Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 41.5%
1-1-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Baltimore 26 Pittsburgh 6 +7.1
+0.4
+1.0
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 -1.3
-0.2
-0.1
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 -0.9
-0.1
-0.1
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 +0.6
+0.1
+0.0
Tennessee 10 Dallas 26 +0.5
+0.1
Minnesota 7 New England 30 -0.4
-0.1
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 +0.4
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 -0.3
-0.0
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 +0.2
+0.0
Denver 24 Kansas City 17 -0.1
Buffalo 29 Miami 10 -0.1
Oakland 14 Houston 30 -0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland vs Baltimore-11.0*+0.5+12.4
-1.1*+0.0+1.2
-1.0+0.1+1.2
Carolina vs Pittsburgh+0.6*+0.2-1.1
+0.0*-0.2-0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Tennessee-0.5*+0.9+0.8
-0.2*+0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Chicago-0.5*+0.8+0.6
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
New England vs Oakland-0.4*+0.3+0.7
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Miami vs Kansas City-0.3*+0.6+0.4
-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Seattle vs Denver+0.3*-0.3-0.4
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
NY Giants vs Houston+0.3*-0.6-0.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs San Diego-0.1*+0.5+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis+0.1*+0.4-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Baltimore finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1514-0-0In10007,398
14.513-0-1In10059
1413-1-0In9730158,683
13.512-1-1In9541556
1312-2-0In85110030350,383
11-1-2In1003
12.511-2-1In7816153,285
1211-3-0100.0%56284012001,270,542
10-2-2In56336618
11.510-3-1In40358116010,583
1110-4-099.919311632820003,148,263
9-3-2In6401763135
10.59-4-199.78242253460023,868
109-5-095.42111910351840005,630,166
8-4-297.0162194515367
9.58-5-187.403131428291120038,406
7-4-3In1001
98-6-057.30151113282513410007,497,173
7-5-259.73121629241312119
8.57-6-126.901731630271230045,305
87-7-08.900315152525177200007,539,836
6-6-211.1561820251772108
7.56-7-11.30100211253121810039,616
5-6-3Out1001
76-8-00.400000310212722123105,759,387
5-7-2Out41122301984196
6.55-8-10.000016193228122025,974
65-9-00.00000282030261223,329,846
4-8-2Out332337201435
5.54-9-1Out016213728712,273
54-10-00.000002112938201,431,655
3-9-2Out51432321822
4.53-10-1Out021543404,141
43-11-0Out00183556444,078
2-10-2Out1003
3.52-11-1Out221761,003
32-12-0Out01158493,721
2.51-12-1Out496132
21-13-0Out039712,323
1.50-13-1Out1007
10-14-0Out1993,614
Total:41.5%56651110988766543236,782,784

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Baltimore finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeHoustonCincinnatiBuffaloDenverSan DiegoNew EnglandTennesseeNY JetsMiamiClevelandPittsburghIndianapolisOaklandKansas CityJacksonville
14.5-1517.0%Yes
1413-1-017.19900000000000000
13.512-1-118.3990000
1312-2-016.396100100000000000
11-1-2NoYes
12.511-2-114.694101110000000000
1211-3-014.383312221111001110
10-2-216.78966
11.510-3-113.075422332211101111
1110-4-010.350755653432212211
9-3-28.646631131131133
10.59-4-18.132977975543223221
109-5-06.113101091086654333222
8-4-21.57187129124331464111
9.58-5-14.73111091086754333222
7-4-3NoYes
98-6-02.81786754433222111
7-5-23.46810736541311321
8.57-6-11.20433322211111101
87-7-00.40111111111000000
6-6-2No12321111
7.56-7-10.1000000000000000
5-6-3No
76-8-00.0000000000000000
5-7-2No
6.55-8-1No00000
65-9-00.0000000000000
4-8-2No
5.54-9-1No
54-10-0No00
3-9-2No
1-4.5No
Total:3.2%10.44.03.73.33.93.02.22.41.71.61.10.91.10.80.70.7
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/11100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore 26 Pittsburgh 6 -1.9
Cincinnati 24 Atlanta 10 +0.1
Tampa Bay 17 St. Louis 19 +0.1
Oakland 14 Houston 30 -0.1
Buffalo 29 Miami 10 +0.1
Carolina 24 Detroit 7 -0.1
San Diego 30 Seattle 21 -0.0
Cleveland 26 New Orleans 24 +0.0
Indianapolis 27 Philadelphia 30 +0.0
Washington 41 Jacksonville 10 +0.0
Green Bay 31 NY Jets 24 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland vs Baltimore+2.0-0.3-2.2
Cincinnati vs Tennessee+0.1-0.2-0.1
New Orleans vs Minnesota-0.1-0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs San Diego+0.1*-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Houston+0.1*+0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.0
Miami vs Kansas City-0.0*-0.1+0.1
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1514-0-09900
14.513-0-1982
1413-1-09433001
13.512-1-191441
1312-2-0731211000300
11-1-2100
12.511-2-1611716015
1211-3-0322425240012000
10-2-233223366
11.510-3-116243058011600
1110-4-041519131523025320000
9-3-262020176293
10.59-4-1071015184502956000
109-5-0022910991201516240000
8-4-2114129712519153
9.58-5-100331010491923610200
7-4-3100
98-6-00011456211121518147310000
7-5-213383131217151781
8.57-6-10012603214122221124100
87-7-000003010528131617151163100000
6-6-256571216191593111
7.56-7-100100001381724231562000
5-6-3100
76-8-000000000014813161816127310000
5-7-2166919181114105
6.55-8-1000138172424157200
65-9-0000000149162020169310
4-8-2633201726179
5.54-9-1000281827251340
54-10-00000027152527185
3-9-25592718279
4.53-10-100413303517
43-11-000015183937
2-10-23367
3.52-11-1083359
32-12-00022177
2.51-12-11288
21-13-00595
1.50-13-1100
10-14-00100
Total:23333332655454444433333332222211