Chicago Bears Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 2.8%
3-5-0   .375

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 51 Chicago 23 -2.5
-0.0
-0.4
Atlanta 21 Detroit 22 -0.7
Carolina 9 Seattle 13 -0.4
-0.0
New Orleans 44 Green Bay 23 +0.2
-0.0
Dallas 17 Washington 20 +0.2
-0.1
Arizona 24 Philadelphia 20 +0.1
Kansas City 34 St. Louis 7 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.2-0.2-0.2
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.1-0.1+0.3
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Arizona-0.1-0.3+0.1
Seattle vs Oakland-0.1*-0.0+0.2
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.2-0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.0
Carolina vs New Orleans-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Chicago finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
118-0-0In344813050433,212
10.57-0-199.2%426351249103,358
107-1-095.611424136194005,111,444
6-0-2In747331315
9.56-1-162.00113311342981037,793
5-0-3Out1001
96-2-043.60052829411410029,281,188
5-1-245.45343434164119
8.55-2-15.40104224126500181,647
85-3-02.300002184031810092,506,501
4-2-22.32174029111474
7.54-3-10.00018303919400465,680
74-4-00.00000042339267100175,726,223
3-3-2Out0323402591946
6.53-4-1Out00110303718300689,890
2-3-3Out1001
63-5-0Out0005234026610204,598,697
2-4-2Out422402681970
5.52-5-1Out002143936101585,593
52-6-0Out00073141182141,875,107
1-5-2Out162743202532
4.51-6-1Out007354414263,286
41-7-0Out00222453053,244,289
0-6-2Out1194733123
3.50-7-1Out06365847,686
30-8-0Out0115848,293,321
Total:2.8%0000124710121314141274713,348,096

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Chicago finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDetroitArizonaDallasPhiladelphiaNew OrleansGreen BaySeattleSan FranciscoCarolinaNY GiantsAtlantaMinnesotaWashingtonTampa BaySt. Louis
118-0-03.0%82302132222110000
10.57-0-11.42910366139648220000
107-1-01.115105571985412140000
6-0-2No7277131313137
9.56-1-10.411166778534110000
5-0-3No
96-2-00.30755566322110000
5-1-2No105244112323
8.55-2-10.0111101000000000
85-3-00.00000000000000000
4-2-2No1000000
7.54-3-10.000000000000
74-4-00.0000000000000
3-3-2No
3-6.5No
Total:0.0%0.20.40.30.30.30.40.30.20.10.20.00.10.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
New England 51 Chicago 23 +1.0
Dallas 17 Washington 20 +0.2
New Orleans 44 Green Bay 23 +0.1
Carolina 9 Seattle 13 +0.1
Cincinnati 27 Baltimore 24 +0.1
Pittsburgh 51 Indianapolis 34 +0.1
Atlanta 21 Detroit 22 -0.0
Cleveland 23 Oakland 13 +0.0
Tampa Bay 13 Minnesota 19 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Washington-0.1+0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.0-0.1+0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
118-0-003454267003300
10.57-0-141251025108168210
107-1-00101412301135414210000
6-0-277403377
9.56-1-1010131201143113148310
5-0-3100
96-2-00005020802939141510510000
5-1-25124342813161142
8.55-2-1001004027182724134100
85-3-00000002001411212621103000
4-2-221411202922730
7.54-3-1000014142830185100
74-4-000000000031125312171000
3-3-20211263122710
6.53-4-1001518342912200
2-3-3100
63-5-00000151933281120000
2-4-2031933271520
5.52-5-1000214333315300
52-6-00004173330132000
1-5-2041434321330
4.51-6-100316353313200
41-7-000051934281120
0-6-222133281231
3.50-7-100420392871
30-8-000162337267
Total:0000000001020011234681011121210853100