Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.8 to 40.3%
3-3-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver 35 San Diego 21 +0.8
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Kansas City vs St. Louis+5.4-8.0-13.8
+0.2-0.3-0.4
+0.4-0.5-0.9
Tennessee vs Houston+1.7+0.8-1.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-1.6-0.5+0.9
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.7*+0.0+1.8
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-1.4*+0.3+0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
NY Jets vs Buffalo+0.8*+0.2-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami+0.7-0.5-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
New England vs Chicago-0.4*-0.3+0.8
-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Kansas City vs NY Jets+5.2-9.1-16.0
+0.2-0.3-0.5
+0.4-0.6-1.2
Miami vs San Diego+1.7-2.3-1.3
+0.1*-0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.2-0.0
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.7+2.1+2.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia-1.1+0.6+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.5*-0.1+1.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-1.0-1.1+0.5
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.0
New England vs Denver-0.3-0.7+0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.2*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Kansas City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1310-0-0In75181061,139,253
12.59-0-1In4726302407,993
129-1-0100.0%30287035008,811,920
8-0-2In4211113719
11.58-1-1100.0819111583055,798
118-2-099.74121226280030,565,490
7-1-2In313122646160
10.57-2-197.302535927300171,465
107-3-087.70133433811100061,100,797
6-2-287.203241411120421
9.56-3-159.20011642319100295,683
96-4-033.7000162737227100077,851,361
5-3-236.11629381951595
8.55-4-16.6006233525910318,444
4-3-3Out1001
85-5-01.9000211263221710065,933,823
4-4-22.102829321991574
7.54-5-10.0001723362670221,930
74-6-00.0000021127362130037,566,707
3-5-2Out1132835193280
6.53-6-1Out001103544100099,579
2-5-3Out1001
63-7-0Out000419433050014,194,670
2-6-2Out51651262121
5.52-7-1Out053844121028,060
52-8-0Out002164432703,403,929
1-7-2Out111637261119
4.51-8-1Out0634411624,420
41-9-0Out021540358467,870
0-8-2Out2525504
3.50-9-1Out4254526295
30-10-0Out0211454251,742
Total:40.3%222118161412108752100302,293,424

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Kansas City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisDenverBaltimoreNew EnglandSan DiegoMiamiBuffaloCincinnatiPittsburghClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
1310-0-08.9%9310130110000000
12.59-0-17.4724039153110100
129-1-06.1586141326411110000
8-0-210.55355325
11.58-1-13.827114922498211200
118-2-03.2161351124410932220000
7-1-25.01610312286693133
10.57-2-12.12187162531093222000
107-3-01.81187172038722120000
6-2-23.30156162149922110
9.56-3-11.00146141324311110000
96-4-00.60939712211000000
5-3-20.2104980110111
8.55-4-10.121210000000000
4-3-3No
85-5-00.0101000000000000
4-4-2No101
7.54-5-10.00000000
74-6-00.00000000000000
3-5-2No
3-6.5No
Total:1.1%3.87.52.87.08.71.23.32.91.00.70.60.60.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.9+0.8+2.2
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.1-0.0-0.2
Tennessee vs Houston-0.2+0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1+0.0-0.0
NY Jets vs Buffalo-0.1*-0.0+0.1
New England vs Chicago-0.0-0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Seattle+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.8+0.9+2.4
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.0-0.1-0.1
Miami vs San Diego-0.0+0.2+0.0
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.1-0.0-0.1
New England vs Denver-0.0+0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.0+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Arizona+0.0-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1310-0-0413417110060
12.59-0-12324242302410
129-1-05251811700296000
8-0-25371111325
11.58-1-11810911114611300
118-2-0032108420283471000
7-1-2321175224396
10.57-2-100232302238244300
107-3-0000112305371919930000
6-2-20122073322191020
9.56-3-100010115142823143000
96-4-000000000642312221910310000
5-3-2164251222188300
8.55-4-100000631426261661000
4-3-3100
85-5-00000002028182422146200000
4-4-20202918282013520
7.54-5-100000310202723124100
74-6-000000000261422241910410000
3-5-21415252516951
6.53-6-100151426281871000
2-5-3100
63-7-000013102026221251000
2-6-2191827308421
5.52-7-100312253021810
52-8-0000031021282311300
1-7-21616322116
4.51-8-10141631301530
41-9-00014153031163
0-8-2252550
3.50-9-1113323915
30-10-0003174337
Total:0111111051361057776654432211100000