Cleveland Browns Playoff Chances

Beat Atlanta 26-24, playoff odds up 6.2 to 31.2%
7-4-0   .636

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 +9.3
+0.3
+0.8
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 +1.8
+0.1
+0.1
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22 -1.6
-0.1
Denver 39 Miami 36 +1.0
+0.0
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 -0.6
-0.1
New England 34 Detroit 9 -0.1
Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 3 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
New Orleans vs Baltimore+2.3*+1.4-1.5
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs NY Jets-0.1*+0.3+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Buffalo vs Cleveland-13.8+8.5+13.7
-0.4*+0.2+0.4
-1.1+0.8+1.1
Kansas City vs Denver-1.4+4.8+2.0
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati+3.5*+1.7-1.8
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
+0.2+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans-1.8*-0.4+2.7
-0.1*+0.5+0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
NY Jets vs Miami+3.3+3.1-1.0
+0.1*-0.3-0.0
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Tennessee-0.1*+1.7+0.3
-0.0+0.2+0.1
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.2+0.0
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Cleveland finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
125-0-0In14532940134,714
11.54-0-1In114929290542
114-1-098.3%084210251320728,906
10.53-1-195.70326152823402,357
103-2-036.303742233246101,472,688
2-1-233.333673
9.52-2-121.203116363011203,470
92-3-00.4000021434341421,395,316
1-2-2Out132538258
8.51-3-10.101928382032,118
81-4-0Out0021544390625,455
0-3-2Out1001
7.50-4-1Out0938520465
70-5-0Out08911106,101
Total:31.2%0394691212131311804,472,144

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Cleveland finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandIndianapolisDenverKansas CityCincinnatiBaltimorePittsburghMiamiSan DiegoHoustonBuffalo
125-0-05.7%6703155565210
11.54-0-15.459825665622
114-1-02.682218101111119530
10.53-1-12.333221211139107530
103-2-00.7018554452210
2-1-2No33
9.52-2-10.516322231100
92-3-00.000000000000
1-2-2No
8.51-3-1No00
7-8No
Total:0.8%3.30.76.13.03.43.33.33.82.21.30.70.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 -1.6
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 -0.1
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22 +0.1
Seattle 19 Arizona 3 +0.1
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 +0.1
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 +0.0
Denver 39 Miami 36 -0.0
Chicago 21 Tampa Bay 13 +0.0
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 -0.0
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
New Orleans vs Baltimore-0.2*-0.2+0.1
Buffalo vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Cleveland+1.9-1.2-1.8
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.3-0.1+0.2
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.2*-0.0-0.3
Kansas City vs Denver+0.1-0.4-0.1
Baltimore vs San Diego+0.0-0.3-0.0
San Francisco vs Seattle+0.0-0.3-0.0
NY Jets vs Miami-0.2-0.2+0.1
Houston vs Tennessee+0.0*-0.1-0.1
St. Louis vs Oakland+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Detroit vs Chicago+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs NY Giants-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Philadelphia+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
125-0-01132231245400
11.54-0-101016332542910
114-1-000071230101014113200
10.53-1-10342215721176410
103-2-000370046161425186100
2-1-23367
9.52-2-103011151228251130
92-3-00000000162235268100
1-2-225382513
8.51-3-10041330321730
81-4-0002153733122000
0-3-2100
7.50-4-1152242273
70-5-00213303317400
Total:0012364024465989121085210000