Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 82%
6-4-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 +0.3
+0.3
+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+3.1-12.2-17.3
+0.3-0.7-1.5
+0.3-0.8-1.4
Houston vs Cincinnati-4.1-3.6+6.6
-0.2-0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.2+0.3
New Orleans vs Baltimore+0.3-0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Denver vs Miami+0.2+0.2-0.2
-0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Cleveland+0.1*-0.1-0.1
San Diego vs St. Louis-0.0+0.1+0.1
New England vs Detroit-0.1+0.1+0.2
Minnesota vs Green Bay+0.1*+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis vs Washington+3.9-10.0-12.0
+0.4-0.6-1.1
+0.3-0.6-1.0
Houston vs Tennessee-2.8-1.4+9.8
-0.1-0.1+0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.5
NY Jets vs Miami+0.5+0.3-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Denver-0.2+0.1+0.3
+0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati+0.2+0.2-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Cleveland+0.1-0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs San Diego+0.0-0.2-0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Green Bay vs New England+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
126-0-0In2256211680,728,160
11.55-0-1In20542422,670,745
115-1-0In22156222,602,679,335
4-0-2In22356204,313
10.54-1-199.9%0114938110008,261,726
3-0-3In1003
104-2-096.901197412210003,816,118,522
3-1-295.90118721431010,363
9.53-2-180.1004701510720009,383,480
2-1-390.01070101010
93-3-065.60016301512115102,726,082,271
2-2-260.705802714125108,484
8.52-3-132.4032001721261224,869,434
1-2-3In1001
82-4-025.4025000211282670999,180,231
1-3-220.5210212292972,960
7.51-4-16.7700113423601,159,471
0-3-3Out1001
71-5-04.340007404810178,456,797
0-4-22.32535571346
6.50-5-10.4000147950100,335
60-6-00.10001176120012,959,348
Total:82.0%2921490123443100011,042,676,336

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandDenverKansas CityMiamiPittsburghBaltimoreCincinnatiHoustonClevelandSan DiegoBuffaloTennesseeNY Jets
126-0-010.2%78013523221200
11.55-0-19.97402463323220
115-1-06.122461215796846100
4-0-26.9254611156968451
10.54-1-15.31258151681078561
3-0-3No333333
104-2-04.318918188871045100
3-1-24.118919188977451
9.53-2-13.407817167863441
2-1-310.0102020102010
93-3-02.80661514565134100
2-2-22.56613135551330
8.52-3-11.433773330220
1-2-3NoYes
82-4-01.122652320110
1-3-20.92244232210
7.51-4-10.31111111000
0-3-3No
71-5-00.20011000000
0-4-2No10010
6.50-5-10.00000000000
60-6-00.00000000000
Total:4.3%10.45.46.413.514.06.07.05.45.83.24.30.80.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville-0.5+1.5+2.6
Houston vs Cincinnati+0.4+0.4-0.6
Denver vs Miami+0.0-0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Baltimore-0.0+0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Tennessee+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.6+1.1+2.0
Houston vs Tennessee+0.3+0.2-1.0
Kansas City vs Denver-0.0-0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.1-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.0+0.0
NY Jets vs Miami-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
126-0-022034221921
11.55-0-111920342042
115-1-002318282722
4-0-202419282720
10.54-1-1000111137380110000
3-0-33367
104-2-0000121774001112100000
3-1-201216720012221000
9.53-2-10004682011458520000
2-1-310701010
93-3-000016040001149107310000
2-2-20553002149129410
8.52-3-1025700000311212192000
1-2-3100
82-4-0018700000016182518510000
1-3-21550016182820610
7.51-4-13400172536205000
0-3-3100
71-5-013000042032251130000
0-4-212052128291121
6.50-5-10000518332812300
60-6-0000003132630197100
Total:0236913472000111232232100000000