Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 33.4%
8-6-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City-32.6+7.3+33.8
-1.0+0.1+1.0
-1.2-0.2+1.2
Houston vs Baltimore+0.6-0.5-0.5
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Buffalo+0.2*+0.0-0.0
+0.2-0.0-0.0
Cincinnati vs Denver-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Kansas City vs San Diego+16.3-3.6-33.2
+0.5-0.2-1.0
+1.0-0.6-1.9
Houston vs Jacksonville-0.5+2.6+2.7
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.3+0.3
Baltimore vs Cleveland-0.5-0.5+1.6
-0.0*-0.0+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
New England vs Buffalo+0.2-0.4-0.4
+0.1-0.3-0.3
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Kansas City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
102-0-0In7228632,677,836
9.51-0-160.8%655345892,048
91-1-01.014839111965,891,410
0-0-20.302544246288
8.50-1-1Out1113338161644,513
80-2-0Out0530587322,175,825
Total:33.4%24102420761011,922,281,920

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Kansas City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBNew EnglandDenverIndianapolisBaltimoreCincinnatiPittsburgh
102-0-03.0%1130163319
9.51-0-11.60145194
91-1-00.000100
0-0-2No0
8-8.5No
Total:1.0%0.30.410.35.110.96.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville 21 Tennessee 13 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City+1.9+0.0-2.0
Oakland vs Buffalo-0.4-0.3+0.1
Houston vs Baltimore-0.2+0.3+0.1
San Francisco vs San Diego+0.1-0.3-0.1
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.2-0.0-0.1
Washington vs Philadelphia-0.2+0.1+0.1
Miami vs Minnesota+0.1+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay-0.1+0.0+0.0
Carolina vs Cleveland-0.1+0.0+0.0
St. Louis vs NY Giants-0.0+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs San Diego-1.2+0.8+2.5
Baltimore vs Cleveland+0.1+0.2-0.3
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.2-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.2+0.0+0.0
Houston vs Jacksonville+0.0+0.1-0.1
Miami vs NY Jets+0.0-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Philadelphia-0.1+0.1+0.1
New England vs Buffalo-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
102-0-0072127
9.51-0-1655325101
91-1-01115433460
0-0-2001239444
8.50-1-10427432340
80-2-01930401830
Total:0240917221887300