New Orleans Saints Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 17.2%
0-2-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 -5.5
-0.4
-0.7
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 +0.7
+0.1
Carolina 24 Detroit 7 -0.7
-0.0
Minnesota 7 New England 30 +0.4
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 -0.3
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +0.3
+0.0
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 -0.3
-0.1
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 -0.3
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.3
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 +0.2
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 -0.2
-0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 -0.2
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New Orleans vs Minnesota+5.7*-2.2-6.8
+0.3*-0.2-0.4
+0.9*-0.4-1.1
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.7*+0.4+1.4
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.4*-0.6+0.6
-0.0+0.6+0.0
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Denver-0.3*-1.1+0.4
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.2*+0.5-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Houston-0.1*-0.2+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Detroit vs Green Bay+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Philadelphia vs Washington+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well New Orleans finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1414-0-0In991657
13.513-0-1In1002
1313-1-0In946013,216
12.512-1-1In8216244
1212-2-0In7221105022,951
11.511-2-1In5533507236
1111-3-0100.0%3336111191098,518
10.510-3-1In1234204273861
1010-4-097.95192383112200291,694
9-3-2In75254
9.59-4-190.705191625248102,434
99-5-068.10291515272192000626,838
8-4-260.010203020101010
8.58-5-132.82133152825123004,498
88-6-013.2007151725241451000998,172
7-5-211.1115622119
7.57-6-13.030029222923102006,560
77-7-00.901000310212722124101,203,754
6-6-2Out18321827522
6.56-7-10.1001415293116407,015
66-8-00.00000161729291431,101,250
5-7-2Out516263711519
5.55-8-1Out003153435135,475
55-9-00.000018254125763,918
4-8-2Out40303010
4.54-9-1Out011039503,148
44-10-0Out00053164394,951
3-9-2Out67333
3.53-10-1Out0117821,286
33-11-0Out001189146,088
2.52-11-1Out0397361
22-12-0Out029837,747
1.51-12-1Out10065
11-13-0Out01005,722
0-0.5Out100878*
Total:17.2%12234556678891011115,728,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well New Orleans finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeCarolinaArizonaPhiladelphiaWashingtonSeattleChicagoMinnesotaDetroitSan FranciscoDallasAtlantaGreen BaySt. LouisTampa BayNY Giants
13.5-1411.5%Yes
1313-1-013.2990000000000
12.512-1-19.1982
1212-2-011.893011101110001000
11.511-2-110.288111111201111
1111-3-09.269233323332212101
10.510-3-17.046546535654423101
1010-4-05.324877656675435311
9-3-2No7525
9.59-4-13.75979877775545311
99-5-02.42866655554433211
8-4-2No101010101010
8.58-5-10.9343323322212100
88-6-00.50111111111101000
7-5-2No11
7.57-6-10.10000000000000
77-7-00.0000000000000000
6-6-2No
6.56-7-1No0000000
66-8-00.0000000000000
5-7-2No
5.55-8-1No
55-9-0No0
4-8-2No
0-4.5No
Total:0.8%3.11.61.41.41.21.11.21.21.20.90.90.50.80.50.20.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/11100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 +1.7
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 +0.1
Minnesota 7 New England 30 +0.1
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 -0.1
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 -0.0
Carolina 24 Detroit 7 +0.0
Denver 24 Kansas City 17 -0.0
Oakland 14 Houston 30 -0.0
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Minnesota-1.8+0.4+2.2
St. Louis vs Dallas+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Tennessee-0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Arizona vs San Francisco+0.1*-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Houston+0.1+0.0-0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.2-0.1
Seattle vs Denver+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Buffalo vs San Diego-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Miami vs Kansas City-0.0*-0.3+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1414-0-09721
13.513-0-1100
1313-1-073215001
12.512-1-16616162
1212-2-03141183100500
11.511-2-12233286507
1111-3-0429162092101621000
10.510-3-10121023164402253
1010-4-0052188156215161022000
9-3-27525
9.59-4-1005415124817186810
99-5-0002195102139181311621000
8-4-210201020101020
8.58-5-1231103113102019125100
88-6-0000160105261115161511631000
7-5-2112222112211
7.57-6-1030000028172322157210
77-7-000100000013712161817138410000
6-6-251427182314
6.56-7-1000127162424167200
66-8-000000149152021169410
5-7-2551142325
5.55-8-1000281926251351
55-9-0000027152527186
4-8-220601010
4.54-9-100314313517
44-10-000015193936
3-9-26733
3.53-10-1173557
33-11-000032275
2.52-11-111189
22-12-00694
1.51-12-1298
11-13-00199
0-0.5100
Total:01011212122322333334444455555666