Chance of winning the title: 4.8%Change:1.5
Average finish:7.181.26

Points: 1605    Back: -137      Starts: 12    Wins: 1

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Behind 1st  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Erik Darnell finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance driver will finish the season at position
PointsAverage1234567891011121314151617181920+Count
41401951001,000
38121701001
37501651002
368516010036
36201551000388
35551509912,286
3490145973012,169
342514089110047,979
33601357126400152,192
3295130424015300386,936
3230125153431154100797,608
31651202122529208200001,326,573
310011501616262616720001,774,967
30351100002717262515610001,909,194
29701050002818262515510001,633,152
290510000002819272413510001,098,211
28409500029202823124100565,619
27759000031122282210310218,557
2710850014132427209359,402
2645800151526282511,401
25807502719721,256
251570139669
2450651002
160501001,000
Total simulation runs:10,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Chevy Silverado 2502118745100510518,635
San Bernardino County 20011141001130513514,610
American Commercial Lines 20012141291127513211,435
Kroger 25051825315515513,085
O'Reilly Auto Parts 250287108797910,610
NC Lottery 2004513823160516519,235
Ohio 250111525013013011,635
AAA Insurance 2002518195888811,310
Sam's Town 4002422168919111,135
Cool City Customs 20011110025185519058,375
Milwaukee 20041320032160516517,035
O'Reilly 20024204170170
1271575+30-0=1605 $197,100
AverageStart:11.8
Finish:12.3
Money:$17,918