Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.4 to 94.1%
7-4-0   .636

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis vs Washington+1.6-5.2-6.1
+0.3-0.5-1.1
+0.2-0.4-0.7
Houston vs Tennessee-1.4+0.1+4.7
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.3
NY Jets vs Miami+0.1*+0.0-0.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati+0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Denver+0.1+0.3-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Green Bay vs New England+0.1*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs Houston+4.7*-0.0-1.5
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Indianapolis-3.2-1.9+2.8
-1.0+0.2+0.9
-0.5-0.0+0.5
San Diego vs New England+0.3*+0.0-0.2
Arizona vs Kansas City+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Miami vs Baltimore+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Denver vs Buffalo-0.2+0.3+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Atlanta-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
125-0-0In1254321409,572,625
11.54-0-1In10493651,281,222
114-1-0In11152361,155,696,521
3-0-2In21352331,626
10.53-1-1In0437592,831,016
103-2-099.5%00108900000001,226,963,201
2-1-299.101088001002,543
9.52-2-192.80191013310002,201,360
1-1-3In1004
92-3-082.0008200146520606,583,384
1-2-276.507601785101,357
8.51-3-151.551001717176708,638
0-2-3Out1001
81-4-042.1420004162513139,351,032
0-3-235.93614162915192
7.50-4-111.812003246179,809
70-5-07.070022368012,281,277
Total:94.1%21024580001111103,557,555,808

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandDenverKansas CityBaltimoreCincinnatiPittsburghMiamiClevelandSan DiegoHoustonBuffalo
125-0-010.8%6701554472311
11.54-0-110.35902756573311
114-1-06.6121715131010136822
3-0-26.81515131599156812
10.53-1-15.94291913129126822
103-2-05.403112212139116732
2-1-26.303112313139106712
9.52-2-15.003112212138106602
1-1-3No252550
92-3-04.40210201011896501
1-2-23.61101791068861
8.51-3-12.816127755431
0-2-3No
81-4-02.3151066443301
0-3-22.62586323511
7.50-4-10.70132211110
70-5-00.40121111100
Total:6.1%11.71.98.217.010.910.78.210.65.26.21.91.8
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.3+0.7+1.3
Houston vs Tennessee+0.1+0.0-0.5
Kansas City vs Denver-0.1-0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.1-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.1+0.0
Baltimore vs San Diego+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/4100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland vs Indianapolis+0.9+0.1-0.8
Jacksonville vs Houston-0.5+0.0+0.2
Denver vs Buffalo+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh-0.0-0.1+0.0
Miami vs Baltimore-0.0+0.1+0.0
San Diego vs New England-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
125-0-021028262751
11.54-0-101015342985
114-1-001210213136
3-0-22211213233
10.53-1-1000453259
103-2-0000198900000000000
2-1-20110880000000
9.52-2-100191000112310000
1-1-3100
92-3-000081000000125531000
1-2-2076001367420
8.51-3-147400003101814400
0-2-3100
81-4-0384000001720235000
0-3-233317272451
7.50-4-175002184521300
70-5-043000226382151000
Total:014610145800000000111110000000