Houston Texans Playoff Chances

Lost to St. Louis 13-38, playoff odds down 2.8 to 1.2%
2-4-0   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -2.1
-0.7
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +0.2
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +0.1
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +0.1
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 +0.0
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 +0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis+0.2*-0.2-0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City vs Houston-0.4*-0.2+2.3
-0.2+0.1+1.3
Green Bay vs Cleveland+0.0+0.3-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco-0.1*-0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Denver-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Miami vs Buffalo-0.1*-0.2+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Cincinnati+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs San Diego+0.1*+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs New England-0.1-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1210-0-0In405551320
11.59-0-1In83176
119-1-0In353282104535
10.58-1-198.4%233451422264
108-2-096.201130141229406,376
7-1-2In25754
9.57-2-169.8210145392450659
97-3-056.7061433432101041,917
6-2-268.451647218338
8.56-3-114.105092934185103,983
5-2-3Out3333333
86-4-08.1003052335259100175,817
5-3-26.615223424112152
7.55-4-10.600021027342061014,012
4-3-3Out4020405
75-5-00.2001621332611200481,099
4-4-20.2014213130112470
3-3-4Out1001
6.54-5-10.000192635226030,720
3-4-3Out144329147
64-6-00.0000162034281010872,205
3-5-2Out0062136251010780
5.53-6-1Out0212343814042,204
2-5-3Out142929297
53-7-0Out001828412111,017,650
2-6-2Out162742222711
4.52-7-1Out063451935,333
1-6-3Out10405010
42-8-0Out004265416732,418
1-7-2Out04245319401
3.51-8-1Out07504316,461
31-9-0Out0043858292,713
0-8-2Out1297086
2.50-9-1Out010893,150
20-10-0Out029848,563
Total:1.2%000001234691215192093,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandCincinnatiMiamiTennesseeBaltimoreClevelandNY JetsSan DiegoBuffaloPittsburghOaklandJacksonville
1210-0-01.9%950100101110
11.59-0-1No8317
119-1-00.45636954344310100
10.58-1-1No2325191191129522
108-2-00.41161019129857422110
7-1-2No255025
9.57-2-10.527815127544311110
97-3-00.1068121064342110000
6-2-22.6165131113353
8.56-3-1No2332210000000
5-2-3No
86-4-00.0012211000000000
5-3-2No11131
7.55-4-1No00000000
4-3-3No
75-5-00.000000000000000
4-4-2No0
3-3-4No
6.54-5-1No00
3-4-3No
64-6-0No000
3-5-2No
2-5.5No
Total:0.0%0.00.10.20.20.20.10.10.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 +1.9
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 -0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Washington-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City vs Houston+0.4-0.2-2.6
NY Jets vs New England+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.1
Miami vs Buffalo-0.0+0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs San Diego-0.1+0.0+0.0
NY Giants vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1+0.0
Washington vs Chicago+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs Seattle+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Carolina vs St. Louis+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1210-0-012284411411
11.59-0-1671717
119-1-0374615132634
10.58-1-122214205862022
108-2-0001132711329171240
7-1-22575
9.57-2-120101041420192182
97-3-0005590233124144100
6-2-255113451688
8.56-3-1014008719272010310
5-2-3333333
86-4-000030054132324178310000
5-3-21559212817113
7.55-4-1000000141122262110410
4-3-320402020
75-5-000000026152223179410000
4-4-20151221261910520
3-3-4100
6.54-5-10001412222721103000
3-4-3711414
64-6-0000002716242416831000
3-5-2028152223197210
5.53-6-10002921302511300
2-5-314432914
53-7-000015152528187100
2-6-20061323272082
4.52-7-10041632321320
1-6-3205030
42-8-000021026352150
1-7-221024381951
3.51-8-10052339266
31-9-000315373511
0-8-2121333510
2.50-9-102144539
20-10-00193952
Total:00000000000101112234456789101110842