Washington Redskins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.002 to 0.6%
2-5-0   .286

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Washington-0.4+0.2+1.3
-0.4+0.6+1.1
Carolina vs Seattle+0.1*-0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.1*-0.0-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.1*+0.0-0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.0+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.0+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs Washington-0.4*-0.1+0.5
-0.7+0.2+0.9
Seattle vs Oakland-0.0+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Arizona-0.0*-0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Washington finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
119-0-099.5%62623033100062,961
10.58-0-195.911313139294469
108-1-074.202111203922300701,207
7-0-2In1001
9.57-1-150.50311036381116,012
97-2-016.200101133834111004,725,990
6-1-220.8213833824
8.56-2-14.200042543234034,757
86-3-00.400005243825710017,935,927
5-2-20.91822392352108
7.55-3-10.00110313618400110,154
75-4-00.0000017243524810042,059,102
4-3-2Out0827322381266
6.54-4-1Out00211293519400210,786
3-3-3Out1001
64-5-0Out00162336268163,180,278
3-4-2Out01820362510379
5.53-5-1Out002113137172247,050
2-4-3Out1001
53-6-0Out0011034411360,679,692
2-5-2Out0112353913368
4.52-6-1Out003214827173,237
42-7-0Out007425135,793,327
1-6-2Out34849152
3.51-7-1Out01257466,389
31-8-0Out0138711,715,374
0-7-2Out39731
2.50-8-1Out29810,577
20-9-0Out1001,635,780
Total:0.6%000000134681114171916239,350,400

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Washington finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesota
119-0-01.8%3274486151043510000
10.58-0-11.11466361218127360000
108-1-00.6376581310764410000
7-0-2NoYes
9.57-1-10.40565510544320000
97-2-00.10122241111000000
6-1-2No44444
8.56-2-10.0010010000000000
86-3-00.0000000000000000
5-2-2No1
7.55-3-1No0000000
75-4-0No000000000
4-3-2No
2-6.5No
Total:0.0%0.00.10.10.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Washington+0.7-0.5-2.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.1+0.1-0.1
New England vs Chicago-0.0+0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.1*+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.1+0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs Houston+0.0+0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.1-0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Washington+1.3-0.1-1.6
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Oakland-0.0-0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.0-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.0+0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Arizona-0.0+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
119-0-006323111200211210100
10.58-0-110135810221726340
108-1-00020110121818211961000
7-0-2100
9.57-1-10030111012232916410
97-2-00001000111313262414520000
6-1-2218331721
8.56-2-100000431223262093000
86-3-00000000261422231810410000
5-2-21651820231882
7.55-3-100016162626177100
75-4-0000000013918252314610000
4-3-224101431221241
6.54-4-1000310222923102000
3-3-3100
64-5-000001617272616610000
3-4-202418262518610
5.53-5-1000292332249200
2-4-3100
53-6-00002821312510200
2-5-21102130231121
4.52-6-100141734301220
42-7-000015193428112
1-6-215203427132
3.51-7-10052339276
31-8-000018284122
0-7-213233232
2.50-8-102164637
20-9-00042967
Total:00000000000001112234567891010108642