American Football Conference Playoff Chances

Cincinnati +20.1, Miami -23.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayGW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
New EnglandWDetroit 34-99-2-0.81813098.4%+2.725.3%+5.9741451211000001.5+0.623.725New England Patriots
IndianapolisWJacksonville 23-37-4-0.6367793.8+11.86.1+1.81924590001121003.9+0.6712.642Indianapolis Colts
DenverWMiami 39-368-3-0.7277291.2+9.28.7+0.112391541473221003.4+0.572.633Denver Broncos
Kansas City7-4-0.6366665.5+0.24.5-0.859732715119743105.7-0.166.647Kansas City Chiefs
CincinnatiWHouston 22-137-3-1.6821254.5+20.11.4+0.631012712111212874206.0+1.499.527Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore16-4-0.6008049.5-1.43.8-0.7151110111312910974006.7-0.1914.676at New OrleansBaltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh7-4-0.6362545.5-5.71.3-0.52613481215131295106.5-0.4218.550Pittsburgh Steelers
MiamiLDenver 36-396-5-0.5456633.3-23.01.6-3.0022111171515141183007.6-1.4411.637Miami Dolphins
ClevelandWAtlanta 26-247-4-0.6362331.2+6.30.8+0.103945101212131311807.8+0.5722.553Cleveland Browns
San DiegoWSt. Louis 27-247-4-0.6362923.2+2.30.7-0.012217101012151617708.4+0.1616.566San Diego Chargers
HoustonLCincinnati 13-225-6-0.4551611.2-22.00.2-0.8001523710121724181009.5-1.7619.536Houston Texans
BuffaloNY Jets15-5-0.500-42.8-0.60.0-0.000001224711195230011.0-0.1015.490Buffalo Bills
TennesseeLPhiladelphia 24-432-9-0.182-101Out-0.0No-0.00002522813513.7-0.0928.295Tennessee Titans
NY Jetsat Buffalo12-8-0.200-91Out-0.0No-0.0000001374116413.8+0.1226.303New York Jets
JacksonvilleLIndianapolis 3-231-10-0.091-144Out-0.0No-0.000518423415.0-0.1131.227Jacksonville Jaguars
Oakland1-10-0.091-109OutNo00212305615.4+0.0727.276Oakland Raiders

Data is queried every 30 minutes, takes about 5 minutes for the web site to get up to date.
Currently after games are completed, I don't know who was home.
I do update partial games that aren't tied and update throughout the game.
Complete data dump is done every day at 3AM EST to fix mistakes or games that have been added.
Let me know how things are, if data is wrong: adamv at mad dot scientist dot com.


Last Updated: 9/23/2013 12:15:01 AM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/20
Houston 13 Cincinnati 22
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+6.6
+0.3
Denver+0.1
Kansas City-0.1
Cincinnati+17.3
+0.5
Baltimore-2.3
-0.3
Pittsburgh-2.8
Miami-0.3
Cleveland-1.6
Houston-16.7
-0.6
Oakland 24 Kansas City 20
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+0.4
+0.7
Indianapolis+0.3
+0.3
Denver+3.0
+1.3
Kansas City-17.8
-3.8
Cincinnati+1.7
Baltimore+2.2
+0.4
Pittsburgh+1.6
Miami+2.0
+0.3
Cleveland+1.8
San Diego+2.9
+0.2
Houston+1.5
Buffalo+0.2
Denver 39 Miami 36
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+0.7
Indianapolis-0.2
Denver+10.9
+1.6
Kansas City+0.8
-0.3
Cincinnati+1.0
Baltimore+0.8
Pittsburgh+1.0
Miami-16.2
-1.4
Cleveland+1.0
Houston+0.3
Atlanta 24 Cleveland 26
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England-0.2
Denver-0.5
Kansas City-0.8
Cincinnati-1.8
Baltimore-1.2
Pittsburgh-2.1
Miami-1.1
Cleveland+9.3
+0.3
San Diego-0.6
Houston-0.9
San Diego 27 St. Louis 24
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver-0.5
Kansas City-0.6
Cincinnati-0.4
Baltimore-0.4
Pittsburgh-0.4
Miami-0.2
Cleveland-0.6
San Diego+3.4
Indianapolis 23 Jacksonville 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis+3.1
+0.3
Kansas City-0.2
Miami-0.3
San Diego-0.2
Houston-1.7
JacksonvilleOut
No
New England 34 Detroit 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
New England+2.1
+1.1
Denver-0.2
Kansas City-0.2
Miami-0.8
-0.4
San Diego-0.3
Houston-0.2
Buffalo-0.3
New Orleans vs BaltimoreIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati57.1*57.052.7
1.6*1.31.4
Baltimore33.8*47.359.8
2.3*4.14.8
Pittsburgh48.3*44.543.6
1.5*1.41.3
Miami35.7*34.131.7
1.7*1.91.5
Cleveland33.5*32.829.7
0.9*0.80.8
Week of 11/27
Baltimore vs San DiegoIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Baltimore61.145.026.0
4.8*4.21.8
Miami33.028.733.8
1.6*1.61.7
San Diego12.829.344.3
0.41.21.3
Kansas City vs DenverHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Denver85.7*91.598.9
6.8*7.811.3
Kansas City79.559.545.6
6.2*3.42.0
Baltimore48.0*49.751.6
Miami31.5*35.035.8
1.5*1.31.7
Cleveland29.8*33.533.2
Tampa Bay vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City67.9*66.364.3
4.6*4.24.4
Cincinnati33.750.164.9
0.7*1.01.8
Baltimore53.5*47.147.5
4.2*3.33.6
Pittsburgh49.5*44.843.4
1.4*1.41.3
Miami36.1*35.431.9
1.7*1.91.6
Cleveland34.7*33.529.5
0.9*0.60.8
NY Jets vs MiamiHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati57.2*52.553.7
Baltimore53.053.348.5
4.0*3.43.8
Pittsburgh49.4*48.644.3
1.4*1.01.3
Miami10.220.639.9
0.4*1.02.0
Cleveland34.6*33.130.3
0.9*1.00.8
San Diego26.826.922.2
0.8*0.60.7
Buffalo vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Kansas City67.4*64.963.5
4.6*4.24.4
Cincinnati56.6*53.052.3
1.5*1.31.4
Pittsburgh47.4*46.243.5
1.4*1.11.3
Cleveland17.439.544.9
0.4*0.91.2
San Diego24.620.321.9
Buffalo5.4*2.10.3
Pittsburgh vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Cincinnati52.5*54.157.4
1.4*1.21.5
Baltimore47.4*51.052.7
3.6*4.14.2
Pittsburgh55.140.230.7
1.7*1.30.7
Cleveland29.4*34.333.9
0.8*1.00.9
Houston vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis92.4*93.998.7
6.1*5.56.4
Houston13.96.61.9
0.3*0.10.0
Indianapolis vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Indianapolis95.587.687.4
6.4*5.35.1
Houston10.016.415.7
0.2*0.20.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeNew EnglandIndianapolisDenverKansas CityCincinnatiBaltimorePittsburghMiamiClevelandSan DiegoHoustonBuffaloTennesseeNY JetsJacksonville
New England88.51.60.81.01.01.10.91.50.70.70.30.2NoNoNo
Indianapolis10.31.68.818.410.19.98.111.06.16.62.10.8NoNo
Denver51.10.88.86.94.15.33.53.23.02.81.30.3NoNoNo
Kansas City14.21.018.46.95.16.54.71.83.41.31.90.2NoNoNo
Cincinnati13.21.010.14.15.16.23.73.73.32.31.40.3NoNoNo
Baltimore5.61.19.95.36.56.26.12.53.32.00.80.3NoNoNo
Pittsburgh8.20.98.13.54.73.76.13.13.72.11.10.3NoNoNo
Miami2.61.511.03.21.83.72.53.12.20.70.80.1NoNoNo
Cleveland3.30.76.13.03.43.33.33.72.21.30.80.1NoNoNo
San Diego2.70.76.62.81.32.32.02.10.71.30.60.1NoNoNo
Houston0.10.32.11.31.91.40.81.10.80.80.60.1NoNo
Buffalo0.10.20.80.30.20.30.30.30.10.10.10.1NoNo
TennesseeNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNo
NY JetsNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNo
JacksonvilleNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNo