Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances

Beat Buffalo 27-24, playoff odds up 20.2 to 61.2%
4-2-0   .667

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 +9.8
+0.4
+0.9
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +3.0
+0.1
+0.2
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +2.5
+0.1
+0.2
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +0.6
+0.0
New England 30 New Orleans 27 -0.5
-0.1
-0.1
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +0.2
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.2
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 +0.1
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 +0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis-0.2*-0.3+0.1
+0.1*-0.3-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Cincinnati-6.8+4.0+10.1
-0.4*-0.2+0.5
-0.5+0.2+0.8
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+2.8+2.3-2.5
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Cleveland+1.8*-0.2-3.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Tennessee vs San Francisco-0.6*+0.7+0.8
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Miami vs Buffalo-0.5*+0.2+0.8
Jacksonville vs San Diego+0.4*+0.5-0.2
NY Jets vs New England+0.2*-0.1-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Denver-0.1*-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1410-0-0In782205,960
13.59-0-1In46512419
139-1-0In415540052,317
8-0-2In25651020
12.58-1-1In13701713,581
128-2-0In106424200217,930
7-1-2In14612141111
11.57-2-1In14245120113,634
6-1-3In1001
117-3-099.9%13145182300534,512
6-2-2In133441713362
10.56-3-199.40104141161028,452
5-2-3In2525504
106-4-094.7052845215500846,065
5-3-296.05274921231643
9.55-4-185.4111561161230038,747
4-3-380.030502010
95-5-059.0043901524143000904,776
4-4-262.444201622132736
8.54-5-136.201290623271220034,293
3-4-333.33333333
84-6-014.30120214292813300658,810
3-5-215.51321427301120523
7.53-6-15.005031431301430019,591
2-5-333.33333333
73-7-01.10101517302914300324,012
2-6-2Out131628311830245
6.52-7-10.100313323316207,298
62-8-00.000141631311420103,332
1-7-2Out22030311754
5.51-8-1Out03173634901,524
51-9-0Out005234228118,865
0-8-2Out132525388
4.50-9-1Out11339398135
40-10-0Out022163141,904
Total:61.2%110162518109754211003,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandMiamiTennesseeBaltimoreClevelandNY JetsSan DiegoBuffaloPittsburghOaklandHoustonJacksonville
1410-0-08.2%10000
13.59-0-16.49801100
139-1-07.29600001110000000
8-0-25.09055
12.58-1-16.082111034221110100
128-2-05.873131245431110100
7-1-22.7751225552114
11.57-2-14.443592389752211100
6-1-3NoYes
117-3-03.93171235910952211100
6-2-22.53561144109106210120
10.56-3-12.61015234599962311100
5-2-3No25252525
106-4-02.3516246788952211100
5-3-21.751925658794221010
9.55-4-11.8120305655631211100
4-3-3No10203020
95-5-01.1014215533421100000
4-4-21.2152155434212000
8.54-5-10.701015232110010000
3-4-3No33
84-6-00.3461110000000000
3-5-20.2661110000
7.53-6-10.1230000000000
2-5-3No33
73-7-00.00100000000000
2-6-2No
6.52-7-1No000
62-8-0No00000
1-7-2No
4-5.5No
Total:1.9%11.59.114.03.13.84.34.54.62.60.91.20.60.40.60.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 -1.7
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -0.2
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -0.2
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 -0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 +0.1
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.0
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Dallas vs Washington+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Cincinnati+1.2-0.3-1.7
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.3-0.2+0.3
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.1*+0.0+0.3
NY Jets vs New England-0.1+0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1410-0-066122200
13.59-0-136105102
139-1-023195234000
8-0-2151060510
12.58-1-1676461701
128-2-028432123120000
7-1-25938232141
11.57-2-1012319414120001
6-1-3100
117-3-0019223114180203000
6-2-21925311417113
10.56-3-10192120392106010
5-2-3252550
106-4-0005820387111235000
5-3-205918436018440
9.55-4-1011114017009811300
4-3-32010203020
95-5-0004221700510191562000
4-4-204221900511191441
8.54-5-1001920006515201572000
3-4-3333333
84-6-00390022817221911510000
3-5-2310214172122136100
7.53-6-100400015132325178200
2-5-3333333
73-7-0001000014101923211362000
2-6-2227172721138300
6.52-7-100015142426198200
62-8-00001411202521135100
1-7-2249172819194
5.51-8-11382229241120
51-9-0002819282512310
0-8-213383813
4.50-9-15192933104
40-10-0015183428122
Total:115688188004465544332211110000000