Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.4 to 26.6%
3-3-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Chicago 14 Miami 27 +6.6
+0.2
+0.8
New England 27 NY Jets 25 -1.3
-0.0
-0.1
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 -0.7
-0.1
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 +0.6
+0.1
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.4
-0.0
Pittsburgh 30 Houston 23 +0.4
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 -0.4
+0.0
-0.1
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.2
-0.0
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 +0.2
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs Miami-10.5-5.4+4.9
-0.3-0.2+0.1
-1.2-0.4+0.5
New England vs Chicago-1.8*-0.4+3.6
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
NY Jets vs Buffalo+2.3+1.0-1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.4+1.1+1.0
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-0.7*-0.4+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Denver vs San Diego+0.2-0.8-0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Tennessee vs Houston+0.6*+0.4-0.4
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.2*-0.2+0.6
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.5*+0.5+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Miami finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1310-0-0In8910078,324
12.59-0-1In682650642
129-1-0In404214130814,271
8-0-2In2550254
11.58-1-1In1540318506,031
118-2-099.9%52338191320003,997,035
7-1-2In284816825
10.57-2-198.80730361791026,157
107-3-088.502154113189200011,181,607
6-2-289.7117487169187
9.56-3-166.10434622231020062,738
96-4-035.50123110242512300019,600,792
5-3-230.31182102330134142
8.55-4-112.601003143029122092,289
85-5-05.5050031531301320022,424,167
4-4-26.3613153132112189
7.54-5-11.010041836319085,472
3-4-3Out1001
74-6-00.4000015214028500016,924,835
3-5-2Out151749236131
6.53-6-10.000183347110050,566
63-7-00.000011343367008,325,811
2-6-2Out173046746
5.52-7-1Out0043546141018,135
52-8-0Out000104140902,561,653
1-7-2Out17443918
4.51-8-1Out0430461823,653
41-9-0Out00741447446,093
0-8-2Out1001
3.50-9-1Out2285415339
30-10-0Out6633140,170
Total:26.6%124133581012131211621086,741,424

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Miami finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisBaltimoreDenverSan DiegoNew EnglandKansas CityBuffaloCincinnatiPittsburghClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
1310-0-07.9%10000000000000
12.59-0-16.2950011100010
129-1-06.282112332122110000
8-0-2No7525
11.58-1-14.4562348763343200
118-2-03.32846812119455440000
7-1-24.02812884420448
10.57-2-12.27781216131146644000
107-3-01.72791216139455330000
6-2-22.3138168111076963
9.56-3-11.10671114872332200
96-4-00.60337934122110000
5-3-2No336821141
8.55-4-10.21134120110000
85-5-00.1001201000000000
4-4-2No111311
7.54-5-10.00000000000
3-4-3No
74-6-00.000000000000000
3-5-2No
6.53-6-10.0000
63-7-00.0000000000
2-6-2No
3-5.5No
Total:0.6%2.31.72.33.85.12.92.80.91.51.40.91.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 14 Miami 27 -2.1
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 -0.2
New England 27 NY Jets 25 +0.1
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +0.1
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.1
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.1
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.1
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.1
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.0
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.0
St. Louis 28 Seattle 26 +0.0
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Jacksonville vs Miami+2.4+0.8-1.1
NY Jets vs Buffalo-0.3-0.1+0.2
New England vs Chicago+0.1+0.0-0.2
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.1*+0.0-0.2
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.2-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.1+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.0-0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Houston-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Arizona vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1-0.0
Denver vs San Diego-0.0+0.1+0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1310-0-0503910100
12.59-0-1323625150
129-1-0634261614110200
8-0-2255025
11.58-1-111421192928510
118-2-00541924141906620000
7-1-2121632161644
10.57-2-100616143607108110
107-3-0000131239221199830000
6-2-212154712510691
9.56-3-10043050681418123100
96-4-0001176011810201911410000
5-3-21116219922219611
8.55-4-105400321122251772000
85-5-0002300002716222215720000
4-4-22411281623221731
7.54-5-101000029192724134100
3-4-3100
74-6-000000000151321241910410000
3-5-22681826241222
6.53-6-100015142628187100
63-7-00000014102025221251000
2-6-2415243311922
5.52-7-100313252920720
52-8-0000131021282311300
1-7-262244226
4.51-8-1141630311530
41-9-00014163131142
0-8-2100
3.50-9-121438397
30-10-0004224529
Total:010122103122335677776654332111000