Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances

Did not play, average seed unchanged at 3.3
10-4-0   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/18100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs New England+1.0+0.7-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Indianapolis-0.4+0.4+0.3
-0.3+0.2+0.3
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.3+0.3-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver vs Oakland-0.1+1.4+1.4
-0.0+0.2+0.2
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.5*+0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.0+0.1
New England vs Buffalo-0.1+0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs San Diego-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Green Bay vs Detroit-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Cleveland-0.0+0.1+0.1
Washington vs Dallas-0.0+0.1+0.0
Seattle vs St. Louis-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-0.0+0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
122-0-0In0892480,705,661
11.51-0-1In0892592,550
111-1-0In15247520,536,407
0-0-2In25445177
10.50-1-1In3070270,650
100-2-0In010077,806,331
Total:In0466301,079,911,776

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeBaltimorePittsburghCincinnatiKansas CitySan DiegoBuffaloHoustonMiami
122-0-06.8%8281815915330
11.51-0-16.88281815915330
111-1-05.914321101014110
0-0-25.1236197151433
10.50-1-15.8431225810110
100-2-05.826162324100
Total:6.3%3.835.119.413.210.214.02.12.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)