Houston Texans Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 10.2%
5-6-0   .455

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Tennessee+2.5-4.1-8.7
+0.0-0.1-0.2
+0.4-1.0-1.3
Indianapolis vs Washington-1.1+3.6+4.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.2
Kansas City vs Denver-0.3-0.9+0.5
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.2-0.9+0.3
+0.0-0.2-0.1
NY Jets vs Miami+0.8-0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.0
Buffalo vs Cleveland+0.3-0.7-0.5
-0.0-0.3+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati+0.6+0.5-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans-0.3*-0.1+0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs Houston-8.7-4.0+2.8
-0.2-0.1+0.1
-1.3-1.0+0.4
Cleveland vs Indianapolis+1.3+0.4-1.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Miami vs Baltimore+0.1-1.0-0.1
-0.1-0.2+0.1
Arizona vs Kansas City+0.5-0.6-0.6
+0.1-0.1-0.1
San Diego vs New England-0.5-0.5+0.3
-0.2-0.2+0.1
Denver vs Buffalo-0.1-0.5+0.1
+0.1-0.2-0.1
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh+0.1+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
105-0-092.6%01123423227100148,086,546
9.54-0-136.703204172516400545,070
94-1-013.200904183226920620,781,671
3-0-217.4014416322392770
8.53-1-14.34002123336131,674,188
83-2-00.20000110314117849,830,025
2-1-20.7101103140161,548
7.52-2-10.1000328691,550,331
72-3-0Out00226711441,702,498
1-2-2Out225730955
6.51-3-1Out03962508,264
61-4-0Out028890096,227,466
0-3-2Out38610146
5.50-4-1Out7921053,238
50-5-0Out27667007,573,844
Total:10.2%0015236101115222510002,168,536,560

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Houston finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandIndianapolisDenverKansas CityBaltimoreCincinnatiPittsburghMiamiClevelandSan DiegoBuffalo
105-0-01.7%122210138997651
9.54-0-10.712595434221
94-1-00.2001222211110
3-0-20.311243222100
8.53-1-10.100011100000
83-2-00.000000000000
2-1-2No000000
7.52-2-10.00000000000
5-7No
Total:0.2%0.10.31.91.11.61.01.21.00.80.60.50.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 34 Chicago 17 -0.1
San Francisco 3 Seattle 19 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Houston vs Tennessee-0.6-0.1+2.2
Indianapolis vs Washington+0.1-0.5-0.5
NY Jets vs Miami-0.2-0.1+0.0
St. Louis vs Oakland+0.1-0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs Cleveland+0.0-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs Carolina+0.0-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Arizona+0.1-0.0-0.0
Jacksonville vs NY Giants-0.1-0.0+0.0
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/4100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs Houston+2.2-0.2-0.7
Cleveland vs Indianapolis-0.2-0.1+0.1
Oakland vs San Francisco-0.1-0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Dallas+0.1-0.1-0.1
Denver vs Buffalo-0.1-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.1
Washington vs St. Louis-0.1-0.1+0.1
San Diego vs New England+0.1-0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Kansas City-0.0+0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs Atlanta-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
105-0-00010123412331913310000
9.54-0-10032000461821134100
94-1-00009000040018223120500
3-0-2013140362130194
8.53-1-14000016203527700
83-2-0000000042350202000
2-1-2100522521830
7.52-2-100003215023300
72-3-000113336173000
1-2-211232351630
6.51-3-1062838225100
61-4-001621352791000
0-3-21423392481
5.50-4-100211293618400
50-5-000182739224000
Total:00001500202001261015231594210000000