American Football Conference Playoff Chances

Tennessee +26.2, Cincinnati -21.5
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
Kansas CityWArizona 26-149-1-0.90011399.9%+0.120.9%+1.6741330100000001.6+0.171.696Kansas City Chiefs
New EnglandLTennessee 10-347-3-0.7004496.2-1.46.0-5.88303026022110000003.0-0.594.591New England Patriots
Pittsburgh16-2-1.7227094.4+1.69.4+0.873626211432100000003.1+0.285.645Pittsburgh Steelers
LA ChargersWOakland 20-617-2-0.7785493.5+7.94.6+1.4820073104210000004.9+0.377.625Los Angeles Chargers
Houston16-3-0.6673280.6-3.63.3-0.22132323416115210000004.5-0.2213.580Houston Texans
TennesseeWNew England 34-1015-4-0.5561746.0+26.21.2+1.005121411414131184210006.6+2.2310.550Tennessee Titans
Baltimore14-5-0.4445339.0+2.81.7+0.1012372522161173110007.2+0.179.635Baltimore Ravens
CincinnatiLNew Orleans 14-5115-4-0.556-5317.3-21.50.1-0.301122111317171310642108.7-1.376.393Cincinnati Bengals
IndianapolisWJacksonville 29-2614-5-0.4442117.1+1.60.3+0.00026081316171510642008.7+0.4724.545Indianapolis Colts
MiamiLGreen Bay 12-315-5-0.500-5712.9-10.20.0-0.10014171217181711732108.9-0.8919.373Miami Dolphins
Denver13-6-0.333-81.4-0.20.0-0.000000124812171715139211.8+0.0323.480Denver Broncos
JacksonvilleLIndianapolis 26-2913-6-0.333-390.7-1.80.0-0.000000024691417171612212.1-0.7127.396Jacksonville Jaguars
ClevelandWAtlanta 28-163-6-1.350-450.5+0.40.0+0.00000013581317202012112.4+1.1421.402Cleveland Browns
NY JetsLBuffalo 10-413-7-0.300-460.2-1.80.0-0.0000000125913182126313.2-2.1031.397New York Jets
BuffaloWNY Jets 41-103-7-0.300-1140.1+0.10.0000000124812172229513.4+1.3820.248Buffalo Bills
OaklandLLA Chargers 6-2011-8-0.111-1250.0-0.00.0000000001398615.8-0.3632.246Oakland Raiders

Will update after every advance.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/8
Tennessee 34 New England 10
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City+0.7
New England-2.4
-1.8
Pittsburgh-0.5
+0.7
LA Chargers-0.5
Houston-2.5
+0.2
Tennessee+10.4
+0.2
Baltimore-1.4
Cincinnati-1.8
Indianapolis-1.1
Miami+0.2
Denver-0.2
Jacksonville-0.3
NY Jets+0.2
Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh+0.9
LA Chargers+0.8
Houston+0.5
Tennessee+0.7
Baltimore+2.0
Cincinnati-7.9
Indianapolis+0.9
Miami+1.7
Jacksonville+0.2
Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City-0.2
New England-0.4
Pittsburgh+7.8
+0.8
LA Chargers-0.6
Houston-0.5
Tennessee-0.6
Baltimore-1.8
-0.2
Cincinnati-1.8
Indianapolis-0.8
Miami-1.3
Green Bay 31 Miami 12
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+0.3
Pittsburgh+0.6
LA Chargers+1.0
Houston+0.4
Tennessee+0.6
Baltimore+1.5
Cincinnati+1.4
Indianapolis+0.3
Miami-6.9
Denver+0.2
NY Jets+0.3
Indianapolis 29 Jacksonville 26
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
LA Chargers-0.2
Houston-0.6
Tennessee-0.3
Baltimore-0.5
Cincinnati-0.2
Indianapolis+4.0
Miami-0.4
Jacksonville-1.5
Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City-0.2
Pittsburgh-0.2
LA Chargers+3.7
+0.3
Houston-0.3
Tennessee-0.2
Baltimore-0.8
Cincinnati-0.6
Indianapolis-0.4
Miami-0.9
NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+0.3
LA Chargers+0.2
Baltimore+0.4
Cincinnati+0.3
Indianapolis+0.2
NY Jets-1.8
Kansas City 26 Arizona 14
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City+0.4
New England-0.1
Week of 11/15
Baltimore vs CincinnatiIf winner is:HomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh94.495.994.5
9.49.69.6
LA Chargers93.494.993.9
4.64.74.7
Houston80.182.682.6
3.33.43.5
Tennessee45.751.846.9
1.21.31.3
Baltimore47.419.611.1
2.10.80.5
Cincinnati10.620.339.6
0.00.10.2
Indianapolis16.920.717.8
0.30.40.4
Miami12.714.113.7
Indianapolis vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston81.082.880.2
3.43.53.2
Tennessee32.251.664.0
0.81.21.8
Baltimore40.634.437.0
1.81.51.6
Cincinnati18.414.915.8
Indianapolis26.217.55.2
0.50.30.1
Miami13.511.612.1
Washington vs HoustonHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Houston73.384.387.5
2.63.84.0
Tennessee49.442.942.8
1.31.11.1
Baltimore40.238.138.0
1.81.71.7
Indianapolis18.616.515.7
LA Chargers vs DenverHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City20.520.721.7
LA Chargers96.794.486.0
5.14.83.6
Houston80.180.381.8
3.3*3.33.4
Baltimore38.538.140.3
1.71.71.8
Miami12.612.313.7
Denver0.32.04.1
Jacksonville vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Pittsburgh88.294.797.2
7.58.810.3
Houston81.380.880.3
3.63.63.2
Tennessee47.045.945.5
1.4*1.21.2
Baltimore40.138.338.6
1.91.61.6
Cincinnati18.217.216.9
Indianapolis17.817.216.8
Jacksonville1.70.80.3
LA Rams vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City20.0*20.922.0
Arizona vs OaklandHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Oakland0.0Out0.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeKansas CityNew EnglandPittsburghLA ChargersHoustonTennesseeBaltimoreCincinnatiIndianapolisMiamiDenverJacksonvilleClevelandNY JetsBuffaloOakland
Kansas City86.12.62.70.92.41.91.40.50.80.60.00.00.00.00.00.0
New England38.92.61.421.26.64.510.24.22.63.20.40.20.20.00.00.0
Pittsburgh43.12.71.418.26.24.19.54.32.21.90.40.10.10.00.00.0
LA Chargers10.20.921.218.218.911.82.61.74.63.10.00.10.00.10.10.0
Houston14.92.46.66.218.912.68.43.73.92.30.40.10.10.00.00.0
Tennessee4.61.94.54.111.812.63.61.21.00.50.10.10.10.00.00.0
Baltimore1.21.410.29.52.68.43.60.41.00.60.10.00.00.00.00.0
Cincinnati0.50.54.24.31.73.71.20.40.40.20.00.00.00.00.00.0
Indianapolis0.30.82.62.24.63.91.01.00.40.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Miami0.20.63.21.93.12.30.50.60.20.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Denver0.00.00.40.40.00.40.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Jacksonville0.00.00.20.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Cleveland0.00.00.20.10.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
NY Jets0.00.00.00.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Buffalo0.00.00.00.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Oakland0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0