Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.4 to 49.5%
6-4-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22 -2.3
-0.3
-0.2
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 +2.2
+0.4
+0.1
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 -1.2
-0.1
-0.1
Denver 39 Miami 36 +0.8
-0.1
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 -0.4
-0.0
Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 3 -0.1
-0.0
New England 34 Detroit 9 -0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
New Orleans vs Baltimore-15.7*+0.0+10.3
-1.6*+0.4+1.0
-1.1+0.0+0.7
Buffalo vs NY Jets-0.0*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Baltimore vs San Diego+11.6-4.8-23.6
+1.0*-1.0-2.1
+0.8-0.3-1.6
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati+4.1*-1.7-2.0
+0.3*+0.0-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans-2.1*+2.0+3.2
-0.2*+0.0+0.3
-0.2*+0.2+0.2
NY Jets vs Miami+3.5*+2.5-1.0
+0.2*+0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Denver-1.4*+2.9+2.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs Cleveland+1.3*-2.0-1.3
+0.1*-0.5-0.1
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Houston vs Tennessee-0.2*+0.3+0.7
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.1*-0.3+0.3
-0.0*-0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs New England+0.0*-0.5-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Baltimore finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
126-0-0In10483337307,803
11.55-0-1In7383032201,227
115-1-099.2%0633203010101,090,200
10.54-1-195.4116123927403,320
104-2-052.40312829301430001,528,047
3-1-260.04020405
9.53-2-116.901214333314203,650
93-3-01.7010151935291011,071,099
2-2-2Out50502
8.52-3-1Out1624392651,908
82-4-0Out0032250250392,293
1-3-2Out1001
7.51-4-1Out074350482
71-5-0Out012871067,668
6.50-5-1Out39730
60-6-0Out590504,409
Total:49.5%151110111312910974004,472,144

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Baltimore finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandIndianapolisDenverKansas CityCincinnatiPittsburghMiamiClevelandSan DiegoHoustonBuffalo
126-0-012.8%5805388825200
11.55-0-111.645015489734210
115-1-07.562231014141267421
10.54-1-15.812301010111148321
104-2-03.20211877834210
3-1-2No4020
9.53-2-11.31521420100
93-3-00.100000000000
2-2-2No
6-8.5No
Total:3.8%5.51.19.85.36.56.36.12.53.31.90.90.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22 +0.3
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 -0.1
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 +0.1
Seattle 19 Arizona 3 +0.0
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 +0.0
NY Giants 28 Dallas 31 +0.0
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24 +0.0
Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 3 +0.0
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
New Orleans vs Baltimore+2.1+0.2-1.3
Buffalo vs NY Jets+0.0*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore vs San Diego-1.3+0.7+2.6
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.4+0.3+0.2
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.2-0.2-0.4
Kansas City vs Denver+0.0-0.2-0.1
NY Jets vs Miami-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Detroit vs Chicago+0.0+0.1-0.0
Houston vs Tennessee+0.0*+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs Seattle+0.0-0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Philadelphia+0.0-0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs Carolina+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
126-0-0192226285360
11.55-0-106142524632020
115-1-0001611222014159210
10.54-1-1131312102920740
104-2-0000312017101924185100
3-1-240202020
9.53-2-1010021131629251120
93-3-0010001162133269100
2-2-25050
8.52-3-102132935174
82-4-000172437257100
1-3-2100
7.51-4-10629402130
71-5-0005233826810
6.50-5-133743133
60-6-00051934271220
Total:0123571004667987874431000000