National Football Conference Playoff Chances

Philadelphia +0.3, New Orleans -0.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
MondayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
Dallas6-1-0.8574991.4%-0.010.4%-0.0321770231252100000003.4-0.017.619Dallas Cowboys
Green Bay5-2-0.7145283.9-0.09.0-0.01621161151584210000004.010.625Green Bay Packers
Detroit5-2-0.7143582.6-0.07.4-0.01418111211894210000004.313.610Detroit Lions
Philadelphia15-1-0.8335181.8+0.38.0+0.1201481231695211000004.3+0.035.616Philadelphia Eagles
Arizona15-1-0.8332177.5-0.05.0-0.015202734896321100004.03.558Arizona Cardinals
Carolina3-3-1.500-3749.3+0.30.4+0.0014440013689865317.7+0.0216.410Carolina Panthers
New Orleans12-4-0.333-1033.8-0.30.5-0.0003300024810111097428.9-0.0328.476New Orleans Saints
Seattle13-3-0.5001832.9-0.01.3-0.01411251016161286432107.49.545Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco4-3-0.571-730.5-0.10.7-0.0139251016161396432107.72.481San Francisco 49ers
Atlanta2-5-0.286-2816.3-0.10.2-0.0001150012471012141412711.2-0.0230.433Atlanta Falcons
Chicago3-4-0.429-148.4-0.00.1-0.001102510141513111086429.921.463Chicago Bears
NY Giants3-4-0.429-156.8-0.00.1-0.000002491214141210974210.212.460New York Giants
Tampa Bay11-5-0.167-841.8+0.00.0000200001235812204714.5+0.0131.329Tampa Bay Buccaneers
St. Louis12-4-0.333-471.2-0.00.000100013579111417211313.022.390St. Louis Rams
Minnesota2-5-0.286-401.2-0.00.00000013581011131414121012.225.386Minnesota Vikings
Washington2-5-0.286-320.6-0.00.000000013468111417191613.126.418Washington Redskins

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/16
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas+0.9
Green Bay+1.4
+0.2
Detroit+1.2
+0.2
Philadelphia+1.0
Arizona+2.4
+0.2
New Orleans+0.2
Seattle-12.6
-1.0
San Francisco+2.7
+0.2
Chicago+1.0
NY Giants+0.7
St. Louis+0.7
Minnesota+0.2
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas-0.6
Green Bay+7.0
+0.8
Detroit-0.9
-0.3
Philadelphia-0.5
Arizona-0.7
Carolina-6.2
-0.2
New Orleans+2.5
Seattle-0.8
San Francisco-0.8
Atlanta+2.4
Chicago-0.8
NY Giants-0.6
Minnesota-0.2
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas-0.5
Green Bay-1.1
-0.2
Detroit+6.2
+1.1
Philadelphia-0.5
-0.2
Arizona-0.5
Carolina+2.9
New Orleans-5.3
-0.2
Seattle-0.6
San Francisco-0.6
Atlanta+1.2
Chicago-0.7
NY Giants-0.4
Denver 42 San Francisco 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas+0.7
Green Bay+0.8
Detroit+1.1
Philadelphia+1.2
Arizona+1.4
Seattle+1.3
San Francisco-7.5
-0.5
Chicago+0.4
NY Giants+0.3
Chicago 14 Miami 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas+0.8
Green Bay+1.2
Detroit+1.3
Philadelphia+0.7
Arizona+0.7
Seattle+0.5
San Francisco+1.0
Chicago-7.3
-0.3
NY Giants+0.6
Oakland 13 Arizona 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas-0.7
Green Bay-0.7
Detroit-0.7
Philadelphia-0.7
Arizona+6.8
+0.5
Seattle-1.3
San Francisco-1.7
Chicago-0.3
NY Giants-0.5
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas+6.6
+1.0
Detroit-0.2
Philadelphia-0.3
Arizona-0.2
Seattle-0.2
San Francisco-0.2
NY Giants-5.8
-0.2
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina+2.1
New Orleans+1.2
Atlanta-3.8
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota-1.0
Washington 19 Tennessee 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Washington+0.2
Week of 10/23
Carolina vs SeattleIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay85.485.182.8
9.1*9.18.8
Detroit84.283.081.4
7.5*7.47.3
Arizona79.178.076.3
5.1*5.04.9
Carolina60.447.841.2
0.5*0.40.3
New Orleans27.8*34.138.1
0.4*0.50.6
Seattle22.629.840.4
0.81.11.6
San Francisco32.0*30.529.4
Atlanta12.518.219.1
New Orleans vs Green BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay74.986.390.1
7.19.410.2
Carolina42.548.053.9
New Orleans44.536.626.5
0.7*0.60.4
Seattle34.631.431.7
1.41.21.2
San Francisco32.229.929.4
0.7*0.60.6
Atlanta13.814.318.0
Atlanta vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit72.879.488.7
5.86.68.4
Carolina45.647.051.5
New Orleans30.635.335.8
Seattle34.7*32.931.7
1.4*1.31.2
Atlanta24.116.811.5
0.2*0.20.1
Arizona vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Philadelphia73.085.690.6
6.3*8.19.7
Arizona86.478.568.6
6.24.83.8
Seattle32.231.433.5
1.21.21.3
San Francisco30.228.530.8
Dallas vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas94.2*91.483.0
11.1*10.28.2
New England vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Chicago5.77.013.9
0.1*0.10.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeDallasGreen BayDetroitPhiladelphiaArizonaCarolinaNew OrleansSeattleSan FranciscoAtlantaChicagoNY GiantsTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaWashington
Dallas48.92.52.25.34.410.17.32.62.63.70.50.50.40.20.10.1
Green Bay37.12.59.43.76.07.75.23.93.72.21.20.70.20.20.20.1
Detroit32.32.29.43.26.410.56.53.73.43.00.70.60.30.20.10.1
Philadelphia33.95.33.73.26.310.37.43.33.03.70.50.50.40.20.10.1
Arizona35.04.46.06.46.32.31.75.85.50.81.41.50.10.20.20.1
Carolina0.910.17.710.510.32.30.22.32.60.11.20.90.00.00.10.1
New Orleans0.67.35.26.57.41.70.21.81.60.10.60.60.00.00.10.0
Seattle5.62.63.93.73.35.82.31.81.70.90.60.40.10.10.10.0
San Francisco4.52.63.73.43.05.52.61.61.70.90.50.40.10.10.10.0
Atlanta0.23.72.23.03.70.80.10.10.90.90.40.30.00.00.00.0
Chicago0.70.51.20.70.51.41.20.60.60.50.40.10.00.00.00.0
NY Giants0.30.50.70.60.51.50.90.60.40.40.30.10.00.00.00.0
Tampa Bay0.00.40.20.30.40.10.00.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
St. Louis0.00.20.20.20.20.20.00.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Minnesota0.00.10.20.10.10.20.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Washington0.00.10.10.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0