Cleveland Browns Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.8 to 13.4%
1-2-0   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 24 Tampa Bay 27 +0.9
+0.1
Baltimore 38 Carolina 10 -0.7
-0.0
-0.0
NY Jets 17 Detroit 24 +0.3
+0.1
San Diego 33 Jacksonville 14 -0.3
Oakland 14 Miami 38 -0.3
-0.0
Houston 23 Buffalo 17 +0.1
Kansas City 41 New England 14 -0.1
Indianapolis 41 Tennessee 17 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tennessee vs Cleveland-5.9*+1.5+4.7
-0.2*+0.1+0.2
-1.0+0.2+0.8
Denver vs Arizona-0.6*+0.2+0.7
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Kansas City+0.6*-0.3-0.6
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh+0.6*+1.3-0.4
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
San Diego vs NY Jets-0.2*+0.3+0.4
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Baltimore+0.2*+0.3-0.3
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Detroit vs Buffalo+0.2*+0.4-0.3
+0.0+0.4-0.0
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Houston+0.2*+0.2-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
New England vs Cincinnati+0.3*-0.6-0.2
+0.0*-0.2-0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Cleveland finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1413-0-0In9730888
13.512-0-1In1003
1312-1-0In84100606,035
12.511-1-1In8310769
1211-2-0100.0%472430252040,917
11.510-2-1In40273273391
1110-3-098.61020914316100164,283
9-2-2In1001
10.59-3-197.55121114424201,367
109-4-077.803632739184000447,963
8-3-266.73333333
9.58-4-165.501331842277103,297
98-5-023.00011318332812300860,377
7-4-27.78313815813
8.57-5-19.601182736216105,660
87-6-01.000016183028133001,206,781
6-5-2Out526212121519
7.56-6-10.10192634226106,950
76-7-00.000015183229122001,247,987
5-6-2Out7729437714
6.55-7-1Out0192737214006,195
65-8-0Out001725382350952,647
4-7-2Out279451811
5.54-8-1Out031637331013,857
54-9-0Out0032041297528,795
3-8-2Out2525504
4.53-9-1Out1113838121,680
43-10-0Out002204631207,578
2-9-2Out67333
3.52-10-1Out194248509
32-11-0Out03296854,595
2.51-11-1Out1227667
21-12-0Out08928,618
1-1.5Out1001,031*
Total:13.4%111046899101112119535,758,608

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Cleveland finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeCincinnatiSan DiegoBaltimoreHoustonIndianapolisBuffaloDenverKansas CityMiamiNew EnglandPittsburghNY JetsTennesseeJacksonvilleOakland
1413-0-09.7%1000
13.512-0-133.3Yes
1312-1-09.2940001110011100
12.511-1-117.49311111
1211-2-08.070111446114302000
11.510-2-16.667120457115331
1110-3-04.729343101012339713100
9-2-2NoYes
10.59-3-13.417474101213541071410
109-4-02.13574111010448613100
8-3-2No3333
9.58-4-11.61573119743651210
98-5-00.50231433112101000
7-4-2No8
8.57-5-10.111021101110000
87-6-00.0000000000000000
6-5-2No
7.56-6-1No00000
76-7-0No0000000000
5-6-2No
1-6.5No
Total:0.5%1.70.81.10.61.81.61.60.60.71.20.90.10.50.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 41 Atlanta 28 +0.1
Oakland 14 Miami 38 +0.1
Dallas 38 New Orleans 17 +0.1
Pittsburgh 24 Tampa Bay 27 +0.1
San Francisco 26 Philadelphia 21 +0.0
San Diego 33 Jacksonville 14 +0.0
Baltimore 38 Carolina 10 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee vs Cleveland+2.0-0.4-1.6
New England vs Cincinnati+0.2*+0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs Kansas City-0.0+0.2+0.0
NY Giants vs Atlanta+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Chicago-0.1*-0.3+0.1
Dallas vs Houston+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Baltimore+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Denver vs Arizona+0.0-0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Buffalo+0.0*-0.2-0.1
San Diego vs NY Jets-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs St. Louis-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh+0.0*+0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1413-0-095230
13.512-0-1100
1312-1-06519100060
12.511-1-15825107
1211-2-0202720330024120
11.510-2-1122823432713
1110-3-0199118210359150100
9-2-2100
10.59-3-10448921321224020
109-4-0000324209172810174000
8-3-2333333
9.58-4-1011221414261625810
98-5-00001010341416232012510000
7-4-281523238158
8.57-5-1000108720272112410
87-6-00000011371216191813731000
6-5-2115113226115
7.56-6-10026142425188310
76-7-00000001259141819161041000
5-6-214729211477
6.55-7-10131020262313410
65-8-000001410172322156100
4-7-2364599
5.54-8-1001615282816610
54-9-00001310213024101
3-8-22575
4.53-9-100292934215
43-10-000210294019
2-9-26733
3.52-10-103144539
32-11-00053262
2.51-11-142769
21-12-00892
1.50-12-1100
10-13-0199
Total:00010000223344444555555555554432