Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances

Lost to Philadelphia 27-30, playoff odds down 7.1 to 14.5%
0-2-0   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 -5.9
-0.3
-0.8
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 +1.3
+0.1
+0.1
Oakland 14 Houston 30 -1.1
-0.1
-0.0
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 +0.6
+0.0
+0.1
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 +0.3
+0.0
Minnesota 7 New England 30 -0.3
-0.1
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 -0.2
-0.0
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 -0.2
-0.0
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 -0.2
Baltimore 26 Pittsburgh 6 +0.1
Denver 24 Kansas City 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis-5.8-2.5+5.9
-0.3*-0.1+0.3
-1.0-0.3+1.0
NY Giants vs Houston+1.2-0.7-0.8
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Tennessee+0.3-0.6-0.5
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.2*-0.2+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+0.1*-0.2-0.3
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Miami vs Kansas City-0.2*+0.0+0.2
Seattle vs Denver+0.2*+0.5-0.2
New England vs Oakland-0.1*-0.3+0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.2-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs San Diego+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1414-0-0In9826,486
13.513-0-1In93714
1313-1-0In90900024,173
12.512-1-1In821601276
1212-2-0In65283040183,083
11-1-2In50502
11.511-2-1In4535701201,872
1111-3-0100.0%263816216100843,450
10-2-2In42428812
10.510-3-199.892923529407,868
1010-4-097.83172512281220002,667,342
9-3-296.81919133213331
9.59-4-188.404171625261020022,976
99-5-068.101918142620920006,098,681
8-4-264.49171623278190
8.58-5-128.6021031428271330046,856
88-6-014.3001716162524145100010,388,447
7-5-211.8651618311671170
7.57-6-12.0020029233122920070,833
6-5-3Out1001
77-7-00.9010013112227211030013,421,851
6-6-21.010392128191151205
6.56-7-10.100015173129143079,669
66-8-00.000002820312612213,205,515
5-7-2Out16213426103207
5.55-8-1Out015193730967,230
55-9-00.000002102939209,834,826
4-8-2Out16324121165
4.54-9-1Out00213424341,671
44-10-0Out001735575,469,144
3-9-2Out8276562
3.53-10-1Out01207918,309
33-11-0Out0114862,199,390
2-10-2Out188222
2.52-11-1Out05955,465
22-12-0Out0397603,160
1-11-2Out1005
1.51-12-1Out1991,048
11-13-0Out0100101,663
0.50-13-1Out10070
00-14-0Out010012,908
Total:14.5%1124345667891011121265,425,248

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeHoustonCincinnatiBuffaloDenverSan DiegoBaltimoreNew EnglandTennesseeNY JetsMiamiClevelandPittsburghOaklandKansas CityJacksonville
13.5-1411.5%Yes
1313-1-011.599000000000000000
12.512-1-110.9981000
1212-2-010.693111111000000000
11-1-2NoYes
11.511-2-18.480232222111111110
1111-3-08.165443433222222110
10-2-28.38388
10.510-3-15.838686765424443210
1010-4-04.5201097876544443221
9-3-2No1910101361013366
9.59-4-12.9410109977645453221
99-5-02.11887756534443111
8-4-24.4781012377213112
8.58-5-10.80343323212221010
88-6-00.40122112101111000
7-5-2No1321211111
7.57-6-10.100000000000000
6-5-3No
77-7-00.0000000000000000
6-6-2No00
6.56-7-10.00000000000
66-8-00.0000000000000
5-7-2No
5.55-8-1No
55-9-0No0000000
4-8-2No
0-4.5No
Total:0.6%2.11.41.51.31.31.01.10.90.50.70.70.80.60.20.20.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/11100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 +2.0
Denver 24 Kansas City 17 -0.1
NY Giants 14 Arizona 25 +0.1
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 -0.1
Minnesota 7 New England 30 -0.1
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 -0.1
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 +0.0
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 -0.0
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.0
Oakland 14 Houston 30 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis+1.9+0.5-1.9
New England vs Oakland-0.1*+0.1+0.1
St. Louis vs Dallas+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Denver+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Tennessee-0.0+0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Houston+0.0+0.1-0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.0+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs San Diego-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1414-0-09722
13.513-0-18677
1313-1-0741690000
12.512-1-162201601
1212-2-03233253300400
11-1-25050
11.511-2-119263057001200
1111-3-04222018142201421000
10-2-283333888
10.510-3-10911181945024540
1010-4-003215101510214141122000
9-3-23161010661616133
9.59-4-100441212491721510200
99-5-00011871111391716104100000
8-4-2971021391422931
8.58-5-10022803113112221124100
88-6-000011701064101517151284210000
7-5-265410131814158421
7.57-6-1002000012816232315720000
6-5-3100
77-7-000100000125111517171395210000
6-6-211149141921157511
6.56-7-100001281624241672000
66-8-000000012612182118136200
5-7-21181018221712820
5.55-8-10000281827251441
55-9-000000139182625144
4-8-2110212223175
4.54-9-1000313303617
44-10-0000017213931
3-9-25234032
3.53-10-10163261
33-11-0000032473
2-10-22377
2.52-11-1001090
22-12-000694
1-11-22080
1.51-12-1199
11-13-0199
0.50-13-1100
00-14-00100
Total:01011112121322333334444455556667