Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 2.5 to 20%
4-5-0   .444

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina 17 Kansas City 20 -0.9
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 -0.7
-0.0
San Diego 24 Miami 31 +0.5
Jacksonville 21 Houston 24 -0.4
-0.0
Tennessee 47 Green Bay 25 -0.4
-0.1
Pittsburgh 30 Dallas 35 +0.3
+0.0
Baltimore 28 Cleveland 7 -0.1
-0.0
NY Jets 6 Los Angeles 9 +0.1
+0.0
New England 24 Seattle 31 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Cincinnati+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs Buffalo-11.1-1.2+8.0
-0.5-0.0+0.3
-1.1+0.3+0.8
Los Angeles vs Miami+1.7+1.7-1.5
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Houston-0.7-0.1+1.5
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay-0.4+0.8+1.1
Indianapolis vs Tennessee+0.3+1.2-0.3
-0.0+0.2+0.0
San Francisco vs New England+0.5+0.3-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Dallas vs Baltimore+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh+0.3+0.3-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
117-0-099.4%261076141004,350,605,945
10.56-0-192.00720434080019,190,930
106-1-067.90110234327500017,573,904,974
5-0-276.401102846203036,340
9.55-1-138.40010433491210065,505,263
4-0-342.15334421638
95-2-09.0000018313718400029,130,776,560
4-1-210.9000110333716300101,514
8.54-2-11.600002204029810089,099,908
3-1-35.1515353113178
84-3-00.00000018253523710025,685,638,109
3-2-20.00019263522610108,727
7.53-3-10.0000031633321420061,909,599
2-2-3Out71933332557
73-4-00.00000162441253012,999,434,814
2-3-2Out0162442243055,416
6.52-4-1Out00021438387023,129,258
1-3-3Out27274626
62-5-0Out0001114438603,764,585,070
1-4-2Out01124735513,663
5.51-5-1Out00538451104,390,186
0-4-3Out75254
51-6-0Out000847451574,458,856
0-5-2Out09494111,277
4.50-6-1Out0438561329,521
40-7-0Out8791342,700,731
Total:20.0%000081115151312108521094,385,976,864

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNew EnglandKansas CityOaklandDenverHoustonBaltimorePittsburghTennesseeMiamiIndianapolisCincinnatiSan DiegoJacksonvilleNY JetsCleveland
117-0-04.5%811002330138067000
10.56-0-14.0722112426128055000
106-1-02.6122112018870440000
5-0-23.112211222110805400
9.55-1-11.40121111944022000
4-0-3No331118333
95-2-00.30000032110000000
4-1-20.400100331101100
8.54-2-10.1000000000000000
3-1-3No311
84-3-00.0000000000000000
3-2-20.0000000000
7.53-3-10.0000000000000
2-2-3No
73-4-00.000000000000
2-3-2No
4-6.5No
Total:0.8%0.50.50.60.20.35.55.52.51.90.11.21.10.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/10100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego 24 Miami 31 -0.1
Jacksonville 21 Houston 24 +0.1
Washington 26 Minnesota 20 +0.1
Philadelphia 24 Atlanta 15 +0.0
New England 24 Seattle 31 +0.0
New Orleans 23 Denver 25 -0.0
Baltimore 28 Cleveland 7 +0.0
NY Jets 6 Los Angeles 9 +0.0
Arizona 23 San Francisco 20 +0.0
Pittsburgh 30 Dallas 35 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Cincinnati+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/17100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs Buffalo+2.2-0.6-1.6
Detroit vs Jacksonville+0.1-0.1-0.1
Los Angeles vs Miami-0.1-0.1+0.0
Carolina vs New Orleans-0.0-0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Tennessee-0.0-0.1+0.0
Kansas City vs Tampa Bay-0.0-0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs New England-0.1-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
117-0-0022410005521130100
10.56-0-10016110025183828000
106-1-000010100617311224810000
5-0-20010100820341318510
9.55-1-10000100041716411830000
4-0-3333181637138
95-2-00000000011792428198200000
4-1-200000012892428188200
8.54-2-1000000002312252919820000
3-1-35592422171431
84-3-0000000000001410192422135100000
3-2-20000014111925211351000
7.53-3-100000000281927241451000
2-2-3719182812952
73-4-0000000001271726261651000
2-3-200127172626155100
6.52-4-1000027193026133000
1-3-3151938234
62-5-00000014142932163000
1-4-20141431321530
5.51-5-100017233525710
0-4-32575
51-6-0000011033381510
0-5-201113440131
4.50-6-100524432530
40-7-00032249242
Total:00000000447479975676544432110000