Cleveland Browns Playoff Chances

Lost to Detroit 17-31, playoff odds down 16.8 to 22.9%
3-3-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -10.3
-0.4
-0.9
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +2.9
+0.1
+0.2
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 -2.4
-0.1
-0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +0.5
+0.0
New England 30 New Orleans 27 -0.4
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +0.2
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 +0.2
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 +0.2
+0.0
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis-0.1*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Green Bay vs Cleveland-5.4+1.5+9.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
-0.5+0.2+1.0
Detroit vs Cincinnati+1.7-1.4-2.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+2.1*+0.9-1.8
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Miami vs Buffalo-0.7+1.3+1.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco-0.5*+0.8+0.7
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs San Diego+0.3*-0.4-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
NY Jets vs New England+0.2*-0.5-0.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Denver-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs Houston+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Cleveland finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1310-0-0In603911,640
12.59-0-1In2263151123
129-1-0In13612321018,272
8-0-2In178312
11.58-1-1In242439221,582
118-2-099.7%12843185600103,732
7-1-2In22546153859
10.57-2-198.593735315107,442
107-3-090.6042238422810337,776
6-2-289.342535322101225
9.56-3-175.908401271940020,461
5-2-380.02010502010
96-4-047.4032711729195000692,467
5-3-248.90227120281930552
8.55-4-122.70150727321530035,470
4-3-315.41531388813
85-5-08.60702122931153000936,159
4-4-27.2611029341630735
7.54-5-11.82031432321430039,068
3-4-37.78233131813
74-6-00.50004163130154000845,230
3-5-20.610318333111300673
6.53-6-10.000031532321530027,652
2-5-3Out67333
63-7-00.0000041631311430502,574
2-6-2Out05162734143353
5.52-7-1Out00417373210011,944
1-6-3Out50502
52-8-0Out0152141303187,881
1-7-2Out14164928380
4.51-8-1Out08354982,907
41-9-0Out0115572739,572
0-8-2Out20404015
3.50-9-1Out65440330
30-10-0Out023763,853
Total:22.9%0141116912131210864313,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Cleveland finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandCincinnatiMiamiTennesseeBaltimoreNY JetsSan DiegoBuffaloPittsburghOaklandHoustonJacksonville
1310-0-05.6%99000000000
12.59-0-11.68511333121
129-1-03.97422126343110010
8-0-28.3Yes
11.58-1-13.744683412786121010
118-2-02.4288114614787121010
7-1-23.42771238151458
10.57-2-11.7914186716788121010
107-3-01.34142078136771210100
6-2-21.341415681676712110
9.56-3-10.9014217810444110010
5-2-3No101010202010
96-4-00.5010145553220100000
5-3-20.4011135662320000
8.55-4-10.258232111000000
4-3-3No88
85-5-00.123110000000000
4-4-2No3210000000
7.54-5-10.01100000000000
3-4-3No8
74-6-00.00000000000000
3-5-2No000
6.53-6-1No000
2-5-3No
63-7-00.0000
2-6-2No
3-5.5No
Total:0.3%1.64.05.81.82.12.61.41.31.30.20.40.10.10.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +2.0
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -0.2
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 +0.2
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 -0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 +0.1
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.0
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 +0.0
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Cleveland+1.3-0.4-2.3
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.2-0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs San Diego-0.2*-0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.0+0.2
Kansas City vs Houston-0.0+0.1+0.2
Washington vs Chicago+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1*+0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs New England+0.1*+0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.0-0.1-0.0
Indianapolis vs Denver+0.0+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1310-0-0332737210
12.59-0-11111567151
129-1-0211382321120100
8-0-2173350
11.58-1-10224193939202
118-2-001622271617031600
7-1-225203115142372
10.57-2-11819183412114110
107-3-00044183181315781000
6-2-246192880216792
9.56-3-10172812011413176100
5-2-32010302020
96-4-000313140131419191031000
5-3-20213141317172110300
8.55-4-1051000761824188200
4-3-3158313115
85-5-001500216142121158310000
4-4-215115112321181121
7.54-5-101000151324261882000
3-4-38158838158
74-6-000000013916212116941000
3-5-2112917192118751
6.53-6-1000026152525178200
2-5-33367
63-7-00000014101823211462000
2-6-21171015202018711
5.52-7-10131123282110200
1-6-35050
52-8-000002818272614400
1-7-239162624166
4.51-8-10141633321220
41-9-00014163331132
0-8-227273313
3.50-9-1052335306
30-10-0017284322
Total:00011365002455666666654443221100