Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances

Lost to New Orleans 14-51, playoff odds down 21.5 to 17.3%
5-4-0   .556

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 -7.9
-0.1
-0.5
Tennessee 34 New England 10 -1.8
+0.0
-0.1
Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 -1.8
-0.0
-0.1
Green Bay 31 Miami 12 +1.4
+0.1
Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20 -0.6
-0.0
NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41 +0.3
+0.1
Indianapolis 29 Jacksonville 26 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Baltimore vs Cincinnati-6.6+3.1+22.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.4+1.5
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+1.1-2.4-1.5
-0.0-0.2+0.0
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh+0.9-0.1-0.4
LA Chargers vs Denver-0.3-0.3+0.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Washington vs Houston+0.2+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
127-0-0In1074110508,466,317
11.56-0-1In3503358165,065
116-1-099.9%02532826800107,908,108
5-0-2In125307297205
10.55-1-198.7072419242510736,496
105-2-092.60211142046700595,205,162
4-1-292.7110132049702,055
9.54-2-164.80210647305003,208,655
3-1-3In1001
94-3-040.500423440172001,679,488,644
3-2-241.903236411626,690
8.53-3-18.2001073340172006,828,920
2-2-350.050502
83-4-02.500002144033910002,587,223,998
2-3-22.80315413291010,005
7.52-4-10.1002143835111007,433,001
1-3-3Out75254
72-5-00.00003213829810002,161,411,923
1-4-2Out032137299106,955
6.51-5-10.00002163932101003,888,756
0-4-3Out1001
61-6-0Out00031937301010899,883,006
0-5-2Out31637331111,727
5.50-6-1Out00319433050757,818
50-7-0Out0032149252142,549,350
Total:17.3%01122111317171310642108,205,082,864

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityNew EnglandPittsburghLA ChargersHoustonTennesseeBaltimoreIndianapolisMiamiDenverJacksonvilleClevelandNY JetsBuffaloOakland
127-0-01.9%830243321110000
11.56-0-11.453141411652220000
116-1-00.9261121910138343000000
5-0-21.02711422815823
10.55-1-10.57316241615933300000
105-2-00.323192312188332000000
4-1-20.512192511189232000
9.54-2-10.2021617813511100000
3-1-3NoYes
94-3-00.10111103102110000000
3-2-20.111211311301000
8.53-3-10.0002212000000000
2-2-3No50
83-4-00.00011010000000000
2-3-20.00110100
7.52-4-10.000000000000
1-3-3No
72-5-00.000000000000
1-4-2No
6.51-5-1No0
0-4-3No
5-6No
Total:0.1%0.50.54.24.31.73.71.20.40.40.20.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/8100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 +1.0
Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 +0.2
Tennessee 34 New England 10 +0.1
Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16 -0.1
NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41 -0.0
LA Rams 36 Seattle 31 -0.0
Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20 +0.0
Tampa Bay 3 Washington 16 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/15100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore vs Cincinnati+0.8-0.3-2.6
Indianapolis vs Tennessee-0.0+0.2+0.0
New Orleans vs Philadelphia-0.1+0.1+0.2
Atlanta vs Dallas-0.0+0.2+0.0
LA Chargers vs Denver-0.0+0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Carolina+0.0+0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Minnesota-0.0+0.0+0.1
Washington vs Houston+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
127-0-001012628300500
11.56-0-103644231050801
116-1-0000251022712158000
5-0-2125111972637
10.55-1-100751916217724110
105-2-0002110868123977000
4-1-21197681241870
9.54-2-100255153116296000
3-1-3100
94-3-000013021123411620000
3-2-20130212254015200
8.53-3-1000100171532281331000
2-2-35050
83-4-0000000026213125123100000
2-3-20003520322412310
7.52-4-1000003102229221030000
1-3-3255025
72-5-000000031123292210300000
1-4-20031123282210310
6.51-5-10000031123292192000
0-4-3100
61-6-0000014132529198200000
0-5-201310262920920
5.50-6-100015162929164100
50-7-0000029233023103000
Total:00010111115611101096786433211000000