"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Denver Broncos Playoff Chances

Beat Jacksonville 20-10, playoff odds up 20.4 to 67.4%
8-4-0   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville 10 Denver 20 +9.1
+0.6
+0.5
Oakland 38 Buffalo 24 +5.2
+0.2
+0.1
Baltimore 38 Miami 6 +3.1
+0.1
+0.0
Atlanta 28 Kansas City 29 -2.2
-0.3
-0.1
San Diego 21 Tampa Bay 28 +1.5
+0.1
+0.1
Pittsburgh 24 NY Giants 14 -0.5
-0.1
New England 26 Los Angeles 10 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tennessee vs Denver-16.9+5.0+14.6
-1.1*+0.0+1.0
-0.7+0.2+0.6
New England vs Baltimore+2.9+2.9-5.9
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Pittsburgh+1.0+3.4-1.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Miami vs Arizona-0.7+0.6+0.6
Kansas City vs Oakland+0.2+0.8-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs San Diego+0.4+0.3-0.3
Indianapolis vs Houston+0.0+0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
124-0-0In3324430688,740,223
11.53-0-1In31865142,169,252
113-1-099.6%051494402,669,280,085
2-0-299.9041514402,579
10.52-1-198.30002771206,250,427
1-0-3In25754
102-2-082.087417103,807,841,106
1-1-279.77731914,911
9.51-2-156.9156394005,882,541
0-1-3Out1003
91-3-013.213423591002,360,966,266
0-2-210.01039381112,299
8.50-3-13.942643224001,801,596
80-4-00.00110293520400536,444,580
Total:67.4%230194316942100010,079,385,872

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandOaklandKansas CityPittsburghBaltimoreHoustonTennesseeIndianapolisMiamiBuffaloSan DiegoCincinnati
124-0-010.0%5701121714000
11.53-0-16.42109728171700
113-1-04.7510123212015130000
2-0-23.94001222221181100
10.52-1-13.80101353210126000
1-0-325.025252525
102-2-03.01013829553000
1-1-23.4100382856200
9.51-2-12.0000311923100
0-1-3No
91-3-00.5000931100
0-2-20.5721100
8.50-3-10.1000310000
80-4-00.0000000
Total:3.2%5.20.50.10.922.617.18.96.25.50.10.00.00.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/1100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville 10 Denver 20 -0.7
Atlanta 28 Kansas City 29 +0.2
Oakland 38 Buffalo 24 -0.1
Baltimore 38 Miami 6 -0.1
Cincinnati 32 Philadelphia 14 -0.1
San Diego 21 Tampa Bay 28 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee vs Denver+1.0+0.0-0.9
New England vs Baltimore-0.1-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Oakland-0.1-0.1+0.1
NY Giants vs Dallas+0.1+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
124-0-00321774210
11.53-0-10351363214
113-1-00014104364400
2-0-2013104564400
10.52-1-1000002077102
1-0-32575
102-2-0446771800
1-1-233667200
9.51-2-101421438400
0-1-3100
91-3-05875111000
0-2-246771210
8.50-3-1041026312082000
80-4-000314272918720000
Total:021200163384253221000000