Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.003 to 52.4%
4-3-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Kansas City 34 St. Louis 7 +5.4
+0.2
+0.4
Cincinnati 27 Baltimore 24 -1.3
+0.1
-0.1
Tennessee 16 Houston 30 -1.1
-0.1
Pittsburgh 51 Indianapolis 34 -0.8
+0.1
-0.0
Denver 35 San Diego 21 +0.8
+0.0
NY Jets 23 Buffalo 43 -0.6
-0.0
Cleveland 23 Oakland 13 -0.4
-0.0
New England 51 Chicago 23 -0.4
-0.0
Jacksonville 13 Miami 27 -0.3
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Kansas City vs NY Jets+3.9-12.5-20.1
+0.3-1.2-1.6
+0.3-0.8-1.4
Miami vs San Diego+1.2-2.0-1.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.5+1.5+1.8
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia-1.0+1.2+1.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.2-1.5-0.1
+0.3*-0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.3*+0.2+1.0
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
New England vs Denver-0.2-0.9+0.2
+0.2-0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.6+0.3-0.3
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Kansas City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
139-0-0In9320510,121,204
12.58-0-1In64121023059,574
128-1-0100.0%491720330058,391,014
7-0-2In5215231163
11.57-1-1100.01419715630303,986
117-2-099.5714925910100146,281,279
6-1-2In6121016110712
10.56-2-193.902635033600657,669
5-1-3In50502
106-3-075.601332939195000206,741,652
5-2-276.7033304018501,266
9.55-3-130.100152437257100787,341
4-2-3Out1001
95-4-011.700011102632217100180,779,756
4-3-211.2119253422711,228
8.54-4-10.5000041834301210563,091
3-3-3Out1001
84-5-00.1000017223527800100,784,571
3-4-2Out142038288703
7.53-5-10.000042244280246,711
2-4-3Out1001
73-6-00.00000110374840035,575,632
2-5-2Out02834496221
6.52-6-1Out0221707064,351
62-7-0Out000962272007,616,181
1-6-2Out14592737
5.51-7-1Out036232308,903
51-8-0Out0126512020890,726
0-7-2Out2550254
4.50-8-1Out020472760508
40-9-0Out022043314101,816
Total:52.4%64312215121087641000749,980,304

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Kansas City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandBaltimoreSan DiegoPittsburghBuffaloCincinnatiHoustonMiamiClevelandTennesseeJacksonvilleNY JetsOakland
139-0-015.6%9501110010010000
12.58-0-113.3770754012122100
128-1-011.866010750131331000
7-0-215.3671137513121
11.57-1-18.03421911101363552000
117-2-06.520422131223636520000
6-1-26.21832316102473563
10.56-2-14.2362415152474663000
5-1-3No5050
106-3-03.31519121324535420000
5-2-23.2061912152453342
9.55-3-11.2027661221211000
4-2-3No
95-4-00.50132201111100000
4-3-20.703220011100
8.54-4-10.0000000000000
3-3-3No
84-5-00.000000000000000
3-4-2No
7.53-5-1No0
2-4-3No
73-6-00.000000000
2-5-2No
4-6.5No
Total:3.4%10.62.511.06.97.10.92.03.11.82.72.61.20.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City 34 St. Louis 7 -0.9
Tennessee 16 Houston 30 +0.1
Cincinnati 27 Baltimore 24 +0.1
Cleveland 23 Oakland 13 +0.1
NY Jets 23 Buffalo 43 +0.1
Arizona 24 Philadelphia 20 -0.0
New England 51 Chicago 23 -0.0
Tampa Bay 13 Minnesota 19 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.5+1.4+2.7
New England vs Denver-0.2+0.2+0.2
Miami vs San Diego-0.1+0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.0-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.0+0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Arizona+0.0-0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
139-0-0692420050
12.58-0-14223120102300
128-1-014351342000312000
7-0-213391142311
11.57-1-1212127701524300
117-2-006310632040191001000
6-1-206398314021100
10.56-2-10002333026243026100
5-1-35050
106-3-000011230722251516710000
5-2-200330723241517610
9.55-3-100010059152628133000
4-2-3100
95-4-0000000012892226199310000
4-3-20011810222719730
8.54-4-1000000041325282082000
3-3-3100
84-5-0000000003920262313410000
3-4-201382025241441
7.53-5-100002821312511200
2-4-3100
73-6-00000000282028241241000
2-5-201101726271350
6.52-6-1000210263321710
62-7-0000031225302082000
1-6-23161446193
5.51-7-101519332812200
51-8-000016193127123000
0-7-27525
4.50-8-1216303018310
40-9-00031229331840
Total:2423211012109677765443211000000000