Detroit Lions Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 82.5%
5-2-0   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Detroit-9.8-3.7+6.1
-1.6-0.7+1.0
-0.7-0.3+0.5
Carolina vs Seattle+1.6*-0.2-1.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.6*+0.3-1.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.8*-0.3-0.5
+0.6*-0.2-0.4
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Dallas vs Washington-0.3*-0.2+0.9
-0.1*-0.1+0.3
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.4*-0.5-0.4
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0*-0.2-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.2-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.8*-0.1+1.5
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Oakland-0.4+1.0+1.3
-0.0*+0.2+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.9-0.6-0.7
+0.2*-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.7-0.9+0.3
Dallas vs Arizona-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
149-0-0In973876,602
13.58-0-1In891105,414
138-1-0In79170305,650,744
7-0-2In10010
12.57-1-1In553717030,694
127-2-0100.0%393950161015,768,856
6-1-2In424021584
11.56-2-1100.01446120253073,962
116-3-099.873218034800024,733,505
5-2-2In113617298146
10.55-3-198.511622132261097,264
105-4-092.5071913035700024,030,299
4-3-296.6921228373147
9.54-4-171.7110311462530077,952
3-3-350.050502
94-5-051.800527373412200014,996,571
3-4-248.821639421084
8.53-5-115.401101338331220038,160
83-6-07.200106243625710006,004,912
2-5-210.01030303030
7.52-6-10.30031736301120011,493
72-7-00.100017243323920001,482,988
1-6-2Out382525138
6.51-7-1Out0313273617301,818
61-8-0Out0051833291320206,616
0-7-2Out1001
5.50-8-1Out211294891131
50-9-0Out0031736331019,475
Total:82.5%14181112118942100000094,107,968

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
149-0-015.6%Yes
13.58-0-115.41000
138-1-014.996000021000000000
7-0-220.0Yes
12.57-1-114.392000032001000000
127-2-012.779121185112000000
6-1-214.382111851
11.56-2-110.8601523127223000000
116-3-08.93928451710445111000
5-2-26.847282413113331111
10.55-3-16.5173155111610765111000
105-4-05.474185121510765110000
4-3-24.1921951912135102111
9.54-4-13.5151851475662110000
3-3-350.050
94-5-02.5041441053432110000
3-4-21.241827642411
8.53-5-10.70152311110000000
83-6-00.30121200000000000
2-5-2No333
7.52-6-1No00000000
72-7-00.00000000000000
1-6-2No
5-6.5No
Total:7.3%32.32.29.33.26.310.56.53.73.53.00.70.60.30.20.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Detroit+1.7+0.5-1.0
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.5+0.0+0.3
Dallas vs Washington+0.0+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.1+0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.1+0.0+0.1
New England vs Chicago-0.0*-0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Buffalo-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.1+0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Arizona+0.0+0.0-0.1
Miami vs San Diego-0.0-0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
149-0-0821630
13.58-0-169201100
138-1-0394015200300
7-0-24060
12.57-1-1203531610700
127-2-06332118410151100
6-1-2636182311141
11.56-2-1113173010200222300
116-3-007527990026880000
5-2-2110629107191061
10.55-3-1111661610171524210
105-4-00007216111119278620000
4-3-29318111018271012
9.54-4-1010101211118281982000
3-3-35050
94-5-000050207927714149410000
3-4-2216112971321451
8.53-5-1010100123132224156100
83-6-0000100060151220231810310000
2-5-21031017101720103
7.52-6-100000028182625155100
72-7-00000000271625251662000
1-6-22513252513
6.51-7-10392228251030
61-8-0000141224282092000
0-7-2100
5.50-8-11925312482
50-9-001414273018510
Total:410612470113811733322211100000000000