Detroit Lions Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 10.1%
0-2-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs New England+3.5-0.6-3.6
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.7-0.1-0.7
Minnesota vs Buffalo-0.5*+0.6+0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Chicago+0.5*-0.3-0.4
Washington vs Green Bay+0.3*+0.0-0.4
Kansas City vs San Francisco+0.2*+0.2-0.3
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Cincinnati-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh-0.1*-0.0+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis-0.1*-0.1+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Houston vs NY Giants+0.1*+0.3-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Dallas+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.0*-0.6+0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Detroit-3.7*+0.4+6.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
-0.8+0.1+1.2
Green Bay vs Buffalo-0.4*+0.4+0.8
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
LA Rams vs Minnesota+0.4*+0.1-0.6
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
LA Chargers vs San Francisco+0.2*-0.3-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Cincinnati-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Chicago vs Tampa Bay-0.2*+0.2+0.2
Tennessee vs Philadelphia+0.1*-0.1-0.2
NY Giants vs New Orleans+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1414-0-0In9913,824
13.513-0-1In1005
1313-1-0In946006,840
12.512-1-1In8118184
1212-2-0In7422202059,042
11-1-2In1001
11.511-2-1In5634605683
1111-3-0100.0%36391311110311,055
10-2-2In5025254
10.510-3-1100.0163823318203,206
1010-4-098.66222692691001,119,903
9-3-2In473371315
9.59-4-193.5182315262061010,391
99-5-072.0021116162719720002,914,763
8-4-267.53158202328540
8.58-5-139.503135192821920024,053
88-6-014.200161717262313510005,668,804
7-5-223.018113142423133100
7.57-6-12.70200313252919710041,217
77-7-00.600001311212722113008,351,244
6-6-20.71310183226102146
6.56-7-10.10016183029143052,929
66-8-00.00000161830281439,373,200
5-7-2Out1517293117157
5.55-8-1Out00141835321050,968
55-9-00.00000182640257,976,607
4-8-2Out210263429119
4.54-9-1Out0112414636,075
44-10-0Out000631635,067,417
3-9-2Out1316872
3.53-10-1Out01188118,513
33-11-0Out00011892,330,368
2-10-2Out49625
2.52-11-1Out04966,303
22-12-0Out0298734,304
1-11-2Out1005
1.51-12-1Out1991,280
11-13-0Out0100140,460
0-12-2Out1001
0.50-13-1Out100120
00-14-0Out010016,073
Total:10.1%1122234456781012141944,320,416

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeLA RamsTampa BayMinnesotaWashingtonGreen BayChicagoDallasPhiladelphiaAtlantaCarolinaSan FranciscoNew OrleansSeattleNY GiantsArizona
13.5-149.2%Yes
1313-1-08.610000000000
12.512-1-19.5991
1212-2-08.596000000000000000
11-1-2NoYes
11.511-2-18.989111011111111000
1111-3-07.175322221222221110
10-2-2No7525
10.510-3-16.654544432343343211
1010-4-04.028866644565454321
9-3-2No4777713713
9.59-4-12.79987865676565331
99-5-01.72876645555454321
8-4-2No3531353338510353
8.58-5-10.90443422233332211
88-6-00.30221111111111100
7-5-2No22221223421
7.57-6-10.1000000000000000
77-7-00.0000000000000000
6-6-2No1
6.56-7-10.00000000000
66-8-00.0000000000000
5-7-2No
5.55-8-1No
55-9-0No0
4-8-2No
0-4.5No
Total:0.3%1.50.90.90.70.80.50.50.60.70.60.50.60.40.30.30.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland 21 NY Jets 17 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Detroit vs New England-1.7+0.2+1.8
Miami vs Oakland-0.1+0.1+0.1
Washington vs Green Bay+0.1*+0.0-0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Chicago+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Minnesota vs Buffalo-0.0-0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Dallas+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Detroit+1.4-0.3-2.3
Chicago vs Tampa Bay-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Indianapolis vs Houston-0.0-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Cincinnati+0.0*+0.0-0.1
LA Chargers vs San Francisco+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs NY Jets+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Seattle+0.0-0.1-0.0
New England vs Miami+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Oakland vs Cleveland+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Denver vs Kansas City+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1414-0-09811
13.513-0-1100
1313-1-073216000
12.512-1-16515181
1212-2-03242193200200
11-1-2100
11.511-2-117392776005
1111-3-033317221021092100
10-2-2502525
10.510-3-111612261763014420
1010-4-006121818721016821000
9-3-27401320713
9.59-4-11084191056201465100
99-5-00020104111156211394100000
8-4-23313353185181815
8.58-5-10032110511881718125100
88-6-000010501071511151715116210000
7-5-2181132923121610221
7.57-6-1002000002614222317831000
77-7-000000000012611161918148410000
6-6-211149151820141241
6.56-7-10000261422251893100
66-8-0000001381420221810410
5-7-21261117182215611
5.55-8-1000271627271651
55-9-000000015142529206
4-8-234132325285
4.54-9-100312303718
44-10-000014173938
3-9-23243935
3.53-10-10163262
33-11-000022077
2-10-22476
2.52-11-100991
22-12-000595
1-11-22080
1.51-12-1199
11-13-00199
0-12-2100
0.50-13-1100
00-14-00100
Total:000101020212112222333444556678912