Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 79.8%
10-4-0   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Indianapolis+12.3+12.3-11.1
+1.1+0.9-1.0
+0.9+0.8-0.8
Washington vs Philadelphia+13.1+13.1-4.5
+0.6+0.7-0.2
+0.9+0.9-0.3
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay+9.6-0.6-2.4
+1.6+1.1-0.4
+0.4+0.3-0.1
Chicago vs Detroit+7.3+8.2-2.9
+0.8+0.9-0.3
+0.3+0.3-0.1
Arizona vs Seattle+2.9+0.4-2.5
+0.0+0.5-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Atlanta+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Miami vs Minnesota+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Cleveland-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City-0.0*-0.1+0.0
St. Louis vs NY Giants+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Buffalo+0.1*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Washington vs Dallas-33.3+4.9+12.4
-1.8+0.3+0.7
-1.5+0.4+0.5
NY Giants vs Philadelphia+11.3+11.3-7.7
+0.5+0.6-0.4
+0.8+0.8-0.6
Green Bay vs Detroit-3.9+3.0+7.1
-0.2+1.9+0.3
-0.1+0.4+0.1
Seattle vs St. Louis-2.4+2.6+7.0
-0.2+0.3+0.7
-0.1+0.1+0.2
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.2*+0.1+0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.1
New England vs Buffalo-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Denver vs Oakland-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
122-0-0In101773889,395,360
11.51-0-1In126731,238,265
111-1-081.5%0452718181,315,328,630
0-0-272.22565928392
10.50-1-170.95611429818,655
100-2-024.5101476367,312,922
Total:79.8%4853411202,574,094,224

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeArizonaSeattleDetroitGreen BayNew OrleansPhiladelphiaAtlantaCarolina
122-0-05.2%275392010
11.51-0-15.12705391910
111-1-02.9415262151821
0-0-22.32243118392
10.50-1-12.315292111400
100-2-00.7015414
Total:3.4%11.30.64.327.217.82.314.81.00.5
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Indianapolis-2.0-1.5+1.8
Washington vs Philadelphia-1.6-1.6+0.6
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay-0.7-0.4+0.2
Chicago vs Detroit-0.5-0.5+0.2
Arizona vs Seattle-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Dallas+2.9-0.7-1.1
NY Giants vs Philadelphia-1.5-1.5+1.0
Green Bay vs Detroit+0.1-0.6-0.2
Seattle vs St. Louis+0.1-0.1-0.3
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.0+0.0
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
122-0-001021573
11.51-0-1011245221
111-1-00041042701818
0-0-2255141928
10.50-1-10561013029
100-2-01011354192
Total:04173023401101730