Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances

Beat Atlanta 29-28, playoff odds up 9.1 to 94.1%
9-3-0   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 28 Kansas City 29 +7.7
+1.4
+0.7
Oakland 38 Buffalo 24 +1.2
-0.5
-0.2
Baltimore 38 Miami 6 +1.2
+0.0
Jacksonville 10 Denver 20 -1.2
-0.1
-0.1
San Diego 21 Tampa Bay 28 +0.4
+0.0
Pittsburgh 24 NY Giants 14 -0.3
-0.1
Green Bay 21 Houston 13 +0.1
New Orleans 13 Detroit 28 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Indianapolis+0.1*+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Kansas City vs Oakland+4.6+2.0-6.1
+1.6-0.5-2.2
+0.9-0.3-1.2
Miami vs Arizona-1.5+1.3+1.3
New England vs Baltimore+0.7+0.7-1.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Denver+1.1-1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs Pittsburgh+0.6+0.5-0.6
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs San Diego+0.1+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Houston-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
134-0-0In36641,572,081,063
12.53-0-1In3156134,559,168
123-1-0In869235,123,609,222
2-0-2In761324,900
11.52-1-1In33264111,108,407
1-0-3In1002
112-2-099.9%020570506,196,569,394
1-1-299.9013375907,866
10.51-2-199.20206434108,903,839
0-1-3In1001
101-3-086.9000394712103,292,528,128
0-2-285.133521413,238
9.50-3-163.41053333002,353,416
90-4-014.4113393312200649,501,436
Total:94.1%63420401241000016,861,230,080

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Kansas City finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandOaklandDenverPittsburghBaltimoreHoustonTennesseeIndianapolisMiamiBuffaloSan DiegoCincinnatiNY Jets
134-0-010.2%Yes
12.53-0-19.38700064300
123-1-08.377010106500
2-0-27.66811131160
11.52-1-15.63503325221300
1-0-3No5050
112-2-04.6200225527231500000
1-1-23.913011782531140000
10.51-2-13.1210119182028120000
0-1-3NoYes
101-3-02.50111242212197000
0-2-22.61002624820500
9.50-3-11.6000291949100
90-4-00.40008312000
Total:5.7%40.20.20.80.97.16.415.514.28.50.10.00.00.20.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/1100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta 28 Kansas City 29 -1.4
Oakland 38 Buffalo 24 +0.4
Jacksonville 10 Denver 20 +0.1
Baltimore 38 Miami 6 -0.1
Seattle 40 Carolina 7 +0.0
Arizona 31 Washington 23 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs Oakland-1.7+0.6+2.3
Tennessee vs Denver-0.2+0.2+0.2
Miami vs Arizona+0.1-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Seattle-0.1+0.0+0.0
New England vs Baltimore+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
134-0-043264
12.53-0-1328461013
123-1-0084920230
2-0-2064417320
11.52-1-10313196221
1-0-3100
112-2-00041541664500
1-1-202102170590
10.51-2-10020049153401
0-1-3100
101-3-0000000241446212100
0-2-22013502150
9.50-3-1384212324000
90-4-00177661720000
Total:05221210003651115100000