Miami Heat Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Brooklyn 95-91, playoff odds up 5.4 to 65.8%
12-13   .480

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Brooklyn 91 Miami 95 +5.4
+0.3
+0.4
Washington 109 Minnesota 95 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Miami vs Utah+4.2-4.2
+0.3-0.3
+0.3-0.3
Toronto vs Brooklyn+0.5-0.5
LA Clippers vs Indiana+0.5-0.5
Charlotte vs Phoenix-0.4+0.4
Portland vs Milwaukee+0.4-0.4
Detroit vs Dallas-0.2+0.2
Cleveland vs Atlanta-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
57-69In100189*
5644-13In97334
5543-14In946117
5442-15In9550334
5341-16In881200850
5240-17In77212002,026
5139-18In65295014,490
5038-19In493810029,261
4937-20In33411826017,416
4836-21In1837286110031,119
4735-22In8263312211050,525
4634-23In31429183240076,493
4533-24100.0%1619204311100108,813
4432-25100.0019164523500143,269
4331-2699.80039363515200175,593
4230-2798.600032137289100202,333
4129-2893.400182736226100216,535
4028-2978.800212313317400217,073
3927-3054.2000417333013300203,032
3826-3127.7001621342610200176,655
3725-329.90019253423710143,489
3624-332.200211283419500108,564
3523-340.4003153232143076,517
3422-350.00152135289150,302
3321-360.00019283821430,777
3220-37Out0031537351017,380
3119-38Out0062844229,090
3018-39Out021745374,491
2917-40Out1739542,031
2816-41Out042770875
2715-42Out11484334
2614-43Out1288107
12-25Out100206*
Total:65.8%134413131413119643102,080,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitleTorontoWashingtonAtlantaChicagoClevelandMilwaukeeBrooklynBostonOrlandoIndianaCharlotteDetroitNew YorkPhiladelphia
6957-05.2%223881616139108223
5947-10NoYes
5846-11No2020202020
5745-129.11891827918
5644-132.96915211896153
5543-146.833486151681486441
5442-156.01258101114151494230
5341-166.22348111314111385331
5240-175.52358101515111185321
5139-186.02459111415111085221
5038-196.53461112151310975221
4937-206.4468121315139864210
4836-216.16810131414118753210
4735-226.3891214151396542110
4634-236.110121415151285432100
4533-246.212131516161174321100
4432-256.313151616161063221000
4331-266.31516171515953111000
4230-276.21818181413842110000
4129-285.92120181311621110000
4028-295.0211815108311000000
3927-303.416131165210000000
3826-311.797532100000000
3725-320.63321100000000
3624-330.211000000000
3523-340.00000000
3422-350.000000
3321-36No0
12-32No
Total:4.1%12.311.811.29.18.65.32.91.71.10.90.50.20.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Brooklyn 91 Miami 95 -0.8
If winner is:HomeAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Miami vs Utah-0.7+0.7
Portland vs Milwaukee-0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
58-69100
5745-12919
5644-1382153
5543-148776
5442-15702550
5341-16513711100
5240-1730471832000
5139-181451191050010
5038-195451720920020
4937-20132103112720500
4836-2101833411175192000
4735-220812562784138100
4634-233014128810122031000
4533-24106018614736651000
4432-25010921324361732000
4331-26000318036333592100
4230-2700003021037424451000
4129-2800018026135418321000
4028-290021203113247631000
3927-3000004017033271313831000
3826-310016021031019211351000
3725-3200190031021251993000
3624-3300200028192624134100
3523-34000016162626166100
3422-350001413252919710
3321-36000141326302071
3220-37003142833174
3119-3801416343411
3018-39017254225
2917-40003134143
2816-41163261
2715-4221880
2614-431387
12-25100
Total:0102141311211211211112345443321110