Green Bay Packers Playoff Chances

Beat Houston 21-13, playoff odds up 1.7 to 17.9%
6-6-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Green Bay 21 Houston 13 +5.2
+0.1
+0.6
New Orleans 13 Detroit 28 -2.7
-0.1
-0.0
Minnesota 15 Dallas 17 +2.0
+0.0
+0.1
Arizona 31 Washington 23 +0.6
-0.1
Pittsburgh 24 NY Giants 14 +0.5
San Diego 21 Tampa Bay 28 -0.4
-0.1
Cincinnati 32 Philadelphia 14 +0.2
+0.1
Seattle 40 Carolina 7 +0.1
+0.1
New England 26 Los Angeles 10 +0.0
Atlanta 28 Kansas City 29 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Green Bay vs Seattle+14.6-5.7-9.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
+1.3+0.0-0.8
Detroit vs Chicago-1.6-2.0+4.6
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Philadelphia vs Washington+1.2-1.2-1.9
+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Dallas-1.8-1.8+1.0
-0.1-0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-0.9+1.2+1.1
+0.1+0.2-0.1
Jacksonville vs Minnesota+1.2+0.2-0.6
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Los Angeles vs Atlanta+0.7+0.7-0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Miami vs Arizona+0.5-0.4-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Carolina vs San Diego-0.1*-0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Green Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
104-0-099.8%434528200693,086,590
9.53-0-184.311431112713202,496,135
93-1-064.20130726269103,473,470,685
2-0-254.81216273112203,324
8.52-1-17.6003052241254009,240,922
1-0-3Out1001
82-2-01.60100727402130006,334,004,080
1-1-20.600052441264008,002
7.51-2-10.000321492430011,005,224
0-1-3Out3333333
71-3-0Out0052942214004,943,947,936
0-2-2Out032942224004,699
6.50-3-1Out009374211104,201,142
60-4-0Out1931381931,389,761,337
Total:17.9%02926812171714942016,861,230,080

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Green Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasSeattleDetroitAtlantaNY GiantsTampa BayWashingtonMinnesotaArizonaNew OrleansPhiladelphiaCarolinaLos Angeles
104-0-01.6%413288301013120000
9.53-0-11.110722152177111000
93-1-00.800614131945110000
2-0-20.505141314431000
8.52-1-10.100122200000000
1-0-3No
82-2-00.0000010000000
1-1-2No000000
7.51-2-10.000000
0-1-3No
6-7No
Total:0.2%0.20.11.44.23.05.61.41.70.20.20.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/1100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay 21 Houston 13 -1.6
Minnesota 15 Dallas 17 -0.2
Seattle 40 Carolina 7 -0.1
Arizona 31 Washington 23 +0.1
Chicago 26 San Francisco 6 -0.1
Pittsburgh 24 NY Giants 14 +0.1
Jacksonville 10 Denver 20 +0.0
New Orleans 13 Detroit 28 +0.0
Oakland 38 Buffalo 24 -0.0
Cincinnati 32 Philadelphia 14 +0.0
New England 26 Los Angeles 10 -0.0
Baltimore 38 Miami 6 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Seattle-2.7+0.3+1.7
Detroit vs Chicago+0.2+0.2-0.5
Jacksonville vs Minnesota-0.2+0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Pittsburgh+0.1+0.2-0.1
Indianapolis vs Houston+0.0+0.2-0.0
New England vs Baltimore-0.1+0.1+0.1
Carolina vs San Diego-0.1-0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Dallas+0.1+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs Denver-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
104-0-004132149307120000
9.53-0-11411283011522105100
93-1-00011911071251317510000
2-0-20113861251521810
8.52-1-10001200521228291651000
1-0-3100
82-2-000100002112429219200000
1-1-200000210223022103000
7.51-2-1000031327301961000
0-1-3333333
71-3-00000161729271541000
0-2-201516292816510
6.50-3-100016193328112000
60-4-000003133135152000
Total:00116302053459118569854310000