Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 9 to 15.8%
4-5-0   .444

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville 21 Houston 24 -5.2
-0.1
-0.3
Tennessee 47 Green Bay 25 -1.5
-0.0
-0.1
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 -0.2
Carolina 17 Kansas City 20 -0.2
-0.0
NY Jets 6 Los Angeles 9 +0.1
Baltimore 28 Cleveland 7 -0.0
Pittsburgh 30 Dallas 35 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Cincinnati+0.0-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+11.6+0.7-11.4
+0.2+0.0-0.2
+1.3+0.1-1.3
Oakland vs Houston+1.7-0.5-3.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Cincinnati vs Buffalo+0.3-0.3-0.2
-0.0-0.2+0.0
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay-0.1+0.1+0.3
Los Angeles vs Miami+0.2*+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Dallas vs Baltimore+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Indianapolis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
117-0-099.9%22465342000663,769,249
10.56-0-199.4012755431003,845,067
106-1-090.3025415613810005,010,204,376
5-0-291.9025716512719,528
9.55-1-176.100422021217610024,645,217
4-0-380.05020102010
95-2-044.50014231723238100015,769,899,184
4-1-243.901422172324810050,029
8.54-2-120.70416011029281020063,412,894
3-1-328.46227182219467
84-3-09.000800315312712300026,541,629,173
3-2-27.207021431291330100,884
7.53-3-11.6020021130351830083,798,869
2-2-3Out14353521368
73-4-00.6010002153433131025,832,496,037
2-3-20.30002143435141098,579
6.52-4-10.0000011238417060,133,918
1-3-3Out4844341050
62-5-00.0000042344253014,560,954,223
1-4-2Out04244524346,421
5.51-5-1Out00642439022,227,713
0-4-3Out1020403010
51-6-0Out00115493504,406,437,880
0-5-2Out216503308,356
4.50-6-1Out006425303,315,012
40-7-0Out0011854559,999,874
Total:15.8%00670258111214141173093,607,082,688

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Indianapolis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandKansas CityOaklandDenverHoustonBaltimorePittsburghTennesseeMiamiBuffaloCincinnatiSan DiegoJacksonvilleNY JetsCleveland
117-0-02.4%2518171311323871200
10.56-0-12.012111171613324981200
106-1-01.422121716135248712000
5-0-21.322131716134248712
9.55-1-11.1011216169213660200
4-0-3No10201010101010
95-2-00.6018101042113301000
4-1-20.60181010421133010
8.54-2-10.3005660000120000
3-1-3No471014
84-3-00.1002320000010000
3-2-20.1022200000000
7.53-3-10.00010000000000
2-2-3No
73-4-00.00000000000000
2-3-20.00000000
6.52-4-10.0000000000
1-3-3No
62-5-00.00000000000
1-4-2No
4-5.5No
Total:0.2%0.30.32.73.73.41.40.60.30.41.11.20.10.30.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/10100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville 21 Houston 24 +0.5
Tennessee 47 Green Bay 25 +0.1
San Diego 24 Miami 31 +0.1
Carolina 17 Kansas City 20 -0.1
Washington 26 Minnesota 20 +0.1
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 -0.1
NY Jets 6 Los Angeles 9 +0.1
Tampa Bay 36 Chicago 10 +0.1
Baltimore 28 Cleveland 7 +0.0
Arizona 23 San Francisco 20 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Cincinnati-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis vs Tennessee-2.6-0.6+2.6
Oakland vs Houston-0.2+0.0+0.3
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.0+0.2
Minnesota vs Arizona-0.1+0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Jacksonville+0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Buffalo-0.0+0.1+0.0
Carolina vs New Orleans-0.0-0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Baltimore-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
117-0-002915579303120000
10.56-0-1002105619502230100
106-1-0000221331231493820000
5-0-200223341321393710
9.55-1-1000933156026614820000
4-0-31040201020
95-2-0000113815011681717103100000
4-1-2011381501168181793100
8.54-2-1004313000129192317720000
3-1-3631991216121561
84-3-00001800000026142122157200000
3-2-20060000261422231672000
7.53-3-1000200000271826251451000
2-2-336133228153
73-4-0001000000015122226201030000
2-3-2000141222262010300
6.52-4-10000028203026122000
1-3-3246162634102
62-5-0000000002922322591000
1-4-200029223225910
5.51-5-1000019263522610
0-4-310502020
51-6-0000014193930700
0-5-201519392970
4.50-6-1001627422220
40-7-0000063544141
Total:00002425001123335676578766532100