Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.05 to 17.6%
0-1-1   .250

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 37 Kansas City 42 -9.0
-0.7
-1.1
New Orleans 21 Cleveland 18 +0.7
+0.1
Washington 9 Indianapolis 21 -0.4
-0.1
Jacksonville 31 New England 20 +0.1
Denver 20 Oakland 19 -0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh-5.0*+1.8+7.9
-0.3*-0.1+0.5
-0.7+0.3+1.1
Carolina vs Cincinnati+1.0*+0.9-1.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Baltimore vs Denver-0.4*+1.2+0.7
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis+0.3*+0.7-0.4
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers+0.3*-0.3-0.5
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs San Francisco-0.3*+1.2+0.4
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Detroit vs New England+0.3*+0.3-0.3
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Miami vs Oakland-0.2*-1.0+0.3
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Houston vs NY Giants-0.2*-0.7+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Buffalo+0.1*-0.4-0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.514-0-0In991734
1413-0-1In1003
13.513-1-0In96402,828
1312-1-1In881234
12.512-2-0In8017102020,950
1211-2-1In652555183
11.511-3-0100.0%433791100097,496
10-2-2In1001
1110-3-1In2338194152932
10.510-4-099.5827256276000305,074
9-3-2In204020205
109-4-195.521324122717402,757
9.59-5-083.20314162129143000691,329
8-4-288.911112244119
98-5-155.601615102424145105,369
8.58-6-020.801811025291861001,166,562
7-5-230.055202030101020
87-6-17.80040311212820103007,897
7.57-7-01.10100161830271330001,489,290
6-6-24.555545142722
76-7-10.300016172727155108,766
6.56-8-00.00000313283218501,448,390
5-7-2Out1616214719
65-8-10.0000151529311637,289
5.55-9-00.0000004173633101,060,443
4-8-2Out51043331021
54-9-1Out0182641244,406
4.54-10-0Out002134244580,388
3-9-2Out455511
43-10-1Out0735571,851
3.53-11-0Out022178228,772
2-10-2Out40605
32-11-1Out11485559
2.52-12-0Out069461,794
21-12-1Out595112
1.51-13-0Out19910,074
10-13-1Out1006
0.50-14-0Out01001,311
Total:17.6%12334566788910101097,205,712

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeMiamiCincinnatiJacksonvilleKansas CityBaltimoreDenverNY JetsIndianapolisLA ChargersNew EnglandTennesseeClevelandHoustonOaklandBuffalo
14-14.512.8%Yes
13.513-1-012.3100000
1312-1-123.5Yes
12.512-2-012.497000000000000000
1211-2-110.99022121111111
11.511-3-010.380222212221110100
10-2-2NoYes
1110-3-18.560443445522221211
10.510-4-06.435666746554442211
9-3-2No204040
109-4-14.2158109958665443311
9.59-5-03.13988968755452211
8-4-2No11224411
98-5-11.61655745533331111
8.58-6-00.70222312212110000
7-5-2No105555
87-6-10.30111101101000000
7.57-7-00.0000000000000000
6-6-2No5
76-7-10.000000000000
6.56-8-00.0000000000000
5-7-2No
65-8-1No0
5.55-9-0No0000
4-8-2No
0.5-5No
Total:0.9%3.21.51.31.51.70.91.41.31.01.00.80.80.40.40.30.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 37 Kansas City 42 +2.3
Green Bay 29 Minnesota 29 *-0.1
New Orleans 21 Cleveland 18 -0.1
LA Rams 34 Arizona 0 -0.0
Cincinnati 34 Baltimore 23 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh+1.5-1.3-2.4
Kansas City vs San Francisco-0.0-0.2+0.0
Carolina vs Cincinnati-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Denver+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis-0.0-0.1+0.0
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Houston vs NY Giants+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Miami vs Oakland-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Seattle vs Dallas+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Chicago+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Washington vs Green Bay-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
14.514-0-09811
1413-0-1100
13.513-1-090640
1312-1-1711812
12.512-2-062181701020
1211-2-13431213415
11.511-3-0182632590110000
10-2-2100
1110-3-1419231417241502
10.510-4-01711162146023460000
9-3-220402020
109-4-1022111113111151216140
9.59-5-0003410134813245133000
8-4-21111224411
98-5-10116781810132713410
8.58-6-000126011913252313410000
7-5-2555153020155
87-6-100040034132121161052100
7.57-7-0001000013917242214620000
6-6-259142723149
76-7-100000261320201711631000
6.56-8-0000001381724231562000
5-7-252647165
65-8-10001271522211694100
5.55-9-0000001392028241230
4-8-25141033335
54-9-101412212722112
4.54-10-00001416323414
3-9-218184518
43-10-1029233925
3.53-11-000183555
2-10-24060
32-11-1152965
2.52-12-00011287
21-12-1694
1.51-13-0397
10-13-1100
0.50-14-00100
Total:01111122223234433455434554455544