Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 51.2%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati 34 Baltimore 23 -10.3
-1.7
-1.0
New Orleans 21 Cleveland 18 +1.0
+0.1
+0.1
Pittsburgh 37 Kansas City 42 +0.7
+0.1
+0.1
Washington 9 Indianapolis 21 -0.4
Jacksonville 31 New England 20 +0.3
Denver 20 Oakland 19 -0.2
Buffalo 20 LA Chargers 31 -0.1
Tennessee 20 Houston 17 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Baltimore vs Denver+8.6-2.8-13.6
+1.1*-0.3-1.8
+0.8-0.2-1.3
Carolina vs Cincinnati+1.4*-0.2-1.5
+0.3*-0.0-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh+0.8*-1.3-1.2
+0.1*+0.7-0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
LA Rams vs LA Chargers+0.4*-0.3-0.7
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs San Francisco-0.4*+0.1+0.6
-0.1*-0.3+0.1
Detroit vs New England+0.5*+0.6-0.5
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis+0.4*-1.2-0.5
+0.0*-0.4-0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Miami vs Oakland-0.3*+2.2+0.5
-0.1*+0.4+0.2
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Houston vs NY Giants-0.2*-1.0+0.3
Cleveland vs NY Jets-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Minnesota vs Buffalo+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs Tennessee-0.1*+0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Baltimore finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In100002,675
14.513-0-1In10021
1413-1-0In9730023,942
13.512-1-1In955234
1312-2-0In86110020123,860
12.511-2-1In7817241,065
1211-3-0100.0%572950900389,230
10-2-2In50508
11.510-3-1In3938911303,043
1110-4-099.9203418322200840,122
9-3-2In10504010
10.59-4-199.672626827605,946
109-5-095.92132313291640001,313,221
8-4-294.75521212616519
9.58-5-184.50315182127123008,343
98-6-058.9017161125231341001,526,821
7-5-250.08138212521424
8.57-6-125.1011121125271651008,751
87-7-09.60050412232619820001,346,502
6-6-210.073171727177730
7.56-7-11.92017183026123106,578
76-8-00.5010002819282514410905,762
5-7-2Out823155413
6.55-8-10.1001414283117403,937
65-9-00.0000015173130142460,262
4-8-2Out204020205
5.54-9-1Out04163433111,638
54-10-0Out00018284220174,160
3-9-2Out1001
4.53-10-1Out1124245467
43-11-0Out017375548,159
3.52-11-1Out42473102
32-12-0Out016849,100
2.51-12-1Out99111
21-13-0Out4961,046
10-14-0Out298604
Total:51.2%888711987765543217,205,712

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Baltimore finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeMiamiCincinnatiJacksonvilleKansas CityDenverNY JetsIndianapolisLA ChargersNew EnglandTennesseePittsburghClevelandHoustonOaklandBuffalo
1514-0-019.4%1000
14.513-0-142.9Yes
1413-1-019.9100000000000000
13.512-1-120.1Yes
1312-2-019.097000000000000000
12.511-2-118.4940010110000000
1211-3-017.286111221111100000
10-2-2NoYes
11.510-3-116.177223322221200100
1110-4-013.155455554333311111
9-3-2No60201010
10.59-4-110.133787766554422211
109-5-08.1158108987655522221
8-4-2No112151116555555
9.58-5-16.0391081087565533221
98-6-03.91676765443322111
7-5-2No813413444
8.57-6-11.80323332121110110
87-7-00.60111111111100000
6-6-2No37
7.56-7-10.10000000000000
76-8-00.000000000000000
5-7-2No
6.55-8-1No0000
65-9-00.00000000000
4-8-2No
1-5.5No
Total:5.3%16.03.74.23.64.13.63.12.42.42.12.00.90.90.90.70.4
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati 34 Baltimore 23 +2.0
Green Bay 29 Minnesota 29 *+0.3
New Orleans 21 Cleveland 18 -0.1
Tennessee 20 Houston 17 -0.0
Tampa Bay 27 Philadelphia 21 -0.0
Pittsburgh 37 Kansas City 42 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore vs Denver-1.6+0.3+2.5
Carolina vs Cincinnati-0.2*+0.1+0.2
Miami vs Oakland+0.1*-0.5-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh-0.0*+0.2+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tennessee+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Buffalo+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs New England-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Indianapolis-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Seattle vs Dallas-0.0*+0.3+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-099100
14.513-0-1100
1413-1-0934300
13.512-1-18965
1312-2-0731311000200
12.511-2-1601717024
1211-3-034242724009000
10-2-2252550
11.510-3-117233349011300
1110-4-05162212171302112000
9-3-210401040
10.59-4-116101621580244600
109-5-002310131012120101514100
8-4-255165211116165
9.58-5-100341114481323412300
98-6-000116872914121714721000
7-5-28488813171788
8.57-6-10013821910222313510
87-7-00001400041612171916116210000
6-6-273310202310203
7.56-7-10200027162323168210
76-8-0001000001361217191713731000
5-7-2815313188
6.55-8-1000127162224168210
65-9-000000139152122169310
4-8-2204040
5.54-9-100281729241450
54-10-000026152628185
3-9-2100
4.53-10-10416303614
43-11-00015194034
3.52-11-11123354
32-12-00032374
2.51-12-12773
21-13-00793
10-14-0298
Total:44535343746354444333332222211110