Washington Wizards Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Portland 96-103, playoff odds down 0.02 to 99.9%
29-15   .659

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Average seed
Portland 103 Washington 96 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Sunday100.0*Average seed
Denver vs Washington-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
63-67In10011,098*
6233-5In1000266
6132-6In9911,345
6031-7In9646,238
5930-8In93723,812
5829-9In8713078,988
5728-10In782200229,707
5627-11In663400584,777
5526-12In53461001,314,942
5425-13In39592002,631,899
5324-14In26686004,693,468
5223-15In157114107,515,986
5122-16In8662520010,803,706
5021-17In3543760013,968,991
4920-18In13747131016,305,604
4819-19In022502530017,161,988
4718-20In010433970016,304,778
4617-21In0430501610013,974,539
4516-22In0116512930010,802,585
4415-23100.0%006424290007,508,638
4314-24100.0022749203004,697,846
4213-25100.00013433491002,631,996
4112-2699.60427422250001,314,863
4011-2796.90111343516300584,704
3910-2886.50318353012200228,871
389-2963.7006223626910079,358
378-3033.001824372461023,946
367-3112.00110293719406,147
356-323.0031434341321,361
345-330.4031843306232
334-34Out9184721634
323-35Out50502
312-36Out1001
301-37Out1001
290-38Out054245811,063
Total:99.9%5282923113100000000133,503,780

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitleAtlantaChicagoTorontoClevelandMilwaukeeMiamiCharlotteBrooklynDetroitBostonIndianaOrlandoPhiladelphiaNew York
6738-06.3%00581815171214540
6536-2NoYes
6435-3NoYes
6334-43.012183181212213
6233-54.9067201517141453
6132-65.1069191517121355
6031-77.0006918161613135400
5930-86.4006918161713125400
5829-96.400061018171612125400
5728-106.300071119161612125300
5627-116.301071219161511114300
5526-126.301081319161511104300
5425-136.201091419161410104300
5324-146.201011162015131093200
5223-156.30101218191513983200
5122-166.30201520181411872200
5021-176.30211823171310762100
4920-186.3041222515119652100
4819-196.306227261397541100
4718-206.208431251185331000
4617-216.301173324964321000
4516-226.3013103523853220000
4415-236.2015123421743210000
4314-246.3117163319633110000
4213-256.3222222915432110000
4112-266.262728229221100000
4011-276.1172930145110000000
3910-285.43123247200000000
389-293.9351213310000000
378-301.9234510000
367-310.81011000
356-320.2300
345-33No0
29-33No
Total:6.2%0.37.14.724.522.112.99.47.34.94.21.40.90.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Portland 103 Washington 96 +0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Denver vs Washington+0.3-0.3
Chicago vs Miami+0.1-0.1
Toronto vs Detroit+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Oklahoma City+0.1-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
63-67100
6233-59910
6132-69721
6031-79244
5930-88587
5829-974131300
5728-10572122000
5627-11392733100
5526-1222304331000
5425-13102948112000
5324-14323422660000
5223-1511527441131000
5122-16081155141120000
5021-1703351112641000
4920-1801037543761000
4819-19002214981812000
4718-200010043633160000
4617-210403034611601000
4516-2201016250029030000
4415-230060420420900000
4314-24020270490200200000
4213-25000134303409010000
4112-260042704202205000000
4011-27011134035015011000
3910-280318350300364100
389-290062203603111472000
378-3001824019222211300
367-3101100313262714400
356-32030415262918410
345-3301314283118410
334-343181832219
323-355050
312-36100
301-37100
290-3801103637142
Total:1462242542001003010000000000000000