Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 91.4%
6-1-0   .857

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 +6.6
+1.0
+0.5
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +0.9
+0.1
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +0.8
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +0.7
+0.1
+0.0
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -0.7
-0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.5
-0.1
-0.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Washington+2.8*+0.1-8.4
+0.7-0.3-2.2
+0.3-0.1-0.9
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.7*+0.0-0.5
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.6+0.7-0.4
+0.2+0.4-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Seattle+0.6*-0.1-0.5
New England vs Chicago+0.3+0.3-0.6
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.1*+0.1+0.1
+0.5+0.4-0.5
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Denver vs San Diego+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
159-0-0In1004,511,680
14.58-0-1In100027,153
148-1-0In9820027,905,400
7-0-2In98265
13.57-1-1In95401149,350
137-2-0In811306075,580,945
6-1-2In841204354
12.56-2-1In672210100351,842
5-1-3In1001
126-3-0100.0%38325024100116,782,442
5-2-2In41324221705
11.55-3-1100.020351003220461,451
115-4-099.56221604312100113,468,156
4-3-299.772218040130750
10.54-4-198.7112191452110369,853
3-3-3In1001
104-5-086.00312130401310071,931,761
3-4-288.6041213140111464
9.53-5-172.70072184524400185,863
2-4-3In1001
93-6-034.900215274020500029,727,521
2-5-234.52142842194165
8.52-6-114.3011123735122057,222
82-7-02.30000213313317400007,717,485
1-6-25.663283922336
7.51-7-10.1000315343213209,745
71-8-00.00021229321961001,141,325
0-7-2Out1001
6.50-8-1Out02112738184717
60-9-0Out01825362460108,250
Total:91.4%32177023125210000000450,490,704

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
14.5-1517.0%Yes
148-1-016.910000000000000000
7-0-218.5Yes
13.57-1-116.8990000000000000
137-2-016.094000022001000000
6-1-214.79500220
12.56-2-115.289000043002000000
5-1-3NoYes
126-3-013.0701121107114000000
5-2-213.27311229611411
11.55-3-111.45512421410225001000
115-4-08.62843861913447111000
4-3-28.3294399161245611100
10.54-4-17.013551191914657111000
3-3-3NoYes
104-5-05.147514121310665111000
3-4-23.74551415141165512110
9.53-5-13.9076131397653110000
2-4-3NoYes
93-6-01.80447733221000000
2-5-2No34117212211
8.52-6-10.7223311110000000
82-7-00.10000100000000000
1-6-2No33
7.51-7-10.000000
71-8-00.0000000
0-7-2No
6-6.5No
Total:10.4%48.92.52.25.34.410.17.32.62.63.70.50.50.40.20.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -1.0
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 +0.1
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 +0.0
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.0
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Washington-0.6+0.3+1.8
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.4-0.2+0.4
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.1-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
159-0-01000
14.58-0-19910
148-1-09262000
7-0-29262
13.57-1-183124001
137-2-0542712100600
6-1-2552911104
12.56-2-130371931001000
5-1-3100
126-3-01028211150002311000
5-2-212292210402211
11.55-3-111914219200294200
115-4-00651796003311120100
4-3-207715117003091200
10.54-4-101011513102123192100
3-3-3100
104-5-000032101010203191130000
3-4-2043901922319830
9.53-5-10007121171728187200
2-4-3100
93-6-0000201057201522178310000
2-5-2214523152118102
8.52-6-1001101241423231451000
82-7-00000002031019242113510000
1-6-266825251417
7.51-7-1000012818272414510
71-8-000001513232619931000
0-7-2100
6.50-8-1001102132211120
60-9-0000281928241341000
Total:1914984300176933211100000000000000