How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 16 Kansas City 23 +1.1
+0.5
+0.4
Houston 24 Denver 38 -0.4
+0.1
Oakland 21 Tennessee 42 +0.2
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs New England+1.2*-0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.0-0.0
Kansas City vs Denver+0.2-0.5-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.4
Baltimore vs NY Jets-0.0-0.0+0.4
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Tennessee vs Houston-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
123-0-0In338595,379,602,652
11.52-0-1In03979,946,036
112-1-0In0269288,722,988,504
1-0-2In0269296,131
10.51-1-1In0712910,596,165
0-0-3In1003
101-2-0In010904,514,223,378
0-1-2In10903,171
9.50-2-1In10902,689,940
90-3-0In100738,982,100
Total:In112503719,379,038,080

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeBaltimoreNew EnglandBuffaloTennesseeHoustonPittsburghClevelandIndianapolisOaklandDenver
123-0-04.8%4118111215210
11.52-0-13.13025181931320
112-1-02.9200371713272100
1-0-22.82038171326210
10.51-1-12.8001381713282100
0-0-3No6733
101-2-02.7002655227000
0-1-22.9026742260
9.50-2-12.70265522700
90-3-02.70270012700
Total:3.4%12.30.00.739.511.99.723.61.30.80.20.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!

Big Games

Week of 12/5100.0*Lottery seed
New England 16 Kansas City 23 -0.7
Houston 24 Denver 38 -0.1
Oakland 21 Tennessee 42 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/12100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs Denver-0.2+0.1+0.7
Cincinnati vs New England-0.4+0.0+0.0
Tennessee vs Houston+0.0-0.3-0.1
Baltimore vs NY Jets+0.0+0.0-0.2
New Orleans vs Indianapolis+0.0-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Chicago+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
123-0-00313254515
11.52-0-10025839
112-1-00002185128
1-0-2002185129
10.51-1-1056529
0-0-33367
101-2-00001090
0-1-201090
9.50-2-11090
90-3-0100
Total:0148213037