Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 12.6%
1-2-0   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Miami 15 Kansas City 34 -10.1
-0.5
-1.3
Buffalo 10 San Diego 22 +0.7
+0.1
+0.1
NY Jets 19 Chicago 27 +0.6
+0.1
New England 16 Oakland 9 -0.6
-0.0
NY Giants 30 Houston 17 +0.3
Carolina 19 Pittsburgh 37 -0.3
-0.1
Seattle 26 Denver 20 +0.2
+0.0
Jacksonville 17 Indianapolis 44 -0.2
-0.0
Cincinnati 33 Tennessee 7 +0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Oakland vs Miami-4.6*-1.0+5.6
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
-0.9+0.1+1.1
Kansas City vs New England+0.6*-1.0-0.6
Houston vs Buffalo+0.5*+0.7-0.7
NY Jets vs Detroit-0.4*+0.1+0.4
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Baltimore vs Carolina-0.3*+0.0+0.4
Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay-0.2*-1.4+0.4
-0.0*-0.1+0.1
San Diego vs Jacksonville-0.1*-0.5+0.2
+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Miami finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1413-0-0In973535
13.512-0-1In1002
1312-1-0In8216011,803
12.511-1-1In7719426
1211-2-0In5436505014,325
11.510-2-1In41418191154
1110-3-099.9%18402041720069,166
10.59-3-199.57342642260621
109-4-094.821425142416410226,604
9.58-4-184.0051817182713301,954
98-5-054.701716922241551000531,448
7-4-266.73333336
8.57-5-124.6011021227281541003,881
87-6-08.8005031122272092000917,687
6-5-27.782323311513
7.56-6-11.3010292432238105,912
76-7-00.50000028192825134001,175,135
5-6-2Out19664419616
6.55-7-10.0001620332812206,440
65-8-00.00000171931281221,120,525
4-7-2Out11113333119
5.54-8-1Out01626372554,981
54-9-0Out000211303918786,154
3-8-2Out2550254
4.53-9-1Out032045322,783
43-10-0Out00183655392,412
2-9-2Out33673
3.52-10-1Out328691,091
32-11-0Out0011485132,867
2.51-11-1Out1189197
21-12-0Out029827,166
1.50-12-1Out10021
10-13-0Out01002,939
Total:12.6%0123234678910111211105,426,880

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Miami finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeCincinnatiSan DiegoHoustonNew EnglandBuffaloBaltimoreDenverIndianapolisPittsburghKansas CityNY JetsTennesseeClevelandOaklandJacksonville
13.5-148.8%Yes
1312-1-08.39800000000000
12.511-1-13.8964
1211-2-06.989011111111100000
11.510-2-13.9823313331111
1110-3-04.957355444443312100
10.59-3-13.141478454565423211
109-4-02.515699787876423210
9.58-4-11.556109677866423201
98-5-01.01566555544312200
7-4-2No17171717
8.57-5-10.40333223222111100
87-6-00.20111001111000000
6-5-2No8
7.56-6-10.0000000000000
76-7-00.0000000000000000
5-6-2No
6.55-7-1No0
65-8-00.000000000000
4-7-2No
1-5.5No
Total:0.3%1.71.01.31.20.91.01.11.10.90.80.50.30.40.40.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/18100.0*Lottery seed
Miami 15 Kansas City 34 +2.5
Jacksonville 17 Indianapolis 44 +0.1
Cleveland 21 Baltimore 23 -0.1
Seattle 26 Denver 20 +0.1
New Orleans 20 Minnesota 9 +0.1
Carolina 19 Pittsburgh 37 +0.1
Buffalo 10 San Diego 22 -0.0
Cincinnati 33 Tennessee 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland vs Miami+1.7-0.4-2.1
Houston vs Buffalo+0.1-0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Carolina-0.1*-0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Philadelphia+0.1*-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs New England+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Green Bay-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Tennessee-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Dallas vs New Orleans-0.0*-0.4+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1413-0-09613
13.512-0-1100
1312-1-0641816001
12.511-1-15423194
1211-2-02231306500500
11.510-2-112293298191
1110-3-02161623164301432000
10.59-3-1071124206417560
109-4-0021138171149151334100
9.58-4-10531411651320712300
98-5-0001075111851711151152000
7-4-21717331717
8.57-5-1001282111820231572000
87-6-00000500031371216181611520000
6-5-28158231531
7.56-6-1001000271523241783000
76-7-0000000000248131820171151000
5-6-2613251325136
6.55-7-10013819252413610
65-8-00000001371421231810310
4-7-211222244
5.54-8-1014122328211020
54-9-0000027162728164
3-8-25050
4.53-9-101620342910
43-10-000016224131
2-9-23367
3.52-10-11114245
32-11-00042571
2.51-11-121979
21-12-00793
1.50-12-1595
10-13-0199
Total:00011112121212233344445556666665