Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.008 to 49.2%
3-3-1   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Seattle+11.1-1.5-8.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+1.2+0.3-0.9
New Orleans vs Green Bay-6.8-1.7+4.7
-0.4-0.1+0.3
Atlanta vs Detroit-3.6-2.8+2.3
-0.3-0.2+0.2
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-0.6*+0.3+0.6
New England vs Chicago+0.0+0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.0*+0.4-0.0
Dallas vs Washington+0.0+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs New Orleans+16.1-1.5-15.7
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+1.4+0.2-1.4
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.4*-0.1-1.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.1*-0.3-0.0
Seattle vs Oakland-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.0*-0.4+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Carolina finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
12.59-0-0In534070107,460
128-0-1In4642121796
11.58-1-0In11433971,169,083
7-0-2In2525504
117-1-1In936441108,651
10.57-2-0100.0%010484100006,192,234
6-1-2In412384626
106-2-199.9084348000039,672
9.56-3-098.400158201100018,658,693
5-2-298.3187922120
95-3-194.301180134200101,406
8.55-4-083.5018201474100035,286,338
4-3-284.508134830232
84-4-164.701630161411300157,164
7.54-5-047.8048000617198100043,430,937
3-4-249.7505171891290
73-5-123.30230051828196100153,136
2-4-3Out1001
6.53-6-011.7120021229291320034,843,252
2-5-29.4931228321321191
62-6-12.22001723332481090,740
1-5-3Out1001
5.52-7-00.51000214343413117,558,285
1-6-2Out41434351480
51-7-10.00017254023429,966
4.51-8-00.000042347265,041,449
0-7-2Out25502512
40-8-1Out011545394,407
3.50-9-0Out022376638,558
Total:49.2%01444001368986531163,513,184

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Carolina finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
12.59-0-03.1%93011200110000000
128-0-13.58711331120100
11.58-1-02.1545691031350220000
7-0-2No502525
117-1-11.94667111131460320000
10.57-2-01.0101314181761670330000
6-1-23.81542719154124
106-2-10.981415181861670330000
9.56-3-00.701916212051560320000
5-2-2No22192517312813
95-3-10.701815192051450220000
8.55-4-00.601813181840440210000
4-3-20.420918206023230
84-4-10.501410141530330110000
7.54-5-00.4118101020220110000
3-4-2No91010941221
73-5-10.2545511100000
2-4-3No
6.53-6-00.1323211100000
2-5-2No13231
62-6-10.0001000000000
1-5-3No
5.52-7-00.0000000000000
1-6-2No
51-7-1No0
4.51-8-0No0000
0-7-2No
3.5-4No
Total:0.4%0.910.17.710.510.32.30.22.32.70.11.10.90.00.00.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs Seattle-2.3+0.0+1.7
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.8+0.2-0.5
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.5+0.3-0.3
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.0+0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.0-0.1+0.0
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.0-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.0+0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.0-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.0+0.1+0.0
New England vs Chicago-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs New Orleans-2.7+0.1+2.7
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.0-0.1+0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.0
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
12.59-0-01933337700
128-0-154118241021
11.58-1-0111152831870
7-0-225252525
117-1-1093331726910
10.57-2-0000101435348000000
6-1-241283146
106-2-10073392325000000
9.56-3-000001529530011100000
5-2-2182653211
95-3-10011126801121221000
8.55-4-000157700112453100000
4-3-20575313633
84-4-1011620010125887310000
7.54-5-00048000001381314931000
3-4-2502814131110
73-5-100230000261218191351000
2-4-3100
6.53-6-001200002820272092000
2-5-291113143021921
62-6-1200015132427187200
1-5-3100
5.52-7-010002923322392000
1-6-2382343196
51-7-1001617292915410
4.51-8-0000041733311320
0-7-283333178
40-8-103143034163
3.50-9-00042140286
Total:000113638000001112344456544321100