Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances

Beat Minnesota 35-10, playoff odds up 20.9 to 43.7%
2-3-0   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 +9.0
+0.4
+0.9
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -1.3
-0.1
-0.1
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.8
+0.2
+0.1
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -0.8
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.5
-0.0
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -0.4
-0.0
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.3
-0.1
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.2+1.3-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.2*+0.6+0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs St. Louis+7.0-6.0-16.7
+0.6-0.5-1.3
+0.5-0.3-1.3
Washington vs Chicago+1.3-1.7-1.2
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Seattle-1.8*-0.6+1.1
-0.1-0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs San Francisco+1.1*-0.3-1.5
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.9*+0.0+1.3
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.7*-0.4+1.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.2*+0.5+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Carolina finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1311-0-0In6634116,760
12.510-0-1In5738231,198
1210-1-0In305080120120,065
9-0-2In43493635
11.59-1-1100.0%164216024107,782
119-2-099.762923235600388,050
8-1-299.59322612560219
10.58-2-198.011325341162022,832
7-1-3In25754
108-3-089.10416633299100735,570
7-2-290.7051873130810583
9.57-3-168.901951936247138,097
6-2-375.01363258
97-4-042.5003582632206000909,238
6-3-240.33582433234923
8.56-4-113.61211029361830041,257
5-3-3Out5633119
86-5-04.700103132932164000771,282
5-4-24.32031430341620791
7.55-5-10.400021334331430029,483
4-4-3Out4343147
75-6-00.100000416323014300456,777
4-5-20.2003143530152541
6.54-6-10.0003173531122014,455
3-5-3Out141429437
64-7-00.000016213628810190,816
3-6-2Out521392681193
5.53-7-1Out016254024404,702
2-6-3Out50502
53-8-0Out00213363613154,509
2-7-2Out62483110248
4.52-8-1Out219453131,062
42-9-0Out01103745710,004
1-8-2Out2550254
3.51-9-1Out4156022124
31-10-0Out11059301,095
2.50-10-1Out67333
20-11-0Out03763345
Total:43.7%2673131413121086421003,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Carolina finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeSeattleNew OrleansDetroitGreen BayDallasPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoChicagoArizonaWashingtonSt. LouisAtlantaMinnesotaNY GiantsTampa Bay
1311-0-015.8%990000000000
12.510-0-115.49501011110000
1210-1-013.480122244111100000
9-0-22.99136
11.59-1-111.15915339933230000
119-2-08.83538661313453410000
8-1-213.24117851010334420
10.58-2-16.514512981515563410000
7-1-3No25252525
108-3-05.156141091313573310000
7-2-25.16615101013125633200
9.57-3-13.6161210888462210000
6-2-3No253813
97-4-02.10477555241100000
6-3-21.1386547231100
8.56-4-10.712221111000000
5-3-3No
86-5-00.20111100000000000
5-4-20.610100010000
7.55-5-10.0000000000000
4-4-3No
75-6-00.0000000000000
4-5-2No0
6.54-6-1No0
3-5-3No
64-7-0No0
3-6-2No
2-5.5No
Total:3.0%7.62.75.64.53.95.35.42.13.01.41.40.40.10.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -1.9
New England 30 New Orleans 27 -0.2
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 +0.1
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 +0.1
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +0.1
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.0
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.0-0.2+0.0
Dallas vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.0
San Diego vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs St. Louis-1.1+0.2+2.6
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs San Diego-0.1-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+0.0-0.1-0.1
Washington vs Chicago-0.1+0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Cincinnati+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Houston-0.0-0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs New England+0.1*-0.1-0.0
Indianapolis vs Denver+0.0-0.1-0.0
Miami vs Buffalo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1311-0-011552851
12.510-0-1651308221
1210-1-012924277100560
9-0-243232636
11.59-1-101616271330101410
119-2-00642512111072860000
8-1-295271412181760
10.58-2-1111210152063614120
7-1-3255025
108-3-00043144223120983000
7-2-20541342228219630
9.57-3-1010823018171921920
6-2-313382525
97-4-000031408720817181141000
6-3-20224087188172011310
8.56-4-1102109721272092000
5-3-333441111
86-5-000010030141019242012410000
5-4-2203015101925219410
7.55-5-1000015142426188300
4-4-3142914141414
75-6-00000000001411202521124100
4-5-20015112223201141
6.54-6-100015142426188200
3-5-3292943
64-7-00000026152526176100
3-6-21711302518711
5.53-7-1012920302212300
2-6-35050
53-8-000172032281010
2-7-28819193582
4.52-8-10041330331820
42-9-00172442224
1-8-2502525
3.51-9-121850273
31-10-02254825
2.50-10-16733
20-11-042769
Total:021425121126745555554333222111000