Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 97.2%
5-2-0   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver 35 San Diego 21 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-2.5-1.1+1.4
-2.2-1.0+1.2
-0.5-0.2+0.3
Tennessee vs Houston+1.1-0.5-0.8
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.0*-0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Buffalo+0.0*+0.1-0.0
-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.0*+0.1+0.0
+1.1*-0.5-0.5
+0.1-0.1-0.0
New England vs Chicago-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.1*+0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.0*+0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-2.2-1.3+1.1
-2.0-1.1+1.0
-0.5-0.3+0.2
Houston vs Philadelphia-1.0-0.8+0.8
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Miami vs San Diego+0.1*-0.2-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.1*-0.1+0.0
+1.1-1.0-0.5
+0.1-0.1-0.0
New England vs Denver+0.4*+0.2-0.3
Dallas vs Arizona-0.0*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
149-0-0In86143,028,790
13.58-0-1In8217116,115
138-1-0In60382013,069,949
7-0-2In683241
12.57-1-1In46459061,762
127-2-0In27541810024,450,076
6-1-2In325711122
11.56-2-1100.0%114640400099,779
5-1-3In1001
116-3-0100.05364711100025,973,264
5-2-2In44043112180
10.55-3-199.90135529210089,940
105-4-099.107444422100017,284,066
4-3-2In10374634135
9.54-4-192.40216426520049,436
94-5-085.7001367157520007,463,538
3-4-280.0116017793170
8.53-5-159.70256017141351016,958
83-6-051.91500141116125102,091,495
2-5-233.33325825812
7.52-6-126.2026003132624803,441
72-7-018.9019001721312020363,469
1-6-2Out1001
6.51-7-13.64062746161442
61-8-02.12021849272036,084
5.50-8-1Out5365922
50-9-0Out01215421208,780
Total:97.2%2031271811111000000094,107,968

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Indianapolis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDenverBaltimoreNew EnglandSan DiegoKansas CityMiamiBuffaloCincinnatiPittsburghClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
149-0-021.6%Yes
13.58-0-121.299000000000
138-1-020.298000000000000000
7-0-217.1Yes
12.57-1-118.8910002201111100
127-2-017.481001431122220000
6-1-223.0892212212
11.56-2-114.457112972255440000
5-1-3NoYes
116-3-012.94122313103367550000
5-2-213.3443151311324644
10.55-3-110.013544191444910770000
105-4-09.47655211444910770000
4-3-28.910454191354711710
9.54-4-18.0085424143389750000
94-5-07.3075424143379640000
3-4-27.1347237771173
8.53-5-14.805321810225751000
83-6-04.45321692156400000
2-5-28.3825
7.52-6-12.42118411242
72-7-01.6211631022200
1-6-2No
6.51-7-10.51001001
61-8-00.10001000000
5-5.5No
Total:14.0%50.72.32.12.211.07.52.02.04.75.23.83.40.20.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Denver 35 San Diego 21 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+1.0+0.4-0.6
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.2+0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1+0.1+0.1
New England vs Chicago+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+1.0+0.5-0.5
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.2+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.1-0.1
New England vs Denver-0.1-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
149-0-0833140
13.58-0-17391701
138-1-04515371200
7-0-261732
12.57-1-12323414900
127-2-0918421217010000
6-1-211204314111
11.56-2-1110232337340000
5-1-3100
116-3-0051323389110000000
5-2-2131426376112
10.55-3-101123026290111000
105-4-000071826421112110000
4-3-2191423451331
9.54-4-10218586022443100
94-5-000011254130113454210000
3-4-2115191163101311
8.53-5-100236210115101183100
83-6-001232700101591210631000
2-5-217171788258
7.52-6-106200001512201911410
72-7-00216000001411192115720000
1-6-2100
6.51-7-1413102028211021
61-8-00201310212721113100
5.50-8-1553693214
50-9-00311233022920
Total:118201119816200000000000000000000000