Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.7 to 52.4%
7-3-1   .682

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22 +17.3
+0.5
+1.4
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 -1.8
-0.1
New Orleans 27 Baltimore 34 -1.7
-0.1
-0.2
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 +1.7
+0.1
+0.1
Denver 39 Miami 36 +1.0
+0.0
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 -0.4
-0.0
New England 34 Detroit 9 -0.1
Buffalo 38 NY Jets 3 -0.1
-0.0
Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 3 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-21.3-5.3+10.6
-0.8-0.2+0.4
-1.5-0.4+0.7
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans-1.7+0.2+2.7
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Buffalo vs Cleveland+1.4-1.1-2.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs Miami+2.6-0.6-0.6
+0.2-0.0-0.0
Kansas City vs Denver-1.0-1.5+1.5
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.4+1.5+0.8
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.2+0.2
Houston vs Tennessee-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.0*-0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs New England+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
12.55-0-0In5545157,490,557
124-0-1In1769131660,802
11.54-1-0In1151232120867,920,392
3-0-2In9462821501,093
113-1-199.8%1203723154002,878,008
10.53-2-096.303201435234001,860,220,942
2-1-294.6319133525503,460
102-2-156.20051882526162004,538,918
1-1-325.02550254
9.52-3-015.20021123234153001,920,110,049
1-2-212.501110293618403,615
91-3-11.000014213728813,050,160
0-2-3Out50502
8.51-4-00.00000052240276946,244,522
0-3-2Out0320413061,195
80-4-1Out004275019732,498
7.50-5-0Out0183854176,791,879
Total:52.4%3101051311121297535,940,648,096

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandIndianapolisDenverKansas CityBaltimorePittsburghMiamiClevelandSan DiegoHoustonBuffalo
12.55-0-06.4%Yes
124-0-15.48500223131101
11.54-1-04.46209347252211
3-0-23.955011469353310
113-1-12.621211101215696522
10.53-2-01.63226101016785531
2-1-21.5322510918676521
102-2-10.80211899544311
1-1-3No25
9.52-3-00.2014213201000
1-2-20.204213101000
91-3-10.000000000000
0-2-3No
8.51-4-00.000000000000
0-3-2No
7.5-8No
Total:1.4%12.81.010.84.24.37.02.93.22.42.11.20.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22 -2.4
New Orleans 27 Baltimore 34 +0.3
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 +0.2
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 -0.1
Seattle 19 Arizona 3 +0.1
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 +0.0
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 +0.0
Denver 39 Miami 36 -0.0
Buffalo 38 NY Jets 3 +0.0
Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati+2.6+0.3-1.3
Baltimore vs San Diego+0.2-0.5-0.4
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.2-0.1-0.2
Buffalo vs Cleveland-0.1+0.1+0.2
NY Jets vs Miami-0.2-0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Washington+0.0+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs Denver+0.0+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs Seattle+0.0+0.1-0.0
Houston vs Tennessee+0.0-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs New England-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
12.55-0-02728423
124-0-121434351221
11.54-1-00111833194211100
3-0-208143223521410
113-1-101218132323873100
10.53-2-0000341714102618630000
2-1-20331613102519650
102-2-1000051817101627133000
1-1-3252550
9.52-3-00002011111430261230000
1-2-20111917322610200
91-3-100000013132528208100
0-2-35050
8.51-4-0000000002102835205000
0-3-2021229341940
80-4-1000312273618300
7.50-5-000052443234000
Total:12464650596561096564210000