Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances

Lost to Dallas 20-26, playoff odds down 17.8 to 33.7%
8-6-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 -10.5
-0.2
-0.4
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 +3.8
+0.2
NY Giants 17 Detroit 6 -3.7
-0.1
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 -3.2
-0.1
Arizona 41 New Orleans 48 +0.2
Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13 -0.2
-0.0
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 -0.2
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 -0.2
-0.0
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 +0.1
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina-4.2+6.4+7.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay-21.8+12.9+34.3
-0.3+0.0+0.4
-0.8+0.1+1.3
Carolina vs Atlanta+10.8-4.9-5.5
+0.2-0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.3-0.3
Chicago vs Washington+6.2+7.3-4.0
+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.2+0.2-0.1
Green Bay vs Minnesota-4.4+5.1+6.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Detroit+0.8+0.6-1.9
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs NY Giants+1.1-1.3-1.3
Los Angeles vs San Francisco-0.3+0.4+0.4
Houston vs Cincinnati-0.3+0.3+0.3
Kansas City vs Denver+0.2+0.2-0.3
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-0.4+0.2+0.2
Cleveland vs San Diego-0.4+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
102-0-093.2%226268316037,502,524,519
9.51-0-175.80286623163,454,068
91-1-022.601012403783,606,791,509
0-0-222.80913423625,758
8.50-1-12.423357864,528,241
80-2-00.20450378038,845,354,977
Total:33.7%06112142432920160,082,679,072

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasSeattleNY GiantsAtlantaDetroitWashingtonGreen Bay
102-0-01.1%21122238883
9.51-0-10.700147371421
91-1-00.20397310
0-0-20.2038741
8.50-1-10.0011
80-2-00.0000
Total:0.4%0.40.44.19.612.53.42.60.8
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/15100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 +0.8
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 +0.2
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 -0.2
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 +0.2
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 +0.1
Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13 +0.1
NY Giants 17 Detroit 6 +0.1
Arizona 41 New Orleans 48 -0.0
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 +0.0
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina+0.2-0.1-0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+1.9+0.1-2.9
Carolina vs Atlanta-1.2+0.6+0.6
Chicago vs Washington-0.3-0.1+0.2
Dallas vs Detroit-0.1+0.2+0.3
Oakland vs Indianapolis-0.2+0.1+0.2
Green Bay vs Minnesota+0.1-0.2-0.2
Houston vs Cincinnati+0.1-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.1+0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Miami-0.0+0.2+0.0
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-0.1+0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Denver-0.1-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs San Diego+0.1+0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs NY Giants-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
102-0-024221790815165100
9.51-0-100235184815710
91-1-0002821111292410200
0-0-2002821111282411200
8.50-1-12021026332050
80-2-000172231251120
Total:015560259715137686310