Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.0009 to 1.8%
1-5-0   .167

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+1.1-0.1-1.1
+0.6+0.0-0.6
Carolina vs Seattle-0.5-0.4+0.4
-0.0-0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.5+0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Washington+0.0-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.7+0.5+2.0
-0.3+0.3+0.7
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Tampa Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1110-0-0100.0%438461200023,169
10.59-0-1In284130169
109-1-099.20637541210095,505
8-0-2In1001
9.58-1-194.811772144101,009
98-2-083.8007720486200868,241
7-1-275.075258
8.57-2-165.001620210158108,075
87-3-042.7004200414211440004,607,221
6-2-230.628362536336
7.56-3-124.30240182427132038,168
76-4-08.8090019233020710015,784,513
5-3-27.2731123321941139
6.55-4-12.930211283318410110,709
4-3-3Out1001
65-5-00.3000292332249136,464,102
4-4-2Out3723302881329
5.54-5-10.10002102936204211,262
54-6-00.0000021028402157,491,331
3-5-2Out018294120502
4.53-6-1Out002164437264,119
43-7-0Out0004296661,182,150
2-6-2Out32176474
3.52-7-1Out011782207,020
1-6-3Out1001
32-8-0Out0069442,039,460
1-7-2Out793253
2.51-8-1Out029894,758
21-9-0Out010016,834,313
0-8-2Out10046
1-1.5Out1003,023,416*
Total:1.8%0002000012358122047239,350,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Tampa Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsSt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
1110-0-00.8%42669952177013000
10.59-0-1No2814416106117911
109-1-00.361711141972288023000
8-0-2NoYes
9.58-1-1No11811142372275112000
98-2-00.202010132051156012000
7-1-2No13133813
8.57-2-10.20177101740044011000
87-3-00.1011571120023011000
6-2-2No11686
7.56-3-10.0634611200000
76-4-00.0212200000000000
5-3-2No22111
6.55-4-10.010110000000
4-3-3No
65-5-00.0000000000000
4-4-2No
5.54-5-10.000000000
54-6-00.0000000000
3-5-2No
1-4.5No
Total:0.0%0.00.40.20.30.40.10.00.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-1.1-0.5+1.1
NY Jets vs Buffalo+0.1-0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.1-0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Seattle+0.1+0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.1-0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs Houston+0.1*-0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.0-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.6-1.1-1.6
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.1-0.0+0.2
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.0-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Oakland-0.0-0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.0-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1110-0-00473125221110000
10.59-0-12822192371
109-1-0006136213301111000
8-0-2100
9.58-1-1101628450122411
98-2-000075670004145420000
7-1-2751313
8.57-2-1014580021591063100
87-3-0000420000014914141041000
6-2-228333111911176
7.56-3-10024000015122020125100
76-4-000900000261625241341000
5-3-2718212220191
6.55-4-130028192824123100
4-3-3100
65-5-000000031327301961000
4-4-221826291951
5.54-5-100016193027133000
54-6-00000151833291220
3-5-206193428112
4.53-6-10031230351730
43-7-000052239276
2-6-2052241275
3.52-7-10031941307
1-6-3100
32-8-00002164536
1-7-23194830
2.51-8-101154638
21-9-00012277
0-8-223365
1.50-9-1012178
10-10-00397
Total:0000000200000000000112234671013161715