Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 84.3%
3-0-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 24 Tampa Bay 27 +1.1
+0.2
+0.1
Baltimore 38 Carolina 10 -0.6
-0.3
-0.1
NY Jets 17 Detroit 24 +0.3
San Diego 33 Jacksonville 14 -0.3
-0.1
-0.0
Oakland 14 Miami 38 -0.2
Houston 23 Buffalo 17 +0.2
Indianapolis 41 Tennessee 17 -0.1
-0.1
Kansas City 41 New England 14 -0.1
+0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England vs Cincinnati-7.3*+0.7+5.3
-2.0*+0.4+1.5
-0.7+0.0+0.5
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh+0.8*+0.6-0.5
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Denver vs Arizona-0.5*-0.0+0.6
-0.0*+0.4+0.0
San Francisco vs Kansas City+0.5*-0.6-0.5
+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Tennessee vs Cleveland+0.5*+0.6-0.4
+0.1*+0.5-0.1
San Diego vs NY Jets-0.2*+0.6+0.5
-0.2*+0.5+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Houston+0.3*-0.1-0.4
+0.1*-0.7-0.2
Indianapolis vs Baltimore+0.2*-0.1-0.2
+0.4*-0.1-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Detroit vs Buffalo+0.2*-0.1-0.3
NY Giants vs Atlanta-0.0*-0.4+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
15.5-16In10057,933*
1512-1-0In10000472,107
14.511-1-1In100003,762
1411-2-0In972001,866,361
10-1-2In10016
13.510-2-1In9630113,605
1310-3-0In861100304,462,901
9-2-2In878539
12.59-3-1In7915106029,294
129-4-0100.0%552840120007,199,377
8-3-2In6518414102
11.58-4-1In39337021042,472
7-3-3In67333
118-5-099.817311722940008,252,710
7-4-2In1830162294119
10.57-5-199.36222033991043,333
107-6-092.1191993223710006,935,831
6-5-292.811321630226197
9.56-6-179.50210825341740031,303
96-7-044.300488242919710004,314,162
5-6-251.9215151921158452
8.55-7-117.401321229311751016,666
85-8-04.20020211242921920001,989,666
4-7-2Out12164816825
7.54-8-10.40002102534226106,511
74-9-00.100000292232259100669,757
3-8-2Out1010305010
6.53-9-1Out018273722501,700
63-10-00.0000021029361940160,221
2-9-2Out1001
5.52-10-1Out214403590302
52-11-0Out005234125526,003
4.51-11-1Out44646426
41-12-0Out042146292,591
3.50-12-1Out50502
30-13-0Out0331652,956
Total:84.3%321693168543211000036,602,016

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeSan DiegoBaltimoreHoustonIndianapolisBuffaloDenverKansas CityMiamiNew EnglandPittsburghClevelandNY JetsTennesseeJacksonvilleOakland
15.5-1621.5%Yes
1512-1-021.51000000000000
14.511-1-121.81000
1411-2-021.3100000000000000000
10-1-225.0Yes
13.510-2-121.599000000000000
1310-3-020.797000110000000000
9-2-233.39533
12.59-3-120.193001120011000000
129-4-018.484112231122001000
8-3-212.78212422331
11.58-4-116.671223462233101000
7-3-333.3Yes
118-5-013.448455684464212100
7-4-216.0491765103357311
10.57-5-110.8285789115576213100
107-6-08.0107101010116676323100
6-5-29.314715119953562121
9.56-6-15.827101110105565323100
96-7-03.20566543333211000
5-6-21.926212482210222
8.55-7-11.20223221111001000
85-8-00.30101100000000000
4-7-2No
7.54-8-10.10000000000
74-9-00.0000000000000
3-8-2No
6.53-9-1No
63-10-0No00000
2-9-2No
3-5.5No
Total:12.5%47.63.04.14.34.65.32.52.63.52.81.20.81.40.40.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 24 Tampa Bay 27 -0.1
Baltimore 38 Carolina 10 +0.1
San Diego 33 Jacksonville 14 +0.0
Houston 23 Buffalo 17 -0.0
Dallas 38 New Orleans 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Cincinnati+1.5+0.1-1.1
Indianapolis vs Baltimore-0.3+0.1+0.3
San Diego vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh-0.1*-0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Kansas City-0.0+0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Cleveland-0.1*-0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Buffalo-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1613-0-01000
15.512-0-1100
1512-1-099000
14.511-1-199100
1411-2-09532000
10-1-28119
13.510-2-1915301
1310-3-07611100000300
9-2-2771085
12.59-3-1592014010060
129-4-034212624001200000
8-3-24619162414
11.58-4-114252767002010
7-3-36733
118-5-041321101612027340000
7-4-2811181315122544
10.57-5-1067151553029109010
107-6-00127117812013212710000
6-5-2111213761119227
9.56-6-100228625202212164100
96-7-000000353171212181712620000
5-6-221246106138151942
8.55-7-10011302011719251993100
85-8-0000010002149151818159410000
4-7-2161220241288
7.54-8-1000026132325189310
74-9-0000000001261117201914731000
3-8-21010102020101010
6.53-9-1013819262413610
63-10-0000001511182321136100
2-9-2100
5.52-10-1131524272361
52-11-0001411222823102
4.51-11-1483535154
41-12-00211264022
3.50-12-15050
30-13-00063262
Total:23912472311346242211111100000000000