Miami Heat Playoff Chances 50/50

Beating Orlando 64-59 (3:31 3rd Qtr), playoff odds up 0.3 to 60.6%
6-6   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
San Antonio 99 Brooklyn 87 +0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Orlando vs Miami-4.9+4.9
-0.3+0.3
-0.5+0.5
Indiana vs Phoenix-0.3+0.3
Cleveland vs Toronto-0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Miami vs Charlotte+4.7-4.7
+0.3-0.3
+0.5-0.5
Boston vs Portland-0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
57-76In100149*
5650-20In991124
5549-21In982281
5448-22In982630
5347-23In9641,257
5246-24In93702,431
5145-25In8713104,564
5044-26In78202007,923
4943-27In643150012,944
4842-28In48391111019,733
4741-29In314120340028,254
4640-30In163630891039,175
4539-31In62332161840050,759
4438-32100.0%21024222812300061,617
4337-3399.6031119302410200070,490
4236-3496.70031220292310300077,150
4135-3584.0005720282312410079,570
4034-3655.5021718272514510077,117
3933-3723.90101616262716610070,971
3832-386.1000151426281861061,347
3731-390.800014142730185050,291
3630-400.1001415303216339,074
3529-41Out015203530928,730
3428-42Out001928412119,483
3327-43Out00317443612,866
3226-44Out01938537,780
3125-45Out0329684,619
3024-46Out0118812,386
2923-47Out011891,276
2822-48Out892607
2721-49Out298281
2620-50Out298119
6-25Out100142*
Total:60.6%677698887766543834,140

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitleTorontoWashingtonChicagoAtlantaMilwaukeeClevelandOrlandoIndianaBostonBrooklynCharlotteNew YorkDetroitPhiladelphia
7670-08.7%39610649671441093
6054-1633.3333333
5953-17No25252525
5852-184.5991451491455514
5751-193.928101441210102461046
5650-207.3467108106861310462
5549-216.43556799688101086
5448-227.1377889109887942
5347-236.048899987786663
5246-246.948788799798763
5145-256.347898998788763
5044-266.347898898887762
4943-276.547799898888763
4842-286.148899898787662
4741-296.459898898787652
4640-306.169999888776552
4539-316.28109109888776542
4438-326.110101099877775541
4337-336.312111199867764431
4236-346.114131199766664331
4135-355.215121088655443221
4034-363.4139755333221110
3933-371.564322111111000
3832-380.421100000000000
3731-390.0000000000000
3630-400.000000000
6-35No
Total:3.8%7.57.16.25.55.44.64.14.23.83.82.92.52.20.8
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando vs Miami+1.0-1.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Miami vs Charlotte-1.0+1.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
57-76100
5650-209821
5549-219612
5448-229262
5347-2386114
5246-24751870
5145-25582812110
5044-2639391822000
4943-2721432375000
4842-2884022171011100
4741-292291328155304000
4640-3001643114168182100
4539-310612362611511840000
4438-3202010123101282084200000
4337-33030115152288167320000
4236-340031100202277167331000
4135-3500057019227617752100
4034-3600210701812661113941000
3933-3701016016141118191372000
3832-3800010500271623221572000
3731-390001001310192422135100
3630-4000001614242619820
3529-4100131122292391
3428-420003102333247
3327-43000311303719
3226-44004184236
3125-4500183754
3024-460032571
2923-47011485
2822-48991
2721-49595
2620-50397
6-25100
Total:242525242727262622333443333322