New England Patriots Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.08 to 75.9%
6-2-0   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England vs Denver+8.9+2.6-10.1
+2.0-0.2-2.2
+0.8+0.1-0.9
Miami vs San Diego-1.5+1.0+1.4
-0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.3+1.5+1.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.4+0.4+0.4
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.2+0.6+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.1*+0.2+0.3
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.2*+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.5*+0.1-0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Miami+1.7+0.4-2.6
+0.2*+0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Buffalo vs Kansas City-1.5+0.4+1.3
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Pittsburgh+0.8+0.6-0.4
+0.1*+0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs Tennessee-0.2*+0.1+0.9
-0.1*+0.0+0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Oakland vs Denver+0.6+0.2-0.1
+0.4*+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Cincinnati vs Cleveland+0.0+0.4-0.0
+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well New England finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
148-0-0In1009,336,132
13.57-0-1In94654,053
137-1-0In8613000060,494,300
6-0-2In9010135
12.56-1-1In6632200303,338
126-2-0100.0%4046111200167,925,312
5-1-2In41471111656
11.55-2-1100.01750263400714,250
115-3-099.44293913941000258,288,654
4-2-299.6429411493001,196
10.54-3-197.9011392512102000900,371
104-4-076.00219345151571000240,512,950
3-3-276.121933617166201,220
9.53-4-152.4073021324176100662,323
2-3-3In50502
93-5-021.4001180210242614300138,526,092
2-4-217.31143928291430658
8.52-5-17.8070031632291110282,136
82-6-02.4020002133336120048,089,599
1-5-23.43111403312177
7.51-6-10.40004224528064,495
71-7-00.00000533565009,160,614
0-6-2Out73353715
6.50-7-1Out12171606,102
60-8-0Out06632920801,604
Total:75.9%1518181545665431000936,126,384

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well New England finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDenverIndianapolisBaltimoreKansas CitySan DiegoPittsburghBuffaloHoustonCincinnatiMiamiClevelandTennesseeJacksonvilleNY JetsOakland
13.5-1417.9%Yes
137-1-017.410000000000000000
6-0-214.8Yes
12.56-1-116.698000000000000
126-2-014.886112221111110000
5-1-214.38801122122111
11.55-2-112.767123554323220000
115-3-09.333467996655540000
4-2-29.633567119773454
10.54-3-17.11167913138867650000
104-4-04.7266712127645530000
3-3-25.926681211664564
9.53-4-13.0054610105333320000
2-3-3No5050
93-5-01.30212552011010000
2-4-21.421135111101
8.52-5-10.510122100000
82-6-00.10001100000000
1-5-2No121
7.51-6-10.0000000000
71-7-00.00000000000
0-6-2No
6-6.5No
Total:8.0%32.53.33.34.36.97.04.03.62.93.22.82.20.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Denver-1.4+0.0+1.6
Miami vs San Diego+0.2-0.1-0.2
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0-0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Miami-0.2-0.1+0.3
Buffalo vs Kansas City+0.2-0.0-0.2
NY Jets vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Tennessee+0.0-0.0-0.2
Oakland vs Denver-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
148-0-0964
13.57-0-188660
137-1-06719130000000
6-0-2751610
12.56-1-142243112000
126-2-0152536101101020000
5-1-2142638910011
11.55-2-12153020242304000
115-3-00492029111307240100
4-2-20492030111472300
10.54-3-100110182124176912000
104-4-00002514295241142040000
3-3-202414294241252031
9.53-4-10062190258191982000
2-3-35050
93-5-000001108000215252211410000
2-4-21950216262412310
8.52-5-1003500004132426177100
82-6-0001200001413242719820000
1-5-213131618312152
7.51-6-100000292331239200
71-7-000000131225302082000
0-6-272033337
6.50-7-100312293218510
60-8-00015173028144100
Total:87108117133324175422211000000000