Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat NY Giants 31-21, playoff odds up 11.7 to 82.7%
6-1-0   .857

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 +11.4
+1.4
+1.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +0.9
+0.1
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +0.7
+0.0
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.7
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.7
-0.1
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +0.7
+0.1
+0.0
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 -0.4
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.4
+0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Washington+8.1+2.5-8.1
+1.2*-0.4-1.2
+0.7+0.2-0.7
New Orleans vs Green Bay+1.0*-0.5-1.0
+0.1*-0.5-0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.7*+1.1-0.7
+0.1*+0.4-0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.7*+1.0-0.7
+0.1*+0.4-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle+0.5*-0.5-0.5
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.3*+0.6-0.3
+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.2*+1.1-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.2*-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-15In10028,255*
148-1-0In10000242,293
7-0-2In1001
13.57-1-1In99101,587
137-2-0In94501968,032
6-1-2In1004
12.56-2-1In888035,476
126-3-0100.0%7119109002,256,161
5-2-2In89119
11.55-3-1In56273014010,874
115-4-0100.02833100282003,385,574
4-3-2In38382313
10.54-4-199.91230171363013,464
104-5-096.3314192401930003,384,789
3-4-2In51520451520
9.53-5-190.2041573330910010,603
93-6-053.501641330301330002,259,090
2-5-253.8153838813
8.52-6-124.9013318342811205,455
82-7-03.7001031226301972000966,165
1-6-2Out6020205
7.51-7-10.2001923312311201,585
71-8-00.00001416282816510241,272
0-7-2Out1001
6.50-8-1Out1293034195170
60-9-0Out029253623527,761
Total:82.7%2815812010743211000013,808,672

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaPhiladelphiaDetroitGreen BayCarolinaSan FranciscoSeattleNew OrleansChicagoAtlantaNY GiantsSt. LouisTampa BayMinnesotaWashington
14.5-1512.6%Yes
148-1-012.5100000000000000
7-0-2NoYes
13.57-1-111.510000
137-2-012.599000000000000000
6-1-250.0Yes
12.56-2-112.49700010010000
126-3-011.990101131020100100
5-2-2NoYes
11.55-3-112.083111151130200100
115-4-010.0612333102251411200
4-3-2No77815
10.54-4-19.1424555134372611210
104-5-07.1176978155483622311
3-4-210.020555101055515105
9.53-5-15.8581189136573622311
93-6-03.41586674342311111
2-5-27.78888888
8.52-6-11.20343332111111000
82-7-00.20011000000000000
1-6-2No
7.51-7-1No000
71-8-0No000
0-7-2No
6-6.5No
Total:7.9%42.93.14.43.43.77.92.51.84.21.43.20.91.11.40.50.4
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -1.8
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 +0.1
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.0
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.0
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Washington-1.4-0.4+1.4
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.3-0.3+0.3
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1-0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.0+0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs Houston-0.0-0.1+0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
159-0-01000
14.58-0-1100
148-1-099100
7-0-2100
13.57-1-197210
137-2-088650010
6-1-2100
12.56-2-177128003
126-3-051191911009000
5-2-28911
11.55-3-12828253301400
115-4-091924891002622000
4-3-21523231523
10.54-4-1111131715210306300
104-5-0034111272026131713000
3-4-255101010351015
9.53-5-1004412529242278100
93-6-00011522211161420168310000
2-5-2882315388
8.52-6-101033116112222135100
82-7-0000000032714202016105200000
1-6-2404020
7.51-7-10001716222517931
71-8-00000001381520201610520000
0-7-2100
6.50-8-11261421261992
60-9-00001410192321146200
Total:19910553101557343222111000000000000