Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.7 to 27.4%
3-3-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver 35 San Diego 21 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Jacksonville vs Miami-10.8-4.7+5.0
-0.3-0.1+0.1
-1.2-0.3+0.6
New England vs Chicago-1.8-0.8+3.6
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
NY Jets vs Buffalo+2.3*+0.3-1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.4+1.1+1.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-0.7*-0.1+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Tennessee vs Houston+0.6+0.5-0.4
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.2*-0.2+0.6
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.6*+0.1+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Miami vs San Diego+12.3*+0.1-9.3
+0.3*-0.1-0.2
+1.1+0.1-0.8
New England vs Denver-2.7-2.1+2.3
-0.1*-0.1+0.0
-0.2-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.4+1.2+1.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.5+0.6+0.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.3+0.5+0.9
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.8-0.4+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.2*-0.3+0.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Miami finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1310-0-0In871210247,859
12.59-0-1In59346001,944
129-1-0100.0%35431823002,607,340
8-0-2In313131813
11.58-1-1In13383496019,794
118-2-099.9421392112200012,927,367
7-1-2In523391714264
10.57-2-199.006303817810084,883
107-3-089.601144214189200036,249,270
6-2-289.711539152092262
9.56-3-168.80435823218100202,536
96-4-037.500124211252411200063,534,346
5-3-236.012411024251320505
8.55-4-113.9010031630271120296,455
4-3-3Out1001
85-5-05.7050041631291220072,566,704
4-4-25.0504183127123615
7.54-5-11.01004193630800276,400
74-6-00.4000001521402840054,645,609
3-5-20.30142336315391
6.53-6-10.00001833461100162,433
63-7-00.00000113433670026,817,136
2-6-2Out11249344162
5.52-7-1Out043646131058,039
52-8-0Out00104140908,216,770
1-7-2Out1557224246
4.51-8-1Out04314617211,872
41-9-0Out007414471,426,706
0-8-2Out50504
3.50-9-1Out22851191,057
30-10-0Out066430128,425
Total:27.4%1241335810121212106210280,485,008

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Miami finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisDenverBaltimoreNew EnglandSan DiegoKansas CityBuffaloCincinnatiPittsburghClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
1310-0-07.7%9900000000000
12.59-0-16.69400011111010
129-1-05.978112343122220000
8-0-223.16288888
11.58-1-14.651323897344330
118-2-03.125557121310466440000
7-1-24.7289531381425635
10.57-2-12.26779141712567550000
107-3-01.61789141611466440000
6-2-20.41910111515546544
9.56-3-11.1077810138244330000
96-4-00.60344495122110000
5-3-20.4243410513221
8.55-4-10.211114201111000
4-3-3No
85-5-00.1010021000000000
4-4-20.30131000
7.54-5-10.0000000000000
74-6-00.000000000000000
3-5-2No0
6.53-6-1No000000
63-7-00.00000000000
2-6-2No
3-5.5No
Total:0.6%2.12.02.22.63.25.43.30.91.71.71.11.10.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs Miami+2.4+0.8-1.1
NY Jets vs Buffalo-0.2-0.1+0.2
New England vs Chicago+0.1+0.1-0.2
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.1*+0.0-0.2
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.2+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1+0.0+0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Miami vs San Diego-2.1-0.2+1.6
New England vs Denver+0.2+0.2-0.2
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.1-0.0-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.2+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.1-0.1-0.2
Seattle vs Oakland+0.1-0.1-0.2
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.0
Minnesota vs Washington-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1310-0-04938121100
12.59-0-12831323600
129-1-05302617171202000
8-0-2318232388
11.58-1-1112201832390510
118-2-00441825142106620000
7-1-25816251417952
10.57-2-10006161438171071100
107-3-0000131139321299730000
6-2-2141137231112882
9.56-3-100043050781417113000
96-4-000011860211010201810410000
5-3-2011681281119171051
8.55-4-1006500331223251672000
4-3-3100
85-5-000230000027162222157200000
4-4-223012816242115621
7.54-5-101000029192724134100
74-6-0000000000251321241910410000
3-5-201692124211341
6.53-6-10000015142628187100
63-7-000000014102025221251000
2-6-24141925231121
5.52-7-1003122530208100
52-8-0000131021282311300
1-7-22213203317112
4.51-8-10141630301530
41-9-000015163131142
0-8-27525
3.50-9-10316353511
30-10-00004224528
Total:000122113122335667766654332110000