"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 85.3%
10-4-0   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia 27 Dallas 38 +30.5
+2.5
+1.4
Seattle 17 San Francisco 7 -4.2
-0.3
Detroit 16 Minnesota 14 -2.9
-0.4
-0.1
Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13 +0.5
+0.0
St. Louis 6 Arizona 12 -0.3
-0.2
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Indianapolis+10.0+10.0-10.0
+1.4+1.2-1.4
+0.8+0.7-0.8
Washington vs Philadelphia+6.9+6.9-6.9
+0.5+0.5-0.5
+0.6+0.6-0.6
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay+5.2-2.9-5.2
+0.7*+0.0-0.7
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Arizona vs Seattle+3.4-1.3-3.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Chicago vs Detroit+0.6+3.0-0.6
+0.5+0.8-0.5
+0.1+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
122-0-0In193844951,095,629
11.51-0-1In650441,520,969
111-1-094.1%096691061,901,498,954
0-0-291.8573868600
10.50-1-190.67531391,522,185
100-2-053.1252847951,096,959
Total:85.3%51450412153,806,735,296

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaSeattleDetroitGreen BayNew OrleansPhiladelphiaCarolinaAtlanta
122-0-09.8%56616165
11.51-0-19.7560616165
111-1-06.5929193541022
0-0-25.7521126353622
10.50-1-15.729263721311
100-2-03.31391328
Total:6.5%18.81.47.015.524.72.213.41.11.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/11100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia 27 Dallas 38 -2.9
Detroit 16 Minnesota 14 +0.2
St. Louis 6 Arizona 12 +0.1
Seattle 17 San Francisco 7 +0.1
Kansas City 31 Oakland 13 +0.0
New England 41 Miami 13 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Indianapolis-1.7-1.3+1.7
Washington vs Philadelphia-1.1-1.1+1.1
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay-0.3-0.1+0.3
Chicago vs Detroit-0.2-0.3+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
122-0-0217181944
11.51-0-1061832395
111-1-00009264090106
0-0-20526477068
10.50-1-1471311209
100-2-02524434112
Total:04592426401111230