Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Chances

Lost to Indianapolis 3-23, playoff odds down 0.0006 to 0%
1-10-0   .091

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 3 Out
No
-0.1
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 -0.2
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Buffalo vs NY Jets+0.0*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs NY Giants+0.2-0.0-0.2
St. Louis vs Oakland+0.1-0.2-0.2
NY Jets vs Miami-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Houston vs Tennessee+0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Jacksonville finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
65-0-0Out06494423,173
5.54-0-1Out1677631
54-1-0Out047619157,560
4.53-1-1Out69283445
43-2-0Out3553120401,701
2-1-2Out1001
3.52-2-1Out12562841,963
32-3-0Out3365291,224,335
2.51-3-1Out1257313,523
21-4-0Out553421,617,941
0-3-2Out75254
1.50-4-1Out21792,200
10-5-0Out2179757,283
Total:Out00061942344,070,160
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 +0.2
Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 3 +0.2
Chicago 21 Tampa Bay 13 -0.1
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Buffalo vs NY Jets-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs NY Giants-0.7-0.1+0.4
St. Louis vs Oakland-0.1-0.0+0.2
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati+0.2+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Tennessee-0.0+0.2+0.1
NY Jets vs Miami+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
65-0-00314293017610
5.54-0-1313293519
54-1-000416333113200
4.53-1-11123240132
43-2-00021336351210
2-1-2100
3.52-2-101113837121
32-3-0021839329
2.51-3-12215225
21-4-0053262
0-3-27525
1.50-4-12179
10-5-00100
Total:0000001249152346