American Football Conference Playoff Chances

Kansas City +0.0, Houston -0.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
New England111-3-0.786162In27.5%7819211.32.746New England Patriots
Denver111-3-0.786104In14.4-0.02176211.81.671Denver Broncos
Indianapolis110-4-0.714107In6.3+0.00466303.36.670Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore19-5-0.64310982.0%+0.04.622130308024315.7+0.0115.690Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati19-4-1.6792279.9-0.01.2011025242016405.19.543Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh19-5-0.6435077.5+0.01.7-0.0118231620795105.317.584Pittsburgh Steelers
Kansas City18-6-0.5716833.4+0.01.0+0.024102420761017.413.633Kansas City Chiefs
San Diego18-6-0.571915.7+0.00.151061422162338.911.518San Francisco 0-0 (8:25 PM ET)San Diego Chargers
Buffalo18-6-0.571486.20.106141427231429.012.598Buffalo Bills
Houston17-7-0.500475.1-0.10.1-0.005181415241779.1-0.0220.590Houston Texans
Miami17-7-0.500260.2+0.00.0082419212269.4+0.0110.549Miami Dolphins
Cleveland17-7-0.500-240.00.000036118011.721.452Cleveland Browns
NY Jets13-11-0.214-130OutNo8811013.127.267New York Jets
JacksonvilleWTennessee 21-133-12-0.200-157OutNo117514014.0+0.5429.234Jacksonville Jaguars
TennesseeLJacksonville 13-212-13-0.133-167OutNo13652215.1-0.5431.229Tennessee Titans
Oakland12-12-0.143-168OutNo11217815.728.218Oakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/18
Pittsburgh vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver14.514.214.3
Baltimore84.587.779.5
4.55.24.7
Cincinnati88.371.371.3
1.31.01.1
PittsburghIn68.754.1
2.41.41.0
Kansas City0.840.767.2
0.01.12.0
San Diego12.715.618.8
Buffalo8.114.94.2
0.20.30.1
Houston5.51.04.6
0.10.00.1
Cleveland0.0*OutOut
Cincinnati vs DenverHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England28.227.327.0
Denver13.714.714.9
Indianapolis6.56.66.1
Baltimore73.673.688.2
4.14.15.0
CincinnatiIn86.865.2
1.61.20.9
Pittsburgh72.581.181.1
1.61.91.8
San Diego13.117.617.7
Buffalo2.22.29.2
0.00.00.2
Houston vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England27.927.427.2
Denver14.6*14.414.2
Baltimore64.488.996.2
3.25.05.7
Cincinnati82.282.178.1
1.31.21.1
Pittsburgh81.274.474.4
1.91.61.6
Kansas City34.033.032.9
1.10.90.9
San Diego18.413.613.6
Buffalo8.18.04.7
Houston11.3OutOut
0.2NoNo
Miami0.4OutOut
0.0NoNo
Cleveland0.0*OutOut
San Francisco vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore85.885.878.7
4.84.84.4
Cincinnati84.376.076.0
San Diego3.615.426.6
0.00.10.2
Buffalo8.48.44.3
Houston6.83.53.5
Cleveland0.0*OutOut
Oakland vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati84.083.979.0
San Diego16.215.615.6
Buffalo0.02.67.6
0.00.10.2
Houston6.44.64.8
Cleveland0.0*OutOut
Miami vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami0.2OutOut
0.0NoNo
NY Jets vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England23.924.928.1
Denver15.915.814.2
Indianapolis7.37.06.1
Carolina vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
ClevelandOut*Out0.0
Arizona vs SeattleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England27.927.727.1
Denver14.714.514.1
Dallas vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver14.614.214.2
Indianapolis5.96.66.6
Tampa Bay vs Green BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England27.927.627.4
Week of 12/28
Kansas City vs San DiegoIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England27.327.327.9
Baltimore83.889.878.4
4.75.14.5
Cincinnati80.272.779.3
1.21.11.2
Pittsburgh75.781.181.0
1.71.81.9
Kansas City49.729.90.2
1.50.80.0
San DiegoOut10.547.7
No0.10.4
Buffalo5.813.77.1
0.10.30.1
Houston4.62.26.0
0.10.00.1
ClevelandOut0.0Out
Pittsburgh vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore79.885.785.6
4.44.84.9
Cincinnati67.397.8In
0.81.41.7
Pittsburgh94.160.151.1
2.21.21.0
San Diego14.415.917.9
Buffalo7.83.73.7
0.20.10.1
Houston3.33.37.9
Baltimore vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England27.3*27.628.2
Denver14.314.514.7
Baltimore92.678.146.2
5.34.32.3
Cincinnati78.186.186.1
1.11.31.4
Pittsburgh76.376.281.5
1.71.72.0
Kansas City32.933.035.0
1.01.01.2
San Diego14.414.520.1
Buffalo4.711.211.2
0.10.20.2
Houston0.90.919.3
0.00.00.4
MiamiOutOut0.7
NoNo0.0
ClevelandOut*Out0.0
New England vs BuffaloHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England28.425.925.4
Denver13.915.515.5
Indianapolis6.16.56.6
Cincinnati84.084.069.6
1.21.21.1
Kansas City33.633.133.0
San Diego16.214.514.5
Buffalo0.07.722.1
0.00.20.5
Houston6.51.41.4
0.10.00.0
Cleveland0.0*OutOut
Houston vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh77.477.877.8
Kansas City32.936.136.1
1.01.11.1
San Diego15.516.916.8
Houston6.0OutOut
0.1NoNo
MiamiOut1.01.0
No0.00.0
ClevelandOut*Out0.0
Miami vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami0.2OutOut
0.0NoNo
Denver vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England27.4*27.428.2
Denver14.612.712.0
Indianapolis6.17.67.7
Cincinnati1.11.51.5
Green Bay vs DetroitHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England27.327.928.0
Denver14.214.614.7
Tennessee vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis5.8*6.36.4
Seattle vs St. LouisHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England27.427.827.9
Denver14.314.514.6
Washington vs DallasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver14.314.114.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeNew EnglandDenverIndianapolisBaltimoreCincinnatiPittsburghKansas CitySan DiegoBuffaloHoustonMiamiCleveland
New England97.01.00.30.60.30.20.40.00.0
Denver97.30.90.20.70.40.30.00.10.00.0
Indianapolis3.835.815.819.510.38.53.23.10.10.0
Baltimore1.00.935.821.817.25.10.20.0
Cincinnati1.20.30.215.821.825.610.92.70.40.90.00.0
Pittsburgh0.70.60.719.517.225.66.33.92.11.00.00.0
Kansas City0.30.410.35.110.96.3
San Diego0.20.38.50.22.73.9
Buffalo0.40.03.20.00.42.1
Houston0.00.13.10.91.0
Miami0.00.00.10.00.0
Cleveland0.00.00.00.0