Miami Heat Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.9 to 73.8%
8-7   .533

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Philadelphia 91 Brooklyn 99 -0.5
Minnesota 86 Milwaukee 103 -0.5
Orlando 96 Golden State 111 +0.3
San Antonio 106 Indiana 100 +0.3
Detroit 98 LA Clippers 104 +0.3
Atlanta 115 Toronto 126 +0.2
Charlotte 97 Portland 105 +0.2
Dallas 109 New York 102 +0.2
Cleveland 113 Washington 87 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.3+0.4
Boston vs Chicago-0.2+0.3
Oklahoma City vs New York+0.2-0.3
Charlotte vs Golden State-0.2+0.2
Indiana vs Orlando-0.1+0.2
Detroit vs Milwaukee+0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
62-75In10058,133*
6153-14In991148
6052-15In991655
5951-16In9822,181
5850-17In96407,324
5749-18In928022,273
5648-19In8812061,458
5547-20In811800158,952
5446-21In732700378,668
5345-22In6336100845,191
5244-23In52462001,753,788
5143-24In40555003,402,944
5042-25In2861100006,164,820
4941-26In18621820010,442,491
4840-27In105629510016,571,969
4739-28In5433811300024,654,671
4638-29100.0%22842207100034,393,526
4537-30100.0014363015300044,999,528
4436-31100.0062435259200055,259,412
4335-3299.902113129206100063,722,295
4234-3399.3004212429175100068,980,699
4133-3496.00011113282814400070,143,990
4032-3584.9005517312712300066,996,345
3931-3662.50021721322510200060,070,948
3830-3734.601019243323810050,574,119
3729-3813.5000211273320610039,966,329
3628-393.5000031431321630029,621,009
3527-400.600015193429111020,589,159
3426-410.10000182537235013,404,179
3325-420.0000021333361418,172,251
3224-430.0001523422724,663,044
3123-44Out00212384262,485,682
3022-45Out00052853131,234,484
2921-46Out002175823572,800
2820-47Out0095535247,839
2719-48Out004484899,009
2618-49Out02386136,559
2517-50Out1287112,405
2416-51Out019803,915
2315-52Out13871,184
2214-53Out892308
2113-54Out69478
2012-55Out79314
8-19Out10058,084*
Total:73.8%281013101111108753210700,834,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitleTorontoChicagoWashingtonClevelandMilwaukeeAtlantaBrooklynBostonIndianaOrlandoNew YorkCharlotteDetroitPhiladelphia
7567-05.0%0679111112111275540
6456-11NoYes
6355-12No1788883388
6254-1310.3138831010310105138
6153-142.055714111410137923
6052-153.505691311149108554
5951-164.10668121113121375430
5850-174.90769111212111175430
5749-184.60779111213111275430
5648-194.60779121212111175430
5547-204.60779121213111175430
5446-214.70779121213111174430
5345-224.50789121213111164430
5244-234.508810121213111164330
5143-244.308810121213101064330
5042-254.108910131312101054330
4941-264.0091011131312101053320
4840-273.801010111313129943220
4739-283.601112121313129842220
4638-293.411213131313118732210
4537-303.211314141313117732110
4436-312.921515151313106621110
4335-322.73151615121296521110
4234-332.57161715111185511110
4133-342.3161617149963311000
4032-351.9261313116642200000
3931-361.3298863321100000
3830-370.7204431110000000
3729-380.391110000000000
3628-390.130000000000000
3527-400.000000000000000
3426-410.000000000000000
3325-420.000000000000
3224-43No0
8-31No
Total:2.0%10.010.410.89.87.97.96.03.73.71.40.90.70.60.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta 115 Toronto 126 -0.1
Minnesota 86 Milwaukee 103 +0.1
Philadelphia 91 Brooklyn 99 +0.1
San Antonio 106 Indiana 100 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.1-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
62-75100
6153-149911
6052-159621
5951-169442
5850-1788840
5749-187913800
5648-1966211200
5547-20513018100
5446-213439243000
5345-2219442791000
5244-2384426202000
5143-243372035410000
5042-2512810516400000
4941-26018458612100000
4840-270101554253210000
4739-2805043137461200000
4638-292028042515160000000
4537-30001403642611512000000
4436-3106024332025181100000
4335-3202011130029019150100000
4234-3300402002402911614000000
4133-340010110130280281131110000
4032-35000505017031027146310000
3931-36000217021032151213610000
3830-37001010902402112218820000
3729-380000201100518272211310000
3628-390000300171827241341000
3527-40000100161727261551000
3426-41000000015162727176100
3325-420000001515272817510
3224-430000151629291640
3123-4400016193229121
3022-45000182437254
2921-4600213353911
2820-47005254722
2719-48002144837
2618-490074152
2517-50033265
2416-5112277
2315-5201684
2214-531090
2113-54892
2012-55793
8-19100
Total:010701011201001101001001344432211000