Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.9 to 14.8%
3-4-1   .438

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 30 Dallas 35 +1.9
+0.1
Baltimore 28 Cleveland 7 -1.0
-0.0
-0.1
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 -0.2
Carolina 17 Kansas City 20 -0.2
San Diego 24 Miami 31 +0.1
-0.0
NY Jets 6 Los Angeles 9 +0.1
Tennessee 47 Green Bay 25 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Cincinnati-5.0+0.3+7.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.7+0.5+1.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs Buffalo+7.5-0.1-5.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+1.2+0.4-0.8
Dallas vs Baltimore+1.8-2.0-4.1
+0.1-0.1-0.3
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh+3.8+0.9-1.5
+0.3+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay-0.0+0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Houston-0.0+0.1+0.1
Los Angeles vs Miami+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Tennessee-0.0+0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Jacksonville+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
11.58-0-0In1047430109,713,046
117-0-1In328681785,217
10.57-1-099.9%011808000001,149,105,418
6-0-299.90118081002,652
106-1-198.1047515132007,679,887
5-0-3In50506
9.56-2-090.600473815720005,574,779,942
5-1-289.8147371582021,860
95-2-169.3002735171711200031,636,598
4-1-373.04624322537
8.55-3-043.2053701922197100015,202,912,604
4-2-241.505360192319710074,068
84-3-119.10117006212818710071,148,547
3-2-314.61136193021989
7.54-4-06.70070021128331730025,456,822,972
3-3-26.306021128321730132,398
2-2-4Out1001
73-4-11.6020015203528100094,266,157
2-3-30.81527342211131
6.53-5-00.10000011238445026,752,268,241
2-4-20.2000112384450129,869
62-5-10.000017325380073,372,362
1-4-3Out33455888
5.52-6-0Out000756344017,186,110,436
1-5-2Out0656344067,010
51-6-1Out00451396030,955,116
0-5-3Out554511
4.51-7-0Out0020532606,146,969,450
0-6-2Out0205426013,865
40-7-1Out013553015,438,215
3.50-8-0Out229626939,333,899
Total:14.8%00410002469121624113098,833,740,192

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandKansas CityOaklandDenverHoustonBaltimorePittsburghTennesseeMiamiBuffaloIndianapolisSan DiegoJacksonvilleNY Jets
11.58-0-03.0%56068121131731100
117-0-12.231011141612421051200
10.57-1-01.611114182115531161200
6-0-21.5111151722136211713
106-1-11.34115202325531171200
5-0-3No17501717
9.56-2-01.1021622221542961200
5-1-21.111152223134297120
95-2-10.8011317172322651100
4-1-35.4141914338833
8.55-3-00.501913110001340000
4-2-20.50191211000133000
84-3-10.2004650000120000
3-2-3No26123
7.54-4-00.1001220000110000
3-3-20.101220001000
2-2-4No
73-4-10.000000000000000
2-3-3No1
6.53-5-00.0000000000000
2-4-2No00000000
62-5-10.00000000000
1-4-3No
3.5-5.5No
Total:0.2%0.20.22.94.03.70.10.30.30.31.31.10.10.20.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/10100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 30 Dallas 35 -0.2
Baltimore 28 Cleveland 7 +0.1
Carolina 17 Kansas City 20 -0.1
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 -0.1
New England 24 Seattle 31 +0.0
Washington 26 Minnesota 20 +0.0
Philadelphia 24 Atlanta 15 +0.0
Arizona 23 San Francisco 20 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Cincinnati+1.6-0.5-2.6
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs Buffalo-2.4-0.3+1.7
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh-0.5-0.1+0.2
Dallas vs Baltimore-0.2+0.2+0.4
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay-0.1+0.1+0.1
Los Angeles vs Miami+0.1-0.1-0.0
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+0.0-0.1-0.0
Washington vs Green Bay-0.0+0.1+0.1
Carolina vs New Orleans+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
11.58-0-019271942100
117-0-1031018561210
10.57-1-0002105624800000000
6-0-20295624700000
106-1-10004255011311302000
5-0-35050
9.56-2-000093826120032720000
5-1-201938251101327300
95-2-1000126112401158127200000
4-1-3343111431485
8.55-3-0005730000129161693100000
4-2-20057290012917161031000
84-3-1001116000014111819148310000
3-2-3113131019301812
7.54-4-000007000002817252313510000
3-3-200600028182522134100
2-2-4100
73-4-100200000141018232114620000
2-3-313471725231173
6.53-5-000000000272031261220000
2-4-20002820302611200
62-5-100000016152628175100
1-4-3165163124136
5.52-6-000002102936194000
1-5-200210303619400
51-6-10000313313316400
0-5-399936279
4.51-7-0000021336361310
0-6-201133636131
40-7-1000523382860
3.50-8-00052647202
Total:00001337000011332356657998863100