Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 3.4 to 90.3%
4-1-0   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +1.2
+0.2
+0.1
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 +0.4
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +0.3
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +0.3
+0.1
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +0.2
New England 30 New Orleans 27 -0.2
-0.3
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.1
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis-5.4*+0.3+3.6
-1.5*-0.2+1.0
-0.6-0.0+0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis vs Denver+4.0+1.1-4.6
+1.4*+0.2-1.6
+0.5+0.1-0.5
Tennessee vs San Francisco-1.5*+0.0+2.0
-0.2*+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Miami vs Buffalo-0.3+0.9+0.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.2*+0.3-0.2
Green Bay vs Cleveland+0.1*-0.1-0.2
Detroit vs Cincinnati+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs Houston+0.1*-0.3-0.3
Jacksonville vs San Diego+0.2*+0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.5*-0.1-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1511-0-0In100019,955
14.510-0-1In9461,505
1410-1-0In80200141,916
9-0-2In831747
13.59-1-1In603819,396
8-0-3In1001
139-2-0In4054600443,568
8-1-2In44515298
12.58-2-1In18701200025,771
7-1-3In1002
128-3-0100.0%962272000800,891
7-2-2In7682411671
11.57-3-1100.025440311040,299
6-2-3In8504212
117-4-099.813250132300931,399
6-3-299.90305113230900
10.56-4-199.20185219291040,667
5-3-394.11253246617
106-5-094.10537382125100731,254
5-4-294.16393611251774
9.55-5-184.5223401201320027,134
4-4-385.7144329147
95-6-061.1084301020144100395,705
4-5-260.4094209211440404
3-4-4Out1001
8.54-6-139.40230072425102011,943
3-5-3In67333
84-7-021.200200172127175100146,707
3-6-214.6113723341272151
7.53-7-19.190315292814303,571
73-8-03.640021024312181036,356
2-7-2Out3323351910631
6.52-8-10.91031430301930747
62-9-00.20019263622605,869
1-8-2Out33673
5.51-9-1Out312343416174
51-10-0Out31641346516
4.50-10-1Out67333
40-11-0Out1134739312
Total:90.3%103028171442211000003,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityDenverNew EnglandCincinnatiMiamiTennesseeBaltimoreClevelandNY JetsSan DiegoBuffaloPittsburghOaklandHoustonJacksonville
14.5-1517.8%Yes
1410-1-017.210000000000000000
9-0-28.5Yes
13.59-1-116.99900000000000
8-0-3NoYes
139-2-015.594010011000000000
8-1-214.4951112000
12.58-2-114.587010133111100000
7-1-3YesYes
128-3-013.171132257221110100
7-2-213.774122255221301
11.57-3-111.8562523811322210100
6-2-325.05881788
117-4-010.032610551016532310200
6-3-29.83051046817533211210
10.56-4-18.718813661218533311200
5-3-35.9126126661866666
106-5-07.05152265916432310100
5-4-25.6614206591833241110
9.55-5-15.62152275714322310100
4-4-3No29141429
95-6-03.9017233336111200100
4-5-23.2015242444112100
3-4-4No
8.54-6-12.401216221310010000
3-5-3No6733
84-7-01.30810000000000000
3-6-21.384111
7.53-7-10.8350000000
73-8-00.212000000000
2-7-2No
6.52-8-1No10
62-9-0No00
1-8-2No
4-5.5No
Total:10.0%40.76.710.63.33.16.29.62.71.81.51.80.70.30.90.20.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.2
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis+1.1+0.1-0.7
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis vs Denver-0.9-0.0+1.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.2-0.0-0.2
NY Jets vs New England-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Miami vs Buffalo+0.0-0.1-0.0
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Houston+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1511-0-09820
14.510-0-19136
1410-1-070102000
9-0-2681517
13.59-1-150113801
8-0-3100
139-2-024165236000
8-1-225194735
12.58-2-1810637120000
7-1-3100
128-3-0264616261200000
7-2-2244918231100
11.57-3-102292536431010
6-2-38252542
117-4-00011203912130203000
6-3-20102040111320300
10.56-4-102162626181118010
5-3-31241122466
106-5-00051323354111025000
5-4-21513263231110260
9.55-5-12221281101101011310
4-4-31443141414
95-6-0000727160046171362000
4-5-201827150451814520
3-4-4100
8.54-6-100292100751419146200
3-5-3333333
84-7-0005140012714191711621000
3-6-214911016182311421
7.53-7-1190014122123189310
73-8-0030001391621201483100
2-7-233162319131633
6.52-8-111515212620730
62-9-00001310182321147200
1-8-2333333
5.51-9-11311142622223
51-10-011102025261340
4.50-10-1333333
40-11-024223127131
Total:742010199143103132111100000000000000