Chicago Bears Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 9.8 to 43.9%
4-2-0   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 +5.1
+0.2
+0.4
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -2.2
-0.1
-0.1
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -1.9
-0.1
-0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -0.7
-0.0
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.3
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.3
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.2
+0.1
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -0.2
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington-0.0+0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Washington vs Chicago-11.1+4.0+10.4
-0.5*+0.1+0.5
-0.9+0.4+0.8
Detroit vs Cincinnati-1.4+1.3+2.0
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Green Bay vs Cleveland-1.2*+0.6+2.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco+1.2*+0.9-1.6
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.7+1.8+1.6
-0.0*-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs Seattle-1.4*+0.7+0.8
+0.1*+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.1*+0.0+0.3
NY Giants vs Minnesota+0.1*+0.7-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Chicago finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1410-0-0In831704,705
13.59-0-1In8317356
139-1-0In5342501043,797
8-0-2In7517812
12.58-1-1In4745533,105
128-2-0100.0%19492201000189,526
7-1-2In18452412192
11.57-2-1100.01344240171011,749
6-1-3In5033176
117-3-098.9222363269100479,899
6-2-299.32233632691307
10.56-3-197.5113314321620026,337
5-2-3In1002
106-4-080.502188203116400798,383
5-3-283.3221820321430612
9.55-4-167.5018716352571037,152
4-3-375.0131350258
95-5-026.6025317322911100904,335
4-4-227.22631633261120758
8.54-5-112.5021928371940035,301
3-4-314.3145714147
84-6-01.4010162135269100707,158
3-5-21.211622372581572
7.53-6-10.20021232341630022,062
2-5-3Out75254
73-7-00.000017233625810378,775
2-6-2Out0529342741241
6.52-7-1Out0214343414208,784
1-6-3Out1002
62-8-0Out0011132381720132,384
1-7-2Out1442291566
5.51-8-1Out16254225302,075
51-9-0Out005284917227,216
0-8-2Out224422119
4.50-9-1Out112054222197
40-10-0Out033846122,886
Total:43.9%2610491213121086421003,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Chicago finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeSeattleNew OrleansDetroitGreen BayDallasPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoCarolinaArizonaWashingtonSt. LouisAtlantaMinnesotaNY GiantsTampa Bay
1410-0-08.6%1000000000
13.59-0-18.7Yes
139-1-07.894001100111000000
8-0-28.3928
12.58-1-18.3920011211110000
128-2-06.168116444443100000
7-1-27.663333384533
11.57-2-15.657126577443200000
6-1-316.750171717
117-3-03.725351291111675311000
6-2-22.6252511111112664221
10.56-3-12.914471391313675411000
5-2-3NoYes
106-4-01.926814111010564311000
5-3-22.125718981188331000
9.55-4-11.415812988453210000
4-3-3No131313131313
95-5-00.50235433221100000
4-4-2No2454232121000
8.54-5-10.312321111000000
3-4-3No14
84-6-00.0000000000000000
3-5-2No0000000
7.53-6-1No0000000000
2-5-3No
73-7-00.000000000000
2-6-2No
4-6.5No
Total:1.5%8.52.33.46.24.84.54.42.73.02.01.20.50.30.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.9
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +0.2
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +0.2
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 -0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 +0.1
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 -0.0
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.0
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis+0.0-0.1-0.0
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.0-0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Chicago+1.7-0.5-1.6
Detroit vs Cincinnati+0.1*-0.2-0.2
Green Bay vs Cleveland+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Carolina vs St. Louis+0.1-0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1-0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs San Diego-0.1*-0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs Houston-0.0-0.0+0.1
Indianapolis vs Denver+0.0+0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs New England+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1410-0-043401600
13.59-0-13548171
139-1-0845339500100
8-0-23342178
12.58-1-154233115021
128-2-001821271930055000
7-1-21172223204571
11.57-2-10131529195089100
6-1-31733171717
117-3-0023191918305219110
6-2-22221231331422811
10.56-3-11112121931428152200
5-2-35050
106-4-0002315531192110163000
5-3-22417531192391420
9.55-4-10108340161620238100
4-3-3131325251313
95-5-00021403412212617720000
4-4-202153312202717620
8.54-5-100210982227198200
3-4-314294314
84-6-0001001141119232113520000
3-5-211141219242113510
7.53-6-1000015142426188300
2-5-3252550
73-7-0000000151118222014620000
2-6-2103121530181272
6.52-7-1015142327188200
1-6-35050
62-8-00002513212520113100
1-7-2318153020113
5.51-8-101392229241020
51-9-0001513253020610
0-8-2112267
4.50-9-11131632281731
40-10-012133035162
Total:02244622187598655543322111100000