Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances

Beat Jacksonville 29-26, playoff odds up 1.6 to 17.1%
4-5-0   .444

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis 29 Jacksonville 26 +4.0
+0.1
+0.5
Tennessee 34 New England 10 -1.1
-0.1
Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 +0.9
+0.0
Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 -0.8
-0.0
Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20 -0.4
Green Bay 31 Miami 12 +0.3
+0.0
NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41 +0.2
+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+9.1+0.4-11.9
+0.2-0.0-0.2
+0.8+0.1-1.1
Baltimore vs Cincinnati-0.2+3.6+0.7
-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.0+0.2-0.0
Washington vs Houston+1.5-0.6-1.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh+0.7+0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
LA Chargers vs Denver-0.1+0.2+0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Indianapolis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
117-0-0100.0%01351312300113,808,283
10.56-0-199.406342982210580,209
106-1-087.100113643612100657,610,723
5-0-292.011443431801,213
9.55-1-172.40418347244002,828,581
4-0-350.050502
95-2-025.6008017382781001,564,102,541
4-1-228.9090193926615,114
8.54-2-110.9002093238162005,503,905
3-1-3Out1004
84-3-01.100001827382140001,975,724,320
3-2-21.10018293821307,620
7.53-3-10.10002133737101005,459,586
2-2-3Out331733176
73-4-00.000021436321320001,432,649,677
2-3-2Out0215393111205,652
6.52-4-1Out0022141278102,915,123
1-3-3Out50502
62-5-0Out0006233626810596,756,763
1-4-2Out06253625702,012
5.51-5-1Out01726402330794,796
51-6-0Out001103341140132,257,294
0-5-2Out2142941140258
4.50-6-1Out01134638186,665
40-7-0Out0043755312,549,219
Total:17.1%0026081316171510642006,503,649,568

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Indianapolis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityNew EnglandPittsburghLA ChargersHoustonTennesseeBaltimoreCincinnatiMiamiDenverJacksonvilleClevelandNY JetsBuffaloOakland
117-0-03.0%13323272951251000000
10.56-0-12.463892329694100000
106-1-01.704111026215621000000
5-0-21.81599312346310
9.55-1-11.303151214184311000000
4-0-3No50
95-2-00.40165651100000000
4-1-20.5165761100000
8.54-2-10.2003213000000000
3-1-3No
84-3-00.00000000000000000
3-2-2No00000000
7.53-3-10.00000000000
2-2-3No
73-4-00.00000000000000
2-3-2No
4-6.5No
Total:0.3%0.30.82.62.24.63.91.01.00.40.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/8100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis 29 Jacksonville 26 -1.1
NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41 -0.1
Tennessee 34 New England 10 +0.1
Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16 -0.1
Tampa Bay 3 Washington 16 -0.0
Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 -0.0
LA Rams 36 Seattle 31 -0.0
Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 +0.0
Green Bay 31 Miami 12 +0.0
Chicago 34 Detroit 22 -0.0
Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20 +0.0
Philadelphia 20 Dallas 27 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/15100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis vs Tennessee-1.7-0.6+2.2
Baltimore vs Cincinnati+0.0-0.2-0.0
Washington vs Houston-0.1+0.0+0.1
LA Chargers vs Denver-0.1-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Dallas+0.0-0.2-0.0
Detroit vs Carolina+0.1-0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Philadelphia-0.0-0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
117-0-0000131536274103000
10.56-0-10067272456222010
106-1-0000010181812316112000
5-0-2111324202226571
9.55-1-1004711123116216100
4-0-35050
95-2-000017005121629207200000
4-1-20180614182818510
8.54-2-100020018824291972000
3-1-3100
84-3-00000000101515262717720000
3-2-20001015162627166100
7.53-3-100000151527281761000
2-2-31717331717
73-4-000000001617272715510000
2-3-2016182727155100
6.52-4-1000282029251231000
1-3-35050
62-5-0000031123292292000
1-4-21311243020920
5.51-5-10015152829175100
51-6-0000029243223810
0-5-221022332391
4.50-6-100041733311320
40-7-0000041940334
Total:00000234004457668976764332111000