Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.5 to 6.5%
6-5-0   .545

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Buffalo 38 NY Jets 3 +0.9
+0.2
New Orleans 27 Baltimore 34 -0.5
-0.0
-0.0
New England 34 Detroit 9 -0.3
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20 +0.2
Denver 39 Miami 36 +0.1
+0.0
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26 -0.1
-0.1
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24 -0.1
-0.0
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22 -0.1
Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Buffalo vs Cleveland+4.0-1.8-5.8
+0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.7+0.1-1.0
NY Jets vs Miami+1.4+1.1-0.3
+0.2+0.2-0.0
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans-0.5+1.0+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati+0.9-0.1-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Baltimore vs San Diego+0.0+1.2-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Green Bay vs New England+0.3-0.4-0.4
Kansas City vs Denver-0.0+0.6+0.1
Houston vs Tennessee-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.2+0.2
Indianapolis vs Washington-0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Buffalo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
115-0-098.3%411157441820119,215,719
10.54-0-190.601324440910550,418
104-1-033.5001262429279100778,326,808
3-0-232.4116243227711,005
9.53-1-17.800072738225002,740,098
2-0-3Out1001
93-2-00.30000011029372031,868,489,406
2-1-20.1001926382243,489
8.52-2-10.000316373594,674,527
1-1-3Out67333
82-3-00.00001939512,027,373,213
1-2-2Out01639543,740
7.51-3-1Out00432643,180,397
0-2-3Out33673
71-4-0Out006931972,866,133
0-3-2Out49601,224
6.50-4-1Out05941711,963
60-5-0Out092800162,509,949
Total:6.5%00002447111520360005,940,648,096

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Buffalo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandIndianapolisDenverKansas CityBaltimoreCincinnatiPittsburghMiamiClevelandSan DiegoHouston
115-0-03.5%147271079763333
10.54-0-12.1153212611771433
104-1-00.7029435331111
3-0-20.529434231211
9.53-1-10.212111110000
2-0-3No
93-2-00.0000000000000
2-1-20.000
8.52-2-10.00000000
1-1-3No
82-3-00.000000000
1-2-2No
6-7.5No
Total:0.2%0.30.41.80.70.60.80.60.60.10.20.20.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 38 NY Jets 3 -0.6
New Orleans 27 Baltimore 34 +0.1
San Francisco 17 Washington 13 +0.1
Minnesota 21 Green Bay 24 -0.0
Philadelphia 43 Tennessee 24 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Cleveland-1.1+0.9+1.7
NY Jets vs Miami-0.3-0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs New Orleans+0.1+0.1-0.1
Detroit vs Chicago+0.0+0.1-0.0
Baltimore vs San Diego-0.0+0.1+0.1
Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.0+0.0
Houston vs Tennessee+0.0+0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs Oakland+0.0-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs Denver+0.0+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs New England-0.0+0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
115-0-00401041171627153200
10.54-0-100103213323199000
104-1-000001206420501420000
3-0-2110542052142
9.53-1-1000017153229133000
2-0-3100
93-2-00000000005193228133000
2-1-20041630291640
8.52-2-100018243624600
1-1-33367
82-3-00000315353511100
1-2-202133635121
7.51-3-100032046264000
0-2-36733
71-4-0000114433381000
0-3-21144533710
6.50-4-1006283922500
60-5-0003183630112000
Total:000000000113881010913141162100000