Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 20.3%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-4.2+2.2+8.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.4
-0.5+0.3+1.0
Cincinnati vs Tennessee-0.4*+0.8+0.6
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.4*+0.5+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Miami vs Kansas City-0.3*+0.3+0.5
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
New England vs Oakland-0.3*-0.1+0.5
Cleveland vs Baltimore+0.3*+0.4-0.3
Seattle vs Denver+0.2*-0.1-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Houston+0.3*-0.2-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs San Diego+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay+4.1-2.1-6.8
+0.2*+0.0-0.3
+0.5-0.2-0.9
Baltimore vs Carolina-0.8*+0.4+1.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs New England+0.5*-0.3-0.4
NY Jets vs Detroit-0.4*+0.7+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Oakland vs Miami+0.3*+0.1-0.4
San Diego vs Jacksonville-0.2*+0.5+0.4
Houston vs Buffalo+0.2*-0.0-0.3
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+0.2*+0.5-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Pittsburgh finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In10002,889
14.513-0-1In1002
1413-1-0In982006,714
13.512-1-1In96478
1312-2-0In8710002055,945
12.511-2-1In791803616
1211-3-0100.0%592840900282,701
10-2-2In6717176
11.510-3-1In4235811412,806
1110-4-099.9213316225300981,826
9-3-2In1733506
10.59-4-199.4824225337108,713
109-5-094.22111910332051002,464,152
8-4-290.058201325201040
9.58-5-184.603121326311320019,831
98-6-053.00151011272715510004,576,978
7-5-253.21410112718196479
8.57-6-123.201621430291440032,819
87-7-07.000304132426198200006,421,389
6-6-25.924142429197185
7.56-7-10.810029233222920039,802
76-8-00.20000029202724134106,819,430
5-7-2Out139193219132198
6.55-8-10.000015183129133035,988
65-9-00.00000171930281325,458,391
4-8-2Out910352717281
5.54-9-1Out016203629824,238
54-10-00.00002102839213,242,260
3-9-2Out21328431547
4.53-10-1Out00214424211,344
43-11-0Out001734591,385,476
2-10-2Out257512
3.52-11-1Out0220793,514
32-12-0Out011387402,562
1-11-2Out17836
2.51-12-1Out0496660
21-13-0Out039770,879
1.50-13-1Out10070
10-14-0Out01008,235
Total:20.3%123356778899998632,360,768

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Pittsburgh finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeHoustonCincinnatiBuffaloDenverSan DiegoBaltimoreNew EnglandTennesseeNY JetsMiamiClevelandIndianapolisOaklandKansas CityJacksonville
14.5-159.6%Yes
1413-1-010.8100000000000
13.512-1-19.0Yes
1312-2-09.698000000000000000
12.511-2-18.49710010000
1211-3-08.687211211111101000
10-2-216.78317
11.510-3-16.977312331221111110
1110-4-06.053745652342222211
9-3-216.750171717
10.59-4-14.832967874553422211
109-5-03.11311881084664433222
8-4-27.5131013181055533333
9.58-5-12.0311991084664533212
98-6-01.31766653443322111
7-5-21.311895438413413
8.57-6-10.60333321221111001
87-7-00.20111110110000000
6-6-2No11111
7.56-7-10.000000000000000
76-8-00.0000000000000000
5-7-2No
6.55-8-1No000
65-9-00.0000000000000
4-8-2No
5.54-9-1No
54-10-0No0
3-9-2No
1-4.5No
Total:0.7%3.72.21.81.82.01.60.91.21.30.90.90.60.60.40.30.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+1.3-0.9-2.5
NY Giants vs Houston+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Miami vs Kansas City+0.1*-0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Minnesota-0.1*-0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs Washington-0.0-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Baltimore-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs San Diego-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Tennessee-0.0*-0.1+0.0
St. Louis vs Dallas+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay-1.4+0.3+2.4
Minnesota vs Atlanta+0.1-0.1-0.1
Houston vs Buffalo-0.1+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs New England-0.1*+0.0+0.1
San Diego vs Jacksonville+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Dallas vs New Orleans+0.1*+0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs Detroit-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Oakland vs Miami-0.0-0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Philadelphia+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-010000
14.513-0-1100
1413-1-0953200
13.512-1-19244
1312-2-0731410000200
12.511-2-1631618103
1211-3-030292534009000
10-2-233331717
11.510-3-116262968011401
1110-4-03181716142202233000
9-3-21717173317
10.59-4-107816175502767010
109-5-0021107118215181735100
8-4-25851510352015510
9.58-5-100321094719238123000
98-6-000104461108191516104100000
7-5-21455110918169994
8.57-6-10011502113102123156200
87-7-000002000415101417171494200000
6-6-224255152014186711
7.56-7-1010000271623231782100
76-8-000000000013611151818149410000
5-7-21235142018171152
6.55-8-1000138172524156200
65-9-0000000149152021179310
4-8-215141519231292
5.54-9-1013102128231130
54-10-000000027162628174
3-9-211112830192
4.53-10-1001517333212
43-11-000016204033
2-10-2882558
3.52-11-10193555
32-12-000032373
1-11-23367
2.51-12-1011485
21-13-000594
1.50-13-1496
10-14-00100
Total:11111212233433344444444545554443