"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 16 Kansas City 23 -2.1
-0.3
Buffalo 17 Baltimore 24 -0.8
-0.1
New Orleans 46 San Francisco 48 -0.2
LA Rams 28 Seattle 12 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs New England-0.1InIn
-3.5-0.7+0.3
-0.6-0.2+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Buffalo+0.2-0.1-0.1
Tennessee vs Houston+0.0In-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Baltimore vs NY Jets-0.1+1.2+1.3
-0.0+0.2+0.2
Kansas City vs Denver-0.3+0.7+1.0
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.2-0.2+0.1
San Francisco vs Atlanta-0.0*-0.0+0.2
Green Bay vs Chicago+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New England finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
133-0-0In79312,395,350,222
12.52-0-1In79317,358,155
122-1-0In072286,204,276,129
1-0-2In072288,025
11.51-1-1In05120295,550,217
0-0-3In50504
111-2-0In092810520730,736,094
0-1-2In82176401,234
10.50-2-1In383824320,890
100-3-095.7%0177512425,437,110
Total:100.0%58310020019,379,038,080

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New England finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeBaltimoreKansas CityBuffaloTennesseeHoustonPittsburghClevelandIndianapolisOaklandDenver
12.5-1325.9%Yes
122-1-023.17255511100
1-0-223.37246511100
11.51-1-120.351011411129110
0-0-325.0502525
111-2-015.89018152021151100
0-1-215.682113232211020
10.50-2-114.3302612262740100
100-3-013.000271327215010
Total:24.6%87.60.00.72.12.42.54.20.30.20.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/5100.0*Lottery seed
New England 16 Kansas City 23 +0.6
Buffalo 17 Baltimore 24 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/12100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs New England+1.4+0.7-0.1
Baltimore vs NY Jets+0.0-0.3-0.3
Kansas City vs Denver+0.1-0.2-0.2
New Orleans vs Indianapolis+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
133-0-025893
12.52-0-1077023
122-1-0004824262
1-0-2004923262
11.51-1-1007441281218
0-0-35050
111-2-00018151410183500
0-1-217912721430
10.50-2-10318328022
100-3-0001727447220
Total:1473109101100000