Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 91.3%
6-1-0   .857

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Washington+2.9*+0.1-8.5
+0.7-0.3-2.2
+0.3-0.1-0.9
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.7*+0.2-0.5
+0.3*+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.7+0.7-0.4
+0.2*+0.2-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Seattle+0.6*-0.1-0.5
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
New England vs Chicago+0.3*+0.2-0.6
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.1*+0.2+0.1
+0.5*+0.2-0.5
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Arizona+4.5+1.4-7.4
+1.3*+0.0-2.2
+0.5+0.0-0.8
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.6+1.1+1.1
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.8+0.3+0.4
Seattle vs Oakland-0.2*+0.1+0.6
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.4*+0.2-0.3
+0.6*+0.2-0.5
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.0-0.1
New England vs Denver+0.0*-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
159-0-0In1002,809,495
14.58-0-1In100017,093
148-1-0In9820017,381,826
7-0-2In10048
13.57-1-1In9540193,933
137-2-0In811306047,058,311
6-1-2In84132212
12.56-2-1In672210100219,253
5-1-3In1001
126-3-0100.0%383250241072,712,230
5-2-2In42324201473
11.55-3-1100.021351003320287,555
4-2-3In50502
115-4-099.5622160431210070,652,127
4-3-299.652718037130508
10.54-4-198.6112191452110231,267
104-5-085.80312130401310044,773,707
3-4-281.921122839180309
9.53-5-172.60072184524300115,675
93-6-034.600215274020500018,502,058
2-5-229.4182145215102
8.52-6-114.2011123735122035,652
82-7-02.2000021331331740004,807,556
1-6-2Out2111422619
7.51-7-10.100316343113206,107
71-8-00.0002122832196100711,172
0-7-2Out50502
6.50-8-1Out1143231184444
60-9-0Out0182536236067,871
Total:91.3%32177023125210000000280,485,008

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
14.5-1516.8%Yes
148-1-016.710000000000000000
7-0-212.5Yes
13.57-1-116.6990000000000000
137-2-015.994000022001000000
6-1-214.69802
12.56-2-115.289000043002000000
5-1-3NoYes
126-3-012.9701121107114000000
5-2-214.474121175124001
11.55-3-111.35512421410225011000
4-2-3No5050
115-4-08.52843861913447111000
4-3-28.13154971414546010
10.54-4-17.013551191914667111000
104-5-05.147514121310665111000
3-4-24.228913121586431010
9.53-5-13.9076131397653110000
93-6-01.80447733221000000
2-5-22.0184244421
8.52-6-10.6223311110000000
82-7-00.10000100000000000
1-6-2No
7.51-7-10.00000
71-8-0No000000
0-7-2No
6-6.5No
Total:10.3%48.92.52.25.34.410.17.32.52.63.70.50.50.40.20.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Washington-0.6+0.3+1.8
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.4-0.2+0.4
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.1-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Arizona-1.0+0.0+1.6
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.4-0.3+0.4
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
159-0-0982
14.58-0-19820
148-1-086122000
7-0-2928
13.57-1-177184001
137-2-0463512100600
6-1-250341212
12.56-2-126411831001000
5-1-3100
126-3-083119135100231100
5-2-29332111402001
11.55-3-111912228200303200
4-2-35050
115-4-0064189700358120100
4-3-2572011700316130
10.54-4-10101151410242120110
104-5-000032101012183371130000
3-4-2219101217318153
9.53-5-10007121171927197200
93-6-0000201058191622168310000
2-5-218714212216922
8.52-6-100110124142423145100
82-7-00000000213101924211351000
1-6-2161626215511
7.51-7-100003920272314410
71-8-000000151323261993100
0-7-25050
6.50-8-103102329221021
60-9-00028192824135100
Total:161689440018593321110000000000000