"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

New Orleans Saints Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.07 to 25.3%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs New Orleans-8.0+2.6+11.2
-0.5*+0.2+0.7
-0.9+0.4+1.3
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh-0.8*+0.5+1.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Cincinnati-0.8*+0.4+0.9
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Buffalo-0.4*+0.7+0.7
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs San Francisco+0.3*+0.3-0.5
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Chicago+0.4*+0.2-0.4
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis-0.3*+0.2+0.3
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.2*+0.1+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Washington vs Green Bay+0.2*+0.1-0.3
Detroit vs New England-0.2*-0.2+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Houston vs NY Giants+0.2*-0.3-0.2
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Dallas-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Giants vs New Orleans-7.3*+0.8+8.7
-0.5*-0.0+0.5
-1.0+0.2+1.2
Atlanta vs Cincinnati-0.8*-0.0+0.9
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs Buffalo-0.4*-0.1+0.7
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
LA Chargers vs San Francisco+0.3*-0.1-0.5
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs Philadelphia+0.3*-0.2-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
LA Rams vs Minnesota+0.2*-0.2-0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+0.2*+0.7-0.3
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Seattle+0.2*+0.4-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Detroit-0.0*+0.6+0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Oakland vs Cleveland-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Orleans finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In10004,227
14.513-0-1In1007
1413-1-0In991013,444
13.512-1-1In955123
1312-2-0In926020105,190
11-1-2In1001
12.511-2-1In8611031,114
1211-3-0100.0%702110800502,979
10-2-2In75254
11.510-3-1In5332401104,864
1110-4-0100.03035101221001,640,146
9-3-2In323292634
10.59-4-199.81433193274014,359
109-5-097.4417207351520003,860,336
8-4-297.62142953612242
9.58-5-191.41717123025810030,043
7-4-3In1001
98-6-063.1017111529241030006,778,728
7-5-272.5121491036215191
8.57-6-134.302851930231020046,679
87-7-09.00031514252617720009,003,300
6-6-211.3571126261953133
7.56-7-11.60100313263019710054,220
76-8-00.30000028182725144109,094,826
5-7-20.711261733281021140
6.55-8-10.000016193128123047,180
65-9-00.00000151629311636,947,856
4-8-2Out4133724185110
5.54-9-1Out0015203729830,065
3-8-3Out1001
54-10-0Out00172542253,952,745
3-9-2Out530382756
4.53-10-1Out00214434013,408
43-11-0Out00532621,626,459
2-10-2Out14295714
3.52-11-1Out0224744,069
32-12-0Out001288454,723
1-11-2Out1005
2.51-12-1Out793756
21-13-0Out029878,274
1.50-13-1Out10067
10-14-0Out01009,597
Total:25.3%333367777788888644,320,416

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New Orleans finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeLA RamsTampa BayMinnesotaWashingtonGreen BayChicagoDallasPhiladelphiaAtlantaCarolinaSan FranciscoSeattleNY GiantsDetroitArizona
14.5-1512.6%Yes
1413-1-013.41000000000000
13.512-1-110.6Yes
1312-2-013.198000000000000000
11-1-2NoYes
12.511-2-111.897010001000
1211-3-011.991101111110010000
10-2-225.0Yes
11.510-3-110.685112221220111100
1110-4-09.265423433441121111
9-3-214.765691236
10.59-4-17.547545644562232211
109-5-05.121877866773353321
8-4-24.81751010121077521022
9.58-5-13.77988877784453321
7-4-3NoYes
98-6-02.21776655553342211
7-5-23.33594138523378153
8.57-6-11.20444433332121110
87-7-00.30111111110010000
6-6-20.822222121
7.56-7-10.1000000000000000
76-8-00.0000000000000000
5-7-2No1
6.55-8-1No00000000
65-9-00.0000000000000
4-8-2No
1-5.5No
Total:1.4%5.72.01.91.92.01.71.61.81.70.90.81.20.70.70.40.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland 21 NY Jets 17 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Atlanta vs New Orleans+1.8-0.0-2.5
Arizona vs Chicago-0.0+0.1+0.0
Baltimore vs Denver-0.0+0.1+0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis-0.0+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh+0.0-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Dallas+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Buffalo-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Washington vs Green Bay-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Houston vs NY Giants+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Miami vs Oakland-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Lottery seed
NY Giants vs New Orleans+1.8+0.3-2.2
LA Chargers vs San Francisco-0.0+0.1+0.0
Oakland vs Cleveland+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Tennessee vs Philadelphia+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Cincinnati+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Detroit-0.0+0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Seattle-0.0-0.1+0.0
LA Rams vs Minnesota-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-010000
14.513-0-1100
1413-1-094510
13.512-1-18975
1312-2-07518600200
11-1-2100
12.511-2-1662011003
1211-3-033371821008000
10-2-2255025
11.510-3-119342754001000
1110-4-0426171892101931000
9-3-262621129243
10.59-4-1114112215430226400
109-5-004215812611619122300
8-4-225101217519171022
9.58-5-1107314847221878100
7-4-3100
98-6-000106471149202582100000
7-5-2121427109271882
8.57-6-10021705118122019114100
87-7-0000030105513202115942100000
6-6-2577102416161043
7.56-7-100100001391824221462000
76-8-000000000127131921171162100000
5-7-21279242519761
6.55-8-10000139172423157200
65-9-00000001381521221794100
4-8-25710252219732
5.54-9-101392027241340
3-8-3100
54-10-000001411222722112
3-9-22713251625112
4.53-10-1001415323514
43-11-0000029253825
2-10-27213636
3.52-11-10183655
32-12-000052966
1-11-22080
2.51-12-101386
21-13-000991
1.50-13-1199
10-14-00298
Total:12121212243454544344443444433332