New Orleans Saints Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.001 to 57.5%
4-6-0   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New Orleans vs Baltimore+11.8+9.1-7.7
+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.9+0.5-0.6
Atlanta vs Cleveland-8.4+6.1+7.5
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.5+0.3+0.4
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Green Bay+0.1*+0.0-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Dallas-0.1-0.1+0.0
San Diego vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans-7.7+9.1+11.7
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.6+0.5+0.9
Atlanta vs Arizona-9.9+4.4+6.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.2+0.3
Minnesota vs Carolina+1.4+0.5-2.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Chicago+0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs Oakland-0.0-0.0+0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well New Orleans finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
106-0-0In011188296,424,805
9.55-0-199.8%0198000001,326,253
95-1-098.4019800010001,541,556,973
4-0-299.20990002,438
8.54-1-195.609600022005,605,804
3-0-3In1002
84-2-084.700850014910003,150,428,589
3-1-285.6860058108,064
7.53-2-173.77400213920008,915,556
2-1-357.1571414147
73-3-045.0450022321710003,225,858,896
2-2-247.748221217109,479
6.52-3-129.630052028143006,684,569
1-2-333.33333333
62-4-06.260419342791001,755,664,917
1-3-27.4731833289104,642
5.51-4-11.92016253823502,371,900
0-3-3Out1001
51-5-00.00002153635111484,050,096
0-4-2Out02124032121831
4.50-5-1Out04274921320,081
40-6-0Out0221483053,747,134
Total:57.5%000570002101085321010,532,981,040

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well New Orleans finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaGreen BayDetroitDallasPhiladelphiaSeattleAtlantaSan FranciscoCarolinaChicagoMinnesotaTampa BaySt. LouisNY GiantsWashington
106-0-02.0%16192215617013000000
9.55-0-12.00620221461801300000
95-1-01.9061922146180130000000
4-0-22.361923146191300
8.54-1-11.96182213618012000000
3-0-3No5050
84-2-01.7051620115160110000000
3-1-21.661620125161100
7.53-2-11.54141810514900000
2-1-3No14141414
73-3-00.938116380600000
2-2-20.939126396000
6.52-3-10.6268426400000
1-2-3No33
62-4-00.1012101100000
1-3-20.112210110
5.51-4-10.00010000000
0-3-3No
51-5-00.0000000000
0-4-2No
4-4.5No
Total:1.1%0.03.511.013.57.83.610.70.07.20.00.10.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Baltimore-2.2-1.5+1.4
Atlanta vs Cleveland+1.1-0.8-1.0
NY Giants vs Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.0
San Francisco vs Washington-0.0-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Green Bay+0.1+0.1-0.0
San Diego vs St. Louis-0.0-0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+0.0-0.1-0.1
Houston vs Cincinnati+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+1.4-1.5-2.2
Atlanta vs Arizona+1.3-0.6-0.8
Minnesota vs Carolina-0.2-0.1+0.3
St. Louis vs Oakland+0.1-0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs NY Giants-0.1-0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Chicago-0.0-0.0+0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
106-0-00012104741
9.55-0-10013167000000000
95-1-000198900000000000000
4-0-2099000000
8.54-1-103930000011110000
3-0-3100
84-2-0000840000000135420000
3-1-20850001344200
7.53-2-10740000138941000
2-1-31443141414
73-3-00450000001413191341000
2-2-2048014131812410
6.52-3-103000162026143000
1-2-3333333
62-4-00600003163229112000
1-3-270041732281120
5.51-4-12000419362910100
0-3-3100
51-5-000001123336152000
0-4-211334351430
4.50-5-1011235361420
40-6-00021233361530
Total:00000354000000000122577763210000