Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.4 to 25.5%
3-2-1   .583

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver 35 San Diego 21 +0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+14.5+1.0-6.7
+0.3*-0.0-0.1
+1.2+0.1-0.6
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.8*-0.2+2.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-1.5*+0.2+0.8
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.5+0.9+1.3
-0.0+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Buffalo+0.9+0.8-0.6
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Tennessee vs Houston+0.8*+0.0-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami+0.9*+0.1-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.0
New England vs Chicago-0.4-0.4+0.8
-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+4.2-6.0-12.3
+0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.5-1.2
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.7*+0.1+2.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Miami vs San Diego+1.1-0.9-0.8
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.5+0.6+1.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.8+1.0+0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.8*-0.3+0.7
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
New England vs Denver-0.3-0.6+0.3
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
13.510-0-0In9370139,880
139-0-1In7521311,086
12.59-1-0In5332401101,456,649
8-0-2In1002
128-1-1100.0%2538201150011,552
11.58-2-0100.01029191382007,704,089
7-1-2In19252262836
117-2-199.421328936101053,270
10.57-3-097.004147462530023,577,494
6-2-298.3611646292173
106-3-180.501712243716300139,895
9.56-4-055.6001412393210100046,190,709
5-3-257.034113931102356
95-4-121.9003316293015400231,545
8.55-5-05.0000041934281220060,424,105
4-4-23.3031936291020523
84-5-10.7000141629311630248,680
3-4-3Out1001
7.54-6-00.0000004183532110053,324,530
3-5-2Out04183432100406
73-6-10.000004193933500174,076
6.53-7-00.00001630521200031,260,231
2-6-2Out142656120217
62-7-1Out0112542850074,648
5.52-8-0Out003414691011,618,678
1-7-2Out341495261
51-8-1Out002142297018,199
4.51-9-0Out0842381112,455,385
0-8-2Out20805
40-9-1Out115393681,910
3.50-10-0Out09354313242,009
Total:25.5%12218111212111212114100239,350,400

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Cincinnati finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisDenverBaltimoreNew EnglandSan DiegoKansas CityMiamiBuffaloPittsburghClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
13.510-0-05.9%100000000000
139-0-14.39601110000
12.59-1-04.885211411220000000
8-0-2No5050
128-1-13.663326664331110
11.58-2-02.7399381554661120000
7-1-25.644363118631133
117-2-11.815126161696772130000
10.57-3-01.25166182065881120000
6-2-21.2624417165861211
106-3-10.81157181474551120000
9.56-4-00.50125141132331110000
5-3-20.314713831421110
95-4-10.20526421110000000
8.55-5-00.00102100000000000
4-4-2No11110
84-5-10.000000000000
3-4-3No
7.54-6-00.00000000000000
3-5-2No
73-6-1No000
6.53-7-0No0
2-6-2No
3.5-6No
Total:0.3%2.34.71.85.34.71.51.01.71.60.30.20.50.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-2.4-0.8+1.1
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.1-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.1-0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1-0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs Buffalo-0.1-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0-0.0-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota-0.0-0.1+0.0
Carolina vs Seattle-0.0+0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.8+0.4+2.4
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.1-0.2+0.0
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0-0.1-0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.1-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.0-0.0
Minnesota vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
13.510-0-07914700
139-0-1344120131
12.59-1-024292934001100
8-0-2100
128-1-13222216181112300
11.58-2-0191415181103182000
7-1-21981714861414
117-2-10221117119016219110
10.57-3-0000487601630224300
6-2-2674618282542
106-3-1001261113211720163000
9.56-4-000001310121226261430000
5-3-203301111623271330
95-4-1000210221423271882000
8.55-5-0000000004415272616610000
4-4-20341930241242
84-5-10000011514232418103100
3-4-3100
7.54-6-000000000392028231241000
3-5-2031122272682
73-6-100001391825231461000
6.53-7-0000001414262918610000
2-6-241530301550
62-7-100151525261872000
5.52-8-0000031326301971000
1-7-22112148162
51-8-10015162627176100
4.51-9-000151832291220
0-8-28020
40-9-1028233124102
3.50-10-00031737339
Total:00111110355767776676544322110000