New York Jets Playoff Chances

Lost to Pittsburgh 6-19, playoff odds down 10.2 to 7.6%
3-3-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 -7.4
-0.1
-1.1
New England 30 New Orleans 27 -0.8
-0.0
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +0.5
+0.0
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +0.3
+0.1
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 +0.2
+0.1
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +0.2
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.1
+0.0
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 +0.1
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis-0.1*-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs New England+6.3*-0.5-3.9
+1.1+0.4-0.7
Tennessee vs San Francisco-0.7+0.6+0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Miami vs Buffalo-0.4*+0.4+0.6
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.2*+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Jacksonville vs San Diego+0.2*+0.4-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Green Bay vs Cleveland+0.1*-0.2-0.2
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Cincinnati+0.1*-0.1-0.2
Indianapolis vs Denver-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Kansas City vs Houston+0.0*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Jets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1310-0-0In2469610533
12.59-0-1In4848425
129-1-0100.0%5612108504,075
8-0-2In50502
11.58-1-1In1442901115423
118-2-098.802433411261030,091
7-1-2In1418274122
10.57-2-196.610277944302,522
107-3-081.903171154716200132,875
6-2-275.0216474621492
9.56-3-163.8069247306009,769
5-2-3In1001
96-4-031.602612337247100375,612
5-3-228.717120392391314
8.55-4-112.00201031351740023,361
4-3-3Out2060205
85-5-02.4010292633227100716,965
4-4-22.2119253323610646
7.54-5-10.20021330331840037,155
3-4-3Out1443437
74-6-00.000019253323810936,339
3-5-20.1021123332191699
6.53-6-10.00002123034174038,562
2-5-3Out132538258
63-7-0Out0021027352150823,640
2-6-2Out1932361750600
5.52-7-1Out0031738329025,131
1-6-3Out50506
52-8-0Out0031741353469,501
1-7-2Out021741344258
4.51-8-1Out0111394549,495
41-9-0Out01156222155,493
0-8-2Out8632948
3.50-9-1Out01063271,563
30-10-0Out1425723,042
Total:7.6%00110568101112121211823,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Jets finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandCincinnatiMiamiTennesseeBaltimoreClevelandSan DiegoBuffaloPittsburghOaklandHoustonJacksonville
1310-0-02.4%9311210101
12.59-0-1No8884
129-1-02.266244105132110000
8-0-2No5050
11.58-1-11.445247177454311100
118-2-01.12536132384843101000
7-1-2No1494114599
10.57-2-10.81046172610585310100
107-3-00.5357152294742100000
6-2-21.12214249311531
9.56-3-10.404514188343210000
5-2-3NoYes
96-4-00.20347841221000000
5-3-2No5367303111
8.55-4-10.111332001000000
4-3-3No
85-5-00.000010000000000
4-4-2No011000
7.54-5-1No000000
3-4-3No
74-6-00.0000000000
3-5-2No0
6.53-6-1No0
2-5-3No
3-6No
Total:0.0%0.40.60.81.52.00.90.30.50.40.20.10.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +2.1
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 +0.1
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +0.1
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -0.1
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +0.1
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.0
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +0.0
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Washington-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets vs New England-2.1-0.6+1.3
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.0-0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs San Diego-0.1-0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs Houston-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Cincinnati+0.0*+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Minnesota-0.1-0.0+0.0
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Green Bay vs Cleveland+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay+0.0*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1310-0-0168672610
12.59-0-1476884
129-1-014392220107050
8-0-25050
11.58-1-1002519272011015
118-2-0004202013408325110
7-1-25914523541
10.57-2-1191412706341230
107-3-000331482142819153000
6-2-2241222242323205
9.56-3-100663022324269200
5-2-3100
96-4-0002340032017251772000
5-3-21441317172518920
8.55-4-10110010620272110300
4-3-36040
85-5-000100203917232214720000
4-4-2011139182422136100
7.54-5-100001412232620103100
3-4-329431414
74-6-00000001391723221572000
3-5-200139192719136210
6.53-6-100015132427198300
2-5-325131350
63-7-00001512222620103000
2-6-2026122224227500
5.52-7-1003102329239200
1-6-333171733
52-8-0001514263019510
1-7-20121429291931
4.51-8-10151933301020
41-9-00003133234152
0-8-2484225156
3.50-9-10162739243
30-10-0017284222
Total:00000111002323445556777776654210