Los Angeles Chargers Playoff Chances

Beat Cleveland 38-14, playoff odds up 23.3 to 64.5%
4-2-0   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland 14 LA Chargers 38 +13.1
+0.6
+1.1
Miami 31 Chicago 28 -0.9
-0.1
Dallas 40 Jacksonville 7 +0.5
+0.0
New England 43 Kansas City 40 -0.4
+0.1
+0.0
NY Jets 42 Indianapolis 34 -0.4
-0.0
Denver 20 LA Rams 23 +0.4
+0.0
Houston 20 Buffalo 13 -0.3
-0.0
Tennessee 0 Baltimore 21 -0.3
Oakland 3 Seattle 27 +0.1
Cincinnati 21 Pittsburgh 28 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
LA Chargers vs Tennessee+7.4-3.0-16.7
+0.6-0.2-1.5
+0.5-0.1-1.2
Miami vs Detroit-0.8*+0.1+1.0
NY Jets vs Minnesota-0.6*-0.2+1.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Chicago vs New England+0.6+0.6-0.9
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs Cincinnati+0.5*-0.0-0.8
-0.3+0.3+0.4
-0.1+0.2+0.2
Baltimore vs New Orleans-0.4*+0.1+0.9
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Arizona vs Denver+0.4+0.3-0.4
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland+0.3+0.4-0.4
Indianapolis vs Buffalo-0.0*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the LA Chargers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1410-0-0In99011,854,541
13.59-0-1In980113,268
139-1-0In866008014,810,955
8-0-2In98244
12.58-1-1In7811001195,782
128-2-0100.0%492120280053,007,751
7-1-2In54221230270
11.57-2-1100.03130603310299,306
117-3-099.81122111515000108,993,177
6-2-299.916231014730767
10.56-3-198.73161624813100534,584
5-2-3In1001
106-4-090.705113423081000142,534,690
5-3-292.71611440316101,097
9.55-4-171.501852137226100589,930
95-5-038.20023726342161000123,738,252
4-4-242.91339273418501,043
8.54-5-113.101219273620400420,655
84-6-02.50010292533227100072,247,704
3-5-22.301019293221510602
7.53-6-10.3000018273621610194,277
2-5-3Out1001
73-7-00.00000018223225920028,003,230
2-6-2Out1621342882187
6.52-7-10.0001724372471055,703
62-8-00.000017243624716,911,210
1-7-2Out38132844539
5.51-8-1Out01929381939,140
51-9-0Out00213373612979,929
0-8-2Out50502
4.50-9-1Out3234430623
40-10-0Out0194150103,736
Total:64.5%10862251511864321000555,402,496

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the LA Chargers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityBaltimoreNew EnglandCincinnatiHoustonMiamiPittsburghNY JetsJacksonvilleTennesseeIndianapolisClevelandDenverBuffaloOakland
1410-0-014.6%99000000000000
13.59-0-114.699000000000000
139-1-013.792011020002110000
8-0-211.4982
12.58-1-113.08901103101221000
128-2-011.070112182125520000
7-1-211.97623180024300
11.57-2-110.0612232102126620000
117-3-07.332535316425101030000
6-2-29.03953451443479301
10.56-3-16.019958515636101031000
5-2-3NoYes
106-4-04.3512695147479931000
5-3-25.67126861464888310
9.55-4-13.111179586476511000
95-5-01.50745343233210000
4-4-21.8175535424431000
8.54-5-10.50222111111100000
84-6-00.10000000000000000
3-5-2No00100000
7.53-6-10.0000000000000
2-5-3No
73-7-00.000000000000000
2-6-2No
6.52-7-1No00
62-8-0No000
1-7-2No
4-5.5No
Total:4.4%17.25.53.34.92.68.43.61.93.75.75.41.70.30.10.20.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/11100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland 14 LA Chargers 38 -1.9
Miami 31 Chicago 28 +0.1
Oakland 3 Seattle 27 +0.1
Minnesota 27 Arizona 17 +0.1
Houston 20 Buffalo 13 +0.0
NY Jets 42 Indianapolis 34 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Green Bay vs San Francisco+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/18100.0*Lottery seed
LA Chargers vs Tennessee-1.0+0.2+2.2
Kansas City vs Cincinnati+0.2-0.3-0.3
Chicago vs New England-0.0-0.1+0.1
Miami vs Detroit+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1410-0-07326001
13.59-0-1702801
139-1-0394750000800
8-0-257412
12.58-1-131471110011
128-2-0940174200028000
7-1-213411841230
11.57-2-132821960032010
117-3-0010913921048450000
6-2-201691382144330
10.56-3-10331312520418130100
5-2-3100
106-4-000045621261628282000
5-3-210657312416283610
9.55-4-10011732714307207100
95-5-000002121613132023134100000
4-4-210312171314182113410
8.54-5-1001020118722271982000
84-6-00000100021511192219136200000
3-5-201001161120211612731
7.53-6-100000000281725241561000
2-5-3100
73-7-00000000001381521221710410000
2-6-2111012212417933
6.52-7-1000015132326209200
62-8-0000000261322251993000
1-7-2101515282183
5.51-8-101618282715410
51-9-0000141123302281
0-8-25050
4.50-9-10172538237
40-10-000018264024
Total:2744321119611476433322111100000000