Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.5 to 43.9%
7-4-0   .636

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22 -2.8
-0.1
-0.1
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 -2.1
-0.1
-0.2
New Orleans 27 Baltimore 34 -1.8
-0.1
-0.1
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 +1.6
+0.1
+0.1
Denver 39 Miami 36 +1.0
-0.1
+0.0
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 -0.4
-0.0
Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 3 -0.1
-0.0
New England 34 Detroit 9 -0.1
-0.1
Buffalo 38 NY Jets 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+9.2-6.3-14.9
+0.4-0.3-0.6
+0.7-0.5-1.1
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati+4.1-0.1-2.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
+0.2+0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs Miami+4.2+3.2-1.0
+0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.2+0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs Cleveland+1.4-0.9-2.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Denver-1.1+0.4+1.5
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs San Diego+0.1-1.0-0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Houston vs Tennessee-0.1+0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs New England+0.1-0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.0+0.2+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
St. Louis vs Oakland+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Carolina-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Arizona+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs NY Giants+0.1*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Pittsburgh finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
125-0-0In345016240,577,827
11.54-0-1In1047272140919,780
114-1-099.9%323446203001,097,825,470
3-0-2In3254652021,374
10.53-1-195.503181337254003,335,248
103-2-061.4008714313081001,972,231,770
2-1-261.4098152930803,803
9.52-2-114.50021113634142004,452,958
1-1-3Out50502
92-3-03.30000315323214201,738,402,061
1-2-23.1000216323215203,234
8.51-3-10.0001624392552,592,327
0-2-3Out1001
81-4-00.000031638357751,683,847
0-3-2Out21237417940
7.50-4-1Out00193852555,439
70-5-0Out001938530128,062,015
Total:43.9%2612491214131296205,940,648,096

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Pittsburgh finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandIndianapolisDenverKansas CityBaltimoreCincinnatiMiamiClevelandSan DiegoHoustonBuffalo
125-0-06.7%840043233110
11.54-0-15.057011267354321
114-1-03.52611551013786522
3-0-23.32811541312676421
10.53-1-11.93226101016776531
103-2-01.102167612445321
2-1-21.202157711546321
9.52-2-10.2014213101000
1-1-3No
92-3-00.0001001000000
1-2-20.0010010000
8.51-3-10.000000000000
0-2-3No
81-4-00.0000000000
0-3-2No
7-7.5No
Total:1.3%8.30.98.23.54.26.82.92.82.81.91.00.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 +0.3
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22 +0.2
New Orleans 27 Baltimore 34 +0.2
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 -0.1
Seattle 19 Arizona 3 +0.1
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 +0.0
Buffalo 38 NY Jets 3 +0.0
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 +0.0
Denver 39 Miami 36 -0.0
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24 +0.0
Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 3 +0.0
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans-1.4+0.4+2.3
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.4+0.0+0.2
NY Jets vs Miami-0.3-0.2+0.1
Buffalo vs Cleveland-0.1+0.0+0.2
Baltimore vs San Diego+0.1+0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs Seattle+0.0-0.1-0.0
Houston vs Tennessee+0.0+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Denver-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
125-0-04302426142
11.54-0-1010163122521310
114-1-00322115306911310000
3-0-232221630591120
10.53-1-10033151310271964000
103-2-000008711310219161030000
2-1-2018811492091610310
9.52-2-1000201111122828143000
1-1-35050
92-3-000000000301823332371000
1-2-2000002018223225810
8.51-3-100000211283520400
0-2-3100
81-4-00000003183830101000
0-3-2004173928111
7.50-4-1005234224500
70-5-00003163230154000
Total:0215384026483668109742100000