Miami Heat Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Atlanta 86-99, playoff odds down 7.7 to 75.1%
33-39   .458

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Utah 90 Boston 99 -0.6
-0.1
Memphis 103 Orlando 94 +0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Brooklyn vs Portland-1.9+1.9
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Miami 102 Milwaukee 109 -5.6
-0.4
-0.3
Detroit 95 Cleveland 103 +0.6
Indiana 91 Toronto 104 +0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
4310-0In28217583,871
429-1In0623805,380,521
418-2100.0%038620024,209,120
407-3100.0178130064,554,043
396-499.348015100112,986,049
385-591.5054378100135,569,337
374-661.40204129810112,955,070
363-720.2317353311064,541,466
352-82.002123443924,208,405
341-90.00011047435,379,181
330-10Out011981583,317
Total:75.1%05472313741550,950,380

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitleAtlantaClevelandChicagoTorontoWashington
4310-06.3%2440325
429-16.303934243
418-26.205727152
407-36.33702071
396-46.215681430
385-55.73746810
374-63.84117300
363-71.3173000
352-80.120000
341-90.0000
330-10No
Total:4.7%22.940.19.12.80.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Brooklyn vs Portland+0.1-0.1
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Miami 102 Milwaukee 109 +0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
4310-028217
429-1062380
418-20386200000
407-3178130000
396-44801500100
385-50543707100
374-60204124122000
363-7317213220600
352-8024193432910
341-9000212373990
330-10011148382
Total:05470230010742100