American Football Conference Playoff Chances

Tennessee +18.2, Houston -20.8
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
12/8GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
BaltimoreWBuffalo 24-1711-2-0.846194In+0.027.9%+4.09441001.1+0.391.789Baltimore Ravens
Kansas CityWNew England 23-169-4-0.69290In+0.73.4+0.811250373.2+0.454.657Kansas City Chiefs
New EnglandLKansas City 16-2310-3-0.769170100.0%-0.024.6-5.15831002002.1-0.426.803New England Patriots
BuffaloLBaltimore 17-249-4-0.6926296.8-0.51.7-0.30110702530005.3-0.1714.635Buffalo Bills
TennesseeWOakland 42-218-5-0.6156371.3+18.21.4+0.70024280182341005.1+0.9613.623Tennessee Titans
HoustonLDenver 24-388-5-0.615864.8-20.80.4-0.4001332119286105.4-1.0710.515Houston Texans
PittsburghWArizona 23-178-5-0.6151759.4+13.90.3+0.10000273227103106.3+0.5111.537Pittsburgh Steelers
ClevelandWCincinnati 27-196-7-0.462-183.6+1.00.0+0.0031032241794108.8+0.4312.464Cleveland Browns
IndianapolisLTampa Bay 35-386-7-0.46213.3-8.20.0-0.002252228211361009.2-0.6919.502Indianapolis Colts
OaklandLTennessee 21-426-7-0.462-1080.4-4.30.0-0.00021317192014123010.5-1.0418.310Oakland Raiders
DenverWHouston 38-245-8-0.385-250.3+0.00.00371623201894010.6+1.3016.445Denver Broncos
LA ChargersWJacksonville 45-105-8-0.38538Out-0.0No-0.047152733132011.2+0.7224.579Los Angeles Chargers
JacksonvilleLLA Chargers 10-454-9-0.308-107Out-0.0No0238142444613.1-1.2626.300Jacksonville Jaguars
NY JetsWMiami 22-215-8-0.385-75Out-0.0No00014123838713.3+0.2631.347New York Jets
MiamiLNY Jets 21-223-10-0.231-178OutNo00039751315.0-0.3029.217Miami Dolphins
CincinnatiLCleveland 19-271-12-0.077-127OutNo138715.9-0.0528.258Cincinnati Bengals

Updated through 12/8/19

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/5
Houston 24 Denver 38
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City-0.4
Buffalo+1.0
Tennessee+2.4
Houston-13.5
-0.2
Pittsburgh+5.0
Cleveland+0.9
Indianapolis+3.5
Oakland+0.3
Denver+0.7
Arizona 17 Pittsburgh 23
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo-0.4
Tennessee-3.5
Houston-2.1
Pittsburgh+10.5
Cleveland-1.5
Indianapolis-1.6
Oakland-1.2
Denver-0.3
LA ChargersOut
Oakland 21 Tennessee 42
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City+0.2
Buffalo+0.2
Tennessee+10.0
Houston-1.1
Pittsburgh-3.4
Cleveland-1.0
Indianapolis-0.6
Oakland-4.2
JacksonvilleOut
Tampa Bay 38 Indianapolis 35
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo+0.2
Tennessee+4.0
Houston+3.1
Pittsburgh+0.6
Indianapolis-8.1
Buffalo 17 Baltimore 24
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
BaltimoreIn
+1.1
New England-0.8
Buffalo-1.6
-0.2
Tennessee+0.2
Houston+0.3
Pittsburgh+0.8
Oakland+0.2
New England 16 Kansas City 23
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore+1.3
Kansas City+1.1
+0.5
New England-2.1
Oakland-0.2
Denver-0.7
Cleveland 27 Cincinnati 19
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh-0.6
Cleveland+0.8
Jacksonville 10 LA Chargers 45
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
JacksonvilleOut
LA Rams 28 Seattle 12
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore-0.2
New England-0.2
New Orleans 46 San Francisco 48
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore-0.2
New England-0.2
Week of 12/12
Pittsburgh vs BuffaloIf winner is:HomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England24.824.524.5
Buffalo93.098.7In
1.51.81.9
Tennessee58.971.781.7
1.2*1.41.5
Houston56.653.871.7
0.30.30.4
Pittsburgh87.769.635.8
0.50.40.2
Cleveland2.01.24.9
Indianapolis1.64.74.7
Oakland0.30.30.5
DenverOutOut0.6
NoNo0.0
Tennessee vs HoustonHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England100.0In100.0
24.524.524.8
Buffalo96.596.397.4
1.7*1.71.8
Tennessee85.775.443.1
1.7*1.30.7
Houston51.564.691.1
0.30.30.5
Pittsburgh57.959.562.3
Cleveland4.32.72.2
Indianapolis3.21.13.5
Denver0.4Out0.2
0.0No0.0
New Orleans vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo96.696.697.2
Tennessee73.273.268.0
Houston68.969.057.4
Pittsburgh57.256.463.4
Cleveland3.42.74.0
Indianapolis0.01.69.3
Oakland0.30.20.5
Arizona vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Buffalo97.197.196.6
Tennessee70.970.971.6
Houston65.665.664.3
Pittsburgh61.661.657.8
Cleveland0.40.55.8
Indianapolis3.53.53.2
Kansas City vs DenverHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore28.0*28.027.7
Kansas City3.62.92.8
New England24.325.325.6
Houston65.064.964.5
Pittsburgh59.559.559.1
Cleveland3.73.73.3
DenverOutOut1.3
NoNo0.0
Oakland vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh59.359.559.5
Oakland0.60.20.1
Cincinnati vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore28.8*27.927.8
Kansas City4.6*3.43.3
New England99.9InIn
21.123.924.9
Buffalo2.22.21.7
Baltimore vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore28.126.826.0
Kansas City3.33.33.8
New England24.525.825.9
Carolina vs SeattleHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore27.727.728.1
New England24.424.424.7
San Francisco vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore27.9*27.928.2
New England24.6*24.624.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeBaltimoreKansas CityNew EnglandBuffaloTennesseeHoustonPittsburghClevelandIndianapolisOaklandDenverLA ChargersJacksonvilleNY Jets
Baltimore98.40.00.00.50.20.20.60.10.00.0NoNoNo
Kansas City12.30.00.739.511.99.723.61.30.80.20.1NoNoNo
New England87.60.00.72.12.42.54.20.30.20.00.0NoNoNo
Buffalo1.30.539.52.126.025.90.50.01.10.00.0
Tennessee0.30.211.92.426.012.016.31.50.50.10.2NoNo
Houston0.10.29.72.525.912.013.70.30.30.10.1NoNoNo
Pittsburgh0.10.623.64.20.516.313.70.00.40.0No
Cleveland0.11.30.30.01.50.30.00.0NoNo
Indianapolis0.00.80.21.10.50.30.40.0NoNo
OaklandNo0.00.20.00.00.10.10.0NoNoNo
DenverNo0.10.00.00.20.1NoNoNoNo
LA ChargersNoNoNoNo
JacksonvilleNoNoNoNo
NY JetsNoNoNoNoNo