Miami Heat Playoff Chances

Beat Washington 107-95, playoff odds up 8.4 to 62.4%
1-0   1.000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Miami 107 Washington 95 +3.6
+0.3
+0.4
Denver 89 Detroit 79 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win title100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs Detroit+0.2-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
58-82In1005,712*
5756-25In10005,397
5655-26In100011,972
5554-27In99124,334
5453-28In991048,257
5352-29In973088,892
5251-30In94600156,521
5150-31In8811000259,779
5049-32In79191000409,973
4948-33In66294000609,342
4847-34In4939111100862,466
4746-35In30422143001,153,756
4645-36100.0%15353110810001,464,939
4544-37100.0521331916510001,766,941
4443-3899.91823262314410002,025,561
4342-3998.702924212314510002,201,254
4241-4091.200216112224167200002,270,369
4140-4168.000083102126199300002,223,544
4039-4233.90040291926231241002,069,345
3938-4310.0010027172625155101,827,992
3837-441.8000001515272817511,531,735
3736-450.20000151529301631,217,416
3635-460.000001518333111920,757
3534-470.0000018254125662,002
3433-480.000002144043447,822
3332-49Out00063262288,107
3231-50Out0022276176,110
3130-51Out011386101,705
3029-52Out0079355,745
2928-53Out049628,883
2827-54Out29814,149
2726-55Out1996,496
2625-56Out01002,773
2524-57Out01001,119
1-24Out1002,735*
Total:62.4%109997776666555424,943,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:WinChance will play in first round
TWW-LtitleChicagoBostonIndianaTorontoMilwaukeeClevelandCharlotteAtlantaWashingtonDetroitPhiladelphiaBrooklynOrlandoNew York
8281-09.6%76877788886766
6766-15NoYes
6463-18NoYes
6362-19No131319613136613
6261-204.871772107277121227
6160-2114.57985866912564410
6059-227.387768687568879
5958-238.7779677105787866
5857-249.177857877887876
5756-258.776777887787777
5655-269.777777787877777
5554-279.277777777877777
5453-289.477777788877777
5352-299.377777777777777
5251-309.177777788777777
5150-319.177777788777777
5049-329.177777788777777
4948-338.977777788777776
4847-348.877777788777776
4746-358.587877787776776
4645-368.287877787776676
4544-377.688887777776676
4443-387.098888777666666
4342-396.299888776666666
4241-405.298887776555555
4140-413.677665554444443
4039-421.843333322222222
3938-430.511111111011100
3837-440.100000000000000
3736-450.000000000000000
3635-460.000000000000000
3534-470.00000000000
3433-48No000
1-33No
Total:4.4%5.55.25.25.04.74.64.64.24.14.03.93.94.03.6
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Miami 107 Washington 95 -0.8
ThursdayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
60-82100
5958-231000
5857-241000
5756-2510000
5655-269910
5554-279811
5453-2896210
5352-29925300
5251-308496000
5150-317216110000
5049-32552419110000
4948-333531272400000
4847-341732318100101000
4746-355252518192303000
4645-361141124239907010000
4544-3705219141916313350100000
4443-380108320161013101224010000
4342-3900209817516149132501000
4241-4000022140104171311142720000
4140-410000080301031812141511410000
4039-42000400020821791718136200000
3938-43001000020715122022179410000
3837-44000000010015122023191141000
3736-4500000000251321251910310
3635-460000000271726261651
3534-4700000015142630195
3433-480001414303516
3332-4900015194135
3231-5000193555
3130-510032472
3029-52011485
2928-5300892
2827-540496
2726-55298
2625-56199
2524-57199
1-24100
Total:554545453434343333333333333222