National Football Conference Playoff Chances

San Francisco +0.5, Arizona -0.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
Dallas6-1-0.8574991.3%-0.110.3%-0.1321770231252100000003.47.619Dallas Cowboys
Green Bay5-2-0.7145283.9-0.18.9-0.11621161151584210000004.010.625at New OrleansGreen Bay Packers
Detroit5-2-0.7143582.5-0.17.3-0.11418111211894210000004.313.610at AtlantaDetroit Lions
Philadelphia15-1-0.8335181.7-0.17.9-0.1201481231695211000004.35.616at ArizonaPhiladelphia Eagles
Arizona15-1-0.8332177.4-0.15.0-0.115202734896321100004.0-0.013.558PhiladelphiaArizona Cardinals
Carolina3-3-1.500-3749.2-0.00.4-0.0014440013689865317.716.410SeattleCarolina Panthers
New Orleans12-4-0.333-1033.8-0.00.5-0.0013300024810111097428.927.476Green BayNew Orleans Saints
Seattle13-3-0.5001832.8-0.11.3-0.01411251016161286432107.59.545at CarolinaSeattle Seahawks
San Francisco4-3-0.571-731.0+0.50.7+0.0139251016161296432107.6+0.042.481San Francisco 49ers
Atlanta2-5-0.286-2816.3-0.00.2-0.0001150012471012141412711.230.433DetroitAtlanta Falcons
Chicago3-4-0.429-148.4-0.00.1-0.001102510141513111086429.921.463at New EnglandChicago Bears
NY Giants3-4-0.429-156.8-0.00.1-0.000002491214141210974210.212.460New York Giants
Tampa Bay11-5-0.167-841.80.0000200001235812204714.531.329MinnesotaTampa Bay Buccaneers
St. Louis12-4-0.333-471.2+0.00.000100013579111417211313.022.390at Kansas CitySt. Louis Rams
Minnesota2-5-0.286-401.2-0.00.00000013581011131414121012.225.386at Tampa BayMinnesota Vikings
Washington2-5-0.286-320.6-0.00.000000013468111417191613.226.418Washington Redskins

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/23
Carolina vs SeattleIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas91.9*91.290.9
10.4*10.210.3
Green Bay85.385.382.8
9.1*9.08.8
Detroit84.2*82.881.4
7.4*7.47.2
Philadelphia83.082.680.8
8.0*8.17.8
Arizona79.0*77.776.2
5.1*4.84.9
Carolina60.447.941.1
0.5*0.30.3
New Orleans27.8*34.138.1
0.4*0.60.6
Seattle22.629.540.3
0.81.11.6
San Francisco32.531.630.0
Atlanta12.518.119.1
Chicago9.0*8.27.9
Tampa Bay1.31.42.2
New Orleans vs Green BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas92.0*91.590.8
10.6*10.410.1
Green Bay74.986.390.0
7.09.210.2
Detroit83.382.282.0
7.9*7.26.9
Philadelphia82.4*81.881.3
8.1*8.07.8
Arizona78.4*77.176.6
5.2*4.84.8
Carolina42.447.653.9
New Orleans44.536.726.5
0.70.60.4
Seattle34.531.431.6
1.41.21.2
San Francisco32.730.529.9
0.7*0.70.6
Atlanta13.814.518.0
NY Giants7.5*6.86.3
Atlanta vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas92.092.090.9
10.6*10.610.2
Green Bay85.084.283.1
9.59.38.5
Detroit72.779.188.6
5.76.78.3
Philadelphia82.982.581.1
8.1*7.97.8
Arizona78.4*77.576.7
5.2*5.04.8
Carolina45.646.751.5
New Orleans30.635.435.8
Seattle34.7*32.931.7
1.4*1.31.2
San Francisco32.431.730.2
0.7*0.60.6
Atlanta24.116.911.5
0.2*0.20.1
Chicago9.4*8.37.7
NY Giants7.47.56.4
Arizona vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas10.8*10.59.8
Detroit82.982.082.2
Philadelphia72.985.490.6
6.2*8.09.6
Arizona86.378.168.4
6.14.73.8
Seattle32.231.533.5
1.2*1.21.3
San Francisco30.729.131.4
Chicago8.67.58.1
NY Giants7.27.16.3
Dallas vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas94.2*91.482.9
11.110.18.2
Green Bay83.6*84.184.6
8.8*8.99.3
Detroit82.2*82.383.4
7.2*7.27.6
Philadelphia81.4*81.682.8
7.68.28.8
Seattle32.633.333.5
1.21.41.3
San Francisco30.630.432.4
0.6*0.60.7
Chicago8.1*8.19.0
NY Giants6.5*6.87.7
Washington0.20.81.9
New England vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas91.6*91.590.7
Detroit83.1*82.781.4
7.4*7.37.2
Philadelphia82.182.180.9
San Francisco31.531.530.1
Chicago5.76.813.9
0.1*0.10.2
Tampa Bay vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina48.7*49.549.8
Tampa Bay2.9*1.70.8
Minnesota0.40.82.0
Kansas City vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
St. Louis0.71.12.5
Week of 10/30
Carolina vs New OrleansIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina65.448.033.6
0.5*0.40.3
New Orleans18.6*33.748.6
0.3*0.50.8
Atlanta15.317.817.2
San Francisco vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas90.792.492.4
10.3*10.510.4
Green Bay83.185.185.3
8.8*8.99.0
Detroit81.7*82.484.0
Philadelphia80.883.283.5
7.9*7.98.0
Arizona76.178.479.6
4.9*5.05.1
Seattle31.734.534.9
1.21.41.3
San Francisco38.125.217.8
0.80.50.3
Chicago8.18.18.9
St. Louis0.40.82.9
Dallas vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas95.892.783.9
11.6*10.38.1
Arizona71.479.987.2
4.0*5.16.5
Seattle33.732.031.3
1.3*1.21.2
San Francisco31.629.430.1
0.70.60.6
Seattle vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay83.285.685.6
8.89.29.1
Detroit82.183.483.8
7.3*7.57.4
Philadelphia81.282.883.2
7.9*8.08.0
Arizona76.578.579.8
4.9*5.05.1
Seattle36.626.721.6
1.40.90.7
San Francisco30.331.633.1
Houston vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas91.7*91.591.0
10.9*10.59.8
Green Bay84.6*83.783.2
9.18.68.7
Detroit83.481.981.8
7.5*7.37.2
Philadelphia74.485.087.8
6.6*8.08.9
Arizona78.1*77.276.7
5.1*5.14.8
Seattle34.032.231.8
1.3*1.31.2
San Francisco32.729.929.7
Chicago9.07.97.8
NY Giants7.4*6.86.3
NY Giants vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas90.591.691.7
Detroit81.981.682.9
Philadelphia80.9*81.882.2
7.9*8.07.9
San Francisco30.4*30.831.4
NY Giants11.88.44.3
0.2*0.10.1
Cleveland vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina49.7*49.248.2
Tampa Bay1.12.33.8
Minnesota vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota2.00.70.4
Washington0.20.51.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
Dallas48.92.52.25.34.410.17.32.52.63.70.50.50.40.20.10.1
Green Bay37.12.59.33.75.97.75.13.93.72.21.20.70.20.20.20.1
Detroit32.32.29.33.26.310.56.53.73.53.00.70.60.30.20.10.1
Philadelphia33.85.33.73.26.310.37.43.33.13.70.50.50.40.20.10.1
Arizona34.94.45.96.36.32.31.75.85.50.81.31.50.10.20.20.1
Carolina0.910.17.710.510.32.30.22.32.70.11.10.90.00.00.10.1
New Orleans0.67.35.16.57.41.70.21.81.60.10.60.60.00.00.10.0
Seattle5.62.53.93.73.35.82.31.81.70.90.60.40.10.10.10.0
San Francisco4.62.63.73.53.15.52.71.61.70.90.50.40.10.10.10.0
Atlanta0.23.72.23.03.70.80.10.10.90.90.40.30.00.00.00.0
Chicago0.70.51.20.70.51.31.10.60.60.50.40.10.00.00.00.0
NY Giants0.30.50.70.60.51.50.90.60.40.40.30.10.00.00.00.0
Tampa Bay0.00.40.20.30.40.10.00.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
St. Louis0.00.20.20.20.20.20.00.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Minnesota0.00.10.20.10.10.20.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Washington0.00.10.10.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0