Denver Broncos Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.04 to 66.7%
2-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs Denver-6.2*+1.6+7.9
-0.9*-1.1+1.1
-0.6*+0.1+0.8
Buffalo vs San Diego+1.3*-1.5-2.0
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.2
New England vs Oakland+0.3*+1.0-0.6
Miami vs Kansas City+0.3*-1.3-0.5
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.3*+0.7+0.4
-0.0*+0.6+0.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+0.2*-0.7-0.4
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Tennessee+0.1*-1.1-0.2
-0.1*+0.5+0.1
NY Giants vs Houston+0.2*-0.6-0.2
+0.2*-0.2-0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Diego vs Jacksonville-1.1*+1.2+2.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Miami-0.4*+1.2+0.5
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+0.3*-0.3-0.4
+0.1*-0.5-0.1
Baltimore vs Carolina-0.3*-0.2+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Detroit-0.3*-1.3+0.4
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs New England-0.3*+0.7+0.3
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay-0.2*+0.3+0.3
Houston vs Buffalo+0.1*-0.5-0.1
-0.0*+0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16In1001,165*
1513-1-0In10009,140
14.512-1-1In10086
1412-2-0In9730055,282
13.511-2-1In964516
1311-3-0In8613100205,220
10-2-2In1003
12.510-3-1In7722101,746
1210-4-0In59336020520,286
9-3-2In1001
11.59-4-1In4043121304,034
119-5-0100.0%2341244810954,374
8-4-2In31566616
10.58-5-199.9833361012206,510
108-6-098.3318342115720001,306,533
7-5-295.21414291424521
9.57-6-194.104273414145107,905
97-7-074.901133491715820001,352,745
6-6-279.24174241317424
8.56-7-147.0033121021209207,292
86-8-025.101191413212113510001,063,374
5-7-219.01924241955521
7.55-8-19.7090292328207104,835
75-9-04.20400131122262010300634,220
4-8-216.717173317176
6.54-9-11.011719312612202,386
64-10-00.3000029213025112280,308
3-9-2Out173333176
5.53-10-1Out0162234288786
53-11-00.000021130381890,186
2-10-2Out1001
4.52-11-1Out194149193
42-12-0Out018365519,848
3.51-12-1Out168431
31-13-0Out116832,594
20-14-0Out397690
Total:66.7%121314156665544322116,532,384

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeHoustonCincinnatiBuffaloSan DiegoBaltimoreNew EnglandTennesseeNY JetsMiamiClevelandPittsburghIndianapolisOaklandKansas CityJacksonville
14.5-1616.3%Yes
1412-2-015.910000000000000
13.511-2-116.3Yes
1311-3-015.999000000000000000
10-2-2NoYes
12.510-3-114.49800000000000
1210-4-014.792011111111100000
9-3-2NoYes
11.59-4-113.583111212212111000
119-5-011.464234433333221111
8-4-26.38866
10.58-5-19.441456656544432221
108-6-07.120678977666543222
7-5-29.514145101055141055
9.57-6-15.2578101089676643222
97-7-04.02678877565432211
6-6-2No481713488484
8.56-7-12.20446355444321001
86-8-01.30223133222211000
5-7-2No5510
7.55-8-10.31110111111100
75-9-00.2001001001000000
4-8-216.717
6.54-9-10.1000000000
64-10-00.0000000000000
3-9-2No
5.53-10-1No
53-11-0No0000
2-10-2No
2-4.5No
Total:6.0%25.33.23.84.44.23.93.93.23.23.22.62.01.30.80.80.8
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs Denver+1.4-0.4-1.8
Buffalo vs San Diego-0.2+0.2+0.3
Miami vs Kansas City-0.0+0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Houston-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Cincinnati vs Tennessee-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis+0.0*+0.1-0.0
New England vs Oakland-0.0*-0.1+0.0
St. Louis vs Dallas-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.0*+0.2+0.0
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.0*-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego vs Jacksonville+0.1*-0.1-0.2
Indianapolis vs Tennessee-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Houston vs Buffalo+0.0*+0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs Philadelphia-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Dallas vs New Orleans+0.0-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Oakland vs Miami+0.0*-0.3-0.0
NY Jets vs Detroit-0.0*+0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1513-1-09900
14.512-1-1982
1412-2-0943300
13.511-2-19154
1311-3-07511130100
10-2-2100
12.510-3-16016210100
1210-4-036233126002000
9-3-2100
11.59-4-116253761201300
119-5-051727152224071100
8-4-262550666
10.58-5-108112228710092200
108-6-003414191519396711000
7-5-21451029141955
9.57-6-100452124103111045100
97-7-000121217161799985210000
6-6-24171725448884
8.56-7-1003625021108141610410
86-8-00012170104148121413117310000
5-7-25145101424101010
7.55-8-1009000261421221572000
75-9-000400000012610141717149410000
4-8-217501717
6.54-9-110128182324155210
64-10-000000138152122179310
3-9-217501717
5.53-10-113102026241220
53-11-0000027162728164
2-10-2100
4.52-11-11313333614
42-12-0016224031
3.51-12-1102665
31-13-0042769
20-14-00892
Total:75858687333322222222222211111100