San Diego Chargers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 46.7%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +6.3
+0.5
+0.8
Oakland 14 Houston 30 +0.8
Denver 24 Kansas City 17 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 +0.4
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 +0.4
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 +0.3
+0.0
Minnesota 7 New England 30 -0.3
-0.1
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 -0.2
-0.0
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 -0.2
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 +0.2
+0.0
Baltimore 26 Pittsburgh 6 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Buffalo vs San Diego-7.8+2.6+12.0
-0.9*+0.2+1.3
-0.8+0.3+1.2
Seattle vs Denver+1.8*-0.9-2.3
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.2
NY Giants vs Houston+0.2+1.3-0.2
+0.1*+0.3-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.3*-0.6+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+0.2*-0.5-0.5
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
New England vs Oakland+0.2*-0.5-0.4
Miami vs Kansas City+0.2*-0.1-0.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis+0.2*+0.4-0.2
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Tennessee+0.1*+0.4-0.1
-0.0*-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well San Diego finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In10007,333
14.513-0-1In10042
1413-1-0In9820058,589
13.512-1-1In9360571
1312-2-0In88110010351,811
11-1-2In1002
12.511-2-1In7521223,254
1211-3-0100.0%6031404001,286,140
10-2-2In5638616
11.510-3-1In41401118010,860
1110-4-0100.02240213131003,191,683
9-3-2In27292222041
10.59-4-199.98303191930024,136
109-5-097.82153018221020005,700,561
8-4-298.732321192212178
9.58-5-191.6042227191971038,667
98-6-068.50110271021199300007,557,817
7-5-272.0314258231963118
8.57-6-138.80222212242311300045,284
87-7-017.301130312222416720007,543,121
6-6-216.0111414222415521125
7.56-7-16.10600210232921810039,365
76-8-02.30200027182725134105,714,590
5-7-2Out391538239396
6.55-8-10.500016183028133025,347
65-9-00.10000151629301633,261,659
4-8-2Out51737327241
5.54-9-10.00005183631911,935
54-10-00.0000162442281,381,768
3-9-2Out618413517
4.53-10-1Out011140474,041
43-11-0Out0042868420,687
2-10-2Out40605
3.52-11-1Out11683867
32-12-0Out089287,489
1-11-2Out1002
2.51-12-1Out199114
21-13-0Out19911,018
1.50-13-1Out1005
10-14-0Out01003,489
Total:46.7%5791277777666543236,782,784

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well San Diego finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeHoustonCincinnatiBuffaloDenverBaltimoreNew EnglandTennesseeNY JetsMiamiClevelandPittsburghIndianapolisOaklandKansas CityJacksonville
14.5-1515.6%Yes
1413-1-015.5100000000000000
13.512-1-114.21000
1312-2-015.199000000000000000
11-1-2NoYes
12.511-2-113.697000001000000000
1211-3-013.891111111111100000
10-2-218.8946
11.510-3-112.380222222211111000
1110-4-010.462344533333221111
9-3-27.356225525257222
10.59-4-18.138566856544432111
109-5-06.1187891177655543111
8-4-29.026109394954484311
9.58-5-14.6489101278666543112
98-6-03.11678966555432111
7-5-25.1339101073545341212
8.57-6-11.70445444333221001
87-7-00.80122122122110000
6-6-20.811212123222
7.56-7-10.300101101100000
76-8-00.1000000000000000
5-7-2No
6.55-8-10.000000000000
65-9-00.0000000000000
4-8-2No
5.54-9-1No00
54-10-0No0000000000
3-9-2No
1-4.5No
Total:3.4%12.73.03.43.84.23.03.12.52.42.42.11.61.00.50.50.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/11100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 -1.9
Denver 24 Kansas City 17 +0.1
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.1
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 -0.1
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 -0.1
Baltimore 26 Pittsburgh 6 -0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 +0.1
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs San Diego+1.6-0.9-2.5
Seattle vs Denver-0.2+0.1+0.3
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis-0.1*-0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.0+0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Baltimore+0.1-0.1-0.1
St. Louis vs Dallas-0.1-0.1+0.0
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.0-0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Tennessee-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-09900
14.513-0-1100
1413-1-0944200
13.512-1-188560
1312-2-0741411000100
11-1-25050
12.511-2-1571821022
1211-3-0342728340004000
10-2-231253166
11.510-3-116253461101800
1110-4-05172416192301211000
9-3-252217122022172
10.59-4-107111925680163300
109-5-00231216151521399120000
8-4-2351881319148121
9.58-5-10045162077131647100
98-6-000119131428101110117310000
7-5-23212101418121111953
8.57-6-10025170211191818104100
87-7-000121100031371215161394200000
6-6-22101423514141516132
7.56-7-100600000271622221562000
76-8-000200000012481317181611520000
5-7-2291091517171461
6.55-8-10000271623241672000
65-9-00000001261218222013510
4-8-2125222224122
5.54-9-1000271827261441
54-10-00000014122330237
3-9-26624183512
4.53-10-100211303718
43-11-00003153943
2-10-26040
3.52-11-1053263
32-12-00011881
1-11-25050
2.51-12-1694
21-13-00496
1.50-13-12080
10-14-00100
Total:23444466434323333433333333222211