Detroit Lions Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.2 to 70.8%
3-1-0   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Jets 17 Detroit 24 +7.9
+1.0
+0.7
Chicago 17 Green Bay 38 +1.6
+0.3
+0.1
Minnesota 41 Atlanta 28 -0.8
+0.1
-0.0
Washington 14 NY Giants 45 +0.6
+0.1
+0.0
Baltimore 38 Carolina 10 +0.4
+0.1
+0.0
Dallas 38 New Orleans 17 -0.2
*-0.1
San Francisco 26 Philadelphia 21 +0.2
+0.0
Pittsburgh 24 Tampa Bay 27 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Buffalo+5.8*-1.7-9.3
+1.0*-0.5-1.6
+0.5-0.1-0.9
Carolina vs Chicago+0.7*-0.6-0.7
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Houston-0.4*+0.6+0.6
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Kansas City-0.5*+1.9+0.5
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Washington vs Seattle+0.5*+1.2-0.4
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Denver vs Arizona+0.4*+1.0-0.5
+0.2*+0.2-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs St. Louis-0.3*+0.3+0.5
-0.1*-0.2+0.2
NY Giants vs Atlanta-0.3*+0.4+0.4
+0.0*-0.4-0.1
Green Bay vs Minnesota+0.2*+0.5-0.3
+0.1*-0.9-0.1
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay-0.1*-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1512-0-0In10006,551
14.511-0-1In10059
1411-1-0In9820057,663
13.510-1-1In964445
1310-2-0In8910000248,002
9-1-2In50502
12.59-2-1In8316101,764
129-3-0In63314020638,386
8-2-2In5033176
11.58-3-1In464380403,979
118-4-0100.0%2444192101001,098,154
7-3-2In20471313715
10.57-4-199.793729417406,217
107-5-096.32183112201330001,326,687
6-4-2In2114432114
9.56-5-186.60524151725112006,412
96-6-057.9019178232314510001,157,240
5-5-257.172129291414
8.55-6-124.10211110262915414,867
85-7-07.9005029212721113000731,492
4-6-2Out2030203010
7.54-7-10.911720322610302,565
74-8-00.300001515262817610333,631
3-7-2Out1001
6.53-8-1Out121326332140924
63-9-00.00003132833194106,931
2-8-2Out1002
5.52-9-1Out114314013210
52-10-0Out01522423022,823
4.51-10-1Out411394628
41-11-0Out00327692,920
3.50-11-1Out1001
30-12-0Out0693593
Total:70.8%17171378866543221105,758,608

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaDallasAtlantaPhiladelphiaSeattleMinnesotaNY GiantsGreen BayCarolinaSan FranciscoChicagoNew OrleansSt. LouisWashingtonTampa Bay
14.5-1518.7%Yes
1411-1-017.810000
13.510-1-121.3Yes
1310-2-017.8100000000000000000
9-1-2NoYes
12.59-2-117.8990000000000
129-3-016.594001000001000000
8-2-216.78317
11.58-3-115.688111111111101000
118-4-013.267334333223222110
7-3-26.76771377
10.57-4-110.846447545444333111
107-5-08.020779777665543111
6-4-27.12114777714777
9.56-5-15.75889878665553111
96-6-03.51666655443332111
5-5-2No721217
8.55-6-11.20232332221211010
85-7-00.50111110100100000
4-6-2No
7.54-7-10.0000000
74-8-00.0000000000000000
3-7-2No
6.53-8-1No
63-9-0No0
2-8-2No
3-5.5No
Total:8.0%33.73.33.54.43.53.33.52.72.82.42.32.01.60.60.60.4
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets 17 Detroit 24 -1.7
Chicago 17 Green Bay 38 -0.3
Washington 14 NY Giants 45 -0.1
Minnesota 41 Atlanta 28 +0.1
Pittsburgh 24 Tampa Bay 27 -0.1
Dallas 38 New Orleans 17 +0.0
San Francisco 26 Philadelphia 21 -0.0
Houston 23 Buffalo 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Buffalo-1.2+0.4+1.9
Dallas vs Houston+0.0+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Chicago-0.1+0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs Minnesota-0.1*-0.0+0.1
New England vs Cincinnati-0.0-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1
Washington vs Seattle-0.0*-0.2+0.0
San Diego vs NY Jets+0.0*-0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs Kansas City+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Denver vs Arizona-0.0*-0.2+0.0
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1512-0-09910
14.511-0-1100
1411-1-0917200
13.510-1-183134
1310-2-066231000000
9-1-25050
12.59-2-1503216110
129-3-026372753000200
8-2-2503317
11.58-3-19363112700300
118-4-0321222217320821000
7-3-2713331377777
10.57-4-1098292094097400
107-5-00221615161128121133100
6-4-22114142921
9.56-5-1005420105215141110300
96-6-0001188917815131410410000
5-5-272114147297
8.55-6-10022910961623189300
85-7-000014000214915191914831000
4-6-21030202020
7.54-7-1102715252217831
74-8-00000000126121821191262000
3-7-2100
6.53-8-10129192624135100
63-9-000002512202420125100
2-8-25050
5.52-9-1131627291860
52-10-000141323282181
4.51-10-1213921144
41-11-000313333515
3.50-11-1100
30-12-01113652
Total:710897653454433333322111111000000