Minnesota Vikings Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.09 to 56.4%
1-0-1   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs Buffalo+6.6-2.8-12.5
+0.7-0.8-1.4
+0.6-0.2-1.2
Arizona vs Chicago+1.6*+0.6-1.3
+0.2*+0.3-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Washington vs Green Bay+0.8*-0.9-1.1
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs San Francisco+0.5*+0.6-0.8
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Cincinnati-0.6*-0.1+0.7
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Detroit vs New England-0.6*-0.3+0.6
-0.0*-0.2+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh-0.5*-0.6+0.7
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis-0.4*-0.6+0.6
-0.0*-0.3+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.2*-0.1+0.4
-0.1*-0.2+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Houston vs NY Giants+0.2*-0.3-0.3
Seattle vs Dallas+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
LA Rams vs Minnesota-7.3+1.9+12.1
-1.0*+0.3+1.7
-0.7+0.2+1.2
Green Bay vs Buffalo-1.0*-0.3+1.9
-0.1*+0.3+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.2
Chicago vs Tampa Bay-1.0*+0.0+1.2
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
LA Chargers vs San Francisco+0.5*+0.3-0.8
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Cincinnati-0.6*+0.5+0.7
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Tennessee vs Philadelphia+0.5*+0.0-0.6
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs New Orleans+0.3*+0.2-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Seattle+0.2*-0.8-0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Detroit+0.1*-0.6-0.2
-0.0*-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
15.514-0-0In10007,908
1513-0-1In10044
14.513-1-0In1000060,656
1412-1-1In982598
13.512-2-0In96300374,077
11-1-2In1005
1311-2-1In918003,610
12.511-3-0In831510101,405,010
10-2-2In83176
1210-3-1In6826303011,832
11.510-4-0100.0%5136706003,587,746
9-3-2In41351111246
119-4-1100.03039162121027,199
10.59-5-099.914352541920006,587,059
8-4-2In2037232171107
108-5-198.5420291224910044,880
7-4-3In1001
9.58-6-093.91825182419510008,977,318
7-5-289.72727142118101126
97-6-173.4021221152418720054,239
8.57-7-044.0004175182720710009,208,861
6-6-238.71314515302273155
86-7-117.90191717252213410048,334
5-6-3Out1001
7.56-8-04.900401414262817610007,148,415
5-7-26.75221323321843120
75-8-11.301014122227201030032,273
4-7-3Out1001
6.55-9-00.3000001720312612204,190,249
4-8-2Out1025262513261
64-9-10.1002819292712215,450
5.54-10-00.000001520363091,818,760
3-9-2Out1750221118
53-10-1Out0282740235,514
4.53-11-0Out002124145567,459
2-10-2Out17836
42-11-1Out0630641,322
3.52-12-0Out011782120,772
31-12-1Out11386174
2.51-13-0Out39715,629
20-13-1Out1009
1.50-14-0Out01004,366
Total:56.4%101010998776654332144,320,416

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeLA RamsTampa BayWashingtonGreen BayChicagoDallasPhiladelphiaAtlantaCarolinaSan FranciscoNew OrleansSeattleNY GiantsDetroitArizona
15-15.515.8%Yes
14.513-1-015.910000000
1412-1-117.6Yes
13.512-2-015.7100000000000000000
11-1-240.0Yes
1311-2-116.5990000000000
12.511-3-015.298000000000000000
10-2-216.7Yes
1210-3-114.794111101010100000
11.510-4-013.587111111111111000
9-3-223.97624422242
119-4-111.469333323332311111
10.59-5-09.549555544444432211
8-4-212.15725713545122233
108-5-17.024777766665643211
7-4-3NoYes
9.58-6-05.38888877766644321
7-5-24.09769796959642221
97-6-13.72776765555543211
8.57-7-02.10454433333332111
6-6-20.6134543323313411
86-7-10.80222111111211100
5-6-3No
7.56-8-00.30010000000100000
5-7-2No311111
75-8-10.1000000000000000
4-7-3No
6.55-9-00.00000000000000
4-8-2No
64-9-10.000000
5.54-10-00.0000000000000
3-9-2No
1.5-5No
Total:4.7%20.23.53.63.23.22.92.92.82.72.62.81.91.61.20.70.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Buffalo-1.4+0.7+2.6
Arizona vs Chicago-0.2+0.0+0.2
Washington vs Green Bay-0.1+0.1+0.2
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis+0.0+0.1-0.0
Detroit vs New England+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs San Francisco-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Lottery seed
LA Rams vs Minnesota+1.5-0.3-2.5
Green Bay vs Buffalo+0.1+0.0-0.3
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+0.1*-0.1-0.2
Dallas vs Detroit-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Philadelphia-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Arizona vs Seattle-0.0*+0.1+0.0
New England vs Miami+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.514-0-010000
1513-0-1100
14.513-1-099100
1412-1-19442
13.512-2-09163000
11-1-2100
1311-2-177158000
12.511-3-06221150100100
10-2-28317
1210-3-13631233300300
11.510-4-01833296700060000
9-3-2113028711922
119-4-1624221714220111100
10.59-5-011311241964015420000
8-4-2119122520421251
108-5-1043171415102131181100
7-4-3100
9.58-6-00108520126618145510000
7-5-227621105615109101
97-6-1002111912213101410952100
8.57-7-00004315051177151711510000
6-6-213311511581323106
86-7-10118010713712161613831000
5-6-3100
7.56-8-000040100026142223178310000
5-7-2522510182922431
75-8-10010000248141820171051000
4-7-3100
6.55-9-0000000002614232518931000
4-8-223101315331573
64-9-10000261218222112510
5.54-10-000000261627271651
3-9-2639172217
53-10-10014122329248
4.53-11-0000311293819
2-10-23367
42-11-102143847
3.52-12-00053065
31-12-121880
2.51-13-000892
20-13-1100
1.50-14-00199
Total:46564645453533432344322222211110