Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.4 to 35.3%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 +6.6
+0.6
+0.8
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 -1.4
-0.1
-0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 -1.2
-0.1
-0.1
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 +0.7
+0.1
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +0.4
+0.0
Minnesota 7 New England 30 +0.3
+0.0
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 -0.3
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 +0.3
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 +0.2
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
St. Louis vs Dallas-9.2*+1.2+9.2
-0.9*+0.3+0.9
-1.1+0.2+1.1
NY Giants vs Houston-0.8*+0.5+0.8
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Denver-0.4*+0.3+0.4
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.3*-0.7-0.3
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.3*-0.4+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.3*-0.7+0.3
-0.0*+0.4+0.0
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Minnesota+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.1*+0.5+0.1
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Cincinnati vs Tennessee-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In10002,932
14.513-0-1In10011
1413-1-0In991017,541
13.512-1-1In973206
1312-2-0In946000115,597
11-1-2In1001
12.511-2-1In919011,120
1211-3-0In74212030461,232
10-2-2In6325138
11.510-3-1In632740604,167
1110-4-0100.0%343713113101,269,912
9-3-2In3020351520
10.59-4-1100.019371932020010,203
109-5-098.05202711251020002,538,986
8-4-296.96252591913332
9.58-5-193.9182315272151018,226
7-4-3In1001
98-6-064.402101911232011410003,811,210
7-5-264.21413936181041167
8.57-6-135.9031331627231020024,097
6-5-3Out1001
87-7-011.3001703919242111410004,354,756
6-6-212.393925231115565
7.56-7-12.60200282029241130024,342
76-8-00.801000141222272110303,807,270
5-7-2Out2582527198559
6.55-8-10.10003112532217118,244
65-9-00.000002821332892,538,834
4-8-2Out3616413432
5.54-9-1Out02929401910,050
54-10-00.0000021340451,269,430
3-9-2Out77404715
4.53-10-1Out00431644,126
43-11-0Out0011881463,330
2-10-2Out25754
3.52-11-1Out011891,141
32-12-0Out0496115,714
2.51-12-1Out298188
21-13-0Out019917,745
1.50-13-1Out10018
10-14-0Out01002,939
Total:35.3%556766666777777620,903,872

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeCarolinaPhiladelphiaArizonaAtlantaMinnesotaChicagoDetroitSeattleWashingtonGreen BaySan FranciscoSt. LouisNew OrleansNY GiantsTampa Bay
14.5-1512.8%Yes
1413-1-012.7100000
13.512-1-112.6Yes
1312-2-012.499000000000000000
11-1-2YesYes
12.511-2-111.7990000000
1211-3-012.295101000000000000
10-2-225.08813
11.510-3-112.690101111110111100
1110-4-010.872323222221222111
9-3-210.0505510510555
10.59-4-19.756434433332334212
109-5-07.725767655554555323
8-4-26.331136333333393633
9.58-5-16.29878766665666324
7-4-3NoYes
98-6-04.12656444454455322
7-5-21.519164433741944
8.57-6-12.40334232232233111
6-5-3No
87-7-00.70101111110111000
6-6-2No2222322
7.56-7-10.100000000000000
76-8-00.1000000000000000
5-7-2No
6.55-8-10.00000000000
65-9-00.0000000000000
4-8-2No
5.54-9-1No
54-10-0No00
3-9-2No
1-4.5No
Total:2.9%10.52.32.02.41.81.71.71.71.91.31.61.91.81.00.71.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/11100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 -2.0
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 +0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 +0.1
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 -0.1
Oakland 14 Houston 30 -0.1
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 +0.1
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +0.1
Baltimore 26 Pittsburgh 6 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Dallas+2.2-0.3-2.2
New Orleans vs Minnesota-0.1-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Washington+0.1+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Tennessee+0.1*-0.2-0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.1+0.0-0.1
New England vs Oakland-0.0-0.1+0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-010000
14.513-0-1100
1413-1-097210
13.512-1-19433
1312-2-084960000
11-1-2100
12.511-2-17615901
1211-3-04925201200300
10-2-250132513
11.510-3-1313225240060
1110-4-01025261213110121100
9-3-210205153515
10.59-4-12171918172301732000
109-5-00551516111011510912000
8-4-266199166399133
9.58-5-11088151231017174510
7-4-3100
98-6-00022910929101214126210000
7-5-21476361322159633
8.57-6-1003410032151120181041000
6-5-3100
87-7-0000116000325101315151394200000
6-6-2283668991120685
7.56-7-1002000026132123189310
76-8-0001000000125813161716127310000
5-7-222105171014191525
6.55-8-10001310182522146100
65-9-000000024915202116930
4-8-232292516223
5.54-9-1000310202925112
54-10-0000002818292913
3-9-2207133327
4.53-10-1015204034
43-11-0000193455
2-10-2100
3.52-11-122276
32-12-00011287
2.51-12-1694
21-13-00298
1.50-13-1100
10-14-00100
Total:23333333333333333443333333333333