Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 2 to 36%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 +7.5
+0.5
+1.0
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 -1.4
-0.1
-0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 -1.0
-0.1
-0.1
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +0.5
+0.0
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 +0.5
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 +0.3
Minnesota 7 New England 30 +0.3
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.3
+0.1
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 -0.2
-0.0
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 +0.2
+0.0
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 +0.2
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
St. Louis vs Dallas-9.6*-0.6+8.9
-0.8*-0.4+0.7
-1.1+0.1+1.0
Seattle vs Denver-0.5*+0.9+0.6
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.4*-0.2-0.5
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Houston-0.4*+0.5+0.3
-0.1*+0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Minnesota+0.3*-0.2-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.2*-1.3+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.2*+0.1+0.3
Detroit vs Green Bay-0.1*-1.0+0.1
Arizona vs San Francisco+0.1*+0.7-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.0*+0.2+0.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Tennessee*-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In1000868
14.513-0-1In1003
1413-1-0In98206,041
13.512-1-1In935259
1312-2-0In9090137,935
12.511-2-1In851302336
1211-3-0In64263060149,413
10-2-2In1001
11.510-3-1In513061201,345
1110-4-0100.0%243516220200399,254
9-3-2In204020205
10.59-4-199.8122920429403,184
109-5-096.4213231230163000770,418
8-4-2In104010202010
9.58-5-189.705161329279105,462
98-6-055.80161410252414510001,106,142
7-5-235.7141473621714
8.57-6-128.60183163126123006,860
87-7-07.60040392026221131001,202,725
6-6-2Out2429351217
7.56-7-11.30102923312292006,510
76-8-00.4000001514242719710992,972
5-7-2Out18292424617
6.55-8-10.0001515283116404,553
65-9-00.0000003112633215620,124
4-8-2Out4020301010
5.54-9-1Out14163533122,458
54-10-0Out0014204234287,409
3-9-2Out1003
4.53-10-1Out193852872
43-11-0Out003257297,062
2-10-2Out1001
3.52-11-1Out11782241
32-12-0Out079322,253
2.51-12-1Out69434
21-13-0Out01993,175
1-1.5Out100630*
Total:36.0%45658877777766545,728,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeCarolinaArizonaPhiladelphiaWashingtonSeattleChicagoMinnesotaDetroitSan FranciscoAtlantaGreen BayNew OrleansSt. LouisTampa BayNY Giants
14.5-1514.6%Yes
1413-1-015.7100000
13.512-1-120.3982
1312-2-014.99900000000000000
12.511-2-118.2980010
1211-3-013.490111011111110000
10-2-2NoYes
11.510-3-111.981321111212111110
1110-4-010.059443333343321210
9-3-2No602020
10.59-4-18.042665454555442320
109-5-05.615988666676543321
8-4-2No1010202010101010
9.58-5-14.65998677677552321
98-6-02.41665454444332211
7-5-27.177714
8.57-6-11.20343232222111110
87-7-00.30110011111000000
6-6-2No
7.56-7-10.000000000000000
76-8-00.0000000000000000
5-7-2No
6.55-8-1No00
65-9-00.000000000000
4-8-2No
1-5.5No
Total:2.5%9.52.82.92.41.92.22.12.12.12.11.61.40.91.00.60.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/11100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 -2.5
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 +0.1
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 -0.1
Oakland 14 Houston 30 -0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 +0.1
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 +0.1
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +0.0
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 -0.0
Baltimore 26 Pittsburgh 6 +0.0
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Dallas+2.1+0.1-2.0
Cincinnati vs Tennessee+0.0-0.2-0.1
Cleveland vs Baltimore+0.0-0.2-0.0
New Orleans vs Minnesota-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Denver-0.0+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-010000
14.513-0-1100
1413-1-093520
13.512-1-1811252
1312-2-071189001
12.511-2-1632113002
1211-3-03034234300600
10-2-2100
11.510-3-11833256601200
1110-4-04211718143201832000
9-3-220402020
10.59-4-10129201554236400
109-5-002211101310216151423000
8-4-210301010101020
9.58-5-100531394821207920
98-6-0001066819101517158310000
7-5-214147217297
8.57-6-1001270311411212013510
87-7-00000400032611151716127310000
6-6-224126296186
7.56-7-10100138172323157200
76-8-000000000013712151717138410000
5-7-26618291212126
6.55-8-1001381623231772000
65-9-000000149152021169410
4-8-22020302010
5.54-9-100291726261441
54-10-000026152528195
3-9-2333333
4.53-10-100310284019
43-11-00015183938
2-10-2100
3.52-11-1153460
32-12-00022078
2.51-12-11288
21-13-00496
1.50-13-1100
10-14-00100
Total:23232333444444444444333333332221