Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 26.3%
4-3-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Miami vs San Diego+12.1-0.8-10.8
+0.5-0.1-0.5
+1.1-0.0-1.0
New England vs Denver-1.7-1.5+1.9
-0.1-0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.3+1.3+1.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.3+0.7+0.9
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.5+0.6+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.4-0.6+0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.1*-0.1+0.5
-0.0-0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.3+0.3-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Miami-6.7+0.7+10.6
-0.3*-0.0+0.5
-0.6+0.1+0.9
Buffalo vs Kansas City-0.6+1.1+0.6
-0.1-0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Pittsburgh+1.1+0.4-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Baltimore vs Tennessee-0.2*+0.1+0.9
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Oakland vs Denver+0.7*-0.0-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Cincinnati vs Cleveland-0.2*-0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Miami finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
139-0-0In954002,678,052
12.58-0-1In74231219,524
128-1-0100.0%47387070025,502,482
7-0-2In55383365
11.57-1-1100.020441721610167,789
117-2-099.2525289248100107,517,962
6-1-299.65282682490478
10.56-2-195.10825152621500604,046
5-1-3In1001
106-3-068.101111911262281000251,629,249
5-2-268.1111201225237101,459
9.55-3-132.60211316312591001,179,023
4-2-3Out1001
95-4-010.600060316302813300358,222,897
4-3-29.4050416322713302,255
8.54-4-11.60100314323415201,355,529
84-5-00.60100031534351100319,772,949
3-4-20.30031435361102,042
7.53-5-10.0000318463200938,529
2-4-3Out1001
73-6-00.00000173554400177,988,826
2-5-2Out00536544969
6.52-6-1Out01187380380,263
62-7-00.000007642710059,420,430
1-6-2Out762292272
5.51-7-1Out0260353081,956
51-8-0Out002654191010,786,036
0-7-2Out195622332
4.50-8-1Out0155032407,090
40-9-0Out012463121911,457
Total:26.3%2356479101213141320001,319,171,664

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Miami finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandBaltimoreKansas CitySan DiegoPittsburghBuffaloHoustonCincinnatiClevelandTennesseeJacksonvilleNY JetsOakland
139-0-010.7%100000000000000
12.58-0-110.39701000000000
128-1-08.98513121111111000
7-0-27.794322
11.57-1-17.26428454332322000
117-2-04.8314129976535430000
6-1-25.033513887753453
10.56-2-13.1861512129874654000
5-1-3NoYes
106-3-01.91599987534430000
5-2-22.115910987635420
9.55-3-10.80344544312210000
4-2-3No
95-4-00.30111122101100000
4-3-20.311111210000
8.54-4-10.0000000000000
84-5-00.000000000000000
3-4-2No0000
7.53-5-10.000000000
2-4-3No
73-6-00.0000000000
2-5-2No
6.52-6-1No
62-7-0No0
1-6-2No
4-5.5No
Total:1.0%4.61.73.12.82.92.62.31.71.01.41.30.90.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Miami vs San Diego-1.9-0.0+1.7
New England vs Denver+0.2+0.1-0.2
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.0-0.1-0.2
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.1-0.1-0.2
Seattle vs Oakland+0.0-0.1-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.0-0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs Washington-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/6100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Miami+1.3-0.3-2.0
NY Jets vs Pittsburgh-0.3-0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs Kansas City+0.1-0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Dallas-0.1-0.0+0.0
Cincinnati vs Cleveland+0.0+0.1-0.0
New Orleans vs San Francisco-0.0-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs NY Giants-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
139-0-0682840000
12.58-0-1482622112
128-1-011362711700070000
7-0-21243201833
11.57-1-131727171712015110
117-2-005521171180158801000
6-1-2045241898014108000
10.56-2-1001811131511412201400
5-1-3100
106-3-00001191442915111712300000
5-2-20129154391411191020
9.55-3-1002830361022271441000
4-2-3100
95-4-000000340013517262313510000
4-3-2023013519262212410
8.54-4-1001000031123292192000
84-5-00000000002716252616610000
3-4-20001716252717610
7.53-5-10000028203126112000
2-4-3100
73-6-00000000161728271451000
2-5-21614312615610
6.52-6-1002102633217100
62-7-00000021023312292000
1-6-22718362782
5.51-7-101519332812200
51-8-000015173029143000
0-7-2313284493
4.50-8-10031330331740
40-9-000031330351630
Total:01122342234357887876543211000000