Memphis Grizzlies Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Orlando 107-106, playoff odds up 0.7 to 2.9%

18-27 .400

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Memphis 107 Orlando 106	+0.8		+0.2
Atlanta 143 Dallas 148	-0.1
New Orleans 83 Oklahoma City 107	+0.1
Charlotte 104 Houston 138	-0.1
Indiana 133 Phoenix 131	+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Milwaukee vs New Orleans	+0.2-0.2
Charlotte vs Utah	+0.1-0.1
Brooklyn vs Houston	+0.1-0.1
Golden State vs LA Lakers	+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Memphis finishes out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

55	37	-	0	In		90	10	0	0	0											16,280,574
54	36	-	1	In		83	17														52
53	35	-	2	In		62	35	3													984
52	34	-	3	In		44	47	9	0	0											11,011
51	33	-	4	In		25	51	21	2	0	0										94,570
50	32	-	5	In		11	42	37	9	1	0	0									623,596
49	31	-	6	In		3	25	45	22	4	1	0	0								3,326,552
48	30	-	7	100.0	%	1	9	37	41	7	5	1	0	0							14,720,680
47	29	-	8	100.0		0	2	19	53	9	12	4	0	0	0						55,186,707
46	28	-	9	99.6		0	0	6	51	7	19	13	3	0	0	0	0				177,820,960
45	27	-	10	96.6		0	0	1	39	3	16	24	13	3	0	0	0	0			497,855,578
44	26	-	11	84.4		0	0	0	25	1	8	24	27	13	3	0	0	0			1,221,874,453
43	25	-	12	58.1			0	0	13	0	2	13	30	28	12	2	0	0	0		2,647,166,116
42	24	-	13	27.9				0	5	0	0	4	18	33	27	10	2	0	0		5,090,050,869
41	23	-	14	8.7				0	2	0	0	1	6	22	35	26	8	1	0		8,725,723,321
40	22	-	15	1.7				0	0	0	0	0	1	8	26	37	22	4	0	0	13,378,506,408
39	21	-	16	0.2					0	0	0	0	0	2	12	34	38	13	0	0	18,394,611,710
38	20	-	17	0.0					0		0	0	0	0	4	21	45	29	0	0	22,722,378,026
37	19	-	18	0.0					0			0	0	0	1	9	40	49	2	0	25,246,789,498
36	18	-	19	0.0					0				0	0	0	3	27	65	5	0	25,246,365,071
35	17	-	20	0.0					0				0	0	0	1	15	73	11	0	22,722,298,088
34	16	-	21	0.0					0					0	0	0	7	72	20	0	18,394,597,939
33	15	-	22	Out										0	0	0	3	64	32	1	13,378,530,606
32	14	-	23	Out											0	0	1	50	45	3	8,725,581,087
31	13	-	24	Out											0	0	0	36	56	8	5,090,342,222
30	12	-	25	Out												0	0	22	62	16	2,647,183,907
29	11	-	26	Out												0	0	12	61	27	1,221,852,557
28	10	-	27	Out													0	5	53	41	497,848,941
27	9	-	28	Out													0	2	42	56	177,839,858
26	8	-	29	Out													0	1	29	70	55,197,923
25	7	-	30	Out													0	0	18	81	14,719,430
24	6	-	31	Out													0	0	10	89	3,323,407
23	5	-	32	Out														0	5	95	624,278
22	4	-	33	Out															2	98	94,643
21	3	-	34	Out															1	99	11,171
20	2	-	35	Out															1	99	952
19	1	-	36	Out																100	57
18	0	-	37	Out															0	100	16,280,578

Total:				2.9	%	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	3	6	11	22	43	11	1	196,385,714,380

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Memphis finishes out the regular season. Explain


If finish:					Win		Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	title		Minnesota	Oklahoma City	Denver	LA Clippers	New Orleans	Phoenix	Sacramento	Dallas	LA Lakers	Utah	Houston	Golden State	Portland	San Antonio

55		37	-	0	6.3	%	2	4	5	4	15	14	15	16	7	9	6	3	0
54		36	-	1	11.5			4	2	2	17	13	19	12	4	12	13	2
53		35	-	2	6.6		1	5	6	5	15	13	14	16	7	9	6	3
52		34	-	3	6.3		2	5	7	5	16	15	14	15	6	8	5	2
51		33	-	4	6.3		3	6	8	6	16	15	13	15	5	7	5	2	0
50		32	-	5	6.3		5	9	11	7	15	14	12	14	4	5	4	1	0
49		31	-	6	6.2		7	11	14	8	14	13	11	12	3	4	3	1	0	0
48		30	-	7	6.2		10	13	18	9	13	11	9	10	2	3	2	1	0	0
47		29	-	8	6.2		12	15	20	10	11	9	8	8	2	2	2	0	0	0
46		28	-	9	6.2		15	17	21	12	9	8	7	6	1	2	1	0	0	0
45		27	-	10	6.0		18	18	21	14	6	6	6	4	1	1	1	0	0	0
44		26	-	11	5.3		21	18	18	14	3	4	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
43		25	-	12	3.6		17	13	12	9	1	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
42		24	-	13	1.7		9	7	6	4	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
41		23	-	14	0.5		3	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
40		22	-	15	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
39		21	-	16	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
38		20	-	17	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
37		19	-	18	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36		18	-	19	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
35		17	-	20	0.0		0	0	0	0		0	0		0	0		0
34		16	-	21	0.0		0	0	0	0		0	0		0	0
18	-33				No

Total:					0.2	%	0.8	0.7	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Memphis 107 Orlando 106	-0.4

Saturday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

55	37	-	0	61	29	10	0	0		0		0
54	36	-	1	50	33	17
53	35	-	2	26	36	33	2	3
52	34	-	3	10	33	40	7	9	0	0		0
51	33	-	4	2	22	35	16	21	1	2		0	0	0
50	32	-	5	0	10	19	24	33	4	9	0	1	0	0		0
49	31	-	6	0	3	5	20	31	14	22	0	3	0	1	0	0		0
48	30	-	7	0	1	1	9	16	21	39	2	6	1	5	0	1	0	0		0
47	29	-	8	0	0	0	2	4	16	46	7	5	4	11	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
46	28	-	9		0	0	0	0	6	38	14	2	5	15	4	13	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
45	27	-	10		0		0	0	1	22	17	0	2	9	8	22	2	13	0	3	0	0	0
44	26	-	11		0		0	0	0	9	15	0	1	2	6	18	6	26	1	12	3	0	0	0
43	25	-	12				0	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	2	7	7	27	3	27	13	2	0	0	0
42	24	-	13						0	1	5	0	0	0	0	1	3	13	5	31	28	11	2	0	0	0	0
41	23	-	14						0	0	2		0	0	0	0	1	3	4	19	34	27	10	2	0	0	0	0
40	22	-	15						0	0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	20	34	27	10	2	0	0	0	0
39	21	-	16							0	0		0		0	0	0	0	0	1	6	20	33	27	11	2	0	0	0
38	20	-	17							0	0				0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	19	32	28	12	2	0	0	0
37	19	-	18							0	0						0	0	0	0	0	1	6	19	34	29	11	1	0	0	0
36	18	-	19								0								0	0	0	0	1	6	22	37	27	7	0	0	0
35	17	-	20								0								0	0	0	0	0	1	8	28	40	20	2	0	0	0
34	16	-	21								0										0	0	0	0	2	14	38	36	9	1	0	0	0
33	15	-	22																			0	0	0	0	4	24	45	23	3	0	0	0
32	14	-	23																				0	0	0	1	11	39	38	11	1	0	0
31	13	-	24																					0	0	0	3	24	44	24	4	0	0
30	12	-	25																						0	0	1	11	37	38	12	1	0
29	11	-	26																						0	0	0	3	23	43	25	5	0
28	10	-	27																							0	0	1	10	36	38	14	1
27	9	-	28																								0	0	3	22	43	27	5
26	8	-	29																								0	0	1	10	36	41	12
25	7	-	30																									0	0	3	23	48	26
24	6	-	31																										0	1	11	45	43
23	5	-	32																										0	0	4	34	61
22	4	-	33																											0	1	22	77
21	3	-	34																												0	12	87
20	2	-	35																													6	94
19	1	-	36																														100
18	0	-	37																												0	1	99

Total:				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	4	6	9	10	13	15	15	12	6	2	1	0	0