Denver Nuggets Playoff Chances

Lost to Phoenix 112-120, playoff odds down 6.2 to 17.1%
7-8   .467

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Phoenix 120 Denver 112 -2.9
-0.0
-0.2
Detroit 98 LA Clippers 104 -0.5
Charlotte 97 Portland 105 -0.3
San Antonio 106 Indiana 100 -0.2
Dallas 109 New York 102 -0.2
Orlando 96 Golden State 111 -0.1
LA Lakers 93 Memphis 99 *-0.1
Houston 102 Sacramento 89 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Denver vs Phoenix+2.9-4.0
+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.3
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.3-0.5
Houston vs LA Clippers+0.1-0.3
Toronto vs Dallas+0.1-0.2
San Antonio vs Sacramento+0.1-0.2
Portland vs Memphis-0.1+0.2
Charlotte vs Golden State+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
60-74In10043,536*
5952-15In964195
5851-16In9280665
5750-17In8911002,155
5649-18In811817,159
5548-19In682840020,686
5447-20In5238910056,408
5346-21In354319310142,057
5245-22In2040308300334,004
5144-23In93037167100729,965
5043-24100.0%31634271540001,494,912
4942-25100.0162333231120002,854,276
4841-2699.90211322521810005,101,016
4740-2799.00032419271961008,541,841
4639-2894.7001169242816510013,389,880
4538-2982.60001031328281430019,678,560
4437-3061.5006151831271010027,130,629
4336-3137.00401824352350035,112,049
4235-3217.5020021332351410042,657,211
4134-336.501001522412830048,655,458
4033-341.900001113643800052,105,248
3932-350.50000425521720052,414,630
3831-360.10000114512850049,500,471
3730-370.0000064239121043,877,563
3629-380.000022844224036,501,439
3528-390.0000116403310128,497,999
3427-400.00007314019320,851,128
3326-410.00003194131714,294,279
3225-42Out01103441159,172,439
3124-430.000042346265,505,234
3023-44Out011444413,089,284
2922-45Out00737561,616,385
2821-46Out0032770788,400
2720-47Out011881358,012
2619-48Out001189150,641
2518-49Out069459,033
2417-50Out039721,214
2316-51Out1997,063
2215-52Out1992,193
7-21Out10044,323*
Total:17.1%0003124711172516941524,809,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitlePortlandGolden StateMemphisDallasHoustonSan AntonioPhoenixSacramentoLA ClippersNew OrleansUtahOklahoma CityMinnesotaLA Lakers
7467-02.6%64691112141413110100
6255-12NoYes
6154-13No33173317
6053-148.61191111116141114
5952-154.16466919131311131
5851-163.06568101511131312000
5750-172.864510101314131311000
5649-182.2747101112131312110000
5548-192.4747101213121311110000
5447-202.3747111213121211100000
5346-212.285812121311111090000
5245-222.110591313131010980000
5144-232.01171113131399870000
5043-241.91281213131288750000
4942-251.714101314131277640000
4841-261.615121413131166640000
4740-271.417141513121055530000
4639-281.21717151211944420000
4538-291.0151715109732210000
4437-300.711151276511110000
4336-310.4710744311100000
4235-320.235422100000000
4134-330.112111000000000
4033-340.000000000000000
3932-350.000000000000000
3831-360.000000000000000
3730-370.000000000000
3629-380.00000000000
3528-390.000000000000
3427-40No000000000
3326-41No0000
3225-42No
3124-43No0
7-30No
Total:0.2%3.03.53.02.11.91.50.60.60.50.40.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Phoenix 120 Denver 112 +0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Denver vs Phoenix-0.4+0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
60-74100
5952-159514
5851-1688580
5750-178091100
5649-186912181
5548-195315280400
5447-2036163809100
5346-212015430190310
5245-229113913008300
5144-23362723701607100
5043-24121333402701504000
4942-250142221330230112000
4841-26001110132025021081000
4740-27000021231190270196100
4639-280000015290240280165100
4538-2900000832013028028014300
4437-300003300501803102710100
4336-3100130010702403523500
4235-32002000021121323514100
4134-33001000000412141293000
4033-34000000011103343111000
3932-3500000003184326820000
3831-36000000006263322920000
3730-37000001922292412310000
3629-380000271928251451000
3528-3900000161727261661000
3427-40000015152628176100
3326-4100001515272918610
3225-42000151528301740
3124-430000015183230121
3023-44000172337265
2922-45000212344012
2821-460004234824
2720-47001134838
2619-4800064053
2518-49023167
2417-50012178
2316-5101386
2215-520892
2114-53496
2013-54100
1912-55397
7-18100
Total:0000002110204060101516107654332110