Cleveland Browns Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 17.3%
0-1-1   .250

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New Orleans 21 Cleveland 18 -6.9
-0.5
-0.8
Washington 9 Indianapolis 21 -0.4
-0.1
Pittsburgh 37 Kansas City 42 +0.3
+0.0
Jacksonville 31 New England 20 +0.1
Denver 20 Oakland 19 -0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland vs NY Jets+6.5*+0.0-6.5
+0.4*+0.1-0.4
+1.0*+0.0-1.0
Carolina vs Cincinnati+0.9*+0.6-1.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Denver-0.4*-0.1+0.7
-0.0*-0.3+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh+0.4*+0.4-0.7
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis+0.3*-0.2-0.4
+0.0*+0.4-0.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers+0.3*+0.2-0.5
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs New England+0.4*+0.3-0.4
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs San Francisco-0.3*-0.9+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Miami vs Oakland-0.2*-0.2+0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Houston vs NY Giants-0.1*-0.3+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Buffalo+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-0.0*-0.1+0.0
+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
14.514-0-0In1000719
1413-0-1In1003
13.513-1-0In96402,777
1312-1-1In97334
12.512-2-0In8116102021,075
1211-2-1In7022404223
11.511-3-0100.0%443781110095,930
1110-3-1In3036152162862
10.510-4-099.582724627600299,617
9-3-2In3333333
109-4-196.8316231029153002,588
9.59-5-083.20314162229143000681,021
8-4-270.0101010403010
98-5-160.701714122725113005,186
8.58-6-020.4018210252918610001,155,816
7-5-236.4361836911
87-6-19.205041325271872007,992
7.57-7-01.00100161830271330001,480,570
6-6-2Out91432271822
76-7-10.300027192925134108,870
6.56-8-00.00000313283219501,448,955
5-7-2Out162632161119
65-8-1Out0151730301427,374
5.55-9-00.000003163534111,074,285
4-8-2Out2250171118
54-9-1Out0182741234,516
4.54-10-0Out001124145591,129
3-9-2Out27185511
43-10-1Out00634592,017
3.53-11-0Out012079236,377
2-10-2Out1002
32-11-1Out01288571
2.52-12-0Out059564,715
1-11-2Out1001
21-12-1Out199116
1.51-13-0Out19910,875
0.5-1Out1001,402*
Total:17.3%12334566788910101097,205,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeMiamiCincinnatiJacksonvilleKansas CityBaltimoreDenverNY JetsIndianapolisLA ChargersNew EnglandTennesseePittsburghHoustonOaklandBuffalo
14-14.513.2%Yes
13.513-1-014.110000
1312-1-111.8Yes
12.512-2-012.497000100000000000
1211-2-113.992101210000
11.511-3-010.780212312211110000
1110-3-18.566333534223220110
10.510-4-06.535666847554442111
9-3-2No333333
109-4-15.719788967755552221
9.59-5-03.23988968655552221
8-4-2No20201020
98-5-12.21676746534342211
8.58-6-00.70222312212110000
7-5-2No9918
87-6-10.3111101101010000
7.57-7-00.0000000000000000
6-6-2No
76-7-1No000000000
6.56-8-00.0000000000000
5-7-2No
65-8-1No
5.55-9-0No00
4-8-2No
0.5-5No
Total:0.9%3.21.51.31.51.70.91.41.20.90.90.80.80.40.30.30.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans 21 Cleveland 18 +1.8
Green Bay 29 Minnesota 29 *+0.3
Pittsburgh 37 Kansas City 42 -0.1
LA Rams 34 Arizona 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland vs NY Jets-2.0-0.1+2.0
Arizona vs Chicago+0.0-0.3-0.0
Carolina vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.2+0.1
Minnesota vs Buffalo-0.0-0.2+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Denver+0.0*+0.1-0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Seattle vs Dallas+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Miami vs Oakland-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
14.514-0-09910
1413-0-1100
13.513-1-090540
1312-1-185123
12.512-2-062181601020
1211-2-14228193404
11.511-3-0182632580111000
1110-3-1624221414121512
10.510-4-0181116204602346000
9-3-2333333
109-4-1033131310911712141300
9.59-5-0003410124814245133000
8-4-21010104030
98-5-1011668210121521124100
8.58-6-000126011912242414510000
7-5-2927927999
87-6-10040043101721181273100
7.57-7-0001000002817232315720000
6-6-259141827189
76-7-1000025101620191394200
6.56-8-00000012816242416720000
5-7-22121212655
65-8-1002612202219125200
5.55-9-00000391928251340
4-8-2176281711176
54-9-100139202724133
4.54-10-0001415323415
3-9-218927369
43-10-1017243928
3.53-11-000183556
2-10-2100
32-11-1042571
2.52-12-0011288
1-11-2100
21-12-1694
1.51-13-00298
10-13-1100
0.50-14-00100
Total:01111121223234432455434555455554