Chance of winning the title: 1.1%Change:-2.3
Average finish:4.35-0.31

Points: 2809    Back: -218      Starts: 20    Wins: 1

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Behind 1st  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Matt Crafton finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance driver will finish the season at position
PointsAverage1234567891011121314151617181920+Count
378419510001,000
37641911002
37591901002
37541891001
37491881001
37441871008
373918610011
373418510013
372918410016
372418395521
371918210030
371418194648
370918095560
370417992878
369917887121100
369417785151170
36891768911224
36841759090286
36791748713354
367417384151511
36691728317610
366417182180802
365917080191948
3654169762311,295
3649168752311,578
3644167732522,000
3639166702822,379
3634165653233,183
3629164643243,586
3624163613544,348
3619162583655,449
3614161563866,585
36091605340707,715
36041594843809,279
359915846459011,187
3594157434610012,836
3589156414812014,930
3584155384914017,709
3579154355015020,654
3574153325117024,178
3569152305219027,198
3564151275221031,493
3559150245223035,780
3554149225226041,317
3549148195129146,632
35441471751311052,792
35391461550341059,377
35341451349371066,868
35291441247402073,919
35241431046422082,393
3519142943462092,324
35141417424830101,755
35091406395140111,004
35041395375350123,186
34991384345650134,283
349413743258600147,242
348913632960800161,475
348413522761900174,371
3479134224631100186,920
3474133122641210203,665
3469132120651410218,195
3464131117651610231,343
3459130115651810249,660
3454129013642020265,402
3449128012642220277,954
34441270106225300297,489
3439126086127300314,185
3434125075930400324,952
3429124065732500344,619
3424123055434600362,462
3419122045237700369,974
3414121034939910387,982
34091200246411010406,496
34041190243421210409,755
33991180139441410423,809
33941170137441620442,719
33891160133451820441,382
33841150130462030448,709
33791140027462340468,841
3374113024452550464,673
3369112021452760460,580
336411100194430700482,783
33591100164232800472,656
335410901441341010457,114
334910801239361210484,148
334410701037381410471,199
33391060934401610437,188
33341050732411820471,696
33291040629422020454,323
33241030527422330403,415
33191020424432540446,893
331410103214228500427,690
33091000319423160356,539
3304990217413470409,805
3299981143936900387,865
32949711238391000302,229
32899611136411200364,064
32849501933431400340,611
3279940731451600246,934
3274930629461910312,766
3269920526472110288,024
3264910424482410192,089
3259900321482710257,623
3254890218473020233,634
3249880216473320142,279
3244870114463630203,280
32398601124440300181,514
3234850110434340101,470
3229840184145500152,985
322483007384960134,533
32198200536517068,238
321481043453800109,031
320980033055101093,342
320479032857121044,113
319978022559141072,888
319477012259161060,421
318976012060181026,697
318475011860202044,781
31797411559233036,172
317473001358253015,442
316972011572740025,366
3164710955315019,268
315970085333607,725
3154690651357012,407
3149680548379109,201
3144674453911103,456
313966342421115,209
3134653414114203,508
312964234471621,286
3124632314619201,706
3119621294522301,072
311461227432351303
310960123413041407
31045927363341177
3099583238252240
309457113650428
3089562040405
280900124341501,000
Total simulation runs:20,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Chevy Silverado 25024760919116,385
San Bernardino County 20015910011811815,360
American Commercial Lines 20041513016016017,335
Kroger 25022425317017032,550
O'Reilly Auto Parts 250212616610010011,785
NC Lottery 20011813810185519061,800
Ohio 250121625012712710,910
AAA Insurance 20051620015515519,835
Sam's Town 40072417214614615,610
Cool City Customs 200152010011811814,385
Milwaukee 2002102001170517535,650
O'Reilly 20031620416516528,270
Built Ford Tough 22531315016516539,595
Power Stroke Diesel 20041120016016017,160
Toyota Tundra 200112315013013010,360
O'Reilly 200212919810010010,485
Gateway 200122516012712712,585
New Hampshire 2001232009127513211,210
Quik-Liner Las Vegas 35031414716516523,620
Mountain Dew 250161294115115
202794+15-0=2809 $404,890
AverageStart:16.6
Finish:9.6
Money:$21,310