Detroit Lions Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.004 to 59.7%
7-4-0   .636

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Detroit 9 -4.1
-0.7
-0.3
Seattle 19 Arizona 3 -3.6
-0.1
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 -2.6
-0.1
-0.1
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 -1.9
-0.1
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 -0.5
-0.3
-0.2
Chicago 21 Tampa Bay 13 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Chicago+10.7-11.6-25.5
+0.4-0.6-0.9
+0.5-0.5-1.1
Dallas vs Philadelphia-0.7-8.5+0.9
+0.0-0.3-0.0
-0.0-0.2+0.0
San Francisco vs Seattle-0.4+2.2+0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Green Bay vs New England-0.9-0.7+1.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.2+0.2
Atlanta vs Arizona+0.3+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
125-0-0In28648336,656,564
11.54-0-1100.0%10393217101,293,568
114-1-099.712327331601,551,351,474
3-0-299.712729291401,865
10.53-1-190.402232738904,249,020
2-0-3In1001
103-2-069.1019124828302,208,782,606
2-1-271.511012482624,225
9.52-2-126.203221561804,316,428
1-1-333.333673
92-3-09.50100842435001,385,932,854
1-2-210.51010474032,730
8.51-3-10.70001236016001,752,653
81-4-00.10000329561110401,633,442
0-3-20.206384781540
7.50-4-1Out013582630248,778
70-5-0Out016552540044,421,345
Total:59.7%210110132421135100005,940,648,096

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaGreen BayPhiladelphiaDallasSeattleNew OrleansAtlantaSan FranciscoCarolinaChicagoTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
125-0-06.6%9203122001000
11.54-0-14.449112566105520000
114-1-03.024113108619114400000
3-0-23.428115978161043
10.53-1-11.6232215108159430000
2-0-3NoYes
103-2-01.1132016115642100000
2-1-21.3132313116742100
9.52-2-10.4021064211100000
1-1-3No33
92-3-00.100432100000000
1-2-20.1152200000
8.51-3-10.0000000000000
81-4-00.0000000000000
0-3-2No0
7-7.5No
Total:1.6%11.71.611.99.26.53.87.44.31.91.40.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
New England 34 Detroit 9 +0.8
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 +0.4
Seattle 19 Arizona 3 +0.2
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 +0.1
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 +0.1
New Orleans 27 Baltimore 34 +0.1
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 -0.1
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24 +0.0
Buffalo 38 NY Jets 3 +0.0
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Chicago-1.2+0.9+2.7
Green Bay vs New England+0.3+0.3-0.3
Dallas vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.4-0.0
San Francisco vs Seattle-0.0-0.2+0.0
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.1+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Miami-0.1-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Arizona-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
125-0-0424412380
11.54-0-119192129317110
114-1-00131913142310151000
3-0-21422141519101310
10.53-1-100251811163359000
2-0-3100
103-2-000119210232412126200000
2-1-211931023251011610
9.52-2-100302120142522102000
1-1-3333333
92-3-000100000814142627154000
1-2-21009141226271530
8.51-3-10000100311273220610
81-4-00000000001417353111100
0-3-2014203628910
7.50-4-10021132401410
70-5-0000111383713100
Total:0237470076131155577532100000