Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances

Lost to Washington 17-20, playoff odds down 7.7 to 85.4%
6-2-0   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas 17 Washington 20 -7.4
-2.3
-0.8
New Orleans 44 Green Bay 23 +0.8
+0.3
+0.1
Carolina 9 Seattle 13 -0.5
-0.0
Atlanta 21 Detroit 22 -0.4
-0.2
-0.0
New England 51 Chicago 23 +0.3
+0.0
Arizona 24 Philadelphia 20 -0.1
+0.5
+0.2
Tampa Bay 13 Minnesota 19 -0.1
Cincinnati 27 Baltimore 24 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Arizona+6.4+1.4-10.5
+1.6-0.2-2.6
+0.6+0.0-0.9
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.6+1.5+1.6
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Oakland-0.4+0.3+1.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-1.0+0.5+0.6
-0.1+0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.7+0.4-0.7
+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.2+0.2-0.2
Minnesota vs Washington+0.1+0.6-0.1
Carolina vs New Orleans-0.0*+0.1+0.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.2*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
148-0-0In98211,466,669
13.57-0-1In964061,422
137-1-0In85130162,711,486
6-0-2In87121142
12.56-1-1In742312292,249
126-2-0100.0%4536701200147,043,862
5-1-2In4837690585
11.55-2-1100.026431301700583,888
115-3-099.7728230356000192,385,194
4-2-299.77332702840923
10.54-3-199.1216292381210630,333
104-4-087.304181323212100153,619,252
3-3-288.3052123129101884
9.53-4-173.201114193923400398,290
2-3-3Out1001
93-5-033.700315243922610076,621,271
2-4-236.55162637216400
8.52-5-113.111110353714200147,450
1-4-3Out50502
82-6-01.90000211293419510023,259,245
1-5-22.1118244317595
7.51-6-10.1002153433132029,713
71-7-00.000021026342261003,914,552
0-6-2Out2957147
6.50-7-1Out0110323717302,492
60-8-0Out001727412130329,481
Total:85.4%221812121127421000000673,499,888

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDetroitArizonaPhiladelphiaNew OrleansGreen BaySeattleSan FranciscoCarolinaNY GiantsAtlantaMinnesotaChicagoWashingtonTampa BaySt. Louis
148-0-017.6%Yes
13.57-0-117.610000
137-1-017.198000100000000000
6-0-216.9991
12.56-1-116.797000100000000000
126-2-014.581012721130100000
5-1-215.085112521120100
11.55-2-113.1691141032241200000
115-3-09.5352392165482300000
4-2-210.0403391565492301100
10.54-3-17.81855142286592410100
104-4-05.4466182086482311100
3-3-25.55871619874732101
9.53-4-14.1187171385452201000
2-3-3No
93-5-01.705410532211100000
2-4-22.55612421321110
8.52-5-10.7324211000000000
1-4-3No
82-6-00.10001000000000000
1-5-2No2
7.51-6-1No000000
71-7-00.000000000
0-6-2No
6-6.5No
Total:9.2%39.82.92.78.312.64.53.22.54.91.11.90.30.30.30.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 17 Washington 20 +1.8
Arizona 24 Philadelphia 20 -0.4
New Orleans 44 Green Bay 23 -0.1
Atlanta 21 Detroit 22 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Arizona-1.2+0.0+1.9
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.4-0.3+0.4
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.0
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
148-0-09092
13.57-0-1851240
137-1-058271300010
6-0-26620121
12.56-1-139352211020
126-2-014312887000121000
5-1-2143428960810
11.55-2-1224232012100152000
115-3-00791915700261060000
4-2-207102218800208400
10.54-3-10211610202014241121000
104-4-0000431511824201284100000
3-3-20541811723191174100
9.53-4-1010111301863310952000
2-3-3100
93-5-0000301052225131816941000
2-4-25163235141918711
8.52-5-110110100292025198200
1-4-35050
82-6-0000000200271625261661000
1-5-2111151620262053
7.51-6-100002718292713400
71-7-00000014152830165100
0-6-229144314
6.50-7-10051734291220
60-8-00015193327123000
Total:1012108760012965322221110000000000