Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 82.7%
6-1-0   .857

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 +11.4
+1.4
+1.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +0.9
+0.1
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +0.7
+0.0
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.7
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.7
-0.1
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +0.7
+0.1
+0.0
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 -0.4
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.4
+0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Washington+8.1+3.0-8.1
+1.2*+0.1-1.2
+0.7+0.2-0.7
New Orleans vs Green Bay+1.0*-0.2-1.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.7+0.6-0.7
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.6+0.6-0.6
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle+0.5*-0.3-0.5
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.3*+0.4-0.3
+0.2*+0.3-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.3*+0.4-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.2*-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-15In100280,236*
148-1-0In1000002,415,893
7-0-2In1005
13.57-1-1In991015,293
137-2-0In9450109,649,777
6-1-2In98246
12.56-2-1In8980354,473
126-3-0100.0%71191090022,531,287
5-2-2In7118110147
11.55-3-1In552830140108,191
115-4-0100.028331002820033,787,866
4-3-2In303512230210
10.54-4-199.9123017236400135,405
104-5-096.33141934019300033,782,228
3-4-297.041416237233201
9.53-5-190.40415734309100108,217
93-6-053.40164133030133000022,536,319
2-5-251.144123036112139
8.52-6-124.201331733291220054,408
82-7-03.60010312263020820009,656,904
1-6-2Out839181814249
7.51-7-10.30019233323810015,281
71-8-00.000014152829175102,411,349
0-7-2Out1111222222119
6.50-8-1Out0312273320501,994
60-9-0Out00192536245279,577
Total:82.7%28158120107432110000137,825,504

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaPhiladelphiaDetroitGreen BayCarolinaSan FranciscoSeattleNew OrleansChicagoAtlantaNY GiantsSt. LouisTampa BayMinnesotaWashington
14.5-1512.5%Yes
148-1-012.51000000000000000
7-0-2NoYes
13.57-1-112.8100000000000
137-2-012.499000000000000000
6-1-26.5Yes
12.56-2-112.197000010010000000
126-3-011.990101131020100100
5-2-210.289111121311
11.55-3-111.483111151130200100
115-4-010.0602333102251411200
4-3-27.664233510123031101
10.54-4-18.8424554134372511210
104-5-07.1176978155483622311
3-4-28.5185148713406452530
9.53-5-15.9481199146473622211
93-6-03.41586674342311111
2-5-22.989665443211111
8.52-6-11.50343332111101100
82-7-00.20011000000000000
1-6-2No
7.51-7-10.0000000000000
71-8-00.00000000000
0-7-2No
6-6.5No
Total:7.8%42.83.14.43.43.77.82.51.94.21.43.20.91.11.40.50.4
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -1.8
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 +0.1
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.0
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.0
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Washington-1.5-0.4+1.5
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.3-0.2+0.3
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1-0.1+0.1
New England vs Chicago-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
159-0-01000
14.58-0-11000
148-1-0991000
7-0-2100
13.57-1-197210
137-2-0886500100
6-1-287112
12.56-2-177128003
126-3-051191911009000
5-2-2462518110
11.55-3-127282523001300
115-4-091924891002622000
4-3-292124111102120
10.54-4-11111317143203064000
104-5-00341012720261317130000
3-4-2136810622892123
9.53-5-10044125210242278100
93-6-00011522211161419168310000
2-5-24133918122119541
8.52-6-100113031161121221462000
82-7-00000000032713192017116210000
1-6-2614624201684
7.51-7-10000271524241783000
71-8-00000013714202117115210000
0-7-22233111122
6.50-8-1016132426189300
60-9-00001410182321147200
Total:19910563101567343222111000000000000