Washington Redskins Playoff Chances

Tied with Dallas 0-0 (8:30 PM ET), playoff odds down 4.1 to 12.4%
1-3-0   .250

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -1.8
-0.1
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -0.2
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -0.2
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -0.1
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.1
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington-6.0+2.7+10.9
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.8+0.5+1.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Washington vs Chicago+4.9*+0.4-4.6
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.9+0.2-0.8
Philadelphia vs Dallas-0.4+1.2+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Arizona vs Seattle-0.2*-0.2+0.1
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.1*-0.3+0.2
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.1*+0.1+0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.0+0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Minnesota+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Washington finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1312-0-0In504270443
12.511-0-1In564425
1211-1-0In204827502,789
11.510-1-1In1243321110299
1110-2-0100.0%322432931020,858
9-1-2In116321519
10.59-2-199.911143422101,901
109-3-096.503215977310092,164
8-2-297.48245546378
9.58-3-191.50106651062007,717
7-2-3In25754
98-4-065.402512914136100269,885
7-3-267.725907171141266
8.57-4-146.70420413211541019,730
6-3-350.05017336
87-5-022.20210141526229100548,826
6-4-224.602400616242271618
7.56-5-112.11201622332050035,056
5-4-312.513132525258
76-6-04.2040016223524710800,493
5-5-24.441722362371911
6.55-6-11.3101103137162042,600
4-5-3Out3344229
65-7-00.300021334351410834,330
4-6-20.5102133436132960
3-5-4Out1001
5.54-7-10.00042342273036,529
3-6-3Out75333715
54-8-00.000183043162618,543
3-7-2Out193043152627
4.53-8-1Out02195026421,809
2-7-3Out67336
43-9-0Out006344416319,275
2-8-2Out14315015296
3.52-9-1Out022450258,060
1-8-3Out1001
32-10-0Out0073854107,860
1-9-2Out6296565
2.51-10-1Out328691,823
21-11-0Out0118921,524
0-10-2Out1007
1.50-11-1Out892177
10-12-0Out1992,267
Total:12.4%0011001236912151514843,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Washington finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeSeattleNew OrleansDetroitGreen BayDallasPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoChicagoCarolinaArizonaSt. LouisAtlantaMinnesotaNY GiantsTampa Bay
1312-0-05.0%93011011211
12.511-0-18.0Yes
1211-1-03.2681144234353110
11.510-1-12.756116824646520
1110-2-02.1253410946108982100
9-1-2No111155516215165
10.59-2-11.71245121167128128210
109-3-01.2367131167138111021000
8-2-2No8631312352268121
9.58-3-10.806713114613810102100
7-2-3No25252525
98-4-00.7055108331067711000
7-3-21.555911121169820
8.57-4-10.644761185561000
6-3-3No3317
87-5-00.321330042330000
6-4-20.221430523400
7.56-5-10.111222111000
5-4-3No13
76-6-00.000110011010000
5-5-20.1001110010
6.55-6-10.0000000000000
4-5-3No
65-7-00.000000000000
4-6-2No00000
3-5-4No
5.54-7-1No000000
3-6-3No
54-8-00.0000000000
3-7-2No
1-4.5No
Total:0.2%0.30.90.91.81.50.40.42.01.21.41.40.20.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 +0.1
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -0.0
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 -0.0
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 +0.0
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +0.0
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington+1.5-1.2-2.7
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.0-0.0+0.1
San Diego vs Indianapolis+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Chicago-1.8-0.6+1.7
Kansas City vs Houston-0.0*+0.0+0.2
NY Giants vs Minnesota-0.1-0.2+0.1
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.0-0.2+0.0
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.0+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Dallas+0.1-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.1*+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Miami vs Buffalo-0.0-0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Denver+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs San Diego+0.0*-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1312-0-0262537570
12.511-0-12432404
1211-1-002020282245000
11.510-1-1012172627511000
1110-2-03220182426312000
9-1-2112142215
10.59-2-1111116273751210
109-3-0003219322706433100
8-2-2824282713343
9.58-3-10010323405456200
7-2-3255025
98-4-00028430218711952000
7-3-221148025118922
8.57-4-1043800441216137200
6-3-3501733
87-5-0012100102511161814831000
6-4-201230001413171713720
7.56-5-1012001310192319103100
5-4-31325133813
76-6-00040000026122023181031000
5-5-24013616202217731
6.55-6-110014122326209300
4-5-311334411
65-7-00000138172524155100
4-6-2101491525241650
3-5-4100
5.54-7-100003921292411200
3-6-3132740137
54-8-00000029223224810
3-7-2031021332381
4.53-8-100041532321330
2-7-317171750
43-9-000182838214
2-8-2172840213
3.52-9-10042139287
1-8-3100
32-10-003204532
1-9-22144638
2.51-10-101134343
21-11-0022375
0-10-2100
1.50-11-122276
10-12-0595
Total:00000128000111123334566677777532