Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 49.3%
3-3-1   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -6.2
-0.2
-0.6
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 +2.9
+0.2
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +2.1
+0.1
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +0.1
+0.1
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +0.1
+0.0
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 +0.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.0
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -0.0
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Seattle+11.1-1.2-8.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+1.2+0.3-0.9
New Orleans vs Green Bay-6.8-1.2+4.7
-0.4-0.1+0.3
Atlanta vs Detroit-3.7-2.5+2.3
-0.3-0.2+0.2
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-0.6+0.5+0.6
New England vs Chicago+0.0+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Washington+0.0+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Carolina finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
12.59-0-0In534070139,987
128-0-1In43431411,046
11.58-1-0In11433971,518,100
7-0-2In144329147
117-1-1In9364311011,546
10.57-2-0100.0%010484100008,048,430
6-1-2In6454831
106-2-199.9084348000051,300
9.56-3-098.400158101100024,281,781
5-2-298.612871146
95-3-194.401180134200131,719
4-2-3In1001
8.55-4-083.5018201474100045,895,628
4-3-281.8180148410292
84-4-164.71630161411300204,964
3-3-3Out1001
7.54-5-047.8048000617198100056,491,477
3-4-243.64407152581358
73-5-123.60240051828196100199,444
2-4-3Out1001
6.53-6-011.71200021329291320045,328,996
2-5-211.311011126331520248
62-6-12.32017233324810118,770
5.52-7-00.5100214343413122,835,914
1-6-2Out2133833141128
51-7-10.00016254024439,131
4.51-8-00.000042347266,550,913
0-7-2Out20602010
40-8-1Out011446385,561
3.50-9-0Out022376831,926
Total:49.3%01444001368986531212,687,856

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Carolina finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
12.59-0-03.2%93011200110000000
128-0-13.0851144101101000
11.58-1-02.1545691031350220000
7-0-2No57141414
117-1-11.84667111141460320000
10.57-2-01.0101314181761670330000
6-1-2No616166323163
106-2-11.081415181851670330000
9.56-3-00.801916212051560320000
5-2-20.71821212153821
95-3-10.701815202051450220000
4-2-3NoYes
8.55-4-00.601913181840440210000
4-3-20.7211018193441200
84-4-10.51410141530330110000
3-3-3No
7.54-5-00.4118111020220110000
3-4-20.310910812310
73-5-10.2545511100000
2-4-3No
6.53-6-00.1323211100000
2-5-2No2222110
62-6-10.000100000000
5.52-7-00.0000000000000
1-6-2No
51-7-1No00
4.51-8-0No00000
0-7-2No
3.5-4No
Total:0.4%0.910.17.710.510.32.30.22.32.60.11.20.90.00.00.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 +1.2
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.3
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.2
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +0.0
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.0
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.0
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.0
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs Seattle-2.3-0.0+1.7
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.8+0.1-0.5
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.5+0.3-0.3
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
12.59-0-02330355700
128-0-163721221221
11.58-1-0111172632770
7-0-2142914141414
117-1-10943318251010
10.57-2-0000101434347000000
6-1-261035453
106-2-100843923250000000
9.56-3-0000015285300011000000
5-2-211131561
95-3-100111268011212210000
4-2-3100
8.55-4-0001577000112453100000
4-3-21773113345110
84-4-11162001012588741000
3-3-3100
7.54-5-00048000001381314931000
3-4-24413812189410
73-5-1002400000261218191351000
2-4-3100
6.53-6-0012000002820272092000
2-5-211361927211110
62-6-120015132427187200
5.52-7-0100002923322392000
1-6-21819392652
51-7-10001517292915410
4.51-8-0000041733311320
0-7-210503010
40-8-1003153033163
3.50-9-00042140286
Total:000113638000001112244456544321100