Tennessee Titans Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 28.6%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland 21 NY Jets 17 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-8.5+1.1+13.5
-0.6*-0.0+0.9
-0.9+0.2+1.5
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis+1.0*-0.8-1.3
+0.1-0.3-0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Houston vs NY Giants-0.4*+0.3+0.6
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers+0.3*+0.2-0.5
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh+0.3*+0.3-0.4
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Cincinnati+0.3*-0.1-0.4
Kansas City vs San Francisco-0.3*-0.4+0.4
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Detroit vs New England+0.3*+0.1-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs Buffalo+0.1*+0.5-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Miami vs Oakland-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Baltimore vs Denver+0.1*-0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tennessee vs Philadelphia+6.1-1.6-7.7
+0.4*-0.2-0.5
+0.7-0.1-0.9
Jacksonville vs NY Jets-0.9*-0.5+1.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Indianapolis vs Houston-0.5*-0.2+0.7
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
LA Chargers vs San Francisco-0.3*-0.2+0.5
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Cincinnati+0.3*-0.4-0.4
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Oakland vs Cleveland+0.2*-0.4-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.2*-0.5-0.2
Denver vs Kansas City-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs Buffalo+0.1*-0.2-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
New England vs Miami-0.1*+0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tennessee finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In9914,920
14.513-0-1In10026
1413-1-0In9640023,083
13.512-1-1In946246
1312-2-0In8415101164,551
11-1-2In1002
12.511-2-1In8017121,666
1211-3-0In55346050719,292
10-2-2In25588812
11.510-3-1In41381011106,449
1110-4-099.9%1937224172002,150,595
9-3-2In18371832438
10.59-4-199.68272772560017,925
8-3-3In1001
109-5-095.52122617241540004,657,934
8-4-295.262916395562
9.58-5-184.303161920261330035,037
98-6-055.7016198222414510007,527,536
7-5-256.51418627221471115
8.57-6-123.70111210242817610050,098
87-7-09.2000602102126201030009,225,311
6-6-27.771122425151031143
7.56-7-11.6020161829271430053,378
76-8-00.70100016162727165108,626,187
5-7-20.81161728212242120
6.55-8-10.10003132832185042,788
65-9-00.00000141529311746,113,005
4-8-2Out415302720484
5.54-9-1Out0031635331125,694
54-10-00.0000172441273,235,638
3-9-2Out913344432
4.53-10-1Out0112404610,560
43-11-0Out00530641,239,145
2-10-2Out178312
3.52-11-1Out0120793,070
32-12-0Out001089325,177
1-11-2Out1001
2.51-12-1Out0495582
21-13-0Out029852,527
0-12-2Out1001
1.50-13-1Out10047
10-14-0Out001007,326
Total:28.6%245756778888876544,320,416

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tennessee finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeMiamiCincinnatiJacksonvilleKansas CityDenverBaltimoreNY JetsIndianapolisLA ChargersNew EnglandClevelandPittsburghHoustonOaklandBuffalo
14.5-1512.2%Yes
1413-1-012.3100000000000000
13.512-1-115.0Yes
1312-2-012.498000000000000000
11-1-2NoYes
12.511-2-113.0970000000000000
1211-3-011.088111111111110000
10-2-216.78388
11.510-3-19.879322222211221000
1110-4-08.055545444423332111
9-3-27.95538353555333
10.59-4-16.035767666634442111
8-3-3NoYes
109-5-04.5149810877655543221
8-4-23.26511106365826115532
9.58-5-13.231089877645553211
98-6-02.01666655433332111
7-5-20.9196771376133212
8.57-6-10.80332322212211000
87-7-00.30110111101110000
6-6-20.712111111
7.56-7-10.1000000000000000
76-8-00.0000000000000000
5-7-2No1
6.55-8-1No00000000000
65-9-00.0000000000000
4-8-2No
5.54-9-1No
54-10-0No000
3-9-2No
1-4.5No
Total:1.5%6.12.52.32.42.32.12.01.81.11.41.41.20.80.40.40.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland 21 NY Jets 17 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Jacksonville vs Tennessee+1.8-0.5-2.8
Baltimore vs Denver-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Miami vs Oakland-0.0+0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Dallas+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Washington vs Green Bay-0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs Buffalo+0.0*-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/27100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee vs Philadelphia-1.7+0.3+2.2
Jacksonville vs NY Jets+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Cincinnati+0.0+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Detroit-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Indianapolis vs Houston+0.0*+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs New Orleans-0.0*-0.1+0.1
LA Chargers vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs Buffalo+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Oakland vs Cleveland-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-09901
14.513-0-1964
1413-1-09244000
13.512-1-18956
1312-2-06914140101
11-1-25050
12.511-2-1602017012
1211-3-03025313600500
10-2-217850888
11.510-3-1172433510011100
1110-4-04152214212401512000
9-3-2316241318324
10.59-4-1171116234702146000
8-3-3100
109-5-00221014121521591414000
8-4-261613152261355
9.58-5-100341115471321512300
98-6-0001169101710121915720000
7-5-212311715189221353
8.57-6-1001380219102223145100
87-7-000001600021612171916116210000
6-6-27133201518151333
7.56-7-10020000271523231683100
76-8-00010000012612171918137310000
5-7-21141419182395321
6.55-8-1000027152324178200
65-9-000000138152122179310
4-8-21151123262076
5.54-9-1000281827261441
54-10-00000026152628185
3-9-23162225313
4.53-10-100314303616
43-11-0000015194036
2-10-2422533
3.52-11-100173458
32-12-00022276
1-11-2100
2.51-12-111089
21-13-00595
0-12-2100
1.50-13-1496
10-14-00199
Total:11223233323344444444444444433332