San Diego Chargers Playoff Chances

Lost to Miami 24-31, playoff odds down 12.8 to 4%
4-6-0   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Diego 24 Miami 31 -10.7
-0.3
-1.3
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 -1.5
-0.1
-0.0
Carolina 17 Kansas City 20 -1.2
-0.0
-0.0
Pittsburgh 30 Dallas 35 +0.3
+0.0
Jacksonville 21 Houston 24 -0.2
Baltimore 28 Cleveland 7 -0.2
-0.0
Tennessee 47 Green Bay 25 *-0.1
-0.0
NY Jets 6 Los Angeles 9 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Cincinnati+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Los Angeles vs Miami+0.6+0.6-0.5
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Houston-0.4-0.1+0.7
Cincinnati vs Buffalo+0.4-0.1-0.3
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay-0.2+0.1+0.5
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh+0.3+0.2-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Tennessee-0.1+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Diego finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
106-0-069.5%000020482460003,001,752,495
9.55-0-134.40000430461820012,894,728
95-1-011.20000110313916300014,261,963,770
4-0-211.0001103339152023,088
8.54-1-10.9011236351320050,687,548
3-0-3Out12294112617
84-2-00.100314313216400027,690,896,147
3-1-20.102133133173071,862
7.53-2-10.00021131371720077,917,953
2-1-3Out543331958
73-3-00.00002123238151027,988,118,978
2-2-2Out002123238151081,755
6.52-3-1Out00021442384058,389,826
1-2-3Out2294340447
62-4-0Out000042652181015,487,609,096
1-3-2Out004265218140,545
5.51-4-1Out001054324021,261,268
0-3-3Out1007
51-5-0Out000333541004,433,896,173
0-4-2Out0333541007,315
4.50-5-1Out0020532603,002,329
40-6-0Out0653384518,467,683
Total:4.0%000013610121415171561093,607,082,688

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Diego finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandKansas CityOaklandDenverHoustonBaltimorePittsburghTennesseeMiamiBuffaloIndianapolisCincinnatiJacksonvilleNY JetsCleveland
106-0-01.6%122111619108005400
9.55-0-10.7011018954002200
95-1-00.20010033210011000
4-0-20.2000033210010
8.54-1-10.000000000000000
3-0-3No
84-2-00.000000000000000
3-1-2No0000000000
7.53-2-10.00000000000
2-1-3No
73-3-00.000000000000
2-2-2No
4-6.5No
Total:0.1%0.00.10.20.00.10.91.00.60.50.00.00.30.20.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/10100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego 24 Miami 31 +2.3
Tennessee 47 Green Bay 25 -0.1
Philadelphia 24 Atlanta 15 +0.1
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 -0.1
Baltimore 28 Cleveland 7 +0.1
Carolina 17 Kansas City 20 -0.1
New England 24 Seattle 31 +0.0
Pittsburgh 30 Dallas 35 -0.0
Tampa Bay 36 Chicago 10 -0.0
Arizona 23 San Francisco 20 +0.0
NY Jets 6 Los Angeles 9 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay-0.1+0.1+0.2
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh-0.2-0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Jacksonville+0.1+0.0-0.2
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+0.0+0.2-0.0
Los Angeles vs Miami+0.1+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Houston-0.0+0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Baltimore-0.0+0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Buffalo-0.0+0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Chicago+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
106-0-000000000516341520101000
9.55-0-1000000004141642213000
95-1-0000000001292238217100000
4-0-20001192338216100
8.54-1-10001315282817610000
3-0-3612183529
84-2-0000003112227201141000000
3-1-2003112227201141000
7.53-2-1000013112227221131000
2-1-351014263195
73-3-000000139192523146200000
2-2-2000391825231462000
6.52-3-1000031023302392000
1-2-3215302811114
62-4-0000001311232922920000
1-3-200031022302210200
5.51-4-10000211283519400
0-3-3145729
51-5-000001418372910100
0-4-20041737301020
4.50-5-10011235371310
40-6-00000729392130
Total:00000000011247788767876665321000