Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 75.5%
6-2-0   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Arizona+10.5+3.8-10.5
+1.5+0.4-1.5
+0.9+0.3-0.9
Houston vs Philadelphia+1.2+0.7-1.2
+0.3*+0.2-0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.2
San Francisco vs St. Louis-1.1+0.9+1.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-1.0+0.6+1.0
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Washington+0.4+1.6-0.4
+0.0+0.2-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Oakland-0.8-0.4+0.8
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs Dallas-8.2+3.9+8.2
-1.0+0.3+1.0
-0.7+0.3+0.7
New Orleans vs San Francisco+1.1+0.9-1.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs Carolina-1.0+0.5+1.0
-0.2*+0.2+0.2
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Green Bay vs Chicago-0.8+0.5+0.8
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Miami-0.5+0.6+0.5
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Arizona vs St. Louis-0.3*-0.2+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
148-0-0In10001,286,191
13.57-0-1In9918,104
137-1-0In9450010,086,872
6-0-2In95522
12.56-1-1In89100056,233
126-2-0100.0%72232030035,308,597
5-1-2In732412148
11.55-2-1In56354050169,237
115-3-0100.030401301710070,621,825
4-2-2In274313160322
10.54-3-199.913392212220282,295
104-4-097.13192623215300088,241,692
3-3-297.8423332231220410
9.53-4-191.90725628267100283,827
2-3-3In1001
93-5-055.70110312292912300070,629,706
2-4-255.011131130301320333
8.52-5-127.3035317332710200170,000
82-6-04.200103122730197100035,304,197
1-5-22.5111832302232122
7.51-6-10.40000210263321710056,713
71-7-00.00000151730281540010,080,362
0-6-2Out61829356617
6.50-7-1Out0315313216308,114
60-8-0Out0021028362031,285,604
Total:75.5%191713115118643211000323,880,944

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaDetroitPhiladelphiaNew OrleansGreen BaySan FranciscoSeattleCarolinaNY GiantsChicagoAtlantaMinnesotaWashingtonSt. LouisTampa Bay
13.5-1412.5%Yes
137-1-012.5100000000000000000
6-0-29.1Yes
12.56-1-112.699000000000000000
126-2-012.295000100010000000
5-1-211.5971111
11.55-2-111.891001311110010000
115-3-010.669113832241121101
4-2-29.670123743121120111
10.54-3-19.6522361054352131111
104-4-07.42246111585573242211
3-3-27.62846101096563141112
9.53-4-16.2768141496663342211
2-3-3NoYes
93-5-03.614611853332221111
2-4-25.714811884332210101
8.52-5-11.80345332211111100
82-6-00.30011000000000000
1-5-2No111
7.51-6-10.00000000000
71-7-00.0000000000000
0-6-2No
6-6.5No
Total:6.9%35.42.33.36.37.74.02.52.53.61.51.22.10.90.90.70.8
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Arizona-1.8-0.4+1.8
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.3-0.2+0.3
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Washington-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs Dallas+1.5-0.5-1.5
Philadelphia vs Carolina+0.3-0.2-0.3
Green Bay vs Chicago+0.1-0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs San Francisco-0.1-0.1+0.1
Arizona vs St. Louis+0.1+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Miami+0.1-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs NY Giants-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
148-0-09810
13.57-0-19631
137-1-086950000
6-0-28695
12.56-1-1751410000
126-2-048242212003000
5-1-2462723112
11.55-2-12531313400500
115-3-08222712121001511000
4-2-272033101121420
10.54-3-1113142518410175200
104-4-0034151511201814132300000
3-3-204519191420131010220
9.53-4-100752152523151071000
2-3-3100
93-5-00011102211111181315105200000
2-4-21110120111119141412320
8.52-5-100314030165142018104100
82-6-0000010003138152020169310000
1-5-211138161720161151
7.51-6-100000001411212621114100
71-7-000000001411192320125200000
0-6-2121261829186
6.50-7-102615262617620
60-8-00001310202522135100
Total:1081077511976544333221111000000000