New Orleans Saints Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.005 to 33.8%
2-4-0   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New Orleans vs Green Bay+10.7+2.7-7.3
+0.2*+0.0-0.1
+1.2+0.1-0.8
Carolina vs Seattle-6.0*+0.4+4.4
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.3*+0.0+0.2
Atlanta vs Detroit-3.2+2.0+2.0
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-0.3*-0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Dallas vs Washington+0.0-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs New Orleans-15.2*+0.2+14.8
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
-1.4-0.2+1.4
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.2*-0.2-0.5
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.1*-0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Oakland-0.0*+0.2+0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.1-0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs Washington-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well New Orleans finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1210-0-0In235125240,249
11.59-0-1In1144377308
119-1-0100.0%3264922000396,489
8-0-2In1001
10.58-1-1100.001148400002,958
108-2-099.6043460010001,865,300
7-1-2In38638
9.57-2-197.2015790221012,035
97-3-090.500879035310005,087,580
6-2-288.238236634
8.56-3-176.817501610610028,705
86-4-057.500560151415720008,928,183
5-3-260.51581517142181
7.55-4-140.20400171922102042,966
75-5-018.70190041628229200010,531,702
4-4-212.713413332310579
6.54-5-18.9902133130132041,372
64-6-01.8200172333248108,482,227
3-5-21.62524352410263
5.53-6-10.400317343211126,607
53-7-00.000021029371934,597,899
2-6-2Out412193131426
4.52-7-1Out1628452110,820
42-8-0Out0042247271,608,836
1-7-2Out1767176
3.51-8-1Out0230672,504
31-9-0Out022671329,075
0-8-2Out1003
2.50-9-1Out595214
20-10-0Out049632,822
Total:33.8%0133000248101110974242,069,152

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well New Orleans finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
1210-0-04.4%73263511330010000
11.59-0-12.9554969224600100
119-1-02.729914111441750230010
8-0-2NoYes
10.58-1-11.811131516186275123010
108-2-01.741815171962751230000
7-1-2No13502513
9.57-2-11.402115182252640220000
97-3-01.402014172051540220000
6-2-2No915182439633
8.56-3-11.11912151830430110000
86-4-00.90149121330330110000
5-3-2No19114172412
7.55-4-10.61068922210000
75-5-00.343441011000000
4-4-2No43411
6.54-5-10.1212200000000
64-6-00.0000000000000
3-5-2No2
5.53-6-10.0000000000
53-7-00.00000000000
2-6-2No
2-4.5No
Total:0.5%0.67.35.16.57.41.70.21.81.60.10.60.60.00.00.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Green Bay-2.4-0.6+1.6
Carolina vs Seattle+0.6-0.1-0.4
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.4-0.3-0.2
Dallas vs Washington-0.1-0.1+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-0.0+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs New Orleans+2.8-0.1-2.7
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.1-0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Arizona-0.0+0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.0
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.0-0.0
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.0+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Washington-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.0-0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1210-0-0320272422320
11.59-0-111021233437
119-1-003224212819300000
8-0-2100
10.58-1-1001016323370000
108-2-00043312832001000000
7-1-213252538
9.57-2-10015295000112100
97-3-0000810690002233100000
6-2-23676366
8.56-3-1157000113674210
86-4-00001550010136101074100000
5-3-21157112711674
7.55-4-10040000014101515104100
75-5-0001900001271420191251000
4-4-21313111319201361
6.54-5-1900292127208200
64-6-0020000161626261661000
3-5-2261427251762
5.53-6-1000211253121710
53-7-0000002821302511300
2-6-2423272323
4.52-7-10161933281120
42-8-000016183229122
1-7-217331733
3.51-8-1062437276
31-9-00017264124
0-8-23367
2.50-9-12154241
20-10-0042769
Total:000003327000001122334666766543210