Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 88.7%
6-1-0   .857

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina 10 New Orleans 28 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Arizona-4.1+1.8+6.7
-1.2+0.4+1.9
-0.5+0.2+0.8
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.6+1.0+1.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Oakland-0.4+0.8+1.4
-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.2
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.8-0.8-0.8
+0.2-0.2-0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.3-0.3+0.2
Minnesota vs Washington-0.1*+0.1+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.2*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Arizona vs St. Louis+3.0-4.0-10.0
+0.5-0.9-1.8
+0.3-0.3-0.9
Green Bay vs Chicago-0.5*-0.1+1.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
New Orleans vs San Francisco+0.6+0.1-1.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Carolina-0.4-0.3+1.3
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs NY Giants-0.4*+0.1+0.8
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Dallas+0.5+0.2-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Detroit vs Miami-0.2*+0.0+0.3
-0.2*+0.0+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Atlanta+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs Tennessee-0.0*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Arizona finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-15In1005,199,970*
148-1-0In99140,012,557
7-0-2In100116
13.57-1-1In9820237,432
137-2-0In8911000137,123,633
6-1-2In9370588
12.56-2-1In782110704,723
126-3-0100.0%573650200267,540,697
5-2-2In5935521,512
11.55-3-1100.028481804001,164,646
4-2-3In50502
115-4-099.91440292132000327,289,683
4-3-2In15432811122,195
10.54-4-199.0220466169101,175,396
3-3-3In1001
104-5-093.608331021216100259,881,226
3-4-293.90832112220601,688
9.53-5-171.701201293024400736,856
93-6-047.0006952735162000133,798,853
2-5-243.405852638172772
8.52-6-112.90140733391320281,618
82-7-03.60010215383111200042,928,802
1-6-23.30313433271215
7.51-7-10.200021737311120059,301
71-8-00.000031532311430007,767,654
0-7-2Out41733291724
6.50-8-1Out0214313216405,164
60-9-0Out001825372350695,924
Total:88.7%30221739863110000001,226,611,248

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Arizona finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDetroitNew OrleansDallasPhiladelphiaGreen BaySeattleSan FranciscoNY GiantsCarolinaAtlantaMinnesotaChicagoWashingtonTampa BaySt. Louis
14-1512.7%Yes
13.57-1-112.61000000
137-2-012.4100000000000000000
6-1-213.81000
12.56-2-112.199000000000000000
126-3-011.292020111100000000
5-2-210.493010121100000
11.55-3-19.777132344310000000
4-2-3No5050
115-4-07.854293677521110000
4-3-28.558283677511100100
10.54-4-15.4226128101114931111100
3-3-3NoYes
104-5-04.1961681011151032211100
3-4-23.7871781110141032111100
9.53-5-12.6171089914831111100
93-6-01.605855510510100000
2-5-21.3047553124111000
8.52-6-10.40222223100000000
82-7-00.10010001000000000
1-6-2No01001
7.51-7-10.0000000000
71-8-00.000000000000
0-7-2No
6-6.5No
Total:7.5%51.52.57.23.14.75.16.54.31.30.80.70.40.30.30.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Arizona+1.0-0.3-1.6
Seattle vs Oakland+0.1-0.2-0.3
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.1-0.2-0.3
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs St. Louis-0.6+0.9+2.0
Seattle vs NY Giants+0.1-0.1-0.3
New Orleans vs San Francisco-0.1-0.1+0.2
Jacksonville vs Dallas-0.1-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Carolina+0.0+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Miami+0.1+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Chicago+0.0+0.0-0.1
Oakland vs Denver-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
159-0-0991
14.58-0-1982
148-1-091810
7-0-29010
13.57-1-18612200
137-2-0622711000000
6-1-26428700
12.56-2-141362011000
126-3-01937287500020000
5-2-220382965020
11.55-3-122626231710040000
4-2-35050
115-4-011414262182010320000
4-3-2115152820710832
10.54-4-10211916305171081100
3-3-3100
104-5-0000872573615157610000
3-4-20088247461614651
9.53-5-1010204809426121051000
93-6-00000627052251418136200000
2-5-20516522417181363
8.52-6-1010400703112226177100
82-7-00000100201718272514510000
1-6-203181628221560
7.51-7-10000002922312410200
71-8-000000151527291751000
0-7-2425382113
6.50-8-1029233224820
60-9-000041429311741000
Total:1515111088214544322111100000000000