Houston Texans Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.05 to 28.2%
4-4-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tennessee 16 Houston 30 +6.4
+0.1
+0.7
Cincinnati 27 Baltimore 24 -0.7
-0.1
Pittsburgh 51 Indianapolis 34 +0.4
+0.1
+0.0
Kansas City 34 St. Louis 7 -0.4
-0.0
Denver 35 San Diego 21 +0.4
+0.0
NY Jets 23 Buffalo 43 -0.3
-0.1
Jacksonville 13 Miami 27 -0.3
-0.0
Cleveland 23 Oakland 13 -0.2
-0.0
New England 51 Chicago 23 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Philadelphia+9.4-1.2-9.4
+0.4-0.1-0.4
+0.8-0.1-0.8
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+3.8+3.1-2.3
+0.2+0.2-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.2
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.3*+0.0+1.8
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Miami vs San Diego+0.8-1.3-0.7
+0.0-0.1-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.3+1.1+1.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
New England vs Denver-0.1-0.7+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.2*-0.1+0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.2-0.6+0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
128-0-0100.0%4844404006,507,151
11.57-0-1100.0145223271039,069
117-1-099.773226723600046,319,231
6-0-298.9541283174195
10.56-1-196.00831251616400239,064
5-0-3In1001
106-2-081.30213221728154000136,805,079
5-1-282.22172418211530512
9.55-2-144.7032721325218100587,889
95-3-019.90111172130217100215,654,778
4-2-223.0114172230186101,018
8.54-3-18.7090021229311520746,254
3-2-3Out1001
84-4-02.20020016203428900197,107,734
3-3-22.93001620342891,008
7.53-4-11.3100317433510527,915
2-3-3Out1001
73-5-00.200000193453400106,362,661
2-4-20.201936522531
6.52-5-10.10011573100205,855
62-6-00.00006632910033,016,469
1-5-2Out564283121
5.51-6-1Out0152434041,778
51-7-0Out00186021205,397,991
0-6-2Out31541513
4.50-7-1Out84937503,315
40-8-0Out01461241414,770
Total:28.2%134858911121213132000749,980,304

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandBaltimoreKansas CitySan DiegoPittsburghBuffaloCincinnatiMiamiClevelandTennesseeJacksonvilleNY JetsOakland
128-0-08.8%9101121111110000
11.57-0-17.167163444332310
117-1-05.0383107106555442000
6-0-24.246111573448233
10.56-1-13.0961591010108655300
5-0-3NoYes
106-2-02.12515101187654430000
5-1-21.82717987966352
9.55-2-11.1045457743222000
95-3-00.50222233211110000
4-2-20.532234311112
8.54-3-10.210012211100
3-2-3No
84-4-00.1000000000000000
3-3-20.10000100000
7.53-4-10.00000000000
2-3-3No
73-5-00.000000000000
2-4-2No0
6.52-5-10.00000000000
62-6-00.00000000000
1-5-2No
4-5.5No
Total:0.9%3.61.74.02.93.42.72.52.01.61.41.30.90.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee 16 Houston 30 -1.4
Jacksonville 13 Miami 27 +0.1
Cincinnati 27 Baltimore 24 +0.1
Pittsburgh 51 Indianapolis 34 -0.1
Dallas 17 Washington 20 +0.1
Cleveland 23 Oakland 13 +0.1
NY Jets 23 Buffalo 43 +0.0
Arizona 24 Philadelphia 20 +0.0
New England 51 Chicago 23 -0.0
Denver 35 San Diego 21 -0.0
New Orleans 44 Green Bay 23 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Philadelphia-1.8-0.7+1.8
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.4-0.5+0.2
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.1-0.1-0.2
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
128-0-01137301440004000
11.57-0-1212312122127010
117-1-00662616107016850000
6-0-256351811311641
10.56-1-100181515250971514000
5-0-3100
106-2-00002210193314161278310000
5-1-22115204513129764
9.55-2-100322502581722123000
95-3-00001740116151523211241000
4-2-2195106161322191240
8.54-3-1044000029202721103000
3-2-3100
84-4-0000110000001515262817510000
3-3-212000141527261761
7.53-4-10100016183027133000
2-3-3100
73-5-000000000161830271440000
2-4-20017173227133
6.52-5-100000172234259200
62-6-00000031125312171000
1-5-21282639177
5.51-6-100314313216400
51-7-00001620332811200
0-6-223153131
4.50-7-101825362251
40-8-0003163632111
Total:01121362234423577788765321100000