"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Denver Broncos Playoff Chances

Beat San Francisco 42-17, playoff odds up 14.9 to 87.7%
5-1-0   .833

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +5.8
+0.8
+0.5
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 +1.7
+0.1
+0.1
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 -1.1
+0.5
+0.2
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 +0.6
-0.1
+0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.5
-0.1
-0.0
Chicago 14 Miami 27 -0.5
-0.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 -0.4
New England 27 NY Jets 25 -0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs Houston+0.5+0.8-0.5
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver vs San Diego+6.2+1.1-7.4
+2.5-0.8-2.9
+0.9-0.2-1.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.5+0.9+1.3
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs Houston+0.9+0.8-0.6
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.2*+0.0+0.6
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.5-0.6+0.2
+0.5*-0.1-0.3
NY Jets vs Buffalo+0.5+0.3-0.3
Jacksonville vs Miami+0.5+0.4-0.2
New England vs Chicago-0.2+0.5+0.4
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-0.3*+0.0+0.2
+0.4*-0.1-0.2
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.0*-0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-15In1001,677,701*
149-1-0In100010,986,588
8-0-2In10047
13.58-1-1In9280064,737
138-2-0In8910002031,763,169
7-1-2In85141168
12.57-2-1In59324050164,827
6-1-3In1001
127-3-0100.0%443460150052,646,710
6-2-2In49365100344
11.56-3-1100.015352122610236,755
5-2-3In1001
116-4-099.66221954170055,363,629
5-3-299.68221873960462
10.55-4-198.1061810461820209,848
105-5-084.50279333413200038,618,871
4-4-289.02683339910328
9.54-5-160.2001616372910100119,900
3-4-3In1001
94-6-024.8000341832291220018,098,329
3-5-220.023152836124170
8.53-6-15.50105183329122044,458
83-7-00.800014173230132005,632,805
2-6-2Out6174326935
7.52-7-10.000417363210010,348
72-8-00.0000052140294001,109,232
1-7-2Out2957147
6.51-8-1Out18304912001,346
61-9-0Out01134533710124,792
0-8-2Out1001
5.50-9-1Out5335110184
50-10-0Out0012383613123,090
Total:87.7%31158321105321100000216,898,784

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisBaltimoreSan DiegoNew EnglandKansas CityHoustonMiamiBuffaloCincinnatiClevelandPittsburghTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
14-1518.4%Yes
13.58-1-117.810000000000000
138-2-017.898000100000000000
7-1-220.89911
12.57-2-115.9911112111110000
6-1-3NoYes
127-3-014.478222611331110000
6-2-216.68412250111201
11.56-3-111.0504461043563220000
5-2-3NoYes
116-4-08.5288891654784220000
5-3-210.830767166586332
10.55-4-16.071112131965895320000
105-5-04.621112131664674220000
4-4-24.32131117166475222
9.54-5-12.9091011113244211000
3-4-3NoYes
94-6-01.20445511111100000
3-5-21.82316112122
8.53-6-10.21111000000000
83-7-00.000000000000000
2-6-2No
7.52-7-1No00
72-8-0No0000000
1-7-2No
5-6.5No
Total:10.3%46.74.95.25.49.02.72.03.74.11.91.20.90.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -1.0
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 -0.4
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.1
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +0.0
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.0
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.0
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 -0.0
New England 27 NY Jets 25 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Denver vs San Diego-1.7+0.3+2.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.1-0.1-0.2
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.1+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.0+0.0
New England vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1510-0-0991
14.59-0-1982
149-1-092800
8-0-2964
13.58-1-1781480000
138-2-0602990000200
7-1-25827141
12.57-2-12733293400500
6-1-3100
127-3-013312596000141000
6-2-21633288501000
11.56-3-111418181922215100
5-2-3100
116-4-00671514450261570000
5-3-20881414472515500
10.55-4-10006991001729152200
105-5-00001349082424111420000
4-4-222580924271292
9.54-5-1000161115122425123000
3-4-3100
94-6-000002104414252816510000
3-5-211331226331641
8.53-6-10000044162726155100
83-7-000000011615242517831000
2-6-2311294099
7.52-7-10013920282312310
72-8-0000000131019252213520000
1-7-21414431414
6.51-8-101515242818710
61-9-0000271725241672000
0-8-2100
5.50-9-121824291810
50-10-00016162627166100
Total:18149662301296353211100000000000000