Minnesota Vikings Playoff Chances

Lost to Carolina 10-35, playoff odds down 9 to 1.6%
1-4-0   .200

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -5.0
-0.1
-0.9
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -0.7
-0.1
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.4
-0.0
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -0.2
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.1
-0.1
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Giants vs Minnesota-1.1-0.5+0.8
-0.8-0.1+0.6
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.1*+0.1+0.2
Washington vs Chicago+0.2*-0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Seattle-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.1*+0.2+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Minnesota finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1211-0-0In444863472
11.510-0-1In1535311926
1110-1-099.8%103730119302,811
9-0-2In1001
10.59-1-197.721934328122311
109-2-087.6062652426112021,860
8-1-284.6815823311513
9.58-2-166.511161435257102,032
98-3-033.00044520342481097,318
7-2-232.52422436281283
8.57-3-19.701172435237107,925
6-2-3Out1001
87-4-01.9000192433248100292,297
6-3-22.402723352391248
7.56-4-10.1001725372261020,280
5-3-3Out6717176
76-5-00.000018253423710595,743
5-4-2Out1722362581580
6.55-5-1Out0192938203034,744
4-4-3Out1133223318
65-6-0Out0021333361510853,364
4-5-2Out01133234191827
5.54-6-1Out0031943313041,347
3-5-3Out382531616
54-7-0Out00173046151854,889
3-6-2Out0073045161809
4.53-7-1Out02175325332,673
2-6-3Out67333
43-8-0Out006394312590,013
2-7-2Out06384313439
3.52-8-1Out0229482216,828
1-7-3Out67333
32-9-0Out0114544266,273
1-8-2Out135037145
2.51-9-1Out537584,895
21-10-0Out1198070,401
0-9-2Out227832
1.50-10-1Out0991671
10-11-0Out1998,483
Total:1.6%000001234791318221473,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Minnesota finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeSeattleNew OrleansDetroitGreen BayDallasPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoChicagoCarolinaArizonaWashingtonSt. LouisAtlantaNY GiantsTampa Bay
1211-0-03.8%92010112110000
11.510-0-1No5015154484
1110-1-02.54733757855432110
9-0-2NoYes
10.59-1-11.6215410611135684311
109-2-00.96671371011676431100
8-1-2No8815152388
9.58-2-10.41581167746532110
98-3-00.30336333232210000
7-2-2No248226421
8.57-3-10.11121110100000
6-2-3No
87-4-00.0000000000000000
6-3-2No01000
7.56-4-1No0000000000
5-3-3No
76-5-0No0000000000
5-4-2No
1-6.5No
Total:0.0%0.10.10.20.30.20.20.20.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 +1.7
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 -0.1
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 -0.1
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -0.1
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.1
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.0-0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
NY Giants vs Minnesota+1.7+0.6-1.2
Washington vs Chicago+0.1+0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.1+0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Houston-0.0*+0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.1+0.1-0.1
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Miami vs Buffalo-0.0+0.0+0.1
Indianapolis vs Denver+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1211-0-034230185111
11.510-0-1151915274812
1110-1-010334151510316300
9-0-2100
10.59-1-121181322204241112
109-2-00062243212414121110
8-1-2815823151515
9.58-2-110113301416192482
98-3-00004140521832239200
7-2-2242519292972
8.57-3-1001107822282092000
6-2-3100
87-4-0000001291925211362100
6-3-202192224211362
7.56-4-1000015132226209310
5-3-3175033
76-5-000000141018222014731000
5-4-21310172219159310
6.55-5-100141223262010310
4-4-361122391111
65-6-0000015111923201362000
4-5-20251218212112720
5.54-6-10002921302411200
3-5-31313196251313
54-7-0000131020272413300
3-6-2012102328211420
4.53-7-100141633321220
2-6-3333333
43-8-00016193328111
2-7-206183530101
3.52-8-10052539255
1-7-33367
32-9-000111313917
1-8-2210334014
2.51-9-102194434
21-10-00173656
0-9-25050
1.50-10-122375
10-11-001188
Total:00000000000111222334456778999853