Detroit Lions Playoff Chances

Beat New Orleans 28-13, playoff odds up 14.6 to 90.2%
8-4-0   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New Orleans 13 Detroit 28 +13.9
+0.8
+1.1
Minnesota 15 Dallas 17 +4.5
+0.1
+0.2
Green Bay 21 Houston 13 -2.3
-0.1
-0.1
Arizona 31 Washington 23 +0.9
San Diego 21 Tampa Bay 28 -0.6
Pittsburgh 24 NY Giants 14 +0.5
+0.0
Cincinnati 32 Philadelphia 14 +0.2
Seattle 40 Carolina 7 -0.1
-0.0
Atlanta 28 Kansas City 29 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Indianapolis-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Chicago+4.3-1.6-12.6
+0.3-0.1-0.9
+0.3-0.2-0.9
Green Bay vs Seattle-3.1+2.0+1.9
+0.3+0.5-0.2
-0.1+0.2+0.0
Jacksonville vs Minnesota+2.0-1.1-0.9
+0.1-0.0-0.0
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Washington+1.1+1.3-1.7
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-1.0*-0.0+1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Los Angeles vs Atlanta+0.8+0.3-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Dallas-0.6-0.6+0.4
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Miami vs Arizona+0.4-0.3-0.3
Kansas City vs Oakland-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
124-0-0In206020634,223,103
11.53-0-1In371262,156,658
113-1-0In0266592,857,684,513
2-0-2In02463122,578
10.52-1-1In2260186,671,227
102-2-099.8%3474722004,047,312,956
1-1-299.9351451105,025
9.51-2-196.8122527143005,827,692
0-1-3In5025254
91-3-071.10841219217102,153,538,911
0-2-276.7114621718501,982
8.50-3-130.0001601333288101,452,397
80-4-04.403293337152000370,508,826
Total:90.2%1124030155321000010,079,385,872

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasSeattleAtlantaNY GiantsTampa BayWashingtonMinnesotaGreen BayArizonaNew OrleansPhiladelphiaCarolinaLos AngelesChicago
124-0-07.0%8015444011000
11.53-0-16.37426556011100
113-1-04.226005161514134412000
2-0-23.4240062013141334110
10.52-1-13.92200520151413441200
102-2-03.03117301617146411000
1-1-23.130073115171464110
9.51-2-12.61021333121511531100
0-1-3No25252525
91-3-01.800215277953111000
0-2-21.821232811532100
8.50-3-10.7001911331100000
80-4-00.10012000000000
Total:3.2%13.50.30.77.922.712.312.810.74.22.91.01.20.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/1100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans 13 Detroit 28 -2.3
Minnesota 15 Dallas 17 -0.5
Green Bay 21 Houston 13 +0.2
Seattle 40 Carolina 7 +0.1
Atlanta 28 Kansas City 29 -0.1
San Diego 21 Tampa Bay 28 +0.0
Pittsburgh 24 NY Giants 14 +0.0
Chicago 26 San Francisco 6 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Chicago-0.7+0.4+2.1
Green Bay vs Seattle+0.3-0.4-0.2
Los Angeles vs Atlanta-0.3-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Minnesota-0.2+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans+0.1-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
124-0-0118233820
11.53-0-103145726
113-1-0002236059
2-0-2022259412
10.52-1-1022491218
102-2-0033016460021100000
1-1-233318440010000
9.51-2-116174750731221000
0-1-3502525
91-3-0027356023172810620000
0-2-22103972215279410
8.50-3-10006110013161724166100
80-4-000120200151627261551000
Total:0121031929201141222111100000