National Football Conference Playoff Chances

Green Bay +1.2, Seattle -1.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
MondayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
Arizona13-0-01.0002175.7%-0.58.6%-0.1241612611865432211004.4-0.051.561Arizona Cardinals
Detroit3-1-0.7502370.8+1.28.0+0.217171378866543221104.9+0.119.569Detroit Lions
Dallas3-1-0.7502964.1+0.16.9-0.0151310412987654321105.514.569Dallas Cowboys
Atlanta2-2-0.5001861.9+0.04.46913312234455544216.317.539Atlanta Falcons
Philadelphia3-1-0.7501856.0+0.14.6+0.0111010511987765432116.316.541Philadelphia Eagles
Seattle12-1-0.6671752.2-1.14.1-0.110873141098765443216.7-0.103.542Seattle Seahawks
Minnesota2-2-0.500739.0-0.22.4-0.05763910109877654327.8-0.0122.519at Green BayMinnesota Vikings
NY Giants2-2-0.5001235.1-0.02.3-0.035747888888765428.37.531New York Giants
Green Bay2-2-0.500-429.2+1.21.3+0.124536888988876538.9+0.1311.489MinnesotaGreen Bay Packers
Carolina2-2-0.500-2328.8+0.00.8-0.0135152346678999759.5+0.0112.437Carolina Panthers
San Francisco2-2-0.500-127.2-1.11.2-0.023328899998876539.0-0.125.497San Francisco 49ers
Chicago2-2-0.500-823.3+0.70.9+0.023326788999988649.5+0.0919.479Chicago Bears
New Orleans1-3-0.250-1518.2+0.00.6013101235679101111111010.827.463New Orleans Saints
St. Louis11-2-0.333-297.0-0.30.2-0.00111123456791114181612.4-0.0826.430St. Louis Rams
Washington1-3-0.250-147.0+0.00.2-0.00111234566891113151512.228.466Washington Redskins
Tampa Bay1-3-0.250-474.7+0.00.1-0.0001301122357912183613.729.393Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/25
Chicago 17 Green Bay 38
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona+0.3
+0.2
Detroit+1.6
+0.3
Dallas+0.4
Philadelphia+0.5
+0.2
Seattle+0.8
Minnesota+1.0
NY Giants+0.5
Green Bay+8.2
+0.2
San Francisco+0.3
Chicago-14.8
-1.5
New Orleans+0.3
Washington 14 NY Giants 45
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona+0.5
Detroit+0.6
Dallas+0.8
Atlanta+0.3
Philadelphia+0.7
Seattle+0.5
NY Giants+7.5
+0.2
Carolina+0.5
Chicago+0.5
New Orleans+0.4
Washington-13.1
-1.0
Minnesota 41 Atlanta 28
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit-0.8
Dallas-0.2
Atlanta-8.7
-1.4
Minnesota+8.2
+0.4
NY Giants-0.3
Green Bay-0.5
Carolina+1.4
Chicago-0.4
New Orleans+1.7
+0.2
Tampa Bay+0.4
Dallas 38 New Orleans 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit-0.2
Dallas+8.1
+0.7
Atlanta+1.9
Philadelphia-0.9
Minnesota-0.2
NY Giants-0.7
Green Bay-0.4
Carolina+0.9
New Orleans-7.9
-0.6
San Francisco 26 Philadelphia 21
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona-0.4
Dallas+0.7
+0.2
Philadelphia-8.8
-1.4
Seattle-0.3
NY Giants+1.1
+0.2
San Francisco+7.2
+0.3
Washington+0.2
NY Jets 17 Detroit 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona-0.4
Detroit+7.9
+1.0
Dallas-0.5
Atlanta-0.3
Philadelphia-0.5
Seattle-0.5
Minnesota-1.1
NY Giants-0.7
Green Bay-0.7
Carolina-0.5
San Francisco-0.4
Chicago-1.6
-0.2
New Orleans-0.4
Baltimore 38 Carolina 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona+0.3
Detroit+0.4
Dallas+0.5
Atlanta+1.6
+0.2
Philadelphia+0.3
Seattle+0.4
Minnesota+0.2
NY Giants+0.4
Carolina-6.6
-0.6
San Francisco+0.3
Chicago+0.4
New Orleans+1.1
Washington+0.2
Pittsburgh 24 Tampa Bay 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta-0.4
Tampa Bay+1.5
Week of 10/2
NY Giants vs AtlantaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta54.760.871.3
3.5*4.35.5
NY Giants43.433.724.3
2.9*2.11.4
Carolina30.6*28.326.5
0.8*0.80.7
New Orleans19.6*17.916.4
0.6*0.50.5
Green Bay vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota27.536.952.6
1.5*2.33.5
Green Bay39.2*28.217.3
1.8*1.20.7
Carolina vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta59.3*61.764.9
4.2*4.24.5
Carolina36.226.020.6
1.0*0.80.5
Chicago15.7*22.631.8
0.6*1.01.3
Philadelphia vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas63.2*64.665.8
6.7*6.87.3
Philadelphia62.8*56.342.5
5.3*4.53.2
NY Giants34.3*34.936.7
2.2*2.52.4
St. Louis4.2*7.512.4
0.1*0.20.3
Washington vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle41.9*51.861.8
3.1*4.05.1
Washington10.8*6.53.3
0.3*0.20.1
Dallas vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Dallas70.965.554.6
7.9*6.95.4
Philadelphia54.7*56.157.7
4.4*4.54.9
NY Giants33.833.736.8
2.1*2.42.4
Detroit vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Detroit76.569.061.5
9.0*7.76.4
Green Bay28.2*28.830.8
1.2*1.21.5
San Francisco vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Francisco34.625.419.8
1.6*1.30.8
New Orleans vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Atlanta60.9*61.563.7
4.3*4.24.5
New Orleans23.215.69.6
0.7*0.50.3
Tampa Bay2.26.18.8
0.0*0.10.1
Denver vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona69.677.182.6
7.4*9.29.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeArizonaDetroitDallasAtlantaPhiladelphiaSeattleMinnesotaNY GiantsGreen BayCarolinaSan FranciscoChicagoNew OrleansSt. LouisWashingtonTampa Bay
Arizona39.73.33.54.73.53.82.62.82.12.42.21.71.60.60.70.5
Detroit33.83.33.54.43.53.33.52.72.82.42.32.01.60.60.60.4
Dallas27.83.53.55.23.93.22.52.72.12.62.11.61.80.70.40.5
Atlanta14.34.74.45.24.95.84.43.43.31.83.62.91.20.81.00.2
Philadelphia20.93.53.53.94.93.22.42.32.02.42.11.61.60.60.50.5
Seattle17.93.83.33.25.83.22.12.41.82.81.21.31.90.40.50.5
Minnesota11.52.63.52.54.42.42.11.81.22.11.40.91.50.40.30.4
NY Giants8.72.82.72.73.42.32.41.81.51.81.51.21.20.40.30.3
Green Bay6.72.12.82.13.32.01.81.21.51.61.10.81.00.30.30.3
Carolina4.22.42.42.61.82.42.82.11.81.61.81.40.40.40.50.1
San Francisco5.42.22.32.13.62.11.21.41.51.11.80.81.00.20.30.3
Chicago5.21.72.01.62.91.61.30.91.20.81.40.80.90.30.20.2
New Orleans1.81.61.61.81.21.61.91.51.21.00.41.00.90.20.30.0
St. Louis0.90.60.60.70.80.60.40.40.40.30.40.20.30.20.10.1
Washington0.90.70.60.41.00.50.50.30.30.30.50.30.20.30.10.1
Tampa Bay0.20.50.40.50.20.50.50.40.30.30.10.30.20.00.10.1