Denver Broncos Playoff Chances

Beat Miami 39-36, playoff odds up 9.2 to 91.2%
8-3-0   .727

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver 39 Miami 36 +10.9
+1.6
+0.8
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 +3.0
+1.3
+0.6
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 -0.5
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 -0.5
-0.0
Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 3 -0.1
-0.0
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22 +0.1
New England 34 Detroit 9 -0.2
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
New Orleans vs Baltimore+0.9*-1.9-0.6
+0.2*-0.3-0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs NY Jets-0.1*-0.7+0.3
-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Kansas City vs Denver-5.5*+0.1+7.7
-1.9*+0.2+2.6
-0.8+0.2+1.1
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.1-2.7+0.2
-0.1*+0.2+0.2
+0.0-0.2-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati+0.9*+0.5-0.4
+0.2*-0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Buffalo vs Cleveland+0.5*+0.6-0.5
NY Jets vs Miami+0.8*+0.1-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans-0.4*-1.4+0.5
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Houston vs Tennessee-0.1*-0.7+0.4
-0.0-0.1+0.0
St. Louis vs Oakland-0.0*-0.4+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.1*-0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs New England+0.2*-0.3-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs Seattle+0.1*+1.6-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
135-0-0In5446305,976
12.54-0-1In55451,114
124-1-0In247511,165,314
3-0-2In1002
11.53-1-1In135723163,169
113-2-0100.0%64328219101,634,029
2-1-2In2550254
10.52-2-198.00631172914203,229
102-3-090.002181329279101,040,740
9.51-3-127.92721732291111,293
91-4-09.413052033261020289,451
8.50-4-1Out42243264159
80-5-0Out018284220027,664
Total:91.2%123915414732210004,472,144

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandIndianapolisKansas CityCincinnatiBaltimorePittsburghMiamiClevelandSan DiegoHoustonBuffalo
12.5-1313.7%Yes
124-1-013.199000000000
3-0-2NoYes
11.53-1-110.97003535343210
113-2-09.049011848554320
2-1-2No7525
10.52-2-14.86217161112968731
102-3-04.22320171010756631
9.51-3-11.217533322100
91-4-00.402221111000
8-8.5No
Total:8.7%51.10.88.86.94.15.33.53.23.02.81.30.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Denver 39 Miami 36 -1.4
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 -1.1
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 +0.1
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 +0.0
New England 34 Detroit 9 +0.0
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Buffalo vs NY Jets+0.0+0.2-0.0
New Orleans vs Baltimore-0.1+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs Denver+1.5-0.3-2.2
Atlanta vs Arizona-0.0-0.2+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Philadelphia-0.0-0.2+0.0
Green Bay vs New England-0.1-0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Oakland+0.0+0.2-0.0
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.0*+0.3+0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington+0.0-0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.0*+0.2-0.0
NY Jets vs Miami-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Chicago+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Houston vs Tennessee+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
135-0-03519451
12.54-0-12728423
124-1-0518492610
3-0-25050
11.53-1-10131838185160
113-2-00683515132136100
2-1-2255025
10.52-2-10652717820114200
102-3-0002217130623161181000
9.51-3-1270221516282071
91-4-00130000511283016510
8.50-4-13142833212
80-5-0029253523600
Total:481920694068433221000000