Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 3.4%
5-5-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Buffalo vs NY Jets+1.0-1.3-2.9
+0.3-0.1-0.7
New England vs Detroit-0.3-0.2+0.5
New Orleans vs Baltimore+0.3+0.3-0.2
San Diego vs St. Louis-0.1+0.4+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Denver vs Miami+0.2+0.2-0.2
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville-0.0+0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Cleveland+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Cincinnati+0.0+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Buffalo vs Cleveland+2.9-0.7-2.8
+0.7+0.1-0.7
NY Jets vs Miami+1.0+0.5-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans-0.3+0.4+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.0+0.6+0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Green Bay vs New England+0.3-0.3-0.3
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati+0.3-0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Tennessee-0.1+0.3+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Denver+0.0+0.3-0.0
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.1+0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well Buffalo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
116-0-099.5%817185421010079,159,017
10.55-0-195.014724833500471,392
105-1-044.6002492928216000708,613,057
4-0-242.70349283220501,140
9.54-1-115.80012143434142003,381,908
3-0-320.02060205
94-2-00.80000121332341522,456,986,348
3-1-20.40021231351726,191
8.53-2-10.000000521382978,839,741
2-1-3Out2943297
83-3-00.0000000214424204,088,413,213
2-2-2Out001124244011,564
7.52-3-1Out00053362010,287,433
1-2-3Out25754
72-4-0Out00011873003,361,580,003
1-3-2Out098838,261
6.51-4-1Out00493305,243,099
0-3-3Out1004
61-5-0Out0079201001,275,673,940
0-4-2Out0811902,032
5.50-5-1Out0782110934,164
50-6-0Out29541610177,466,437
Total:3.4%000012247122047400012,177,078,960

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Buffalo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandIndianapolisDenverKansas CityMiamiPittsburghBaltimoreCincinnatiHoustonClevelandSan DiegoTennesseeJacksonville
116-0-02.4%2562186467562300
10.55-0-11.354281073910573300
105-1-00.5031055255332200
4-0-20.50210453554412
9.54-1-10.201421022111000
3-0-3No20
94-2-00.000000000000000
3-1-2No000000000
8.53-2-10.000000000000
2-1-3No
83-3-00.000000000000
2-2-2No
5-7.5No
Total:0.0%0.20.20.80.30.30.20.40.40.20.20.10.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs NY Jets-0.7+1.3+1.9
Minnesota vs Green Bay+0.1+0.1-0.0
San Francisco vs Washington+0.1-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Cleveland-0.0+0.1+0.0
New Orleans vs Baltimore-0.0+0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Tennessee+0.0+0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+0.0+0.0-0.1
San Diego vs St. Louis-0.0+0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Dallas+0.0+0.1-0.0
Denver vs Miami+0.0+0.1-0.0
Houston vs Cincinnati-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Cleveland-1.4+0.6+1.4
St. Louis vs Oakland+0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs Miami-0.2+0.0+0.0
Houston vs Tennessee+0.0+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.0+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.0+0.1-0.1
Detroit vs Chicago-0.0+0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs NY Giants-0.1-0.0+0.0
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
116-0-0081175135202291100
10.55-0-11041521830285500
105-1-00000240097224691000
4-0-200230096214881
9.54-1-100010022112534195100
3-0-3204040
94-2-00000000011229321961000
3-1-2000012283220710
8.53-2-100000001517313014300
2-1-3144343
83-3-0000000001621352791000
2-2-201520352810100
7.52-3-100162441235000
1-2-35050
72-4-0000021338331220000
1-3-2021338321220
6.51-4-100521362791000
0-3-3502525
61-5-00021329321851000
0-4-20311293219510
5.50-5-1002112935184000
50-6-000151833291220000
Total:000000000101567681213141164210000000