Dallas Mavericks Playoff Chances

Beat Washington 105-102, playoff odds up 1.1 to 94%
9-3   .750

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Washington 102 Dallas 105 +1.7
+0.4
+0.3
Orlando 90 LA Clippers 114 -0.2
Detroit 86 Phoenix 88 -0.2
Cleveland 90 San Antonio 92 -0.2
Houston 92 LA Lakers 98 +0.1
Toronto 96 Memphis 92 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Miami vs LA Clippers+0.1-0.2
Sacramento vs Chicago-0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
65-79In10022,112*
6455-15In10007,486
6354-16In100021,323
6253-17In100055,760
6152-18In1000134,109
6051-19In1000299,007
5950-20In10000617,158
5849-21In991001,183,695
5748-22In982002,125,920
5647-23In9550003,554,832
5546-24In90900005,578,448
5445-25In8316100008,186,740
5344-26In72253010011,271,411
5243-27In57346020014,559,185
5142-28In404113150017,686,703
5041-29In24402131010020,181,736
4940-30100.0%123228719300021,688,539
4839-31100.04192811308100021,923,018
4738-32100.01820133817300020,879,440
4637-3399.9021011372910100018,726,170
4536-3499.200362736216100015,829,391
4435-3595.6001214313216400012,603,296
4334-3684.6000151833291330009,463,620
4233-3762.8000172233261020006,694,336
4132-3835.60002925332271004,459,255
4031-3914.500021228331951002,803,201
3930-404.000004153131153001,658,407
3829-410.700151934281120921,620
3728-420.1001825352371483,720
3627-430.00002133134163237,667
3526-440.000052037298109,495
3425-45Out0011031401747,430
3324-46Out0420453119,391
3223-47Out011141477,382
3122-48Out00531632,687
3021-49Out22475843
2920-50Out11683280
2819-51Out109078
2718-52Out49623
9-26Out10018,566*
Total:94.0%23171251610743210000224,063,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dallas finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitleMemphisGolden StatePortlandHoustonNew OrleansSan AntonioLA ClippersSacramentoPhoenixUtahDenverMinnesotaOklahoma CityLA Lakers
7970-014.4%6629111112121175411
7061-9NoYes
6960-1013.37733132777
6859-1122.75221111147111127142
6758-1214.185391015981373622
6657-1313.7762812912131274431
6556-1414.86638111212131165412
6455-1513.86628111212131175312
6354-1615.16528121212131275412
6253-1714.46528121212131265422
6152-1814.46528121213131265422
6051-1914.56528121213131265411
5950-2014.65528121213131265422
5849-2114.56528121213131265411
5748-2214.66528121213131265422
5647-2314.56528121213131265412
5546-2414.46529121212131265411
5445-2514.46529121212131265311
5344-2614.26629121312121164311
5243-2713.976310131312121154311
5142-2813.686411131311111054311
5041-2913.19771113131010943211
4940-3012.6991112121299843211
4839-3111.910101611101088743210
4738-3211.2111219119977632210
4637-3310.4121419129866532110
4536-349.6141618139865522100
4435-358.8161817148854411100
4334-367.4171815137633210000
4233-375.3141411104422100000
4132-382.999662211100000
4031-391.244221100000000
3930-400.311110000000000
3829-410.100000000000000
3728-420.0000000000
3627-43No0000
3526-44No00
9-34No
Total:11.3%9.810.010.910.810.110.08.08.07.13.52.61.90.70.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 102 Dallas 105 -0.6
Houston 92 LA Lakers 98 -0.1
Cleveland 90 San Antonio 92 +0.1
Toronto 96 Memphis 92 -0.1
ThursdayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
66-79100
6556-141000
6455-1510000
6354-1610000
6253-1710000
6152-1810000
6051-1910000
5950-2099000
5849-21981100
5748-22962200
5647-2392350000
5546-24855900000
5445-2574916010000
5344-265913250300100
5243-2741163416002000
5142-282417392130105000
5041-29101435521030100100
4940-3039248271701903000
4839-3114109253110290801000
4738-3201261451313711703000
4637-330002451023532801001000
4536-3400001242216351210601000
4435-350000111772743111604000
4334-3600000014117294280133000
4233-370000012514830325102000
4132-380000002361693023920000
4031-39000002481930231031000
3930-400000003517272515620000
3829-410001141221252011410000
3728-4200000271624241782000
3627-4300001411212622114100
3526-4400002818272514510
3425-45000161628281640
3324-460015163030152
3223-470162236297
3122-4800210314116
3021-4903224529
2920-501143945
2819-5163559
2718-524852
2617-531783
9-25100
Total:17614310240141101614021100000000000