American Football Conference Playoff Chances

Cincinnati +20.2, Cleveland -16.8
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
10/13GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
Kansas CityWOakland 24-76-0-01.0008798.8%+4.120.8%+4.6499203531000000002.8+0.399.712Kansas City Chiefs
DenverWJacksonville 35-196-0-01.00010796.4+5.612.6+1.4297205162100000003.7+0.168.677Denver Broncos
Indianapolis14-1-0.8006090.3+3.410.0-1.5103028171442211000003.3+0.192.643at San DiegoIndianapolis Colts
New EnglandWNew Orleans 30-275-1-0.8332887.6+10.75.8+0.282827162753211000003.6+0.827.585New England Patriots
CincinnatiWBuffalo 27-244-2-0.6671061.2+20.21.9+0.5110162518109754211005.7+1.706.530Cincinnati Bengals
Miami13-2-0.600-339.3+3.80.8-0.216643191512976432107.5+0.3310.492Miami Dolphins
TennesseeLSeattle 13-203-3-0.5001338.5-5.31.0-0.9046432118141075321007.3-0.2516.538Tennessee Titans
BaltimoreLGreen Bay 17-193-3-0.500537.6-8.10.8-0.7048170911121197542107.5-0.5412.514Baltimore Ravens
ClevelandLDetroit 17-313-3-0.500-722.9-16.80.3-0.90141116912131210864318.8-1.3017.479Cleveland Browns
NY JetsLPittsburgh 6-193-3-0.500-317.6-10.20.0-0.2001105681011121212118210.9-1.2429.411New York Jets
San Diego12-3-0.400-47.4+0.80.1-0.0000016781011121312108210.9+0.4128.490IndianapolisSan Diego Chargers
BuffaloLCincinnati 24-272-4-0.333-214.0-3.50.0-0.1000103468101214141311411.6-0.5020.447Buffalo Bills
PittsburghWNY Jets 19-611-4-0.200-283.7+2.50.0+0.00002013467911131620712.3+1.6427.421Pittsburgh Steelers
OaklandLKansas City 7-242-4-0.333-273.3-4.20.0-0.1000003568101213141412211.6-0.7122.421Oakland Raiders
HoustonLSt. Louis 13-382-4-0.333-711.2-2.80.0-0.00000012346912151920912.9-0.9424.337Houston Texans
JacksonvilleLDenver 19-350-6-0.000-1280.0-0.0No-0.00000000001136157415.5-0.1523.265Jacksonville Jaguars

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/10
Buffalo 24 Cincinnati 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+0.4
Cincinnati+9.8
+0.4
Tennessee-0.5
Baltimore-2.0
Cleveland-2.4
Buffalo-4.5
Pittsburgh-0.4
Cleveland 17 Detroit 31
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+0.4
New England+0.4
Cincinnati+3.0
Miami+0.7
Tennessee+1.0
Baltimore+2.8
Cleveland-10.3
-0.4
San Diego+0.3
Pittsburgh+0.4
Oakland+0.4
Baltimore 17 Green Bay 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+0.3
Indianapolis+0.3
New England+0.4
Cincinnati+2.5
Miami+0.6
Tennessee+0.9
Baltimore-9.4
-0.4
Cleveland+2.9
NY Jets+0.3
San Diego+0.3
Oakland+0.3
NY Jets 6 Pittsburgh 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+0.4
Indianapolis+0.3
New England+1.5
Miami+1.3
Tennessee+0.9
NY Jets-7.4
San Diego+0.3
Buffalo+0.5
Pittsburgh+0.9
Oakland+0.3
Seattle 20 Tennessee 13
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver+0.4
Indianapolis+1.2
+0.2
New England+0.5
Cincinnati+0.6
Miami+1.0
Tennessee-6.8
-0.3
Baltimore+0.7
Cleveland+0.5
NY Jets+0.5
San Diego+0.5
Buffalo+0.2
Oakland+0.3
New England 30 New Orleans 27
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis-0.3
New England+5.9
+0.8
Cincinnati-0.5
Miami-1.7
Tennessee-0.9
Baltimore-0.4
Cleveland-0.4
NY Jets-0.8
Buffalo-0.5
Kansas City 24 Oakland 7
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City+1.8
+0.9
Denver-0.5
New England-0.1
Miami+0.2
Tennessee+0.3
Cleveland+0.2
Oakland-3.0
Houston 13 St. Louis 38
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+0.4
Tennessee+0.5
Houston-2.1
Denver 35 Jacksonville 19
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City-0.3
Denver+1.5
+0.4
Cincinnati-0.2
Miami-0.3
Tennessee-0.3
Cleveland-0.1
Jacksonville*No
San Diego vs IndianapolisIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis84.9*90.593.9
8.5*9.811.0
San Diego12.78.93.8
0.2*0.10.0
Week of 10/17
Miami vs BuffaloIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Miami47.636.125.9
1.0*0.60.4
Tennessee37.1*39.240.9
1.0*1.01.1
Buffalo1.44.78.3
Pittsburgh vs BaltimoreHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati64.063.558.7
2.0*1.81.8
Tennessee40.0*38.937.2
Baltimore25.732.648.1
0.5*0.71.1
Cleveland25.0*23.821.1
Pittsburgh6.52.81.3
Tennessee vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis88.7*90.392.3
9.8*10.110.2
Miami38.1*39.940.9
Tennessee46.434.228.2
1.3*1.00.7
Detroit vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati54.465.271.3
1.5*1.62.4
Baltimore39.935.534.4
0.9*0.80.7
Cleveland24.721.520.4
Green Bay vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati63.0*61.058.1
1.9*2.01.8
Baltimore38.9*36.835.5
0.8*0.70.8
Cleveland17.524.432.4
0.2*0.30.5
NY Jets vs New EnglandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England79.389.092.8
4.6*5.86.5
NY Jets13.9*7.23.7
Indianapolis vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver94.398.298.7
11.1*12.814.4
Indianapolis94.291.485.7
11.3*10.28.4
Jacksonville vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
San Diego3.06.49.5
0.0*0.10.1
Kansas City vs HoustonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City99.2*98.996.6
21.3*20.018.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeKansas CityDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandCincinnatiMiamiTennesseeBaltimoreClevelandNY JetsSan DiegoBuffaloPittsburghOaklandHoustonJacksonville
Kansas City58.51.16.76.69.12.22.26.24.00.60.20.40.70.10.10.0
Denver36.51.110.610.114.03.13.39.35.80.80.20.41.10.10.20.0
Indianapolis40.76.710.63.33.16.29.62.71.81.51.80.70.30.90.20.0
New England36.36.610.13.33.89.56.73.22.12.01.71.00.40.90.20.0
Cincinnati11.59.114.03.13.84.34.54.62.60.91.20.60.40.60.10.0
Miami6.42.23.16.29.54.32.62.41.40.30.30.10.20.20.10.0
Tennessee4.12.23.39.66.74.52.62.51.30.50.50.20.20.10.00.0
Baltimore3.76.29.32.73.24.62.42.51.30.40.80.20.10.30.10.0
Cleveland1.64.05.81.82.12.61.41.31.30.20.40.10.10.10.00.0
NY Jets0.40.60.81.52.00.90.30.50.40.20.10.00.00.00.00.0
San Diego0.20.20.21.81.71.20.30.50.80.40.10.00.10.00.00.0
Buffalo0.10.40.40.71.00.60.10.20.20.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Pittsburgh0.10.71.10.30.40.40.20.20.10.10.00.10.00.00.00.0
Oakland0.00.10.10.90.90.60.20.10.30.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Houston0.00.10.20.20.20.10.10.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Jacksonville0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0