Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 2 to 20.3%
2-2-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 24 Tampa Bay 27 -9.6
-0.5
-0.9
Baltimore 38 Carolina 10 -1.1
-0.1
-0.1
NY Jets 17 Detroit 24 +0.5
+0.1
Oakland 14 Miami 38 -0.4
San Diego 33 Jacksonville 14 -0.4
Houston 23 Buffalo 17 +0.3
+0.0
Indianapolis 41 Tennessee 17 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh-7.9-2.0+5.4
-0.3*-0.2+0.2
-1.0-0.2+0.7
San Francisco vs Kansas City+0.8*+0.2-0.8
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Denver vs Arizona-0.7*+0.7+0.8
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
San Diego vs NY Jets-0.4*+0.4+0.8
Tennessee vs Cleveland+0.4*-0.1-0.3
Dallas vs Houston+0.3*+0.2-0.4
Detroit vs Buffalo+0.2*+0.2-0.4
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Baltimore+0.2*+0.2-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
New England vs Cincinnati+0.3*-0.2-0.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Carolina vs Chicago+0.0*-0.5-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Pittsburgh finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1412-0-0In9917,071
13.511-0-1In98241
1311-1-0In88704058,984
12.510-1-1In7612110573
1210-2-0100.0%5620202110371,490
9-1-2In67333
11.59-2-1In3524403343,219
119-3-099.41522814311101,405,432
8-2-291.717258338812
10.58-3-197.841210247232010,920
108-4-086.615823436121003,562,726
7-3-285.08108283310540
9.57-4-167.4013319422661024,329
97-5-035.80012627372161006,360,765
6-4-242.51163434183187
8.56-5-110.90001929352051037,535
86-6-02.50000212273220610008,212,924
5-5-22.12102930217197
7.55-6-10.20002927342161040,798
75-7-00.0000021026332271007,723,420
4-6-2Out711253023471
6.54-7-1Out011027362140032,307
64-8-00.00000212303517305,240,532
3-7-2Out1025548248
5.53-8-1Out031638339117,413
53-9-0Out00524422442,510,253
2-8-2Out523363622
4.52-9-1Out1103840116,199
42-10-0Out003244726802,082
1-9-2Out50502
3.51-10-1Out11146421,301
31-11-0Out043561154,741
0-10-2Out50502
2.50-11-1Out21880123
20-12-0Out0128816,454
Total:20.3%121169101010101010863136,602,016

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Pittsburgh finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeCincinnatiSan DiegoBaltimoreHoustonIndianapolisBuffaloDenverKansas CityMiamiNew EnglandClevelandNY JetsTennesseeJacksonvilleOakland
13.5-1410.5%Yes
1311-1-010.396000111001000000
12.510-1-19.988121202110
1210-2-08.676010445113301000
9-1-2No6733
11.59-2-17.259121569226502000
119-3-05.3372429912338603100
8-2-216.742881788
10.58-3-13.516463121115449713100
108-4-02.66674121112458613100
7-3-22.5858888105101053
9.57-4-11.715741199446512100
97-5-00.80342654223201000
6-4-22.357255722611
8.56-5-10.20121211111100000
86-6-00.10000000000000000
5-5-2No2
7.55-6-10.0000000000000
75-7-00.0000000000000000
4-6-2No
6.54-7-1No
64-8-0No0
3-7-2No
2-5.5No
Total:0.7%3.01.21.80.92.72.42.51.01.01.71.30.10.60.20.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 24 Tampa Bay 27 +2.3
Minnesota 41 Atlanta 28 +0.1
Houston 23 Buffalo 17 -0.1
Kansas City 41 New England 14 -0.1
Dallas 38 New Orleans 17 +0.1
San Diego 33 Jacksonville 14 +0.0
San Francisco 26 Philadelphia 21 +0.0
Baltimore 38 Carolina 10 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh+2.2+0.4-1.5
New England vs Cincinnati+0.2-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Atlanta+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Chicago-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Houston+0.1*-0.0-0.1
San Diego vs NY Jets+0.0*+0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs Kansas City+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Denver vs Arizona+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs Cleveland+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Washington vs Seattle+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1412-0-09631
13.511-0-188102
1311-1-07018700400
12.510-1-15521120110
1210-2-0253118320021010
9-1-26733
11.59-2-112232044003214
119-3-02131012711035811010
8-2-21717883388
10.58-3-104498220351222020
108-4-0011435201321289112000
7-3-28555318102013133
9.57-4-10011321415271524810
97-5-00000111067202021147210000
6-4-211692518221412
8.56-5-1000001097192721114100
86-6-00000000021511161818149410000
5-5-22349232016134311
7.55-6-100000261524251782000
75-7-00000000014814181917115200000
4-6-2131013132424111
6.54-7-1001411212622124100
64-8-00000012714212318103100
3-7-221382115231342
5.53-8-1001616282715510
53-9-00000151425281961
2-8-29918361414
4.52-9-102102736214
42-10-0000314323616
1-9-25050
3.51-10-103194434
31-11-000183656
0-10-25050
2.50-11-122375
20-12-001287
Total:01111100334555555555555444433211