Detroit Lions Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 91.6%
6-2-0   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 21 Detroit 22 +6.1
+1.0
+0.5
Carolina 9 Seattle 13 -0.9
-0.1
New Orleans 44 Green Bay 23 +0.7
+0.6
+0.3
Dallas 17 Washington 20 +0.5
+0.5
+0.1
New England 51 Chicago 23 +0.5
+0.0
Arizona 24 Philadelphia 20 +0.4
+0.0
Cincinnati 27 Baltimore 24 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.7-0.7-0.7
+0.3-0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.3-0.2+0.8
Seattle vs Oakland-0.2+0.4+0.8
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Arizona-0.3-0.4+0.5
-0.1-0.3+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.4-0.4+0.2
Minnesota vs Washington-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Carolina vs New Orleans+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.2*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
148-0-0In10011,561,071
13.57-0-1In964064,365
137-1-0In9090167,076,553
6-0-2In928130
12.56-1-1In732511317,719
126-2-0100.0%563450500161,915,576
5-1-2In603343575
11.55-2-1100.02649170700641,670
4-1-3In1001
115-3-099.9144025018200210,803,408
4-2-2In16402411811,070
10.54-3-199.322243321910680,981
3-2-375.05025254
104-4-095.811136226204000161,561,878
3-3-297.1012383252030869
9.53-4-176.901268113120300408,414
93-5-058.600145831301010074,627,039
2-4-256.7015483033810358
8.52-5-117.103509333513200137,516
82-6-07.6012052337247100020,302,390
1-5-29.3233213130886
7.51-6-10.40002133333153024,593
71-7-00.000000622362681002,983,585
0-6-2Out17173317176
6.50-7-1Out019283721401,808
60-8-0Out0031737311010236,431
Total:91.6%27231811395210000000713,348,096

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaDallasPhiladelphiaNew OrleansGreen BaySeattleSan FranciscoCarolinaNY GiantsAtlantaMinnesotaChicagoWashingtonTampa BaySt. Louis
148-0-017.1%Yes
13.57-0-117.010000000
137-1-016.899000000000000000
6-0-216.9Yes
12.56-1-116.298000000000000000
126-2-015.290011311110000000
5-1-216.09311121111000
11.55-2-113.175123453321100000
4-1-3NoYes
115-3-011.2552341185451110000
4-2-29.75622410854511100
10.54-3-18.12456913169753211100
3-2-3No252525
104-4-06.81256915199672211100
3-3-26.212669162010652312000
9.53-4-14.617898208632111100
93-5-03.304668185332111000
2-4-22.0036761755211120
8.52-5-10.90232242101000000
82-6-00.40111121000000000
1-5-2No22211
7.51-6-10.00000000000
71-7-00.000000000000000
0-6-2No
6-6.5No
Total:10.5%50.52.22.94.28.29.04.33.23.51.21.00.60.40.30.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta 21 Detroit 22 -1.0
New Orleans 44 Green Bay 23 -0.5
Dallas 17 Washington 20 -0.2
Carolina 9 Seattle 13 +0.1
Arizona 24 Philadelphia 20 -0.0
New England 51 Chicago 23 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.1+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Arizona+0.0+0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
148-0-0928
13.57-0-1851140
137-1-06427900010
6-0-262308
12.56-1-140332411010
126-2-01937277500050000
5-1-2223826743
11.55-2-122426231520071000
4-1-3100
115-3-011413271870014420000
4-2-211514261860014310
10.54-3-10212114302081381100
3-2-3502525
104-4-001011729217191362100000
3-3-200117312161914611
9.53-4-101026260114278852000
93-5-00001414082292510118410000
2-4-20154073272711108411
8.52-5-103050090281825199200
82-6-000101005001310192621103000
1-5-2233291730229
7.51-6-1000001516282916410
71-7-000000000028213125102000
0-6-233171733
6.50-7-1031431321620
60-8-0002112833196100
Total:12151112810117745111111110000000000