Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances

Beat Houston 30-23, playoff odds up 10.9 to 24%
4-3-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 30 Houston 23 +7.3
+0.1
+0.9
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 +1.3
+0.0
+0.1
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 +0.6
+0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.4
-0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.4
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 -0.2
-0.1
Chicago 14 Miami 27 -0.2
-0.1
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 -0.1
-0.0
New England 27 NY Jets 25 -0.1
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+12.8+0.3-7.1
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
+1.1+0.1-0.6
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.7+0.5+1.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.7-1.4+0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.5+0.8+1.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami+1.0+0.3-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs Buffalo+0.8*-0.2-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs Houston+0.7*+0.2-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Denver vs San Diego+0.5-0.5-0.6
New England vs Chicago-0.3*+0.1+0.5
Carolina vs Seattle+0.1*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Pittsburgh finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
139-0-0In84160651,952
12.58-0-1In58302104,675
128-1-0100.0%32357025106,431,127
7-0-2In294372114
11.57-1-1100.01131161373043,946
117-2-099.0316163461510029,452,031
6-1-297.71912250142133
10.56-2-195.2051364131500174,845
106-3-078.70165264118300076,925,566
5-2-281.91752544163431
9.55-3-147.30138353813200387,137
95-4-022.500013183727112000126,574,396
4-3-224.60132036271120835
8.54-4-13.400031834301220525,287
3-3-3Out1002
84-5-00.800001721332610200136,189,019
3-4-20.7182032251120888
7.53-5-10.000041836311000447,736
2-4-3Out1001
73-6-00.0000018263923400095,923,368
2-5-2Out182242234579
6.52-6-1Out01731481300234,470
62-7-0Out00217443250042,685,220
1-6-2Out21645326180
5.51-7-1Out0033450121068,970
0-6-3Out1001
51-8-0Out0011348335010,907,489
0-7-2Out445038424
4.50-8-1Out0337451318,706
40-9-0Out0013542841,261,692
Total:24.0%1221711131313121184100528,900,720

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Pittsburgh finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisBaltimoreDenverSan DiegoNew EnglandKansas CityMiamiBuffaloCincinnatiClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
139-0-05.6%100000000000000
12.58-0-14.58831013011000
128-1-03.967731281340110000
7-0-27.1711414
11.57-1-12.9421273414266112000
117-2-01.819161346173771130000
6-1-22.3191511641749825
10.56-2-11.15191667184772230000
106-3-00.81161756153551120000
5-2-20.21171758164532120
9.55-3-10.4011114481221110000
95-4-00.20562241110000000
4-3-20.157125011000
8.54-4-10.0110010000000000
3-3-3No
84-5-00.00000000000000000
3-4-2No0000
7.53-5-1No0000000
2-4-3No
73-6-00.0000000000000
2-5-2No
4-6.5No
Total:0.3%2.24.74.71.51.84.30.71.41.40.30.30.60.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 30 Houston 23 -1.8
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.1
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.0
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 +0.0
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 +0.0
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 +0.0
New England 27 NY Jets 25 +0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-2.2-0.9+1.2
NY Jets vs Buffalo-0.2-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.2-0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.1+0.1+0.0
Carolina vs Seattle-0.1-0.0+0.0
New England vs Chicago-0.0-0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1-0.0+0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.0-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
139-0-0434015100
12.58-0-1273127320100
128-1-04282016700204100
7-0-27213677147
11.57-1-111015161511307300
117-2-0032141063019261321000
6-1-22177522229142
10.56-2-100476601526264500
106-3-000011440323182314610000
5-2-21165322182611610
9.55-3-1000131081124291851000
95-4-00000010032166182418820000
4-3-2010331751823179200
8.54-4-1000000331325281982000
3-3-35050
84-5-0000000001013919252313510000
3-4-21031017262412510
7.53-5-10000028182725145100
2-4-3100
73-6-0000000002514232619820000
2-5-21412222720930
6.52-6-1000141224292082000
62-7-0000013112228221130000
1-6-211410222824741
5.51-7-1002102431239200
0-6-3100
51-8-000001413263119610
0-7-2821421713
4.50-8-10031632311430
40-9-00002102936194
Total:01011110264845777776654332110000