Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances

Beat San Diego 28-21, playoff odds up 27.5 to 49.2%
7-5-0   .583

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Diego 21 Tampa Bay 28 +14.4
+0.2
+1.1
Arizona 31 Washington 23 +2.3
-0.0
Atlanta 28 Kansas City 29 +1.8
+0.0
+0.1
Pittsburgh 24 NY Giants 14 +1.6
+0.0
Minnesota 15 Dallas 17 +1.2
+0.1
Cincinnati 32 Philadelphia 14 +0.8
+0.1
New Orleans 13 Detroit 28 -0.2
Green Bay 21 Houston 13 -0.2
-0.1
Seattle 40 Carolina 7 +0.0
New England 26 Los Angeles 10 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Indianapolis+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans+19.2-7.2-22.1
+0.3-0.1-0.3
+1.1-0.2-1.2
Philadelphia vs Washington+3.1+3.3-4.7
+0.1+0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Dallas-4.3-4.2+2.6
-0.0-0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Seattle-3.1+0.4+1.9
-0.2-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Minnesota+3.1-1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Miami vs Arizona+1.6-1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Los Angeles vs Atlanta+1.6+1.0-0.6
+0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.2+0.2-0.1
Detroit vs Chicago-0.5+0.6+1.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Oakland+0.2-0.1-0.2
San Francisco vs NY Jets+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Carolina vs San Diego-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Tennessee vs Denver+0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
114-0-0In021514221541,469,497
10.53-0-1In1543191852,176,074
103-1-099.5%126233415003,276,293,144
2-0-299.323023321313,229
9.52-1-189.8082718369109,145,857
1-0-3In1001
92-2-066.702141239267106,515,662,420
1-1-268.902151240256008,137
8.51-2-118.600711133331320011,359,234
0-1-3Out33673
81-3-02.600021434341320005,124,809,741
0-2-23.40031838309104,811
7.50-3-10.00052439256004,250,923
70-4-0Out0042138288001,376,047,009
Total:49.2%01710121915131164210016,861,230,080

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasSeattleDetroitAtlantaNY GiantsWashingtonMinnesotaGreen BayArizonaNew OrleansPhiladelphiaCarolinaLos AngelesChicago
114-0-02.1%22031423149942100
10.53-0-11.91513123115108320100
103-1-01.3115193813974201000
2-0-21.2204193912984201
9.52-1-11.101619341475210100
1-0-3NoYes
92-2-00.700620257331100000
1-1-20.800621258331100
8.51-2-10.200165411000000
0-1-3No
81-3-00.00011000000000
0-2-20.10021000
7.50-3-10.00000
70-4-0No
Total:0.6%0.90.33.512.318.25.83.32.61.40.60.00.30.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/1100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego 21 Tampa Bay 28 -2.7
Atlanta 28 Kansas City 29 -0.2
Minnesota 15 Dallas 17 -0.2
Cincinnati 32 Philadelphia 14 -0.1
Oakland 38 Buffalo 24 -0.1
Arizona 31 Washington 23 -0.1
New Orleans 13 Detroit 28 +0.1
Pittsburgh 24 NY Giants 14 -0.0
Green Bay 21 Houston 13 +0.0
Seattle 40 Carolina 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-2.2+0.3+2.5
Los Angeles vs Atlanta-0.4-0.3+0.2
Green Bay vs Seattle+0.2-0.0-0.2
NY Giants vs Dallas+0.3+0.2-0.1
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.1-0.2+0.1
Jacksonville vs Minnesota-0.2+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Chicago+0.1-0.0-0.2
Carolina vs San Diego-0.1-0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs Pittsburgh+0.0+0.1-0.0
New England vs Baltimore-0.0+0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs Denver+0.1+0.0-0.1
Miami vs Arizona-0.0+0.1-0.0
Indianapolis vs Houston-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
114-0-000121447461710
10.53-0-10153581931541
103-1-00112142211336900000
2-0-2214162211315810
9.52-1-102625301873064100
1-0-3100
92-2-00021040123369157200000
1-1-2002114123369147200
8.51-2-100024101121125261341000
0-1-33367
81-3-00000002021020262212410000
0-2-20003021121262111410
7.50-3-1000141224282092000
70-4-00000141222282292000
Total:000144820112164667874222210000