San Diego Chargers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 15.7%
8-6-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Francisco vs San Diego-12.2-0.4+10.8
-0.1-0.0+0.1
-1.0+0.1+0.9
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City-3.0*-0.1+3.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Houston vs Baltimore+2.7-2.2-2.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Denver-2.6+1.8+1.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Oakland vs Buffalo+0.5*-0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.1
Miami vs Minnesota-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.3+0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Kansas City vs San DiegoOut-5.3+32.0
No-0.0+0.3
-1.0+0.5+1.9
Baltimore vs Cleveland-1.3-1.2+4.3
-0.0-0.2+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-1.3+0.2+2.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Buffalo+0.5-1.2-1.3
+0.1-0.4-0.4
Houston vs Jacksonville-0.2+1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.4+0.4
Miami vs NY Jets-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.3+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well San Diego finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
102-0-080.6%314919352,360,041
9.51-0-130.132850182693,470
91-1-03.303428421931,030,079,025
0-0-20.30113635153315
8.50-1-1Out32945212923,735
80-2-0Out0221689638,504,150
Total:15.7%51061422162332,022,560,736

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well San Diego finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBNew EnglandDenverIndianapolisBaltimoreCincinnatiPittsburgh
102-0-00.7%114211322
9.51-0-10.30018029
91-1-00.0002010
0-0-2No0
8-8.5No
Total:0.1%0.20.38.50.22.73.9
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Francisco vs San Diego+1.6+0.6-1.4
Oakland vs Buffalo-0.4-0.1+0.1
Houston vs Baltimore+0.2+0.2-0.1
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.2-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City+0.1+0.2-0.1
Miami vs Minnesota+0.1+0.1-0.2
Washington vs Philadelphia-0.2+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Cleveland-0.1+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay-0.1-0.0+0.0
St. Louis vs NY Giants-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs San Diego+1.1-0.1-2.3
Houston vs Jacksonville+0.1-0.1-0.4
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati+0.1-0.0-0.2
New England vs Buffalo-0.1+0.2+0.2
Baltimore vs Cleveland-0.0+0.2+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets+0.0+0.0-0.2
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.1-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Philadelphia-0.1+0.1+0.1
Seattle vs St. Louis-0.0-0.0+0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
102-0-00310491360
9.51-0-132865490
91-1-00332843231
0-0-204285017
8.50-1-10522372791
80-2-00325432440
Total:050104152213914710