Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances

Lost to Seattle 3-19, playoff odds down 2.3 to 96.7%
9-2-0   .818

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Seattle 19 Arizona 3 -0.8
-1.1
-0.4
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 -0.4
-0.0
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 -0.3
-0.1
New England 34 Detroit 9 +0.1
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 -0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24 -0.1
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Arizona-2.9*+0.1+2.0
-1.6*-1.5+1.1
-0.6-0.0+0.4
Detroit vs Chicago-0.4*+0.1+0.9
San Francisco vs Seattle-0.5*+0.9+0.4
+0.4*+0.6-0.3
+0.1+0.3-0.1
Green Bay vs New England-0.2*+0.2+0.2
-0.3*-0.9+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Philadelphia-0.1*-0.5+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Arizona finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
13-14In1001,355,884*
12.53-1-1In732522,976
123-2-0In6624281,552,770
2-1-2In33673
11.52-2-1In1745281103,269
112-3-099.7%82519444001,111,061
10.51-3-193.304343025701,434
101-4-075.9016029402040390,852
9.50-4-131.605274919244
90-5-011.211041461053,651
Total:96.7%55156016421004,472,144

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Arizona finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeGreen BayPhiladelphiaDallasNew OrleansSeattleDetroitSan FranciscoAtlantaCarolinaChicagoTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesota
13-1413.8%Yes
12.53-1-112.5980011000
123-2-012.3900005110210000
2-1-233.3Yes
11.52-2-19.16113378853100
112-3-06.933133287441330000
10.51-3-14.74597171791211200
101-4-02.916851616471120000
9.50-4-10.463449221
90-5-00.42210311000
Total:10.4%70.10.91.51.310.23.51.71.84.71.10.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle 19 Arizona 3 +0.8
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 +0.1
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 +0.0
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Arizona+1.3+0.1-0.9
San Francisco vs Seattle-0.2-0.6+0.1
Dallas vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.1+0.0
Green Bay vs New England+0.0+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Denver-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
145-0-0928
13.54-0-18911
134-1-06436
3-0-2100
12.53-1-133392412
123-2-017492042080
2-1-23367
11.52-2-111623222621100
112-3-008817155395400
10.51-3-1004827151522370
101-4-00011600820301022200
9.50-4-10512620241870
90-5-0101011272916410
Total:2728964200133312100000