San Antonio Spurs Playoff Chances

Beat Indiana 106-100, playoff odds up 2.5 to 83.4%
10-4   .714

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
San Antonio 106 Indiana 100 +2.0
+0.2
+0.2
Detroit 98 LA Clippers 104 -0.5
Dallas 109 New York 102 -0.1
-0.0
Houston 102 Sacramento 89 +0.1
Orlando 96 Golden State 111 -0.1
Phoenix 120 Denver 112 -0.1
LA Lakers 93 Memphis 99 *-0.1
Oklahoma City 97 Utah 82 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
San Antonio vs Sacramento+2.4-4.5
+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.4
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.4-0.5
Houston vs LA Clippers+0.2-0.3
Denver vs Phoenix+0.1-0.2
Toronto vs Dallas+0.1-0.2
Charlotte vs Golden State+0.1-0.1
Portland vs Memphis+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Antonio finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
65-78In10060,176*
6454-14In10005,605
6353-15In100017,703
6252-16In100051,402
6151-17In9910137,697
6050-18In98200338,836
5949-19In973000775,265
5848-20In9360001,645,206
5747-21In871210003,242,223
5646-22In782020005,945,984
5545-23In6529401010,174,895
5444-24In503810120016,253,182
5343-25In3341182500024,307,442
5242-26In18372761110034,006,068
5141-27100.0%826311120300044,595,781
5040-28100.0314271631810054,839,339
4939-29100.01517173918300063,288,318
4838-3099.90171338309100068,588,927
4737-3199.30026273721510069,810,995
4636-3296.7000214333215300066,800,872
4535-3388.8000152135271010060,089,900
4434-3472.70001927352250050,814,864
4333-3550.2000031533331420040,383,592
4232-3628.000016223828600030,203,095
4131-3712.200021131391610021,224,044
4030-384.0000420422950014,013,022
3929-391.000193541131008,697,912
3828-400.20032245244005,065,585
3727-410.000111403611102,776,465
3626-420.0004284222401,421,345
3525-43Out01163933101684,394
3424-44Out0072940203307,931
3323-45Out031840327130,057
3222-46Out01933421650,577
3121-47Out0322462718,895
3020-48Out011344426,368
2919-49Out0635582,017
2818-50Out42670600
2717-51Out11683161
2616-52Out39730
10-25Out10058,090*
Total:83.4%6896161512108531000700,834,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Antonio finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitlePortlandGolden StateMemphisDallasHoustonPhoenixSacramentoLA ClippersNew OrleansDenverUtahOklahoma CityMinnesotaLA Lakers
7868-08.6%136991717171551100
7060-8NoYes
6959-920.020202040
6858-106.7310720231013733
6757-116.66891116151212811
6656-1211.6126881718161760000
6555-137.8136991816161461100
6454-148.5136991717161551100
6353-158.6135991617161561100
6252-168.41359101617161561100
6151-178.61359101717161561100
6050-188.61359101717161561100
5949-198.41359101617161561100
5848-208.51359101617161561100
5747-218.41369101617161461100
5646-228.314610111616161461100
5545-238.214610111516151451100
5444-247.924711121515151351000
5343-257.745812131314131141000
5242-267.3761013141212121030000
5141-276.9128111414101010830000
5040-286.51810121414888620000
4939-296.02112131413777420000
4838-305.52114141413666420000
4737-315.12016161413555310000
4636-324.71919171313444210000
4535-334.11821171211333100000
4434-343.215191598212100000
4333-352.110141165111000000
4232-361.268633000000000
4131-370.524311000000000
4030-380.211100000000000
3929-390.000000000000000
3828-400.000000000000
3727-410.00000000000
3626-42No0000000
10-35No
Total:4.8%14.012.312.111.110.85.85.75.84.01.50.20.10.10.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
San Antonio 106 Indiana 100 -0.4
LA Lakers 93 Memphis 99 +0.1
Detroit 98 LA Clippers 104 +0.1
Dallas 109 New York 102 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
San Antonio vs Sacramento-0.4+0.8
Toronto vs Dallas-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.0+0.1
Portland vs Memphis-0.0+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
66-78100
6555-131000
6454-1410000
6353-1510000
6252-169900
6151-1798110
6050-18972200
5949-199343000
5848-2087660000
5747-217891201000
5646-2265132002000
5545-23491629040010
5444-2432173701001200
5343-25181541118025000
5242-267113612706011100
5141-27262423101102003000
5040-28021132701603108100
4939-2901321611703901803000
4838-3000116113038030091000
4737-31000011602703702105100
4636-3200000201313303201503000
4535-3300000004120035027010100
4434-34000000118126035022500
4333-350000000211413203314200
4232-3600000004121138287000
4131-370000011823039172000
4030-38000002216393181000
3929-39000015243822820000
3828-40000182531221030000
3727-410000182028241341000
3626-42000171726261661000
3525-430015142527187200
3424-440014132429208200
3323-450001412253020710
3222-46000141327311950
3121-470014163133141
3020-480162038295
2919-49029344312
2818-505234924
2717-511164737
2616-5235047
2515-533367
100-680100
Total:4271906016015012010085210000000000