Miami Heat Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat LA Lakers 100-94, playoff odds up 4.9 to 56.4%
27-33   .450

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Utah 90 Boston 99 -0.6
-0.1
Memphis 103 Orlando 94 +0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Brooklyn vs Portland-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Miami 102 Milwaukee 109 -5.6
-0.4
-0.3
Detroit 95 Cleveland 103 +0.6
Indiana 91 Toronto 104 +0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
4922-0In2553175013,118
4821-1In84234160803
4720-2In2193936308,864
4619-3In05275214157,507
4518-4In0111513240274,489
4417-5In033449150989,874
4316-6100.0%00165133102,805,549
4215-7100.000538543006,421,080
4114-899.6012167110012,030,176
4013-996.9008622730018,708,798
3912-1086.80242431210024,322,529
3811-1163.70020442960026,541,072
3710-1233.10627412240024,325,155
369-1310.601103238172018,712,548
358-141.80213363711012,023,593
347-150.1003194532006,417,630
336-160.00063358302,802,793
325-170.00011673100992,552
314-18Out00572230275,925
303-19Out015742058,006
292-20Out0386118,741
281-21Out16794819
270-22Out88012013,119
Total:56.4%000162624181384000157,804,740

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitleAtlantaClevelandTorontoChicagoWashingtonMilwaukeeCharlotteIndianaBrooklynBostonDetroit
4922-06.0%14412402522100
4821-15.7201119311701
4720-26.227212420700000
4619-36.402827261540000
4518-46.202931281030000
4417-56.30293329720000
4316-66.312935314100000
4215-76.333033313000000
4114-86.2112828302000000
4013-96.127232124100000
3912-105.443151315100000
3811-114.044767000000
3710-122.12722200
369-130.71000000
358-140.1200000
347-150.000000
32-330.00
27-31No
Total:3.5%23.710.610.211.10.60.10.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Brooklyn vs Portland+0.1-0.1
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Miami 102 Milwaukee 109 +0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
4922-0250535121400
4821-184252911500
4720-22192370360300
4619-30512705201401
4518-401011051032040
4417-50033404901400
4316-60001605103300000
4215-70053805403000
4114-801210670110000
4013-900806202701200
3912-1002420430210100
3811-110020044022581000
3710-12062701322581000
369-130110001934259200
358-14020520332711200
347-15000051833301220
336-1600041735321000
325-17000420423030
314-180063050140
303-190112523320
292-2003365290
281-2101659241
270-22064642700
Total:0000001060260240114118532100000