Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 76.5%
8-3-0   .727

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 +13.1
+1.4
+0.8
Seattle 19 Arizona 3 -2.1
-0.1
-0.0
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 -1.8
-0.1
-0.1
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 -1.4
-0.3
-0.0
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24 -1.3
-0.2
-0.2
New England 34 Detroit 9 +1.2
+0.2
+0.1
Chicago 21 Tampa Bay 13 -0.5
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Philadelphia+14.4+7.8-14.4
+2.0+0.7-2.0
+1.2+0.4-1.2
Detroit vs Chicago-2.3+4.7+2.3
-0.3+0.4+0.3
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Green Bay vs New England-1.2+1.3+1.2
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs Seattle-0.0+1.9+0.0
-0.0+0.2+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Arizona+0.2+0.4-0.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Carolina-0.1*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
135-0-0In811958,019,065
12.54-0-1In79211231,618
124-1-0In4148650289,296,936
3-0-2In425152366
11.53-1-1100.0%324811900924,803
113-2-099.55322827800578,600,102
2-1-299.45343024711,112
10.52-2-199.0220283514101,388,874
1-1-3In1001
102-3-076.7032219322040578,568,141
1-2-278.9032122321831,096
9.51-3-160.901811413360926,201
91-4-016.805011135371100289,292,871
0-3-212.51111394080359
8.50-4-13.80430511500231,163
80-5-00.00523501930058,006,156
Total:76.5%11191701514128310001,855,488,864

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaGreen BayPhiladelphiaSeattleDetroitSan FranciscoAtlantaNew OrleansCarolinaChicagoTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashingtonNY Giants
135-0-012.5%Yes
12.54-0-112.4990000000
124-1-011.889012111221000000
3-0-211.2932211100
11.53-1-111.38001322243200000
113-2-08.53716116651296100000
2-1-27.5391512755127510
10.52-2-17.6222714585151181000
1-1-3NoYes
102-3-05.03211215949642000
1-2-25.133121849610751000
9.51-3-13.81214192925421000
91-4-01.101451311001000
0-3-20.813402111
8.50-4-10.2021010000000
80-5-00.000000000
Total:6.6%29.71.16.010.93.65.33.36.75.03.61.00.20.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 -1.8
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24 +0.4
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 +0.1
New England 34 Detroit 9 -0.1
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 +0.1
Seattle 19 Arizona 3 +0.1
New Orleans 27 Baltimore 34 +0.1
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 +0.0
Buffalo 38 NY Jets 3 +0.0
Denver 39 Miami 36 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Philadelphia-2.6-0.8+2.6
Detroit vs Chicago+0.1-0.2-0.1
Green Bay vs New England+0.1-0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs Seattle+0.0-0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Arizona-0.1-0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
135-0-06714190
12.54-0-161182001
124-1-0192243560500
3-0-2222047452
11.53-1-192437111109000
113-2-015131822524380000
2-1-2141519246213601
10.52-2-10221815132213131100
1-1-3100
102-3-00003516812249147200000
1-2-2003616814248136200
9.51-3-10108011833171462000
91-4-000500011917162421113000
0-3-21111019172324122
8.50-4-10040292230229200
80-5-000001518333011200
Total:5512810800115104533432110000