"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

San Diego Chargers Playoff Chances

Lost to Denver 21-35, playoff odds down 14.9 to 63.5%
5-3-0   .625

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver 35 San Diego 21 -8.8
-2.5
-0.9
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Kansas City vs St. Louis-1.3+3.3+3.2
-0.1*+0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-2.1*+0.3+1.2
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Tennessee vs Houston+1.5+1.3-1.0
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-1.6*-0.1+0.8
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.6*-0.2+1.6
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami+1.1+0.8-0.5
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
NY Jets vs Buffalo+0.8*-0.4-0.6
New England vs Chicago-0.3+0.6+0.7
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.1*+0.3+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Miami vs San Diego-15.8+1.1+11.9
-1.2*+0.0+0.9
-0.8+0.1+0.6
Kansas City vs NY Jets-1.1+3.4+3.3
-0.1*+0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-2.3*-0.3+1.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.7+1.6+2.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia-1.3+0.8+1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.4*-0.2+1.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
New England vs Denver-0.4*-0.3+0.3
+0.3*+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.2*+0.3-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well San Diego finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
138-0-0In67100242,394,881
12.57-0-1In551712713,638
127-1-0100.0%212250511014,218,736
6-0-2In282134829
11.56-1-1100.0101891612067,965
116-2-099.52792691210035,254,553
5-1-2In3711718155
10.55-2-198.102636621200141,772
105-3-084.40022404014200047,648,842
4-2-285.00314140141220
9.54-3-164.80012242277100157,088
94-4-029.6000062335259200038,352,186
3-3-229.9723352772197
8.53-4-18.5001824342481098,811
83-5-01.600018233224910018,778,502
2-4-21.8292533265110
7.52-5-10.100172336267035,474
72-6-00.00000292738213005,432,139
1-5-2Out9362718911
6.51-6-1Out01103544906,755
61-7-0Out003194827300843,896
0-6-2Out1001
5.50-7-1Out5434291517
50-8-0Out012151224066,706
Total:63.5%3431332013964210000163,513,184

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well San Diego finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisDenverBaltimoreNew EnglandKansas CityMiamiBuffaloCincinnatiPittsburghClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
138-0-014.4%7630390340000000
12.57-0-113.47230310045110000
127-1-09.7437171917921110000
6-0-26.948147143733
11.56-1-17.92810282329112221000
116-2-05.8915513262101232220000
5-1-23.910174122638103411
10.55-2-14.931761426210113222000
105-3-03.80187162027722110000
4-2-24.5019717162854114
9.54-3-12.80156141515511110000
94-4-01.20838612110000000
3-3-22.01046641
8.53-4-10.331220000000000
83-5-00.1100000000000000
2-4-2No11
7.52-5-10.000000
72-6-00.00000000000
1-5-2No
5-6.5No
Total:3.7%6.811.03.910.014.61.25.45.81.51.21.01.00.10.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Denver 35 San Diego 21 +1.8
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.1-0.2-0.2
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.1-0.0-0.2
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1+0.0-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1-0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.1-0.0+0.0
NY Jets vs Buffalo-0.1+0.0+0.0
Carolina vs Seattle-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Miami vs San Diego+1.6-0.1-1.2
New England vs Denver-0.2-0.1+0.2
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.1-0.2-0.2
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.1-0.1-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
138-0-037309100230
12.57-0-125301611271
127-1-0417148500448100
6-0-272114733117
11.56-1-119998114912200
116-2-0021663203435111100
5-1-233583343781
10.55-2-100233302442183200
105-3-000000120734221812300000
4-2-201117342218123
9.54-3-100010121142821113000
94-4-00000000642014231910310000
3-3-2732012261710411
8.53-4-100010741526251561000
83-5-000000010311192320136200000
2-4-2224822212314141
7.52-5-100001310212723124100
72-6-000000000271421231810410000
1-5-299361827
6.51-6-10015142528187200
61-7-000014112025211251000
0-6-2100
5.50-7-113926312262
50-8-00013112328229200
Total:122221101319101077644321110000000000