Washington Redskins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.003 to 0.6%
2-5-0   .286

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 +0.2
+0.3
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.1
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +0.0
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 +0.0
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 +0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +0.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Washington-0.4+0.2+1.3
-0.4+0.6+1.1
Carolina vs Seattle+0.1*+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.1*-0.0-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.1*+0.0-0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.0+0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.0+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Washington finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
119-0-099.5%6272303310156,014
10.58-0-196.411215140274421
108-1-074.202121203923300621,599
7-0-233.333673
9.57-1-150.6021938381115,338
97-2-016.30101133834111004,199,298
6-1-26.3650311316
8.56-2-14.0000425432340031,094
86-3-00.4000052438247100015,941,238
5-2-2Out22332356182
7.55-3-10.0011031361740097,639
75-4-00.000017243524810037,366,096
4-3-2Out1721432151214
6.54-4-1Out00211293519400187,333
64-5-0Out00172336268156,156,200
3-4-2Out1525382471366
5.53-5-1Out002113137172220,074
53-6-0Out0011034411353,919,824
2-5-2Out110384011305
4.52-6-1Out003214927154,059
42-7-0Out007425131,800,992
1-6-2Out54550134
3.51-7-1Out01257458,538
31-8-0Out0138710,410,290
0-7-2Out79330
2.50-8-1Out2989,394
20-9-0Out1001,451,265
Total:0.6%000000134681114171916212,687,856

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Washington finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesota
119-0-01.8%3374476151043510000
10.58-0-11.71394571017145380010
108-1-00.6376581310764410000
7-0-2No33
9.57-1-10.404555116443200000
97-2-00.10122241111000000
6-1-2No6
8.56-2-10.001001000000000
86-3-00.0000000000000000
5-2-2No
7.55-3-1No0000000
75-4-00.00000000000
4-3-2No
2-6.5No
Total:0.0%0.00.10.10.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 -0.9
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +0.1
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -0.1
Pittsburgh 30 Houston 23 +0.1
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +0.1
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 -0.0
New England 27 NY Jets 25 -0.0
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.0
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Washington+0.7-0.6-2.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle+0.1-0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.1+0.0-0.1
New England vs Chicago-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.1*-0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.1+0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs Houston+0.0+0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
119-0-006423111100191410110
10.58-0-11012510116242434
108-1-00020110121816221871000
7-0-23367
9.57-1-1002001912262816510
97-2-0001000111312262414620000
6-1-262519191913
8.56-2-10000043112327209300
86-3-0000000016142224181041000
5-2-2711281824551
7.55-3-1000161625261772000
75-4-000000013918252314610000
4-3-214111430251041
6.54-4-100039223023102000
64-5-000001617272616610000
3-4-21419302714710
5.53-5-1000292332249200
53-6-00002821312511200
2-5-2172230261220
4.52-6-100141734301220
42-7-000015193429112
1-6-24173433101
3.51-7-10052239276
31-8-00018274123
0-7-2710173730
2.50-8-102154538
20-9-00042868
Total:00000000000001112234567891010108642