Washington Redskins Playoff Chances

Beat Dallas 20-17, playoff odds up 1.6 to 2.3%
3-5-0   .375

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dallas 17 Washington 20 +1.5
+1.1
New Orleans 44 Green Bay 23 +0.1
Carolina 9 Seattle 13 -0.1
+0.0
Atlanta 21 Detroit 22 +0.1
New England 51 Chicago 23 +0.0
Kansas City 34 St. Louis 7 +0.0
Tampa Bay 13 Minnesota 19 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs Washington-1.5-0.3+1.9
-0.8+0.2+1.0
Seattle vs Oakland-0.1+0.4+0.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Arizona-0.2-0.2+0.3
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.2*-0.0-0.2
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.1*-0.0+0.2
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.2*+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Carolina vs New Orleans-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Washington finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
118-0-099.6%42732129600793,399
10.57-0-197.71122114221205,891
107-1-079.1021632335183008,699,922
6-0-268.813253125616
9.56-1-154.10031123735101059,016
96-2-019.3001121537331010043,149,934
5-1-224.82121935319165
8.55-2-14.300004224326500244,890
85-3-00.50000524392561000117,725,016
4-2-20.30528382341582
7.54-3-10.00018303820400542,952
74-4-00.00000172536247100192,611,812
3-3-2Out18253822601,072
6.53-4-1Out00110313817300693,500
63-5-0Out001726392350192,649,732
2-4-2Out1726421950915
5.52-5-1Out002143735111505,093
1-4-3Out50502
52-6-0Out0011339388114,209,786
1-5-2Out111413710411
4.51-6-1Out005284818193,967
41-7-0Out007454836,414,231
0-6-2Out7316294
3.50-7-1Out02306829,950
30-8-0Out5954,815,748
Total:2.3%0000013691113141413104713,348,096

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Washington finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDetroitArizonaDallasPhiladelphiaNew OrleansGreen BaySeattleSan FranciscoCarolinaNY GiantsAtlantaMinnesotaChicagoTampa BaySt. Louis
118-0-02.0%313499177637130000
10.57-0-11.11357982575310140000
107-1-00.8388911158636120000
6-0-2No131919136
9.56-1-10.50777795423010000
96-2-00.10332322111000000
5-1-2No1265222121
8.55-2-10.00111100000000000
85-3-00.0000000000000000
4-2-2No00
7.54-3-1No00000000
74-4-00.0000000000000
3-3-2No
3-6.5No
Total:0.0%0.10.30.30.30.30.40.20.20.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 17 Washington 20 -1.7
Pittsburgh 51 Indianapolis 34 +0.1
Carolina 9 Seattle 13 -0.1
Atlanta 21 Detroit 22 -0.1
New Orleans 44 Green Bay 23 +0.1
Cincinnati 27 Baltimore 24 +0.0
Arizona 24 Philadelphia 20 +0.0
New England 51 Chicago 23 -0.0
Tampa Bay 13 Minnesota 19 +0.0
Jacksonville 13 Miami 27 +0.0
Tennessee 16 Houston 30 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Washington+1.3-0.2-1.6
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.0-0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.0-0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
118-0-00432415161013166100
10.57-0-1101181310142817420
107-1-00021151212272811720000
6-0-2136196251913
9.56-1-10003010114331517104100
96-2-000010102015311192116720000
5-1-22121192121916121121
8.55-2-10000004027182724134100
85-3-0000000001392027231241000
4-2-2001491927221250
7.54-3-1000014132730185100
74-4-00000000282231241020000
3-3-201102034221020
6.53-4-1001417333012200
63-5-0000031530311640000
2-4-20121630291740
5.52-5-1002133233163000
1-4-35050
52-6-00002123034174000
1-5-221030342030
4.51-6-100213333515200
41-7-00021433331530
0-6-21113731182
3.50-7-10318403091
30-8-00041937319
Total:000000000001011234568101111119752100