Houston Texans Playoff Chances

Beat Jacksonville 21-20, playoff odds down 7.5 to 45.4%
8-6-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 -16.3
-0.1
-0.8
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 +10.8
+0.1
+0.9
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 -2.0
-0.0
-0.2
Denver 3 New England 16 +0.3
+0.0
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 -0.2
-0.1
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -0.2
-0.1
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 -0.1
+0.0
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 +0.1
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs Tennessee+19.4-9.8-9.9
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.8-0.4-0.4
Houston vs Cincinnati+14.0-12.9-12.9
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+1.2-0.8-1.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+1.3+1.3-2.0
Buffalo vs Miami+1.1-2.0-2.0
-0.0-0.2+0.1
Kansas City vs Denver+0.7-0.9-0.9
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
102-0-0In188224,922,436,798
9.51-0-1In29851,452,567
91-1-060.6%5741419678,769,743,997
0-0-239.83362229925,354
8.50-1-110.3102163628676,522,354
80-2-0Out835441356,262,498,002
Total:45.4%341271215155160,082,679,072

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBOaklandKansas CityPittsburghTennesseeMiamiBaltimoreDenverIndianapolisBuffalo
102-0-00.6%284240175300
9.51-0-10.53448401400
91-1-00.319286080
0-0-20.2111775
8.50-1-10.12602
80-2-0No
Total:0.3%13.920.33.40.06.50.80.50.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/15100.0*Lottery seed
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 -1.7
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 +1.4
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 +0.1
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 +0.1
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 -0.1
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 +0.1
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 +0.0
Denver 3 New England 16 -0.0
Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 -0.0
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs Cincinnati-2.1+1.4+1.9
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-1.3+0.7+0.7
Buffalo vs Miami+0.0+0.2-0.1
Oakland vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.1+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Washington-0.1+0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay-0.0+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Detroit-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
102-0-02163646
9.51-0-1021979
91-1-04520471812300
0-0-2331169271950
8.50-1-11002822312160
80-2-00211313517400
Total:0283302396511126100