Jacksonville Jaguars Playoff Chances

Lost to Indianapolis 26-29, playoff odds down 1.8 to 0.7%
3-6-0   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis 29 Jacksonville 26 -1.5
-0.5
Tennessee 34 New England 10 -0.3
-0.1
Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 +0.2
Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 -0.1
Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20 -0.1
Green Bay 31 Miami 12 +0.1
+0.0
Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16 -0.1
NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh+1.0+0.1-0.4
+1.0-0.0-0.4
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Washington vs Houston+0.1-0.0-0.1
Baltimore vs Cincinnati-0.0+0.1+0.1
LA Chargers vs Denver+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Jacksonville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
107-0-094.0%04242011346008,454,342
9.56-0-177.30818347203060,406
96-1-033.6016125511510094,648,077
5-0-237.2192255391196
8.55-1-110.700209333816300602,020
85-2-01.200001183831111000469,126,219
4-1-21.10117373112101,603
7.54-2-10.0001103138183002,441,043
3-1-3Out142943147
74-3-00.000000418373191001,251,901,268
3-2-2Out021538341014,890
6.53-3-1Out00110363913105,099,770
2-2-3Out38638
63-4-0Out00042542235001,937,423,605
2-3-2Out04234324507,769
5.52-4-1Out003214229505,800,019
1-3-3Out4040205
52-5-0Out0011236381301,734,046,578
1-4-2Out11135391415,670
4.51-5-1Out019424623,374,738
0-4-3Out1002
41-6-0Out00531559827,784,774
0-5-2Out032759111,567
3.50-6-1Out047817783,080
30-7-0Out036136162,081,912
Total:0.7%0000002469141717161226,503,649,568

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Jacksonville finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityNew EnglandPittsburghLA ChargersHoustonTennesseeBaltimoreCincinnatiIndianapolisMiamiDenverClevelandNY JetsBuffaloOakland
107-0-00.4%42101317238942100000
9.56-0-10.30212121420562210000
96-1-00.10188572211000000
5-0-2No1106782221
8.55-1-10.000321310000000
85-2-00.0000000000000000
4-1-2No00000
7.54-2-10.000000000000
3-1-3No
74-3-00.00000000000000
3-2-2No
3-6.5No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.20.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/8100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis 29 Jacksonville 26 +1.0
Tampa Bay 3 Washington 16 -0.1
NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41 -0.1
Philadelphia 20 Dallas 27 +0.1
Green Bay 31 Miami 12 +0.1
Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 -0.1
Tennessee 34 New England 10 +0.0
Chicago 34 Detroit 22 -0.0
Kansas City 26 Arizona 14 -0.0
LA Rams 36 Seattle 31 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Francisco vs NY Giants+0.1+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/15100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh-2.2+0.2+1.0
NY Giants vs Tampa Bay-0.1+0.0+0.2
Atlanta vs Dallas+0.1+0.1-0.1
LA Chargers vs Denver-0.1+0.1+0.1
Washington vs Houston+0.1+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Carolina+0.1+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+0.0+0.1-0.0
LA Rams vs Kansas City+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
107-0-000412312847296600
9.56-0-100891013291820300
96-1-00011601519481530000
5-0-211812421471331
8.55-1-10002008183225113000
85-2-0000000015182826155100000
4-1-2001616262618620
7.54-2-10000281927241341000
3-1-329144314
74-3-000000002717262515620000
3-2-20016162524187200
6.53-3-10000271929261341000
2-2-3253838
63-4-0000002921282312410000
2-3-2002820282413410
5.52-4-100014152830175100
1-3-340202020
52-5-0000028203025123000
1-4-201719302613300
4.51-5-100151935291010
0-4-35050
41-6-0000021229341940
0-5-2021126352150
3.50-6-10032144293
30-7-0000213373711
Total:0000000000012222456679999875310