Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.01 to 8.7%
0-2-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis+4.1-2.3-4.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.9-0.4-0.9
NY Giants vs Houston+0.7*+0.0-0.5
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Cincinnati vs Tennessee+0.2*+0.0-0.3
New England vs Oakland-0.1*-0.1+0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.1*-0.2+0.2
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Denver+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Miami vs Kansas City-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Cleveland vs Baltimore+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs San Diego-0.0*-0.2+0.0
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Diego vs Jacksonville-2.9-0.8+5.5
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.6-0.0+1.2
Houston vs Buffalo-0.3*-0.4+0.4
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+0.2*-0.0-0.3
Baltimore vs Carolina-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Kansas City vs New England+0.2*-0.3-0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs Detroit-0.2*+0.2+0.2
Oakland vs Miami+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Jacksonville finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1414-0-0In9912,664
13.513-0-1In1001
1313-1-0In945003,157
12.512-1-1In7918338
1212-2-0In7321204029,908
11.511-2-1In4935708346
1111-3-0100.0%34371111710169,725
10-2-2In1001
10.510-3-199.9112825429301,731
1010-4-098.75202583110100654,701
9-3-2In7202774015
9.59-4-190.5051716272581006,303
99-5-073.402101618281961001,816,498
8-4-270.4197301526427
8.58-5-129.5021021529261230015,693
88-6-014.9016172028231130003,754,977
7-5-212.06626281612650
7.57-6-11.60100210233123920028,633
77-7-00.80100141224282092005,852,232
6-6-2Out11212521227195
6.56-7-10.10015163029154038,663
66-8-00.00000282031261126,911,750
5-7-2Out2142234227101
5.55-8-1Out0041736331138,853
4-7-3Out1001
55-9-00.00000292840216,169,100
4-8-2Out111533382180
4.54-9-1Out00112414628,398
44-10-0Out001634594,086,077
3-9-2Out4385848
3.53-10-1Out01188115,188
33-11-0Out00013871,952,965
2-10-2Out5108621
2.52-11-1Out05955,337
22-12-0Out0397635,411
1-11-2Out1003
1.51-12-1Out1991,123
11-13-0Out00100126,822
0.50-13-1Out199121
00-14-0Out010013,911
Total:8.7%0112233456781012151932,360,768

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Jacksonville finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeHoustonCincinnatiBuffaloDenverSan DiegoBaltimoreNew EnglandTennesseeNY JetsMiamiClevelandPittsburghIndianapolisOaklandKansas City
13.5-146.9%Yes
1313-1-08.4990000000000
12.512-1-12.6973
1212-2-07.294010111000000000
11.511-2-14.98411211111111110
1111-3-05.571243433212121011
10-2-2NoYes
10.510-3-13.538776856423353121
1010-4-03.025897966534343122
9-3-26.72713713777137
9.59-4-11.75101091086745454122
99-5-01.32998866534443121
8-4-2No41111411154444
8.58-5-10.60343423212121010
88-6-00.30122211101111000
7-5-2No22242
7.57-6-10.000000000000000
77-7-00.0000000000000000
6-6-2No
6.56-7-1No00000000000
66-8-00.0000000000000
5-7-2No
5.55-8-1No
55-9-0No00
4-8-2No
0-4.5No
Total:0.2%1.10.90.90.80.80.60.70.60.30.40.40.40.30.10.20.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis-1.7+0.4+1.7
St. Louis vs Dallas+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Miami vs Kansas City-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs San Diego+0.0*+0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Houston+0.1-0.0-0.0
Detroit vs Green Bay-0.0+0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Baltimore+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego vs Jacksonville+1.2-0.3-2.3
Minnesota vs Atlanta+0.0+0.2-0.0
Houston vs Buffalo-0.1+0.2+0.1
San Francisco vs Philadelphia+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Oakland vs Miami+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Dallas vs New Orleans-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay-0.1+0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Carolina-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1414-0-09911
13.513-0-1100
1313-1-075195000
12.512-1-15524183
1212-2-03241183200400
11.511-2-1212829670081
1111-3-043016209210143100
10-2-2100
10.510-3-111081919640236300
1010-4-00521881662121982100
9-3-2720131372713
9.59-4-10054141158201968100
99-5-0002010511117722119420000
8-4-2194430151974
8.58-5-1002290211410202113510
88-6-00010601072712161614105210000
7-5-2662412182412124
7.57-6-10010000271623231682000
77-7-000100000014813171816116310000
6-6-224913122217147
6.56-7-1000028162424167200
66-8-00000002511172120147200
5-7-226121528181082
5.55-8-100392028241230
4-7-3100
55-9-000000139182725144
4-8-213914303095
4.54-9-101417333313
44-10-000018233929
3-9-2213194423
3.53-10-10193753
33-11-000052868
2-10-2101971
2.52-11-111584
22-12-000991
1-11-2100
1.51-12-10397
11-13-00298
0.50-13-1298
00-14-000100
Total:0001010101121122223344445667891011