Denver Broncos Playoff Chances

Did not play, average seed unchanged at 1.8
11-3-0   .786

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/18100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs New England+1.5+2.4-0.2
+0.4+0.4-0.1
Cincinnati vs Denver-0.6*+1.2+0.5
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Arizona vs Seattle+0.3*+0.6-0.2
Houston vs Baltimore+0.2*+0.4-0.2
Dallas vs Indianapolis+0.2*+1.1-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay+0.2*+0.3-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City+0.1*-1.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver vs Oakland+0.3*-1.2-2.4
+0.1-0.3-0.5
New England vs Buffalo-0.5+2.0+1.1
-0.1+0.3+0.4
Green Bay vs Detroit-0.2*+0.1+0.3
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.3*+0.4-0.1
Baltimore vs Cleveland-0.1*-0.2+0.2
Seattle vs St. Louis-0.1*+1.5+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
132-0-0In38623,757,603
12.51-0-1In37634,184
121-1-0In4963,149,286
0-0-2In1002
11.50-1-1In13749131,464
110-2-0In1344817293,173
Total:In2176217,205,712

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeBaltimoreCincinnatiPittsburghKansas CitySan DiegoBuffaloHoustonMiami
12-1314.6%Yes
11.50-1-19.938208169712
110-2-09.43522617106130
Total:14.3%97.30.90.20.70.40.30.00.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)