
6.51-8-1Out0313313215501,535
61-9-0Out001926362250186,040
5.50-9-1Out193436173135
50-10-0Out011037421117,854
Total:77.3%152027348963211000042,069,152

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Arizona finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
14-1511.0%Yes
13.58-1-110.91000000
138-2-010.799000000000000000
7-1-216.7Yes
12.57-2-110.19600110011000000
127-3-09.388122211120010000
6-2-212.290225
11.56-3-17.567346611450110000
116-4-06.346578943671220000
5-3-22.9513310104107
10.55-4-14.51881113124311111330000
4-3-3NoYes
105-5-03.6881212114312112330000
4-4-22.5212151210261111611
9.54-5-12.418111210221081220000
94-6-01.40577621651110000
3-5-21.84275254225
8.53-6-10.5333300210000000
83-7-00.20111100000000000
2-6-2No5
7.52-7-10.0000000
72-8-00.000000000000
1-7-2No
5-6.5No
Total:5.0%34.94.45.96.36.32.31.75.85.50.81.31.50.10.20.20.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Philadelphia-1.4+0.0+1.4
Carolina vs Seattle-0.2-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.1+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Washington+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Arizona+1.0-0.3-1.7
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.2-0.2-0.3
Seattle vs Oakland+0.1-0.2-0.3
Carolina vs New Orleans+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1510-0-0982
14.59-0-1964
149-1-0821530
8-0-25050
13.58-1-17419600
138-2-0413917210000
7-1-24456
12.57-2-12239296400
127-3-07332621101001000
6-2-2244242055
11.56-3-11151832256002000
116-4-007732232000613000
5-3-277372319411
10.55-4-11017184331438020
4-3-3100
105-5-00008843324514491000
4-4-227472412142144
9.54-5-111344703812208100
94-6-000017270141127207200000
3-5-22022429322542
8.53-6-104070045152422134100
83-7-0001030012920262112410000
2-6-25104329105
7.52-7-101000031023272111310
72-8-000000001513232619931000
1-7-210203040
6.51-8-101413232919710
61-9-000027182726155100
5.50-9-118213126102
50-10-001517302814410
Total:5107139181232537432211110000000000