Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.02 to 0.1%
2-9-0   .182

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati+0.2*+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.2
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Arizona-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs Carolina+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington+0.0-0.2-0.2
Jacksonville vs NY Giants+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Tampa Bay-0.1*+0.1+0.3
-0.2+0.0+0.6
New Orleans vs Carolina-0.0*+0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Atlanta+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Washington vs St. Louis-0.1-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Tampa Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
75-0-029.4%2909292571010,064
6.54-0-115.115936281153
64-1-01.3102153734910124,229
5.53-1-1Out0419412781637
53-2-0Out0021844315607,015
4.52-2-1Out11648352,464
42-3-0Out0643511,424,578
1-2-2Out29717
3.51-3-1Out11893,818
31-4-0Out8921,601,061
0-3-2Out1002
2-2.5Out100698,152*
Total:0.1%0000013821664,472,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Tampa Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBArizonaPhiladelphiaGreen BayDetroitSeattleDallasSan FranciscoChicagoSt. Louis
75-0-00.0%511278500
6.54-0-1No6262
64-1-00.00000000
2-5.5No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-1.0-0.8+0.5
NY Jets vs Miami+0.2*-0.1-0.1
St. Louis vs Oakland-0.1-0.1+0.2
Jacksonville vs NY Giants+0.1-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Tennessee-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Carolina-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/4100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Tampa Bay+0.4-0.9-1.2
Minnesota vs NY Jets-0.1-0.1+0.2
Oakland vs San Francisco+0.2-0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Houston+0.2*-0.1-0.1
Tennessee vs NY Giants+0.1-0.1-0.1
Washington vs St. Louis+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Indianapolis-0.0+0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Carolina-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
75-0-02901112623810
6.54-0-11511382511
64-1-01017263823400
5.53-1-103173928111
53-2-002204129700
4.52-2-1193542131
42-3-000324492130
1-2-214571414
3.51-3-1118522540
31-4-0001242369
0-3-25050
2.50-4-11241389
20-5-0053462
Total:00000011371221221913