Houston Texans Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1 to 17.4%
3-4-0   .429

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver 35 San Diego 21 +0.4
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tennessee vs Houston-9.4-3.9+6.3
-0.2-0.1+0.1
-1.1-0.3+0.7
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.4*-0.1+1.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami+0.6-0.5-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-0.5+0.6+0.3
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.3*-0.1+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.7*+0.2+0.3
-0.1*+0.0+0.0
NY Jets vs Buffalo+0.4*-0.5-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.0
New England vs Chicago-0.1*-0.4+0.3
Arizona vs Philadelphia-0.0*-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Philadelphia+7.3-1.7-6.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.0-0.6
Miami vs San Diego+1.2-1.3-0.9
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.5*+0.2+1.6
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.4+0.9+1.3
-0.0+0.1+0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+1.0*+0.3-0.5
+0.1*+0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-1.1-0.5+0.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.3*+0.0+0.7
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
New England vs Denver-0.2*-0.3+0.2
Minnesota vs Washington-0.0*-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
129-0-0In373940200319,829
11.58-0-1In11402022522,302
118-1-099.7%4201834590002,968,787
7-0-2In1350388
10.57-1-197.106201137243019,180
107-2-086.3029733361220011,862,842
6-1-292.22864927851
9.56-2-156.403101034311120064,851
96-3-030.50134223425810026,062,926
5-2-230.416222322981138
8.55-3-16.6030417332812200118,168
85-4-01.7001017223325910034,708,967
4-3-21.5119243123112200
7.54-4-10.300041835311000127,880
74-5-00.0000001724372640029,120,635
3-4-2Out291938293190
6.53-5-10.0000172947150083,675
63-6-00.00000112423960015,418,681
2-5-2Out294342386
5.52-6-1Out022755141032,276
52-7-0Out00064539904,989,194
1-6-2Out4564127
4.51-7-1Out0130462026,878
41-8-0Out0840467895,119
0-7-2Out60405
3.50-8-1Out2275120590
30-9-0Out12622677,491
Total:17.4%0112581012131313128310126,880,976

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisDenverBaltimoreNew EnglandSan DiegoKansas CityMiamiBuffaloCincinnatiPittsburghClevelandTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
129-0-05.6%7611571133110000
11.58-0-13.751727944552310
118-1-02.72410314175477332000
7-0-212.5632513
10.57-1-11.861651616757744300
107-2-01.32175171653663320000
6-1-22.0216216168121264
9.56-2-10.80134129533322100
96-3-00.40727521211110000
5-2-2No10345411111
8.55-3-10.11111100000000
85-4-00.00000000000000000
4-3-2No11
7.54-4-10.000000000000
74-5-00.00000000000000
3-4-2No
6.53-5-1No00000
63-6-00.0000000000
2-5-2No
3-5.5No
Total:0.3%0.93.41.03.63.11.00.61.11.10.50.60.40.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Denver 35 San Diego 21 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tennessee vs Houston+2.1-0.2-1.4
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.2-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.0-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.1-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Washington-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.0
New England vs Chicago-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Philadelphia-1.8-0.7+1.5
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.1-0.0-0.2
Seattle vs Oakland+0.1-0.1-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.0-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Washington+0.1-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Arizona-0.0*+0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
129-0-0532221740017200
11.58-0-1110211919122242
118-1-00431811730222481000
7-0-21313382513
10.57-1-10061191101522213300
107-2-00002277032916209410000
6-1-22868412268
9.56-2-10038109112223155100
96-3-000131042205152117830000
5-2-214211319514271293
8.55-3-101100421224271882000
85-4-000000001013918252314510000
4-3-2111371824291171
7.54-4-100000028182725145100
74-5-00000000002614232618820000
3-4-21718262215931
6.53-5-100014122529208200
63-6-00000014122227211030000
2-5-2111391733171231
5.52-6-10002102431229200
52-7-00001413263019610
1-6-247111930227
4.51-7-10031430311730
41-8-000292636224
0-7-2202060
3.50-8-1314333911
30-9-0003194632
Total:00010110142624567887776543221100