Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.02 to 77.4%
9-5-0   .643

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Kansas CityIn-12.9-23.3
+0.7-0.4-0.7
+1.1-0.2-1.1
Cincinnati vs Denver-5.0+3.7+3.6
-0.1+0.3+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Houston vs Baltimore+3.7-2.8-3.0
+0.2*-0.2-0.2
+0.2-0.2-0.2
Miami vs Minnesota-0.0*+0.2+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.2*-0.0-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Dallas vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati+16.7-22.8-26.4
+0.5-0.6-0.8
+1.0-0.7-1.5
Kansas City vs San Diego-1.8+3.7+3.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Cleveland-1.1-1.0+3.9
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.3
Houston vs Jacksonville-0.1*+0.4+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Miami vs NY Jets-0.0*+0.2+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
New England vs Buffalo+0.0*-0.3-0.1
-0.0*-0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.0-0.0
+0.2-0.0-0.0
Green Bay vs Detroit-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Pittsburgh finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
112-0-0In2554337,284,958
10.51-0-1In34346853,985
101-1-092.7%1193340759,475,434
0-0-2In736292914
9.50-1-18.108712142,255
90-2-00.401842347022,687,978
Total:77.4%11823162078610119,544,624

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Pittsburgh finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandDenverIndianapolisBaltimoreCincinnatiKansas CitySan DiegoBuffaloHouston
112-0-02.8%2383801452
10.51-0-12.10110433321010
101-1-01.811397251260
0-0-2No2929367
9.50-1-10.10071
90-2-00.00000
Total:1.8%0.70.60.719.415.724.36.37.41.70.8
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City-2.2+0.1+2.3
Houston vs Baltimore-0.6+0.5+0.5
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.6-0.4-0.4
Dallas vs Indianapolis-0.2+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs New England-0.1+0.1+0.0
Miami vs Minnesota+0.1-0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Buffalo-0.1-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-2.1+1.2+3.3
Baltimore vs Cleveland+0.2+0.1-0.5
Kansas City vs San Diego+0.1-0.3-0.3
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.2+0.0+0.0
Miami vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
112-0-00274843
10.51-0-134314535
101-1-0119032436341
0-0-27362929
9.50-1-108305012
90-2-0006454630
Total:01216230162181229910