Miami Heat Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 1.1 to 68.3%
8-7   .533

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Orlando 96 Golden State 111 +0.4
San Antonio 106 Indiana 100 +0.3
Charlotte 97 Portland 105 +0.3
Dallas 109 New York 102 +0.3
Detroit 98 LA Clippers 104 +0.3
Philadelphia 91 Brooklyn 99 -0.3
Minnesota 86 Milwaukee 103 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Charlotte vs Golden State-0.3+0.3
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.3+0.3
Oklahoma City vs New York+0.3-0.3
Toronto vs Dallas-0.1+0.1
Boston vs Chicago-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
60-75In10018,847*
5951-16In10001,606
5850-17In10005,005
5749-18In100013,956
5648-19In99135,981
5547-20In991086,287
5446-21In9730192,573
5345-22In95500402,425
5244-23In9010000788,394
5143-24In83161001,443,077
5042-25In742420002,483,260
4941-26In6034600004,012,295
4840-27In44411211006,086,859
4739-28In284322420008,695,493
4638-29100.0%143732106100011,695,349
4537-30100.0624351914300014,812,632
4436-31100.011127262492000017,683,002
4335-3299.8031425292071000019,892,779
4234-3398.20141722281972000021,098,007
4133-3489.900191023282082000021,097,740
4032-3567.2000421023282192000019,894,021
3931-3635.000102922292310300017,685,994
3830-3711.30000292129241130014,814,187
3729-382.2000028213125112011,695,064
3628-390.2000029233325918,700,390
3527-400.00000021027352146,086,471
3426-410.000003153435124,008,919
3325-42Out00162544252,479,817
3224-43Out0021443401,443,668
3123-44Out0073657788,382
3022-45Out0032671402,163
2921-46Out011782192,102
2820-47Out00108985,803
2719-48Out069435,710
2618-49Out039714,057
2517-50Out02985,072
2416-51Out1991,693
2315-52Out0100530
2214-53Out199126
8-21Out10018,184*
Total:68.3%799999887665431218,897,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitleTorontoWashingtonChicagoMilwaukeeAtlantaClevelandBrooklynIndianaBostonOrlandoCharlotteNew YorkDetroitPhiladelphia
7567-06.1%28799999897762
6355-12No9181827189
6254-137.9118838851313888
6153-144.937688108171087341
6052-155.227881010109897542
5951-165.627789999997752
5850-176.726799999987663
5749-186.427898899897762
5648-196.227898999997662
5547-206.227889999997662
5446-216.327889999897762
5345-226.227899999897662
5244-236.227889999897662
5143-246.328899999897662
5042-256.228899999897662
4941-266.338899999886652
4840-276.2398910999886652
4739-286.2399910998886552
4638-296.251091010998875541
4537-306.3611101010988765441
4436-316.38111111101087764431
4335-326.210121111101087653331
4234-336.11313111110976643321
4133-345.6171211109865432220
4032-354.2189876543321110
3931-362.2125433221110000
3830-370.741111100000000
3729-380.110000000000000
3628-390.000000000000000
3527-400.000000000000000
3426-410.00000000000
8-33No
Total:4.3%8.38.17.37.06.86.15.14.64.23.62.42.32.00.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando 96 Golden State 111 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.1-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
61-75100
6052-151000
5951-169910
5850-179910
5749-189820
5648-199731
5547-2093510
5446-218710300
5345-2278175000
5244-236426900000
5143-2446371511000
5042-252846204200000
4941-261348221250000000
4840-274411724102101000
4739-2812783513940200000
4638-2901423510228252100000
4537-3006024431118782000000
4436-3101011027917520541000000
4335-3200301442112851543100000
4234-33010411602212741443100000
4133-3400010801002312741543210000
4032-3500004201002312748107310000
3931-36000102090221411171610410000
3830-3700000209013101923181041000
3729-38000002000261523241782000
3628-390000000131020262212410
3527-4000000000271727261551
3426-4100000016162929163
3325-4200001618333111
3224-4300018254125
3123-440002144143
3022-450163360
2921-460022375
2820-470011486
2719-4800892
2618-490496
2517-500298
2416-51199
2315-52199
2214-53199
8-21100
Total:252728371818171711233333322211