Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.003 to 75.2%
5-3-0   .625

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati 27 Baltimore 24 -7.9
-3.4
-0.9
Pittsburgh 51 Indianapolis 34 -1.4
+0.5
-0.0
Cleveland 23 Oakland 13 -0.4
-0.1
-0.0
Kansas City 34 St. Louis 7 -0.3
-0.0
NY Jets 23 Buffalo 43 -0.2
Tennessee 16 Houston 30 -0.2
Jacksonville 13 Miami 27 -0.1
Denver 35 San Diego 21 +0.1
-0.1
-0.0
New England 51 Chicago 23 -0.1
-0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-19.1-0.6+10.8
-4.4+0.2+2.5
-1.5+0.0+0.9
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.8-0.6+2.7
-0.1-0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.4+1.7+1.8
-0.1+0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.5*+0.2+1.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.5+0.6+0.5
-0.0+0.2+0.0
Miami vs San Diego+0.4+0.4-0.4
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
New England vs Denver-0.2+0.5+0.2
-0.1+0.5+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.3+0.3-0.2
+0.5+0.5-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Baltimore finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
138-0-0In5839300038,785,685
12.57-0-1In56393010180,258
127-1-0100.0%1953232300140,588,773
6-0-2In22542013366
11.56-1-1100.013492421110567,498
116-2-099.111941181371000217,011,141
5-1-299.41214418961958
10.55-2-194.609291720195000743,366
4-1-3In1001
105-3-069.70112297211982000184,975,436
4-2-273.61122782417811,047
9.54-3-132.20312215312610200521,703
94-4-011.800902922302061094,466,349
3-3-210.717021226291651580
8.53-4-11.1010021229341830210,254
2-3-3Out1001
83-5-00.501000182941200029,329,710
2-4-2Out19314218183
7.52-5-10.00002134144147,819
72-6-00.00003256210005,327,777
1-5-2Out23641422
6.51-6-1Out09731705,709
61-7-0Out02524330508,439
0-6-2Out1001
5.50-7-1Out42535269
50-8-0Out0960273074,751
Total:75.2%7192015687554310000713,348,096

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Baltimore finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandKansas CitySan DiegoPittsburghBuffaloCincinnatiHoustonMiamiClevelandTennesseeJacksonvilleNY JetsOakland
138-0-025.0%9700010000000000
12.57-0-124.896010100000000
127-1-020.872121444232220000
6-0-222.17511254422121
11.56-1-119.562253544343220000
116-2-014.321587111010675550000
5-1-214.1227761212958444
10.55-2-112.0105139999686550000
4-1-3NoYes
105-3-08.0168710108445440000
4-2-28.91687119945355
9.54-3-13.5034444322222000
94-4-01.30111330101100000
3-3-21.611123010100
8.53-4-10.1000000000000
2-3-3No
83-5-00.1000000000000
2-4-2No
7.52-5-10.00000
72-6-00.000000000
1-5-2No
5-6.5No
Total:12.1%26.03.45.04.37.17.05.83.44.23.42.92.80.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati 27 Baltimore 24 +1.8
Denver 35 San Diego 21 +0.1
New England 51 Chicago 23 +0.0
Cleveland 23 Oakland 13 +0.0
NY Jets 23 Buffalo 43 +0.0
Jacksonville 13 Miami 27 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+2.8+0.1-1.6
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.1+0.1-0.3
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.1-0.2+0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0-0.0-0.2
New England vs Denver+0.0-0.2-0.0
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
138-0-04316381300000
12.57-0-13423372300100
127-1-061340132212030000
6-0-2616421220013
11.56-1-1212282123120101100
116-2-0016143011180103601000
5-1-2171431121873601
10.55-2-10019151516010101815000
4-1-3100
105-3-00001392632515619920000
4-2-213102523518616910
9.54-3-100293025102627123000
94-4-000054000251726231241000
3-3-214300261727221341
8.53-4-100100003112429219200
2-3-3100
83-5-000000000141325281971000
2-4-2141123272391
7.52-5-100001619312713300
72-6-000000131226301971000
1-5-25918233655
6.51-6-1018233324910
61-7-000016183027144100
0-6-2100
5.50-7-1071828281810
50-8-00003112632216100
Total:44127156131426265432211000000000000