Cleveland Browns Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.4 to 28.2%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 +5.1
+0.4
+0.7
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 -1.0
-0.1
-0.1
Baltimore 26 Pittsburgh 6 +0.7
+0.1
+0.0
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 +0.5
+0.0
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 +0.4
Minnesota 7 New England 30 -0.3
-0.1
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 +0.3
+0.1
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 -0.3
-0.0
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 +0.2
+0.0
Denver 24 Kansas City 17 -0.1
+0.0
Buffalo 29 Miami 10 +0.1
Oakland 14 Houston 30 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland vs Baltimore+9.4*+0.7-10.6
+0.6*-0.1-0.7
+1.1+0.2-1.2
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+0.5*-0.4-1.1
+0.0*-0.2-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Tennessee-0.5*+0.6+0.7
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.5*+0.5+0.6
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
New England vs Oakland-0.4*+0.1+0.6
Miami vs Kansas City-0.3*+0.9+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Denver+0.3*+0.7-0.4
NY Giants vs Houston+0.3*-0.0-0.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.4-0.1
Buffalo vs San Diego+0.0*+0.2-0.1
New Orleans vs Minnesota+0.0*-0.4-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Cleveland finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In10004,187
14.513-0-1In10012
1413-1-0In982020,298
13.512-1-1In9540224
1312-2-0In899002145,197
11-1-2In50502
12.511-2-1In8116021,472
1211-3-0100.0%602740800634,627
10-2-2In33679
11.510-3-1In4435801305,983
1110-4-099.92133173243001,892,054
9-3-2In104519316631
10.59-4-199.68262363160015,773
109-5-094.421120113119510004,059,725
8-4-294.1141844118651
9.58-5-185.903131426291220030,221
98-6-051.00151110252716510006,461,109
7-5-254.8111282427125184
8.57-6-125.301731530281330042,577
87-7-06.100303102227211030007,765,760
6-6-25.5331425212862109
7.56-7-11.10100210243122820044,307
76-8-00.20000016172727165107,065,833
5-7-21.11717242720394
6.55-8-10.000015193128133034,361
65-9-00.00000141529311734,866,571
4-8-2Out514332621258
5.54-9-1Out015203729819,498
54-10-0Out000172542262,482,446
3-9-2Out626442434
4.53-10-1Out021442427,918
43-11-0Out0053164911,239
2-10-2Out22789
3.52-11-1Out0221782,197
32-12-0Out001089228,190
1-11-2Out50502
2.51-12-1Out496390
21-13-0Out029834,840
1.50-13-1Out10032
10-14-0Out01005,260
Total:28.2%344477888888776436,782,784

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Cleveland finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeHoustonCincinnatiBuffaloDenverSan DiegoBaltimoreNew EnglandTennesseeNY JetsMiamiPittsburghIndianapolisOaklandKansas CityJacksonville
14.5-1513.0%Yes
1413-1-013.310000000000000
13.512-1-118.31000
1312-2-012.898000000000000000
11-1-2NoYes
12.511-2-113.7971000000000000
1211-3-011.587211210111101000
10-2-233.3Yes
11.510-3-110.979312321221111110
1110-4-08.254645652343312111
9-3-212.9551066633333
10.59-4-16.334867864554422221
109-5-04.41310981084665433222
8-4-27.814182218861226242
9.58-5-13.1411991084664423222
98-6-01.81666653443312111
7-5-22.47105714106411
8.57-6-10.80333321222111001
87-7-00.20111110110000000
6-6-2No12111
7.56-7-10.1000000000000000
76-8-00.0000000000000000
5-7-2No1
6.55-8-10.0000000
65-9-00.0000000000000
4-8-2No
1-5.5No
Total:1.5%6.32.82.42.32.62.11.11.61.71.31.20.60.80.50.50.4
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/11100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 -1.7
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 +0.1
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 +0.1
Baltimore 26 Pittsburgh 6 -0.1
Buffalo 29 Miami 10 -0.1
Carolina 24 Detroit 7 -0.1
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 +0.1
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 +0.0
San Francisco 20 Chicago 28 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland vs Baltimore-2.0-0.1+2.2
Buffalo vs San Diego-0.1*+0.0+0.1
New England vs Oakland+0.1*-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Houston+0.1*-0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Minnesota-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Tennessee+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Miami vs Kansas City+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-010000
14.513-0-1100
1413-1-095320
13.512-1-192440
1312-2-07514900020
11-1-25050
12.511-2-1661516002
1211-3-033282524008000
10-2-23367
11.510-3-118263147001300
1110-4-04171914152302133000
9-3-23629161931066
10.59-4-1081016184502656000
109-5-002299119217151725100
8-4-22126124291216242
9.58-5-100331010381823612200
98-6-0001045619101520168310000
7-5-2282101712122013651
8.57-6-10011503114122222135100
87-7-000003000338131617151173100000
6-6-23310131520161345
7.56-7-10010001381724231572000
76-8-000000000024813161716127310000
5-7-2111631717201610331
6.55-8-1000128172424157200
65-9-00000002510162020158310
4-8-22999411777
5.54-9-1000281927251440
54-10-0000027162527175
3-9-233123229183
4.53-10-100413313616
43-11-000015193935
2-10-211223333
3.52-11-10163162
32-12-000022276
1-11-2100
2.51-12-10793
21-13-000595
1.50-13-1397
10-14-0199
Total:12222222334455444444444443333322