Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 3.8 to 39.3%
3-2-0   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 30 New Orleans 27 -1.7
-0.1
-0.1
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 +1.3
+0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 +1.0
+0.0
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31 +0.7
+0.1
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19 +0.6
+0.1
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19 -0.3
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 +0.2
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 +0.2
+0.0
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
San Diego vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Miami vs Buffalo+8.3-3.2-13.4
+0.2*-0.2-0.3
+0.7-0.2-1.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco-1.2*+0.6+1.6
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.9*+0.4-0.8
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Detroit vs Cincinnati+0.6*-0.2-0.8
Jacksonville vs San Diego+0.9*-0.0-0.4
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Green Bay vs Cleveland+0.5*-1.0-0.8
+0.0-0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.7*+0.7-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Denver-0.3*-0.8+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Miami finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1411-0-0In78222,485
13.510-0-1In53461181
1310-1-0In4255201023,186
9-0-2In50506
12.59-1-1In1272130311,842
129-2-0In106414093115,331
8-1-2In1065127669
11.58-2-1100.0%145312101108,255
118-3-099.6129285152100335,291
7-2-2In0292761819272
10.57-3-197.301028109413021,358
6-2-3In5017336
107-4-088.704161284911100644,445
6-3-288.441812748110559
9.56-4-170.306122502640035,431
5-3-375.086717812
96-5-041.302713138173000856,744
5-4-239.528130411640845
8.55-5-116.60301336331320040,301
4-4-314.3143643714
85-6-04.500103183228133000804,794
4-5-24.514163130144728
7.54-6-10.400041631311430031,324
3-5-3Out2525504
74-7-00.0001517292815410534,815
3-6-2Out0415342916200495
6.53-7-1Out003133034163016,617
2-6-3Out2020605
63-8-0Out0041430321630246,849
2-7-2Out15112930213214
5.52-8-1Out021437341105,565
1-7-3Out50502
52-9-0Out004204231274,581
1-8-2Out193739557
4.51-9-1Out07384961,101
41-10-0Out0117671513,652
0-9-2Out1733506
3.50-10-1Out67024104
30-11-0Out254441,334
Total:39.3%16643191512976432103,818,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Miami finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeKansas CityDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandCincinnatiTennesseeBaltimoreClevelandNY JetsSan DiegoBuffaloPittsburghOaklandHoustonJacksonville
1411-0-05.1%Yes
13.510-0-16.6991
1310-1-05.79700011000000000
9-0-2NoYes
12.59-1-14.784121721110000
129-2-04.374123743320000000
8-1-22.97533164331
11.58-2-13.146247187643110010
118-3-02.630351120107741100100
7-2-22.2301613201066520100
10.57-3-11.710571528108641100100
6-2-3No17333317
107-4-01.34581625117641100000
6-3-20.946717281065212001
9.56-4-10.8057152094421100000
5-3-3No253388
96-5-00.503491262310000000
5-4-20.644811533100000
8.55-5-10.212452010000000
4-4-3No77
85-6-00.10011110000000000
4-5-20.11011110
7.54-6-10.000000000000
3-5-3No
74-7-00.0000000000
3-6-2No
3-6.5No
Total:0.8%6.42.23.16.29.54.32.62.41.40.30.30.10.20.20.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/10100.0*Lottery seed
New England 30 New Orleans 27 +0.2
Tampa Bay 20 Philadelphia 31 +0.1
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19 -0.1
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13 -0.0
Minnesota 10 Carolina 35 -0.0
Chicago 27 NY Giants 21 +0.0
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7 -0.0
Houston 13 St. Louis 38 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/17100.0*Lottery seed
Miami vs Buffalo-1.3+0.4+2.1
NY Jets vs New England-0.3*-0.1+0.2
Indianapolis vs Denver-0.0+0.1+0.0
Green Bay vs Cleveland+0.0+0.1-0.0
Carolina vs St. Louis-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Tennessee vs San Francisco+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Arizona vs Seattle+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1411-0-06613220
13.510-0-14112461
1310-1-0222050420010
9-0-2173350
12.59-1-15665713031
129-2-028402413109030
8-1-210461910176
11.58-2-10124212832911100
118-3-00162318115012421100
7-2-207221895013619
10.57-3-10191314906438330
6-2-333171733
107-4-000431292363415101000
6-3-24414111243315111
9.56-4-100683022426226100
5-3-38254225
96-5-0002440172421201241000
5-4-201441822232011410
8.55-5-10120013820261982000
4-4-31473621147
85-6-0000100327152122179310000
4-5-20041515212320721
7.54-6-1000000151524261882000
3-5-3252550
74-7-000000013715222217931000
3-6-2036161925207300
6.53-7-10015152426188200
2-6-3402040
63-8-00001381724241672000
2-7-2481918251691
5.52-8-1003102129241120
1-7-35050
52-9-00002616272816510
1-8-224232326212
4.51-9-1014143432132
41-10-0004153233142
0-9-2173350
3.50-10-1112941253
30-11-0007264323
Total:002434312210976665544432221110000