American Football Conference Playoff Chances

Pittsburgh +10.9, Houston -15.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
MondayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
Indianapolis5-2-0.7148097.1%+1.514.6%+0.2242925170111100000002.6+0.104.678Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore5-2-0.7148992.0-0.217.0+0.0222526124432110000003.1-0.0111.712Baltimore Ravens
Denver15-1-0.8336888.2+0.510.3+0.031157321953211000003.6+0.021.650San DiegoDenver Broncos
San Diego5-2-0.7147078.4+0.88.4+0.1121183291596321000004.8+0.0217.677at DenverSan Diego Chargers
New England5-2-0.7143369.4+0.33.4+0.05916313567653200005.1+0.0115.583New England Patriots
Kansas City13-3-0.5002138.5+1.01.1+0.02331141615121097521007.56.557Kansas City Chiefs
Miami13-3-0.500926.6+0.40.6+0.012413358101213121162108.5-0.0118.523Miami Dolphins
Buffalo4-3-0.571-726.2+0.30.3+0.00141425791113131262008.6-0.0114.479Buffalo Bills
Cincinnati13-2-1.583-625.1-0.20.4-0.0122281112121212121141008.5-0.068.484Cincinnati Bengals
PittsburghWHouston 30-234-3-0.571-824.0+10.90.3+0.212217111313131211841008.5+1.2119.478Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland13-3-0.500117.1+0.20.301114910121213141452009.1+0.0123.503Cleveland Browns
HoustonLPittsburgh 23-303-4-0.429516.5-15.60.3-0.401124810121313131283109.2-1.2520.514Houston Texans
Tennessee2-5-0.286-510.7+0.00.00000001235814342010312.824.363Tennessee Titans
NY Jets1-6-0.143-640.20.00000000011361733261314.0-0.0427.338New York Jets
Jacksonville1-6-0.143-860.0+0.00.00000000000131024372414.7+0.0329.293Jacksonville Jaguars
Oakland10-6-0.000-660.00.0000000000001412245915.3-0.0132.335Oakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/16
San Diego 20 Kansas City 23
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+0.6
Baltimore+0.6
Denver-1.1
+0.5
San Diego-9.8
-2.9
Kansas City+15.1
+0.6
Cincinnati-0.8
Cleveland-1.0
Houston-0.6
Jacksonville 24 Cleveland 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore+1.8
+0.3
Denver+1.7
San Diego+0.9
Kansas City+1.6
Miami+0.6
Buffalo+0.6
Cincinnati+2.8
Pittsburgh+1.3
Cleveland-13.9
-0.7
Houston+1.7
Pittsburgh 30 Houston 23
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+1.1
+0.2
Denver+0.5
San Diego+0.8
Kansas City+1.4
Miami+0.4
Buffalo+0.3
Cincinnati+0.5
Pittsburgh+7.3
Houston-12.5
-0.3
Indianapolis 27 Cincinnati 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+4.5
+1.2
Baltimore+0.9
Denver+0.6
San Diego+0.4
-0.2
Kansas City+0.6
Buffalo+0.3
Cincinnati-8.3
-0.7
Pittsburgh+0.6
Cleveland+1.3
Houston-0.8
Chicago 14 Miami 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver-0.5
New England-2.6
-0.2
Miami+6.6
+0.2
Buffalo-1.0
Cincinnati-0.5
Cleveland-0.5
Denver 42 San Francisco 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+5.8
+0.8
San Diego-0.7
-0.3
New England-0.4
Kansas City-1.1
Miami-0.4
Buffalo-0.5
Cincinnati-0.9
Pittsburgh-0.4
Cleveland-0.6
Houston-0.6
New England 27 NY Jets 25
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver-0.2
New England+4.7
+0.4
Miami-1.3
Buffalo-1.7
Cincinnati-0.2
Cleveland-0.2
NY Jets-0.5
Buffalo 17 Minnesota 16
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver-0.4
New England-1.7
Miami-0.7
Buffalo+4.6
Cincinnati-0.4
Cleveland-0.4
Baltimore 29 Atlanta 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore+4.3
+1.0
Denver-0.5
San Diego-0.2
-0.2
Kansas City-0.4
Cincinnati-0.8
Pittsburgh-0.4
Cleveland-0.7
Houston-0.5
Washington 19 Tennessee 17
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+0.3
Tennessee-0.9
Week of 10/23
Cincinnati vs BaltimoreIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore83.692.395.9
13.517.718.6
Cincinnati39.526.418.4
0.7*0.40.2
Denver vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver94.288.881.1
12.89.57.4
San Diego69.682.188.8
5.98.911.4
Kansas City39.336.637.6
Pittsburgh vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis94.696.098.5
12.413.415.9
Kansas City37.0*38.239.4
Pittsburgh36.7*24.316.9
0.6*0.30.2
Kansas City vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego77.580.980.8
8.3*8.68.7
Kansas City43.930.625.0
1.30.80.6
Cincinnati24.3*24.827.3
Pittsburgh23.324.525.6
NY Jets vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England72.7*69.367.1
3.5*3.43.3
Miami28.927.325.1
Buffalo15.725.333.5
0.2*0.30.5
New England vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England75.067.557.8
3.83.12.5
Miami24.9*26.330.3
0.6*0.60.7
Buffalo24.327.730.0
0.3*0.40.4
Jacksonville vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England72.872.067.8
3.53.53.3
Miami16.121.631.5
0.30.40.7
Buffalo27.826.825.4
Tennessee vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City40.239.537.4
Houston7.412.722.6
0.10.20.4
Cleveland vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City37.9*38.440.3
Cleveland20.615.68.0
0.3*0.20.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeIndianapolisBaltimoreDenverSan DiegoNew EnglandKansas CityMiamiBuffaloCincinnatiPittsburghClevelandHoustonTennesseeNY JetsJacksonvilleOakland
Indianapolis53.22.05.39.02.06.51.71.84.34.73.53.00.10.00.00.0
Baltimore46.42.05.08.03.36.32.32.35.04.73.53.20.10.00.00.0
Denver46.85.35.05.49.22.73.84.21.91.51.21.20.10.00.00.0
San Diego23.69.08.05.412.82.65.15.42.11.81.41.40.10.10.00.0
New England14.52.03.39.212.87.42.93.14.34.32.92.80.10.00.00.0
Kansas City4.66.56.32.72.67.42.82.51.00.70.60.60.00.00.00.0
Miami2.31.72.33.85.12.92.80.91.51.40.91.00.00.00.00.0
Buffalo1.41.82.34.25.43.12.50.91.51.40.81.00.00.00.00.0
Cincinnati2.54.35.01.92.14.31.01.51.50.30.20.50.00.00.00.0
Pittsburgh2.24.74.71.51.84.30.71.41.40.30.30.60.00.00.00.0
Cleveland1.53.53.51.21.42.90.60.90.80.20.30.30.00.00.00.0
Houston1.03.03.21.21.42.80.61.01.00.50.60.30.00.00.00.0
Tennessee0.00.10.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
NY Jets0.00.00.00.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Jacksonville0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Oakland0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0