Detroit Lions Playoff Chances

Lost to NY Giants 6-17, playoff odds down 13.5 to 73%
9-5-0   .643

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Giants 17 Detroit 6 -10.6
-1.0
-0.7
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 -2.1
-0.1
-0.2
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 +1.4
+0.1
Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 +0.9
+0.0
Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13 -0.2
-0.0
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 -0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina-4.0+7.0+6.8
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Detroit-7.8+17.1+19.9
-0.4+0.6+1.0
-0.4+0.7+1.0
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+4.6-1.5-7.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Chicago vs Washington+6.7+6.8-4.3
+0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Minnesota-1.3+2.0+2.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.2
Carolina vs Atlanta-1.3+1.0+0.7
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs NY Giants+0.1-0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Indianapolis-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Arizona-0.2+0.4+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
112-0-0In4056425,323,899,680
10.51-0-1In25502553,991,908
101-1-096.2%124600104084,295,493,276
0-0-2In2386025,336
9.50-1-177.305343820373,995,565
90-2-020.5021522750,335,273,307
Total:73.0%72232012189160,082,679,072

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasSeattleNY GiantsAtlantaWashingtonGreen BayTampa BayMinnesotaNew OrleansCarolina
112-0-03.9%4011152589100
10.51-0-13.32512752588100
101-1-02.110253111954100
0-0-22.2257823641
9.50-1-11.30729267620
90-2-00.250151
Total:1.8%7.00.32.529.711.113.84.43.40.60.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/15100.0*Lottery seed
NY Giants 17 Detroit 6 +1.4
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 +0.3
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 -0.1
Seattle 24 Los Angeles 3 +0.1
Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 -0.0
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 +0.0
Atlanta 41 San Francisco 13 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina+0.1-0.2-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Detroit+0.9-1.6-2.2
Green Bay vs Minnesota+0.2-0.4-0.3
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay-0.2-0.0+0.3
Chicago vs Washington-0.3-0.2+0.2
Seattle vs Arizona+0.1-0.2-0.2
Buffalo vs Miami-0.1+0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-0.1-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Cincinnati+0.1-0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Denver-0.0-0.0+0.1
Los Angeles vs San Francisco-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
112-0-023834224
10.51-0-125232725
101-1-01619511000733100
0-0-229295010
9.50-1-10051420102711920
90-2-004165182821710
Total:0781327500573697200