National Football Conference Playoff Chances

Carolina +66.3, Atlanta -66.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
12/28GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
SeattleWSt. Louis 20-612-4-0.750140In27.4%+4.91001.0+0.652.740Seattle Seahawks
Green BayWDetroit 30-2012-4-0.750138In15.5+2.11002.0+1.244.703Green Bay Packers
DallasWWashington 44-1712-4-0.750115In5.4-0.01003.0-0.1011.674Dallas Cowboys
CarolinaWAtlanta 34-37-8-1.469-35In+66.30.5+0.41004.0+4.6320.439Carolina Panthers
ArizonaLSan Francisco 17-2011-5-0.68811In1.2-0.81005.0-0.385.522Arizona Cardinals
DetroitLGreen Bay 20-3011-5-0.68839In1.3-3.31006.0-1.416.577Detroit Lions
PhiladelphiaWNY Giants 34-2610-6-0.62574OutNo1007.09.610Philadelphia Eagles
San FranciscoWArizona 20-178-8-0.500-34OutNo1008.016.436San Francisco 49ers
New OrleansWTampa Bay 23-207-9-0.438-23Out-0.0No1009.0+0.9621.464New Orleans Saints
MinnesotaWChicago 13-97-9-0.438-18OutNo10010.0+0.3024.467Minnesota Vikings
NY GiantsLPhiladelphia 26-346-10-0.375-20OutNo10011.0+0.4822.467New York Giants
AtlantaLCarolina 3-346-10-0.375-36Out-66.3No-0.810012.0-5.5226.442Atlanta Falcons
St. LouisLSeattle 6-206-10-0.375-30OutNo10013.0-0.2419.445St. Louis Rams
ChicagoLMinnesota 9-135-11-0.313-123OutNo10014.0-0.6025.306Chicago Bears
WashingtonLDallas 17-444-12-0.250-137OutNo10015.029.282Washington Redskins
Tampa BayLNew Orleans 20-232-14-0.125-133OutNo10016.032.278Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/11
Philadelphia 27 Dallas 38
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle+1.5
+0.2
Green Bay-4.7
Dallas+37.3
+1.5
Arizona*In
Detroit-1.2
+0.2
Philadelphia-32.8
-2.3
Atlanta 20 Pittsburgh 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina+3.1
New Orleans+10.3
Atlanta-13.4
Chicago 15 New Orleans 31
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina-9.2
New Orleans+12.4
Atlanta-3.2
Detroit 16 Minnesota 14
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle-2.4
Green Bay-0.3
-0.3
Dallas-4.3
-0.2
Detroit+9.0
+0.7
Philadelphia-1.7
-0.2
San Francisco-0.3
Seattle 17 San Francisco 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle+7.6
+1.5
Green Bay-0.4
Dallas-3.9
Arizona-0.5
Philadelphia-0.7
-0.2
San Francisco-2.9
Carolina 19 Tampa Bay 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina+5.1
New Orleans-2.1
Atlanta-3.0
St. Louis 6 Arizona 12
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle-0.7
-0.6
Green Bay-0.2
Dallas-1.3
-0.2
Arizona+3.0
+1.1
Philadelphia-0.4
-0.3
San Francisco-0.4
MinnesotaOut
No
St. LouisOut
No
Buffalo 21 Green Bay 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle+1.3
+0.7
Green Bay-2.1
-1.9
Dallas+0.5
Arizona+0.2
Detroit+0.5
Philadelphia+0.3
Week of 12/18
New Orleans 14 Atlanta 30
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina+10.2
New Orleans-48.7
-0.5
Atlanta+38.5
+0.3
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle+3.7
+0.2
Green Bay+8.4
+0.5
Dallas+13.1
+0.6
DetroitIn
+0.2
Philadelphia-32.1
-1.3
Dallas 42 Indianapolis 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
SeattleIn
DallasIn
+0.3
PhiladelphiaOut
No
Carolina 17 Cleveland 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina+8.6
New Orleans-8.6
Tampa Bay 3 Green Bay 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Green BayIn
+1.2
Dallas-0.5
-0.3
Detroit-0.4
Chicago 14 Detroit 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle-0.2
Dallas+0.2
-0.3
Detroit+0.4
Arizona 6 Seattle 35
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle+4.2
Green Bay-0.6
Arizona-2.8
Detroit-0.2
Week of 12/28
Atlanta 3 Carolina 34
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle+0.3
CarolinaIn
+0.2
Arizona+0.2
AtlantaOut
No
Green Bay 30 Detroit 20
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle-0.3
Green Bay+3.9
Dallas-0.2
Arizona-0.2
Detroit-2.5
Seattle 20 St. Louis 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle+3.0
Green Bay-0.8
Dallas-1.1
Arizona-0.5
San Francisco 20 Arizona 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Seattle-0.2
Dallas+0.7
Arizona-0.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeSeattleGreen BayDallasCarolinaArizonaDetroitNew OrleansAtlanta
SeattleYesNoNoNoNoNoNoNo
Green BayYesNoNoNoNoNoNo
DallasNoNoNoNoYes
CarolinaNoNoYes
ArizonaNoNoNoNoYesNoNoNo
DetroitNoNoNoYesNo
New OrleansNoNo
AtlantaNoNoNo