Denver Broncos Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 50.6%
2-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland 21 NY Jets 17 +0.3
+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Baltimore vs Denver-8.1+2.5+12.8
-0.9*+0.2+1.4
-0.8+0.3+1.2
Kansas City vs San Francisco-1.2*+0.1+2.0
-0.2*+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.2
LA Rams vs LA Chargers+0.9*-1.0-1.6
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Cincinnati+0.5*+0.4-0.5
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Detroit vs New England+0.4*+0.6-0.4
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis+0.4*-0.8-0.5
+0.0*-0.3-0.0
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh+0.3*+0.5-0.5
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Houston vs NY Giants-0.2*+0.1+0.3
Miami vs Oakland-0.1*+0.7+0.2
-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Minnesota vs Buffalo+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Jacksonville vs Tennessee+0.1*-0.5-0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Dallas+0.0*-0.3-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver vs Kansas City+11.0-1.2-13.8
+1.2*-0.2-1.4
+1.1-0.1-1.3
LA Chargers vs San Francisco-1.0*+0.3+1.4
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Cincinnati+0.5*+0.6-0.5
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs Philadelphia-0.4*-0.2+0.5
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Indianapolis vs Houston-0.2*+0.1+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.3*+0.6-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Buffalo+0.1*-0.3-0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
New England vs Miami-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Jacksonville vs NY Jets+0.1*+0.1-0.1
-0.0*-0.2+0.1
Oakland vs Cleveland+0.1*-0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1614-0-0In10005,394
15.513-0-1In10017
1513-1-0In1000028,167
14.512-1-1In991299
1412-2-0In97200198,401
11-1-2In1001
13.511-2-1In96401,946
1311-3-0In87110010841,002
10-2-2In901010
12.510-3-1In80161037,617
1210-4-0100.0%6029407002,436,887
9-3-2In792128
11.59-4-1In44368111019,952
119-5-099.92136193192005,092,194
8-4-2In23412328364
10.58-5-199.79282572750037,473
108-6-095.92132415271640007,948,570
7-5-295.31132412291741127
9.57-6-186.203161922261220051,732
97-7-056.6016189232314510009,352,909
6-6-265.81522928181231117
8.56-7-125.601112112527165100052,837
86-8-09.000602920272110300008,353,592
5-7-27.541312182822103134
7.55-8-12.002001719292612300040,677
75-9-00.70100015152628176105,646,159
4-8-2Out3192630173377
6.54-9-10.10003132832185122,676
64-10-00.0000031328331942,839,535
3-9-2Out41792639423
5.53-10-1Out03163534129,196
53-11-00.0000152343291,029,264
2-10-2Out629471817
4.52-11-1Out11141472,494
42-12-0Out0042967255,614
1-11-2Out1002
3.51-12-1Out11979386
31-13-0Out0099038,686
2.50-13-1Out39730
20-14-0Out1996,110
Total:50.6%888898777665433144,320,416

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeMiamiCincinnatiJacksonvilleKansas CityBaltimoreNY JetsIndianapolisLA ChargersNew EnglandTennesseeClevelandPittsburghHoustonOaklandBuffalo
15.5-1615.3%Yes
1513-1-014.6100000
14.512-1-112.4Yes
1412-2-014.7100000000000000000
11-1-2NoYes
13.511-2-114.7100000
1311-3-014.398000000000000000
10-2-220.0Yes
12.510-3-113.99700000000000000
1210-4-012.989111111101111000
9-3-221.4Yes
11.59-4-111.880222222211111100
119-5-09.557444443323332111
8-4-29.46433552562232
10.58-5-17.436776765534443211
108-6-05.3158981086645553211
7-5-23.9147996128436662211
9.57-6-13.949981086645553211
97-7-02.31676764433332111
6-6-26.0148848245435433
8.56-7-11.00333232212121100
86-8-00.40111011101110000
5-7-2No1111111
7.55-8-10.1000000000000000
75-9-00.0000000000000000
4-8-2No
6.54-9-10.000000000
64-10-00.0000000000000
3-9-2No
5.53-10-1No
53-11-0No0
2-10-2No
2-4.5No
Total:3.7%16.63.53.83.43.83.52.52.31.62.12.12.11.40.90.50.4
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore vs Denver+1.5-0.6-2.4
Kansas City vs San Francisco+0.1-0.0-0.2
Miami vs Oakland+0.1-0.2-0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.1+0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Chicago-0.1*-0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Dallas-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Lottery seed
Denver vs Kansas City-2.1+0.3+2.6
NY Giants vs New Orleans+0.0-0.2-0.0
LA Chargers vs San Francisco+0.1+0.1-0.1
LA Rams vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1+0.1
Indianapolis vs Houston+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs NY Jets+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs Philadelphia+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Cincinnati+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1614-0-01000
15.513-0-1100
1513-1-099000
14.512-1-1991
1412-2-0953200
11-1-2100
13.511-2-191540
1311-3-0761111000100
10-2-2801010
12.510-3-16317160103
1210-4-036242724006000
9-3-2433621
11.59-4-119263158011100
119-5-05162312181301812000
8-4-29142317203283
10.58-5-1181117214702345000
108-6-002310141013118915140000
7-5-2121112121112091741
9.57-6-100341215481421511300
97-7-00011610827121119157200000
6-6-211411113715141516211
8.56-7-10013802110102222145100
86-8-000015000226131718161162100000
5-7-2413141313211315551
7.55-8-10020000271622231683100
75-9-0001000000137121719171373100000
4-8-215810161818995
6.54-9-10000271523241782000
64-10-000000138152122169310
3-9-2449304171794
5.53-10-1000271728251440
53-11-00000016152629185
2-10-21218351818
4.52-11-101412313617
42-12-00015184036
1-11-25050
3.51-12-1183359
31-13-00022176
2.50-13-11090
20-14-00595
Total:44535353635354444333332222211110