New England Patriots Playoff Chances

Lost to Tennessee 10-34, playoff odds down 1.4 to 96.2%
7-3-0   .700

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tennessee 34 New England 10 -2.4
-1.8
-0.5
Green Bay 31 Miami 12 +0.3
+0.0
NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41 +0.3
+0.0
Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 +0.1
Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20 -0.1
Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 -0.1
-0.4
-0.1
Kansas City 26 Arizona 14 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+0.2*+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
LA Chargers vs Denver-0.1-0.1+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.2
Washington vs Houston+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh+0.1*+0.0-0.0
+0.6+0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
LA Rams vs Kansas City+0.1-0.2-0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New England finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
136-0-0In6337501,890,782
12.55-0-1In2374301,983,937
125-1-0In18661511,941,193,038
4-0-2In1972903,145
11.54-1-1In2543866,136,409
3-0-3In50502
114-2-0100.0%133501500002,818,301,451
3-1-2In1394812007,648
10.53-2-1100.0012483900006,929,772
2-1-3In50504
103-3-098.60434561410002,016,135,799
2-2-298.85355403106,375
9.52-3-196.4013780431003,631,257
1-2-3In1002
92-4-078.20565081381000756,218,305
1-3-278.206660613722,196
8.51-4-165.000620211167100888,328
0-3-3In1001
81-5-024.500230111292591000140,924,594
0-4-220.320183226131246
7.50-5-117.21701102830112080,734
70-6-00.200031631321430010,748,839
Total:96.2%8303026022110000008,205,082,864

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New England finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityPittsburghLA ChargersHoustonTennesseeBaltimoreCincinnatiIndianapolisMiamiDenverJacksonvilleClevelandNY JetsBuffaloOakland
136-0-010.6%Yes
12.55-0-19.7970000110000000
125-1-08.984002324211000000
4-0-29.3910111211100
11.54-1-17.1561196611533000000
3-0-3No5050
114-2-05.93422169715644100000
3-1-26.0401214871464400000
10.53-2-14.512423211616645100000
2-1-3No255025
103-3-03.8462439514635100000
2-2-24.255242961563510000
9.52-3-13.4082577210423000000
1-2-3No5050
92-4-02.607248627212000000
1-3-23.3072496272120000
8.51-4-12.20614541520000000
0-3-3NoYes
81-5-00.802117202100000000
0-4-20.8401312
7.50-5-10.62012101000000
70-6-00.0000000000000
Total:6.0%38.92.61.421.26.64.510.24.22.63.20.40.20.20.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/8100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee 34 New England 10 +1.0
Green Bay 31 Miami 12 -0.1
Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 +0.1
Kansas City 26 Arizona 14 +0.0
NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41 -0.0
LA Rams 36 Seattle 31 +0.0
Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/15100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh-0.2-0.0+0.1
Washington vs Houston-0.1+0.1+0.1
Indianapolis vs Tennessee-0.1-0.1+0.1
LA Rams vs Kansas City-0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
136-0-010532413
12.55-0-12214133300
125-1-0018174912310
4-0-20191854810
11.54-1-102747281060
3-0-35050
114-2-0012312525141000000
3-1-212372523120000
10.53-2-100121236355000000
2-1-35050
103-3-0004430441210301000
2-2-255304311003010
9.52-3-10013384000313100
1-2-35050
92-4-0000527380044127200000
1-3-200529370042127200
8.51-4-100656000251211620000
0-3-3100
81-5-0002210001291821157200000
0-4-23171311191914931
7.50-5-1017000161523211141000
70-6-00000001515242618820000
Total:1862413171970010111000000000000