Oakland Raiders Playoff Chances

Lost to Kansas City 7-24, playoff odds down 4.2 to 3.3%
2-4-0   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -3.0
-0.0
-0.4
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +0.4
+0.1
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +0.3
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +0.3
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +0.3
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 -0.2
+0.0
New England 30 New Orleans 27 -0.1
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 +0.1
+0.1
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis-0.1*-0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Miami vs Buffalo-0.2*+0.3+0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco-0.2*+0.3+0.3
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.3*+0.0-0.2
Green Bay vs Cleveland+0.1*+0.3-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Cincinnati+0.1*+0.0-0.2
Jacksonville vs San Diego+0.2*-0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs New England+0.1*-0.1-0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Houston+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Oakland finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1210-0-099.9%10123061130979
11.59-0-1In33563759
119-1-096.902204350309,315
8-0-2In33673
10.58-1-193.50023696819
108-2-073.0000012612430060,021
7-1-269.0175228329
9.57-2-153.70351378104,705
6-1-3Out1001
97-3-025.50012540258100223,933
6-2-227.127461791144
8.56-3-18.50830371950014,866
5-2-3Out60405
86-4-02.002122832206100533,173
5-3-21.821228341761395
7.55-4-10.1021229341850029,885
4-3-3Out3333333
75-5-00.000313283118510850,482
4-4-2Out041430301751697
6.54-5-1Out002123034184039,427
3-4-3Out221144229
64-6-0Out00041531311530918,921
3-5-2Out031433321530746
5.53-6-1Out00316363411033,275
2-5-3Out1733506
53-7-0Out00162441261665,995
2-6-2Out142441282477
4.52-7-1Out0183552517,963
1-6-3Out25754
42-8-0Out003256310311,397
1-7-2Out2246114182
3.51-8-1Out0766275,626
0-7-3Out1001
31-9-0Out04643284,338
0-8-2Out7504330
2.50-9-1Out4159767
20-10-0Out0386210,202
Total:3.3%00000356810121314141223,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Oakland finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandCincinnatiMiamiTennesseeBaltimoreClevelandNY JetsSan DiegoBuffaloPittsburghHoustonJacksonville
1210-0-01.3%22211713184310810100
11.59-0-11.7722222020557722
119-1-00.62222220195412710010
8-0-2No6733
10.58-1-10.702225221554116000000
108-2-00.4022191813437410000
7-1-2No17241773
9.57-2-10.3211514932530000
6-1-3No
97-3-00.111874112100000
6-2-2No11083131
8.56-3-10.00033200000000
5-2-3No
86-4-00.00011000000000
5-3-2No110
7.55-4-1No000000
4-3-3No
75-5-00.000000000
4-4-2No
2-6.5No
Total:0.0%0.00.10.10.90.90.60.20.10.30.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 +0.8
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 -0.1
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 +0.1
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 +0.1
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.0
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +0.0
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs Houston-0.0*+0.1+0.2
NY Giants vs Minnesota-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Dallas*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Indianapolis vs Denver+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco-0.0+0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1210-0-0297430574130
11.59-0-1222249737
119-1-0001110271548330
8-0-23367
10.58-1-1000014964560
108-2-0000000293427225100
7-1-23142428283
9.57-2-10022426321130
6-1-3100
97-3-000001322232416831000
6-2-2423222217931
8.56-3-1008620282311300
5-2-3206020
86-4-000226132021181152000
5-3-22310122024159420
7.55-4-10001412222621103100
4-3-3333333
75-5-00000126132022181141000
4-4-202714212121103100
6.54-5-10015132327199300
3-4-31122441111
64-6-00000271524251782000
3-5-202515252518710
5.53-6-100031021292411200
2-5-317175017
53-7-00001516282916400
2-6-20161629271740
4.52-7-100141632321320
1-6-35050
42-8-0003143334142
1-7-2316323910
3.51-8-10042441255
0-7-3100
31-9-00006274422
0-8-2310234717
2.50-9-102164636
20-10-0043164
Total:00000000001222334455666777776421