Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 39.6%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs Dallas-8.2*+0.7+10.0
-0.6*-0.1+0.8
-1.0+0.2+1.2
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis-1.3*-0.2+1.7
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Washington vs Green Bay-0.8*-0.1+1.2
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Houston vs NY Giants+0.6*-0.0-0.9
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Buffalo-0.3*-0.4+0.6
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Cincinnati-0.4*-0.3+0.5
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs San Francisco+0.3*-0.1-0.5
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh-0.3*+0.8+0.5
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs Chicago+0.3*+0.1-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.1*-0.4+0.2
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Detroit vs New England-0.1*-0.5+0.1
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.1*-0.6+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Detroit+6.6-3.7-10.6
+0.5*-0.1-0.8
+0.8-0.3-1.3
Tennessee vs Philadelphia+1.4*-0.7-1.7
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Buffalo-0.4*-0.3+0.7
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Cincinnati-0.4*+0.5+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs New Orleans-0.3*+0.0+0.4
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
LA Chargers vs San Francisco+0.3*-0.3-0.4
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
LA Rams vs Minnesota+0.2*+0.2-0.3
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Chicago vs Tampa Bay-0.1*+0.3+0.2
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In10005,821
14.513-0-1In10023
1413-1-0In9730033,193
12-0-2In1001
13.512-1-1In9640338
1312-2-0In8811000226,917
11-1-2In1001
12.511-2-1In7821102,220
1211-3-0In65304020932,939
10-2-2In5033176
11.510-3-1In474090308,379
1110-4-0100.0%284219380002,629,114
9-3-2In2945161031
10.59-4-199.91237307132021,570
109-5-098.7421331618710005,352,156
8-4-2In4182623181173
9.58-5-194.6072626191651038,359
98-6-075.10214281120167200008,120,496
7-5-276.93102992613711134
8.57-6-145.704234162520820052,176
6-5-3In1001
87-7-021.4001151514222214510009,330,431
6-6-224.71914122722761162
7.56-7-16.10600312252818610052,077
76-8-02.603001310202722113008,156,574
5-7-2Out3102026251231133
6.55-8-10.400017203126112039,142
65-9-00.20000171930281325,397,831
4-8-2Out715372415287
5.54-9-1Out015203729821,414
54-10-00.00000292740222,665,031
3-9-2Out31425362236
4.53-10-1Out0021443418,512
43-11-0Out00173360950,279
2-10-2Out406010
3.52-11-1Out0221772,215
32-12-0Out011387231,612
1-11-2Out1001
2.51-12-1Out595357
21-13-0Out039734,732
1.50-13-1Out59522
10-14-0Out01005,810
Total:39.6%4681156677777665344,320,416

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeLA RamsTampa BayMinnesotaWashingtonGreen BayChicagoPhiladelphiaAtlantaCarolinaSan FranciscoNew OrleansSeattleNY GiantsDetroitArizona
14.5-1514.0%Yes
1413-1-013.710000000
12-0-2YesYes
13.512-1-113.01000
1312-2-013.499000000000000000
11-1-2NoYes
12.511-2-113.69900000000000
1211-3-012.594011010000000000
10-2-2No8317
11.510-3-112.087111111111111000
1110-4-010.070233333222221111
9-3-212.9743103333
10.59-4-18.249355554444432111
109-5-06.025677776666543221
8-4-26.82251012755151051343
9.58-5-14.68799887677653221
98-6-03.12687776556543221
7-5-24.53788747447444141
8.57-6-11.80455344244332111
6-5-3NoYes
87-7-00.90222122122221000
6-6-2No1121321122222
7.56-7-10.3011011011110000
76-8-00.1000000000000000
5-7-2No
6.55-8-10.0000000000000
65-9-00.0000000000000
4-8-2No
5.54-9-1No
54-10-00.0000000000
3-9-2No
1-4.5No
Total:2.5%10.12.33.12.92.52.72.51.92.32.42.11.81.10.70.60.4
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs Dallas+1.9-0.7-2.4
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.0-0.2
Houston vs NY Giants-0.0-0.1+0.0
Washington vs Green Bay+0.1+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Cincinnati+0.0+0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs Denver-0.0-0.1+0.0
Miami vs Oakland-0.0+0.1+0.0
Detroit vs New England-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Detroit-1.6+0.3+2.6
Tennessee vs Philadelphia-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Cincinnati-0.0-0.2+0.0
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs NY Jets-0.1-0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs Buffalo+0.0+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.0*+0.1-0.0
LA Rams vs Minnesota-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-09900
14.513-0-1964
1413-1-09343000
12-0-2100
13.512-1-188740
1312-2-07216110000
11-1-2100
12.511-2-1572120010
1211-3-03233263400200
10-2-2503317
11.510-3-11631337900300
1110-4-0424222116330710000
9-3-262319261610
10.59-4-1112122523770103200
109-5-004218141913399611000
8-4-24116101618551211
9.58-5-10075211885141244100
98-6-000021131117110714796210000
7-5-231010199101698411
8.57-6-100441904115614161151000
6-5-3100
87-7-0000111401050251015171510410000
6-6-2191414610121517721
7.56-7-100600000151321231793100
76-8-00030000001251117211913620000
5-7-22161118172211831
6.55-8-10000261422251893100
65-9-00000014917242315610
4-8-22724223195
5.54-9-100271727271551
54-10-0000013102232258
3-9-21122361119
4.53-10-1000313303617
43-11-00003143945
2-10-2204040
3.52-11-1173260
32-12-00011781
1-11-2100
2.51-12-101090
21-13-00496
1.50-13-1991
10-14-00199
Total:13243547232422223443334433333332