Denver Broncos Playoff Chances

Beat Jacksonville 35-19, playoff odds up 5.6 to 96.4%
6-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 +1.5
+0.4
+0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +0.4
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +0.4
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +0.4
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +0.3
New England 30 New Orleans 27 -0.1
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 +0.1
-0.5
-0.1
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 +0.1
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis-0.2*+0.3+0.1
+0.2*+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis vs Denver-2.0+1.9+2.3
-1.5*+0.2+1.8
-0.4+0.1+0.5
Tennessee vs San Francisco-0.3+0.4+0.5
Miami vs Buffalo-0.2*+0.4+0.3
Jacksonville vs San Diego+0.3*+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Cleveland+0.1*+0.2-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.2*+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Cincinnati+0.1*+0.0-0.2
Kansas City vs Houston-0.3+0.9+1.6
-0.1+0.2+0.4
NY Jets vs New England+0.1*-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16In10027,443*
159-1-0In10000174,880
8-0-2In10036
14.58-1-1In950410,432
148-2-0In824014519,378
7-1-2In8938282
13.57-2-1In68502627,365
6-1-3In80205
137-3-0In421310440883,074
6-2-2In4610044604
12.56-3-1In25121061039,920
5-2-3In13888
126-4-0100.0%912407510948,260
5-3-2In101320740723
11.55-4-1In363086136,680
4-3-3In1008
115-5-099.60231821100672,476
4-4-299.5031184111561
10.54-5-199.1011080161021,099
3-4-3In1002
104-6-087.20000473911100320,269
3-5-287.14245120241
9.53-6-178.700344518308,044
2-5-333.333673
93-7-033.00072635238100101,576
2-6-239.41102835151071
8.52-7-118.3316353113201,789
1-6-3In1001
82-8-01.60262032261120020,504
1-7-2Out2331318813
7.51-8-1Out41425312040256
71-9-0Out01416323114302,428
6.50-9-1Out7204027715
60-10-0Out0414333712434
Total:96.4%297205162100000003,818,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityIndianapolisNew EnglandCincinnatiMiamiTennesseeBaltimoreClevelandNY JetsSan DiegoBuffaloPittsburghOaklandHoustonJacksonville
15.5-1623.0%Yes
159-1-023.11000000000000
8-0-230.6Yes
14.58-1-122.3961110010000
148-2-020.886032311210000000
7-1-227.0922112110
13.57-2-118.974546124300010
6-1-320.0Yes
137-3-015.6550971023751001000
6-2-213.456117922841000
12.56-3-112.9370111015341071011000
5-2-325.013131325131313
126-4-010.3201131319441381012000
5-3-211.52311212184415820100
11.55-4-18.891141423451691012000
4-3-312.5251313132513
115-5-07.7331616235515101012000
4-4-26.1311617225615102110
10.54-5-17.413161623551610101200
3-4-3No5050
104-6-06.104171819451171001000
3-5-210.422314175512610010
9.53-6-15.331718154496100100
2-5-3No33
93-7-02.129971221000000
2-6-25.63141031333
8.52-7-10.915641010000
1-6-3NoYes
82-8-00.10100000000
1-7-2No
6-7.5No
Total:12.6%36.51.110.610.114.03.13.39.35.80.80.20.41.10.10.20.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.3
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis vs Denver+0.8-0.2-0.9
Kansas City vs Houston+0.1-0.3-0.8

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
159-1-098200
8-0-2100
14.58-1-193304
148-2-07210400140
7-1-2781138
13.57-2-15613500260
6-1-3602020
137-3-026161311004400
6-2-23016100044
12.56-3-112141111006100
5-2-31388
126-4-02693400073210
5-3-23794207220
11.55-4-1033330080510
4-3-3100
115-5-000112110701211000
4-4-2012110070141001
10.54-5-10011100483215110
3-4-3100
104-6-000000002324336121000
3-5-22023378121
9.53-6-1000430232216410
2-5-33367
93-7-00001710163221103100
2-6-2110141423181414
8.52-7-131159212516921
1-6-3100
82-8-00023112024191362100
1-7-283131823
7.51-8-1151324241812300
71-9-00014101723201563100
6.50-9-172040277
60-10-003916252314630
Total:2276120004655121000000000000000