Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances

Lost to New Orleans 10-28, playoff odds down 18 to 8%
3-5-1   .389

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina 10 New Orleans 28 -12.7
-0.1
-1.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Oakland-0.0*-0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.0*+0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Washington+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Carolina-2.1+1.4+7.5
-0.4+0.8+1.5
New Orleans vs San Francisco-2.4+0.6+4.4
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Tampa Bay vs Atlanta+0.3-0.2-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Green Bay vs Chicago-0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Dallas+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Seattle vs NY Giants+0.0+0.0-0.1
Arizona vs St. Louis+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Carolina finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
10.57-0-099.9%11244412100924,712
106-0-199.419365032106,832
9.56-1-089.700971288200011,035,697
5-0-287.5136784824
95-1-177.505612913820072,957
8.55-2-048.300460211231530058,463,366
4-1-244.14221223191202
84-2-130.90300182526910314,127
7.54-3-016.001600072733142000164,474,154
3-2-214.515062834143648
73-3-16.460042035268100688,847
2-2-3Out1001
6.53-4-02.2200214353313200265,451,228
2-3-21.72212323415301,114
62-4-10.300017253524710808,986
5.52-5-00.00000318383280245,196,647
1-4-20.1003154131100816
51-5-1Out00193041182482,635
4.51-6-0Out0006344615119,488,583
0-5-2Out07314318259
40-6-1Out002235025113,914
3.50-7-0Out004346223,606,827
Total:8.0%000800137101415151494891,132,576

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Carolina finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDetroitArizonaNew OrleansDallasPhiladelphiaGreen BaySeattleSan FranciscoNY GiantsAtlantaMinnesotaChicagoWashingtonTampa BaySt. Louis
10.57-0-00.7%1310891010141293001100
106-0-10.710118810121411930100
9.56-1-00.4012961411141192001000
5-0-2No134813821884
95-1-10.401085121112107200100
8.55-2-00.20750978651000000
4-1-2No4617610242
84-2-10.243065543100000
7.54-3-00.1220322220000000
3-2-2No313131100
73-3-10.0111111100000
2-2-3No
6.53-4-00.0000000000000
2-3-2No0001000
62-4-10.000000000000
5.52-5-00.0000000000000
1-4-2No0
3.5-5No
Total:0.0%0.01.10.80.11.51.11.21.00.90.20.00.00.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 10 New Orleans 28 +2.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.0+0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Carolina+0.7-0.7-2.5
New Orleans vs San Francisco+0.3-0.0-0.5
Green Bay vs Chicago-0.0+0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Tennessee-0.0+0.1+0.1
Arizona vs St. Louis-0.0+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Atlanta-0.1-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs NY Giants-0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
10.57-0-0010121430347111000
106-0-110913517330211000
9.56-1-000009205102174420000
5-0-2132542848
95-1-1053580209146642000
8.55-2-0000244002014101512620000
4-1-2042214101812800
84-2-10029010012713181693000
7.54-3-00016000000131223251551000
3-2-215131025251741
73-3-106000028192823112000
2-2-3100
6.53-4-002000151833291120000
2-3-220151730301330
62-4-1000014142931164100
5.52-5-000002133234153000
1-4-2002143135143
51-5-1002112935194000
4.51-6-0000213343514200
0-5-22163432143
40-6-10021232341640
3.50-7-0000318403081
Total:000000070000000111346811121212963100