Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 12.1 to 50.5%
9-5-0   .643

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 +11.1
+0.1
+0.6
Denver 3 New England 16 +11.0
+0.1
+0.1
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 +4.4
+0.1
+0.0
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 -0.3
-0.1
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 -0.3
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 +0.3
-0.0
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 -0.3
-0.0
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 -0.2
-0.1
Houston 21 Jacksonville 20 -0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Buffalo vs Miami-23.1+22.6+40.4
-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.8+1.0+1.4
Kansas City vs Denver+6.1+6.1-8.3
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Cincinnati-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Oakland vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Jacksonville vs Tennessee+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.0
New England vs NY Jets-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
112-0-0In584218,018,930,848
10.51-0-1In208043,085,422
101-1-086.9%167111271,657,755,676
0-0-286.5167011225,576
9.50-1-161.161345084,897,461
90-2-00.716233826570,277,984,089
Total:50.5%143781117112160,082,679,072

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBOaklandKansas CityPittsburghTennesseeHoustonBaltimoreIndianapolis
112-0-01.3%6263125101
10.51-0-11.16541110181
101-1-01.0034798191
0-0-20.944798181
9.50-1-10.6353122
90-2-00.01000
Total:0.6%0.02.224.37.66.59.40.4
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/15100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets 13 Miami 34 -1.3
Denver 3 New England 16 -0.2
Kansas City 17 Tennessee 19 -0.1
Minnesota 6 Indianapolis 34 -0.1
Chicago 27 Green Bay 30 +0.1
Baltimore 27 Philadelphia 26 +0.1
San Diego 16 Oakland 19 +0.1
Dallas 26 Tampa Bay 20 -0.0
Cincinnati 20 Pittsburgh 24 +0.0
Buffalo 33 Cleveland 13 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Washington vs Carolina+0.1+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Miami+1.2-1.4-2.2
Houston vs Cincinnati+0.2-0.1-0.2
Oakland vs Indianapolis-0.1-0.1+0.2
Green Bay vs Minnesota-0.0-0.3+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.1-0.1+0.2
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay-0.1-0.1+0.2
Chicago vs Washington-0.2+0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Denver-0.1-0.1+0.1
Dallas vs Detroit-0.0+0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs San Diego+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
112-0-0193942
10.51-0-1515773
101-1-0016452610300
0-0-2016452510300
9.50-1-128342810100
90-2-001210263321610
Total:21225125612159300