Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 20-31, playoff odds down 1.2 to 0.1%
0-5-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -0.9
-0.7
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -0.1
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.1
+0.0
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.0+0.6
Carolina vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well Tampa Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1111-0-0In2835101251313
10.510-0-1In3333333
1010-1-097.5%21022543163436
9.59-1-177.82165253021263
99-2-058.1004814312812204,387
8-1-2Out50502
8.58-2-116.61221229321840475
88-3-06.002041430311530028,804
7-2-27.444726481127
7.57-3-10.200292835205102,756
77-4-00.10000312283418400117,223
6-3-2Out2172631204121
6.56-4-1Out0110293719409,907
5-3-3Out50502
66-5-0Out0031432331520331,578
5-4-2Out04123333152369
5.55-5-1Out00215383311023,640
4-4-3Out4314437
55-6-0Out00172641232653,804
4-5-2Out162838261694
4.54-6-1Out01103845638,682
3-5-3Out14434314
44-7-0Out004275414904,321
3-6-2Out14265515913
2-5-4Out1001
3.53-7-1Out0011602842,072
2-6-3Out2550254
33-8-0Out0065143855,790
2-7-2Out055243723
2.52-8-1Out01386129,797
1-7-3Out60405
22-9-0Out002773530,868
1-8-2Out02872315
1.51-9-1Out148612,163
11-10-0Out0892194,261
0-9-2Out59556
0.50-10-1Out2982,224
00-11-0Out19932,060
Total:0.1%00000000113591734303,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Tampa Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeSeattleNew OrleansDetroitGreen BayDallasPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoChicagoCarolinaArizonaWashingtonSt. LouisAtlantaMinnesota
1111-0-02.2%63334296230230
10.510-0-1No333333
1010-1-00.512611861415663550
9.59-1-1No221651481155353
99-2-00.4068877735232100
8-1-2No
8.58-2-1No342211110100
88-3-00.011110111000000
7-2-2No44
7.57-3-1No0000
77-4-0No00000000000
6-3-2No
0-6.5No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 +1.3
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.0
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.0
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+0.7+0.1-1.2
Kansas City vs Houston-0.0+0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs San Diego+0.1+0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.0+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.0+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.0
Washington vs Chicago+0.1+0.0-0.1
Miami vs Buffalo-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1111-0-00286297317191
10.510-0-1333333
1010-1-02010120231421163
9.59-1-12214322241416175
99-2-00004171432824135100
8-1-2100
8.58-2-11022111102125161010
88-3-000200441523231683100
7-2-2447191522264
7.57-3-100015142525198210
77-4-0000000261421231710410000
6-3-2181218252010411
6.56-4-1015132326199310
5-3-35050
66-5-000026132224191041000
5-4-21612242318942
5.55-5-1002819282513410
4-4-314142943
55-6-000131020272312300
4-5-20392027221530
4.54-6-100021127352130
3-5-37143643
44-7-00015173331112
3-6-215163233131
2-5-4100
3.53-7-10021544327
2-6-3255025
33-8-00018344116
2-7-207334516
2.52-8-101174736
1-7-3402040
22-9-00093951
1-8-21123353
1.51-9-122473
11-10-0011683
0-9-222079
0.50-10-10595
00-11-00397
Total:000000000000000001111223356912181917