"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

New Orleans Saints Playoff Chances

Lost to Baltimore 27-34, playoff odds down 9.7 to 55%
4-7-0   .364

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New Orleans 27 Baltimore 34 -7.8
-0.2
-0.6
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 +7.5
+0.1
+0.4
Chicago 21 Tampa Bay 13 +0.1
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 -0.0
+0.0
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 +0.0
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 +0.0
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans-8.2+11.8+13.3
-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.7+0.7+1.1
Atlanta vs Arizona-9.4+5.8+6.6
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.3+0.4
Minnesota vs Carolina+2.1+1.5-3.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Detroit vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.1
St. Louis vs Oakland-0.0-0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs NY Giants+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well New Orleans finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
95-0-0In00100224,054,547
8.54-0-199.4%099000000797,495
84-1-095.409500014000875,750,304
3-0-298.1981101,114
7.53-1-188.58800741002,414,841
73-2-062.76300191530001,265,816,043
2-1-267.56701514302,491
6.52-2-145.8464192291002,558,877
1-1-3Out1001
62-3-011.21142336224000863,985,099
1-2-215.3152213621401,649
5.51-3-14.14019333715201,141,991
51-4-00.0000422422740281,355,726
0-3-20.300419393261366
4.50-4-1Out08394310182,976
40-5-0Out0434461535,380,656
Total:55.0%0055000091110743103,553,444,176

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well New Orleans finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaGreen BayPhiladelphiaDallasSeattleDetroitAtlantaSan FranciscoChicagoSt. LouisMinnesota
95-0-01.7%01679192213013000
8.54-0-11.7167919221313000
84-1-01.71578192113013000
3-0-22.21579202112150
7.53-1-11.5146817201212000
73-2-01.11045121498000
2-1-21.1105513151090
6.52-2-10.873491166000
1-1-3No
62-3-00.22112321000
1-2-20.22113421
5.51-3-10.1100111100
51-4-00.000000000
0-3-2No0
4-4.5No
Total:1.0%0.08.63.74.810.612.37.40.07.40.20.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans 27 Baltimore 34 +1.3
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 -1.0
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22 -0.1
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 -0.0
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 -0.0
Chicago 21 Tampa Bay 13 +0.0
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 -0.0
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+1.5-1.9-2.4
Atlanta vs Arizona+1.3-0.8-0.9
Minnesota vs Carolina-0.3-0.2+0.5
St. Louis vs Oakland+0.1-0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs NY Giants-0.1-0.1+0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
95-0-0000495
8.54-0-102970000000000
84-1-00095000000011210000
3-0-29801100
7.53-1-10880001352000
73-2-006300003101582000
2-1-267003813620
6.52-2-146004172110100
1-1-3100
62-3-011000052336204000
1-2-2150523331940
5.51-3-140006273920300
51-4-00000525422440000
0-3-200220393160
4.50-4-1004254324500
40-5-0006263923500
Total:00005500000000014691074210000