Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 26.2%
4-3-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 +4.6
+0.1
+0.5
New England 27 NY Jets 25 -1.7
-0.0
-0.1
Chicago 14 Miami 27 -1.0
-0.1
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6 +0.6
+0.1
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.5
Pittsburgh 30 Houston 23 +0.3
-0.0
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 -0.3
+0.0
-0.1
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0 +0.3
+0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.1
Washington 19 Tennessee 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs Buffalo-10.5-1.0+7.3
-0.2*-0.0+0.1
-1.1+0.1+0.7
New England vs Chicago-1.9+1.4+3.8
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Jacksonville vs Miami+1.6+0.6-0.7
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-1.0+0.7+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Houston+0.6+0.8-0.4
+0.0+0.2-0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.3+0.3+0.8
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.6-0.7+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.2+0.3+0.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit-0.0+0.3+0.0
Denver vs San Diego+0.1*+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Buffalo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
139-0-0In593470548,391
12.58-0-1In51399114,000
128-1-0100.0%17393293005,728,212
7-0-2In4395723
11.57-1-1100.0935371270040,491
117-2-099.6111353513400027,706,204
6-1-2In114430114105
10.56-2-198.3052740161020168,340
5-1-3In1001
106-3-083.200942102113310075,497,950
5-2-285.5084710211040442
9.55-3-162.503345212411200386,126
4-2-350.050502
95-4-028.10019182026196100127,673,208
4-3-228.80210720261861824
8.54-4-111.80100212293014300532,787
3-3-3Out1001
84-5-03.7040029243423500138,920,651
3-4-22.0221127312150896
7.53-5-11.0010031634341200456,395
2-4-3Out33673
73-6-00.2000002123640900097,235,975
2-5-2Out113364090544
6.52-6-10.00000629511310235,252
1-5-3Out1001
62-7-00.0000063843111042,241,896
1-6-2Out15424310178
5.51-7-1Out023448151066,920
51-8-0Out005344415110,325,649
0-7-2Out42451331
4.50-8-1Out328481927,933
40-9-0Out033147191,121,289
Total:26.2%014142579111313126200528,900,720

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Buffalo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisBaltimoreDenverSan DiegoNew EnglandKansas CityMiamiCincinnatiPittsburghClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
139-0-04.9%9200111101101000
12.58-0-15.090001221011110
128-1-03.356126775244230000
7-0-24.3434941344134
11.57-1-12.944337996355230000
117-2-01.612561316149476350000
6-1-2No1134922151533736
10.56-2-11.35781417149466340000
5-1-3YesYes
106-3-00.90781317128354230000
5-2-21.4078141713845533
9.55-3-10.7067111486233220000
4-2-3No50
95-4-00.30235723021110000
4-3-20.223592202111
8.54-4-10.1113401011000000
3-3-3No
84-5-00.0001101000000000
3-4-2No1010
7.53-5-10.000000000000
2-4-3No
73-6-00.00000000000000
2-5-2No
6.52-6-1No0000000
1-5-3No
62-7-00.0000000000
1-6-2No
4-5.5No
Total:0.3%1.41.82.34.25.43.12.50.91.51.40.81.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/16100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16 -1.2
New England 27 NY Jets 25 +0.2
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23 +0.1
Oakland 13 Arizona 24 +0.1
Detroit 24 New Orleans 23 -0.0
Green Bay 38 Carolina 17 -0.0
Denver 42 San Francisco 17 -0.0
Dallas 31 NY Giants 21 -0.0
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets vs Buffalo+2.0+0.3-1.4
New England vs Chicago+0.1-0.1-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.1+0.0-0.0
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.0-0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.0-0.1+0.0
Jacksonville vs Miami-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
139-0-03325322700
12.58-0-1262536390110
128-1-031424153129030000
7-0-242613524
11.57-1-11819163431206100
117-2-0012922133506740000
6-1-248311230574
10.56-2-1000414134017109120
5-1-3100
106-3-0000274031911111330000
5-2-20274342811101130
9.55-3-100329505713211330000
4-2-35050
95-4-000014501171425209300000
4-3-20156016162619830
8.54-4-1005400231224251662000
3-3-3100
84-5-000120000028182623135100000
3-4-21101819272314510
7.53-5-1001000029202824124100
2-4-3333333
73-6-00000000015152426178210000
2-5-215132627196300
6.52-6-10000151527281761000
1-5-3100
62-7-0000000141223262010310000
1-6-23121830219611
5.51-7-1003132630197100
51-8-000014122328219200
0-7-2362310262310
4.50-8-10151631301530
40-9-000015162929153
Total:000122112122357778766543321100000