Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances

Beat Oakland 24-7, playoff odds up 4.1 to 98.8%
6-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 +1.8
+0.9
+0.3
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +0.3
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +0.2
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +0.2
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 -0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +0.1
New England 30 New Orleans 27 -0.1
-0.1
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 +0.1
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.3
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis-0.1*+0.1+0.1
+0.3*+0.3-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Kansas City vs Houston+0.4*+0.1-2.2
+0.4*-0.8-2.6
+0.1-0.2-0.6
Tennessee vs San Francisco-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs San Diego+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Cleveland+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Cincinnati+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Miami vs Buffalo-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Denver+0.9*+0.4-1.0
+0.2+0.0-0.3
Arizona vs Seattle+0.2*+0.2-0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.2*-0.4-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Kansas City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16In10089,888*
159-1-0In98101403,154
8-0-2In991159
14.58-1-1In9710221,275
7-0-3In1001
148-2-0In8650010838,064
7-1-2In8966488
13.57-2-1In76701638,948
6-1-3In5013388
137-3-0In5015103301,002,931
6-2-2In55131300787
12.56-3-1In34182046040,289
5-2-3In50104010
126-4-0100.0%1416606310769,512
5-3-2In141761621716
11.55-4-1In5116076126,427
4-3-3In25754
115-5-099.7146278800395,197
4-4-299.515827770401
10.54-5-199.201317815111,317
3-4-3In1006
104-6-088.00011503611100138,001
3-5-289.921464182119
9.53-6-178.800344418303,120
93-7-031.4007243324920031,881
2-6-231.89234518522
8.52-7-116.131431301940539
82-8-00.801516302915404,844
1-7-2Out4040205
7.51-8-1Out101439241249
71-9-0Out31027351940406
60-10-0Out0113343615312
Total:98.8%499203531000000003,818,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Kansas City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandCincinnatiMiamiTennesseeBaltimoreClevelandNY JetsSan DiegoBuffaloPittsburghOaklandHoustonJacksonville
15.5-1628.4%Yes
159-1-028.29900000000000
8-0-233.3Yes
14.58-1-127.998000000000000
7-0-3YesYes
148-2-026.590022201210000000
7-1-228.194011011100
13.57-2-125.38404341132000000
6-1-312.563131313
137-3-021.965065822630001000
6-2-220.2680558225300000
12.56-3-119.2510881133851001000
5-2-320.060102010
126-4-016.0301111116441171011000
5-3-216.631212111645971011
11.55-4-113.917212141955139101100
4-3-3No25252525
115-5-011.9541416215514101112000
4-4-214.56314161957159211100
10.54-5-111.1151517215414111112000
3-4-3No17501717
104-6-09.606151817541181011000
3-5-213.451625155310911
9.53-6-17.951517165486101100
93-7-03.237862122000000
2-6-2No14514
8.52-7-11.915621110
82-8-00.0000000000
1-7-2No
6-7.5No
Total:20.8%58.51.16.76.69.12.22.26.24.00.60.20.40.70.10.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.5
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs Houston-0.2+0.4+1.3
Indianapolis vs Denver-0.4-0.0+0.5
NY Jets vs New England-0.1-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
159-1-0971101
8-0-2991
14.58-1-1953102
7-0-3100
148-2-0778500010
7-1-281866
13.57-2-1621470016
6-1-3501338
137-3-034161511003300
6-2-237181211300
12.56-3-116181622004600
5-2-310401040
126-4-059133600062110
5-3-2591345016111
11.55-4-115656107151
4-3-32575
115-5-0012351206998000
4-4-201226126710600
10.54-5-10012210473215110
3-4-38317
104-6-000001102624314102000
3-5-221252136583
9.53-6-1000430232116510
93-7-0000016101519231672000
2-6-299141823189
8.52-7-13013616291711400
82-8-0011410172420157200
1-7-240202020
7.51-8-14161422102210
71-9-001171328201874
60-10-01282022221951
Total:4188120003322010000000000000000