Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.001 to 9.2%
0-2-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Miami vs Kansas City-3.3*+0.6+5.3
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.7+0.2+1.2
Seattle vs Denver+0.7*-0.7-0.9
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs San Diego+0.4*-0.6-0.6
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+0.1*-0.4-0.2
+0.0*-0.2-0.1
NY Giants vs Houston+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
New England vs Oakland+0.1*-0.4-0.1
Cincinnati vs Tennessee+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.6-0.1
Cleveland vs Baltimore-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Kansas City vs New England+4.3*+0.2-3.9
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+1.0+0.1-0.9
San Diego vs Jacksonville-0.3*+0.1+0.6
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs Carolina-0.2*-0.1+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs Detroit-0.1*+0.5+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Oakland vs Miami-0.1*-0.5+0.1
-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Kansas City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1414-0-0In955552
1313-1-0In8316111,028
12.512-1-1In867714
1212-2-0In543460509,284
11.511-2-1In443415798
1111-3-099.9%1837224162047,516
10.510-3-199.88303072240484
1010-4-096.1212261724143000170,808
9-3-2In50502
9.59-4-190.004192120259101,514
99-5-059.20172192222135100442,166
8-4-266.7175017176
8.58-5-131.2214313252713303,643
88-6-011.40080310202520103000853,396
7-5-2Out4314437
7.57-6-13.10302823302210206,177
77-7-01.10100027162626166101,246,613
6-6-28.38214225424
6.56-7-10.2001416302915407,934
66-8-00.00000151528311741,385,750
5-7-2Out59501814522
5.55-8-10.00004183532107,583
55-9-00.0000172441271,161,457
4-8-2Out6619254416
4.54-9-1Out011242455,257
44-10-0Out0053065726,858
3-9-2Out277315
3.53-10-1Out117822,692
33-11-0Out001089328,278
2-10-2Out33673
2.52-11-1Out0694887
22-12-0Out0298101,014
1-11-2Out1001
1.51-12-1Out199178
11-13-0Out010018,982
0.50-13-1Out10016
00-14-0Out01002,109
Total:9.2%011312345679101215196,532,384

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Kansas City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeHoustonCincinnatiBuffaloDenverSan DiegoBaltimoreNew EnglandTennesseeNY JetsMiamiClevelandPittsburghIndianapolisOaklandJacksonville
1414-0-09.2%Yes
1313-1-08.99800000000000
12.512-1-114.38677
1212-2-07.788111111111110000
11.511-2-15.178222232342
1111-3-05.456445534433322201
10.510-3-12.737586836645434211
1010-4-02.8148891057665553312
9-3-2No5050
9.59-4-12.3491091168754553311
99-5-01.31667745544432211
8-4-2No331717
8.58-5-10.7334323323221101
88-6-00.30111101111111000
7-5-2No
7.57-6-10.000100000000000
77-7-00.0000000000000000
6-6-2No8
6.56-7-1No00000
66-8-00.0000000000000
5-7-2No
5.55-8-1No0
55-9-0No0000
4-8-2No
0-4.5No
Total:0.3%1.00.80.80.90.80.50.70.70.60.60.50.50.30.20.10.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Miami vs Kansas City+1.4-0.4-2.2
Detroit vs Green Bay*-0.0+0.2+0.0
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.1*+0.0+0.1
St. Louis vs Dallas-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.0-0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Tennessee+0.0*+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Houston+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+0.0*+0.3-0.0
New England vs Oakland+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Baltimore+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs New England-1.8-0.0+1.7
San Diego vs Jacksonville-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Buffalo+0.1*+0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs Detroit-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Carolina+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs New Orleans-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1414-0-09415
1313-1-0671615011
12.512-1-1642177
1212-2-02629304600500
11.511-2-129153041561
1111-3-02161820193401432000
10.510-3-11711182466118440
1010-4-00211191713410141223000
9-3-25050
9.59-4-1003415166615206910
99-5-000107614185171614831000
8-4-217501717
8.58-5-1221231129192213510
88-6-00000700031511151716127310000
7-5-2145729
7.57-6-100300027152423167300
77-7-00010000001361116181713841000
6-6-28441381382588
6.56-7-1000127172424167200
66-8-000000149162121169310
5-7-292323141499
5.55-8-10000392029241130
55-9-00000027172627164
4-8-21325625625
4.54-9-101517333312
44-10-000016224031
3-9-27133347
3.53-10-11103852
33-11-000042769
2-10-23367
2.52-11-111683
22-12-000891
1-11-2100
1.51-12-1496
11-13-00298
0.50-13-1100
00-14-00100
Total:00000112011212222333444455677899