"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Detroit Lions Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.04 to 82.6%
5-2-0   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 +6.2
+1.1
+0.5
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +1.3
+0.1
+0.1
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +1.2
+0.2
+0.1
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +1.1
+0.1
+0.0
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.9
-0.3
-0.1
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -0.7
-0.1
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.2
-0.1
-0.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.1
+0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Detroit-9.8-3.1+6.1
-1.6-0.9+1.0
-0.7-0.3+0.5
Carolina vs Seattle+1.6+0.5-1.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.6*+0.4-1.2
+0.0*-0.3-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.8*-0.1-0.5
+0.6*+0.0-0.4
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Dallas vs Washington-0.3*-0.1+0.9
-0.1*-0.1+0.3
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.4-0.5-0.4
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.2-0.0
Denver vs San Diego+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
149-0-0In9731,656,200
13.58-0-1In8812010,239
138-1-0In791703010,691,908
7-0-2In782236
12.57-1-1In5537106057,784
127-2-0100.0%393950161029,819,004
6-1-2In4242312144
11.56-2-1100.014461202530140,042
116-3-099.87321803480046,785,131
5-2-299.65341603870260
10.55-3-198.6116221322610185,191
4-2-3In1001
105-4-092.6071913035700045,446,046
4-3-293.4916234327274
9.54-4-172.101103114624300148,346
94-5-052.000527373412200028,363,887
3-4-258.6739403281181
8.53-5-115.201111338341110072,768
2-4-3Out1001
83-6-07.3001062436247100011,347,013
2-5-26.872942183173
7.52-6-10.30004183630112021,540
72-7-00.1000018243323920002,808,118
1-6-2Out945279911
6.51-7-1Out0314313117303,441
61-8-0Out00051833291220390,423
5.50-8-1Out283138183226
50-9-0Out0031737331036,960
Total:82.6%141811121189421000000177,985,248

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
149-0-015.7%Yes
13.58-0-115.410000
138-1-015.197000021000000000
7-0-28.3Yes
12.57-1-114.292000032001000000
127-2-012.879121185112000000
6-1-212.58511162132
11.56-2-110.8601523127223010000
116-3-08.93928451710445111000
5-2-29.2391835227545020
10.55-3-16.8173155111610765111000
4-2-3NoYes
105-4-05.574185121510765110000
4-3-26.2951539171158611100
9.54-4-13.5141851475762110000
94-5-02.5041441053432110000
3-4-22.8414610646421211
8.53-5-10.70151411110000000
2-4-3No
83-6-00.30121200000000000
2-5-2No313
7.52-6-10.000000000
72-7-00.00000000000000
1-6-2No
5-6.5No
Total:7.4%32.32.29.43.26.410.56.53.73.43.00.70.60.30.20.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -1.0
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 +0.2
Chicago 14 Miami 27 -0.1
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.1
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 +0.1
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Detroit+1.7+0.5-1.0
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.5+0.0+0.3
Dallas vs Washington+0.0+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.1-0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.1+0.1+0.1
New England vs Chicago-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
149-0-088930
13.58-0-176121100
138-1-0473216100300
7-0-2473122
12.57-1-12431334100600
127-2-083123164000151100
6-1-21330261721101
11.56-2-1113192810200223300
116-3-00762610800241080000
5-2-205826870281070
10.55-3-11116616101517232100
4-2-3100
105-4-000073161192126106200000
4-3-2931411727211161
9.54-4-10010101211117301882000
94-5-0000050207829614149410000
3-4-2739122831214931
8.53-5-100101101231222241662000
2-4-3100
83-6-000010006014112023191031000
2-5-2741030231943
7.52-6-10000027182625155100
72-7-000000000271625251662000
1-6-2993618999
6.51-7-100392230221130
61-8-0000141224282092000
5.50-8-125153329124
50-9-001414273018510
Total:59711470111910823322211100000000000