National Football Conference Playoff Chances

Seattle +19.3, Detroit -24.8
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
ArizonaLSeattle 3-199-2-0.8184596.7%-2.310.4%-5.855156016421002.3-0.771.606Arizona Cardinals
Green BayWMinnesota 24-218-3-0.72710893.4+2.915.9+2.1193524078520002.9+0.784.690Green Bay Packers
PhiladelphiaWTennessee 43-248-3-0.7276777.2+2.66.1+1.881833091013910004.2+0.278.621Philadelphia Eagles
DallasWNY Giants 31-288-3-0.7275276.2+0.75.1+0.4815180191515710004.6+0.0917.606Dallas Cowboys
New Orleans14-6-0.400964.7+7.21.3+0.20064000898532006.4+0.4323.519BaltimoreNew Orleans Saints
SeattleWArizona 19-37-4-0.6366160.8+19.34.0+2.1656022211520310005.8+0.937.629Seattle Seahawks
DetroitLNew England 9-347-4-0.636759.6-24.81.6-3.5210110132421135100005.8-1.3410.518Detroit Lions
San FranciscoWWashington 17-137-4-0.636334.5+1.90.7+0.222213152533710006.8+0.345.507San Francisco 49ers
AtlantaLCleveland 24-264-7-0.364-1927.9-8.40.3-0.1002800041114161310409.8-0.8529.461Atlanta Falcons
Carolina3-7-1.318-857.3+1.30.0+0.070036912172117812.6+0.3425.330Carolina Panthers
ChicagoWTampa Bay 21-135-6-0.455-671.4+0.60.0+0.0000014933191610630010.0+1.2320.367Chicago Bears
Tampa BayLChicago 13-212-9-0.182-930.1-0.20.000000148216515.4-0.3232.314Tampa Bay Buccaneers
St. LouisLSan Diego 24-274-7-0.364-760.1-0.20.00000027151719171310112.0-0.2413.342St. Louis Rams
MinnesotaLGreen Bay 21-244-7-0.364-420.0-0.50.0-0.00000324251813952010.7-0.2224.403Minnesota Vikings
NY GiantsLDallas 28-313-8-0.273-61Out-0.1No-0.000391215191917612.9-0.2722.376New York Giants
WashingtonLSan Francisco 13-173-8-0.273-56Out-0.0No-0.00013691420281914.0-0.4130.380Washington Redskins

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/20
Seattle 19 Arizona 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona-0.8
-1.1
Green Bay-0.8
+0.2
Philadelphia-1.7
Dallas-2.9
Seattle+13.7
+0.8
Detroit-3.6
San Francisco-3.3
Chicago-0.5
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans+7.5
Atlanta-8.9
Carolina+1.3
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona-0.3
Green Bay-0.6
-0.3
Philadelphia-2.0
-0.2
Dallas+8.5
+0.8
Seattle-1.2
Detroit-2.6
San Francisco-1.6
Chicago-0.2
NY GiantsOut
*No
San Francisco 17 Washington 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona-0.4
Green Bay-0.5
Philadelphia-0.9
Dallas-1.4
Seattle-0.9
Detroit-1.9
San Francisco+6.3
Chicago-0.2
WashingtonOut
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona-0.2
Green Bay+4.2
+1.4
Philadelphia-0.3
-0.2
Dallas-0.5
-0.2
Seattle-1.5
Detroit-0.5
-0.3
San Francisco-0.9
Minnesota-0.5
New England 34 Detroit 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay+0.3
+0.4
Philadelphia+0.5
Dallas+0.2
Seattle+2.3
Detroit-4.1
-0.7
San Francisco+0.6
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay-0.5
-0.1
Philadelphia+3.8
+0.4
Dallas-0.6
Seattle-0.8
Detroit-0.7
San Francisco-1.0
Chicago 21 Tampa Bay 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Chicago+0.4
Tampa Bay-0.2
New Orleans vs BaltimoreIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans76.674.656.9
1.6*1.51.1
Atlanta19.319.833.6
0.2*0.20.4
Carolina4.05.49.4
Week of 11/27
San Francisco vs SeattleIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona96.2*97.697.1
10.8*11.110.2
Green Bay93.095.393.7
16.2*15.615.7
Philadelphia76.981.577.4
6.1*6.26.0
Dallas76.679.875.9
5.2*5.35.0
Seattle39.351.677.2
2.2*3.25.3
Detroit59.2*60.059.9
1.6*1.41.5
San Francisco57.4*33.317.2
1.3*0.50.3
Detroit vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona96.4*96.897.6
Green Bay92.7*94.695.1
15.7*16.116.5
Philadelphia75.583.581.2
6.0*5.56.3
Dallas74.284.981.0
5.0*5.35.3
Seattle58.2*59.067.0
3.9*3.74.2
Detroit70.444.234.0
1.9*0.90.7
San Francisco32.5*36.239.5
0.7*0.20.8
Chicago0.10.44.5
Dallas vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay93.1*92.493.7
15.8*14.016.1
Philadelphia65.687.891.7
4.3*7.68.4
Dallas89.283.159.9
6.8*5.52.9
Detroit58.949.660.5
San Francisco34.229.335.0
Chicago1.3*0.81.5
Atlanta vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona93.8*96.898.8
8.9*9.011.6
Green Bay93.6*93.993.3
16.6*16.315.5
Philadelphia77.5*78.077.0
6.5*6.05.8
Dallas76.5*76.076.0
5.3*5.34.9
New Orleans55.472.071.2
1.1*1.61.4
Seattle61.8*60.960.1
4.4*3.73.7
Detroit59.9*59.559.4
1.6*1.11.5
San Francisco35.4*32.533.9
0.8*0.70.7
Atlanta39.022.120.2
0.4*0.40.2
Carolina5.6*5.78.5
Chicago1.42.21.4
Pittsburgh vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans56.976.176.6
1.1*1.71.5
Atlanta33.618.519.4
0.4*0.10.2
Carolina9.45.34.0
Green Bay vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona96.6*97.097.0
10.2*9.610.8
Green Bay97.295.289.1
17.9*16.913.7
Philadelphia76.9*79.477.6
5.6*6.96.6
Dallas75.8*76.276.7
4.9*4.55.3
Seattle59.5*61.462.3
3.7*3.24.3
Detroit58.856.460.5
1.4*1.51.7
San Francisco33.8*32.735.4
0.6*0.70.8
Minnesota vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New Orleans66.4*65.261.7
Atlanta29.6*29.225.1
Carolina4.05.413.1
Minnesota0.0*OutOut
Tampa Bay vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Tampa Bay0.2*0.20.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeArizonaGreen BayPhiladelphiaDallasNew OrleansSeattleDetroitSan FranciscoAtlantaCarolinaChicagoTampa BaySt. LouisMinnesotaNY GiantsWashington
Arizona70.10.91.51.310.23.51.71.84.71.10.10.00.00.0NoNo
Green Bay54.20.95.34.24.56.211.43.82.00.50.30.00.00.0NoNo
Philadelphia25.41.55.313.35.68.59.44.92.40.60.40.00.00.0NoNo
Dallas23.71.34.213.312.44.56.63.25.51.40.20.00.00.0NoNo
New Orleans0.010.24.55.612.414.48.98.6NoNo0.2No0.00.0NoNo
Seattle11.03.56.28.54.514.43.71.55.81.60.10.00.00.0NoNo
Detroit11.51.711.49.46.68.93.71.83.51.00.00.00.00.0NoNo
San Francisco4.11.83.84.93.28.61.51.83.81.00.00.00.00.0NoNo
Atlanta0.04.72.02.45.5No5.83.53.8No0.1No0.00.0NoNo
CarolinaNo1.10.50.61.4No1.61.01.0No0.00.0NoNoNo
Chicago0.00.10.30.40.20.20.10.00.00.10.00.00.0NoNoNo
Tampa Bay0.00.00.00.0No0.00.00.0No0.0NoNoNoNo
St. LouisNo0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0NoNoNoNo
MinnesotaNo0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0NoNoNoNoNoNo
NY GiantsNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNo
WashingtonNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNo