Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.5 to 77.6%
2-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina 24 Detroit 7 +8.8
+1.1
+0.9
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 +1.1
+0.3
+0.1
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 +1.1
+0.1
+0.1
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 +0.6
+0.0
Minnesota 7 New England 30 +0.5
+0.1
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +0.4
+0.1
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.3
+0.1
+0.0
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 -0.3
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 -0.3
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 -0.3
-0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 -0.2
-0.0
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+4.2*-1.3-8.1
+0.9*+0.1-1.8
+0.4-0.2-0.8
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.7*+0.2+0.9
-0.1*-1.4+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
New Orleans vs Minnesota-0.7*-0.4+0.8
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Denver-0.3*+0.4+0.3
-0.1*-0.6+0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.2*-0.7-0.2
+0.1*+0.4-0.1
Philadelphia vs Washington+0.1*-1.0-0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
St. Louis vs Dallas+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.1*+1.4-0.1
NY Giants vs Houston-0.1*+1.2+0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.1*-0.4+0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Carolina finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16In1001,916*
1513-1-0In100016,655
14.512-1-1In991175
1412-2-0In9820089,977
13.511-2-1In982814
1311-3-0In928000290,942
10-2-2In1003
12.510-3-1In8613002,283
1210-4-0In71263010643,330
9-3-2In70102010
11.59-4-1In53386024,669
119-5-0100.0%334417240001,027,573
8-4-2In2747137715
10.58-5-199.914413167106,546
108-6-099.1626351611510001,215,775
7-5-2In3020302020
9.57-6-195.709323211114007,003
97-7-081.403193681512510001,090,811
6-6-278.3173092217423
8.56-7-153.905382920178205,380
86-8-031.30225151320181151000742,417
5-7-227.3189181892711
7.55-8-112.00120172027218203,187
75-9-06.10600031020252111310381,800
4-8-214.314291429147
6.54-9-11.820415292916401,336
64-10-00.5100017183027133145,917
5.53-10-1Out0414343413413
53-11-00.00001926402340,240
4.52-11-1Out8405273
42-12-0Out0631627,679
3.51-12-1Out11899
31-13-0Out01287916
20-14-0Out397491
Total:77.6%221715145544333221105,728,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Carolina finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaPhiladelphiaWashingtonSeattleChicagoMinnesotaDetroitSan FranciscoDallasAtlantaGreen BayNew OrleansSt. LouisTampa BayNY Giants
14.5-1620.0%Yes
1412-2-019.7100000000
13.511-2-120.8Yes
1311-3-019.6100000000000000000
10-2-266.7Yes
12.510-3-120.0990000000000
1210-4-018.697000000000000000
9-3-210.0801010
11.59-4-118.392111111101110000
119-5-015.877222222222211110
8-4-220.0737713
10.58-5-113.755334444334422211
108-6-010.732666655555543321
7-5-2No3010105101055105
9.57-6-17.89888876777653331
97-7-06.23777776666643321
6-6-28.7991349413449
8.56-7-13.70656654444231211
86-8-02.30333333232121100
5-7-2No918
7.55-8-11.01111111110100
75-9-00.5111111100000000
4-8-2No14
6.54-9-10.200000000000
64-10-00.0000000000000
5.53-10-1No
53-11-00.0000
2-4.5No
Total:10.2%39.23.53.53.53.43.23.13.03.02.82.72.01.61.51.00.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/11100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina 24 Detroit 7 -1.8
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 -0.2
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 -0.1
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 -0.1
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 -0.0
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 +0.0
Minnesota 7 New England 30 +0.0
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-1.0+0.3+2.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+0.1*-0.1-0.2
New Orleans vs Minnesota+0.1+0.2-0.1
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1614-0-01000
15.513-0-1100
1513-1-09910
14.512-1-19821
1412-2-0954200
13.511-2-19172
1311-3-07715800000
10-2-2100
12.510-3-1612613000
1210-4-040312423000100
9-3-230401020
11.59-4-118363186002
119-5-0726271715220400000
8-4-2131333131377
10.58-5-10131329248605110
108-6-005521201614284401000
7-5-210202020101010
9.57-6-10096252394893410
97-7-00032171917279786310000
6-6-21713179913139
8.56-7-100583002197141383100
86-8-000242101042591213119521000
5-7-29999927189
7.55-8-1001200027141922147200
75-9-0006000001361115171613841000
4-8-214292929
6.54-9-1202615232418721
64-10-010001381420211710410
5.53-10-10391629241441
53-11-0000026142528196
4.52-11-110343422
42-12-0015173939
3.51-12-13367
31-13-0031977
20-14-00496
Total:1210988777323222222221111111110000