How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Buffalo 17 Baltimore 24 -1.6
-0.2
-0.2
Houston 24 Denver 38 +1.0
+0.1
Arizona 17 Pittsburgh 23 -0.4
-0.1
Oakland 21 Tennessee 42 +0.2
Tampa Bay 38 Indianapolis 35 +0.2
New England 16 Kansas City 23 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Buffalo-3.8+1.9In
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.1+0.3
Tennessee vs Houston-0.3-0.6+0.5
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
New Orleans vs Indianapolis-0.2-0.2+0.4
Arizona vs Cleveland+0.3+0.3-0.2
Oakland vs Jacksonville-0.1+0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs New England+0.5+0.4-0.0
+0.3+0.3-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
123-0-0In0104862,199,788,552
11.52-0-1In052946,119,219
112-1-0In00109628,692,175,106
1-0-2In010995,013
10.51-1-1In00091912,731,608
0-0-3In1001
101-2-0In44567,211,498,078
0-1-2In69314,270
9.50-2-190.7%266594,388,420
90-3-050.951436101,252,327,813
Total:96.8%01107025300019,379,038,080

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeBaltimoreKansas CityNew EnglandTennesseeHoustonPittsburghClevelandIndianapolisOaklandDenver
123-0-02.4%10033026291010
11.52-0-12.05035027301010
112-1-01.800371283110100
1-0-21.600370283211
10.51-1-11.70138128300010
0-0-3NoYes
101-2-01.61473262201
0-1-21.61441262601
9.50-2-11.41463261501
90-3-00.812821290
Total:1.7%1.30.539.52.126.025.90.50.01.10.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/5100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo 17 Baltimore 24 +0.4
Arizona 17 Pittsburgh 23 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/12100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Buffalo+0.8-0.3-0.7
Cincinnati vs New England-0.5-0.5+0.1
Carolina vs Seattle-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
123-0-00028214244
11.52-0-1014113757
112-1-0000010128421
1-0-200101287
10.51-1-1000028935
0-0-3100
101-2-01441541
0-1-2168823
9.50-2-126164540
90-3-0150222186100
Total:000100010596190110000