Chicago Bears Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 8.4%
3-4-0   .429

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Chicago 14 Miami 27 -7.3
-0.3
-0.8
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +1.0
+0.0
+0.0
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.8
-0.0
-0.0
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.7
-0.0
-0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +0.4
+0.0
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -0.3
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.1
+0.1
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.1
+0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +0.0
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England vs Chicago-2.7-1.3+5.5
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.8
Atlanta vs Detroit+1.1-0.2-0.7
Carolina vs Seattle+0.7*-0.0-0.5
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.3-0.7-0.3
Dallas vs Washington-0.2-0.3+0.7
+0.0-0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.5*+0.1-0.3
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Chicago finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
129-0-0In65312030248,064
11.58-0-1In22451102021,878
118-1-099.7%1335110355002,746,507
7-0-2In382525138
10.57-1-195.511519133274020,755
107-2-085.10711129371410014,760,661
6-1-286.9257314311261
9.56-2-149.70151735381210094,740
96-3-031.00021425462130044,645,727
5-2-231.92132648173238
8.55-3-14.500004254423300240,738
85-4-01.8000021741318100083,516,985
4-3-22.50217433260560
7.54-4-10.000112373513200366,823
74-5-00.00000062736227100099,871,420
3-4-2Out05283624710638
6.53-5-1Out00316333114300342,527
63-6-0Out001724352481076,243,600
2-5-2Out1624342582456
5.52-6-1Out003163433131191,649
1-5-3Out1001
52-7-0Out0017253824535,753,222
1-6-2Out62341255157
4.51-7-1Out00524462458,843
41-8-0Out0011543419,331,935
0-7-2Out8464624
3.50-8-1Out0224737,348
30-9-0Out0012871,062,323
Total:8.4%0110251014151311108642369,507,888

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Chicago finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
129-0-05.5%96000002100000000
11.58-0-14.26613222115223000
118-1-03.4482432319922600000
7-0-2No631325
10.57-1-12.015410741118965510000
107-2-01.47410651116865510000
6-1-2No73113311165885222
9.56-2-10.61495495344200000
96-3-00.40263263232100000
5-2-20.43731832231
8.55-3-10.00010010000000000
85-4-00.00000000000000000
4-3-2No010100
7.54-4-1No00000000000
74-5-00.00000000000000
3-4-2No
3-6.5No
Total:0.1%0.70.51.20.70.51.41.20.60.60.50.40.10.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +2.0
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +0.1
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.1
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.1
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.1
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 +0.0
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 +0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +0.0
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Chicago+1.1-0.2-2.2
Dallas vs Washington-0.1+0.1+0.2
Carolina vs Seattle-0.1-0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.1+0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1+0.0-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
129-0-08561615100300
11.58-0-112017279201822
118-1-0013333470019165000
7-0-23825131313
10.57-1-1111461410151824340
107-2-000071100042619181140000
6-1-2252523023201022
9.56-2-101050107112429174100
96-3-00002010422312222011410000
5-2-2213224102322741
8.55-3-1000000431223271992000
85-4-0000000202816242316720000
4-3-2020362024241272
7.54-4-10000027182725145100
74-5-0000000001513232619930000
3-4-201412222919940
6.53-5-1000141326291971000
63-6-0000013112228211030000
2-5-2031124252211300
5.52-6-10003122631207100
1-5-3100
52-7-000003122429208200
1-6-23102725201131
4.51-7-100151933291120
41-8-000018213226102
0-7-2417333313
3.50-8-10152237286
30-9-000019284021
Total:00010100021423456778887765432100