Memphis Grizzlies Playoff Chances

Beat San Antonio 117-116, playoff odds up 0.1 to 99.8%
21-4   .840

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
San Antonio 116 Memphis 117 +0.1
+0.3
+0.3
Detroit 106 Dallas 117 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Golden State vs Oklahoma City-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Memphis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
68-78In1005,656*
6746-11In10005,451
6645-12In100015,848
6544-13In99141,971
6443-14In982099,627
6342-15In9730215,147
6241-16In9370425,359
6140-17In8812000764,108
6039-18In80190001,257,595
5938-19In69291001,905,759
5837-20In564040002,662,754
5736-21In4149101003,426,846
5635-22In26521921004,075,350
5534-23In13463064004,484,838
5433-24In633381310104,576,341
5332-25In2183520213004,325,293
5231-26In0825243310103,793,139
5130-27In0213214020303,091,590
5029-28100.0%0051439339002,336,838
4928-29100.00017294220101,639,875
4827-3099.90021743353001,070,871
4726-3199.600183449800647,424
4625-3298.2003225618200364,812
4524-3394.101115231600190,702
4423-3484.7044041142092,221
4322-3568.00124432660041,057
4221-3647.60113636152017,046
4120-3727.54234025706,351
4019-3813.8113343515202,349
3918-394.60422392770768
3817-400.40112743190240
3716-41Out5204128664
3615-42Out455520
3514-43Out67333
3211-46Out1001
210-57Out2983,446
Total:99.8%212518914841000000041,586,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Memphis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitleGolden StatePortlandDallasLA ClippersHoustonSan AntonioNew OrleansOklahoma CityPhoenixSacramentoDenverLA LakersUtahMinnesota
7857-011.4%01354825241711400
7352-5NoYes
7251-625.07525
7150-79.76610291019163
7049-813.44331029211794
6948-913.723459232614104
6847-1011.014458252616840
6746-1110.90145482524169400
6645-1210.8013548252416105000
6544-1310.90135582524159500
6443-1411.001455825241595000
6342-1510.801455924241594000
6241-1610.701465924231494000
6140-1710.5015661023221484000
6039-1810.4016771222211384000
5938-1910.1017991420191273000
5837-209.801811111617161063000
5736-219.401111414191413852000
5635-228.912131616211110632000
5534-238.4141518182287421000
5433-247.9281719192155311000
5332-257.33141819191933110000
5231-266.9419181918172210000
5130-276.45211819181512000000
5029-285.97221919171411000000
4928-295.69221918171311000000
4827-305.312231916171201000000
4726-315.217231915151000000000
4625-324.92423171214800000000
4524-334.53121151011600000000
4423-344.035171288500000000
4322-353.23312866300000000
4221-362.3268543200000
4120-371.316432210
4019-380.9821110
3918-390.33100000
3817-40No0
21-37No
Total:7.9%3.39.714.416.115.817.37.87.54.42.41.20.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
San Antonio 116 Memphis 117 -0.6
Denver 111 Houston 115 +0.1
Detroit 106 Dallas 117 +0.1
LA Clippers 102 Indiana 100 +0.0
Portland 104 Milwaukee 97 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs New Orleans+0.0-0.1
Golden State vs Oklahoma City+0.0-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
68-78100
6746-1110000
6645-1210000
6544-139901
6443-1498020
6342-1596130
6241-1691270
6140-17853120000
6039-18746190000
5938-1960102901000
5837-20431340040000
5736-212614481100100
5635-2213134931902100
5534-234939730060400
5433-241523936113010010
5332-2502109323200210300
5231-2600251962413201010
5130-2700028520240020030
5029-2800023113381330900
4928-2900001422724202010
4827-3000011142430350300
4726-310000052341490800
4625-320001121156018200
4524-3300091510310600
4423-3400313914101420
4322-35001022243026600
4221-360092351361520
4120-3732221392670
4019-3801102333516200
3918-39003220392890
3817-400823412341
3716-413636272252
3615-4215353020
3514-436733
3211-46100
210-57012674
Total:15622416290140804010000000000000