Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 91.4%
6-1-0   .857

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 +6.6
+1.0
+0.5
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +0.9
+0.1
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +0.8
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +0.7
+0.1
+0.0
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 -0.7
-0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.5
-0.1
-0.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Washington+2.8*-0.0-8.4
+0.7*-0.2-2.2
+0.3-0.1-0.9
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.6+0.8-0.4
+0.2+0.4-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.7*-0.0-0.5
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle+0.6*-0.1-0.5
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
New England vs Chicago+0.3+0.3-0.6
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.1*+0.1+0.1
+0.5+0.4-0.5
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Denver vs San Diego+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
159-0-0In1001,784,173
14.58-0-1In100010,821
148-1-0In9820011,018,913
7-0-2In10029
13.57-1-1In9540158,779
137-2-0In811306029,862,232
6-1-2In85132136
12.56-2-1In672210100138,916
126-3-0100.0%383250241046,149,721
5-2-2In44294230277
11.55-3-1100.020351003320182,213
115-4-099.562216043121044,833,603
4-3-299.772218139130316
10.54-4-198.7112191452110145,892
104-5-086.00312130401310028,414,517
3-4-286.7151022841121181
9.53-5-172.507218452440073,159
93-6-034.900215274020500011,741,761
2-5-247.535393120259
8.52-6-114.4011123735122022,703
82-7-02.3000213313317400003,048,565
1-6-2Out823383113
7.51-7-10.100314333314203,973
71-8-00.0002122932196100451,182
6.50-8-1Out02122736185288
60-9-0Out0182536246042,826
Total:91.4%32177023125210000000177,985,248

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
14.5-1517.0%Yes
148-1-016.910000000000000000
7-0-220.7Yes
13.57-1-116.799000000000000
137-2-016.094000022001000000
6-1-214.798111
12.56-2-115.189000043002000000
126-3-013.0701121107114000000
5-2-214.87301119611301
11.55-3-111.45512421410225001000
115-4-08.62843861913447111000
4-3-27.629341010161034711100
10.54-4-17.113551191914557111000
104-5-05.147514121310665111000
3-4-23.9663151413965411111
9.53-5-13.8076131397653110000
93-6-01.80447733221000000
2-5-2No5215155222
8.52-6-10.7223311110000000
82-7-00.1000100000000000
1-6-2No
7.51-7-10.0000
71-8-00.000000
6-6.5No
Total:10.4%48.92.52.25.34.410.17.32.62.63.70.50.50.40.20.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -1.0
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 +0.1
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 +0.0
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.0
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Washington-0.6+0.3+1.8
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.4-0.2+0.4
New Orleans vs Green Bay-0.1-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.1-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
159-0-01000
14.58-0-19910
148-1-09262000
7-0-2937
13.57-1-183124001
137-2-0542712100600
6-1-25926132
12.56-2-130362031001000
126-3-0102821115000231100
5-2-21232209302210
11.55-3-111914219200294200
115-4-00651796003311120100
4-3-277161250028111300
10.54-4-10101251310212319210
104-5-000032101010203191130000
3-4-215381110183110103
9.53-5-1006121171728187200
93-6-0000201057201522178310000
2-5-23583115121510
8.52-6-100110124142323145100
82-7-000000203101924211351000
1-6-21523311515
7.51-7-10001281727251441
71-8-000001513232619931000
6.50-8-100292528221120
60-9-0000282028241341000
Total:1914984300176933211100000000000000