Green Bay Packers Playoff Chances

Beat Baltimore 19-17, playoff odds up 6.5 to 57.4%
3-2-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +9.5
+0.6
+0.7
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -2.0
-0.2
-0.2
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.9
-0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -0.6
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.3
-0.1
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.2
+0.1
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -0.2
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington-0.1*+0.2+0.2
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Green Bay vs Cleveland+6.4-1.5-11.2
+0.4*-0.2-0.7
+0.5-0.2-0.8
Detroit vs Cincinnati-1.4*-0.3+2.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Washington vs Chicago+1.8*-0.7-1.7
+0.1-0.4-0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco+1.3*+0.8-1.7
+0.0*+0.2-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.7*+0.8+1.6
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Seattle-1.2*-0.4+0.7
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Minnesota+0.2*+0.4-0.1
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Green Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1411-0-0In8614010,074
13.510-0-1In82170741
1310-1-0In62353079,816
9-0-2In6829428
12.59-1-1In4844625,649
129-2-0100.0%2849170500290,175
8-1-2In32541041194
11.58-2-1100.01445260141017,999
7-1-3In175017176
118-3-099.653037320500619,709
7-2-299.85313712060482
10.57-3-198.211534530142033,990
6-2-3In204020205
107-4-087.9042510212710200869,391
6-3-288.8523102229101809
9.56-4-171.30111916342360041,550
5-3-375.013135013138
96-5-038.0004852234226100837,293
5-4-237.7048422352251803
8.55-5-114.700311030361730033,963
4-4-312.513253813138
85-6-03.5010211293318510566,777
4-5-22.70111130361630552
3-4-4Out1001
7.54-6-10.20021332331530018,937
3-5-3Out1001
74-7-00.1000314313216400269,930
3-6-2Out41731291441270
6.53-7-1Out0315333214207,343
2-6-3Out1002
63-8-0Out004183530111088,225
2-7-2Out12236281376
5.52-8-1Out006223928401,689
52-9-0Out0110324115219,176
1-8-2Out1020502010
4.51-9-1Out11552274242
0-8-3Out1001
41-10-0Out063343182,511
3.50-10-1Out9731811
30-11-0Out63756433
Total:57.4%51114510131210854211003,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Green Bay finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeSeattleNew OrleansDetroitDallasPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoChicagoCarolinaArizonaWashingtonSt. LouisAtlantaMinnesotaNY GiantsTampa Bay
1411-0-011.4%10000000
13.510-0-110.11000
1310-1-010.09700100001000000
9-0-210.7964
12.59-1-19.2910021111110000
129-2-08.377014223332110000
8-1-25.7861431231
11.58-2-16.759117664553210000
7-1-3No671717
118-3-05.4343412996775311000
7-2-25.636361088486432100
10.57-3-14.015461413136885421000
6-2-3No20204020
107-4-03.05581610107975311000
6-3-22.85510161010610953111
9.56-4-12.015815885854211000
5-3-3No253813
96-5-01.10358443432110000
5-4-21.4035834343311000
8.55-5-10.4012311121100000
4-4-3No13
85-6-00.1001000000000000
4-5-20.20011110
3-4-4No
7.54-6-1No00000000000
3-5-3No
74-7-00.000000000000
3-6-2No
3-6.5No
Total:2.8%15.42.63.78.15.05.03.64.83.92.71.50.80.40.20.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -1.9
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +0.2
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 +0.1
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 -0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 +0.1
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 -0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.0-0.1+0.0
San Diego vs Indianapolis+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Cleveland-1.1+0.1+2.0
Detroit vs Cincinnati+0.2+0.0-0.3
Washington vs Chicago-0.2*+0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs San Diego-0.1-0.1+0.0
Carolina vs St. Louis+0.0*-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Minnesota-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1411-0-045411400
13.510-0-136461610
1310-1-011512873000
9-0-2761294
12.59-1-154333116021
129-2-012723261520033000
8-1-2131233182221
11.58-2-10141530215006810
7-1-31717331717
118-3-00552520173041550000
7-2-2552621161051560
10.57-3-1111413224142612120
6-2-32020202020
107-4-00045207412019893000
6-3-20461855221209920
9.56-4-1001010450161618207100
5-3-31313252525
96-5-0000042605615112018931000
5-4-204164615122315921
8.55-5-10003101082127198200
4-4-313501325
85-6-00010020151321241893100
4-5-2010101614242416931
3-4-4100
7.54-6-10000151323261993100
3-5-3100
74-7-00000002613212419104100
3-6-20144112422161340
6.53-7-10151323251910300
2-6-3100
63-8-000027162525166100
2-7-241122202511413
5.52-8-100291930241130
52-9-0000271932271020
1-8-2105040
4.51-9-1021328312050
0-8-3100
41-10-00162438265
3.50-10-118182736
30-11-02194633
Total:04376922197656544432222111000000