Green Bay Packers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.02 to 83.9%
5-2-0   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 +7.0
+0.8
+0.6
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +1.4
+0.2
+0.1
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +1.2
+0.1
+0.1
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -1.1
-0.2
-0.1
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +0.8
+0.1
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.1
+0.0
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 *+0.1
-0.1
-0.0
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New Orleans vs Green Bay-9.0+2.4+6.2
-1.9+0.4+1.3
-0.7+0.1+0.5
Carolina vs Seattle+1.5+1.2-1.1
+0.2*+0.2-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+1.2+0.3-0.7
+0.6+0.3-0.4
+0.3+0.2-0.2
Dallas vs Washington-0.2+0.3+0.7
-0.1*+0.1+0.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.3*-0.1-0.6
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.2*+0.1+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0*+0.2-0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Green Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
149-0-0In92808,019,033
13.58-0-1In89100044,932
138-1-0In692812039,995,254
7-0-2In653321120
12.57-1-1In5736250198,698
127-2-0100.0%2846110141088,202,186
6-1-2In274711151365
11.56-2-1100.015481402030382,250
116-3-099.54282702812100112,409,923
5-2-299.662828025110679
10.55-3-198.71182712824100415,982
105-4-085.80522319371310091,234,934
4-3-284.9526317341410671
9.54-4-174.101142104623300279,494
3-3-3In1001
94-5-035.800543243821500048,869,210
3-4-234.353323382250329
8.53-5-117.70110144032910119,945
83-6-03.10010211303417400017,270,734
2-5-21.611635371651127
7.52-6-10.40005223626810031,647
72-7-00.0000021026332271003,880,895
1-6-2Out881725251712
6.51-7-1Out0416333114304,836
61-8-0Out001521352891505,433
0-7-2Out1001
5.50-8-1Out2103038191316
50-9-0Out01626452360,889
Total:83.9%162116115158421000000411,928,896

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Green Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
149-0-017.3%100000000000000
13.58-0-117.0100000000000000
138-1-016.496000011000000000
7-0-218.398111
12.57-1-115.793010032001000000
127-2-013.774142174222100000
6-1-211.27443094231100
11.56-2-112.3632532106233110000
116-3-09.43231257139554210000
5-2-29.934313661011453211000
10.55-3-17.919315511149774210000
105-4-05.75519613107873210000
4-3-24.35620710105764320000
9.54-4-14.4141851565862210000
3-3-3NoYes
94-5-02.10393722431100000
3-4-21.8382712432210
8.53-5-11.00151411210000000
83-6-00.20010100000000000
2-5-2No11
7.52-6-10.00000000000
72-7-00.00000000000000
1-6-2No
5-6.5No
Total:9.0%37.12.59.43.76.07.75.23.93.72.21.20.70.20.20.20.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -1.1
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 +0.2
Chicago 14 Miami 27 -0.1
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.1
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.1
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.1
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 +0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Green Bay+1.5-0.1-1.1
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.5-0.3+0.3
Dallas vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.1-0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
149-0-08488000
13.58-0-1771310000
138-1-0422626210200
7-0-2461929321
12.57-1-1253232420500
127-2-0722281810100131100
6-1-27202818101151
11.56-2-111419291220182300
116-3-004622151200208120100
5-2-206623151301881100
10.55-3-11118819001315222100
105-4-000053192161328101130000
4-3-25323316112591320
9.54-4-1010141211017301772000
3-3-3100
94-5-000005130351912201810410000
3-4-25033518925189400
8.53-5-1010100143122223146100
83-6-000001000202614222317831000
2-5-2112151422212094
7.52-6-1000000281926241451000
72-7-000000001391825241461000
1-6-28171783388
6.51-7-1003102129231130
61-8-0000141324281982000
0-7-2100
5.50-8-116223129910
50-9-0001414283017510
Total:791011781110510543221111000000000000