Chicago Bears Playoff Chances

Beat Detroit 34-22, playoff odds up 4 to 93.7%
6-3-0   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Chicago 34 Detroit 22 +3.1
+0.8
+0.3
Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16 +0.8
+0.1
LA Rams 36 Seattle 31 +0.5
-0.3
-0.0
Green Bay 31 Miami 12 -0.4
-0.1
Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 +0.4
+0.2
+0.0
Tampa Bay 3 Washington 16 -0.3
-0.1
-0.1
Philadelphia 20 Dallas 27 +0.1
Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 -0.4
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Chicago vs Minnesota+3.3-1.3-8.4
+1.1-1.7-2.7
+0.4-0.3-1.0
Detroit vs Carolina+0.7-0.1-0.5
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Green Bay+0.3-0.9-0.5
+0.0-0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Dallas+0.0+0.8-0.0
Washington vs Houston-0.2+0.3+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Philadelphia+0.1*-0.0-0.3
-0.4-0.4+0.9
-0.0-0.1+0.1
LA Rams vs Kansas City-0.5-0.5+0.6
-0.1-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
137-0-0In59365501,424,639
12.56-0-1In17483402,033,540
126-1-0In14454011,574,582,836
5-0-2In13454113,502
11.55-1-1In120734205,450,984
4-0-3In50502
115-2-0100.0%11567134002,082,011,093
4-1-2In1146813407,958
10.54-2-199.9026117155005,966,793
3-1-3In50504
104-3-099.2013532211010001,502,552,977
3-2-299.0133312411106,824
9.53-3-188.9015192134101003,426,117
2-2-3In1750336
93-4-065.7041611352671000639,894,032
2-3-263.43151233269102,905
8.52-4-124.203219402771001,091,033
82-5-04.40103183430122000161,024,470
1-4-23.0003173632111629
7.51-5-10.20004203729910181,667
71-6-00.0000021433341420022,178,331
0-5-2Out2193340652
6.50-6-1Out041938299112,537
60-7-0Out00112343714101,796,637
Total:93.7%81940137632100000006,503,649,568

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeLA RamsNew OrleansWashingtonCarolinaMinnesotaSeattleGreen BayDallasPhiladelphiaAtlantaDetroitTampa BaySan FranciscoNY GiantsArizona
137-0-021.6%950111100000000
12.56-0-116.666002776621300000
126-1-015.959002997721300000
5-0-216.658031098621300
11.55-1-111.8210051718131232610000
4-0-3No5050
115-2-011.2160161920131332510000
4-1-210.61501619201413425110
10.54-2-19.6202121823131353510000
3-1-3No7525
104-3-09.2113152023111254410000
3-2-29.010315192212126441000
9.53-3-17.601219122481154310000
2-2-3No1717173317
93-4-05.5012169195732200000
2-3-25.3121681757321000
8.52-4-11.9017291311000000
82-5-00.4001020000000000
1-4-20.21010000
7.51-5-10.00000000000
71-6-00.00000000000
0-5-2No
6-6.5No
Total:11.8%26.80.31.37.614.016.09.39.23.01.93.60.40.30.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/8100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 34 Detroit 22 -0.6
Tampa Bay 3 Washington 16 +0.1
Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 +0.1
Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16 -0.1
LA Rams 36 Seattle 31 +0.1
Green Bay 31 Miami 12 +0.0
Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/15100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Minnesota-0.8+0.6+2.0
New Orleans vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.1-0.2
LA Rams vs Kansas City+0.1+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Green Bay-0.1+0.1+0.1
Washington vs Houston+0.1-0.1-0.0
Detroit vs Carolina-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
137-0-0164334250
12.56-0-12154083400
126-1-0113271938210
5-0-211327183921
11.55-1-101614601340110
4-0-35050
115-2-0012134226121220000
4-1-212124225121220
10.54-2-100218431434124000
3-1-35050
104-3-000162919124179110000
3-2-20152819125199110
9.53-3-10015514120171792000
2-2-317501717
93-4-00043130111520712104100000
2-3-233130111419714105100
8.52-4-100302118923241451000
82-5-0001000301616252415610000
1-4-200301614262715710
7.51-5-10000027182725145100
71-6-00000000261626261661000
0-5-268211523252
6.50-6-1002719282514410
60-7-000028203025123000
Total:1710924169426421111110000000000000