Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 25.1%
3-2-1   .583

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 -8.3
-0.7
-0.6
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 +2.8
+0.1
+0.1
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.9
-0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.8
-0.1
-0.1
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 -0.8
-0.1
Chicago 14 Miami 27 -0.5
-0.1
Pittsburgh 30 Houston 23 +0.5
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 -0.4
-0.0
New England 27 NY Jets 25 -0.2
-0.0
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+14.4*+0.8-6.7
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
+1.2+0.1-0.6
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.9*-0.2+2.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-1.5*+0.1+0.8
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.5+1.0+1.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Buffalo+0.8*+0.1-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs Houston+0.7*-0.0-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.0
New England vs Chicago-0.4*-0.4+0.8
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami+0.8*-0.1-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Denver vs San Diego+0.4*-0.1-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
13.510-0-0In946027,795
139-0-1In75214223
12.59-1-0In582830110286,476
128-1-1In25412011302,223
11.58-2-0100.0%113018138201,486,554
7-1-2In50506
117-2-199.221428935111010,241
10.57-3-096.40515743283004,482,660
6-2-296.63214824329
106-3-178.80171221381740026,435
9.56-4-051.90014937351220008,666,612
5-3-261.441840281157
95-4-119.900321529311541043,326
8.55-5-04.2000041834291320011,192,197
4-4-22.229354112192
84-5-10.60004152931163045,977
7.54-6-00.000000417343211009,763,422
3-5-2Out1203238871
73-6-1Out0041840334031,744
6.53-7-0Out0006295212005,666,977
2-6-2Out83055840
62-7-1Out011255275013,580
1-6-3Out1001
5.52-8-0Out00341469102,086,935
1-7-2Out40501010
51-8-1Out0214329713,211
4.51-9-0Out084238111439,790
0-8-2Out50502
40-9-1Out11543338329
3.50-10-0Out0835431343,401
Total:25.1%1222711121212121211410044,320,416

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisBaltimoreDenverSan DiegoNew EnglandKansas CityMiamiBuffaloPittsburghClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
13.510-0-05.8%1000000000
139-0-16.3962100
12.59-1-05.08621114122000000
128-1-13.766244564330110
11.58-2-02.8419845144661110000
7-1-2No50171717
117-2-11.8161116891566621200
10.57-3-01.25161878185771120000
6-2-23.431714721107143
106-3-10.8114178813454112000
9.56-4-00.5011135592331110000
5-3-2No161952112242
95-4-10.2045223111000000
8.55-5-00.00110010000000000
4-4-2No2
84-5-10.0000000000000
7.54-6-00.000000000000
3-5-2No
3.5-7No
Total:0.4%2.54.35.01.92.14.31.01.51.50.30.20.50.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 +1.3
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.2
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +0.2
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +0.1
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.0
New England 27 NY Jets 25 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-2.4-0.7+1.1
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.1-0.2-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.1*-0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Buffalo-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1-0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0-0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.0+0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-0.0*-0.1+0.0
New England vs Chicago-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
13.510-0-08014600
139-0-135401914
12.59-1-026322623001100
128-1-1322221818111120
11.58-2-0110151517110307200
7-1-25050
117-2-10221217109015211011
10.57-3-0000487601527244300
6-2-2310107411773
106-3-100126111219182017300
9.56-4-00000131091225281640000
5-3-2418122825122
95-4-100021022132227199310
8.55-5-000000000431526271762000
4-4-222162929138
84-5-1000001412222420114100
7.54-6-000000000392028241241000
3-5-2118202121144
73-6-100028172524167200
6.53-7-00001414262918610000
2-6-233232033183
62-7-10015142427198200
1-6-3100
5.52-8-000031326301971000
1-7-220302030
51-8-101514262817710
4.51-9-000151832291320
0-8-25050
40-9-127203225131
3.50-10-00031737349
Total:01111110355677876676544322110000