Detroit Lions Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 3.4 to 57.1%
2-1-0   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Detroit 19 Green Bay 7 +8.5
+0.6
+0.9
NY Jets 19 Chicago 27 -2.0
-0.2
-0.2
New Orleans 20 Minnesota 9 +1.0
+0.1
+0.1
Carolina 19 Pittsburgh 37 +0.6
+0.2
+0.1
Seattle 26 Denver 20 -0.4
-0.1
-0.0
Atlanta 56 Tampa Bay 14 -0.2
St. Louis 31 Dallas 34 -0.2
Arizona 23 San Francisco 14 *+0.1
-0.1
NY Giants 30 Houston 17 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs Detroit-8.3*-1.3+7.8
-1.0*-0.8+0.9
-0.8*-0.1+0.7
Chicago vs Green Bay-0.9*-1.7+1.7
-0.1*-0.2+0.3
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Atlanta-0.7*+1.4+0.6
+0.1*+0.7-0.0
-0.1*+0.1+0.0
Baltimore vs Carolina+0.4*-0.7-0.6
+0.0*-0.3-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Washington vs NY Giants-0.3*-1.6+0.6
-0.1*-0.5+0.1
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Dallas vs New Orleans-0.2*-0.4+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Philadelphia+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1513-0-0In10002,020
14.512-0-1In10014
1412-1-0In9730018,682
13.511-1-1In964163
1311-2-0In861300099,468
10-1-2In1001
12.510-2-1In791911850
1210-3-0In57346030318,105
9-2-2In75254
11.59-3-1In4143101502,381
119-4-0100.0%204024410100689,703
8-3-2In50504
10.58-4-199.973133817304,683
108-5-096.92153120181230001,062,058
7-4-294.1635291212617
9.57-5-188.4042027152210206,309
97-6-064.701926821201141001,197,896
6-5-250.088331725812
8.56-6-131.502181112527133006,135
86-7-014.200100412232517720001,001,033
5-6-28.3817833817812
7.55-7-12.9300182231249104,501
75-8-01.20100031022282211300618,219
4-7-2Out333317176
6.54-8-10.1001517322714302,332
64-9-00.0000028223225102279,143
5.53-9-1Out152238268851
53-10-0Out0021232371789,577
2-9-2Out1001
4.52-10-1Out3134639196
42-11-0Out019365419,373
3.51-11-1Out4148228
31-12-0Out0113862,523
2.50-12-1Out1003
20-13-0Out298577
Total:57.1%81011127877765432115,426,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaPhiladelphiaAtlantaChicagoSeattleCarolinaDallasWashingtonNew OrleansMinnesotaSan FranciscoNY GiantsGreen BaySt. LouisTampa Bay
14.5-1517.7%Yes
1412-1-016.510000000000
13.511-1-123.9Yes
1311-2-016.599000000000000000
10-1-2NoYes
12.510-2-117.198000000000
1210-3-015.191111111111000000
9-2-225.0Yes
11.59-3-113.484212122111110010
119-4-011.460434544333221110
8-3-225.0502525
10.58-4-19.538557767644332210
108-5-06.9168891088765432210
7-4-25.966122412612126
9.57-5-15.148991188766432220
97-6-03.51777866554322110
6-5-2No817178
8.56-6-11.40344333332111000
86-7-00.80222121111010000
5-6-2No8
7.55-7-10.200000000000
75-8-00.1000000000000000
4-7-2No
6.54-8-1No00
64-9-00.000000000000
2-5.5No
Total:5.0%18.73.73.84.24.63.73.73.32.92.61.71.61.00.80.70.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 19 Green Bay 7 -1.7
NY Jets 19 Chicago 27 +0.2
Buffalo 10 San Diego 22 +0.1
New Orleans 20 Minnesota 9 -0.1
New England 16 Oakland 9 -0.1
NY Giants 30 Houston 17 -0.0
Arizona 23 San Francisco 14 -0.0
Seattle 26 Denver 20 +0.0
Cincinnati 33 Tennessee 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets vs Detroit+1.8-0.1-1.7
Chicago vs Green Bay+0.1*+0.2-0.3
San Francisco vs Philadelphia-0.0-0.2+0.0
Washington vs NY Giants+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Dallas vs New Orleans+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay+0.0*-0.2-0.1
Kansas City vs New England+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Atlanta+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Houston vs Buffalo+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Oakland vs Miami+0.0*-0.2-0.0
San Diego vs Jacksonville+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1513-0-09910
14.512-0-1100
1412-1-0926300
13.511-1-18884
1311-2-068181300000
10-1-2100
12.510-2-1542519011
1210-3-02830304600300
9-2-2502525
11.59-3-114273481001500
119-4-0317231821340921000
8-3-2502525
10.58-4-107102226880134300
108-5-00221216151739910230000
7-4-2624122966126
9.57-5-10044162074121669200
97-6-00011813131791210128410000
6-5-2881717817178
8.56-6-100241401110819211361000
86-7-0000180004148131617149410000
5-6-2881742817
7.55-7-10300003716232315720
75-8-000100000012510151919158310000
4-7-2176717
6.54-8-1001410182622135100
64-9-000000149162222168200
5.53-9-1151321311892
53-10-000028182726153
2-9-2100
4.52-10-1182130328
42-11-00017224030
3.51-11-1144639
31-12-00042768
2.50-12-1100
20-13-0793
Total:45556575344433333333322222111100