"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Oakland Raiders Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.01 to 8.5%
0-2-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland 21 NY Jets 17 +0.2
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Miami vs Oakland-2.9*+0.1+5.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
-0.6+0.0+1.2
Kansas City vs San Francisco-0.4*-0.2+0.6
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers+0.3-0.6-0.5
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Denver+0.2*-0.1-0.3
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis+0.2*-0.3-0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Cincinnati+0.2*-0.3-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh+0.1*-0.2-0.2
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Detroit vs New England+0.1*-0.2-0.2
Houston vs NY Giants-0.1*-0.4+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Buffalo+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs Tennessee+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Oakland vs Cleveland+3.7-1.2-3.8
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.9-0.3-0.9
LA Chargers vs San Francisco-0.3*-0.1+0.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Cincinnati+0.2*+0.0-0.2
Tennessee vs Philadelphia-0.1*+0.2+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs NY Jets+0.1*-0.1-0.1
New England vs Miami-0.1*-0.3+0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Green Bay vs Buffalo+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Houston-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Denver vs Kansas City-0.0*+0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Oakland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1414-0-0In100003,828
13.513-0-1In1004
1313-1-0In945016,924
12.512-1-1In86101394
1212-2-0In7220206061,985
11.511-2-1In483360130689
1111-3-0100.0%313411121200324,745
10-2-2In2525504
10.510-3-199.61027234296003,348
1010-4-096.841620834153001,163,503
9-3-2In6313861916
9.59-4-185.704141326291220010,821
99-5-059.00161113282612300003,016,814
8-4-246.92446313516249
8.58-5-121.301721126291761024,231
88-6-07.10030314252718820005,815,367
7-5-212.567112726165288
7.57-6-10.90100161829261441042,352
77-7-00.30000017172726155108,474,233
6-6-2Out1172223271541136
6.56-7-10.000003112632206153,960
66-8-00.00000141429321739,386,740
5-7-2Out12132732204146
5.55-8-1Out0031333371351,220
4-7-3Out1001
55-9-00.00000162443267,865,874
4-8-2Out4233934120
4.54-9-1Out0110414935,356
44-10-0Out000533634,918,071
3-9-2Out3415774
3.53-10-1Out01188117,799
33-11-0Out00012872,210,627
2-10-2Out79314
2.52-11-1Out05956,006
22-12-0Out0397681,268
1-11-2Out1004
1.51-12-1Out1991,205
11-13-0Out199127,974
0.50-13-1Out100144
00-14-0Out010014,582
Total:8.5%0111234456781013161844,320,416

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Oakland finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeMiamiCincinnatiJacksonvilleKansas CityDenverBaltimoreNY JetsIndianapolisLA ChargersNew EnglandTennesseeClevelandPittsburghHoustonBuffalo
1414-0-09.7%1000
13.513-0-1NoYes
1313-1-09.799000000000000000
12.512-1-110.69631
1212-2-08.892111001110111000
11.511-2-18.681322113120112100
1111-3-06.665444223321322111
10-2-2No25252525
10.510-3-14.337776555543444221
1010-4-03.519888667652554321
9-3-26.3386613136666
9.59-4-12.34999768653555321
99-5-01.41676555442333211
8-4-22.0228662210242
8.58-5-10.40232212211111110
88-6-00.20111001100000000
7-5-2No1231112
7.57-6-10.0000000000000000
77-7-00.0000000000000000
6-6-2No
6.56-7-1No00000000
66-8-00.0000000000000
5-7-2No
5.55-8-1No
55-9-0No0
4-8-2No
0-4.5No
Total:0.3%1.20.80.80.80.60.50.70.50.50.20.40.40.40.30.20.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland 21 NY Jets 17 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Miami vs Oakland+1.2+0.2-2.4
Carolina vs Cincinnati+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Chicago-0.0+0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Dallas-0.0+0.1+0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.0+0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Buffalo-0.0+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland vs Cleveland-1.8+0.8+1.8
New England vs Miami+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Cincinnati+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Houston-0.1*+0.0+0.1
LA Rams vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Seattle+0.0+0.1-0.0
Denver vs Kansas City+0.0-0.1-0.0
LA Chargers vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs NY Jets-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1414-0-098100
13.513-0-1100
1313-1-076185001
12.512-1-161261013
1212-2-03636182200600
11.511-2-116322765001300
1111-3-0526191510110192200
10-2-2252550
10.510-3-11101017194402546000
1010-4-00421410117119151413000
9-3-266251325619
9.59-4-100441010391723612200
99-5-0001065611211182512410000
8-4-222246102035864
8.58-5-10012602110132423134100
88-6-0000030003412202116105210000
7-5-2678111817198122
7.57-6-100100001381724221572000
77-7-000000000026121820181273100000
6-6-212101118151712851
6.56-7-10001271624231682000
66-8-00000002614212218104100
5-7-238112023141641
5.55-8-1000281827261441
4-7-3100
55-9-0000001310202824123
4-8-21412182723141
4.54-9-100313313617
44-10-000018244027
3-9-23312838
3.53-10-10173360
33-11-000042769
2-10-272964
2.52-11-1001188
22-12-000892
1-11-2100
1.51-12-1298
11-13-00199
0.50-13-1100
00-14-00100
Total:00010111111222333234444456667789