Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 3.1 to 61.8%
2-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 56 Tampa Bay 14 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Arizona vs San Francisco+9.3*+0.1-13.9
+1.2*-0.3-1.8
+0.9+0.0-1.3
Seattle vs Denver-1.2*+1.1+1.5
-0.1*+0.3+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Minnesota+0.1+1.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.4-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.4*-0.4-0.5
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.3*+0.0+0.5
-0.1*+0.3+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
St. Louis vs Dallas-0.3*+0.3+0.3
NY Giants vs Houston-0.1*-0.9+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Washington+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Detroit vs Green Bay-0.0*-0.4+0.0
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Francisco vs Philadelphia-0.8*+0.1+0.9
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Washington vs NY Giants-0.3*+0.0+0.6
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
NY Jets vs Detroit+0.4*-0.0-0.4
+0.0*+0.5-0.1
Baltimore vs Carolina+0.3*+0.5-0.4
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Green Bay-0.1*+0.9+0.1
-0.0*+0.3+0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs Atlanta+0.1*+0.5-0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay+0.0*-0.2-0.1
Dallas vs New Orleans-0.0*+0.6+0.0
-0.0*+0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Arizona finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16In1006,463*
1513-1-0In100050,824
14.512-1-1In1000492
1412-2-0In98200305,309
11-1-2In1002
13.511-2-1In97302,825
1311-3-0In901000001,116,829
10-2-2In75258
12.510-3-1In8415119,304
1210-4-0100.0%6329403002,766,952
9-3-2In66256332
11.59-4-1In5037706020,989
119-5-0100.02440203131004,955,992
8-4-2In20432121582
10.58-5-199.911352851830033,972
108-6-096.421528152214300006,603,085
7-5-297.2316241427143108
9.57-6-190.2052221202281039,838
97-7-057.70182082123145100006,637,892
6-6-264.3142851720131198
8.56-7-131.2021421327261330034,735
86-8-09.4006031021262010300005,070,426
5-7-25.7321328261565288
7.55-8-12.3020029223123920022,804
75-9-00.60100016172727155102,928,078
4-8-2Out38233610101039
6.54-9-10.10015163130143011,025
64-10-00.0000151732311321,255,163
3-9-2Out2010502010
5.53-10-1Out0622392663,725
53-11-0Out000110324016387,208
2-10-2Out50502
4.52-11-1Out02204829812
42-12-0Out0111414781,762
1-11-2Out1001
3.51-12-1Out22969127
31-13-0Out1227710,518
2.50-13-1Out1009
20-14-0Out06933,140
Total:61.8%141211998766544321032,360,768

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Arizona finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeCarolinaAtlantaPhiladelphiaWashingtonSeattleChicagoMinnesotaDetroitSan FranciscoDallasGreen BaySt. LouisNew OrleansNY GiantsTampa Bay
14.5-1616.3%Yes
1412-2-016.310000000000000000
11-1-250.0Yes
13.511-2-115.61000
1311-3-016.099000000000000000
10-2-2NoYes
12.510-3-116.09900000000000000
1210-4-014.993111101110100000
9-3-212.591333
11.59-4-113.687112111111110100
119-5-011.363344433333321110
8-4-214.6625541121214622
10.58-5-19.246556544444432210
108-6-06.517888876666643310
7-5-28.31961010710754554133
9.57-6-15.05899976667743310
97-7-02.91666654444422210
6-6-23.1558112102228431
8.56-7-11.50344322222311100
86-8-00.50111101110100000
5-7-2No1211
7.55-8-10.1000000000000000
75-9-00.0000000000000000
4-8-2No
6.54-9-10.00000
64-10-00.00000000000
3-9-2No
2-5.5No
Total:5.8%26.03.53.83.83.63.02.62.62.62.72.81.71.21.30.60.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs San Francisco-1.7+0.2+2.5
Seattle vs Denver+0.1*-0.2-0.2
New Orleans vs Minnesota-0.0-0.2+0.0
New England vs Oakland+0.0+0.1-0.1
Miami vs Kansas City+0.0*-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Houston-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Green Bay-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco vs Philadelphia+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Green Bay+0.0-0.1-0.0
Oakland vs Miami-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs New England-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Washington vs NY Giants+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs Carolina-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1614-0-01000
15.513-0-1100
1513-1-09910
14.512-1-19820
1412-2-09352000
11-1-2100
13.511-2-189830
1311-3-07317100000000
10-2-2383825
12.510-3-1592514011
1210-4-0333126340003000
9-3-2412519663
11.59-4-11634298700500
119-5-04192217173301211000
8-4-221726171652122
10.58-5-10111024217501443000
108-6-002212141413213912130000
7-5-2321413111041981313
9.57-6-10054181475141768200
97-7-0001179101711112013621000
6-6-21414135116181331
8.56-7-100221202112102020135100
86-8-00001600022814171714105210000
5-7-23281923248732
7.55-8-100200000271624231672000
75-9-000100000014914181916105210000
4-8-235815151823553
6.54-9-100038172523157200
64-10-00000002511182220136200
3-9-2303010101010
5.53-10-1013102229211130
53-11-0000139192725133
2-10-25050
4.52-11-101617353210
42-12-000028243927
1-11-2100
3.51-12-11133452
31-13-00052867
2.50-13-11189
20-14-00991
Total:77766554535354433322222111111000