New England Patriots Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 8 to 69.1%
5-2-0   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 27 NY Jets 25 +4.7
+0.4
+0.4
Chicago 14 Miami 27 -2.6
-0.2
-0.2
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 -1.7
-0.1
-0.1
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 +0.5
+0.1
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 -0.5
+0.2
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.4
-0.0
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 +0.2
-0.1
-0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.1
-0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs Houston+0.3*+1.9-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England vs Chicago+5.7*-0.8-11.6
+0.4*-0.3-0.9
+0.4-0.1-0.9
NY Jets vs Buffalo+3.4*+0.4-2.3
+0.1*-0.4-0.1
+0.2*+0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs Miami+3.4*+2.3-1.6
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.4*+0.0+0.9
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Tennessee vs Houston+0.7*+0.2-0.4
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-0.5*-0.5+0.2
+0.2*+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.2*+0.0+0.5
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.4*+0.5+0.2
+0.3*+0.2-0.1
Denver vs San Diego+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well New England finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
149-0-0In100017,602
13.58-0-1In8812147
138-1-0In8117200158,037
12.57-1-1In5537710981
127-2-0In324420310631,591
6-1-2In50504
11.56-2-1In11393811103,504
116-3-099.9%322442541001,415,658
5-2-2In5025254
10.55-3-199.506354964006,680
105-4-092.4022154610620001,961,601
4-3-2In274772015
9.54-4-178.90756313146107,513
94-5-051.60242171719102001,739,686
3-4-245.53692718911
8.53-5-128.4025031428227105,174
83-6-013.80130041630259100989,962
2-5-240.0402020205
7.52-6-14.24016213527602,164
72-7-01.310018273821300349,486
6.51-7-10.401113364171473
61-8-00.0000320462740069,614
5.50-8-1Out29293818455
50-9-0Out01174730506,577
Total:69.1%5916313467753200007,366,544

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well New England finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisBaltimoreDenverSan DiegoKansas CityHoustonMiamiBuffaloCincinnatiClevelandPittsburghTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
13.5-1411.7%Yes
138-1-011.1980000000000000
12.57-1-110.9920121111110
127-2-08.776113443122210000
6-1-225.0Yes
11.56-2-17.15011598634543000
116-3-05.225331014109567540000
5-2-225.0502525
10.55-3-13.5635152012106675400
105-4-03.32451520119557440000
4-3-2No71371333207
9.54-4-12.90451420107335330
94-5-01.7023111575113220000
3-4-2No936
8.53-5-10.9126942002110
83-6-00.400352100100000
2-5-2No2020
7.52-6-10.2001210000
72-7-00.00001000000
6.51-7-1No0
61-8-0No0000
5-5.5No
Total:3.4%14.32.32.99.012.57.15.72.83.04.32.82.30.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
New England 27 NY Jets 25 -0.8
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +0.2
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.2
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.1
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.0
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 -0.0
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 +0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs Houston-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Chicago-0.9+0.4+1.9
NY Jets vs Buffalo-0.3*-0.1+0.2
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.3-0.3+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-0.0+0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1+0.0+0.0
Carolina vs Seattle-0.0+0.1+0.0
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.0-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
149-0-09190
13.58-0-1771212
138-1-0522917020000
12.57-1-12728352710
127-2-082432121913100
6-1-2252550
11.56-2-1110211835311100
116-3-0036163212250321000
5-2-225252525
10.55-3-10061916481243000
105-4-0002714522156471000
4-3-27204077137
9.54-4-10165070348127200
94-5-0002339011515181141000
3-4-236918279
8.53-5-101510003210202113410
83-6-000680001412212316820000
2-5-240202020
7.52-6-11300131019252311300
72-7-00100013919252213510000
6.51-7-100261829251432
61-8-0000016162525167200
5.50-8-122112924294
50-9-0016162628166100
Total:2345107274122255443322110000000000