Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.001 to 79.9%
9-4-1   .679

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs DenverIn+6.9-14.7
+0.4+0.0-0.3
+0.8-0.0-0.6
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City+8.3-8.6-8.6
+0.1-0.2-0.1
-0.0-0.3+0.0
San Francisco vs San Diego+4.4-3.9-3.9
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Buffalo+4.1+4.0-0.9
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Houston vs Baltimore+2.3+2.2-1.8
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.3-0.2
NY Jets vs New England+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Dallas vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-12.7+17.9In
-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.8+0.5+1.2
New England vs Buffalo+4.1+4.1-10.3
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Baltimore vs Cleveland-1.8+6.2+6.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.3+0.3
Kansas City vs San Diego+0.3-7.2-0.6
-0.0-0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.2-0.0
Denver vs Oakland-0.0+0.3+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.0-0.0
+0.2-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
11.52-0-0In075439574,814,059
111-0-1In09911,139,057
10.51-1-0In33947121,698,452,320
0-0-2In2255023554
100-1-187.1%142845131,680,820
9.50-2-043.3439461001,248,696,374
Total:79.9%011025242016403,524,783,184

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandDenverIndianapolisBaltimorePittsburghKansas CitySan DiegoBuffaloHoustonMiamiCleveland
11.52-0-02.0%739231592400
111-0-11.704529185010
10.51-1-01.4101532311830000
0-0-21.3112327261740
100-1-11.11142526920
9.50-2-00.5023019
Total:1.2%1.20.30.215.821.825.610.92.70.40.90.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs Denver-1.8-0.0+1.3
Houston vs Baltimore-0.6-0.6+0.5
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City+0.1+0.5-0.1
Dallas vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs San Diego-0.1+0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Buffalo-0.1-0.1+0.0
Washington vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs New England-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati+1.7-1.2-2.7
Baltimore vs Cleveland+0.2-0.8-0.8
New England vs Buffalo-0.1+0.0+0.3
Denver vs Oakland+0.0-0.3-0.3
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.2+0.0+0.0
Kansas City vs San Diego-0.0+0.2+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
11.52-0-00016322239
111-0-1002791
10.51-1-0033914639
0-0-2225149617
100-1-114028342751
9.50-2-043954290
Total:0001552502311821530