Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 26.2%
4-3-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +4.6
+0.1
+0.5
New England 27 NY Jets 25 -1.7
-0.0
-0.1
Chicago 14 Miami 27 -1.0
-0.1
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 +0.6
+0.1
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.5
Pittsburgh 30 Houston 23 +0.3
-0.0
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 -0.3
+0.0
-0.1
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 +0.3
+0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.1
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs Buffalo-10.5-0.9+7.3
-0.2*-0.0+0.1
-1.1+0.2+0.7
New England vs Chicago-1.9+1.6+3.8
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Jacksonville vs Miami+1.6+0.6-0.7
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-1.0+0.7+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.6-0.8+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Houston+0.6+0.6-0.4
+0.0+0.2-0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.3*+0.3+0.8
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.2+0.5+0.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Denver vs San Diego+0.1*+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Buffalo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
139-0-0In593470220,427
12.58-0-1In51408111,592
128-1-0100.0%17393293002,302,889
7-0-2In57437
11.57-1-1In93437127016,277
117-2-099.6111353513400011,139,808
6-1-2In5483510340
10.56-2-198.205274016102067,701
106-3-083.200942102113310030,354,764
5-2-281.61114210181161174
9.55-3-162.303335202411200155,363
4-2-3In1001
95-4-028.1001918202619610051,339,773
4-3-227.90201720262071333
8.54-4-111.80100212293014300214,722
3-3-3Out1001
84-5-03.704002924342350055,870,313
3-4-22.3231125322160395
7.53-5-10.9010031634341200183,678
2-4-3Out1001
73-6-00.20000212364090039,099,666
2-5-2Out11436427251
6.52-6-10.0000062951131094,623
62-7-00.0000063843111016,990,378
1-6-2Out143847968
5.51-7-1Out023348151026,675
51-8-0Out00534441514,153,999
0-7-2Out50282218
4.50-8-1Out327482023,151
40-9-0Out03314719450,768
Total:26.2%014142579111313126200212,687,856

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Buffalo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisBaltimoreDenverSan DiegoNew EnglandKansas CityMiamiCincinnatiPittsburghClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
139-0-04.9%920011110110100
12.58-0-14.491101111011110
128-1-03.356126775244230000
7-0-2No571429
11.57-1-13.0433379963553400
117-2-01.612561316149476350000
6-1-2No53510281885588
10.56-2-11.45781417149466340000
106-3-00.90781317128354230000
5-2-22.3165151613627532
9.55-3-10.7067111486233220000
4-2-3NoYes
95-4-00.30235723021110000
4-3-20.313582211211
8.54-4-10.111340101100000
3-3-3No
84-5-00.0001101000000000
3-4-2No111
7.53-5-10.000000000000
2-4-3No
73-6-00.00000000000000
2-5-2No
6.52-6-1No00000
62-7-00.000000000
1-6-2No
4-5.5No
Total:0.3%1.41.82.34.25.43.12.50.91.51.40.81.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 -1.2
New England 27 NY Jets 25 +0.2
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +0.1
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.1
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.0
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.0
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets vs Buffalo+2.0+0.2-1.4
New England vs Chicago+0.1-0.1-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.1+0.0-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.0+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.0-0.1+0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.1-0.0+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Minnesota+0.0+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Washington-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
139-0-03325322700
12.58-0-1262538280110
128-1-031424153129030000
7-0-243142914
11.57-1-118181635212610
117-2-0012922133506740000
6-1-233252335553
10.56-2-100414123917109120
106-3-0000274031911101330000
5-2-2138393271081351
9.55-3-10032950571321133000
4-2-3100
95-4-000014501171425209300000
4-3-20155116162420930
8.54-4-1005400231224251661000
3-3-3100
84-5-00012000002818262313510000
3-4-2020172027231451
7.53-5-100100029202824124100
2-4-3100
73-6-000000001515242617821000
2-5-214152623197500
6.52-6-10000151527281761000
62-7-000000014122326201031000
1-6-2413163221661
5.51-7-100313262920710
51-8-000014122328219200
0-7-211286221717
4.50-8-1141630311530
40-9-00015173029153
Total:000122112122357778766543321100000