Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances

Lost to Baltimore 6-38, playoff odds down 22.5 to 14.1%
7-5-0   .583

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Baltimore 38 Miami 6 -13.2
-0.4
-0.7
Jacksonville 10 Denver 20 -3.1
-0.1
-0.1
Atlanta 28 Kansas City 29 -1.2
-0.0
Oakland 38 Buffalo 24 +1.1
+0.1
San Diego 21 Tampa Bay 28 -0.3
+0.1
Pittsburgh 24 NY Giants 14 -0.2
Green Bay 21 Houston 13 +0.2
New England 26 Los Angeles 10 -0.1
-0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Indianapolis+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Miami vs Arizona+5.5-2.2-4.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.6+0.1-0.5
Tennessee vs Denver+4.7+1.0-4.1
Kansas City vs Oakland-1.9-1.9+2.6
Buffalo vs Pittsburgh+0.5-1.0-0.5
-0.0-0.1+0.0
New England vs Baltimore+0.3+0.4-0.7
Indianapolis vs Houston+0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.2+0.0
Carolina vs San Diego-0.2-0.2+0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Cincinnati+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
114-0-090.5%118330399503,206,717
10.53-0-180.4101564202,081,952
103-1-052.20101041444003,198,827,687
2-0-260.100011483823,124
9.52-1-126.20266113009,629,608
1-0-333.333673
92-2-09.5093738132007,230,406,013
1-1-29.601042399109,573
8.51-2-10.61144434710013,960,483
0-1-3Out2060205
81-3-00.002173232153006,811,648,164
0-2-20.00115353413206,569
7.50-3-1Out0114363513106,329,693
70-4-0Out011335361312,256,616,233
Total:14.1%010021121201613952020,032,725,824

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandOaklandKansas CityDenverPittsburghBaltimoreHoustonTennesseeIndianapolisBuffaloSan DiegoCincinnati
114-0-01.5%19102121171112600
10.53-0-10.61101031286840
103-1-00.401001201846200
2-0-20.70101025205620
9.52-1-10.200001491100
1-0-3No33
92-2-00.10000440100
1-1-20.100540100
8.51-2-10.0000000000
0-1-3No
81-3-00.000000000
0-2-2No0
7-7.5No
Total:0.1%0.60.20.00.10.15.14.91.11.40.50.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/1100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore 38 Miami 6 +1.4
Cincinnati 32 Philadelphia 14 -0.1
Jacksonville 10 Denver 20 +0.1
Arizona 31 Washington 23 -0.1
Atlanta 28 Kansas City 29 +0.1
Minnesota 15 Dallas 17 -0.1
New England 26 Los Angeles 10 +0.0
San Diego 21 Tampa Bay 28 +0.0
Seattle 40 Carolina 7 -0.0
Chicago 26 San Francisco 6 +0.0
New Orleans 13 Detroit 28 -0.0
Oakland 38 Buffalo 24 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Indianapolis-0.2-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/8100.0*Lottery seed
Miami vs Arizona-1.9-0.9+1.7
Green Bay vs Seattle+0.2-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-0.0-0.2+0.0
Carolina vs San Diego-0.0-0.1+0.0
Jacksonville vs Minnesota-0.1-0.1+0.1
Tennessee vs Denver-0.1+0.0+0.1
New England vs Baltimore-0.0+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Oakland+0.0+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Houston+0.0-0.1-0.0
Los Angeles vs Atlanta-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
114-0-001315212463909
10.53-0-10100114630200
103-1-000010037347408000
2-0-200000474083370
9.52-1-1001885517100
1-0-3333333
92-2-000278283117510000
1-1-20278283117610
8.51-2-101213273119610000
0-1-320204020
81-3-000000312242920820000
0-2-2000311242921920
7.50-3-100028213025113000
70-4-0000002922322491000
Total:000000001174101111769107434310000