Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances 50/50

Tied with Washington 0-0 (8:30 PM ET), playoff odds down 3.6 to 38.9%
2-3-0   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -2.2
-0.1
-0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.4
-0.0
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 +0.3
+0.0
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.3
-0.1
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -0.3
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -0.3
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington+12.7-2.7-12.7
+1.0*-0.7-1.0
+1.3-0.4-1.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Dallas-14.4-2.8+14.4
-1.2*-0.7+1.2
-1.4-0.4+1.4
Washington vs Chicago-1.3*-1.3+1.3
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.5*-0.5-0.4
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.4*+0.7+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.3*-1.2+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Minnesota-0.2*+0.3+0.2
Arizona vs Seattle-0.2*+0.1+0.2
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1311-0-0In991616
12.510-0-1In881241
1210-1-0In8713005,636
9-0-2In75254
11.59-1-1In62343467
119-2-0In5437701028,385
8-1-2In524821
10.58-2-1In174728622,067
108-3-099.9%13373310710085,021
7-2-2In14303961164
9.57-3-198.1111383486205,376
97-4-093.806263811125100170,587
6-3-296.4922429144140
8.56-4-166.6074721016124109,424
5-3-375.075254
86-5-045.70334181920113100238,986
5-4-248.903353819171040229
7.55-5-119.50190021022271540011,362
4-4-3Out50502
75-6-09.7010001617282412300238,956
4-5-28.99071625271320225
6.54-6-12.420172134258109,711
3-5-3Out1001
64-7-00.9100031328321840169,865
3-6-2Out13102934194138
5.53-7-10.1001724402345,419
2-6-3Out1001
53-8-00.0000031536341185,258
2-7-2Out1535351675
4.52-8-1Out022046312,090
42-9-0Out0111404828,506
1-8-2Out12414717
3.51-9-1Out32671459
31-10-0Out117825,613
0-9-2Out1001
2.50-10-1Out49648
20-11-0Out496625
Total:38.9%358173456788776531,105,440

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew OrleansSeattleDetroitChicagoPhiladelphiaGreen BaySan FranciscoArizonaSt. LouisCarolinaWashingtonAtlantaMinnesotaTampa BayNY Giants
12.5-1313.4%Yes
1210-1-012.5100000000
9-0-225.0Yes
11.59-1-110.3970000100001
119-2-011.891011111111100000
8-1-24.8Yes
10.58-2-19.064134333543211110
108-3-09.250355554654322110
7-2-210.9442811386363232
9.57-3-17.21259988810116533210
97-4-06.3661098971096533210
6-3-23.694117969997524311
8.56-4-14.00487746995312100
5-3-3No5025
86-5-02.90365524663212100
5-4-23.9045463664401311
7.55-5-11.313220233110110
4-4-3No
75-6-00.6011101111000000
4-5-21.8120120200
6.54-6-10.1000000000000
3-5-3No
64-7-00.1000000000000
3-6-2No
5.53-7-1No00
2-6-3No
53-8-0No0000000
2-7-2No
2-4.5No
Total:2.9%7.92.03.53.33.22.22.73.73.62.21.60.81.00.70.30.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 +0.2
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 +0.1
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.0
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +0.0
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington-2.7+0.2+2.7
San Diego vs Indianapolis-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Dallas+3.0+0.1-3.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.0-0.3-0.0
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.0+0.2+0.0
Washington vs Chicago+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Houston-0.1+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs St. Louis+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Denver+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs San Diego+0.1*-0.2-0.1
NY Giants vs Minnesota-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Arizona vs Seattle+0.0-0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.0*-0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs New England+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Miami vs Buffalo-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1311-0-067321
12.510-0-1513712
1210-1-0276011200
9-0-27525
11.59-1-11151241030
119-2-045016216100100
8-1-2521929
10.58-2-111714332176011
108-3-00134331320822510000
7-2-2143020195229
9.57-3-110118302510164220
97-4-00062241623111482210000
6-3-294191626195931
8.56-4-10071038209491063100
5-3-3255025
86-5-0003331108136910107521000
5-4-20333138216126127321
7.55-5-100190000026131919137200
4-4-35050
75-6-00010000000125913161713841000
4-5-291161010132114960
6.54-6-1200027162423167200
3-5-3100
64-7-010001371420231810310
3-6-213714192514144
5.53-7-1000281929251330
2-6-3100
53-8-0000015142630194
2-7-27172436115
4.52-8-100316333612
42-9-0014184235
1-8-26244724
3.51-9-1083557
31-10-00022276
0-9-2100
2.50-10-1892
20-11-00595
Total:031426413021311222333444444444332