Dallas Cowboys Playoff Chances

Tied with Washington 0-0 (8:30 PM ET), playoff odds down 7.7 to 49.8%
2-3-0   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -3.3
-0.1
-0.2
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -0.5
-0.0
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -0.3
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -0.2
-0.0
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.1
-0.1
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 -0.1
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington+9.1-6.9-16.6
+0.4-0.5-0.7
+0.8-0.7-1.4
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Dallas-16.9-1.4+16.6
-0.7*-0.1+0.6
-1.3-0.2+1.3
Washington vs Chicago-1.3*-0.4+1.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.4*-0.7-0.5
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.3*-0.0+0.4
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.3*-0.7+0.4
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Arizona vs Seattle-0.4*-0.5+0.3
+0.1*-0.1-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.2*-0.3+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1311-0-0In861304,349
12.510-0-1In59392341
1210-1-0In504270039,537
9-0-2In4350714
11.59-1-1In185326302,967
119-2-0In134334910175,974
8-1-2In153243997
10.58-2-199.9%1174633210011,957
7-1-3In1001
108-3-099.7111364652000456,345
7-2-299.4193548511330
9.57-3-195.3115713641027,002
6-2-3In99111
97-4-087.50076641093100768,836
6-3-287.366848930693
8.56-4-161.11560411151030039,268
5-3-354.555279911
86-5-043.20040021120187100887,858
5-4-240.5039112191892880
7.55-5-122.90230172229153038,477
4-4-3Out20701010
75-6-012.201200041732248100716,382
4-5-211.5110319352372688
6.54-6-14.14002143432121025,645
3-5-3Out1363258
64-7-01.51018263622500403,635
3-6-20.711723392360401
5.53-7-10.10162641233011,332
2-6-3Out1002
53-8-00.1000317383570156,160
2-7-2Out21638367110
4.52-8-1Out0321492333,304
1-7-3Out1001
42-9-0Out01124534839,223
1-8-2Out154238426
3.51-9-1Out2284525537
31-10-0Out11745375,783
0-9-2Out1002
2.50-10-1Out356543
20-11-0Out22276640
Total:49.8%148331346898643103,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeSeattleNew OrleansDetroitGreen BayPhiladelphiaSan FranciscoChicagoCarolinaArizonaWashingtonSt. LouisAtlantaMinnesotaNY GiantsTampa Bay
1311-0-09.5%100000
12.510-0-18.898001100
1210-1-08.19200111111100000
9-0-2No937
11.59-1-16.9711144353440100
119-2-06.05612554756611100
8-1-26.2472455867131
10.58-2-14.118441097138111012100
7-1-3NoYes
108-3-03.5115611981581110121000
7-2-23.9115512871891192111
9.57-3-12.617712106179111112100
6-2-3No9189999279
97-4-02.407711961581010121000
6-3-21.086101141699101210
8.56-4-11.6549711267801100
5-3-3No92718
86-5-01.20336518555010000
5-4-21.6435508355110
7.55-5-10.62133053330000
4-4-3No
75-6-00.31122022110000
4-5-20.310233111
6.54-6-10.100111101000
3-5-3No
64-7-00.0000000000000
3-6-2No000
5.53-7-10.00000000
2-6-3No
53-8-00.000000000000
2-7-2No
2-4.5No
Total:1.7%5.23.13.15.95.02.68.04.55.35.10.41.00.50.20.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 +0.4
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 +0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington-1.6+0.7+3.0
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Dallas+2.7-0.1-2.7
Washington vs Chicago+0.1*+0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Minnesota-0.1-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Houston-0.0*+0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.1-0.1-0.0
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.0+0.1+0.0
Miami vs Buffalo-0.0+0.1+0.0
Carolina vs St. Louis+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1311-0-016711130
12.510-0-16533092
1210-1-014918246100
9-0-24314367
11.59-1-1018183522530
119-2-00136371817810100
8-1-215626232181
10.58-2-111161829294021000
7-1-3100
108-3-01010630291704110000
7-2-219628291815111
9.57-3-1011143437033331000
6-2-393655
97-4-0000071749043744310000
6-3-261553043535311
8.56-4-11651003391294100
5-3-3552718
86-5-0002380021361113118410000
5-4-20236113711111384100
7.55-5-10023000131018211582000
4-4-310403020
75-6-00012000001491620181252000
4-5-20111151015211911410
6.54-6-140016142325177200
3-5-32513252513
64-7-0100002613212419103000
3-6-210241424231810210
5.53-7-10013102229231020
2-6-35050
53-8-000001513253020610
2-7-2672729237
4.52-8-10141632321320
1-7-3100
42-9-00002113036173
1-8-2232735124
3.51-9-1142437277
31-10-005244427
0-9-2100
2.50-10-1283042
20-11-0043165
Total:011326824011212233444444333221100