Chicago Bears Playoff Chances

Beat San Francisco 26-6, playoff odds down 0.004 to 0.00002%
3-9-0   .250

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Orleans 13 Detroit 28 +0.0
Chicago 26 San Francisco 6 +0.4
Seattle 40 Carolina 7 +0.0
New England 26 Los Angeles 10 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs ChicagoOut*Out+0.0
-0.2-0.2+0.7
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans+0.0-0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Washington+0.0*+0.0Out
Carolina vs San Diego-0.1-0.1+0.1
Los Angeles vs Atlanta-0.2-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
74-0-00.0%00317372911200192,256,124
6.53-0-1Out00522402850975,186
63-1-0Out021435381011,675,575,879
2-0-2Out11334421011,872
5.52-1-1Out043246186,255,399
1-0-3Out50504
52-2-0Out043046215,302,476,989
1-1-2Out033046217,679
4.51-2-1Out22473012,805,511
0-1-3Out17836
41-3-0Out2247307,130,780,298
0-2-2Out2257307,600
3.50-3-1Out9378,378,695
30-4-0Out9373,454,740,198
Total:0.0%0000124132454217,784,261,440

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBSeattleDetroitAtlantaTampa BayNew Orleans
74-0-00.0%00000
3-6.5No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/1100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 26 San Francisco 6 -0.5
Cincinnati 32 Philadelphia 14 +0.1
New Orleans 13 Detroit 28 -0.1
Arizona 31 Washington 23 +0.1
Jacksonville 10 Denver 20 -0.1
Green Bay 21 Houston 13 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Indianapolis+0.2-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Chicago+0.3-0.5-0.9
Jacksonville vs Minnesota+0.3-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Seattle-0.1-0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs NY Jets-0.1-0.0+0.1
Los Angeles vs Atlanta+0.2+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs San Diego+0.1-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-0.0-0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
74-0-00000027182826144100
6.53-0-1001516303015300
63-1-0000041633311320
2-0-2004153531132
5.52-1-1001626402350
1-0-32575
52-2-00000421383340
1-1-2042138334
4.51-2-1019384760
0-1-3335017
41-3-00113533310
0-2-2011352331
3.50-3-14534130
30-4-011968120
Total:0000000001241018352830