Sacramento Kings Playoff Chances

Lost to Houston 89-102, playoff odds down 10.2 to 59.6%
9-6   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Houston 102 Sacramento 89 -3.2
-0.2
-0.3
Detroit 98 LA Clippers 104 -0.7
San Antonio 106 Indiana 100 -0.3
LA Lakers 93 Memphis 99 -0.2
Phoenix 120 Denver 112 -0.2
Orlando 96 Golden State 111 -0.1
Dallas 109 New York 102 -0.1
Oklahoma City 97 Utah 82 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
San Antonio vs Sacramento-3.4+6.4
-0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.4
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.6-0.9
Houston vs LA Clippers+0.3-0.6
Denver vs Phoenix+0.3-0.5
Toronto vs Dallas+0.2-0.3
Portland vs Memphis+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Golden State+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs New York-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sacramento finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
63-76In10058,620*
6253-14In10001,463
6152-15In9915,216
6051-16In982016,642
5950-17In973047,442
5849-18In93700127,424
5748-19In8713100314,460
5647-20In7721200718,826
5546-21In643150001,530,005
5445-22In48401111003,025,356
5344-23In31432132005,580,776
5243-24In173931761009,615,376
5142-25100.0%727361414200015,475,595
5041-26100.0214322023810023,304,492
4940-27100.00521213117400032,877,526
4839-2899.9011017302812200043,451,923
4738-2999.100310213424710053,870,061
4637-3095.900151028341740062,661,528
4536-3187.3000241734301120068,426,081
4435-3270.900117253723600070,189,673
4334-3349.000021333351420067,609,122
4233-3427.700005224027500061,180,720
4132-3512.5000011134391410052,002,400
4031-364.4000004224426400041,518,536
3930-371.200011138381110031,127,888
3829-380.2000426442140021,922,578
3728-390.0001144133101014,477,683
3627-400.00006304020408,969,514
3526-410.0002173931915,204,849
3425-42Out00830391932,833,809
3324-43Out00318403181,441,670
3223-44Out019324216685,264
3122-45Out004224628304,281
3021-46Out01124343126,061
2920-47Out006355848,098
2819-48Out02267217,475
2718-49Out117825,845
2617-50Out010891,815
2516-51Out595541
2415-52Out496113
9-23Out10058,113*
Total:59.6%13457111415151383100700,834,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Sacramento finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitlePortlandGolden StateMemphisDallasHoustonSan AntonioPhoenixLA ClippersNew OrleansDenverUtahOklahoma CityMinnesotaLA Lakers
7667-04.4%0569101417161560000
6758-9YesYes
6657-10No131313133813
6556-11No121818666121266
6455-122.1113814121619144
6354-134.3137911211516134011
6253-145.105610101416171471000
6152-154.204711101417161561000
6051-165.015610111417171461000
5950-174.814610111416161561000
5849-184.715610111416161461000
5748-194.715710111416161461000
5647-204.615711121416161351000
5546-214.515712121415151350000
5445-224.416812131514141240000
5344-234.227913141513131030000
5243-244.058111414141111930000
5142-253.89101214141399720000
5041-263.615111213131288520000
4940-273.318131313131166420000
4839-283.018151413131165410000
4738-292.818171513131054310000
4637-302.51720161212933210000
4536-312.11621161110722100000
4435-321.713191488511100000
4334-331.19141065311000000
4233-340.658633200000000
4132-350.324311100000000
4031-360.111100000000000
3930-370.000000000000000
3829-380.000000000000000
3728-390.0000000000000
3627-400.0000000000
3526-41No00000
9-34No
Total:1.7%10.211.79.87.57.15.72.62.61.70.60.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Houston 102 Sacramento 89 +0.5
Detroit 98 LA Clippers 104 +0.1
Orlando 96 Golden State 111 +0.1
San Antonio 106 Indiana 100 +0.0
Dallas 109 New York 102 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
San Antonio vs Sacramento+0.4-0.8
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Dallas-0.0+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
63-76100
6253-149900
6152-159811
6051-1697220
5950-1793330
5849-18875700
5748-19789130100
5647-206512210200
5546-2149153105000
5445-2232164001101100
5344-2317144312103200
5243-24793713107060100
5142-25252523601401402000
5041-26021223202002308100
4940-2700322012103101704000
4839-28001191170300280122000
4738-290000211002103402407100
4637-3000000041101280340170400
4536-3100000113117034030011200
4435-32000001071250370236000
4334-33000000211213303514200
4233-3400000004121139275000
4132-35000000011923239141000
4031-36000000002219412871000
3930-370000017273720610000
3829-3800000110273020920000
3728-3900002102228231241000
3627-4000000271827251451000
3526-41000016152627177100
3425-4200014142528197200
3324-430001413252920710
3223-4400141327311950
3122-4500014153132152
3021-4600162138296
2920-4700210324213
2819-4804225025
2718-4901124740
2617-50064153
2516-5123167
2415-5231880
2314-531882
9-22100
Total:11204040701001301501411632111000000