American Football Conference Playoff Chances

Cleveland +0.7, Pittsburgh -0.7
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
Denver16-1-0.8578292.8%+0.116.9%-0.052157212532110000002.6+0.011.678at New EnglandDenver Broncos
Indianapolis5-3-0.6256386.7+0.08.1-0.072022341223322100003.9+0.016.641Indianapolis Colts
New England6-2-0.7506175.9+0.18.0-0.015181815456654310004.3+0.019.642DenverNew England Patriots
Baltimore5-3-0.6258674.7-0.511.9-0.271820156875543100004.7-0.0416.711at PittsburghBaltimore Ravens
Kansas City14-3-0.5714852.6+0.23.4+0.0643123151210876410006.6+0.017.627NY JetsKansas City Chiefs
San Diego5-3-0.6255647.2+0.23.2+0.04321211714121086400006.9+0.0110.646at MiamiSan Diego Chargers
Pittsburgh5-3-0.625937.8-0.71.1-0.03663911131211109610007.3-0.0617.523BaltimorePittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo5-3-0.6251330.5+0.10.9136957891213141310008.1+0.0113.536Buffalo Bills
Houston4-4-0.5001928.4+0.10.9+0.01348589111112131320008.2+0.0118.552PhiladelphiaHouston Texans
Cincinnati14-2-1.643-327.8-0.50.6-0.024437910101112131510008.2-0.044.492JacksonvilleCincinnati Bengals
Miami14-3-0.5712326.3+0.11.02356479101213141320008.3+0.0120.560San DiegoMiami Dolphins
Cleveland14-3-0.5711119.2+0.70.5+0.01332478101213152020009.0+0.0725.530Tampa BayCleveland Browns
Tennessee2-6-0.250-650.1+0.00.000000000012658219213.327.329Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville1-7-0.125-1000.00.0000000000011130392014.729.260at CincinnatiJacksonville Jaguars
NY Jets1-7-0.125-840.00.0000000000011736301514.428.300at Kansas CityNew York Jets
Oakland10-7-0.000-760.00.000000000000312226315.431.307at SeattleOakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/30
Pittsburgh vs BaltimoreIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver92.992.492.8
17.6*16.716.5
Baltimore55.573.885.5
7.5*11.914.4
Kansas City52.851.152.5
3.7*3.43.3
San Diego46.2*47.247.7
3.4*3.23.1
Pittsburgh59.136.625.8
2.20.90.5
Buffalo29.931.730.8
1.01.00.9
Cincinnati27.931.027.8
0.70.70.5
Cleveland19.020.219.3
0.60.60.5
Miami vs San DiegoHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England74.477.077.3
7.88.18.1
Kansas City53.850.651.5
3.63.33.3
San Diego31.547.561.2
1.93.34.3
Pittsburgh38.7*37.937.1
Buffalo30.331.630.6
Houston29.227.127.7
Cincinnati28.627.627.2
Miami38.425.515.5
1.50.90.6
Cleveland19.820.918.6
Kansas City vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver92.693.693.9
16.717.417.5
New England75.677.477.3
7.98.18.1
Baltimore74.376.476.5
11.812.112.1
Kansas City56.540.032.4
3.72.21.8
San Diego46.450.951.0
3.13.53.5
Pittsburgh37.438.940.1
Buffalo30.231.232.0
Houston28.0*28.330.2
Cincinnati27.428.230.1
Miami26.027.628.1
Cleveland18.820.621.1
New England vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver89.094.097.2
14.617.219.4
New England84.878.465.8
9.97.85.7
Kansas City52.451.652.8
3.73.23.2
Buffalo28.429.932.9
0.8*0.91.0
Miami24.624.828.2
0.90.91.1
Houston vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis82.983.590.5
7.97.88.4
Baltimore74.175.275.2
11.8*12.011.9
Kansas City51.653.553.6
San Diego46.148.348.3
3.13.33.2
Buffalo29.831.131.2
Houston37.827.119.0
1.30.80.6
Miami25.826.926.9
Cincinnati vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore73.973.977.3
11.811.712.3
Kansas City52.154.154.4
San Diego46.648.349.1
3.23.33.2
Pittsburgh37.237.340.1
Buffalo30.230.231.5
Houston28.129.529.5
Cincinnati31.923.913.8
0.70.50.2
Miami26.127.027.2
Cleveland18.8*19.320.3
Cleveland vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore74.2*74.876.2
11.8*12.012.1
Kansas City52.3*52.753.6
San Diego46.946.948.2
Pittsburgh37.239.039.8
Cincinnati27.428.629.3
Cleveland22.016.910.0
0.60.40.3
NY Giants vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis79.681.491.0
6.57.09.1
Houston32.231.426.1
1.11.10.8
Seattle vs OaklandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Oakland0.0Out0.0
No*No0.0
Week of 11/6
Buffalo vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England74.476.377.2
7.98.18.1
Baltimore75.275.774.2
12.0*12.011.8
Kansas City36.649.566.6
2.12.94.6
San Diego48.148.546.3
3.33.33.0
Buffalo44.0*30.618.6
1.4*0.90.5
Houston29.326.927.6
Miami25.727.426.9
Cleveland20.020.218.5
Cincinnati vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore74.272.475.2
11.811.512.0
Pittsburgh38.336.837.3
Cincinnati38.4*27.815.7
0.90.50.3
Cleveland9.722.430.0
0.20.60.9
NY Jets vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England76.776.575.5
8.18.17.9
Baltimore76.7*74.873.7
12.2*11.911.7
Kansas City54.253.151.8
San Diego49.648.546.0
3.3*3.23.1
Pittsburgh22.830.445.0
0.60.81.4
Buffalo31.931.729.8
Houston29.729.127.8
Cincinnati29.829.126.9
Miami27.426.725.8
Cleveland20.620.218.5
Baltimore vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore77.866.256.0
12.610.47.7
Kansas City52.2*52.555.0
3.4*3.53.8
San Diego46.847.949.3
3.13.43.5
Pittsburgh37.439.840.7
1.11.31.4
Buffalo30.331.531.7
0.91.01.0
Houston28.1*28.329.8
0.9*1.01.0
Cincinnati27.331.131.0
0.60.70.7
Cleveland18.721.021.7
0.50.60.7
Detroit vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England77.676.373.3
8.1*8.17.7
Baltimore75.175.074.0
11.9*12.011.8
Kansas City53.151.551.7
San Diego47.847.446.2
Pittsburgh38.4*37.837.0
Buffalo31.530.228.9
Cincinnati28.5*27.726.8
Miami19.627.036.9
0.7*1.01.5
Cleveland19.719.618.4
Oakland vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver84.190.395.0
13.415.417.7
Kansas City54.1*52.752.2
4.1*3.53.3
San Diego48.948.046.7
3.93.53.0
Oakland0.0Out0.0
0.0*NoNo

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeDenverIndianapolisNew EnglandBaltimoreKansas CitySan DiegoPittsburghBuffaloHoustonCincinnatiMiamiClevelandTennesseeJacksonvilleNY JetsOakland
Denver67.14.83.33.42.52.11.62.11.71.51.71.00.00.00.00.0
Indianapolis27.64.83.34.911.010.65.93.64.14.63.13.10.00.00.00.0
New England32.53.33.34.36.97.04.03.62.93.22.82.20.00.00.00.0
Baltimore25.43.44.94.37.27.15.73.43.54.12.92.90.00.00.00.0
Kansas City10.72.511.06.97.20.92.03.22.71.82.61.30.00.00.00.0
San Diego6.52.110.67.07.10.92.03.22.51.72.31.20.00.00.00.0
Pittsburgh9.01.65.94.05.72.02.02.02.00.91.71.00.00.00.00.0
Buffalo4.32.13.63.63.43.23.22.01.61.51.00.90.00.00.00.0
Houston3.61.74.12.93.52.72.52.01.61.41.41.00.00.00.00.0
Cincinnati5.31.54.63.24.11.81.70.91.51.41.30.40.00.00.00.0
Miami4.61.73.12.82.92.62.31.71.01.41.30.90.00.00.00.0
Cleveland3.31.03.12.22.91.31.21.00.91.00.40.90.00.00.00.0
Tennessee0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Jacksonville0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
NY Jets0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Oakland0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0