San Diego Chargers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 78.4%
5-2-0   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 -9.8
-2.9
-1.0
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 +0.9
+0.1
Pittsburgh 30 Houston 23 +0.8
+0.1
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.7
-0.3
-0.1
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 +0.4
-0.2
Chicago 14 Miami 27 -0.2
-0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.2
-0.2
-0.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 -0.1
New England 27 NY Jets 25 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver vs San Diego-8.8+3.8+10.4
-2.5+0.5+3.0
-0.9+0.3+1.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.9+2.6+2.3
-0.1*+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-1.5*+0.1+0.8
+0.3*+0.2-0.2
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-1.2*+0.3+0.5
+0.4*+0.2-0.2
Tennessee vs Houston+1.0+0.8-0.7
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.4*-0.2+1.1
-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami+0.8+0.5-0.4
NY Jets vs Buffalo+0.6*-0.0-0.4
New England vs Chicago-0.3*+0.2+0.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well San Diego finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
149-0-0In1001,323,033
13.58-0-1In9738,066
138-1-0In7716158,371,684
7-0-2In851526
12.57-1-1In6425209044,719
127-2-0100.0%313490250022,705,445
6-1-2In30341422103
11.56-2-1In1530151381104,760
5-1-3In1001
116-3-099.631418452900034,432,251
5-2-2In317195497229
10.55-3-198.3051275618200134,671
4-2-3In1002
105-4-085.30146373713200032,173,027
4-3-291.9065374462209
9.54-4-165.1014204027710102,360
94-5-029.700016233426920019,191,906
3-4-234.14303222111129
8.53-5-18.2001723342591048,600
83-6-01.50001823332591007,287,889
2-5-2Out228312513264
7.52-6-10.00162236277013,439
72-7-00.0000192738223001,693,320
1-6-2Out20602010
6.51-7-1Out183646902,042
61-8-0Out003194827300216,417
5.50-8-1Out737478142
50-9-0Out012051234021,488
Total:78.4%12118329159632100000127,876,032

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well San Diego finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisBaltimoreDenverNew EnglandKansas CityMiamiBuffaloCincinnatiPittsburghClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
13.5-1422.0%Yes
138-1-020.39411020110000000
7-0-234.6Yes
12.57-1-119.18911030120000000
127-2-015.2654421024522110000
6-1-218.46482255342411
11.56-2-112.6446541536732220000
5-1-3YesYes
116-3-09.017111072048943220000
5-2-212.2201197245783321
10.55-3-17.351512923491033220000
4-2-3No5050
105-4-05.611614101847732220000
4-3-27.2018161117589422
9.54-4-14.1014128142542111000
94-5-01.70774612111000000
3-4-20.86710512211
8.53-5-10.4221200000000
83-6-00.1000000000000000
2-5-2No
7.52-6-1No00
72-7-00.000000000
1-6-2No
5-6.5No
Total:8.4%23.68.98.05.412.82.65.15.42.11.81.41.40.10.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +1.9
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +0.2
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.1
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +0.0
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.0
New England 27 NY Jets 25 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Denver vs San Diego+1.8-0.5-2.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.1-0.2-0.2
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.0-0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.1-0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1-0.0+0.0
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.0-0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
149-0-09010
13.58-0-1821530
138-1-047301611050
7-0-2582715
12.57-1-12935232200900
127-2-072323119000223000
6-1-2822231114184
11.56-2-11141515141131710
5-1-3100
116-3-00341013540292381000
5-2-235131455262361
10.55-3-1000466702036162200
4-2-35050
105-4-00001136083023141130000
4-3-20631730291562
9.54-4-100130120132720123000
94-5-000000100541813232010410000
3-4-241020922181052
8.53-5-100010731425251661000
83-6-0000001031018232114720000
2-5-231116192020822
7.52-6-100039202723124100
72-7-00000000261421231810410000
1-6-2302050
6.51-7-101514262819710
61-8-00001411192521135100
5.50-8-113142335178
50-9-00131122282210200
Total:5765523014159754432111000000000000