Washington Redskins Playoff Chances

Lost to Arizona 23-31, playoff odds down 16.5 to 37.7%
6-5-1   .542

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Arizona 31 Washington 23 -14.8
-0.3
-0.6
San Diego 21 Tampa Bay 28 -3.1
-0.0
-0.1
Minnesota 15 Dallas 17 +2.5
+0.1
Cincinnati 32 Philadelphia 14 +1.9
+0.1
Pittsburgh 24 NY Giants 14 +1.2
+0.1
Atlanta 28 Kansas City 29 +0.8
New Orleans 13 Detroit 28 -0.6
+0.0
Green Bay 21 Houston 13 -0.4
-0.0
Seattle 40 Carolina 7 -0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Washington-14.4+4.3+22.2
-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.7+0.4+1.0
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-2.7-3.0+3.1
-0.1-0.2+0.1
Jacksonville vs Minnesota+4.1+4.1-1.9
+0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.2+0.2-0.1
NY Giants vs Dallas-3.4+1.4+2.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Miami vs Arizona+2.3+2.3-1.9
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Los Angeles vs Atlanta+2.0-0.7-0.8
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Green Bay vs Seattle-1.4+0.9+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Chicago-0.6-0.6+1.7
-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
10.54-0-099.9%91901,755,419,248
103-0-197.37127305,262,237
9.53-1-082.6334916206,129,270,411
2-0-284.6394514105,915
92-1-146.4103640131013,350,865
1-0-350.050502
8.52-2-09.7193139183007,497,710,255
1-1-211.3110323817209,542
81-2-10.9011129361840010,664,377
0-1-3Out50502
7.51-3-00.00062841223003,887,582,336
0-2-2Out07294120303,747
70-3-1Out00518353210102,720,989
6.50-4-0Out00528442120730,725,898
Total:37.7%181916161295210020,032,725,824

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBDallasSeattleDetroitAtlantaNY GiantsTampa BayMinnesotaGreen BayArizonaNew OrleansCarolina
10.54-0-01.4%0529390104813
103-0-11.30728400103613
9.53-1-01.10828320723020
2-0-20.9082833082412
92-1-10.60619170300010
1-0-3No50
8.52-2-00.101530000000
1-1-20.1015410000
81-2-10.00000000000
0-1-3No
7.51-3-00.00000000
0-2-2No
6.5-7No
Total:0.5%0.13.312.814.40.03.30.91.70.20.80.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/1100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 31 Washington 23 +1.3
Cincinnati 32 Philadelphia 14 -0.1
Pittsburgh 24 NY Giants 14 -0.1
Minnesota 15 Dallas 17 -0.1
San Diego 21 Tampa Bay 28 +0.1
Oakland 38 Buffalo 24 -0.1
Jacksonville 10 Denver 20 +0.0
Green Bay 21 Houston 13 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Indianapolis-0.1-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Washington+1.3-0.9-2.0
Jacksonville vs Minnesota-0.2-0.2+0.1
NY Giants vs Dallas+0.2-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Seattle+0.2+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans+0.1+0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs Pittsburgh+0.1-0.1-0.1
New England vs Baltimore-0.0-0.0+0.1
Carolina vs San Diego-0.1+0.0+0.1
Miami vs Arizona-0.0-0.1+0.0
Los Angeles vs Atlanta-0.1-0.0+0.0
Detroit vs Chicago+0.0-0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Houston-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
10.54-0-014787200
103-0-12699172000
9.53-1-00339401251000
2-0-20399371141
92-1-1010333202581000
1-0-35050
8.52-2-0109214292813300000
1-1-21010213292813300
81-2-10010312242820920000
0-1-35050
7.51-3-000001515272817610000
0-2-200415282718610
70-3-100015152628186100
6.50-4-0000014143032164000
Total:1173164711116455321110000