Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances

Lost to Green Bay 17-19, playoff odds down 8.1 to 37.6%
3-3-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 -9.4
-0.4
-0.8
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +2.8
+0.1
+0.2
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 -2.0
-0.0
-0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +0.7
+0.0
New England 30 New Orleans 27 -0.4
-0.0
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +0.2
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 +0.1
+0.0
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.0-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-11.9-5.0+10.5
-0.3*-0.1+0.3
-1.0-0.3+0.9
Detroit vs Cincinnati+2.2-2.1-3.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Green Bay vs Cleveland+1.2*-0.9-2.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Miami vs Buffalo-0.4-1.4+0.7
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs San Francisco-0.7*-0.6+1.0
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs San Diego+0.4*-0.3-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.0
Indianapolis vs Denver-0.3*+0.1+0.3
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Houston+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Baltimore finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1310-0-0In3067304,892
12.59-0-1In1268201379
129-1-0In7672420044,641
8-0-2In5043714
11.58-1-1In1434410113,181
118-2-099.9%0344516130195,437
7-1-2In4538142104
10.57-2-199.101038382111012,247
6-1-3In1001
107-3-095.70630402184000500,892
6-2-293.562640218600310
9.56-3-179.309451241740027,198
5-2-350.050504
96-4-063.1053602224112000823,208
5-3-261.70534022251210618
8.55-4-128.20200827291320038,126
4-3-314.3144329147
85-5-015.000110419312392000914,220
4-4-213.609418322692748
7.54-5-12.72031632301330035,170
3-4-320.02060205
74-6-00.90101823322410200692,026
3-5-20.9101725272892530
6.53-6-10.10003163330143021,089
2-5-3Out3333333
63-7-00.000018223225910353,597
2-6-2Out37223322131230
5.52-7-1Out004183632907,972
1-6-3Out1001
52-8-0Out002102940191115,767
1-7-2Out15223327373
4.51-8-1Out0110394561,702
41-9-0Out0052957822,134
0-8-2Out1767176
3.50-9-1Out46926144
30-10-0Out0663312,204
Total:37.6%048170911121197542103,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Baltimore finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandCincinnatiMiamiTennesseeClevelandNY JetsSan DiegoBuffaloPittsburghOaklandHoustonJacksonville
1310-0-06.3%960000011000000
12.59-0-14.57912016341110010
129-1-05.274231164521100100
8-0-27.1507141477
11.58-1-13.744582412993121010
118-2-03.43471134138941310100
7-1-22.945474189871521
10.57-2-12.310142156158941310100
6-1-3NoYes
107-3-02.16142268148841210100
6-2-22.96151875131093131101
9.56-3-11.30162477105421200000
5-2-3No50
96-4-01.0013196773321100000
5-3-20.8013166794310100
8.55-4-10.4710332110000000
4-3-3No14
85-5-00.20461211100000000
4-4-20.325021110100
7.54-5-10.1110000000000
3-4-3No20
74-6-00.000000000000000
3-5-2No000
6.53-6-10.000000
2-5-3No
63-7-00.000000000
2-6-2No
3-5.5No
Total:0.8%3.76.29.32.73.24.62.42.51.30.40.80.20.10.30.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +1.8
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 -0.2
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 +0.1
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 -0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 +0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+2.0+0.5-1.8
Detroit vs Cincinnati-0.2+0.2+0.3
Green Bay vs Cleveland-0.1+0.1+0.1
Indianapolis vs Denver+0.1+0.0-0.1
Miami vs Buffalo+0.0+0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs San Diego-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Washington vs Chicago+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Kansas City vs Houston+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Minnesota+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1310-0-0161463430
12.59-0-1576172001
129-1-0164423231200
8-0-236143677
11.58-1-101251841310101
118-2-0008263015160103000
7-1-2113528111312
10.57-2-101920183721110010
6-1-3100
107-3-0006723337111354000
6-2-2165213371113551
9.56-3-10183214011211155100
5-2-3502525
96-4-000051818005161613620000
5-3-205181605171813510
8.55-4-10613008617221772000
4-3-31429141429
85-5-000290042817211811520000
4-4-2027041715232210620
7.54-5-102000151424251782000
3-4-3204040
74-6-00010000141119232013620000
3-5-21001412202218136210
6.53-6-10000261625251772000
2-5-3333333
63-7-000001512202420114100
2-6-2015101923261140
5.52-7-101310232923920
1-6-3100
52-8-000131021282411300
1-7-241218253273
4.51-8-100041733311220
41-9-00016193428112
0-8-217331733
3.50-9-122739283
30-10-00113323617
Total:001235107003555665555443322111000