Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.5 to 97.1%
5-2-0   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 +4.5
+1.2
+0.5
Pittsburgh 30 Houston 23 +1.1
+0.2
+0.1
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 +0.4
+0.1
+0.0
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 +0.3
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.2
-0.2
-0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.1
-0.2
-0.0
Chicago 14 Miami 27 -0.1
-0.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 -0.1
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 -0.1
+0.6
+0.1
New England 27 NY Jets 25 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-2.5-1.1+1.4
-2.3-1.3+1.3
-0.5-0.2+0.3
Tennessee vs Houston+1.2-0.4-0.8
+0.1*-0.3-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Denver vs San Diego+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+1.1-0.5-0.5
+0.1-0.1-0.0
New England vs Chicago-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.0*-0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.0*-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
149-0-0In9375,480,769
13.58-0-1In8911029,148
138-1-0In72271023,643,258
7-0-2In673357
12.57-1-1In553960110,838
127-2-0100.0%365014100044,232,933
6-1-2In3754800230
11.56-2-1100.01348353000180,816
116-3-0100.07384410000047,016,753
5-2-2In73746900296
10.55-3-199.801355281100163,109
4-2-3In1001
105-4-098.808444322100031,286,278
4-3-297.8083945242231
9.54-4-191.802164156200089,169
94-5-084.800136714762000013,504,968
3-4-281.515633835292
8.53-5-159.4256017131361030,595
83-6-051.701500031016135103,780,260
2-5-254.55055231822
7.52-6-124.202402132626816,366
72-7-018.7019001620312120659,315
1-6-233.333673
6.51-7-13.84152845161755
61-8-02.220021749272064,749
5.50-8-1Out246310241
50-9-0Out012254212015,988
Total:97.1%24292517011110000000170,297,040

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeBaltimoreDenverSan DiegoNew EnglandKansas CityMiamiBuffaloCincinnatiPittsburghClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
149-0-021.9%Yes
13.58-0-121.71000000000000
138-1-020.999000000000000000
7-0-228.1Yes
12.57-1-119.9940010100111000
127-2-018.486013131122110000
6-1-214.891122100001
11.56-2-115.162137262255430000
116-3-013.6452510292366540000
5-2-217.2443711391355520
10.55-3-110.514410164133499770000
4-2-3NoYes
105-4-09.685121841333810770000
4-3-29.183122359238898
9.54-4-18.00515214123389650000
94-5-07.30415214113378630000
3-4-29.8792011143511731
8.53-5-14.9312162822564000
83-6-04.5031014272145400000
2-5-24.59914995
7.52-6-12.11560311232
72-7-01.61451210222000
1-6-2No33
6.51-7-10.411100000
61-8-00.20000000000
5-5.5No
Total:14.6%53.22.05.39.02.06.51.71.84.34.73.53.00.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 -1.0
Pittsburgh 30 Houston 23 -0.2
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 -0.1
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.1
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 +0.1
New England 27 NY Jets 25 +0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+1.1+0.5-0.6
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.2+0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1+0.0+0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.0-0.0-0.1
Denver vs San Diego+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
149-0-090370
13.58-0-179101100
138-1-05418261100
7-0-25116304
12.57-1-12728363600
127-2-0122439111301000000
6-1-2112644108000
11.56-2-11122424333300000
116-3-00714243681000000000
5-2-2071622397900
10.55-3-1001123026280111000
4-2-3100
105-4-000071926421012110000
4-3-2007142644101302
9.54-4-102185860124431000
94-5-000011254130113354210000
3-4-231250131215831
8.53-5-102362100115101284100
83-6-00012327000014912117310000
2-5-24195523514
7.52-6-10618001512202012410
72-7-0021600001410182116831000
1-6-2333333
6.51-7-1041112213119920
61-8-00200039202722124100
5.50-8-125154122510
50-9-002923302310200
Total:14111811178152000000000000000000000000