Golden State Warriors Playoff Chances

Plays Sacramento, playoff odds up 0.0008 to 99.98%
22-3   .880

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Golden State vs Sacramento+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.2
Houston vs Portland+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
LA Lakers vs Golden State-0.3+0.2
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Golden State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
70-79In100912*
6947-10In10001,555
6846-11In10004,103
6745-12In10009,867
6644-13In100021,214
6543-14In100041,261
6442-15In100073,069
6341-16In991117,973
6240-17In9820173,227
6139-18In9640233,964
6038-19In92800290,838
5937-20In851510331,524
5836-21In7325200349,972
5735-22In5836600338,772
5634-23In414513100305,480
5533-24In254625410254,307
5432-25In12393710200197,589
5331-26In4254222610140,959
5230-27In1123634143094,075
5129-28In0423402291058,092
5028-29In01113826194033,366
4927-30100.0%04282531121017,693
4826-31100.001191637233008,507
4725-3299.501193537713,981
4624-3397.553254619201,711
4523-3491.32210433581658
4422-3581.42163340171253
4321-3656.71118373210190
4220-3744.016282424825
4119-3820.0202040205
4018-39Out3333333
220-57Out694255
Total:100.0%612210521000000003,105,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Golden State finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitlePortlandMemphisDallasLA ClippersHoustonSan AntonioNew OrleansPhoenixOklahoma CitySacramentoDenverUtahLA LakersMinnesota
7957-022.4%22591123201883
7452-5NoYes
7351-614.3141414142914
7250-719.2848154241244
7149-816.1224710232614631
7048-917.10134101125211582
6947-1017.1124810252317830
6846-1118.00124913232216730
6745-1217.201249122421167300
6644-1317.801248122421177300
6543-1417.301248122421177300
6442-1517.101249122422177300
6341-1617.201249122321167300
6240-1717.1012491223211673000
6139-1817.1012491223211673000
6038-1917.1023510132221167300
5937-2016.9023511142120156300
5836-2116.5023612162018146300
5735-2215.9035814181716125200
5634-2315.50461017201414104200
5533-2414.5068131921111173100
5432-2513.918111520218852100
5331-2613.1311131720205531000
5230-2712.3513161919183321000
5129-2811.37151720181622100
5028-2911.09161821171422100
4927-3010.51217192215131110000
4826-319.415182021141111000
4725-3210.52019202110811000
4624-3310.524211919861000
4523-348.131191815630
4422-357.926191795400
4321-364.426167431
4220-37No2041244
4119-3820.020
22-40No
Total:15.7%0.94.25.68.713.516.116.715.611.54.82.30.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Golden State vs Sacramento-0.1+0.3
Memphis vs Utah+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
LA Lakers vs Golden State+0.3-0.2
Oklahoma City vs Portland-0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
70-79100
6947-101000
6846-1110000
6745-1210000
6644-1310000
6543-1410000
6442-159910
6341-169821
6240-1795320
6139-1890640
6038-1981118000
5937-20671815010
5836-215024240200
5735-2231273416000
5634-2315264051301000
5533-2461936102404010
5432-251102315352100200
5331-260410153562106010
5230-270139251132214030
5129-2800041112355220910
5028-2900138281125119040
4927-30000315132233101210
4826-3100161312437023300
4725-320295433137071
4624-330512232460192
4523-34201914213580
4422-3520042321400172
4321-3611162373391
4220-371242824248
4119-3820204020
4018-39333333
220-5742967
Total:46141849140201000000000000