San Diego Chargers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 47.2%
5-3-0   .625

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Miami vs San Diego-15.7+0.5+14.0
-1.3*+0.1+1.1
-1.0+0.1+0.9
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.7+3.7+3.8
-0.1+0.3+0.3
-0.0+0.2+0.2
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.6+1.1+1.9
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia-1.1+1.1+1.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-1.0*+0.0+0.6
+0.2*+0.1-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.3*-0.1+1.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.7+0.5-0.4
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
New England vs Denver-0.1*-0.1+0.2
+0.2*+0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs Pittsburgh+2.4+1.2-1.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Tennessee-0.3+0.8+2.1
-0.1+0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs Kansas City+1.0+1.4-0.8
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Denver+1.8+0.9-0.4
+0.7+0.4-0.2
+0.3+0.1-0.1
Detroit vs Miami+0.6*+0.2-1.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Cleveland-0.3*-0.2+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well San Diego finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
138-0-0In7820207,938,598
12.57-0-1In7060024045,993
127-1-0100.0%341520482051,325,690
6-0-2In441047101
11.56-1-1100.01718505630255,743
116-2-098.037625822200139,135,766
5-1-299.6495165160486
10.55-2-193.102534834700579,893
105-3-061.0001218392891000204,427,143
4-2-265.5021204227711,047
9.54-3-128.000142237268100692,229
94-4-06.50001620332711200177,103,885
3-3-27.311624342491875
8.53-4-10.4000041734311320469,115
83-5-00.000001519363190091,812,809
2-4-2Out1420343290451
7.52-5-10.000042145290176,221
1-4-3Out50502
72-6-00.0000019384840027,440,929
1-5-2Out53655499
6.51-6-1Out0120727034,100
61-7-0Out0001067221004,252,048
0-6-2Out901010
5.50-7-1Out36531202,635
50-8-0Out014052700315,876
Total:47.2%432121171412108640000706,011,744

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well San Diego finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandBaltimoreKansas CityPittsburghBuffaloHoustonCincinnatiMiamiClevelandTennesseeJacksonvilleNY JetsOakland
138-0-016.1%8005430131121000
12.57-0-115.176065301321210
127-1-011.3490141080264241000
6-0-215.8531275466241
11.56-1-19.5352181291375342000
116-2-06.210424151424864530000
5-1-28.61332415120497443
10.55-2-15.0352315152476453000
105-3-03.00415101123433320000
4-2-23.1051711121354332
9.54-3-11.3027561221111000
94-4-00.30021100000000000
3-3-20.10211000000
8.53-4-10.000000000000
83-5-00.0000000000000
2-4-2No
7.52-5-1No0
1-4-3No
72-6-0No000
1-5-2No
5-6.5No
Total:3.2%6.52.110.67.07.10.92.03.22.51.72.31.20.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Miami vs San Diego+1.7-0.2-1.5
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.0-0.2-0.2
New England vs Denver-0.1-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.1-0.0-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Arizona+0.0-0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland vs Denver-0.5-0.3+0.1
NY Jets vs Pittsburgh-0.2-0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs Kansas City-0.1-0.2+0.1
Jacksonville vs Dallas-0.1-0.1+0.0
Seattle vs NY Giants-0.0-0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Cleveland+0.0+0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs Tennessee+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
138-0-052262000200
12.57-0-1422860002400
127-1-08261052000453200
6-0-273773452
11.56-1-1215117500524300
116-2-00326421038202112000
5-1-243622142221510
10.55-2-1000233302524322610
105-3-0000001104142416241230000
4-2-2001105152716221120
9.54-3-100010048142828133000
94-4-0000000115922272111410000
3-3-20010692430198300
8.53-4-1000000041325282082000
83-5-0000000013918252314610000
2-4-203817232516710
7.52-5-1000028213125112000
1-4-3100
72-6-0000000281827251451000
1-5-21251925281441
6.51-6-10002102633217100
61-7-00000310233022102000
0-6-220403010
5.50-7-10151732291430
50-8-0001517313014300
Total:1312111012911610986544321100000000