Washington Wizards Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Orlando 105-98, playoff odds up 4.8 to 54.2%
1-1   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Orlando 98 Washington 105 +4.5
+0.3
+0.5
Minnesota 97 Detroit 91 +0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Indiana vs Memphis-0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
59-81In1007,056*
5857-23In10003,416
5756-24In10008,266
5655-25In100018,093
5554-26In991038,807
5453-27In982076,805
5352-28In96400145,510
5251-29In937000260,843
5150-30In8713100444,116
5049-31In77212000713,794
4948-32In633150101,092,268
4847-33In454012120001,589,193
4746-34In274122450002,195,856
4645-35100.0%133331101120002,886,897
4544-36100.0418311820710003,607,097
4443-3799.917202326166100004,291,811
4342-3898.4018192226166100004,856,311
4241-3990.000212112326188200005,231,911
4140-4066.3000631021262010310005,357,675
4039-4133.10020291926231341005,227,768
3938-4210.0010027172625155104,852,115
3837-431.800001616272716514,289,674
3736-440.20000151629291633,610,014
3635-450.0000016193330112,887,880
3534-460.00000182640242,198,581
3433-470.0000031541421,589,246
3332-48Out001733591,094,166
3231-49Out0022374714,836
3130-50Out011485441,797
3029-51Out00892260,785
2928-52Out0496144,774
2827-53Out029876,926
2726-54Out19938,629
2625-55Out010018,337
2524-56Out01008,105
2423-57Out01003,312
2322-58Out01001,349
2221-59Out0100497
1-21Out1005,244*
Total:54.2%77777777777776660,289,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitleMiamiChicagoIndianaCharlotteBostonTorontoNew YorkAtlantaMilwaukeeClevelandPhiladelphiaBrooklynDetroitOrlando
8180-06.6%87778787767777
6766-14NoYes
6665-15YesYes
6463-17No5050
6362-184.394139491794994
6261-196.18868414686210864
6160-205.26784577510884616
6059-215.056885588969787
5958-225.967777798667877
5857-235.988787777767768
5756-246.088787778777777
5655-256.387787778777777
5554-266.387777777777778
5453-276.277787778777777
5352-286.287787777777777
5251-296.287787777777777
5150-306.287787778777777
5049-316.387787778777777
4948-326.287787778777777
4847-336.387787778777777
4746-346.287787777777767
4645-356.387787777777767
4544-366.388888877777766
4443-376.288888876777766
4342-386.188888876776666
4241-395.687777776666655
4140-404.166666654444443
4039-412.133333322222222
3938-420.611111111111110
3837-430.100000000000000
3736-440.000000000000000
3635-450.000000000000000
3534-460.0000000000
3433-47No00
1-33No
Total:3.4%4.44.34.34.44.34.33.93.63.63.63.63.63.33.3
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando 98 Washington 105 -1.0
FridayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
61-81100
6059-211000
5958-22100
5857-2310000
5756-249900
5655-259910
5554-2698110
5453-2796320
5352-289154000
5251-2983970000
5150-307116130100
5049-31532320120000
4948-323330293500100
4847-3315303181201020000
4746-34423241720240500000
4645-35112102322910010120000
4544-3604217121816317360100000
4443-370107317149151215250100000
4342-380010861351715101426010000
4241-3900021100115181412152720000
4140-400000050301031812141611510000
4039-410002000209217917181362000000
3938-420010000207151320221693100000
3837-4300000010026132023191041000
3736-440000000026142225199310
3635-4500000001381826251551
3534-4600000015152729184
3433-4700001415313415
3332-4800015204133
3231-49000193653
3130-5000032571
3029-510011683
2928-520891
2827-5300496
2726-540298
2625-55199
2524-560100
2423-570100
2322-580100
2221-590100
1-21100
Total:343434343434343433333333333333