Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 10.9%
0-2-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 -7.9
-0.4
-1.2
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 +0.7
+0.0
+0.1
Carolina 24 Detroit 7 -0.6
-0.0
-0.1
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 +0.6
+0.1
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +0.4
Minnesota 7 New England 30 +0.4
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.3
-0.0
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 -0.3
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 -0.2
-0.1
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 -0.2
-0.0
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 -0.2
-0.0
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-4.9*+0.6+6.5
-0.2*+0.1+0.3
-0.9+0.2+1.2
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.6*+0.5+1.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Denver-0.2*-0.0+0.3
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.1*-0.4-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Minnesota-0.1*-0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Houston-0.1*-0.4+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
St. Louis vs Dallas+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Arizona vs San Francisco+0.0*-0.5-0.1
Detroit vs Green Bay-0.0*+0.4+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Tampa Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1414-0-0In982003,368
13.513-0-1In83176
1313-1-0In8810029,106
12.512-1-1In791317112
1212-2-0In6226308073,225
11.511-2-1In493240150840
1111-3-099.9%24361522220361,819
10-2-2In1002
10.510-3-199.8113221329403,638
1010-4-096.33152210301630001,217,695
9-3-293.320133327715
9.59-4-190.0051715262691010,726
8-3-3In1001
99-5-059.30181511252313410002,961,836
8-4-253.24131126281947
8.58-5-130.8011231528261230023,298
88-6-010.500604112125191031005,367,071
7-5-210.346823192610478
7.57-6-12.40200282230231120037,586
6-5-3Out1001
77-7-00.80100027162525177107,350,517
6-6-21.62361228261491125
6.56-7-10.20013142831185044,831
66-8-00.00000141326312057,657,265
5-7-2Out3132931177117
5.55-8-1Out0031434361440,068
55-9-00.00000152142316,028,552
4-8-2Out317463494
4.54-9-1Out019395226,117
44-10-0Out000427693,533,721
3-9-2Out198127
3.53-10-1Out01168412,256
33-11-0Out009911,495,805
2-10-2Out10018
2.52-11-1Out04964,021
22-12-0Out0298432,982
1-11-2Out1006
1.51-12-1Out199773
11-13-0Out010076,052
0-12-2Out1001
0.50-13-1Out10062
00-14-0Out01008,904
Total:10.9%0123234456781012141836,782,784

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Tampa Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeCarolinaArizonaPhiladelphiaWashingtonSeattleChicagoMinnesotaDetroitSan FranciscoDallasAtlantaGreen BayNew OrleansSt. LouisNY Giants
1414-0-011.5%10000
13.513-0-116.78317
1313-1-011.69800000000000000
12.512-1-18.0921221111
1212-2-010.289111111111101000
11.511-2-19.580112123231202000
1111-3-07.659434334443313111
10-2-2NoYes
10.510-3-15.943646445564313121
1010-4-04.218977667775535131
9-3-26.720137277137
9.59-4-13.061089767776634232
8-3-3NoYes
99-5-01.81766545554423121
8-4-22.1136622226462
8.58-5-11.00343322322211010
88-6-00.30111111111100000
7-5-2No331111
7.57-6-10.100000000000000
6-5-3No
77-7-00.0000000000000000
6-6-20.811
6.56-7-10.0000000000000
66-8-00.0000000000000
5-7-2No
5.55-8-1No
55-9-0No0000000000
4-8-2No
0-4.5No
Total:0.4%1.51.00.90.90.80.70.80.80.80.60.60.30.50.20.30.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/11100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 +2.3
Minnesota 7 New England 30 +0.1
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 -0.1
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 -0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 -0.1
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 +0.0
Carolina 24 Detroit 7 +0.0
Oakland 14 Houston 30 -0.0
Denver 24 Kansas City 17 -0.0
Baltimore 26 Pittsburgh 6 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+1.6-0.3-2.2
Cincinnati vs Tennessee-0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Washington+0.1*-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs Dallas-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis+0.0+0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Houston+0.1-0.0-0.0
Cleveland vs Baltimore+0.0-0.1-0.0
Detroit vs Green Bay-0.0-0.1+0.0
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.0+0.1+0.0
New England vs Oakland-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1414-0-0962200
13.513-0-1335017
1313-1-0682110002
12.512-1-154251317
1212-2-02637224300800
11.511-2-11533274401500
1111-3-02211520123201932000
10-2-2100
10.510-3-1011102216530245400
1010-4-00311471582131613230000
9-3-2201327713137
9.59-4-10054141148172068100
8-3-3100
99-5-00010751011071816137310000
8-4-24211112231321112
8.58-5-100121003113112120114100
88-6-000006000426111517151273100000
7-5-24616151414131493
7.57-6-100200000381623231572000
6-5-3100
77-7-000100000013711151817138410000
6-6-221261919171315322
6.56-7-1000027162324168200
66-8-0000001381420211710410
5-7-2391423269106
5.55-8-1000281827261541
55-9-00000026142428196
4-8-21692335232
4.54-9-1001313313616
44-10-000015183938
3-9-211152648
3.53-10-10163360
33-11-000032176
2-10-261778
2.52-11-101188
22-12-000694
1-11-2100
1.51-12-1298
11-13-00199
0-12-2100
0.50-13-1100
00-14-00100
Total:00010112111222223333444455667789