Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.9 to 4.3%
8-6-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Francisco 35 San Diego 38 -1.9
-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City+2.4+8.1-2.5
+0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.1
Cincinnati vs Denver-3.0-3.0+2.2
-0.1-0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Oakland vs BuffaloOut-2.8+1.0
No-0.1+0.0
-1.4+0.1+0.3
Houston vs Baltimore+1.9+1.9-1.5
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Miami vs Minnesota-0.2+0.4+0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England vs BuffaloOut+0.1+10.9
No*+0.0+0.2
-0.7+1.4+1.7
Kansas City vs San Diego+1.5+9.4-3.0
+0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.4+0.1
Baltimore vs Cleveland-1.5+5.1+5.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati+1.5-2.3-2.3
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Miami vs NY Jets-0.1+0.4+0.4
Houston vs Jacksonville-0.1+0.3+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Buffalo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
102-0-018.6%1176021284,901,019
9.51-0-15.4552420545,754
91-1-0Out06364413790,367,675
0-0-2Out8334613183
8.50-1-1Out43044202444,680
80-2-0Out0127315161,789,089
Total:4.3%0414923301821,238,048,400

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Buffalo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBNew EnglandDenverIndianapolisBaltimorePittsburghCincinnati
102-0-00.4%109071
9.51-0-10.100311
8-9No
Total:0.1%0.30.02.10.01.70.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/18100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 27 Philadelphia 24 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Oakland vs Buffalo+2.2+1.5-0.5
Houston vs Baltimore-0.2+0.0+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City-0.1+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Green Bay+0.1-0.0-0.0
St. Louis vs NY Giants+0.1-0.1-0.1
Carolina vs Cleveland+0.1-0.1-0.1
Miami vs Minnesota+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Denver-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Buffalo+0.5-0.2-1.3
NY Giants vs Philadelphia-0.4+0.3+0.3
Baltimore vs Cleveland+0.1-0.1-0.3
Houston vs Jacksonville-0.1+0.1+0.3
Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati+0.1+0.1-0.2
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.1-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs San Diego-0.0+0.1+0.0
Miami vs NY Jets+0.0-0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
102-0-0010177650
9.51-0-153052130
91-1-0153833131
0-0-2113438161
8.50-1-143044202
80-2-001440351010
Total:00042726211065100