Green Bay Packers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 61.9%
5-3-0   .625

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina 10 New Orleans 28 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Seattle vs Oakland-1.0+3.5+3.6
-0.0+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis-1.1+2.1+2.6
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+1.6-0.8-1.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.8*-0.1+0.5
Dallas vs Arizona-0.4+0.6+0.7
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Washington+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Green Bay vs Chicago+7.4-1.3-19.7
+0.6-0.3-1.5
+0.5-0.1-1.3
New Orleans vs San Francisco+1.7+0.8-3.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs NY Giants-0.8+3.0+1.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Carolina-0.8+0.6+2.7
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Miami-1.2-0.4+1.8
-0.2+0.1+0.4
-0.2+0.0+0.3
Arizona vs St. Louis-0.5+1.3+1.6
-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Dallas+1.2+0.9-0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Atlanta+0.1*+0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs Tennessee-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Green Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
138-0-0In7524117,838,294
12.57-0-1In68252697,581
127-1-0100.0%32421101400102,287,659
6-0-2In393812011242
11.56-1-1100.020381402710487,606
5-0-3In1001
116-2-099.5422263349100252,236,762
5-1-299.842226238901,005
10.55-2-198.51112334219101,024,637
4-1-3In1001
105-3-083.702157233515200347,345,451
4-2-284.1215724361421,738
9.54-3-168.900741443274001,161,124
3-2-3Out1001
94-4-031.3002432139255000291,718,145
3-3-231.2252224024401,529
8.53-4-112.501111393611100771,276
83-5-02.100101103235173000152,950,403
2-4-21.401932381630791
7.52-5-10.200042238267100301,041
72-6-00.00000211293419400048,864,489
1-5-2Out21723361571168
6.51-6-1Out005203528101063,421
61-7-0Out0018273822508,695,463
0-6-2Out63553617
5.50-7-1Out03173932915,580
50-8-0Out0019344214756,823
Total:61.9%5911416171510632100001,226,611,248

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Green Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDetroitArizonaNew OrleansDallasPhiladelphiaSeattleSan FranciscoNY GiantsCarolinaAtlantaMinnesotaChicagoWashingtonTampa BaySt. Louis
138-0-012.7%9900000000000000
12.57-0-112.093004010000000000
127-1-010.1753110132211100000
6-0-210.377319222200
11.56-1-18.5584219243312100000
5-0-3NoYes
116-2-05.92611525595513210000
5-1-25.5261252857451231000
10.55-2-14.51214831696513210000
4-1-3NoYes
105-3-03.221610208107412111000
4-2-23.521892179741220100
9.54-3-12.30151015785311100000
3-2-3No
94-4-01.00755543100000000
3-3-20.6855442210000
8.53-4-10.4322221000000000
83-5-00.10000000000000000
2-4-2No000000
7.52-5-10.0000000000
72-6-00.00000000000000
1-5-2No
5-6.5No
Total:3.4%13.89.05.112.94.85.93.82.60.91.20.90.30.30.20.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.2-0.2
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.0-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Washington-0.0+0.0+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Arizona+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.0
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Chicago-1.0+0.5+2.7
Detroit vs Miami+0.3-0.0-0.4
New Orleans vs San Francisco-0.1-0.1+0.2
Seattle vs NY Giants+0.0-0.2-0.0
Philadelphia vs Carolina+0.0-0.0-0.1
Arizona vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.0+0.0
Jacksonville vs Dallas-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Cleveland+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
138-0-0482724110
12.57-0-138302412060
127-1-0825301310000131000
6-0-29302612110092
11.56-1-1218211713100243100
5-0-3100
116-2-0045171511302212911000
5-1-2045171511202413900
10.55-2-101010716201626173100
4-1-3100
105-3-00002214444191817105100000
4-2-22114444201917105100
9.54-3-10000713014637121162000
3-2-3100
94-4-0000021403120412181711510000
3-3-22142122512181910410
8.53-4-1001101102921261982000
83-5-0000100100161424261872000
2-4-20111714222420720
7.52-5-1000000028203026123000
72-6-000000000141326301861000
1-5-221323341891
6.51-6-1001722332610200
61-7-000014173129143000
0-6-23535246
5.50-7-100212313516400
50-8-0002102835205100
Total:134547227971044554443211000000000