Green Bay Packers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 92.8%
8-3-0   .727

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 +4.2
+1.4
+0.4
Seattle 19 Arizona 3 -0.8
+0.2
+0.0
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 -0.6
-0.3
-0.0
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24 -0.5
-0.1
-0.0
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 -0.5
New England 34 Detroit 9 +0.3
+0.4
+0.2
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Green Bay vs New England+4.0+1.5-4.6
+2.0+0.1-2.3
+0.4+0.2-0.5
Detroit vs Chicago-0.7+0.6+1.8
-0.2+0.4+0.5
-0.1+0.2+0.3
Dallas vs Philadelphia-0.3-2.0+0.3
-0.1-0.7+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Seattle-0.5+1.6+0.4
+0.3+0.3-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Arizona+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6+0.4-0.4
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Green Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
135-0-0In66332802,269,356
12.54-0-1In613542,426,657
124-1-0100.0%2558143002,057,334,162
3-0-2In2462142,957
11.53-1-1100.01145377104,874,014
2-0-3In1001
113-2-098.7228411512101,978,305,049
2-1-298.812843161014,228
10.52-2-194.405511622603,438,602
1-1-3In75254
102-3-073.702375302330887,995,684
1-2-272.32346302532,052
9.51-3-136.0016119491501,008,163
0-2-350.050502
91-4-016.908107414110187,421,199
0-3-213.2510740442287
8.50-4-11.31001276660104,935
80-5-00.7000010701720015,460,744
Total:92.8%1834250795200005,940,648,096

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Green Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaPhiladelphiaDallasSeattleDetroitNew OrleansAtlantaSan FranciscoCarolinaChicagoTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaNY GiantsWashington
135-0-022.6%98001000000
12.54-0-122.39601111000
124-1-019.88303135212000000
3-0-220.1860213420
11.53-1-116.85605591242610000
2-0-3NoYes
113-2-013.53029711188662100000
2-1-214.3302961118957110
10.52-2-110.4521010152786811000
1-1-3No255025
102-3-07.722101111262260100000
1-2-28.0229101126326010
9.51-3-13.6015561411301000
0-2-3No50
91-4-01.701333500200000
0-3-22.10222502
8.50-4-10.100000000
80-5-00.1000000000000
Total:15.6%52.30.95.54.46.511.93.72.43.90.70.40.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 -0.8
New England 34 Detroit 9 -0.3
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 +0.1
Seattle 19 Arizona 3 -0.1
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 -0.1
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24 +0.0
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 +0.0
Denver 39 Miami 36 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay vs New England-1.0-0.3+1.2
Detroit vs Chicago+0.3-0.5-0.6
Atlanta vs Arizona-0.2-0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs Seattle-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
135-0-051143202
12.54-0-138233414
124-1-0718461214030000
3-0-28165012130
11.53-1-111122223337010
2-0-3100
113-2-00282029121321201000
2-1-20182030121321001
10.52-2-100051240791935000
1-1-3255025
102-3-0002532132191210410000
1-2-2243024219141040
9.51-3-1001601118112120102000
0-2-35050
91-4-000801000714132425133000
0-3-250100726182620133
8.50-4-1100100210253422500
80-5-00000000015234223400
Total:99231116900617222111000000