Denver Broncos Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.06 to 92.8%
6-1-0   .857

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England vs Denver-3.9+1.2+4.4
-2.2+0.3+2.5
-0.6+0.1+0.7
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.2+0.7+1.0
-0.1+0.5+0.7
-0.0+0.2+0.2
Miami vs San Diego+0.4-0.1-0.4
+0.4*-0.1-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.1*+0.0+0.4
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.2+0.3+0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.0-0.4-0.0
+0.7*-0.1-0.4
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.1+0.1+0.2
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.2*+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Arizona-0.0*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Oakland vs Denver-8.7-2.5+2.2
-3.5-1.4+0.9
-1.0-0.4+0.3
Baltimore vs Tennessee-0.1-0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.2+0.7
-0.0-0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Pittsburgh+0.5+0.2-0.2
Detroit vs Miami+0.2+0.2-0.4
Buffalo vs Kansas City+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Cleveland-0.0-0.1+0.0
+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.5-15In10019,697,724*
148-1-0In1000107,196,775
7-0-2In100343
13.57-1-1In1000542,233
6-0-3In1002
137-2-0In945001250,135,962
6-1-2In96301,182
12.56-2-1In831410201,089,982
5-1-3In1002
126-3-0100.0%612730900323,873,647
5-2-2In642530802,078
11.55-3-1100.0293914116101,189,034
4-2-3In33673
115-4-099.51128214307100255,965,942
4-3-299.71132203286001,872
10.54-4-196.01923123120400767,712
3-3-3In50502
104-5-072.70213111730197100127,905,779
3-4-275.403131118301771920
9.53-5-132.502931832259100302,006
2-4-350.050502
93-6-010.3014151629271430040,419,026
2-5-211.12405162331163262
8.52-6-11.101002123034173070,701
82-7-00.300000313323715007,782,277
1-6-2Out1624431637
7.51-7-10.000214434018,745
71-8-00.000004286350829,834
0-7-2Out33673
6.50-8-1Out112789482
60-9-0Out036628200125,463
Total:92.8%52157212532110000001,137,910,032

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Denver finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisNew EnglandBaltimoreKansas CitySan DiegoPittsburghBuffaloHoustonCincinnatiMiamiClevelandTennesseeJacksonvilleNY JetsOakland
13.5-1522.7%Yes
137-2-022.49900000000000000
6-1-221.7100000
12.56-2-121.998100000000000
5-1-350.0Yes
126-3-020.188322101111100000
5-2-222.189321111111100
11.55-3-116.968644332322210000
4-2-3No333333
115-4-013.0391278654543420000
4-3-213.743117755354442
10.54-4-19.010141011986766640000
3-3-3No5050
104-5-06.121199975545430000
3-4-25.831279710563553
9.53-5-12.5044533332221000
2-4-3No50
93-6-00.80111111111100000
2-5-20.822111220101
8.52-6-10.100000000000
82-7-00.000000000000
1-6-2No
7.51-7-1No0
71-8-00.0000000
0-7-2No
6-6.5No
Total:16.9%67.14.83.33.42.52.11.62.11.71.51.71.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Denver+1.1-0.1-1.3
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.1-0.3-0.4
Miami vs San Diego-0.2+0.0+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland vs Denver+2.0+0.8-0.5
Buffalo vs Kansas City-0.2-0.2+0.2
Baltimore vs Tennessee+0.0+0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
159-0-01000
14.58-0-11000
148-1-097300
7-0-2973
13.57-1-192800
6-0-3100
137-2-077175000010
6-1-28016300
12.56-2-15034141100200
5-1-3100
126-3-02833234300090000
5-2-2303521430800
11.55-3-1426221613110151100
4-2-3333333
115-4-011012161744025570100
4-3-211113181643235600
10.54-4-1011811121111615191400
3-3-35050
104-5-000024810171024523400000
3-4-2002481107112552040
9.53-5-100263037112825112000
2-4-35050
93-6-000122002318302512410000
2-5-222201418252614500
8.52-6-100100003122428198200
82-7-0000000001514242619820000
1-6-21124193214
7.51-7-10002821312611200
71-8-00000131224292082000
0-7-2333333
6.50-8-102828362052
60-9-00015162928165100
Total:36161155220924132110000000000000