Green Bay Packers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.8 to 23.6%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 56 Tampa Bay 14 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Detroit vs Green Bay-7.4+1.1+11.7
-0.4*+0.1+0.6
-0.9+0.3+1.4
NY Jets vs Chicago+1.0*-0.4-1.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Minnesota+0.8*-0.3-1.0
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Seattle vs Denver-0.4*-0.2+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.1*+0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
NY Giants vs Houston-0.1*-0.2+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.0
St. Louis vs Dallas+0.1*-0.2-0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Washington+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Chicago vs Green Bay-7.4+1.4+11.8
-0.4*+0.2+0.6
-0.9+0.3+1.4
NY Jets vs Detroit+1.0*+0.0-1.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Atlanta-0.7*-0.1+0.8
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Washington vs NY Giants-0.2*+0.6+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Baltimore vs Carolina+0.2*-0.2-0.3
Dallas vs New Orleans-0.1*+0.5+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Philadelphia-0.1*+0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Green Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In10002,977
14.513-0-1In1005
1413-1-0In9827,762
13.512-1-1In97388
1312-2-0In901000062,307
11-1-2In1001
12.511-2-1In8118100647
1211-3-0In64304020307,688
10-2-2In75254
11.510-3-1In473990402,991
1110-4-0100.0%244122481001,037,847
9-3-2In331717171712
10.59-4-199.9103431815209,257
109-5-097.12163219171030002,536,822
8-4-2In1834328838
9.58-5-189.9042226172181020,227
98-6-062.0019257192013510004,624,861
7-5-258.317251510327372
8.57-6-130.50217211242614410032,566
6-5-3Out1001
87-7-012.20090281925211130006,390,760
6-6-27.86213202424112102
7.56-7-12.70300172131241020039,796
76-8-01.00100015162728175106,738,871
5-7-2Out71626281851107
6.55-8-10.10014163130143035,323
65-9-00.0000141530321535,385,664
4-8-2Out316323215375
5.54-9-1Out015213828723,777
54-10-0Out000182842213,208,159
3-9-2Out523403340
4.53-10-1Out0217453511,145
43-11-0Out00736571,384,760
2-10-2Out7365714
3.52-11-1Out0326723,628
32-12-0Out011485408,867
1-11-2Out50502
2.51-12-1Out0892721
21-13-0Out039773,998
0-12-2Out1001
1.50-13-1Out10069
10-14-0Out01008,716
Total:23.6%2357345678899109632,360,768

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Green Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeCarolinaAtlantaArizonaPhiladelphiaWashingtonSeattleChicagoMinnesotaDetroitSan FranciscoDallasSt. LouisNew OrleansNY GiantsTampa Bay
13.5-1510.8%Yes
1312-2-010.4100000000000000000
11-1-2NoYes
12.511-2-110.099000000
1211-3-09.794110110000000000
10-2-2No7525
11.510-3-19.186221111111120000
1110-4-07.465443333332331100
9-3-28.350888888
10.59-4-16.044665554444442210
109-5-04.119897776666553310
8-4-27.91811131135558858
9.58-5-12.7410108886666663310
98-6-01.81776655444442210
7-5-21.4144364844374311
8.57-6-10.90443332111221100
6-5-3No
87-7-00.40221111000110100
6-6-2No211121
7.56-7-10.1000000000000000
76-8-00.0000000000000000
5-7-2No
6.55-8-10.00000000000
65-9-00.0000000000000
4-8-2No
1-5.5No
Total:1.0%4.82.22.31.71.81.71.51.21.21.11.31.30.60.70.20.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Green Bay+1.7-0.1-2.7
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs San Diego-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.1*+0.0+0.1
New England vs Oakland-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Miami vs Kansas City-0.1-0.1+0.1
NY Giants vs Houston+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Denver-0.0*+0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.0*+0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Minnesota-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Green Bay+1.7-0.1-2.7
San Francisco vs Philadelphia+0.1-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs New England+0.1+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs New Orleans+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Carolina+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Oakland vs Miami+0.1+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Buffalo+0.1+0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Atlanta+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-010000
14.513-0-1100
1413-1-09262
13.512-1-19163
1312-2-06920100000
11-1-2100
12.511-2-15922171100
1211-3-02836254400200
10-2-2502525
11.510-3-11531327900400
1110-4-0321192218440711000
9-3-23317171717
10.59-4-109102424780123200
109-5-002215122015498913000
8-4-218332265538
9.58-5-10044171885121658200
98-6-0001199161671220115100000
7-5-213410151147329111
8.57-6-10023130211092021135100
6-5-3100
87-7-0000180002391618161274100000
6-6-224281018152112721
7.56-7-10020000271623231672000
76-8-000100000025111619171384200000
5-7-214916212115751
6.55-8-10001391824241462000
65-9-00000013714202117115100
4-8-2144172023131331
5.54-9-10014112228221020
54-10-00001512212622112
3-9-25233025153
4.53-10-101619333110
43-11-0000210263724
2-10-221212929
3.52-11-101113751
32-12-000163064
1-11-25050
2.51-12-111584
21-13-000990
0-12-2100
1.50-13-1199
10-14-0199
Total:11122334122244444444444444444432