Detroit Lions Playoff Chances

Beat Cleveland 31-17, playoff odds up 13.3 to 67.8%
4-2-0   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +10.7
+0.5
+0.8
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -1.9
-0.1
-0.1
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.9
-0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -0.7
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -0.2
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.2
-0.1
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.2
+0.1
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Francisco vs Arizona*-0.1+1.4+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.1*+0.6+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Cincinnati+7.3+1.1-10.8
+0.6*+0.2-0.8
+0.5+0.0-0.8
Green Bay vs Cleveland-1.2+1.4+2.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Washington vs Chicago+1.7*-0.3-1.6
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco+1.0*+0.3-1.3
+0.0*+0.4-0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Seattle-1.3*+0.6+0.8
+0.2*+0.2-0.1
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.6*+1.0+1.3
-0.1*-0.3+0.1
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.1*+0.7+0.2
NY Giants vs Minnesota+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Philadelphia vs Dallas-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1410-0-0In8317020,426
13.59-0-1In8217101,283
139-1-0In53415010141,413
8-0-2In42481048
12.58-1-1In48446028,486
7-0-3In1001
128-2-0100.0%2149210900439,040
7-1-2In1951255248
11.57-2-1100.01447250131023,523
6-1-3In71297
117-3-099.4325373237100797,349
6-2-299.84263842080544
10.56-3-198.611637528121037,553
5-2-3In33331111119
106-4-085.8042311212812200937,911
5-3-286.005251122231220786
9.55-4-174.501121117342050037,331
4-3-3In20805
95-5-036.5003852133237100743,215
4-4-237.648323312560655
8.54-5-117.6141123134153024,858
3-4-3Out67336
84-6-03.600102112833195100402,808
3-5-22.4121231321750329
7.53-6-10.50031533321420010,475
73-7-00.1000314313216400147,198
2-6-2Out1215372616287
6.52-7-1Out0316373012202,859
62-8-00.00015203528101034,697
1-7-2Out124141617
5.51-8-1Out162541225445
51-9-0Out011131381624,690
0-8-2Out1001
4.50-9-1Out4193831826
40-10-0Out15284225551
Total:67.8%6141751213118632100003,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Detroit finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeSeattleNew OrleansGreen BayDallasPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoChicagoCarolinaArizonaWashingtonSt. LouisAtlantaMinnesotaNY GiantsTampa Bay
1410-0-010.3%10000000000
13.59-0-19.69900000
139-1-09.694001111111000000
8-0-28.3904222
12.58-1-19.3920021111110000
7-0-3NoYes
128-2-07.569115444443110000
7-1-26.0700142146440110
11.57-2-16.961116654543210000
6-1-314.37129
117-3-04.928341110106975311000
6-2-25.03036131078983221
10.56-3-14.1173613121271085421000
5-2-3No33111111111111
106-4-02.845814101071175311000
5-3-23.3547159119107522100
9.55-4-12.1158139951064211000
4-3-3No2020202020
95-5-01.00347443532110000
4-4-21.23482535321000
8.54-5-10.5223221211000000
3-4-3No
84-6-00.10001000000000000
3-5-2No11001
7.53-6-10.00000000000
73-7-00.0000000000000
2-6-2No
6.52-7-1No
62-8-0No0
1-7-2No
4-5.5No
Total:3.3%19.72.73.98.15.96.04.26.24.53.11.80.90.50.30.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -2.0
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +0.2
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 +0.1
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 -0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 +0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.0-0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Cincinnati-1.2-0.3+1.8
Green Bay vs Cleveland+0.2-0.3-0.3
Washington vs Chicago-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Tennessee vs San Francisco-0.0-0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Dallas+0.0-0.1-0.0
Carolina vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1410-0-044381700
13.59-0-1334917010
139-1-01042347500100
8-0-21031381010
12.58-1-1543321160020
7-0-3100
128-2-012024251930044000
7-1-2118252520632
11.57-2-10141631215058100
6-1-3294329
117-3-0035212216305177010
6-2-24422211840317700
10.56-3-1111514225142411110
5-2-3332211111111
106-4-000351873120207103000
5-3-2004620732201661131
9.55-4-101112560171518187100
4-3-3202060
95-5-000032605614819191141000
4-4-2435036171020171221
8.54-5-11041011721261882000
3-4-31717331717
84-6-00001002013919252112510000
3-5-21212121726211251
7.53-6-1000161323251992000
73-7-00000014101925221351000
2-6-2176242517163
6.52-7-1015132326199300
62-8-000001513232719820
1-7-2618293566
5.51-8-1292226251230
51-9-00151631301430
0-8-2100
4.50-9-14153523194
40-10-0131639347
Total:155989322108555433322111100000000