Oakland Raiders Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 9.9%
0-2-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Oakland 14 Houston 30 -6.7
-0.4
-1.1
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 -1.1
-0.0
-0.1
Denver 24 Kansas City 17 -0.5
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 +0.3
Minnesota 7 New England 30 -0.2
-0.1
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 -0.2
-0.0
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 -0.2
-0.0
Baltimore 26 Pittsburgh 6 +0.1
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 +0.1
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 +0.1
+0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 +0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England vs Oakland-3.2*+0.4+5.8
-0.1*+0.2+0.2
-0.7+0.3+1.2
Seattle vs Denver+0.8*-0.5-1.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs San Diego+0.5*-1.5-0.7
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.1*+0.3+0.2
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+0.1*+1.0-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Miami vs Kansas City+0.1*+0.3-0.1
NY Giants vs Houston+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.6-0.1
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Tennessee+0.0*+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Oakland finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1414-0-0In955491
1313-1-0In83170890
12.512-1-1In831712
1212-2-0In533870207,700
11.511-2-1In364612678
1111-3-0100.0%1841255101041,135
10-2-2In1001
10.510-3-199.88323081930423
1010-4-097.1214312218113000146,896
9-3-2In33673
9.59-4-191.40422232022711,350
99-5-063.701827820191241000383,978
8-4-255.6112211111122119
8.58-5-133.302172132725113103,191
88-6-014.600110310192419103000740,964
7-5-213.3132713272015
7.57-6-13.80402822302392005,428
77-7-01.60200027162526166101,086,687
6-6-2Out11112233611618
6.56-7-10.20001516312816306,924
66-8-00.100000151528311741,211,888
5-7-2Out444323618428
5.55-8-1Out00418363196,672
4-7-3Out1001
55-9-00.00000172441271,025,019
4-8-2Out33333312
4.54-9-1Out011241454,509
44-10-0Out0053064645,767
3-9-2Out1350388
3.53-10-1Out120792,312
33-11-0Out001189293,594
2-10-2Out1004
2.52-11-1Out595775
22-12-0Out029891,900
1-11-2Out1001
1.51-12-1Out199179
11-13-0Out010017,606
0.50-13-1Out10015
00-14-0Out01001,933
Total:9.9%012412345679101215195,728,416

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Oakland finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeHoustonCincinnatiBuffaloDenverSan DiegoBaltimoreNew EnglandTennesseeNY JetsMiamiClevelandPittsburghIndianapolisKansas CityJacksonville
1414-0-09.4%Yes
1313-1-08.5100000
12.512-1-116.7Yes
1212-2-08.591111111111010000
11.511-2-17.782333113131
1111-3-06.059344534333322101
10-2-2NoYes
10.510-3-15.940457555655423110
1010-4-03.2157881067666544212
9-3-2No3367
9.59-4-12.5410991057665653311
99-5-01.51667646545433211
8-4-2No1111111111
8.58-5-10.80344323323221101
88-6-00.30112102211111000
7-5-2No13
7.57-6-10.10010010000000
77-7-00.000000000000000
6-6-2No
6.56-7-10.0000000000
66-8-00.00000000000000
5-7-2No
5.55-8-1No
55-9-0No00000
4-8-2No
0-4.5No
Total:0.3%1.00.80.91.00.80.50.80.80.60.70.60.50.40.20.10.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/11100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland 14 Houston 30 +2.0
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.1
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 -0.1
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 +0.1
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 -0.1
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +0.1
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 -0.1
Minnesota 7 New England 30 -0.1
Denver 24 Kansas City 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Oakland+1.3+0.0-2.4
NY Giants vs Houston+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Cleveland vs Baltimore-0.1*+0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Dallas-0.1*+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.0*-0.2+0.1
Miami vs Kansas City+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Tennessee-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs San Diego-0.0*+0.2+0.0
New Orleans vs Minnesota+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Denver-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1414-0-09315
1313-1-068151700
12.512-1-1671717
1212-2-02726344700200
11.511-2-11224406126
1111-3-031521202235091100
10-2-2100
10.510-3-181517265816330
1010-4-0021121218184991013000
9-3-2333333
9.59-4-10471518671318471
99-5-0001181017176141911510000
8-4-211221111112211
8.58-5-1002413211211211910310
88-6-000011000034101617151174100000
7-5-2132020207137
7.57-6-100400038162223147200
77-7-000200000126111618171395210000
6-6-266662811111117
6.56-7-1000127162324167300
66-8-000000012612192118126200
5-7-24472121251144
5.55-8-100281926251541
4-7-3100
55-9-000000139192625144
4-8-2817331725
4.54-9-100412313518
44-10-000017223931
3-9-2382538
3.53-10-1073359
33-11-00032572
2-10-22575
2.52-11-111090
22-12-000793
1-11-2100
1.51-12-1298
11-13-0199
0.50-13-1100
00-14-00100
Total:000111130111222222344444556678810