Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 26.1%
4-3-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Denver 35 San Diego 21 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Jets vs Buffalo-10.6-0.6+7.4
-0.2*-0.0+0.1
-1.1+0.2+0.7
New England vs Chicago-1.8+1.7+3.8
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Jacksonville vs Miami+1.6+1.0-0.7
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis-1.0+0.5+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Houston+0.7+0.8-0.5
+0.0+0.2-0.0
Kansas City vs St. Louis-0.3*+0.2+0.8
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-0.7-0.6+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.2*-0.2+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England vs Denver-2.7*+0.1+2.3
-0.2+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-0.9+0.4+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.7+0.4+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Miami vs San Diego-0.6+0.6+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville-0.3*+0.0+0.8
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs NY Jets-0.3*+0.1+0.8
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.2*+0.0+0.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Buffalo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
139-0-0In613081190,847
12.58-0-1In493910111,429
128-1-0100.0%173733103002,040,476
7-0-2In30304010
11.57-1-1100.0833391470014,693
117-2-099.7111353613400010,140,522
6-1-2In213432613246
10.56-2-198.50427411791061,736
106-3-084.300943112112300028,205,663
5-2-288.9110441123101162
9.55-3-165.103346212310200145,753
95-4-029.4001919212518610048,481,923
4-3-231.82392126193321
8.54-4-112.5010021329291330203,059
84-5-03.804002924342250053,441,507
3-4-23.4321026332250319
7.53-5-11.010031634331100176,059
73-6-00.200002133740900037,785,189
2-5-2Out115413671217
6.52-6-10.00000629511310092,004
62-7-00.0000063943111016,546,657
1-6-2Out631567172
5.51-7-1Out033448151026,288
51-8-0Out00634441514,072,640
0-7-2Out936272711
4.50-8-1Out326491923,150
40-9-0Out03324619444,239
Total:26.1%013143579111314126200202,074,992

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Buffalo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeIndianapolisDenverBaltimoreNew EnglandSan DiegoKansas CityMiamiCincinnatiPittsburghClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
139-0-04.8%910002210110100
12.58-0-14.188000222111110
128-1-03.254132896254230000
7-0-210.060102010
11.57-1-12.841333101273553400
117-2-01.612676151810477350000
6-1-22.2152713171592777
10.56-2-11.3488815191057745000
106-3-00.9088913189455330000
5-2-21.919121010171074434
9.55-3-10.70778915724422000
95-4-00.30333384122110000
4-3-2No23338402322
8.54-4-10.111114201110000
84-5-00.0000021000000000
3-4-2No0120
7.53-5-10.000000000000
73-6-00.00000000000000
2-5-2No
6.52-6-1No00000
62-7-00.0000000000
1-6-2No
4-5.5No
Total:0.3%1.32.02.32.43.25.82.90.91.61.60.91.10.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets vs Buffalo+2.0+0.2-1.4
New England vs Chicago+0.1-0.2-0.2
New Orleans vs Green Bay+0.1+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Indianapolis+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.0+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Detroit+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Seattle-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Denver+0.2-0.0-0.2
Kansas City vs NY Jets+0.1-0.0-0.2
Seattle vs Oakland+0.1-0.1-0.2
Miami vs San Diego+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Jacksonville+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+0.1+0.1-0.0
NY Giants vs Indianapolis+0.1-0.0-0.0
Minnesota vs Washington-0.0+0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs St. Louis+0.0-0.1-0.0
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Tampa Bay-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
139-0-03526291801
12.58-0-123263631011
128-1-031523143121003000
7-0-21020302020
11.57-1-11717163621406100
117-2-0012922133606740000
6-1-22211281526772
10.56-2-100414124117108110
106-3-00002740311011101330000
5-2-214739529149101
9.55-3-10032950681420113000
95-4-00001450118152420920000
4-3-2167181422191021
8.54-4-100540023132425166100
84-5-00012000002819262313510000
3-4-2131817262412610
7.53-5-101000029202823123100
73-6-0000000015152426178210000
2-5-20251228241883
6.52-6-1000015152728176100
62-7-000000014122326201031000
1-6-21313192121148
5.51-7-100413262919710
51-8-00014122328219200
0-7-236271818
4.50-8-10151530311530
40-9-000015173029153
Total:000122112122357778766543321110000