National Football Conference Playoff Chances

No up, Atlanta 0.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Arizona11-3-0.78643In7.2%50404422.93.591Arizona Cardinals
Seattle10-4-0.7149795.6%13.1385342843.44.683Seattle Seahawks
Detroit10-4-0.7144393.15.1136744474.37.592Detroit Lions
Green Bay10-4-0.71411191.011.4+0.0746253093.85.673Green Bay Packers
Dallas10-4-0.7145379.83.44853411204.114.590Dallas Cowboys
New Orleans6-8-0.429-1060.10.760016978106.519.483New Orleans Saints
Philadelphia9-5-0.6436940.51.7035055825.58.611at WashingtonPhiladelphia Eagles
Atlanta5-9-0.357-2126.6-0.00.227141318142510.326.464Atlanta Falcons
Carolina5-8-1.393-7013.20.01314122814171110.624.374Carolina Panthers
San Francisco7-7-0.500-34OutNo28412208.116.428San DiegoSan Francisco 49ers
Minnesota6-8-0.429-20OutNo84623911309.823.460Minnesota Vikings
St. Louis6-8-0.429-6OutNo41533171015710.918.488St. Louis Rams
Chicago5-9-0.357-113OutNo2461421272612.422.315Chicago Bears
NY Giants5-9-0.357-22OutNo2121319233112.425.460New York Giants
Washington3-11-0.214-113OutNo712915.330.301PhiladelphiaWashington Redskins
Tampa Bay2-12-0.143-113OutNo297115.732.300Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/18
New Orleans vs AtlantaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle13.013.213.3
Green Bay91.091.191.1
New Orleans93.852.711.4
1.00.60.1
AtlantaOut24.065.2
No0.20.6
Carolina6.223.323.4
Washington vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle99.394.894.3
13.313.013.1
DetroitIn90.790.7
5.3*5.15.1
Green Bay99.495.988.1
11.911.811.2
Dallas92.892.875.2
4.04.03.1
Philadelphia8.525.851.6
0.40.92.2
Dallas vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle96.196.195.1
13.0*13.213.2
Detroit91.991.994.1
4.74.75.5
Green Bay96.996.985.7
11.811.811.1
Dallas92.192.168.6
4.54.32.4
Philadelphia22.922.956.5
0.90.92.5
Chicago vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle98.394.594.5
13.312.813.1
Detroit75.578.5In
3.63.85.7
Green Bay92.392.390.6
12.012.011.2
Dallas87.188.076.9
4.24.33.0
Philadelphia46.846.738.1
1.81.91.6
Tampa Bay vs Green BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona7.57.47.2
Seattle97.395.295.2
13.712.913.0
Detroit7.04.74.7
Green Bay75.988.294.7
6.010.512.7
Dallas89.479.277.4
5.04.53.0
Philadelphia44.444.439.6
1.91.81.7
Carolina vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle13.2*13.213.1
New Orleans51.551.668.1
0.60.60.8
Carolina21.821.85.2
Arizona vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona10.88.34.2
Seattle90.492.9100.0
7.69.917.8
Detroit5.45.44.9
Green Bay91.891.890.4
11.912.211.0
Dallas82.780.277.3
3.43.93.3
Philadelphia42.142.139.2
1.81.81.6
Miami vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green Bay91.091.191.1
Dallas79.879.779.7
NY Jets vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona7.47.37.2
Seattle13.313.313.1
Green Bay11.611.511.4
Week of 12/28
NY Giants vs PhiladelphiaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona7.2*7.37.3
Seattle99.193.593.2
13.312.913.0
DetroitIn88.488.3
5.35.15.0
Green Bay99.394.885.4
11.911.611.1
Dallas91.191.072.1
3.93.93.0
Philadelphia10.632.261.0
0.51.12.6
Washington vs DallasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle94.196.196.1
13.213.313.1
Detroit96.291.991.9
5.54.95.0
Green Bay95.396.989.4
11.711.811.3
Dallas46.584.792.2
1.63.64.0
Philadelphia68.030.330.3
2.91.21.3
Atlanta vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle13.1*13.213.2
New Orleans59.162.262.1
Atlanta40.97.8Out
0.40.1No
CarolinaOut30.037.9
No0.10.1
Green Bay vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona7.17.47.6
Seattle95.888.595.2
12.911.913.6
Detroit89.392.4In
2.96.19.2
Green Bay98.193.578.1
14.98.55.0
Dallas75.982.786.9
3.25.33.7
New Orleans0.60.70.7
Philadelphia41.042.839.8
1.71.91.8
Seattle vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona6.68.99.0
Seattle100.087.082.5
14.98.67.9
Detroit5.05.45.5
Green Bay90.393.193.1
10.912.712.8
Dallas77.482.386.8
3.13.74.1
Philadelphia39.244.544.5
1.61.91.9
Tampa Bay vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle13.213.213.1
New Orleans49.249.266.5
0.50.60.7
Carolina24.124.16.8
San Francisco vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Arizona6.77.47.6
Seattle13.612.812.9
Green Bay91.290.990.9
Dallas79.679.979.9
3.63.43.2
New England vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle13.1*13.213.2
Green Bay11.4*11.411.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeArizonaSeattleDetroitGreen BayDallasNew OrleansPhiladelphiaAtlantaCarolina
Arizona54.30.00.70.00.626.40.511.75.8
Seattle43.00.02.10.94.325.33.311.25.6
Detroit37.80.72.16.427.22.614.51.20.6
Green Bay53.50.00.96.417.83.27.01.50.7
Dallas11.30.64.327.217.82.314.81.00.5
New Orleans26.425.32.63.22.30.3
Philadelphia0.00.53.314.57.014.80.30.10.1
Atlanta11.711.21.21.51.00.1
Carolina5.85.60.60.70.50.1